LONG ON BITCON BTC/USDBitcoin has started its (New Downtrend) after it completed a change of character on the Daily on Aug 25th.
I am looking to catch the pullback to the next key level of supply before turning around and selling bitcoin to the next swing low.
On this buy trade I will be looking to make 5000 points.
Longsetup
NEAR — Prime Swing Setup at $2.5NEAR is shaping up for a high-probability swing trade, and the chart is lining up beautifully. The $2.5 zone is packed with confluence, making it one of the most attractive long opportunities on NEAR in a while.
Confluence Support Zone
Previous Monthly Open (Key Level): $2.535
0.786 Fib Retracement: $2.506
Liquidity Pocket: Sitting right at this zone
📌 Together, these factors make the $2.53–$2.50 area a critical support level to watch.
🟢 Long Setup
Entry: $2.53–$2.50 zone
Stop-Loss: Below monthly open at $2.366
Target: $4 (major resistance + TP zone)
Potential Gain: ~+50% if played to target
R:R 1:7+
Trade Outlook
If NEAR reacts strongly off the $2.5 zone, this setup could unfold into a powerful swing trade. The structure suggests this could be the launchpad for the next leg higher.
As always, confirmation is key: I’ll be watching closely for a clean reaction before committing fully. Profit-taking decisions will be refined as price action develops, but the $4 level stands out as the main TP zone.
Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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waiting for BTC to recover, accumulate above 107KBTC Technical Analysis (4H Chart):
After breaking down from the rising channel, BTC has confirmed a bearish structure, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price recently bounced from the 108,800–109,000 support zone, which aligns with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. This is a key short-term support area to watch.
If buyers can hold this support, BTC may retest the 111,600–111,700 resistance zone. A breakout above could open the path toward the higher resistance at 115,300–115,400.
On the downside, if the 109,000 zone fails, the next bearish targets lie at 105,900 and deeper Fibonacci projections around 104,200–103,100.
Trend Outlook:
Short-term: Possible recovery toward 111,600 or even 115,300 if demand holds above 109,000.
Medium-term: Still bearish-biased as long as price stays under the 200 EMA (~114,000).
Key Levels to Note:
Resistance: 111,600 – 111,700, 115,300 – 115,400
Support: 109,000, 105,900, 104,200 – 103,100
PCE Core Drops, Is XAUUSD Ready to Explode?Hello traders!
Today, I'll share with you a detailed analysis of XAUUSD, combining important economic news and the current market trend .
The US core PCE index for this month is forecasted at 0.2%, lower than the previous 0.3%, indicating a decrease in inflation. This could lead the Fed to maintain low interest rates , which is favorable for gold. When interest rates are low, holding gold becomes cheaper, thus boosting demand and driving gold prices higher .
The XAUUSD chart shows a strong upward trend within the price channel. Gold is trading in an ascending channel , with support at 3,715.000 and a target at 3,800.000 . If support holds, the price of gold may continue to rise to higher levels.
With support from both fundamental and technical factors , the upward trend of XAUUSD is currently very strong. Wishing you successful trades and always finding great opportunities!
DOGEUSDT Slightly Up, Targeting New HighsIn recent days, DOGEUSDT has seen a slight increase, recovering after hitting its lowest point in several weeks. The growth of DOGE is mainly driven by buying activity at lower levels and improved market sentiment, although the USD remains strong due to positive economic data from the US.
The DOGEUSDT chart is currently trading within a clear upward price channel . The price has found strong support at 0.1950 and is showing signs of recovery. If DOGE can continue to break through the resistance at 0.2730, there is a high likelihood of reaching the target of 0.2730 or higher in the short term.
DOGEUSDT has the potential to continue rising due to the current recovery and strong technical support. Keep an eye on market confirmation to capitalize on trading opportunities.
EUR/USD Slightly Up, Waiting for PCE to Determine the TrendHello traders, today, EUR/USD has seen a slight recovery, rising to 1.1682 after hitting a three-week low. This recovery is largely driven by buying activity at lower levels, although the USD remains strong due to positive economic data from the US. However, the next trend for this pair will depend heavily on the PCE data from the US on September 27.
Technically, EUR/USD is trading within a price channel. After finding strong support at 1.1640, the price has recovered and is now facing important resistance at 1.1743. If the price can break through this level, the opportunity for EUR/USD to continue moving upward will be significant, with the next target at 1.1743 and potentially 1.1800.
Keep a close watch on the PCE data from the US to seize trading opportunities in the coming days. Thanks for listening, traders!
GBP/JPY - Short-Term Bearish TrendHello traders, according to the September PMI data from the UK, there has been a decline in both the manufacturing and services sectors, raising concerns about economic growth. This could lead the BoE to maintain high interest rates, negatively impacting GBP and creating expectations for a short-term decline in the GBP.
Looking at the GBP/JPY chart, we can see that the pair is trading within an upward channel, but there are signs of a potential correction. A key level to watch is 200.300, where a price rejection could occur, followed by a return to a strong support level at 198.500. If the price fails to hold above 200.300 and continues to correct, the pair may test the 198.500 support level.
With the negative impact from the PMI data and the possibility of high interest rates from the BoE, GBP/JPY could move down towards the 198.500 area in the short term.
The short-term bearish trend is likely, but it's essential to closely monitor the upcoming factors to confirm the trend.
DOT — Key Levels Reclaimed, Breakout Ahead?DOT has been in sideways chop for 222 days, but things are finally getting interesting. Price is now sitting above the yearly level ($4.309), the daily 233 EMA/SMA, and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA. Even better, it reclaimed the POC of the entire 222-day range.
Why $4 Is So Important
Yearly level → $4.309
Daily 233 EMA → $4.37 / Daily 233 SMA → $4.21
Weekly 21 EMA → $4.15 / Weekly 21 SMA → $4.05
POC of 222-day range → $4
0.618 Fib retracement (current move) → $4
That’s a whole lot of support stacked at one zone.
Where It Gets Exciting (Targets)
First major target is the monthly 21 EMA/SMA ($5.3–$5.5), which also lines up with the range highs. That’s the first real test. The swing target zone sits around $6–$6.5, with multiple layers of confluence:
Key Level → ~$6
Fair Value Trend Model Line → ~$6.5
0.382 Fib retracement of the downtrend → ~$6.19
0.618 Fib speed fan → ~$6.2 (October projection)
1.618 trend-based Fib extension → $6.308
Market Cap Confluence: 10B market cap at $6.18
Yearly Open: $6.642 → the overall target and an additional layer of resistance
📌 This creates a solid resistance cluster between $6–$6.6, ideal for taking profits and potentially looking for shorts.
🟢 Long Trade Idea
Entry: Ladder longs from $4.36 down to $4
Stop: Below $4 (clear invalidation)
Take Profit: If $4 holds, DOT’s path is clear: first stop $5.3-$5.5, then $6.0–$6.6 as the macro target with the yearly open at $6.642 marking the final resistance.
Key Levels
Support → $4.36–$4
Resistance → $5.3–$5.5, then $6.2–$6.6 (10B market cap $6.18 + yearly open $6.642)
🔍 Indicators used
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the monthly 21 EMA/SMA.
Fair Value Trend Model → Calculates a regression-based fair value curve
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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WAFD Stock Going UP, Bullish Momentum ConfirmedHello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: WaFd, Inc.
STOCK SYMBOL: WAFD
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.79
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.59
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Monday 8/18/25 at $31.73/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions. I am not an investment advisor, and I do not personally trade these stocks. These posts are stock trade ideas that follow my same weekly momentum strategy. Past results are not indicative of future performance.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
AVAX — Next Stop $40?AVAX has been one of the stronger high-cap performers recently, but the yearly open at $36 has proven to be a tough ceiling. Price has rejected this level three times already, each time offering short opportunities. This level also aligns with the 15B market cap, making it a key resistance zone.
Now, AVAX is retracing into a prime area for long setups, retracing part of the recent 5-wave impulse.
🟢 Long Entry Zone
0.618 Fib retracement: $32 → first bounce zone
0.786 Fib retracement: $30.85 → deeper entry opportunity
0.886 Fib retracement: $30 → highest confluence long entry
Invalidation: Below $29.41 (origin of the impulse)
Confluence at $30
The $30 level is the strongest support cluster, backed by multiple technical factors:
POC of this trading range
0.886 Fib retracement of the impulse
21 EMA/SMA (daily timeframe)
Anchored VWAP support
$30 psychological round number
0.618 Fib speed fan support
This makes laddering entries from $32 down to $30 the most optimal approach.
Targets
First Target: $36 yearly open → retest of major resistance (fourth attempt)
Main Target: $40 resistance cluster → 0.618 Fib retracement, negative -0.618 Fib extension
R:R: 1:3 up to 1:6 depending on entry
Educational Insight
When analysing trades, confluence is king. A single indicator may provide a signal, but when multiple tools align at the same level the probability of that zone holding increases significantly.
The $30 zone for AVAX is a great example of confluence stacking. This doesn’t guarantee success, but it gives traders a defined edge with a clear invalidation point. The same logic applies to resistance: at $40, multiple technical layers align, making it a high-probability take-profit zone.
Quick Take
AVAX is pulling back into a stacked support zone. With solid confluence at $30–$32, this zone sets up the fourth attempt at breaking the $36 yearly open resistance.
And as the saying goes in trading: the 4th touch often breaks. If it does, AVAX could quickly rally toward the $40 resistance cluster, where multiple confluences align.
Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the Daily 21 EMA/SMA.
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
EUR/USD Faces Downward Pressure: USD StrengtheningThe EUR/USD pair is currently under downward pressure following a cautious statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding interest rate cuts. This statement has strengthened the USD, causing EUR/USD to trend lower.
Technically, EUR/USD has encountered resistance at the $1.1780 level and is currently testing the important support at $1.1700. If this level is broken, the pair could drop further toward the $1.1680 region.
Forecasts from upcoming data, especially the PCE index, will heavily influence expectations regarding the Fed's interest rate policy, directly affecting EUR/USD. If the data continues to show rising inflation, the Fed may maintain higher rates, further boosting the USD and putting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Is XAUUSD Facing Strong Downward Pressure?With recent economic developments, XAUUSD is currently under pressure to decline . Let’s take a closer look at the current trend of gold.
Based on the latest news regarding GDP, unemployment claims, and the PCE index , XAUUSD is facing downward pressure. The US GDP is stable but not overly impressive, unemployment claims came in at 233K, higher than the previous 231K , indicating a more stable economy. Additionally, a lower-than-expected PCE index may lead to expectations that the Fed will continue tightening its monetary policy.
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD is moving within an uptrend channel but has recently hit resistance at $3,750 and is showing signs of correction. The price is now testing the support level at $3,680. If this support level is broken, gold may experience a sharp decline towards lower levels.
Considering both the fundamental and technical factors , the likelihood of XAUUSD continuing to decline is high. However, we need to closely monitor upcoming economic data as it could change the market’s direction .
AUD/USD: Uptrend Supported by Stable Commodity MarketThe AUD/USD pair continues to rise, supported by the Australian dollar benefiting from a stable commodity market and a positive risk sentiment. The US dollar is under pressure due to the Fed cutting interest rates, weakening the USD.
AUD/USD is maintaining a strong uptrend, with resistance at 0.6650. Although there has been a slight correction, the primary trend remains upward. If the price breaks through the 0.6650 resistance, the next target could be the 0.6680 area. At the same time, the support trendline at 0.6580 remains intact.
Strategy to consider:
Buy at 0.6580, targeting 0.6650 and 0.6680.
Stop-loss below 0.6580 if the price drops sharply.
With the current uptrend and the stability of the underlying factors, AUD/USD could continue to reach new highs in the short term.
CAD Weakens, USDCAD Pushes AheadOn September 23, 2025, the Canadian dollar fell to an 11-day low as the interest rate spread between the U.S. and Canada widened further. This continued to put pressure on the CAD, giving USDCAD strong upward momentum.
Looking at the chart, USDCAD is moving steadily within an ascending channel. The current price around 1.3890, after a minor consolidation, has the potential to test the 1.3900 resistance zone. This is a key level — if broken decisively, the bullish trend will be reinforced and extended.
On the downside, the 1.3830 support zone remains the key level to hold the trend. As long as price stays above this area, the strategy favors buying with the trend.
In summary : USDCAD is in a clear uptrend, with fundamentals supporting the bulls. The immediate target is 1.3900, with potential for higher gains if CAD weakness continues.
SPEL PSX📈 SPEL (PSX) – Buy Call (1-Day Outlook)
Technical View
Previously: Stock has broken out of a long-awaited rectangle consolidation pattern. And target was hit.
Structure now shifting into higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs) → trend confirmation.
Price is currently holding in the golden zone (retest area after breakout).
Momentum is bullish and intact as long as structure of HH/HL holds.
Trading Plan
Look for a bullish candlestick rejection in the golden zone as entry trigger.
Targets:
Short-term traders: book partial profits at the first resistance above breakout.
Mid-term traders: hold for continuation toward next resistance zones as long as HH/HL structure stays intact.
Confirmation Checklist
✅ Breakout candle closes strong (preferably with above-average volume).
✅ Retest of breakout zone holds with bullish rejection.
❌ Invalidation if price loses HL structure or breaks below retest support.
Fundamentals (Quick Pulse)
Company is profitable with revenue and income growth.
Operates in packaging/auto components → demand relatively stable.
1D Investment Long CounterTrend TradeCounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ support level
- unvolumed T1 level
+ below 1/2 correction?!
+ historical volume zone
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ exhaustion volume
+ broken SOS
+ intiative take over"
Yearly no context
EURUSD: Ready to Break HigherHello traders, EURUSD is currently supported by both fundamentals and technicals.
Fundamentals:
The Eurozone PMI for September hit a 16-month high, signaling that the economy remains in expansion mode. Meanwhile, the USD is weakening as the Fed shows caution toward cutting interest rates. These factors are giving the euro strong upward momentum.
Technicals:
On the chart, price is consolidating around the 1.1770 – 1.1800 zone, which aligns with Ichimoku cloud support. This is the “accumulation zone” before a potential breakout. If the bullish momentum continues:
TP1: 1.1840 – the nearest resistance.
TP2: 1.1870 – the extended target if a breakout is confirmed.
Strategy: Wait for a pullback to the lower support zone (1.1770 – 1.1800) for entry. Favor Buy setups following the bullish trend, with stop losses placed below support.
XRPUSDT: Downtrend and Future Trading StrategyHello traders, based on the chart and the latest news on XRPUSDT, the current trend is leaning towards a downtrend. The gradually decreasing resistance indicates strong selling pressure, and XRP is trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming the short-term bearish trend. XRP has dropped sharply from $2.87 to $2.77 on September 23, 2025 , due to a contract liquidation event worth $1.7 billion, mainly from long positions, causing further price correction.
With resistance at $2.8900, if the price cannot break through this level, the likelihood of a further decline towards $2.6200 is high. This is the next key support level to watch. If the downtrend continues, this support zone could be tested again.
Trading Strategy: Watch for selling opportunities near the $2.8900 resistance and set a stop-loss if the price moves above this level.
XAU/USD: Gold Continues to Rise as USD WeakensHello traders, the XAU/USD chart is currently showing a strong upward trend. Gold has risen from the support level of 3,752.000 USD and is on track to approach the key resistance zone at 3,825.000 USD. If it surpasses this level, gold could continue to move higher.
News Impact:
U.S. Labor Market Data: The forecast is for 233K jobs to be created, higher than the previous 231K. However, the slowdown in the labor market has caused the USD to weaken. As the USD weakens, the Fed may maintain or accelerate its easing program, which usually benefits gold.
Conclusion:
With a supportive technical trend and macroeconomic fundamentals, XAU/USD could continue to rise. Traders may look for buying opportunities when the price corrects to the support zone at 3,752.000 USD, with the goal of breaking through 3,825.000 USD in the near future.






















