US30 H4 AnalysisUS30 Showing a bullish Flag to 42,762. If it breaks this zone, Most probably can fly upto 44,000 and higher. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
Longsetup
BTC Loses Key Level — Will 100K Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has been locked in a range for the past 45 days, clinging above the critical psychological support at $100K. But cracks are starting to show…
Every bounce from the key level at $102,430 has been weakening — and now, for the first time, we’re breaking cleanly below it. Things are starting to tilt bearish.
So the question is…
⛏️ Will 100K be tested next?
🔍 Key Support Zone: $97.7K–$96.9K
Using the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at $74.5K to the recent ATH, the 0.382 retracement lands at $97,655 — just below the $100K mark.
But there’s more…
Here’s why the zone between $97.7K and $96.9K is crucial:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement: A common pullback level in strong uptrends.
Anchored VWAP from $74.5K: Currently sitting around $96.9K, tracking cumulative volume-weighted average price — a key level.
Daily Order Block: Sits right at $96,887, aligning with the VWAP and reinforcing the area as demand-rich.
1.272 Fibonacci extension: From the previous move — providing another layer of confluence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance lies right in this zone. Price often fills these before continuing trend.
All of this stacks up to a high-probability long setup.
🕵️♂️ What to Do Now?
Set alerts at $100K and watch for a reaction. If price slices through, shift focus to the 0.382 Fib — monitor price action closely for signs of a reversal.
The first clean test of this zone could present a solid long — but as usual don’t trade blindly. Wait for confirmation.
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BTC pressure, price under a lot of selling pressure💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (June 22)
Notable news about BTC:
Market overview: Bitcoin's consolidation lasts in the context of increasing macro instability
US President Donald Trump expressed his caution on Thursday when he delayed the decision involving a potential direct attack on Iran for a maximum of two weeks. The global market, including cryptocurrencies, has reacted, slightly increased in Asian and European sessions when investors absorb the impact of crude oil prices in the context of interrupted transport routes.
However, traders are very cautious, reflecting the tough stance of Fed President Jerome Powell on the economy, with the reason for the expectation of inflation in the short term due to tariffs.
Bitcoin -large holders continue to accumulate despite the cautious attitudes of traders on the spot and derivative markets.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin price fluctuates around $ 104.057 after cutting up the day from the peak of $ 106,457 of Friday. Main technical indicators, such as relative power index (RSI), strengthen the trend of discounts when the price slip down the average line 50.
Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, monitoring the amount of money poured into BTC, shortening the trend of increasing, stable around the middle line. This reflects the limited interest in Bitcoin on both spot markets and derivative markets.
If the weakness of the Organizing Committee overshadows the demand on the chain and network activity, supporting the exponent dynamic line (EMA) 50 days at $ 103,169 can be helpful, temporarily absorbing the pressure of selling. Overcoming this level, high fluctuations can accelerate the decline, bringing the main levels, such as EMA 100 days at $ 99,085 and EMA 200 days at $ 93,404, in.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Middle East War - Gold Price Increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/23/2025 - 06/27/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering near $3,369 and on track to post a weekly loss of nearly 1.90%, as markets digested US President Donald Trump’s decision to forgo immediate military action against Iran in favor of a diplomatic approach. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.11%.
While easing geopolitical tensions helped lift risk sentiment, additional pressure on gold emerged from concerns over potential US restrictions on allies operating semiconductor plants in China, as reported by Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged a risk-on tone, weighing on the appeal of the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Middle East tensions escalate, gold prices continue to recover above 3400, early next week
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3395, $3448
Support: $3302, $3256
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD – Weak consolidation near 3,357, eyes on 3,443 retestYesterday, gold traded within the 3,344 to 3,371 USD range and closed at 3,368.75 USD (+0.72%). Despite the slight rebound, price action remains weakly consolidative within a broad ascending channel, repeatedly rejected at the 3,443 USD resistance area — where multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled.
On the H4 chart, price is holding above the key confluence support at 3,357 USD, which aligns with the medium-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a technical bounce back toward 3,443 USD is likely.
However, it's worth noting that recent upward moves have lost momentum near the upper FVG zones. Traders should wait for a clear confirmation signal — particularly a strong bullish candle at the current support — before considering entry.
GBPUSD: Bearish pressure persistsGBPUSD is consolidating below a key medium-term resistance zone, with a rounding top and a minor head-and-shoulders pattern forming. The price is currently retesting the Fair Value Gap near 1.34900 — a potential reversal zone if it fails to break higher.
On the fundamental side, the Bank of England's decision to hold interest rates on June 19 disappointed the market. Meanwhile, the US dollar remains supported by safe-haven demand and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, adding further pressure on GBP.
If GBPUSD fails to hold the trendline support near 1.33700, the risk of a deeper decline increases. Both the technical structure and macro fundamentals favor the bears.
$100 a barrel coming soon for Crude oil futures In this video we focus on the current accumulation in the oil chart and the prospect of higher prices ahead .
I highlight how the respect of the previous quinquennial pivots gave us a 45% move to the upside in the past 8 weeks .
Looking ahead on the monthly timeframe we have the following confluences above the current price of $75 .
Above the current pa we have the point of control at $ 88 and the avwap at $97, if we can reclaim the poc I think we will continue to push up to the fib levels that I have mentioned in the video.
In addition to the above we also have the decennial pivots at $107/$112 alongside the value area high .
All of this validates for me why oil will be pushing back up throughout the course of the year .
Tools used in the video
Tr pocket , pivots , fived range volume profile and fib expansion
HYPER ANALYSIS🔮 #HYPER Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 We can see that there is a formation of Falling Wedge Wedge Pattern in #HYPER and we can see a bullish movement after a good breakout. Before that we would see a little retest and and then a bullish movement.
💸Current Price -- $0.1087
📈Target Price -- $0.1358
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#HYPER #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
What’s Next for PROSTARM Investors...?Prostarm has decisively broken its all-time high. Since its IPO on June 3rd, it has successfully surpassed the major resistance level of 126 and is holding strong above it. We should take advantage of this opportunity and establish a long position on the retest of the 126 level.
XRP ANALYSIS🔮 #XRP Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 As we said earlier #XRP performed the same. Resistance1 achieved easily. Now we can see that there is a formation of Falling Wedge Wedge Pattern in #XRP and we can see a more retest before a bullish movement again.
💸Current Price -- $2.1729
📈Target Price -- $2.5964
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#XRP #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Apple Near Key Support — Long Setup DevelopingIntroduction:
Apple NASDAQ:AAPL is approaching a critical support zone that has consistently held over the past two months. As price retraces toward this level, it presents a potential long opportunity for traders looking to position ahead of the next bullish leg.
Technical Setup:
Support Zone: $193 – $196
This area has acted as a strong demand zone, providing multiple bounce points since April.
Price is now pulling back into this region, offering a potential entry for a long trade.
Trade Idea:
Entry: $193 – $196 (on confirmation of support holding)
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $210 – $215
Second Target: $225 – $233
Stop Loss: Just below $184 (to protect against a breakdown from support)
#AAPL #Apple #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportZone #LongSetup #TradingStrategy #NASDAQ #TechStocks #RiskReward
BTC continues to accumulate above 103,500Plan BTC today: 19 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Bitcoin (BTC) price edges slightly higher, trading near $104,700 at the time of writing on Thursday, after stabilizing above a key level — the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $103,100. A breach below this level could trigger a sharp fall in BTC. Risk aversion could intensify, as reports indicate that US officials are preparing for a strike on Iran in the coming days. Despite this risk-off sentiment in global markets, institutional demand remains strong, with US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) seeing positive inflows for eight consecutive days
personal opinion:!!!
btc continues to accumulate above 103,500, the market is no longer sensitive to interest rate information yesterday
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 103.500 \ 101.000
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE 19 - 06 - 2025This chart presents a technical analysis of Gold CFDs (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Chart Structure & Patterns:
Descending Channel: Price has been consolidating in a downward-sloping channel (marked in blue).
Projected Move: The sketch on the chart shows a potential false breakdown below the channel support, followed by a strong bullish reversal.
Support Zone: Around $3,321.534 to $3,341, highlighted in green/red — this is the expected reversal zone.
Resistance/Target Zone: A sharp upward arrow suggests the price could move towards the $3,453.550 area, the previous high and a key resistance.
Current Price:
$3,373.133 (as per the chart), sitting near the middle of the channel.
Analysis Summary:
This is a bullish setup expecting:
1. A dip to retest or fake out below the channel.
2. Reversal from the demand zone (highlighted green).
3. Breakout from the descending channel leading to a strong rally.
Invalidation likely occurs below $3,321.
Trade Idea (based on the chart):
Buy near: $3,340–$3,325
Stop loss: Below $3,321
Target: $3,440–$3,453
Would you like a written trading plan or risk management breakdown for this idea?
RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTU - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTU ( NSE:RELINFRA )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹385.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹293 (Daily Closing Basis) (-23 % Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹412.50
₹441.95
₹472.55
₹506.05
₹542.30
₹580.65
₹616.10
₹654.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 2.73M vs previous day's 2.69M
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:RELINFRA for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
XAUUSD – Support Under Threat, Deeper Decline LoomsGold is stalling below the 3,444 USD resistance, forming a series of lower highs — a clear sign of weakening bullish momentum. The support area around 3,358 USD is under pressure, and a break below this level could trigger a drop toward 3,280 USD.
On the news front, the FOMC has reaffirmed its hawkish stance, making no mention of a rate cut despite signs of slowing economic growth. This has strengthened the USD, placing additional downward pressure on gold.
In summary, XAUUSD is on the verge of breaking its bullish structure. If current support fails, sellers may take full control of the market.
XAUUSD Trade Idea:
Position: SELL if price breaks below 3,358 USD
Target: 3,304 – 3,280 USD
Stop Loss: Above 3,400 USD
High Dividend Stock on the Move? COH – Eyes on 351.51 Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) is showing strong bullish potential after price tapped into a respected Monthly Order Block (OB). This region aligns with a historically strong demand zone, offering a prime entry opportunity for longer-term investors and SMC traders alike.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, the structure remains bullish:
- Price swept a low into the Monthly OB, indicating engineered liquidity grab.
- The reaction shows strong displacement to the upside, validating the OB.
- Volume also suggests institutional interest at this level.
- There’s now a clean path toward Equal Highs at 351.51, a natural draw for buy-side liquidity.
With COH offering consistent dividend payouts, this could be a double win – capital appreciation + income.
🧠 As always: Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
XAU/USD – Wave 3 in Motion?We’re currently monitoring what appears to be a textbook Elliott Wave 1-2 structure, with Wave (2) bottoming near $3,293. Price has since pushed up and consolidated above the 0.5–0.382 retracement zone, holding firm at key EMAs and structure.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Wave (1): Clean impulsive structure.
Wave (2): Corrective decline finding strong support at $3,293.
Current consolidation suggests accumulation before potential Wave (3) breakout.
Confluence of Fib extensions & upper trendline project Wave (3) towards $3,484, aligning with the -0.27 extension.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and retest of the $3,400–$3,415 level (0.236 Fib) to confirm bullish continuation.
Holding above $3,372–$3,390 (the golden pocket and 0.5/0.382 zone) is key to maintaining the bullish bias.
A clean break below $3,353 invalidates this immediate structure.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🎯 Next target: $3,484
⛔️ Invalidation: Break below $3,350
💬 Let me know your thoughts. Are we about to ride Wave 3, or will gold give us one more dip before lift off?
XAUUSD – Gold breaks trend: Is a deeper fall coming?Gold has officially broken the ascending trendline that had held since mid-May, confirming a breakdown in the bullish structure. After failing to breach the strong resistance at 3,445 USD, selling pressure intensified, driving the price down to 3,390 USD — yesterday’s closing level.
This move came right after the FOMC meeting, where the Fed held interest rates steady but maintained a hawkish tone, strengthening the USD and weighing heavily on gold.
While tensions in the Middle East continue to offer short-term support, U.S. monetary policy remains the dominant force. Without a fresh geopolitical shock, gold appears increasingly vulnerable to a deeper correction.
BTCUSDT – Price Poised to Break Descending ChannelBTCUSDT has been maintaining a series of higher lows since early May, consistently rebounding from its dynamic support trendline. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the descending channel resistance around the 108,000 USDT level. A clear double-bottom pattern accompanied by solid recovery momentum suggests a potential breakout from the prolonged correction phase that has persisted throughout June.
If BTC breaks above the descending trendline, the next target could be the major resistance zone near 113,000 USDT.
On the news front, the market is reacting positively to BlackRock’s announcement of expanding investment in crypto ETF products. At the same time, recent soft U.S. inflation data has strengthened expectations that the Fed may halt its tightening cycle. This combination is improving investor sentiment and driving renewed interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, downside pressure intensifiesEURUSD formed a lower high near 1.1613, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Price is now testing a key trendline, and a break below 1.1473 could confirm a bearish move toward 1.1350.
Market sentiment is currently dominated by the Fed’s hawkish stance following the latest FOMC meeting, where the central bank kept rates unchanged but expressed readiness to hike further if necessary. Meanwhile, although tensions in the Middle East are escalating, they have yet to deliver a significant blow to the USD.
Given the current backdrop, EURUSD is under considerable pressure and may soon break its bullish structure unless strong buying interest re-emerges.
Bullish on All Time Frames.MERIT Closed at 13.95 (13-06-2025)
Bullish on All Time Frames.
Immediate Support lies around 13 - 13.20 &
then around 12 - 12.20
However, 11 - 11.10 may be re-tested in extreme
pressure.
On the flip side, once 14.20 is Sustained, we may
witness upside towards 16 - 17 & then 19 -20