SOL 4H — How a Premium Zone + MSS Creates a Sell OpportunityOn the 4H timeframe, SOL shows a clear example of how market structure and premium/discount theory can be combined to identify high-probability sell opportunities.
After an impulsive bullish leg, price traded into the premium zone (above equilibrium / 50%), where selling pressure is statistically favored in a bearish or transitioning market. Rather than selling blindly at premium, confirmation was required.
At the marked swing high, price delivered bearish displacement, followed by a Market Structure Shift (MSS) as a key prior low was broken. This shift signals a change in order flow from bullish to bearish, indicating that sellers have taken control.
Using this displacement leg, Fibonacci was drawn from the structure high to the displacement low, clearly defining equilibrium and premium. Price then retraced back into the premium zone, aligning with a previous supply / reaction area, forming a high-confluence sell area.
This setup is built on:
HTF (4H) market structure context
Valid swing high that caused displacement
MSS confirming bearish intent
Premium zone as a location for shorts, not a trigger
Entries are refined only after price reaches premium, with invalidation above the structure high. Targets are aligned with opposing liquidity and prior lows.
⚠️ This idea is shared for educational purposes only, demonstrating how structure + displacement + premium zones work together. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation aligned with your trading plan.
Marketstructure
ETH/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Breakdown Toward MajEthereum (ETH/USD) on the 1H timeframe shows a clear bearish rejection from the upper resistance zone, where price failed to hold above the recent highs. After the strong impulsive move up, the market formed a sharp reversal, indicating seller dominance at premium levels.
The structure highlights a last low that has now been tested, and price action suggests weak buyer follow-through. With momentum shifting bearish, ETH is likely targeting the major support zone below, as marked on the chart. A decisive break below the recent consolidation confirms a bearish continuation scenario.
As long as price remains below the resistance area, sell-side pressure may continue, and any pullback toward resistance could offer short-selling opportunities, while buyers should wait for strong confirmation from the support zone before expecting a reversal.
EUR/USD Bearish Continuation Inside Descending ChannelThis is a EUR/USD 2-hour chart showing price action moving inside a descending channel, suggesting a short-term bearish structure. Price recently rejected from a clearly marked resistance zone near the upper boundary of the channel and is now consolidating below it.
Key horizontal levels are highlighted around 1.1754 and 1.1726, acting as interim support targets. The chart also marks a lower demand zone near the 1.1700 area, which could be a potential reaction point if bearish momentum continues.
The projected arrows indicate a continuation move to the downside, aligning with the overall channel trend and lower highs/lows structure.
HYPE – Weekly Structure Price got rejected from a major weekly resistance
Clear distribution at the highs → structure shifted bearish
Previous support has flipped into resistance (R/S flip)
As long as price stays below this level, downside pressure remains valid
Price is currently consolidating above a local support zone
This area is critical for short-term direction
If support fails on a weekly close, continuation to the downside becomes likely
Bullish scenario only activates if price reclaims resistance and holds
Level-to-level market
No prediction — wait for confirmation. Monitor on the LTF
What’s your bias from here: support hold or further continuation?
MrC
$UNI / Uniswap's $6.00 Is HoldingThe $6.00 weekly level seems to be holding for Uniswap nicely as a reclaim looks to potentially be forming.
We had a break of the downtrend most recently and the slow stochastic is extremely oversold as well. In addition to this, the current weekly candle is above the support point within the demand zone (green rectangle). We still have a lot of week left in the candle though but if we close still above these areas, I will add more to my BME:UNI position.
We shall see. (my prior buys are in the green labels)
QNT 1hr long idea QNT is currently on my active long watchlist, together with other longs I shared earlier.
Price printed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) After the MSS, we now see a healthy retracement back into a key support area.
As long as price holds above support, this zone offers a clean risk-to-reward long setup with upside toward previous highs
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
👉 Do you think QNT will continue this bullish move, or do you expect a deeper retrace first?
YM at All-Time Highs: Key Levels for Continuation or RotationUnderstanding YM and the Current Market Environment
The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures contract, commonly referred to as YM, represents a price weighted index composed of 30 large, established U.S. companies across industrials, financials, healthcare, and consumer sectors. Unlike the S&P 500, which is market capitalization weighted and broader in scope, the Dow tends to reflect performance in more mature, cyclical, and value oriented companies. Because of this composition, YM often behaves differently from the S&P 500 during periods of rotation between growth and value or when interest rate and macro expectations shift.
Over the past month, YM has generally tracked the bullish tone seen in the broader equity indices, though with its own internal rhythm. While the S&P 500 has continued to be driven by mega cap technology and growth names, YM strength has largely come from financials, industrials, and defensive value stocks. Recent price action suggests a market that remains constructive but increasingly selective, with participants sensitive to valuation, positioning, and year end flows. Overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, though signs of short term exhaustion have appeared near the highs
What the Market has done
• Since the start of December, buyers have consistently stepped up bids, establishing higher value and maintaining control of the broader auction.
• During the second week of December, buyers defended the 1 December weekly High Value Node, which provided a clear structural base. This defense allowed prices to rotate higher and ultimately make new all time highs.
• In the third week of December, profit taking emerged from buyers near the highs. The market was unable to accept at all time highs and began auctioning lower.
• Price rotated back down toward the 1 December weekly High Value Node, where buyers once again responded and bid price higher, pushing the market back toward all time highs into last week.
• This behavior reflects a market that remains supported structurally but is increasingly two sided near extremes.
What to expect in the coming week
The key level to monitor is the 48650 area, which aligns with the previous week’s VPOC and the 15 December weekly Value Area High
Bullish scenario
• Buyers could initiate from the previous week’s close at 48998 and attempt to push price higher toward new all time highs.
• Alternatively, price may retrace back toward the 48650 area, where buyers are expected to respond and defend the level.
• A successful defense at 48650 could lead to a rotation back up toward 49294, the current all time high.
• Continued buying pressure could extend the move toward 49430, the weekly 0.5 standard deviation high.
• Profit taking may emerge near 49430, potentially causing the market to rotate lower in the short term.
• If buyers are able to maintain acceptance above this area, continuation toward 49838, the weekly 1 standard deviation high, becomes possible.
Neutral scenario
• If the market makes new all time highs but fails to accept above the 48998 previous close, sellers may respond.
• Seller response is likely near the 49420 area, which aligns with the weekly 0.5 standard deviation high.
• A failure to accept higher prices could result in a rotation back down toward the 48650 area.
• Buyers are expected to respond again near 48650, supporting price and slowing downside momentum.
• A two way auction may develop as the market works to establish higher value.
Bearish scenario
• If buyers fail to defend the 48650 level, this would indicate a breakdown in short term market structure.
• A failure at this level would likely lead the price to move lower through the 15 December weekly value area.
• The market could then auction down toward the 48170 area, which aligns with the 15 December weekly Value Area Low and the weekly 1 standard deviation low.
Conclusion
YM remains in a structurally bullish environment, but recent price action suggests a market transitioning from directional strength to balance near the highs. How price behaves around 48650 will likely determine whether buyers can continue pressing higher or whether the market needs additional time to rotate and build value. As always, context, acceptance, and response at key levels will be critical.
If you found this analysis useful, feel free to like, comment, or share your own view on YM below. Please give this a boost so that more traders in the community can participate. Thank you.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk.
BTC/USD Bullish Structure Shift After Strong Support Reaction (1
This 1-hour BTC/USD chart highlights a clear bullish structure forming after a strong reaction from the major support zone. Price respected the support area and printed a solid swing low, followed by a sharp impulsive move upward, signaling renewed buyer strength.
The market successfully created a Break of Structure (BOS), confirming that buyers are regaining control. After forming a higher high (swing high), price pulled back in a controlled manner and defended the last low, which now acts as a key demand area.
The current price action suggests continuation potential, with buyers targeting higher liquidity zones above previous highs. As long as price holds above the last low and support zone, the bullish bias remains intact, and upside expansion toward the next resistance levels is likely.
Key Highlights:
Strong reaction from higher-timeframe support
Break of Structure confirms bullish momentum
Higher low formation shows buyer dominance
Pullback looks corrective, not impulsive
Upside targets remain valid above recent highs
XAUUSD Bullish Setup – Buyers in ControlXAUUSD on the 1H timeframe is maintaining a strong bullish structure. Price is moving above a rising trendline, clearly forming higher highs and higher lows, which shows sustained buyer dominance. The pullbacks are shallow and are being bought quickly from the support zone, indicating strong demand in the market.
The last low is well protected, and as long as price remains above this level, the bullish bias stays intact. Current consolidation above the trendline suggests accumulation before the next move. A successful continuation from this area can open the door for further upside expansion, making buy-side momentum the primary focus.
QQQ – Weekly Structure OverviewThesis
Weekly uptrend intact. Price is extended; next decision is breakout vs. consolidation near highs. We are next to the end of the long term bull trend.
Context
200WMA is rising and aligns with major support near 440 (long-term mean reversion / reset zone).
What I see
- Prior stress phases reverted toward the 200WMA (2022 and early 2025).
- Current structure is a rising consolidation near highs (compression).
What matters now
- Continuation remains favored while price holds above key trend support ($600 on chart).
- A clean weekly expansion above the consolidation keeps upside structure intact.
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Long-term accumulation zone: $440 area (200WMA + horizontal support confluence).
Targets
- Extension reference: 2.618 Fib $720s (measured upside within current structure).
When Structure and Volatility Align Again — Will History Rhyme?In the past, an ascending triangle combined with a Bollinger Bands squeeze led to a volatility expansion and the start of a directional move.
Currently, price is consolidating within a horizontal channel while Bollinger Bands are compressing again, suggesting another phase of reduced volatility.
Rather than predicting direction, this observation focuses on how market structure and volatility compression often precede expansion , regardless of outcome. The question remains whether history will rhyme once more — to the upside or the downside.
ETHICAL & EDUCATIONAL NOTICE
This content is presented solely for educational and analytical purposes , based on historical price data.
It does not promote or encourage any specific trading method, financial instrument, gambling, leverage, margin usage, short selling, or interest-based activity .
Readers are encouraged to align any financial activity with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles .
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This material is strictly educational and informational .
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading instructions.
The author does not provide personalized guidance.
Any decisions made based on this content are the sole responsibility of the individual.
GBPUSD – Bearish Structure After Liquidity Grab | Sell-Side ContGBPUSD on the 1-hour timeframe is showing clear bearish market structure.
Price formed a Swing High and then shifted momentum by breaking the previous structure, indicating seller strength. After the move down, the market created a lower Swing Low, confirming bearish continuation.
The recent push toward the highs appears to be a liquidity grab, where buy-side liquidity was taken before price started showing weakness again. Price is currently trading below key resistance and struggling to hold above short-term support.
The Last Low zone remains a critical level. As long as price stays below the recent highs and fails to reclaim support, the bearish bias remains valid. Any pullback into the resistance or premium area may provide sell opportunities, targeting previous lows and lower demand zones.
Overall, structure favors sell-side continuation unless price breaks and holds above the recent swing high.
The Language of Price | Lesson 4 – Linking Candlesticks PracticeLesson Focus: Candlestick Combinations (Practice)
In the previous lesson, we explained combining candlesticks together using a theoretical illustration.
In this lesson, the same concept is now shown in practice on a real market chart , allowing the theoretical ideas to be observed in real price behavior.
📊 WHAT ARE WE LOOKING AT?
This chart demonstrates how individual candlestick behaviors can be combined together to read market structure more clearly.
Instead of focusing on a single candle, we observe how multiple candles communicate together over time within their surrounding context.
For readers who have not seen the previous lesson , reviewing the theoretical explanation of candlestick combinations may help provide clearer understanding, as this example directly builds on it.
🧠 COMBINATIONS IN PRACTICE
On this real chart example, you can see repeated combinations of:
• Shrinking candles → slowing momentum
• Long wicks / inverse long wicks → rejection and reaction
• Inside candles → consolidation within range
• Change color candles → pressure shift
• Momentum candles → temporary dominance
When several of these behaviors appear together, they provide a stronger directional bias compared to reading only one candle in isolation.
📌 IMPORTANT CLARIFICATION
• This is market reading , not prediction
• Bias does not mean certainty
• Candlesticks reflect past price behavior
• Nothing shown here is guaranteed
This example is presented strictly for educational and analytical purposes .
Those interested in continuing this educational series may choose to follow along, as upcoming lessons will further build on these concepts and explore market structure step by step.
ETHICAL & EDUCATIONAL NOTICE
This content is presented solely for educational and analytical purposes , based on historical price data.
It does not promote or encourage any specific trading method, financial instrument, gambling, leverage, margin usage, short selling, or interest-based activity .
Readers are encouraged to align any financial activity with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles .
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This material is strictly educational and informational .
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading instructions.
The author does not provide personalized guidance.
Any decisions made based on this content are the sole responsibility of the individual.
Play - Beautiful setup🐻 SHORT – PLAY
A strong bearish divergence is confirmed on the 1H timeframe, while extreme overbought conditions persist on both the 4H and Daily charts. Price has expanded excessively, signaling momentum exhaustion. This unhealthy structure typically precedes distribution and a sharp sell-off. I am confident a downside move is imminent.
🎯 TP: 0.034
🛡️ SL: 0.05488
📊 RR: 1 : 3.84
A clean short setup: multi-timeframe overbought + bearish divergence → high probability of a strong correction.
NEAR / USDT – 1HNEAR / USDT – 1H
Bullish context remains intact.
On Total Market Cap we saw a clear 4H MSS close, followed by a clean 50% retrace.
NEAR is showing the same structure and reaction.
Price is currently reacting from the 50% retracement / discount zone, with support holding.
As long as this level holds, bias stays bullish
This looks like a continuation setup in line with HTF market structure.
What do you expect next: a small liquidity sweep below support or direct continuation to the upside? 📈
TOTAL Market Cap – 4H UpdateIn my previous update I highlighted a key level to watch.
That level has now been cleanly reclaimed with a strong 4H candle close, confirming strength.
Since then, we’ve seen a 50% retracement, which is a healthy pullback after the impulsive move.
With this structure in place, I’m switching my bias to bullish.
Context
Key level successfully reclaimed
Strong 4H close confirms acceptance
50% retracement completed
Multiple long setups already shared align with this higher-timeframe context
Are you positioning with the higher-timeframe bias or still waiting for confirmation? 📊👀
Please share your toughts
MrC
Bitcoin at a Structural Inflection PointBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin — Global Structure
On the 3M timeframe, Bitcoin has formed and confirmed an ascending parallel channel, reacting strongly from its lower boundary and moving toward the opposite side of the structure.
Subsequently, price has remained near the upper boundary of the channel for almost two years. Such prolonged behavior near resistance may indicate impulse exhaustion within the current structure rather than acceleration.
This perspective is supported by wave analysis on the 1W timeframe. Considering market fractality and the formation of nested structures, the current movement aligns with the completion of an impulsive Cycle I wave of a higher degree.
For the cycle to progress, the market may logically transition into a corrective phase (Cycle II). In this scenario, a move outside the parallel channel followed by a decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (60–70k) appears technically justified. This area is further reinforced by visible volume concentration.
It is also worth noting that the Fibonacci extension measured from the prior impulse shows price reaching the 1.618 level, a zone that often acts as a natural termination point for impulsive waves.
Alternatively, the current structure may suggest that the market is not completing Cycle I, but rather developing a larger wave (III). In that case, Bitcoin would likely maintain strength and continue moving within the channel without a deep corrective phase.
Overall, the current structure presents two primary scenarios, with further development depending on price reaction at the channel boundaries and key structural levels.
NZDUSD — Correction Invalidated, Execution From the A–B BreakerPrice is trading inside a higher-timeframe BC , where the first failure already occurred.
The base breaker formed when continuation buyers expected the uptrend to resume, but MSS invalidated that assumption , trapping early continuation attempts.
At that stage, there was no sequence yet — only uncertainty.
Only after that failure did a valid ABC structure develop.
Wave A proposed direction
Wave B formed as a correction, where buyers entered expecting B to hold
Wave C began at the end of B and structurally invalidated B , proving the correction was finished
The continuation breaker is defined as the entire zone between the end of A and the end of B , where correction buyers built exposure.
For execution, I drop to lower timeframes and isolate the last breaker inside the A–B zone before Wave C flipped the scenario .
That breaker represents the final correction belief — and therefore the highest-probability entry location .
Price is expected to return to this area to:
remove correction buyers
sweep inducement
rebalance risk
That liquidity is the fuel for Wave C continuation toward its target .
If price does not return to the A–B zone, there is no trade .
If correction is not structurally invalidated, there is no participation .
I don’t trade direction —
I trade when correction proves it’s finished .
“ I participate only after correction fails — not before, not without proof. ”
Not financial advice.
NIFTY Moved EXACTLY As Analyzed | Live Entries, SL & Target Hit
Today’s video has been recorded live during market hours —> no hindsight, no edited stories.
I tracked the price action candle-by-candle, explained the structure as it was forming, and shared the exact trades I took.
You will see:
• My stop-loss getting hit (full transparency)
• My targets getting hit
• Why the analysis played out perfectly
• How to adjust your plan when the market shifts
• How I manage trades in real time
This is pure live price action + real psychology.
If you follow the whole breakdown, you’ll understand exactly why the market moved the way it did and how I planned the next setups.
Let me know if you want more live breakdowns like this.
ES Weekly Outlook: Can the Santa Rally Carry ES Back to All TimeMacro Backdrop and Sentiment Over the Past Month
Over the past month, the macro narrative for ES has been defined by a gradual shift from momentum driven optimism to a more cautious and selective risk environment. Coming out of October, equities were supported by easing financial conditions, strong earnings from mega cap technology, and continued enthusiasm around productivity gains tied to AI investment. That optimism pushed ES to fresh all time highs by the end of October.
As November progressed, sentiment became more balanced. Market participants began to reassess forward growth expectations, the path of monetary policy, and the sustainability of stretched valuations. Rather than a sharp risk off move, the tape transitioned into a rotational regime where participants became increasingly responsive around well defined value areas.
This shift has resulted in slower tempo, overlapping value, and greater sensitivity to technical references rather than headline driven trend continuation. The market has increasingly rewarded patience, context, and execution around key levels as opposed to chasing momentum.
What the Market has done
• From the all time highs made at the end of October, the market rotated lower toward the 6605 area, which aligned with daily support. Responsive buyers entered aggressively at this level and successfully defended the level.
• Following the responsive buying, price auctioned higher toward the 6975 area, which aligned with daily resistance and the 5 November weekly value area high, where sellers responded and capped further upside.
• During the past week, the market broke below the first two weeks of December’s range and the composite value area, signaling a short term loss of acceptance at higher prices.
• Price then auctioned lower toward the 6780 area, which aligned with the 24 November weekly VPOC, where buyers once again responded and defended the level.
• Responsive buying from 6780 drove the price back higher toward the 6885 area, which sits near the 12 December weekly settlement and the two week composite value area low, reinforcing the broader balanced structure.
What to expect in the coming week
The key reference to frame the coming week is the previous week’s settlement at 6888.50.
Bullish scenario
• If the market can accept above 6888.50, expect an auction higher toward the 6970 area, which aligns with daily resistance, the 5 November weekly value area high, and the weekly 0.5 standard deviation high.
• Sellers are expected to respond in the 6970 area and attempt to rotate price back down
• If sellers fail to defend this area, continuation higher toward 7012 becomes likely, which aligns with all time highs and the weekly 1 standard deviation high.
Bearish scenario
• If the market is unable to accept above 6888.50, expect a move lower toward the 6827 area, which aligns with the previous week’s value area low and the weekly 0.5 standard deviation low.
• Buyers are expected to respond at 6827 to bid prices back up through value.
• If buyers fail to hold 6827, expect a continuation lower toward the 6780 area, which aligns with the previous week’s low, the 24 November weekly VPOC, and the weekly 1 standard deviation low.
Neutral scenario
• If the market is unable to extend meaningfully beyond 6970 on the upside or 6827 on the downside, expect the market to remain balanced and rotational.
• In this scenario, value is likely to continue shifting modestly higher as the market awaits the next catalyst.
Conclusion
ES remains in a broader balance regime where responsive trade dominates and initiative activity has struggled to sustain follow through. Until the market can show clear acceptance above resistance or below support, patience and level based execution remain critical. The previous week’s settlement at 6888.50 will act as the primary decision point this week that helps determine whether the market seeks higher prices, deeper balance, or continued two way trade. If seasonal Santa rally dynamics come into play, they may act as the catalyst that allows the market to regain initiative strength and auction back toward all time highs.
What is your take on ES? We would love to hear your view on it. Please give us your comments and give this a boost so that more traders in the community can participate. Thank you.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk.
ENA / USDT – Short Bias (HTF + Confluence)ENA is currently trading below the weekly support level, which keeps the higher-timeframe bias bearish.
As long as price remains below this weekly level, longs are high risk.
On the 1H timeframe, price has retraced into a clear sell-side zone, aligning with:
Prior resistance
A clean bearish order block
Weak reaction on the retrace (no impulsive bullish displacement)
📉 Market context confirmation:
Total Market Cap still shows bearish structure, supporting downside continuation across altcoins.
Key thesis:
Weekly support flipt in to resistance
No bullish deviation confirmed
HTF + LTF structure align bearish
ENA only turns bullish if:
➡️ Price deviates below the level,
➡️ Reclaims the weekly level as support,
➡️ And shows strong bullish displacement (as discussed in the weekly analysis).
Until then, rallies are considered sell opportunities.
Target idea:
Liquidity draw towards equal lows (EQL) remains likely if resistance holds.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
Do you think ENA will reject from resistance or reclaim the weekly level first? 👀📉
MrC
GBPUSD Trendline Breakdown Deeper Pullback from Key ResistanceThis 2-hour GBP/USD chart highlights a strong bullish structure built on a rising trendline, with price respecting higher lows throughout early December. Multiple ascending and corrective channels show controlled upside momentum.
Price recently tested a major resistance zone near 1.3450, failed to hold above it, and then broke down below the rising trendline, marked by the highlighted breakdown area. This loss of structure suggests a trend exhaustion / corrective phase rather than immediate continuation.
Key downside levels are clearly mapped:
1.3294 as the first support / breakdown confirmation level
1.3194 as a deeper downside target if bearish momentum accelerates
The chart effectively illustrates a transition from trend continuation to corrective risk, with sellers gaining short-term control after rejection at resistance.
$SPY: 15m Structural Repair & Dynamic Trend BreakoutWhat I’m Seeing: I am currently observing a confluence on the AMEX:SPY 15-minute chart following the Friday close at $680.59. My Structure Engine shows that price has fully cleared the $679 intraday demand threshold, effectively 'repairing' the liquidity void created during the mid-morning dip. Simultaneously, the Automatic Trend Line script has printed a fresh support level at $679.50, confirming that the short-term trend is now realigned with the larger bullish bias.
Why It Matters: This 15m confluence is a high-confidence signal for intraday expansion. By 'sealing' the void below $679, the market has established a new structural floor. When the Automatic Trend Line engine identifies support right on top of a repaired zone, it indicates that the 'path of least resistance' has shifted upward. It suggests that intraday sellers have been absorbed and momentum is now being guided by the dynamic trend.
What I Expect to See Next: I expect the 15m trend to hold as price targets the immediate pivot high at $681.50. If we see a 15m candle body close above $681.50, the 'void' to the next major resistance at $684.22 (Monday's projected range high) becomes the primary target. I will be watching for the Trend Engine to maintain its slope; a breakdown below the $676.75 support would invalidate this short-term structural repair thesis.






















