Is NZD/JPY Ready for Lift-Off? Breakout + Layered Entries🚀 NZD/JPY Swing Trade Plan | Thief Strategy Layers ⚡
NZD/JPY Market Snapshot 📊 | September 2, 2025
Exchange Rate 💸
24-Hour Change: +0.18% ⬆️
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊😟
Retail Traders: 62% Long (Bullish) | 38% Short (Bearish)
Institutional Traders: 55% Long (Bullish) | 45% Short (Bearish)
Investor Mood 🌡️
Overall Mood: Neutral, leaning cautiously optimistic
Fear & Greed Index: 48/100 (Neutral with a slight greed tilt) 😐
Fundamental & Macro Score 📈
Fundamental Score: 60/100 (Moderately positive, supported by NZ economic stability)
Macro Score: 55/100 (Stable, though global uncertainties weigh)
Market Outlook 🐂🐻
Bias: Neutral with a slight Bullish lean
Key Driver: Expectations of Fed rate cuts supporting NZD strength vs JPY safe-haven flows.
📌 Trading Plan – Thief Layer Strategy 💎
Plan Type: Swing / Day Trade
Bias: Bullish (Pending Breakout Setup)
Breakout Entry Zone: Watch 87.100 ⚡
Set an alert on TradingView (OR) Your Personal Trading Platform to catch the breakout easily.
🔑 Thief Layer Entries (scaling in with limits):
86.600
86.800
87.000
(Add more layers if needed, but confirm with breakout above 87.100)
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief Style): ~86.200
Place after breakout confirmation.
Adjust based on personal risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (Escape Plan):
Police barricade spotted at 88.400 🚓
Safer exit at 88.200 to lock in profit before resistance.
✨ Summary
NZD/JPY is showing bullish momentum with positive sentiment and macro support. The Thief Strategy focuses on layered limit entries + breakout confirmation, paired with disciplined SL & TP.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch 🔎
OANDA:AUDJPY
FX:USDJPY
OANDA:NZDUSD
OANDA:GBPJPY
#NZDJPY #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #Breakout #TradingStrategy #ThiefMethod #JPY #NZD #FXAnalysis
M-forex
AUDCHF: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
AUDCHF
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell AUDCHF
Entry - 0.5948
Stop - 0.5254
Take - 0.5239
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3475.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 3483.9
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3462.6
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BULLISH Tone for EURUSDEURUSD attempts to sell are still met with a rejection from buyers and at the same time buy attempts are slowed by sellers. Despite Powell changing his Hawkish stance, the dollar is held back by good GDP and traders already anticipate NFP growth which means Hawkish for the dollar. So this week if THE 1.17200 resistance zone holds the pair will likely retest deeper. Therefore, any better than expected NFP will be bad for Powell dovish remarks. ISM is expected to be out tomorrow and I am looking forward to more buy positions if it comes out lower than expected. Buys momentum seem to still be there. If NFP confirms buy we are likely to reach 1.18900 zone.
EURJPY Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 172.417.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 171.660 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,886.6.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,040.5 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,065.8
Target Level: 3,972.4
Stop Loss: 4,128.0
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CAD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the CAD/CHF with the target of 0.578 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY Forecast: H&S Continuation Pattern?The DXY rebound between July and August has shaped a head and shoulders pattern. The chart is now testing the downside breakout, with the daily RSI turning bearish and slipping below the 50 level. A clean break below the 97.50 support could extend losses toward 97.20 and 96.50, with the full head and shoulders pattern pointing to a potential move down toward the 95.00–94.50 zone.
On the upside, a rebound above the 98.00 level would suggest some bullish recovery. However, a sustained move above 100.20 is needed to confidently shift the outlook toward a longer-term bullish reversal.
Key Events This Week
• ISM PMIs: to clarify US economic activity (Tuesday–Thursday)
• US NFPs and their impact on rate cut expectations and DXY price action (Friday)
• Effects of US trade and legal developments, EU political shifts, and Middle East escalations on risk sentiment
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GBP/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/CHF with the target of 1.080 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Forecast: Inverted H&S Breakout?A notable head and shoulders continuation pattern is forming on both the EURUSD and DXY charts, suggesting possible extended bullish movement for the euro and further bearish pressure on the dollar.
EURUSD is holding at the neckline of the possible inverted head and shoulders formation. The daily RSI is accelerating above the 50-mark, supporting the bullish scenario. A key resistance to watch is 1.1740, above which gains may extend toward 1.1780 and 1.1830. A further breakout could confirm the bullish trend and open the path toward the 2021 highs between 1.20 and 1.23.
On the downside, if the pair pulls back below 1.1680, the next support levels are at 1.1650, 1.1570, 1.1520, and 1.1480 respectively.
Key Events This Week
• ISM PMIs: to clarify US economic activity (Tuesday–Thursday)
• US NFPs and their impact on rate cut expectations and DXY price action (Friday)
• Effects of US trade and legal developments, EU political shifts, and Middle East escalations on risk sentiment
- Razan Hilal, CMT
xauusd near ATH!! Whats nextGold is near its ATH, almost about 4months back, just observe the candle on the monthly levels,
this week, 1st September to 5th September, there is only news and daily. While gold is at an all-time high, i am noticing the trend is not that strong, small HH and quick pullbacks, which usually indicate the selling might come. Be very cautious of trading this week because of news and ATH. might want to protect your capital rather than FOMO entry
USDCHF H4 |Bearish Continuation Setting UpThe Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the sell entry, which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially drop from this lvle ot the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.8018, which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.8103, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7924, which is a multi swing low support.
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Weekly Recap – Gold (Week 34: Aug 18–25)💎MJTrading
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
📊 Market Overview
TVC:GOLD started the week under pressure, extending its decline to print a weekly low at 3,311.59. The decline created a lower low (LL) and set the stage for a potential structural shift.
Following the liquidity sweep below 3,326, buyers stepped in strongly, defending the blue support zone. This reversal point became the foundation for the week’s bullish recovery.
🔑 Key Highlights
Liquidity Event: A deep sweep beneath support flushed weak hands before institutional demand entered.
Reversal Point: Marked at the second LL, where aggressive buyers regained control.
Support Zone: Held firmly, leading to a sustained bullish rally.
FOMC Meeting: Served as a catalyst, triggering a breakout above 3,338.66 and confirming bullish intent.
Weekly High: Gold rallied sharply into 3,378.84, breaking structural barriers and leaving behind liquidity zones ($$$).
🟢 Weekly Candle Sentiment
The weekly close was strongly bullish, showing conviction after weeks of mixed momentum. The structural break confirms a shift in market intent. With buyers reclaiming control, sentiment points to further upside potential into next week, provided pullbacks remain above the 3,338–3,345 support band.
🔮 Outlook for Next Week
As long as 3,338 holds, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
Short-term consolidation above support could lead to a continuation towards 3,390–3,400.
A weekly strong close suggests market participants are positioning for extended bullish momentum.
✅ Summary:
Week 34 showed a clean reversal from liquidity sweep → support defense → bullish breakout. With strong weekly close, the bias for next week is bullish continuation, though traders should watch for minor retracements back to support zones for potential re-entries.
#Gold #Xauusd #Forex #MJTrading
Psychology Always Matters:
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5889
1st Support: 0.5789
1st Resistance: 0.5987
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EURUSD Outlook – Range Waiting for Break August price action attacked July’s monthly low OF 1.14008, but closed extremely bullish. That move is already gone, so the easy play is behind us. Now it’s about whether the market maker gives us high liquidity in the first weeks of September to trade a breakout. Dollar price is showing manipulation and absorption on the higher timeframes, while EURUSD has been dumping orders across this six-month rally. We need it to break out of the range before a clear bias comes. Until then it’s higher frequency trading mode.
From the economic side, Markets are already betting on a September rate cut, and politics around the Fed are hurting trust. At the same time, inflation is still high around 2.9%, which makes it harder for the Fed to act freely. That leaves the dollar stuck in the middle, waiting for a clear break.
The outcome is simple. If the jobs weakness and rate cut story takes over, EURUSD has room to push higher out of this range. If inflation proves sticky and the Fed leans hawkish, the euro stalls and range chop continues. Right now bias leans bullish, but patience is key until the breakout confirms.
XAUUSD Short: Correction from Current HighsHello, traders! The prior price auction for XAUUSD was contained within a horizontal range, bounded by the Demand zone 2 near 3335. A key pivot point low initiated a strong bullish impulse, resulting in a breakout from this range and establishing the current bullish market structure, which transitioned the market into a new directional phase.
Currently, the price action is being guided by a well-defined ascending channel. The most recent impulse wave has carried XAU to the upper boundary of this channel, which represents dynamic resistance. The auction is now testing this ceiling after a strong rally, a key area where sellers may re-emerge to challenge the bullish initiative.
My scenario anticipates a corrective move from the current highs. The expectation is that the channel's resistance line will hold, leading to a rejection and a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break higher would confirm that a short-term correction is likely. The take-profit is therefore set at 3410 points, targeting the confluence of the ascending channel's support line and the 3405 - 3415 demand area. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Short: Drop from Supply LevelHello, traders! The price auction for EURUSD has been characterized by a period of consolidation, which has formed a large symmetrical triangle. This pattern of contracting volatility was established by a series of key pivot points, with a pivot point high anchoring the 1.1720 supply area and a pivot point low defining the 1.1575 demand area. These actions have set the stage for the current state of market equilibrium, squeezing the price between the supply line and the demand line.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point. Following a bounce from the ascending demand line, the price has rallied across the pattern and is now directly testing the descending supply line. This area represents a significant confluence of resistance, as it aligns with the horizontal 1.1720 - 1.1740 supply zone, a known territory of seller activity.
The primary scenario anticipates that sellers will successfully defend this resistance confluence and reject the current rally. A confirmed failure to break above the supply line would validate the integrity of the triangle pattern and likely initiate a new downward rotation. This would shift the short-term initiative back to the bears. The take-profit for this rotational play is therefore set at 1.1620, targeting the ascending demand line. Manage your risk!
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 64.00
Target Level: 62.79
Stop Loss: 64.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHF/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on CHF/JPY right now from the resistance line above with the target of 182.348 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.168.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.157 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 147.046.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 148.324 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports & resistances
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.