Get started

Marketanalysis

APTOS: Bullish Flag Pattern Detected Continuation to $20!Hello, Traders! Today, I want to share an exciting technical analysis finding on Aptos (APTOS). A bullish flag pattern has been identified, indicating the potential for a continuation of the previous uptrend, with a target of $20. Let's dive into the details! 📈 Ticker: APTOS 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 📊 Pattern: Bullish Flag 📉 Understanding the Bullish Flag Pattern: A bullish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that typically forms after a strong upward price movement. It consists of a flagpole (the initial sharp rise) followed by a consolidation phase in the form of a rectangular flag. This pattern suggests that the market is taking a brief pause before resuming the upward momentum. 🔍 Identifying the Bullish Flag on APTOS: Upon analyzing the daily chart of APTOS, the following observations come to light: 1️⃣ Strong Uptrend: APTOS has experienced a notable upward price movement. 2️⃣ Rectangular Flag: A consolidation phase formed with parallel trendlines, resembling a flag, following the initial rally. 3️⃣ Decreasing Volume: The trading volume during the consolidation phase has declined, indicating a potential temporary lull in market activity. 📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy: If the bullish flag pattern on APTOS plays out as expected, it suggests a potential continuation of the previous uptrend. Consider the following revised price targets: 1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $15.00 2️⃣ Target 2: Potential breakout towards the next resistance level near $18.00 3️⃣ Target 3: Extended move towards the top of the bull flag near $20.00 🛡️ Risk Management: Managing risk is crucial for successful trading. Implement the following risk management techniques: 1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower boundary of the flag pattern to protect against unexpected price reversals. 2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy. 🔔 Conclusion: Keep a close eye on Aptos (APTOS) as it exhibits a bullish flag pattern, indicating the potential for a continuation of the previous uptrend. The revised price targets suggest potential resistance levels at $15.00, $18.00, and an extended move towards the top of the bull flag at $20.00. However, please note that technical analysis is not infallible, and market conditions can change rapidly. Combine this analysis with other relevant factors and fundamental research before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. Happy Trading! 📈💰 #tradingview #technicalanalysis #bullishflagpattern #APTOS #continuationpattern #tradingstrategies #investing #finance #marketanalysis
Long
by STP_MrNodeItAll
1
$TOTALDEFI Identifying a Rectangle Bottom PatternHello, Traders! Today, I want to share an exciting technical analysis finding on the cryptocurrency Total DeFi ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI ). A rectangle bottom pattern has been identified, indicating the potential for a bullish move in the near future. Let's delve into the details! 📈 Ticker: CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 📊 Pattern: Rectangle Bottom 📉 Understanding the Rectangle Bottom Pattern: A rectangle bottom is a bullish chart pattern characterized by a horizontal price consolidation range. It signifies a period of consolidation before a potential bullish breakout. This pattern indicates the possibility of an upward price movement. 🔍 Identifying the Rectangle Bottom on CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI : Upon analyzing the daily chart of CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI , the following observations come to light: 1️⃣ Price consolidation range: CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI has been trading within a horizontal range, with relatively equal highs and lows. 2️⃣ Multiple touches: The price has tested the upper and lower boundaries of the range multiple times, confirming the validity of the pattern. 3️⃣ Volume analysis: Observe increasing trading volume during the breakout phase to confirm the pattern's reliability. 📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy: If the rectangle bottom pattern on CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI plays out as anticipated, a potential bullish breakout above the upper boundary may occur, indicating a potential price appreciation. Consider the following price targets: 1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $60 billion 2️⃣ Target 2: Psychological resistance near $80 billion 🛡️ Risk Management: Managing risk is crucial for successful trading. Implement the following risk management techniques: 1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower boundary to protect against unexpected price reversals. 2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy. 🔔 Conclusion: Keep a close eye on Total DeFi ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI ) as it continues to develop this rectangle bottom pattern. The pattern suggests the potential for a bullish breakout and subsequent price increase. However, please remember that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change. Consider incorporating additional analysis and fundamental factors before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Happy Trading! 📈💰 #tradingview #technicalanalysis #rectanglebottom #bullishpotential #TOTALDEFI #cryptocurrency #chartpatterns #tradingstrategies #investing #finance #marketanalysis
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFILong
by STP_MrNodeItAll
1
Promising Falling Wedge Pattern on $RIVNGreetings, Traders! Today, I'm excited to share a compelling technical analysis finding on the stock of Rivian Automotive ( NASDAQ:RIVN ). A falling wedge pattern has been identified, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal in the near future. Let's delve into the details! 📈 Ticker: NASDAQ:RIVN 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 📊 Pattern: Falling Wedge 📉 Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern: A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines that slope downward. Typically formed during a downtrend, it indicates diminishing selling pressure and the potential for a reversal. This pattern suggests the possibility of an upward price movement. 🔍 Identifying the Falling Wedge on NASDAQ:RIVN : Upon analyzing the daily chart of NASDAQ:RIVN , the following observations come to light: 1️⃣ Recent downtrend: NASDAQ:RIVN has experienced a decline in price over the past weeks. 2️⃣ Converging trendlines: The upper trendline connects the lower highs, while the lower trendline connects the lower lows. 3️⃣ Decreasing trading volume: As the falling wedge pattern forms, the trading volume has been declining, indicating a potential reduction in selling pressure. 📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy: If the falling wedge pattern on NASDAQ:RIVN plays out as anticipated, a potential bullish breakout above the upper trendline might occur, triggering a reversal and potential price appreciation. Consider the following price targets: 1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $100.00 2️⃣ Target 2: Psychological resistance near $120.00 🛡️ Risk Management: Proper risk management is essential for successful trading. Implement the following risk management techniques: 1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower trendline to protect against unexpected price fluctuations. 2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy. 🔔 Conclusion: Stay vigilant as Rivian Automotive ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) continues to develop this falling wedge pattern. The formation suggests the potential for a bullish reversal in the near future. However, remember that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change rapidly. Consider integrating this analysis with other relevant factors before making trading decisions. Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Happy Trading! 📈💰 #tradingview #technicalanalysis #fallingwedge #bullishreversal #RIVN #stockanalysis #chartpatterns #tradingstrategies #investing #finance #marketanalysis
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by STP_MrNodeItAll
Daily Market Analysis - Thursday June 15, 2023Market Analysis: Global shares decline, dollar recovers as Fed pauses rate hikes; ECB and BOJ meetings awaited. Key events on the economic calendar include: New Zealand GDP (QoQ) for the first quarter. Eurozone Deposit Facility Rate announcement for June. Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision for June. US Core Retail Sales (MoM) data for May. US Initial Jobless Claims report. US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for June. US Retail Sales (MoM) data for May. Eurozone ECB Press Conference. On Wednesday, global stock markets saw a decline, while the US dollar managed to regain some of its losses. This came after the US Federal Reserve, as expected, announced a pause in its interest rate hikes. However, the central bank also hinted at the possibility of raising rates by an additional 0.5% before the end of the year. During its recent two-day meeting, the Federal Reserve presented new economic projections that indicated a potential 0.5% increase in borrowing costs by the end of 2023. This projection was based on a stronger-than-expected economy and a slower decline in inflation. US Fed funds rate The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), responsible for determining interest rates, unanimously stated in its policy statement that maintaining the current target interest rate range during this meeting would allow the committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy. While it was widely anticipated that the US Federal Reserve would pause its rate hikes, the focus shifted to the communication surrounding potential future increases. In a surprising twist, the participants of the FOMC adopted a more hawkish stance. The median forecast for the end of 2023 regarding the Federal Funds rate was revised upward by 50 basis points, now ranging from 5.50% to 5.75%. SPX NASDAQ and DJI indices daily chart Following the announcement, the closing results of the stock market exhibited a mixed picture. The Dow Jones index concluded the day with a decline of over 230 points, while the S&P 500 index managed to secure a modest gain of 0.1%. The Nasdaq index, on the other hand, experienced a more significant increase of 0.4%. Notably, the Nasdaq Composite index was primarily driven by the positive performance of AI-related stocks, including Nvidia and AMD. In addition to the stock market movements, Wednesday started with Bitcoin surpassing the $26,000 milestone. However, it retraced shortly afterward and reached a 24-hour low of $25,791. Analysts are speculating that it may potentially drop further to $25,000. These sentiments are influenced by ongoing discussions on cryptocurrency regulation, which have been dominating the news recently. BTC/USD daily chart On the flip side, gold prices initially saw an uptick, reaching $1,959 per ounce during the session. However, as Asian traders kickstart their day, the price of gold has resumed its downward trajectory, edging closer to the $1,930 level. This downward movement can be attributed to the hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which has bolstered the United States Dollar (USD). The prevailing market sentiment currently favors the USD, consequently exerting downward pressure on the price of gold. XAU/USD daily chart The US dollar has demonstrated a decline against multiple currencies, resulting in a 0.32% drop in the DXY index. Among the currencies, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) experienced the most notable movement, surging by over one percent and reaching a three-week high at $0.6211. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) and the British Pound (GBP) registered more modest gains, each recording an increase of 0.39%. NZD/USD daily chart Despite the release of favorable exports and machinery orders data, the Japanese yen encountered a 0.9% decline, emerging as the primary loser in the Asian markets. Investor focus was predominantly directed towards the upcoming Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting scheduled for Friday. It is widely expected that the central bank will maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance to bolster domestic economic growth. This anticipated approach is anticipated to have a favorable influence on Japanese stocks. USD/JPY daily chart Nevertheless, the Japanese yen is expected to encounter further selling pressure as interest rates rise in other regions, diminishing its appeal. Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials, including the newly appointed Governor Kazuo Ueda, have expressed their intention to maintain the bank's yield curve control policy to provide support to the domestic economy. Furthermore, the diminished anticipation of Japanese government intervention in stabilizing currency markets has contributed to the yen's weakening. While officials have issued verbal warnings, no concrete actions have been taken thus far. Currently, traders are closely watching the upcoming monetary policy announcements from the European Central Bank (ECB), scheduled for later in the day at 12:15 GMT. It is widely anticipated that the ECB will implement a 25 basis points increase in key rates. However, the Staff Economic Projections and the subsequent press conference by President Christine Lagarde will play a crucial role in shaping future policy direction. Market expectations indicate that interest rates will likely reach their peak in July, with speculation of an additional rate hike following June's increase, followed by a potential pause in September. If the ECB adopts a more hawkish stance by implementing a rate hike, it is expected to exert additional selling pressure on the price of gold.
by FOREXN1
1
Enhance Your Trading Strategy with MACD and RSI ConvergenceIntroduction: Welcome, fellow traders! Today, I'm excited to present a step-by-step tutorial on how to enhance your trading strategy using a combination of two powerful technical indicators: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) . Section 1: Understanding MACD and RSI - Exploring the Components MACD: The MACD consists of three components: MACD line : Represents the difference between two moving averages, typically the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages. Signal line : A 9-day exponential moving average of the MACD line. Histogram : Displays the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, providing visual cues about the momentum of the price movement. RSI: The RSI is an oscillator that measures the strength and speed of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. Readings above 70 indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a potential price reversal. Readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential price bounce. Divergence between price and RSI can be a signal of a trend reversal. Section 2: The Idea Behind the Strategy - Combining MACD and RSI By aligning the signals of MACD and RSI , we aim to increase the reliability of our trading decisions. When both indicators provide signals in the same direction, it enhances the probability of a successful trade. The convergence of MACD and RSI helps filter out false signals and focus on high-probability trade setups. Section 3: Implementing the Strategy - Identifying Bullish and Bearish Signals Look for a bullish crossover: MACD line crossing above the signal line , indicating upward momentum. Confirm the bullish signal: Ensure the RSI reading is above a specific threshold, such as 50, indicating strength in the upward move. Consider additional confirming indicators, such as positive divergence or breakouts from key resistance levels. Identifying Bearish Signals: Identify a bearish crossover: MACD line crossing below the signal line , indicating downward momentum. Confirm the bearish signal: Ensure the RSI reading is below a specific threshold, such as 50, indicating weakness in the downward move. Consider additional confirming indicators, such as negative divergence or breakdowns from key support levels. Section 4: Backtesting and Refinement - Improving Performance and Accuracy The Importance of Backtesting: Gather historical price data for the desired trading instrument and timeframe. Apply the MACD and RSI convergence strategy to the historical data. Analyze the performance of the strategy, considering factors such as win rate, average gain/loss, and maximum drawdown. Adjust the threshold levels, timeframe, or other parameters to improve the strategy's performance. Refining the Strategy: Consider incorporating additional technical indicators, such as trend lines, Fibonacci levels, or volume analysis, to further confirm trade signals. Evaluate the strategy's performance across different timeframes and trading instruments to identify its strengths and weaknesses. Continuously monitor and adapt the strategy to changing market conditions and refine it based on your trading style and preferences. Section 5: Risk Management and Trade Execution Effective Risk Management: Determine appropriate position sizes based on your risk tolerance and account balance. Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the trade goes against you. Establish profit targets to secure gains and exit the trade when the desired level is reached. Regularly review and adjust risk management parameters as needed. Conclusion: Congratulations! You've completed the tutorial on leveraging MACD and RSI convergence to enhance your trading strategy. By combining these powerful indicators, you now have a valuable tool in your trading arsenal. Remember to practice in a demo environment (aka. Paper Trading) before applying the strategy with real funds, and always adapt it to the evolving market conditions. Feel free to share your progress, ask questions, and discuss your experiences in the comments section. Let's learn from each other and continue refining this strategy together. Best of luck on your trading journey! Note: Trading involves risks, and this tutorial is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, seek professional advice, and practice responsible risk management.
BEducation
by LuminoAlgo
6
NASDAQ Futures NQM: Bullish Rally Encounters Potential ReversalToday's market action on NASDAQ Futures (NQM) provided quite a spectacle, as we witnessed an impressive pump that led to a new Higher High at 13683. With limited levels of resistance left in the upper echelons at 13817 and 13995, it appears we're running out of targets on the upside. Additionally, the VIX index is down, pointing to a relatively calm market environment. However, it's crucial to note the emergence of several potential reversal signals. While the market has been propelling upwards, the MACD recently crossed below the signal line, displaying a bearish divergence as it forms a downtrend. This bearish divergence could potentially be signaling a weakening of the bullish momentum. Moreover, the STOCHRSI reached a high of 97 before starting to turn around earlier today (5/18/23) at 7:30 and continuing downwards at the market open. This, too, could be signaling a possible cooling down of the overheated bullish trend. In the scenario of a downturn, the key support levels to watch are 13610, 14554, 13505, and 13475. Given these observations, today's trading strategy should be approached with caution. Although the bullish trend remains dominant, the emerging bearish signals suggest potential for a reversal. Therefore, vigilant monitoring of these critical technical indicators and support levels will be crucial. In conclusion, although the NASDAQ Futures NQM continues to push higher, we are now observing significant signs of potential bearish divergence. This calls for heightened attention and careful navigation of trading strategies. As always, keep a close watch on market trends and adjust your strategy as necessary. This analysis was also posted to my Blog! -The Latin Trader
CME_MINI:NQM2023Long
by Pablo_The_Latin_Trader
Market Reversal Fueled by Biden's Positive Remarks on US - NQM In today's trading scenario, we witnessed a fascinating turn of events. The market initially opened with a downward wick, touching the previous day's closing level and the London session's support. However, the tide swiftly turned, largely attributed to President Biden expressing positive sentiments about the avoidance of the US debt ceiling. This optimism sparked a notable shift in market sentiment. The levels I outlined at the open were as follows: Downside: 13505, 13483, 13460, 13430 Upside: 13540, 13575, 13600, potentially reaching as high as 13660. These levels served as significant benchmarks for today's trading. The upside, though, ventures into somewhat uncharted territory as we have not tested these areas since the highs of August 2022. As we tread these waters, it's crucial to remain vigilant and adaptable to the market's responses to macroeconomic news and global sentiment. Stay tuned as we continue to track the market's reaction to these crucial levels, and navigate our trading strategies accordingly.
CME_MINI:NQM2023Long
by Pablo_The_Latin_Trader
BTC setting buyers territoryBTCUSD could be setting itself up for a buyers territory below with matching fib level. A recent higher high allows buyers to target previous resistance that could turn to support if rejected. - Higher high - Lower low pending - Previous resistance turned support if rejected - Matching fib level at the 50% mark with potential - With positive outcomes for BTC in the economic data could send higher PLAN - Hold for buy zone around 24-25k price - Look for double bottom higher high lower low
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Youza
NQM Technical Analysis: Treading into Uncharted TerritoryToday's premarket moves for NQM have presented an intriguing scenario. News induced volatility sent us for a wild ride, with a sharp drop back to yesterday's support near 13430. Expecting a bounce and a wick fill, the surprising strength of the subsequent upward push—smashing through the main resistance—has taken us into relatively unexplored territory. With the only historical data point being a peak from August 2022, we're stepping into the unknown, but there are a few key levels I'm keeping a keen eye on: Given the overall 4h trend, I think long plays will be going with the main trend. Long / Resistance Levels: 13470, 13500, 13550, and potentially 13575 if the bulls take the reins. Short / Support Levels: 13445, 13425, 13400, and potentially as low as 13360 if the bears seize control, a fall that far would disrupt the structural pattern we've been monitoring. In such uncharted terrain, it's crucial to remain adaptable and responsive to changing market conditions. Let's see how NQM navigates this new ground. Stay tuned for updates." As always, remember to trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively. -The Latin Trader
CME_MINI:NQM2023Long
by Pablo_The_Latin_Trader
Alert🚨H&S, Double Tops + BTC Resistance & What It Means For youMy insights on the current crypto market, highlighting potential double tops and BTC's struggle at a historic resistance level. Understand how to manoeuvre through uncertainty, set a stop loss, and be prepared for other possible outcomes like falling wedges and continuation patterns. Don't miss this essential guidance for trend followers during this bull run! 📚💪🌟 Check out my new indicator and tell me what you guys think!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2
1
Do Todays Participants & Pundits Understand Todays Stock Market?I’ll get right to the point. NO Now granted, as the reader, you’re immediately drawing your own conclusions about that opening statement. You're probably thinking... The author of this post is obviously bearish and therefore has an agenda. Ok, that’s fair. Then indulge me as I explain, in detail , why I believe todays market participants and financial news pundits do not understand Todays Stock Market. My only request of you, the reader, is to continue reading with an open mind till the end and then judge for yourself. I practice a form of technical analysis called Elliott Wave Theory. Whether one would consider it theoretical after 90 years since it’s introduction, or not, is a discussion for another time. This post is not some diatribe debating, nor defending the Principles of Elliott Wave. However, I’ll sum up Elliott Wave for the uninitiated in a simple explanation for sole purpose of understanding this post. Elliott Wave Brief Explanation: Elliott Wave means to forecast crowd behavior specifically as it pertains to price action within a given market. As a long-time practitioner of this form of analysis I am still amazed to this day, to see price follow through on my forecasts with a high degree of both accuracy, and reliability. I’m never bored. But in truth, this form of analysis has little merit in markets in which there are no LARGE CROWDS. Price action in thinly traded penny stocks, fly by night crypto currencies, and so forth. You simply cannot forecast what the crowd will do, in the absence of a true crowd. However, in LARGE CROWDS, the basic premise of Elliott Wave is prices tend to move in 5 distinct “Waves” within a given trend. During the course of that 5-wave trend, price will correct, consolidate or digest gains or losses in 3 distinct “waves” prior to that trend completing. To examine those waves within a trend, an analyst should be able to drill down into smaller and smaller time frames and see the same principles playing out as these price action patterns are fractal in nature. They are self-similar. Ok, that is an overly simplified explanation of Elliott Wave. Nonetheless, its one in which I think is enough where I can guide you through my broader reasoning. Let me start out with my long-term SPX analysis. Elliott Wave Analysis on the SP500: In the above chart you'll find the 4-hour fractal of the below larger monthly fractal. I have posted these charts many times before, so long-term followers of my work will recognize them. But I start this broader explanation with the below monthly chart. Displayed in the chart below you see a series of labels in green ( I ), ( II ), and ( III ). Those green labels are what Elliott Wave deems a super-cycle price action analysis…or count. Its referred to as a “count”, because practitioners of Elliott Wave Theory are simply counting waves. So if Elliott Wave is based on a series of 5-wave trend patterns, and 3-wave counter trend patterns that are FRACTAL in nature (my earlier over-simplified explanation), then after completing a wave ( III ), we obviously need a wave ( IV ). Now in all fairness to you the reader, has the monthly price action confirmed we’re in a super-cycle wave ( IV ) and wave ( III ) has in fact completed? NO. What confirms the price action is in a super-cycle wave ( IV ) event is a breach of the 2020 Covid-19 low of ES Futures 2174. That price (2174) is the litmus test for continuation to higher highs in the SPX or a long slog in equities that could last decades and decimate global wealth. Now I have long told my members that... although I do not know what the catalysts are that ultimately validate the forecasted price action, those catalysts always tend to show up on time . I think in my trading room, my members would whole heartedly agree with that statement. So, as I analyze price action from the day to day to the 1-minute chart and justify my primary long-term analysis today I am in no shortage of potential catalysts that are brewing. You know them all (Debt Ceiling, Regional Banking Crisis, The Fed, Inflation, Geo-Political…etc.) I choose not to speculate on the potential event, but on history. Is there a precedent? Yes, History. There is…. somewhat. Here it is. The last time we had our wave ( II ), super cycle counter trend price action, was the stock market crash of 1929. That is easy to see on the above chart, but what were the clues, or the potential catalysts leading up to that event almost 100 years ago? Clue #1: The Panic of 1907 The Panic of 1907 was…wait for it…” A Financial Crisis”. During this time, the irresponsibility of bankers caused Bank Runs, and ultimately that translated into a 50% decline in the NYSE. That’s half…50%. This dried up any liquidity for loans. In other words, a credit crunch. Sound Familiar? Sidenote: You starting to get the sense that bankers always seem to be present at the scene of the crime so to speak? It’s perplexing. Who are these nefarious characters? Banking, in general, is terrible business model. But I digress…back to the point. Clue #2: The Spanish Flu The Spanish Flu of 1918 was a global influenza pandemic (H1N1) that decimated a third of the population on planet Earth. The Spanish Flu became a global pandemic because exiting World War 1, the war effort censors were accustomed to censoring bad news. Therefore, most of the population was ill-informed regarding the dangers of (H1N1) and disproportionately this effected the young and old members on the population. This was also a time of climate change and population migration patterns and this exacerbated the spread and effects of the flu. This starting to sound like you’ve seen this movie before? Clue #3: Massive economic bounce back The jobs market was in high deficiency mode as early as 1922 having had so many of potential workers having died in the previous pandemic prematurely. This caused a massive supply-demand dislocation of (1) human nature to get out from under the atmosphere of The Spanish Flu and (2) live and consume…and the work force to meet those needs on a global scale. This resulted in a large economic expansion that lasted almost 10 years. In the United States, we refer to this era as, “The Roaring Twenties”. These three clues culminated in the stock market crash of 1929...hence our super-cycle wave ( II ). As an analyst, as an intellectual, and as a student of history, I cannot ignore these flashing confluence of events in my time. The Irish statesman, Edmund Burke has been attributed to having said… ” Those who don’t know history are destined to repeat it.” The Spanish philosopher George Santayana is credited with the aphorism, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” War Time British Prime Minister Winston Churchill wrote, “Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” In summary, how does this all shake out? Well, first and foremost I’ll say that this is not your father’s stock market, it’s not even your grandfather’s market. It’s more than likely your Great Grandfathers market. That market was terrible. That market had seismic effect on both society and asset appreciation. Keep in mind, this market has had it’s bull and bear markets. However, for the last almost 100 years, we’ve been in a secular bull market. During the last 100 years, we have experienced 3 impactful cyclical bear markets within a 93 year secular bull market since our super cycle wave ( II ) event in 1929. During the last 93 years, the stock market has essentially appreciated in a solid, predictable 45-degree angle higher. Buy and hold, buying the dip, has been both the statistical and practical successful trading thesis. If this is a wave ( IV ) super-cycle event, trader sentiment must change. This takes time. Traders must now go through re-conditioning. A mourning, if you will, of the past 93 years of a secular bull market. Unfortunately, this only occurs with the loss of money, and over time. Cavemen continued to touch fire as it is visually magical. However, after a while, I’m sure they drew the conclusion this is NOT ADVISED . I keep CNBC on in the back ground of my small trading office. The incredibly smart contributors, and titans of money they feature quote metrics like typical bear market durations, what typically happens after the Fed has paused rate increases 6 months afterwards…and I’ll be the first to announce to you, the reader, THAT NO LONGER APPLIES. We are no longer in that 93 year long 45-degree angle up. Those metrics… worthless . Those typical expectations… miss-guided . THIS IS NOT YOURS, NOR IS IT YOUR FATHERS MARKET. Now granted, this is somewhat of a thought speculation on my part (as of today). However, I do wonder…if traders, market participants and financial news pundits have objectively considered if they understand TODAYS STOCK MARKET. FOOD FOR THOUGHT. CHRIS
CME_MINI:ES1!
by maikisch
10
Analyzing the Impact of FOMC Meetings on Stock PricesAs a stock trader, it's important to pay attention to major events that can impact the market, such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. These meetings can have a significant impact on stock prices, and understanding their historical trends can help you make informed trading decisions. In preparation for the upcoming FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, we've analyzed the highs from each FOMC meeting since 2021. We've compiled this data into a timeline that shows the market's reaction to these meetings, with vertical lines indicating market open and close. As you can see from the image below, the majority of market movers occur in the after-hours trading following the FOMC meeting. This can be attributed to the fact that traders are reacting to the decisions made by the committee and adjusting their positions accordingly. We've also calculated the percentage change from the original opening line to the high point for each meeting, with the highest mover being 6.14% and the lowest being 4.25%. These results were found at market close on Thursday following the FOMC meeting. It's worth noting that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the market can be unpredictable. However, analyzing historical trends can be a useful tool for stock traders who want to be prepared for potential market movements. In conclusion, the FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, is likely to have an impact on the stock market. By understanding historical trends and analyzing market data, traders can be better equipped to make informed trading decisions. We hope that this analysis has provided some useful insights and helps you navigate the market with confidence. I hope that this analysis of previous FOMC meetings and their impact on the stock market will be helpful to anyone who is curious or considering trading tomorrow. However, we want to emphasize the importance of doing your own due diligence and research before making any trading decisions. The FOMC meetings can be highly unpredictable, and it's essential to trade smart and cautiously. As our analysis shows, the majority of market movement following the FOMC meetings tends to occur in the after-hours trading, making it even more crucial to be cautious. Therefore, it's crucial to stay informed, keep an eye on market trends, and use historical trends as a guide while making informed trading decisions. In conclusion, I hope this analysis provides helpful insights for traders and investors, but remember to exer cise caution and always be mindful of the risks involved in trading. Happy trading!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jacobwilson007
Weekly FOREX Forecast: April 24 - 28th (Part 1)Welcome to another Forex Daily Forecast! We will be preparing for the trading week ahead: - Analysis of the individual currency Futures, to identify the strong and the weak - Analysis of the FX pairs (EURUSD, EURCAD, ...) - Analysis of Gold, Silver, and OIl too! - Plot and plan for the best setups. I'm taking my time with this analysis with the viewer in mind. I want you to see the markets through my eyes, so the analysis is fresh, done live, for you to learn how to do this yourself. I want to raise independent traders, capable of reading the markets and planning their own trades. I'm hoping we can end up raising each other's level, in an "iron sharpens iron" kind of way, coming together and sharing trade ideas in our community of traders. Always remember, just because they aren't setting up now, doesn't mean it won't set up later! So stay tuned for updates! We are going to look in depth at the forex market, using top down analysis. If you have a question on any of the content, please leave a message in the comments section. For beginners, this is how you analyze forex markets, identify supply and demand zones, key levels of support and resistance, and look for swing trade setups. Smash a LIKE and tell me what you think in the comments section! These things help to grow this channel! I appreciate your support and feedback, my people! It encourages me to continue to provide free content to the public, in hopes to grow a community of sharp traders.
by RT_Money
OP/USDT 0.786 Retracement Target 4.1 Based on my analysis, it appears that there is a breakout of OP Optimism, which has seen it shoot up and retrace 0.786. This particular retracement level is known to be a significant area for altcoin retracements. I have observed that OP has managed to hold above turning resistance, thereby transforming it into support. While there may be some resistance at 2.9 and 3.1, I believe that it will ultimately break out cleanly, leading to a surge towards 4.1. To conduct this analysis, I have used a range of technical indicators including Fibonacci retracement levels, fixed area volume, anchored Vvap, and horizontal supports. With a leverage of 5X, my position was opened at 2.1 and closed at 2.8 before being reopened at 2.6, which corresponds to the 0.786 retracement level. Based on my analysis, I have identified three take-profit levels, with the first target set at 3.1, followed by 3.5 and 4.2 respectively. I will continue to monitor the market closely, and once OP reaches the 4.1 level, I will conduct further analysis to determine the best course of action. Leverage 5 X Position open 2.1 Closed 2.8 reopened at 2.6 (0.786) TP 1 3.1 TP 2 3.5 TP 4.2
by Crypto_Raheel
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 13.04.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed Bullish at 2014.900 respecting recent Daily Support formed on Tuesday and closing below recent Resistance formed on Thursday 6th April 2023. – Buys on close above 2017.500 targeting 4h Resistance at 2022.500, Leaving Runners to the Daily Wick Fill at 2028.600. – Sells on close below 2011.400 targeting 1h Support at 2005.800, Leaving Runners to the 4h / 1h Support formed at 1998.400. – High Impact News ahead for the US Dollar over the New York session starting with Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m, then Unemployment Claims and 30-y Bond Auction, High Volatility expected at the New York session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SalimFX20
GBPJPY Technical Analysis 13.04.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed weak Bullish at 166.120 within the Rejection wick formed on Tuesday 4th April 2023. – Buys on close above 166.350 targeting 1h Resistance at 166.600, Leaving Runners to the 4h Resistance formed on 20th December 2022 at 166.840. – Sells on close below 165.860 targeting 4h Support at 165.560, Leaving Runners to the 1h Support formed at 165.280. – High Impact News ahead of the Pre London session for GDP m/m forecasting 0.1% / Previous : 0.3%.
by SalimFX20
Buying opportunity for MDX? Sharing my insightsMDX, despite having a small market value in the crypto world, is catching the attention of investors with its sharp price movements. My technical analysis indicates that MDX's trend break is close and its price is expected to experience a significant increase. My short-term target is to reach $0.40. However, MDX's small market value means that its price can experience large fluctuations. Therefore, it's important to understand the risks before investing. MDX has become a project that is on investors' radar, and its sharp price movements have increased its popularity. However, being careful before investing is always important. MDX's small market value can increase the fluctuations in its price. Therefore, I recommend closely monitoring MDX and understanding the risks before investing.
MLong
by Bozwolf
Weekly Market Update: Triangle Pattern Conclusion UnderwayAs of right now I would say the triangle pattern certainly is the prevailing pattern thesis. A triangle pattern is one that neither gives bulls nor bears much hope or despair as it tugs at both camps because its range bound. For this trader, I would classify myself as bearish on the overall market, however that does not preclude me from getting long for profit. As of my writing, I am currently short the ES and plan on closing out those positions down in my target box. As we begin our descent into my target box, I should have enough price action to dial in my position closing area more so. From today’s price of 4130 down into the area of approximately (The Sweet Spot) 3950, I plan to access the pattern for a potential long. If price has declined in a corrective manner (3-Wave Pattern) into my target box, then a long into the 4300-4500 makes sense. I wanted to keep this post simple, concise and to the point. We have enough noise to contend with between this regional banking crisis, inflation, the Fed, Jobs and the overall economy. Based on the pattern I have as of today, the above are my expectations…and as of today, I have no additional information that would cause me to change that analysis. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
1
GBP/USD Breakout: Aiming for 1.30000 - Long OpportunityToday, we have observed a significant breakout in the GBP/USD market. The currency pair has managed to move beyond the resistance level, as illustrated on the chart. The daily candle is about to close, solidifying this breakout. Our focus now shifts to the descending trendline visible on the 3-month chart. This trendline represents the next critical target, with a potential meeting point around 1.30000. For traders considering a long position, a potential entry point could materialise following a successful retest of the recently broken resistance level, which now serves as support (in the range of 1.24000 - 1.24500). Trading Plan: Watch for a successful retest of the 1.24000 - 1.24500 zone as support. Enter a long position upon confirmation of support. Set a stop loss below the support zone to minimise risk. Target the 1.30000 level, where the descending trendline could intersect with the price. Always trade with proper risk management and remember to carry out your own analysis before taking any positions. Stay tuned for more updates, and happy trading!
Long
by JoelWarby