USD/CAD Breaks Above 200-Day SMA as Momentum BuildsUSD/CAD has pushed through the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 1.3970, marking a notable shift in momentum after several months of consolidation. The breakout also coincides with price action moving decisively above the 1.4025 horizontal resistance zone, which previously capped multiple upside attempts.
The 50-day SMA (around 1.3850) has been trending upward and is now positioned below the 200-day SMA, suggesting a potential continuation of short-term bullish momentum if follow-through buying sustains.
Momentum indicators support the recent strength:
The MACD histogram remains positive, with the signal line crossover indicating ongoing upward momentum.
The RSI is hovering just below the overbought threshold (~70), reflecting strong bullish sentiment while cautioning that short-term consolidation could emerge if conditions become overextended.
Overall, the pair appears to be transitioning from a medium-term range phase to a potential bullish structure, though confirmation through sustained closes above the 1.4025–1.4050 area would strengthen that view.
-MW
M-forex
EURUSD: Time to Recover?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Looks like EURUSD finally went oversold.
A double bottom pattern and a breakout of its neckline with a bullish imbalance
indicate a strong buying interest.
I think that the price will bounce at least to 1.579 level.
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NZD/USD 30-minute chart Pattern...NZD/USD 30-minute chart, here’s a breakdown of what the setup shows:
The chart depicts a downtrend, but price is currently forming a potential reversal from a support zone (the rectangular box at the bottom).
A downtrend line has been broken or is about to be broken to the upside.
The Ichimoku cloud (yellow area) is overhead — suggesting resistance near that zone, but also my target point is drawn above the cloud.
Current price is around 0.5709.
✅ My target (as shown on the chart):
The “Target Point” is drawn near 0.5750–0.5760.
So the likely target zone for this bullish move is:
👉 0.5750 – 0.5760
⚠ Trading notes:
A clear break and close above 0.5715–0.5720 would confirm bullish momentum.
First resistance: 0.5730
Final target: 0.5750–0.5760
A logical stop-loss could be below 0.5690, beneath the recent support zone.
USD/CHF 2-hour chart Pattern..USD/CHF 2-hour chart, here’s a quick technical analysis breakdown based on what’s visible in my chart :
The chart shows a rising channel (uptrend) with price currently near the middle to lower zone of the channel.
My drawn two potential downward target projections labeled “Target Point.”
Price is around 0.8027 currently, with the first downward projection extending roughly to 0.7960, and the second one near 0.7875.
The Ichimoku cloud shows current price slightly above the cloud, but momentum seems to be weakening, suggesting possible correction.
✅ Targets based on my chart setup:
First target: 0.7960
Second (extended) target: 0.7875
These align with my drawn projections.
⚠ Trading note:
If you’re planning a short position, watch for a confirmed break below the channel support or below 0.8000, as that would confirm bearish continuation toward those targets. If price stays above the cloud or rebounds from the lower trendline, the bullish channel might still hold.
GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar), 1H timeframe..GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar), 1H timeframe — CMC Markets — here’s the detailed read 👇
🔍 Technical Setup
Current Price: around 1.3289
Pattern:
Price recently broke out of a descending trendline, retesting the breakout area and forming a potential bullish reversal pattern.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below but close to entering the cloud — a bullish momentum build-up zone if it breaks cleanly above.
Structure: The chart shows an upward arrow toward a resistance/target zone.
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🎯 Target Levels
Immediate Resistance: 1.3340 – 1.3360
Main Target Point (as marked on chart): 1.3440 – 1.3460
→ This aligns perfectly with my “Target Point” label and previous structural highs.
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⚠ Invalidation / Stop-Loss Zone
If price closes below 1.3250, the bullish setup becomes invalid, and it could retest 1.3200 support.
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✅ Summary:
Entry Zone: 1.3280 – 1.3300
Target Zone: 🎯 1.3440 – 1.3460
Stop-Loss: below 1.3250
Ethereum (ETH/USD), 4H timeframe..Ethereum (ETH/USD), 4H timeframe (Coinbase) — here’s the breakdown 👇
🔍 Technical Overview
Current Price: around $3,965
Trend: Price broke below the ascending trendline and is now retesting the underside of the Ichimoku Cloud — a bearish retest setup.
Resistance Zone: $4,100 – $4,150 (retest zone / upper rejection area)
Support Zones:
Minor: $3,900
Major (my chart’s blue arrow “Target Point”): $3,600 – $3,550
🎯 Target
Short-term target: $3,900
Main bearish target: $3,600 ± $50 (This aligns with the drawn “Target Point” and matches the previous structure base.)
⚠ Invalidation
If ETH/USD closes above $4,150, the bearish momentum is invalidated and a rebound toward $4,300 could start.
So my active target = $3,600 zone — that’s where the next key support and profit area lies.
CADCHF: Growth & Bullish Forecast
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the CADCHF pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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EURGBP: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
EURGBP
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURGBP
Entry - 0.8708
Sl - 0.8716
Tp - 0.8692
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD | m15 frame gold drops sharply by 50 points ? 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just set a historical peak (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD region, following a steep upward trend over multiple sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of upward structure (BoS) – a sign indicating that bullish momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , which is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price area that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deep demand zone with large liquidity confluence, likely to become the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD region without breaking through,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario is suitable for short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, open a trend-following buy order .
Target: the 4,125 → 4,145 USD region or the old peak of 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone doesn't hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD area will be an ideal zone for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritize trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD region.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when prices react at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed upward signal.
AUDJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 98.180 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 98.364
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Short: Correction to 3920 Expected from the HighsHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been dominated by a strong bullish trend, which has been clearly defined by a large ascending channel. The market has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, breaking through key resistance levels like 3640 and showing that the buyer initiative has been in firm control of the trend.
Currently, the auction has reached a major point of contention at the 4015 supply level. The price is consolidating here, right below the upper resistance line of the ascending channel, after a failed initial attempt to break higher. This area represents a significant test for the continuation of the uptrend.
My scenario for the development of events is a 'blow-off top' followed by a correction. I believe the price will make one final push, breaking the 4015 level to touch the channel's upper resistance line. In my opinion, this move will be exhaustive, and a sharp reversal will occur from that line. The take-profit is therefore set at 3920, targeting a retest of the nearby trend line. Manage your risk!
AUDNZD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1328
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1361
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1311
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD | Gold Rockets Past $4090 – Over 1000 Pips Gained!By analyzing the Gold (XAU/USD) chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that Gold continued its strong bullish momentum, exactly as expected, and successfully hit all our targets at $4006, $4016, and $4028, fully filling the FVG.
However, Gold didn’t stop there — it kept pushing higher and has just printed a new all-time high (ATH) at $4090!
This move has already delivered over 1000 pips of profit.
Key demand zones are now located at $4051–$4060 and $4020–$4024.
Given the current momentum, I expect Gold to continue rising toward targets above $4100 in the short term.
THE Previous TA :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe..Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe — here’s what the technical setup indicates:
Current price: around $4,107
Structure: Rising channel (uptrend), but price recently rejected the upper boundary.
Indicators: There’s a clear blue arrow pointing downward, suggesting a short-term correction.
Support zones:
First near $4,050 – $4,030 (mid-channel support)
Second near $4,000 – $3,995 (cloud & lower trendline support — also marked “Target Point” on my chart)
✅ Short-term Target: $4,000 – $3,995
If the bearish momentum continues, it might test the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud near $3,975.
⚠ Invalidation:
If price closes above $4,145, the bearish correction setup fails and the bullish channel continues.
So, my target zone = $4,000 ±10.
XAU/USD (Gold) 4H chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 4H chart:
✅ Current Price: around $4,072
✅ Trend: Strong uptrend within an ascending channel
✅ Support zone: around $4,010 – $4,025 (mid-channel + previous resistance)
✅ Resistance/Target zone: top of channel & marked “Target Point”
🎯 Target Levels
1. Short-term target: $4,110 – $4,125 (upper channel resistance, same as my marked target area)
2. Extended target (if breakout occurs): $4,150 – $4,170
This assumes strong bullish momentum and a clean close above $4,125.
🛡 Support / Stop-Loss Suggestions
Conservative stop-loss: below $4,000 (below trendline & Ichimoku cloud support)
Aggressive stop-loss: below $4,030
🔍 Summary
Trend bias: Bullish
Immediate target: $4,125
Breakout extension: $4,150–$4,170
Invalidation (trend break): below $4,000
GBP/USD (1H chart) ...GBP/USD (1H chart)
Current price: around 1.3274
Breakout trendline: downward sloping, recently broken
Support zone: near 1.3200 – 1.3220 (highlighted green area)
Resistance/Target zones: marked as “Target Point” on my chart
From the chart structure and Ichimoku breakout:
🎯 Target Levels
1. First target (near-term): 1.3370 – 1.3380
→ This aligns with the first “Target Point” on my chart (post-breakout resistance area).
2. Second target (major target): 1.3470 – 1.3490
→ This matches my higher “Target Point” level and previous supply zone/resistance.
🔄 Summary
Target Type Price Zone Comment
TP1 1.3370 – 1.3380 Short-term breakout target
TP2 1.3470 – 1.3490 Extended bullish target if momentum continues
SL (Suggested) Below 1.3220 To protect against false breakout
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 58.07
Target Level: 63.04
Stop Loss: 54.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.518
Target Level: 0.524
Stop Loss: 0.514
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
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NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.460 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the NZD/CHF pair.
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AUD/NZD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/NZD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.136 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 58.309.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 54.034 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZDJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 86.456.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 87.323 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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