Momentum is fading — watch the breakdown.🔎 CURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS & TODAY’S EXPECTED MOVEMENT 🔎
The market is currently moving within a Rising Wedge structure – price pushes higher but momentum weakens, volatility narrows, and the probability of a bearish breakdown increases significantly.
📌 SETUP 1 – SELL ZONE (Primary Setup)
XAUUSD SELL: 4203 – 4206
✔️ Take Profit: 4200 – 4195
❎ Stop Loss: 4210
➡️ Use proper risk management as always.
📌 SETUP 2 – BUY ZONE (Secondary – Only with confirmation)
XAUUSD BUY: 4109 – 4112
✔️ Take Profit: 4115 – 4120
❎ Stop Loss: 4105
➡️ BUY only if price reaches this zone with a clear bullish reversal signal.
1. Current Market Situation
📉 Price Structure
- Price is nearing the upper boundary of the Rising Wedge.
- Newly formed highs are weakening → buyers are losing strength.
- Recent candles show long upper wicks, indicating heavy selling pressure at resistance.
- The lower support line has been tested multiple times → higher probability of a breakdown.
➡️ Key signal: buyers are losing control while sellers are gradually positioning.
2. Main Scenarios for Today
✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred) – Price breaks the lower edge of the Rising Wedge
- If a candle closes below the support zone, the market is likely to:
- Drop quickly towards the next support levels.
- Sellers will enter strongly when price retests the broken support (now acting as resistance).
🔔 This is a confirmation SELL signal.
🎯 Downside Targets:
TP1: nearest support zone
TP2: previous swing low of the pattern
TP3: deeper structure support (depending on your timeframe)
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Price holds above support but moves weakly
If price only bounces slightly from the lower wedge boundary but cannot break the upper edge:
- Market remains weakly bullish, fragile and easily pushed down.
- Not suitable for chasing BUY positions.
- Buyers need a strong breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary to reverse the structure, which is less likely.
3. Intraday Trend
⭐ Intraday bias: DOWN – or at least a corrective decline.
Signs supporting the bearish bias:
- The nearer price gets to support, the easier it becomes to break.
- Volume is weak during upward moves → insufficient buying pressure.
- Sideways movement is tightening → preparing for a breakout.
- Sellers are waiting for a clean retest to enter.
4. Conclusion
- The market is approaching the end of a Rising Wedge – a bearish reversal pattern.
- Priority strategy: Watch for breakdown → wait for retest → SELL.
- Avoid chasing BUYs; reversal risk is high.
Most probable development today: Support break → Retest → Continuation down
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD? Comment now or join my group to trade with me on description.
Marketupdate
EUR/USD Preparing for a Textbook Bullish Reversal🔍 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (4H)
📌 Trading Setup (EUR/USD – 4H)
Bias: Bullish
Pattern: Rounded Bottom + Pullback to Support
Plan: Wait for a retracement into the Weak Support Zone (1.15550–1.15650)
- ENTRY Buy Limit: 1.15580
(Inside the Weak Support Zone where price is expected to react)
- SL: 1.15390
Below the zone & below liquidity sweep area
TAKE PROFIT
- TP1: 1.16250 (conservative)
- TP2: 1.16817 (target shown on your chart)
RISK–REWARD
Approx 1 : 3.5 toward TP2
1. Market Structure
- Price is forming a rounded bottom / cup-like structure, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
- However, the current candle shows rejection at the Resistance Zone, meaning buyers have not yet gained full control.
2. Key Zones
🔴 Resistance Zone (where price is reacting now)
- Price tapped this zone and immediately rejected.
- Strong evidence of sellers defending this level.
- A retracement is likely before any continuation.
🟩 Weak Support Zone
- This is the first liquidity area below.
- Your drawing suggests price may pull back into this zone before bouncing.
- A bullish reaction here would confirm the rounded bottom development.
🟦 Strong Support Zone
- Major structure support.
- If price sweeps liquidity below the Weak Zone, this is the next high-probability reaction level.
- Break below this invalidates the bullish scenario.
3. Expected Price Path (based on your chart)
The white curve you drew represents a retracement → accumulation → breakout idea.
This is a valid bullish scenario:
- Rejects Resistance
- Pulls back to Weak Support
- Forms higher low
- Pushes back up
- Breaks through Resistance
- Targets 1.16817
This target aligns with a 1.10% upside projection drawn on your chart.
4. Bullish Confirmation Needed
Bullish continuation is likely only if:
- Price holds above 1.15511
- Bullish reversal candles appear in the Weak Support Zone
- Momentum shifts back upward with strong buying volume
Otherwise, a sweep into the Strong Support Zone is still possible before reversal.
5. Summary (Copy-Ready Update Sentence)
EUR/USD is currently rejecting the Resistance Zone after completing a rounded bottom formation. A retracement toward the Weak Support Zone is expected. Holding above 1.15511 will keep the bullish scenario intact, with potential upside toward 1.16817 once resistance breaks.
What are your thoughts on EURUSD? Comment now or join my group to trade with me on description.
FractalCycles at Work: Analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)This chart highlights the dominant 62-period cycle currently steering short-term swings in the U.S. Dollar Index. Price has been respecting the rhythm of this cycle, with recent highs and lows forming close to the projected turning points.
At the moment, DXY is trading near a potential cycle peak, and with the next downward phase approaching, the probability of a short-term pullback increases. Momentum indicators are also softening, offering further confirmation of cycle pressure beginning to turn.
Takeaway:
The 62-period cycle continues to provide reliable structure for timing DXY’s shorter-term movements. If the pattern persists, traders should be prepared for a potential downswing as the next cycle trough unfolds.
LUMN preparing the next step or just warming upLUMN returned to the key accumulation zone near 6.63 and held above this support. The retest created a potential reversal structure on the daily chart. Divergence and increasing volume confirm the presence of demand. A breakout above 7.65 will confirm the beginning of an impulse toward 11.95 and later toward the extension area near 17.27.
L umen Technologies is a major provider of telecommunications and cloud services with a wide data center network. The company serves corporate clients and government institutions with a focus on network infrastructure cyber security and data transmission.
Fundamental picture as of November 23
Lumen maintains stable cash flow and continues to reduce its debt burden. Management improved its profit outlook. Network modernization reduces operational expenses and gradually increases margins. Corporate demand remains stable which supports long term recovery. Revenue growth remains moderate and is still affected by competition and legacy contracts.
Technical view
As long as the price stays above the zone near 6.30 the accumulation structure remains valid. A confirmed breakout above 7.65 will open the path toward 11.95 while a move above that level will allow development toward 17.27. The bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above demand.
Market mood
LUMN looks like the speaker who stayed silent for a long time then suddenly raised a hand. Now the audience listens.
CADJPY – Update & ExecutionYesterday, our CADJPY position was stopped out at 111.65. The trend-changing pattern between Wave 3 and Wave 4 remains valid.
The wave that broke the Wave 3 structure extended beyond expectations, and price has now confirmed a breakdown with a second lower low on the M5 timeframe.
We have re-entered short at 111.94, with a stop loss at the high of the day (112.28).
Our target remains 110.92.
TSLA Losing Momentum – Uptrend Breakdown RiskLooking at the current picture, both news flow and technical signals show that Tesla is entering a challenging phase. A series of recent negative developments — from large funds selling off, to declining sales in China, and Elon Musk potentially taking a loss on his latest share purchases — have clearly shaken market confidence. As a result, TSLA has been under continuous selling pressure, and its price action has weakened significantly compared to the previous bullish period.
On the chart, the resistance area around $447 continues to act as a “steel ceiling”: every touch has been firmly rejected. The recent strong bearish candle pushed TSLA back into the Ichimoku cloud, breaking the short-term upward structure. More importantly, the price is now at risk of losing the uptrend line that has held since April, indicating that medium-term bullish momentum is fading.
If TSLA fails to reclaim the $430–$447 zone in the next recovery attempts, a drop toward $329 becomes a very realistic scenario — this level has been a major support in the past and aligns with the lower boundary of the primary trend channel.
AVGO (Broadcom) Crash Alert | The Biggest Drop Is Just Starting “ AVGO (Broadcom ) is on the brink of a massive correction, with charts pointing toward a potential plunge into the $45–$23 zone — a brutal reset that could shake the entire semiconductor sector before the next bull cycle begins. ⚠️📉”
🔥 Summary:
Broadcom (AVGO) might be entering a massive corrective phase after a historic rally. The charts suggest the bull run is pausing and a bear market retracement is about to unfold — potentially one of the biggest corrections in years. While long-term fundamentals remain strong, smart money could be preparing to buy much lower after this shakeout. ⚠️📉
🌊 Elliott Wave Breakdown
According to wave theory, AVGO has likely completed a full 5-wave impulse — marking the end of Cycle Wave 1 .
Now, the market is preparing for Cycle Wave 2 , a deep and time-consuming correction.
The expected retracement zone lies between $45–$23 , which corresponds with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2010–2025 rally.
Wave 2s often create fear and disbelief, shaking out late buyers before the next mega rally (Wave 3).
In other words: this is not the end of the bull , but the start of a much-needed reset .
📉 Price Action & Market Structure
AVGO’s weekly structure shows clear exhaustion at the top — long wicks, slowing momentum, and divergence between price and volume.
The market structure shift (MSS) is forming:
Break of trendline support 🟠
Lower highs forming 🔻
Liquidity still sitting under 2022–2023 consolidation zones
All this signals that distribution is underway. Once liquidity under key swing lows gets tapped, a larger bearish trend can unfold.
🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) View
Smart Money is likely offloading at these premium prices.
Expect the following sequence:
💥 Liquidity grab above current highs (final trap)
⬇️ Break of structure confirming the downtrend
📉 Repricing toward discount zone ($45–$23)
🧱 Reaccumulation by institutions for the next macro leg
The bearish reprice phase may last several quarters or even years, but this is where smart money prepares for the next cycle , not retail FOMO.
💰 Fundamentals Meet Reality
Despite Broadcom’s strong fundamentals — AI infrastructure, chip dominance, software expansion — valuations have far outrun earnings .
A macro reset (higher rates, earnings compression, slowing AI hype) could drive a fundamental correction to align price with real growth.
Even great companies need bear markets to reload and revalue before resuming exponential growth.
🔮 The Big Picture
✅ Long-term bull trend is intact — but paused .
⚠️ Short-to-medium term: bear market correction is expected to start soon .
🎯 Key accumulation zone: $45–$23 (deep discount territory).
🚀 Post-correction, the next supercycle (Wave 3) could begin — targeting multi-thousand-dollar levels.
🦅 Summary Insight
“Smart money sells strength, not weakness. They’ll buy when fear peaks.”
AVGO’s parabolic bull wave has likely topped , and a multi-year corrective wave is next.
This is not the end — it’s the reset before a generational buying opportunity.
Brace for turbulence before the skies clear. 🌪️📉➡️🌤️🚀
“ Traders , this could be the setup of the decade. AVGO (Broadcom) is flashing every warning sign of a massive correction — our models point to the $45–$23 zone as the next major demand area. Don’t chase the top when smart money is preparing to buy the bottom. 📉💰
How deep do you think this correction goes? Drop your targets below 👇 and let’s see who catches the real reversal!”
— Team FIBCOS
#AVGO #Broadcom #StockMarket #BearMarket #Correction #WaveTheory #SmartMoney #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Fibcos #PriceAction #Investing #MarketCrash #StockAlert #Wave2 #MarketUpdate #ChartAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradeSmart
Bitcoin Recovery Setup: BTC Price Rebound Signal & Trade IdeaHey traders.
Short update for BTC and next movement.
Basically we moving in the bullish flag and according to some signals most-likely we going to see BTC going to the top of this channel.
Few reasons:
1) RSI crossed and confirmed (red circle marked)
2) Recovery of the whole market
Points to watch:
1) Low volumes - seems like we not going to break much this flag range (be careful)
2) Money can flow to altcoins - so BTC going to flat
If you want to trade, set up TP at the price around orange line and follow RM.
Share your insights in the comments
BTC Stability and Rising Altcoins: A Healthier Market Ahead?These days we are seeing strong moves in some altcoins, with increases of 30%–100%. CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains in the $99K–$104K range, but dominance has started to decrease slowly. Based on how the market looks right now, I am not saying that this is the beginning of the altseason. The market has shaken out many investors, both in futures and spot, so I think that now we can move more easily.
BTCUSD — Daily Swing Plan (1D) # BTCUSD — Daily Swing Plan (1D)
**Thesis:** Macro trend remains bullish, but a liquidity sweep into demand is likely before continuation toward the upper resistance band.
## Key Levels
* **Resistance:** 103,571 → 106,000 (pivot), then **116,626 – 119,784** (primary take-profit zone)
* **Demand / Support:** **92,660 – 88,656** (staged buy zone)
* **Dynamic support:** rising green trendline intersecting ~98–100k
## Base Case (Pullback then Rally)
1. Price wicks into **92,660 – 88,656** to collect liquidity.
2. Reversal back above the trendline; reclaim **103,571** and hold as support.
3. Extension toward **116,626 – 119,784** for distribution/TP.
## Alternative Bull Case
* Fast reclaim and hold above **103,571** without a deep retest → grind toward **110k+** and then **116–120k**.
## Bear Invalidation / Risk
* **Daily close below 88,656** invalidates the bounce setup and opens **85k / 81k**. Reassess if triggered.
## Indicators & Context
* **Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14) 1D** is oversold (~16), favoring mean-reversion higher.
* **Price action** suggests a potential “V-reversal after sweep” from demand; confirmation is a **daily close above 103,571**.
## Execution Plan (Not financial advice)
* **Entries:** scale in across **92.7k → 90k → 88.7k** (inside demand).
* **Invalidation:** hard stop on **daily close < 88,656**.
* **Take-profit:** partial at **103.6k**, then **110k**, and **116–120k** (primary).
* **Risk:** keep sizing conservative; avoid over-leverage; focus on daily closes, not intraday spikes.
**One-liner:** Expect a sweep into **92.7–88.7k**, then a reclaim of **103.6k** and continuation into **116–120k** unless **88.7k D1 close** fails.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions—not investment, trading, or financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile and carry risk of total capital loss. Always do your own research, manage risk carefully, and trade at your own responsibility.
Gold Declines as Sellers Dominate the MarketGold is undergoing a controlled correction phase after an extended period of sustained gains. Market behavior over recent sessions reflects a shift from expansion to contraction as liquidity flow decreases and momentum weakens across key time horizons.
The previous upward cycle attracted substantial speculative interest, but current market dynamics suggest profit-taking by institutional participants and reduced accumulation from large holders. The recent structural shift confirms that sentiment has turned defensive, aligning with global market caution amid evolving economic conditions.
Despite short-term consolidation, the broader setup indicates that gold remains sensitive to global financial stability concerns and policy signals. Market participants are now waiting for clarity on upcoming economic data and interest rate outlooks, which could determine whether the correction deepens or transitions into a new accumulation phase.
In the near term, volatility is expected to remain elevated as investors reassess exposure levels. The prevailing outlook maintains a cautious bias, with traders closely observing how price reacts to continued shifts in liquidity and macro sentiment. Sustained capital outflow from hedge assets could pressure gold further, while renewed demand for safety could limit downside potential in the medium term.
TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22).
Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits.
On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones.
The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level.
The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release.
Summary
Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures.
In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
Bitcoin Market Preparing for Upside MoveBitcoin is currently stabilizing after a sharp corrective phase.The market is showing early signs of demand re-entry near the liquidity base,indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure.Recent structural reactions hint that buyers are preparing to reclaim control,which could initiate a short-term recovery leg toward the mid-range inefficiency zone.If momentum sustains,Bitcoin may expand higher,confirming a potential buy phase aligned with institutional accumulation signals.Overall,the outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as the market holds above its newly formed demand area.
Solana Ready for Bullish ContinuationSolana demonstrates a constructive market posture with evidence of renewed accumulation following its recent corrective phase.Price activity indicates that buying momentum is gradually strengthening as liquidity continues to shift from weak hands into strategic positioning.The market structure shows improving stability,with compression patterns hinting at an impending expansion cycle.Sustained absorption near recent lows underscores growing institutional participation,reinforcing the probability of continued upward repricing.Trading volume remains consistent,reflecting controlled demand rather than speculative inflow.The overall market tone supports a constructive bias,with expectations aligning toward a progressive recovery phase and potential continuation of the broader bullish trajectory.
XAUUSD Builds Upward PressureGold continues to trade within a strong upward trajectory,showing consistent momentum and firm buyer engagement.The market structure indicates ongoing accumulation,with price maintaining stability after minor corrective movements.Buy-side activity remains dominant,reflecting confidence among institutional participants as the metal sustains its trend within an orderly channel.While short-term pullbacks may occur for liquidity rebalancing,the broader outlook remains decisively bullish as long as momentum persists and demand continues to support higher valuations.
XAUUSD | Gold Holds Firm as Buyers Dominate the MarketGold continues to demonstrate a strong and orderly bullish structure, with momentum sustained by a combination of market confidence and macroeconomic positioning. The metal’s consistent upward drive reflects ongoing demand for safety amid lingering inflationary concerns and uncertainty surrounding global economic recovery. Institutional accumulation remains visible, suggesting that investors are positioning ahead of potential policy adjustments and currency fluctuations.
The recent moderation phase appears to be a controlled pause rather than weakness, indicating that buyers are maintaining control while the market digests prior gains. Should current stability in yields persist and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, gold could extend its advance in the medium term, reaffirming its role as a key hedge within diversified portfolios.
BTC/USD (4H Analysis) — October 15, 2025Bitcoin is currently consolidating below the minor supply zone (113.5K–114.5K) and above the local demand zone (110.8K–111K).
The overall market structure remains bearish, with clear lower highs and lower lows forming after a strong rejection from the major supply zone at 120K–122K.
Key Zones
🟥 Major Supply: 120K–122K → heavy distribution zone from previous top.
🟥 Minor Supply: 113.5K–114.5K → short-term retest area.
🟩 Major Demand: 108K–110K → strong support area where buyers are likely to step in.
Main Scenario (Bearish Bias)
- Price may retest the 113.5K–114.5K zone soon.
- If a bearish rejection or engulfing candle forms, BTC could extend its drop toward 108K–110K.
Alternate Scenario (Bullish Reversal)
- If BTC closes above 115K (4H), the bearish structure invalidates, opening the path toward 118K–120K.
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Beyond the Chart - XRP AltCoin Market Analysis 🚀 BINANCE:XRPUSDT XRP/USD AltCoin Market 🚀
XRP stuck between ⚙️ Accumulation ($2.80–$2.85) and 💰 Distribution ($3.00–$3.10) zones.
Descending triangle 🔻 hinting possible breakdown if $2.80 fails — eyes on $2.65 next.
But a clean breakout + hold above $3.05 could flip bias bullish → $3.20–$3.40 🟢
🌐 Macro View:
ETF delays 🏦 + U.S. shutdown ⚠️ keep pressure on alts.
Still, crypto inflows 💸 remain strong — extreme negativity could fuel a contrarian bounce.
🎯 Setups
📈 Long: Breakout + retest above $3.05 → 🎯 $3.20 / $3.40
📉 Short: Breakdown below $2.80 or rejection from $3.05 → 🎯 $2.70 / $2.55






















