EURUSD – Upcoming Bearish Trend: Seize the Opportunity!Hello traders! Today, we will analyze EURUSD and make a forecast on the bearish trend ahead, based on the chart and key fundamental factors influencing this pair.
The Fed cut interest rates to 4.25% as expected, but it did not exceed expectations, which means USD has not weakened. This creates downward pressure on EURUSD as USD maintains its strength.
The unemployment claims data came in lower than expected, indicating a strong labor market , which supports USD, further increasing pressure on EURUSD.
The chart shows that EURUSD is in an uptrend channel, but it is now showing signs of reversing when encountering resistance at 1.1880. If the price fails to break this level, EURUSD could drop to 1.1830, and continue to fall to lower levels. Specifically, if the price breaks below 1.1830, the next target will be 1.1750.
With a clear downward trend and supporting market factors, EURUSD could continue to adjust downwards in the near term. Keep an eye on support and resistance levels to take advantage of effective trading
Longsetup
GBPUSD: Decline from Resistance LevelHello traders! Looking at the chart, we can see that GBPUSD is in an ascending wedge , but it has encountered strong resistance at 1.3650. If it fails to break through this level, the price could reverse and head lower, with a target at 1.3600.
The reason for the decline in GBPUSD is due to the USD strengthening slightly on Thursday after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates . This created upward pressure on USD, leading to a slight decrease in GBPUSD.
At the same time, GBP dropped slightly ahead of the Bank of England's policy meeting , which increased uncertainty and put downward pressure on GBPUSD.
With support from both fundamental and technical factors , can GBPUSD continue its decline? Let us know your thoughts!
Tesla on Track – Golden Zone Respect Leading to $867 TargetAs we discussed in the earlier setup, Tesla retraced beautifully into the golden zone (62–79% retracement area) after sweeping sell-side liquidity. This zone aligned with a higher-timeframe order block, providing strong confluence for a bullish reaction.
The price has since respected that golden zone, confirming buyers stepped in aggressively and validating the bullish bias. From here, the market structure points toward continuation to the upside, with immediate targets at prior buy-side liquidity pools, eventually extending toward the $867 region, a level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection and liquidity resting above previous highs.
This setup illustrates a textbook ICT/SMC play:
Liquidity Sweep ✅
Golden Zone Respect ✅
Strong Bullish Reaction ✅
Clear Buy-side Targets Ahead ✅
If momentum holds, Tesla remains positioned for a multi-month expansion leg toward the $867 target zone.
⚠️ DYOR: Not financial advice. Always confirm setups with your own framework and risk management.
XAUUSD: 3.700 USD Resistance, Strong Decline Ahead?Hello traders, let’s dive into the next short-term trend for XAUUSD!
As you can see on the chart, XAUUSD is currently facing a strong resistance at 3,700 USD . After touching this level, the price of gold has corrected downward and is now testing the support zone at 3,600 USD . If gold fails to hold above 3,600 USD and breaks this level, there is a high likelihood that gold will continue its decline towards deeper support levels at 3,580 USD.
With the forecasted unemployment claims dropping to 241K , the US economy is recovering, which is strengthening the USD. This, in turn, puts downward pressure on gold . A stronger USD makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
Given the strength of the USD and the technical signals showing potential for a break in support, the downward trend of XAUUSD may continue in the near future.
Can gold maintain above the 3,600 USD support, or will it continue its strong decline to lower levels? Share your thoughts!
AI ANALYSIS🔮#AI Analysis 💰💰
#AI is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #AI. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement .
🔖 Current Price: $0.1490
⏳ Target Price: $0.2100
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #AI. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#AI #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
HTH Stock Bullish Momentum ConfirmedHello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: Hilltop Holdings Inc.
STOCK SYMBOL: HTH
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.34
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.68
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Monday 8/18/25 at $34.68/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions. I am not an investment advisor, and I do not personally trade these stocks. These posts are stock trade ideas that follow my same weekly momentum strategy. Past results are not indicative of future performance.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
EURCAD: Potential Long Setup
Market Context
Price swept liquidity below the previous daily low and then broke structure to the upside, signaling a potential shift in market direction. This could be the beginning of a bullish leg if price respects demand on the pullback.
Key Technicals
Clear liquidity sweep (CRT) beneath recent lows
Bullish BOS on the 4H timeframe
Watching for price to retrace back into the imbalance (FVG) area
FVG aligns closely with the 50 EMA and 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone on the 15m chart
Plan is to look for rejection or confirmation candle within this confluence area
Trade Plan
Wait for price to return into the FVG + 50 EMA + Fib confluence zone
Enter only if a clear rejection or engulfing candle forms
Direction: Longs only while price holds above 50 EMA
Target: Liquidity above recent highs around 1.63600
Invalidation: If price breaks below the sweep low and closes under demand
Summary
Price has shifted bullish after a liquidity sweep. A pullback into demand + FVG zone could offer a high-probability long setup if confirmation appears.
EURAUD: Retracement Setup Before the Next Leg UpPrice action has been clean and purposeful here — and I’m preparing for the next bullish leg if the retracement completes as expected.
Here’s my full thought process:
- Market Structure
We’ve seen a strong break of structure (BOS) to the upside, shifting order flow bullish. Momentum is clearly with the buyers.
- Liquidity Engineering
Before that breakout, price consolidated and formed equal lows (liquidity pools) which got swept, fueling the impulsive move up. This shows smart money likely building long positions.
- Healthy Pullback Zone
Price is now retracing toward a 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) that aligns with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a rising trendline support.
This cluster creates a high-probability demand zone at 1.7710–1.7720 .
- My Plan
I’ll be looking for a bullish CHoCH or engulfing candle on 15m/5m inside this FVG zone to confirm that buyers are stepping back in.
🎯 Target: 1.7790
❌ Invalidation: A clean break below the FVG + trendline would invalidate this idea.
📝 Patience is key — let price come to your zone and wait for confirmation. No confirmation, no trade.
Bitcoin: Is it time?Being a crypto enthusiast, these are exciting times!
We have seen Bitcoin hit all time highs just a couple of weeks back, topping out $124,580 before retracing down to $107,000.
Many questioned: HAS THE BITCOIN BUBBLE BURST?
I would like to disagree with that.
With the rate cuts being 'almost' certain today, we expect risk assets (such as BTC) to be more attractive investments for both firms and investors globally.
After reaching the all-time highs and with the news event scheduled for mid-September, the sell off into the discount zone (as shown in the chart) was expected from my end and we have rebalanced the impulsive price action that led to the all-time high.
What I appreciated from the price driving down into the discount zone was the reaction the market gave us, it has reacted positively and that specific price region has invited investors and firms like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) to reinforce their position and increase their Bitcoin holdings.
Will the market explode as soon as the rate cuts news is released? I don't think so.
The market will experience liquidity stress, especially with how the economy is holding up at the moment and the 'almost certain' news outcome to both retail and institutional.
We may see spikes towards both directions, so my advice? Wait for the market to cool down once the news is released and position yourself accordingly.
The news will give us a direction until the end of the year, giving you a clear bias.
Trade safely and good luck to all!
Orange Juice Futures (ICE) – Long Trade SetupDirection: Long Bias
Contract: Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice (OJ / ICE US)
Current Price: ~268.95
🔍 Technical Setup
Price has found strong support around the 240–260 zone, aligning with long-term trendline support.
EMA20 is stabilizing, hinting at a potential shift in momentum after a sharp correction.
Structure suggests a rebound move with upside toward the 350–400 zone (previous support-turned-resistance).
Risk is clearly defined with support just below the recent lows.
📊 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Supply shock remains in play:
Brazil’s citrus belt is under severe strain from citrus greening disease (HLB), with nearly half of orchards infected.
2024/25 production fell to multi-decade lows, leaving Brazilian OJ stocks near “technical zero.”
Demand resilience: While high prices have pressured some consumers, global demand for NFC and premium juice has stayed firm.
Weather risk: Brazil’s 2025/26 crop outlook is uncertain — drought and heat remain threats.
🧾 COT Positioning
Speculators: Net long positioning indicates a bullish tilt, reflecting continued interest in upside exposure.
Commercials: Hedgers are active on the short side, but this is typical for producers locking in higher prices.
Interpretation: With speculators holding long exposure and commercials hedging into strength, the structure supports a bullish bias from a positioning standpoint.
🎯 Trade Plan
Strategy Stats: My long setups have a 70% win rate and average +11% gain.
Entry Zone: Current levels (~265–270) on confirmation of support holding.
Target 1: 350
Target 2: 400+ (if momentum extends)
⚠️ Risks
Strong rebound in Brazilian production (2025/26 season) could ease supply stress.
Demand destruction if consumers continue to balk at higher prices.
Large speculator long unwinds could trigger a sharp correction.
✅ Conclusion
With supply tightness, disease risk, and speculators maintaining long exposure, the Orange Juice market is primed for a bullish rebound from strong support. My system favors a long entry here, targeting 350–400, with a 70% historical profitability rate on similar setups.
ETH Accumulates for Uptrend Above 5000ETH Technical Analysis
1. Current Market Structure
• ETH is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern.
• The price is trading around 4,487, holding above the moving averages but facing strong resistance ahead.
2. Key Resistance Levels
• 4,573 – 4,653 (Fib 0.618 – 0.786 zone): A critical resistance area where sellers may emerge.
• 4,754: Strong resistance level and neckline of the triangle.
• 5,040: Major target if the price breaks above the 4,754 resistance, aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension.
3. Key Support Levels
• 4,295 – 4,310 zone: Strong demand area and lower triangle support.
• A breakdown below this level could trigger deeper corrections.
4. Price Outlook
• Scenario 1: ETH may retest the 4,295 support zone before bouncing back towards the upper resistance at 4,754.
• Scenario 2: A confirmed breakout above 4,754 could accelerate bullish momentum towards 5,040.
👉 Conclusion: ETH remains bullish as long as it holds above the 4,295 support. Watch for a breakout at 4,754 to confirm continuation towards 5,040.
SOL — Bulls Need to Defend $230 for ContinuationSOL had a strong bullish week, almost tapping the $250 psychological level before rejecting down into the monthly level at $231.77, where price found support and bounced. This level also aligned with the 1.272 Fib extension ($231.96), making it a valid long opportunity.
🟢 Next Long Opportunity
The 0.382 Fib retracement ($230.39) of the move from the $199.32 low is the next key level to watch.
A retest here would:
Sweep liquidity from the current low
Offer a low-risk entry
Help fill some imbalances
📌 Overall, $230 is the level that must hold for bullish continuation.
Targets
TP1: $238 → R:R ~1:3
TP2: $252.91 (0.786 Fib retracement) → R:R ~1:8+ if momentum continues
Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Below $229 (clear invalidation)
Risk: Only 1% on this trade setup
Quick Take
If $230 holds, SOL could set up for another leg higher. This zone offers a clean, low-risk, high-reward long setup with clearly defined invalidation and attractive targets.
Bulls prepare for a strong breakout, 3747⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Uncertainty over global growth and ongoing geopolitical risks keep haven demand elevated, though gold’s rally is fueled mainly by expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts,” noted Zain Vawda, analyst at OANDA. Meanwhile, markets are watching the US-China talks led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Vice Premier He Lifeng. Any breakthrough in trade negotiations or improved risk appetite could dampen demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Interest rate announcement time is approaching, the market is waiting for a new ATH milestone, the tariff and political instability context makes gold prices expected to continue to increase in late 2025
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3745- 3747 SL 3752
TP1: $3730
TP2: $3720
TP3: $3710
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3622-$3624 SL $3617
TP1: $3635
TP2: $3648
TP3: $3660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBPUSD - BUY OPPORTUNITYLooking to BUY GU in BUY AREA and PROFIT in TP AREA.
Entry Criteria:
Will be looking for Signs of reversals, rejections at Buy Area.
Do not enter Buy Area 1 if strong bearish break of Buy Area 1.
Will look for entry in Buy Area 2 on signs of reversal and or rejections etc.
Trade Safe
PEPE ANALYSIS🔮#PEPE Analysis 💰💰
#PEPE is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a daily time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #PEPE. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and than a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $0.00001091
⏳ Target Price: $0.00001413
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #PEPE. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#PEPE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
AFG Stock Confirmed Bullish/Going UPHello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: American Financial Group, Inc.
STOCK SYMBOL: AFG
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.45
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.89
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Tuesday 9/2/25 at $138.65/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions. I am not an investment advisor, and I do not personally trade these stocks. These posts are stock trade ideas that follow my same weekly momentum strategy. Past results are not indicative of future performance.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
C98 ANALYSIS🔮#C98 Analysis 💰💰
#C98 is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #C98. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $0.0498
⏳ Target Price: $0.0634
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #C98. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#C98 #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
DRIFT — No More Drifting, Breakout ImminentDRIFT has been trading sideways in a 226-day range, capped by resistance at $0.75. The POC of this entire range sits at $0.6, and price is currently trading above it at $0.62.
Volume spikes within the range show solid participation, and the structure is starting to resemble a Head & Shoulders formation with a neckline at $0.75 that needs to break.
Bullish Confluence (Support Zone)
Trading above:
21 Daily EMA ($0.593) / SMA ($0.592)
21 Weekly EMA ($0.577) / SMA ($0.549)
200 Daily EMA ($0.5828) / SMA ($0.5483)
Monthly Open → $0.5888
0.618 Fib retracement of current move → $0.5987 (long trigger)
Clear invalidation: below weekly 21 SMA ($0.549) / daily 200 SMA ($0.5483)
Resistance Confluence (Target Zone $1.3–$1.38)
nPOC of the end 2024 / early 2025 trading range → $1.3
0.786 Fib retracement → $1.2935
0.382 Fib retracement of entire downtrend → $1.3056
0.618 Fib retracement of smaller wave → $1.3677
Yearly Open → $1.3664
500M Market Cap → $1.38
📌 This creates a resistance cluster between $1.3–$1.38, an ideal take-profit zone and potential short opportunity.
🟢 Long Setup Idea
Entry: $0.62–$0.60 (ladder in near confluence with Fib + support levels)
Stop: Below $0.55 (weekly 21 SMA/ daily 200 SMA invalidation)
Targets:
TP1: $1
TP2: $1.3
Potential Gain: +115%
Quick Take
If $0.75 breaks, DRIFT could move quickly toward $1.3–$1.38, a zone stacked with resistance and confluences, the perfect place to secure profits/look for a short setup.
Key Levels
Support: $0.62–$0.60 (Fib + POC + EMAs)
Resistance: $0.75 neckline, then $1.3–$1.38 (confluence cluster)
🔍 Indicators used
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA.
Fair Value Trend Model → Calculates a regression-based fair value curve
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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