GOLD SHOOK THE MARKET – STRUCTURE STILL UNBREAKABLE!📌 CURRENT MARKET UPDATE (GOLD – 4H)
The market continues to respect the wave structure exactly as projected:
- Wave (1) – (2) has already completed
- Wave (3) tapped into the Liquidity zone 4250–4260, creating a clean corrective reaction
- Price is currently in a technical retest phase, perfectly normal within a strong macro uptrend
🎯 Key Level to Watch
The Swing Zone 4147–4150 remains solid — this is the core foundation of the entire bullish structure.
- Only if this zone breaks will the trend lose strength
- EMA34 & EMA89 continue trending upward, acting as strong dynamic support
✅ Main Scenario (High Probability)
Price makes a mild correction before pushing up to complete Wave (5) of (3).
Expected pullback zones:
🔹 4210 – 4180
🔹 Reaction confirmation → bullish continuation toward:
- 4310 – 4325 (Resistance)
- 4365 – 4370 (Liquidity – Completion of Wave (C))
Current liquidity flow still favors buy setups at support retest.
⚠️ Sub-Scenario (Low Probability)
If a 4H candle closes below 4147 → deeper correction toward EMA200 (4060–4080).
↳ Currently, there is NO sign of this scenario.
✅ TODAY’S TREND SUMMARY
Trend: Corrective – Accumulation
Optimal Buy Zones: 4210 → 4180 → 4150
Targets:
- 4310 – 4325
- 4365 – 4370
Trend invalidation: Break 4147
Marketupdate
Still Watching the Market Move Without You? Fix That Today.1. Current Market Structure
- Gold is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel, respecting each swing high and swing low with precision — a clear sign that the bullish structure is still intact.
- Key observations:
+ Price has just rejected from the resistance zone at the top of the channel.
+ The current correction is healthy and normal within an uptrend, not a reversal signal.
+ Buyers are still defending the structure as long as price stays above the mid-channel + support zone.
+ Momentum remains bullish — any pullback into the highlighted ENTRY ZONE becomes a high-probability continuation setup.
This is exactly how a strong trending market behaves before its next leg up.
2. MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (HIGH PROBABILITY) – LOOK FOR LONG
➤ Scenario: Price pulls back into the ENTRY ZONE (channel bottom + support zone)
Expectations:
Price retests the lower boundary of the ascending channel
Buyers step in at the confluence area (trendline + structure)
A bullish rejection pattern → strong confirmation for LONG entries
Reasons this setup is high probability:
✓ Confluence of trendline support + horizontal support zone
✓ Clear bullish market structure (higher highs – higher lows)
✓ Retracement after hitting channel resistance is expected
✓ No sign of bearish reversal structure at the moment
Upside Target:
Once price bounces from the entry zone:
TP1: Retest of the resistance zone
TP2: Breakout of the channel → continuation to higher highs (as marked on the chart)
3. Alternative Scenario (Low Probability)
If price breaks below the channel and closes under the support zone:
Market shifts into a corrective phase
Wait for structure to rebuild
No aggressive sells — only reassess when major levels break decisively
But at the moment, the bullish structure remains strong.
4. Conclusion
Gold is still respecting its bullish channel perfectly.
The upcoming pullback is NOT weakness — it is an opportunity.
→ Priority: LOOK FOR LONG in the ENTRY ZONE.
→ Target: A new bullish impulse wave forming toward higher highs.
Gold Is Loading Pressure — The Next Breakout Will Be Violent1. Market Structure Overview
Price is currently respecting a rising channel, showing a consistent sequence of higher highs – higher lows, but with gradually compressed momentum near the upper boundary and the resistance zone.
Key observations:
- Price is hovering near the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
- The resistance zone is directly above current price, causing hesitation and wicks.
- The chart shows a potential indecision → correction → continuation pattern forming.
This reflects a market preparing for a bullish continuation, but only after a controlled pullback.
2. Expected Scenarios for Today
✓ Primary Scenario – Bullish Retest Before Breakout (High Probability)
Price is likely to:
- Pull back toward the midline/lower edge of the ascending channel (yellow zone).
- Form a higher low within structure.
- Execute a clean retest of the ENTRY ZONE highlighted on your chart.
- Break above the Resistance Zone → Continue toward higher targets.
This matches your projected structure perfectly.
Entry Logic:
- Wait for price to retest the rising trendline and show bullish confirmation.
- The ENTRY ZONE is valid and aligns with trend continuation.
Upside Targets:
- TP1: 4,215–4,225
- TP2: 4,250+
- TP3 (extended): 4,280+ if the breakout is impulsive.
✓ Secondary Scenario – Compression Before Break
If price stays inside the channel and moves sideways:
- Market remains bullish but indecisive.
- This builds liquidity for a stronger breakout later.
- No selling is recommended unless structure breaks.
This scenario still favors bulls—just slower.
3. Trend Bias (Intraday)
The dominant trend is:
➡️ BULLISH – Buy the dip, do NOT chase breakouts
Signs confirming bullish bias:
- Higher lows remain intact.
- Structure respects the ascending channel perfectly.
- Resistance is tested multiple times → weakening.
- Volume spikes on bullish waves, fades on corrections.
4. Professional Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong bullish continuation structure inside the rising channel.
Your ENTRY ZONE is positioned perfectly for a high-quality retest trade.
Plan of Action:
- Wait for the pullback to the trendline.
- Confirm bullish rejection.
- Enter long within the zone.
- Target the liquidity sweep above resistance.
Smart, calculated, high-probability setup. 🔥
SPX WEEK 48 — Strong Bounce Into Year-End! 2026 BULL RUN COMING?Strong week for the SP:SPX index. After two weeks of hesitation candles, price finally shifted back into strength and pushed decisively higher. This week’s candle not only reclaimed momentum but fully erased last week’s cooling-off behavior.
Price also moved well above the key mid-range levels that traders usually watch to define trend health. It’s now sitting firmly above the major risk zone and continues building distance away from it — a clear sign of strength. From the moment this week’s upside break triggered, the index has gained roughly 1.9%, and that kind of move typically translates into solid returns for options traders playing directional setups.
Major support zones sit lower around 5900, 5100, and the deeper structural support near 4000. As long as price holds above the upper layers of support, momentum remains intact.
On the higher-timeframe monthly chart, the trend has been active for eight straight months with no signs of exhaustion. Price is still far above the level where the monthly trend began, and even further above the long-term midline — showing how dominant the larger trend still is.
The 2-day chart continues to support the overall bullish structure, breaking above short-term levels and maintaining strength after multiple confirmations earlier in the week.
This week was a clean continuation of the broader uptrend — strong candle, strong momentum, and strong positioning above every major structural region.
Elite clarity. Elite precision. More coming soon.
Week 48 Market Update — $SPXStrong week for the SP:SPX index. After two weeks of hesitation candles, price finally shifted back into strength and pushed decisively higher. This week’s candle not only reclaimed momentum but fully erased last week’s cooling-off behavior.
Price also moved well above the key mid-range levels that traders usually watch to define trend health. It’s now sitting firmly above the major risk zone and continues building distance away from it — a clear sign of strength. From the moment this week’s upside break triggered, the index has gained roughly 1.9%, and that kind of move typically translates into solid returns for options traders playing directional setups.
Major support zones sit lower around 5900, 5100, and the deeper structural support near 4000. As long as price holds above the upper layers of support, momentum remains intact.
On the higher-timeframe monthly chart, the trend has been active for eight straight months with no signs of exhaustion. Price is still far above the level where the monthly trend began, and even further above the long-term midline — showing how dominant the larger trend still is.
The 2-day chart continues to support the overall bullish structure, breaking above short-term levels and maintaining strength after multiple confirmations earlier in the week.
This week was a clean continuation of the broader uptrend — strong candle, strong momentum, and strong positioning above every major structural region.
Elite clarity. Elite precision. More coming soon.
Bitcoin Loading a Breakout Continuation 📌 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — BTC/USD (1H)
The market continues to maintain a clear bullish structure, with a consistent sequence of higher lows (HL) forming directly inside the Weak Demand Zone. After breaking out of the previous consolidation range, price delivered a clean retest, followed by a strong impulsive move upward confirming solid buy-side absorption.
🎯 PRIMARY SCENARIO — Continuation to the Upside
- As long as price holds above 90,850, the bullish structure remains intact.
- The Weak Demand Zone continues acting as a launchpad for bullish continuation.
- A decisive break above 92,387 will likely accelerate momentum and open the door for extended upside targets.
📈 TRADE SETUP (Precision Levels)
- Buy Entry: 91,250 – 91,350
(A pullback into equilibrium before continuation)
- Stop Loss: 90,850
(Protected below demand + previous swing low to avoid noise)
- Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 92,387
TP2: 93,052
TP3: 93,717
📌 TRADE RATIONALE
- The market is printing a textbook Higher High – Higher Low structure.
- Breakout followed by a clean retest confirms trend continuation.
- Demand zones show strong absorption — no lower lows created.
- Clear liquidity void above → high probability for price expansion into higher targets.
- The supply structure above is thin, increasing the likelihood of a breakout.
🔍 SUMMARY
BTC is currently behaving exactly as expected within a bullish continuation model.
As long as 90,850 holds, upside projection toward 92,387 → 93,717 remains the highest-probability scenario.
Stay disciplined — every candle tells a story, but only a patient trader profits from the ending.
Share your thoughts in the comments — what’s your bias on the next move?
FractalCycles at Work: Analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)This chart highlights the dominant 62-period cycle currently steering short-term swings in the U.S. Dollar Index. Price has been respecting the rhythm of this cycle, with recent highs and lows forming close to the projected turning points.
At the moment, DXY is trading near a potential cycle peak, and with the next downward phase approaching, the probability of a short-term pullback increases. Momentum indicators are also softening, offering further confirmation of cycle pressure beginning to turn.
Takeaway:
The 62-period cycle continues to provide reliable structure for timing DXY’s shorter-term movements. If the pattern persists, traders should be prepared for a potential downswing as the next cycle trough unfolds.
LUMN preparing the next step or just warming upLUMN returned to the key accumulation zone near 6.63 and held above this support. The retest created a potential reversal structure on the daily chart. Divergence and increasing volume confirm the presence of demand. A breakout above 7.65 will confirm the beginning of an impulse toward 11.95 and later toward the extension area near 17.27.
L umen Technologies is a major provider of telecommunications and cloud services with a wide data center network. The company serves corporate clients and government institutions with a focus on network infrastructure cyber security and data transmission.
Fundamental picture as of November 23
Lumen maintains stable cash flow and continues to reduce its debt burden. Management improved its profit outlook. Network modernization reduces operational expenses and gradually increases margins. Corporate demand remains stable which supports long term recovery. Revenue growth remains moderate and is still affected by competition and legacy contracts.
Technical view
As long as the price stays above the zone near 6.30 the accumulation structure remains valid. A confirmed breakout above 7.65 will open the path toward 11.95 while a move above that level will allow development toward 17.27. The bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above demand.
Market mood
LUMN looks like the speaker who stayed silent for a long time then suddenly raised a hand. Now the audience listens.
CADJPY – Update & ExecutionYesterday, our CADJPY position was stopped out at 111.65. The trend-changing pattern between Wave 3 and Wave 4 remains valid.
The wave that broke the Wave 3 structure extended beyond expectations, and price has now confirmed a breakdown with a second lower low on the M5 timeframe.
We have re-entered short at 111.94, with a stop loss at the high of the day (112.28).
Our target remains 110.92.
TSLA Losing Momentum – Uptrend Breakdown RiskLooking at the current picture, both news flow and technical signals show that Tesla is entering a challenging phase. A series of recent negative developments — from large funds selling off, to declining sales in China, and Elon Musk potentially taking a loss on his latest share purchases — have clearly shaken market confidence. As a result, TSLA has been under continuous selling pressure, and its price action has weakened significantly compared to the previous bullish period.
On the chart, the resistance area around $447 continues to act as a “steel ceiling”: every touch has been firmly rejected. The recent strong bearish candle pushed TSLA back into the Ichimoku cloud, breaking the short-term upward structure. More importantly, the price is now at risk of losing the uptrend line that has held since April, indicating that medium-term bullish momentum is fading.
If TSLA fails to reclaim the $430–$447 zone in the next recovery attempts, a drop toward $329 becomes a very realistic scenario — this level has been a major support in the past and aligns with the lower boundary of the primary trend channel.
AVGO (Broadcom) Crash Alert | The Biggest Drop Is Just Starting “ AVGO (Broadcom ) is on the brink of a massive correction, with charts pointing toward a potential plunge into the $45–$23 zone — a brutal reset that could shake the entire semiconductor sector before the next bull cycle begins. ⚠️📉”
🔥 Summary:
Broadcom (AVGO) might be entering a massive corrective phase after a historic rally. The charts suggest the bull run is pausing and a bear market retracement is about to unfold — potentially one of the biggest corrections in years. While long-term fundamentals remain strong, smart money could be preparing to buy much lower after this shakeout. ⚠️📉
🌊 Elliott Wave Breakdown
According to wave theory, AVGO has likely completed a full 5-wave impulse — marking the end of Cycle Wave 1 .
Now, the market is preparing for Cycle Wave 2 , a deep and time-consuming correction.
The expected retracement zone lies between $45–$23 , which corresponds with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2010–2025 rally.
Wave 2s often create fear and disbelief, shaking out late buyers before the next mega rally (Wave 3).
In other words: this is not the end of the bull , but the start of a much-needed reset .
📉 Price Action & Market Structure
AVGO’s weekly structure shows clear exhaustion at the top — long wicks, slowing momentum, and divergence between price and volume.
The market structure shift (MSS) is forming:
Break of trendline support 🟠
Lower highs forming 🔻
Liquidity still sitting under 2022–2023 consolidation zones
All this signals that distribution is underway. Once liquidity under key swing lows gets tapped, a larger bearish trend can unfold.
🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) View
Smart Money is likely offloading at these premium prices.
Expect the following sequence:
💥 Liquidity grab above current highs (final trap)
⬇️ Break of structure confirming the downtrend
📉 Repricing toward discount zone ($45–$23)
🧱 Reaccumulation by institutions for the next macro leg
The bearish reprice phase may last several quarters or even years, but this is where smart money prepares for the next cycle , not retail FOMO.
💰 Fundamentals Meet Reality
Despite Broadcom’s strong fundamentals — AI infrastructure, chip dominance, software expansion — valuations have far outrun earnings .
A macro reset (higher rates, earnings compression, slowing AI hype) could drive a fundamental correction to align price with real growth.
Even great companies need bear markets to reload and revalue before resuming exponential growth.
🔮 The Big Picture
✅ Long-term bull trend is intact — but paused .
⚠️ Short-to-medium term: bear market correction is expected to start soon .
🎯 Key accumulation zone: $45–$23 (deep discount territory).
🚀 Post-correction, the next supercycle (Wave 3) could begin — targeting multi-thousand-dollar levels.
🦅 Summary Insight
“Smart money sells strength, not weakness. They’ll buy when fear peaks.”
AVGO’s parabolic bull wave has likely topped , and a multi-year corrective wave is next.
This is not the end — it’s the reset before a generational buying opportunity.
Brace for turbulence before the skies clear. 🌪️📉➡️🌤️🚀
“ Traders , this could be the setup of the decade. AVGO (Broadcom) is flashing every warning sign of a massive correction — our models point to the $45–$23 zone as the next major demand area. Don’t chase the top when smart money is preparing to buy the bottom. 📉💰
How deep do you think this correction goes? Drop your targets below 👇 and let’s see who catches the real reversal!”
— Team FIBCOS
#AVGO #Broadcom #StockMarket #BearMarket #Correction #WaveTheory #SmartMoney #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Fibcos #PriceAction #Investing #MarketCrash #StockAlert #Wave2 #MarketUpdate #ChartAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradeSmart
Bitcoin Recovery Setup: BTC Price Rebound Signal & Trade IdeaHey traders.
Short update for BTC and next movement.
Basically we moving in the bullish flag and according to some signals most-likely we going to see BTC going to the top of this channel.
Few reasons:
1) RSI crossed and confirmed (red circle marked)
2) Recovery of the whole market
Points to watch:
1) Low volumes - seems like we not going to break much this flag range (be careful)
2) Money can flow to altcoins - so BTC going to flat
If you want to trade, set up TP at the price around orange line and follow RM.
Share your insights in the comments
BTC Stability and Rising Altcoins: A Healthier Market Ahead?These days we are seeing strong moves in some altcoins, with increases of 30%–100%. CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains in the $99K–$104K range, but dominance has started to decrease slowly. Based on how the market looks right now, I am not saying that this is the beginning of the altseason. The market has shaken out many investors, both in futures and spot, so I think that now we can move more easily.
BTCUSD — Daily Swing Plan (1D) # BTCUSD — Daily Swing Plan (1D)
**Thesis:** Macro trend remains bullish, but a liquidity sweep into demand is likely before continuation toward the upper resistance band.
## Key Levels
* **Resistance:** 103,571 → 106,000 (pivot), then **116,626 – 119,784** (primary take-profit zone)
* **Demand / Support:** **92,660 – 88,656** (staged buy zone)
* **Dynamic support:** rising green trendline intersecting ~98–100k
## Base Case (Pullback then Rally)
1. Price wicks into **92,660 – 88,656** to collect liquidity.
2. Reversal back above the trendline; reclaim **103,571** and hold as support.
3. Extension toward **116,626 – 119,784** for distribution/TP.
## Alternative Bull Case
* Fast reclaim and hold above **103,571** without a deep retest → grind toward **110k+** and then **116–120k**.
## Bear Invalidation / Risk
* **Daily close below 88,656** invalidates the bounce setup and opens **85k / 81k**. Reassess if triggered.
## Indicators & Context
* **Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14) 1D** is oversold (~16), favoring mean-reversion higher.
* **Price action** suggests a potential “V-reversal after sweep” from demand; confirmation is a **daily close above 103,571**.
## Execution Plan (Not financial advice)
* **Entries:** scale in across **92.7k → 90k → 88.7k** (inside demand).
* **Invalidation:** hard stop on **daily close < 88,656**.
* **Take-profit:** partial at **103.6k**, then **110k**, and **116–120k** (primary).
* **Risk:** keep sizing conservative; avoid over-leverage; focus on daily closes, not intraday spikes.
**One-liner:** Expect a sweep into **92.7–88.7k**, then a reclaim of **103.6k** and continuation into **116–120k** unless **88.7k D1 close** fails.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions—not investment, trading, or financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile and carry risk of total capital loss. Always do your own research, manage risk carefully, and trade at your own responsibility.
Gold Declines as Sellers Dominate the MarketGold is undergoing a controlled correction phase after an extended period of sustained gains. Market behavior over recent sessions reflects a shift from expansion to contraction as liquidity flow decreases and momentum weakens across key time horizons.
The previous upward cycle attracted substantial speculative interest, but current market dynamics suggest profit-taking by institutional participants and reduced accumulation from large holders. The recent structural shift confirms that sentiment has turned defensive, aligning with global market caution amid evolving economic conditions.
Despite short-term consolidation, the broader setup indicates that gold remains sensitive to global financial stability concerns and policy signals. Market participants are now waiting for clarity on upcoming economic data and interest rate outlooks, which could determine whether the correction deepens or transitions into a new accumulation phase.
In the near term, volatility is expected to remain elevated as investors reassess exposure levels. The prevailing outlook maintains a cautious bias, with traders closely observing how price reacts to continued shifts in liquidity and macro sentiment. Sustained capital outflow from hedge assets could pressure gold further, while renewed demand for safety could limit downside potential in the medium term.
TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22).
Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits.
On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones.
The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level.
The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release.
Summary
Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures.
In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
Bitcoin Market Preparing for Upside MoveBitcoin is currently stabilizing after a sharp corrective phase.The market is showing early signs of demand re-entry near the liquidity base,indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure.Recent structural reactions hint that buyers are preparing to reclaim control,which could initiate a short-term recovery leg toward the mid-range inefficiency zone.If momentum sustains,Bitcoin may expand higher,confirming a potential buy phase aligned with institutional accumulation signals.Overall,the outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as the market holds above its newly formed demand area.
Solana Ready for Bullish ContinuationSolana demonstrates a constructive market posture with evidence of renewed accumulation following its recent corrective phase.Price activity indicates that buying momentum is gradually strengthening as liquidity continues to shift from weak hands into strategic positioning.The market structure shows improving stability,with compression patterns hinting at an impending expansion cycle.Sustained absorption near recent lows underscores growing institutional participation,reinforcing the probability of continued upward repricing.Trading volume remains consistent,reflecting controlled demand rather than speculative inflow.The overall market tone supports a constructive bias,with expectations aligning toward a progressive recovery phase and potential continuation of the broader bullish trajectory.






















