Waiting for US PMI | Buy the Dip remains the main strategy🟡 XAU/USD M15 – Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
US PMI will be released tonight – a potential event to trigger big waves for Gold:
• Weak PMI → Gold supported to rise.
• Strong PMI → Gold may retest deeper into the Buy Zone.
Ahead of the data, short-term trend remains bullish , but volatility may spike once the release comes out.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : The Golden ship keeps sailing north, but sailors must be cautious of headwinds from US PMI.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (M15)
Golden Harbor (Buy Zone)
FVG Dock: around 3764
OB Dock: around 3751
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3819 – 3820 (strong resistance)
If breakout succeeds → voyage may extend to 3835+
Market Structure
After a Break of Structure , Gold maintains bullish momentum on M15.
Two supports at 3764 & 3751 are key docks to sustain the journey.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (trend-follow priority)
Entry: 3764 – 3751
SL: below 3745
TP: 3819 – 3820 → 3835+
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Entry: 3819 – 3820
SL: 3828
TP: 3805 – 3790
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails hold firm after the BoS . Two Golden Harbors 🏝️ (3764 & 3751) serve as safe docks for sailors to Buy the Dip . Storm Breaker 🌊 (3819 – 3820) is raising waves – if broken, the voyage extends toward 3835+. Tonight’s US PMI is the decisive wind – set the sails but keep a steady helm.”
Marketupdate
GOLD HIT ZONE BUY 3606 - 3609 AND CONTINUE BULLISH TREND NOW⚡️Buy Analysis at the 3706- 3709 Based on SMC) ⚡️
🔣Market Structure
The overall trend remains bullish, with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations to the upside.
Price recently broke above the 3710 – 3715 zone, showing strong buying momentum.
Current price is at 3719, above the planned entry, which makes the 3702 – 3705 zone a potential pullback area to continue buying in line with the trend.
🔣Key Zone
3702 – 3705: This is a Demand Zone + Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed after the latest BOS.
It serves as an important support level where Smart Money is likely to revisit before pushing price higher.
🔣 Entry Confirmation
On lower timeframes (M5–M15), wait for a bullish CHoCH once price taps into 3702 – 3705.
If a liquidity sweep occurs below this zone before bouncing up, the Buy signal becomes even stronger.
Solana Price Forecast | SOLUSDT Market OutlookSOLUSDT has completed a strong upward cycle and is now unwinding through a structured retracement. This phase is not showing disorderly selling but rather a controlled reset, where liquidity is being cleared to prepare for the next expansion.
The chart reflects a market that is cycling through accumulation, breakout, and pullback phases with consistency. Current downside movement is shaping a foundation zone that could serve as the springboard for renewed upward momentum.
Overall, the asset is displaying a constructive trajectory: corrections are functioning as fuel rather than weakness, pointing toward continuation of its broader growth path once this reset stabilizes.
Gold holds firm at 3,63x | Caution for Friday session🟡 XAU/USD – 19/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.9%, while holding rates is only 8.9% → almost certain FED will continue easing.
US News : No major data today, market remains quiet.
Gold : Sharp moves in Asia session, but support 3,632 – 3,630 held strong.
Yesterday’s Buy at 3,62x delivered 200 pips , confirming this zone as a “fortress” support.
Note : Today is Friday – end of the week session, unexpected volatility may occur before the weekly close → strict risk management required.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold remains bullish, but caution is needed with end-of-week swings. Golden Harbor around 3,63x continues to be a solid anchor.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,661 – 3,663 (intraday resistance)
3,683 – 3,685 (strong OB, likely profit-taking zone)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,602 – 3,605 (FVG zone – deeper support if 3,63x breaks, waiting for strong demand)
Market Structure
After rebounding from 3,62x, Gold consolidated around 3,65x – 3,66x.
Main trend stays bullish, but needs support retest to confirm buyers’ strength.
3,66x is the pivot barrier:
• Breakout → targets 3,68x
• Rejection → retest 3,64x – 3,62x
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Entry: 3,602 – 3,605
SL: 3,588
TP: 3,629 – 3,661 – 3,683
⚡ Sell (short scalp)
Entry: 3,683 – 3,685
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The 3,63x fortress continues to hold, keeping the Golden ship safe on its northward journey. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,602 – 3,605) remains the main dock for sailors to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,683 – 3,685) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . Today is Friday – the sea can shift unexpectedly, so keep the sails full but hands steady on the helm.”
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x.
Powell turned hawkish :
• “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.”
• “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.”
This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum.
Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path.
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility.
Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB)
3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway)
Market Structure
After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support.
3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support.
• If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717.
• If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,663 – 3,665
SL: 3,655
TP: 3,684 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,684 – 3,686
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
Sell Zone ATH
Entry: 3,717 – 3,719
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
18/09, 01:00 (US time) : FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings
01:30 : Powell’s speech – the key market focus
Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps . However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold
During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675 , reflecting caution ahead of the FED
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is making a technical correction before the FED.
Medium-term trend remains bullish , but patience is needed to wait for pullbacks for safer Buy entries.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp)
ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630
Market Structure
Multiple BoS confirm the bullish trend
Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717
Break above 3,720 → new ATH confirmed
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,656 – 3,657
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,693 – 3,695
SL: 3,705
TP: 3,675 – 3,662
Sell Zone ATH
Entry: 3,717 – 3,720
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675
⚓ Captain’s Note
“Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship near Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) .
But the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the high wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps.
Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the power to propel Gold beyond new peaks.”
Strategy update – H1 retracement & new plan I Sep/17/2025On the H1 timeframe, the market has formed a lower high 🔻. This may indicate a short-term retracement toward 3660 to reinforce the main bullish trend.
👉 Therefore, we’ll adjust our plan:
Take a short-term SELL targeting the 3660–3657 zone.
From that zone, we’ll look to BUY again with the main bullish trend for the next leg up.
💡 This approach combines short-term trades (SELL) with the bigger picture (BUY) to manage risk and maximize opportunities.
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED & US Politics :
S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence.
Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin.
Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court.
US Economy :
6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator.
Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance)
3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668
OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645
Strong Low: 3611 (deep support)
Market Structure :
After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged.
Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722.
If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy 1 (FVG)
Entry: 3666 – 3668
SL: 3657
TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x
Buy 2 (OB)
Entry: 3643 – 3645
SL: 3632
TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3722 – 3724
SL: 3732
TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
Gold faces early selling pressure | Main trend still Buy🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED rate cut probabilities this week :
-25bps : 96.4% (up from 89.1%).
-50bps : only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%).
Trump : Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.”
Key event today : New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time).
⏩ Captain’s Summary : The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy .
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap).
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : 3623 – 3603 – 3587.
Market Structure :
On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL .
Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3623 – 3625
SL: 3612
TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+
Buy Zone 2 (FVG)
Entry: 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665
Deep Buy Zone
Entry: 3587 – 3590
SL: 3575
TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3665 – 3670
SL: 3678
TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . The main journey still favors Buy , waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? |Buy strategy at support XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
Probability of a -50bps FED cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while the -25bps scenario remains almost certain.
US Jobless Claims surged unexpectedly → reflecting labor market weakness, reinforcing expectations of FED easing.
Tonight (21:00): release of University of Michigan Sentiment & Inflation Expectations (1Y–5Y) – data that could further impact the Dollar.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Dollar weakness + declining bond yields = Gold remains supported to the upside. However, short-term corrections may appear before breaking higher.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier)
Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (retest highs, possible short-term reversal)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
OB Dock: 3636 – 3638
Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623
Market Structure :
On H1, Gold has created multiple BoS and formed Equal Highs (EqH) around 3645 – 3650.
An FVG appeared → signal that liquidity gap may need filling before continuation.
Preferred scenario: pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621 , then rebound toward 3675 – 3680.
Break above 3680 → potential expansion toward a new ATH above 3700 .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority with trend)
Buy OB: 3636 – 3638 | SL: 3628 | TP: 3645 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 36xx
Deep Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3675 – 3677 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The dovish wind from the FED continues to carry the Golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before the next voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may raise strong waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main journey still points north. If 3680 is broken, the Golden ship will expand its voyage toward new peaks above 3700.”
Gold | Waiting for CPI & FED rate cut | Priority Buy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 11/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
US PPI yesterday : Wholesale prices dropped sharply, below forecasts → strengthening expectations of a FED rate cut.
FED probabilities : 100% odds for a -25bps cut next week, and even 16% of investors bet on -50bps.
Today : US CPI & Jobless Claims – key data to assess inflation & labor, determining the specific cut.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : FED will certainly cut rates, so Gold remains supported in its bullish trend. Short-term fluctuations may occur due to sentiment or surprises (e.g., tariff news from Trump).
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance) :
Bearish OB: 3645 – 3650 (near-term resistance)
Weak High: 3674 (target if breakout succeeds)
Golden Harbor (Support) :
Near support: 3622
FVG Dock: 3603
Bullish OB: 3581 – 3585 (strong mid-term support)
Market Structure :
H1 shows a short-term bearish BoS, retesting support.
Main trend remains bullish → possible pullback to 3622 or 3603 before rallying toward 3670+.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority with trend)
Entry 1: 3621 – 3623 (Scalping)
SL: 3619
TP: 3625 – 3630 – 3635 – 3640 – 36XX
Entry 2 (FVG): 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 – 3615 – 3625 – 365x
Entry 3 (Bullish OB): 3581 – 3585
SL: 3572
TP: 3600 – 3620 – 3640
⚡ Sell (only short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3645 – 3650
SL: 3658
TP: 3635 – 3628 – 3622
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails remain full of wind as the FED is almost certain to cut rates. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3622 – 3603) and the deeper OB 3581 – 3585 are safe havens to follow the bullish tide. If the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3645 – 3650) , only Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps are recommended. The larger voyage still heads north, steering Gold toward new highs at 367x.”
Gold 09/09 - Waiting for a pullback to Buy safely| New ATH ahead🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : The probability of a September rate cut is now almost certain, reinforcing confidence that flows will continue moving into Gold.
Dollar : Dropped to a 7-week low due to FED rate cut expectations, adding further support for Gold.
US Economic Data : No major news today, the market focus remains on interest rates.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend. However, Vincent advises waiting for a pullback into support to Buy safely , avoiding chasing price at higher levels.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Quick Boarding: 3654 – 3656 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3673 – 3675 (Sell zone – potential new ATH)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
Buy Scalp Dock: 3615 – 3617
Main Golden Harbor: 3597 – 3599 (Strong support)
Price structure remains bullish after multiple BOS – Break of Structure. Current highs may trigger short-term profit-taking waves before Gold pulls back to Golden Harbor and then rallies toward ATH 367x .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority with trend)
Buy Scalp: 3615 – 3617 | SL: 3598 | TP: 3620 → 3623 → 3626 → 3630 → 36xx
Main Buy Zone: 3597 – 3599 | SL: 3589 | TP: 3660 → 3663 → 3666 → 3670 → 36xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Only at resistance)
Sell Zone 1: 3654 – 3656 | SL: 3662 | TP: 3650 → 3647 → 3644 → 3640 → 36xx
Sell Zone 2 – Storm Breaker Peak (ATH test): 3673 – 3675 | SL: 3682 | TP: 3670 → 3667 → 3664 → 3660 → 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The interest rate winds from the FED continue to power the Golden sails. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3597 – 3599) is the safe haven for sailors trusting the bullish tide. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3615 – 3617) is just a short ride before the voyage resumes. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3675) may bring big waves, but it’s only suitable for technical scalps – as the main current still carries Gold toward new highs.”
“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650 📉”
Gold (XAUUSD) reached the all-time high resistance / PRZ zone (3645–3680) and immediately showed rejection signs, confirming this level as a high-probability reversal point.
📊 Technical Breakdown
PRZ Rejection: The move above 3650 failed to sustain, indicating a liquidity grab and false breakout structure.
Momentum Exhaustion: A parabolic advance from 3330 support into ATH left behind multiple imbalances (FVGs) that now attract price back down.
Liquidity Dynamics: The rejection suggests buy-side liquidity has been taken, and the market may now seek sell-side liquidity below recent swing lows.
Market Structure: Intraday structure shows early signs of a bearish shift, with lower highs forming under 3635–3625.
🎯 Downside Targets
3585–3578 → First corrective level (38.2% retracement).
3565 → Key midpoint of the rally.
3545–3516 → Liquidity + 61.8–78.6% retracement cluster.
3480–3460 → Previous consolidation base.
3330–3320 → Major high-timeframe support demand zone.
⚠️ Invalidation
If buyers reclaim 3660–3680 with strong daily closes, the bearish retracement scenario will be invalidated, opening the path toward new ATH extensions.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold’s rejection at 3650 ATH PRZ is a significant technical signal. Current order flow suggests a retracement phase toward 3580–3515, with potential extension to 3330–3320 key support if selling pressure persists.
Captain Vincent | Observing JPY & USD - Buy remains dominant - 🟡 XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09
Observing JPY & USD | Buy remains dominant
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
This morning, no new major updates.
Tonight’s US session (08/09) will also not release any significant data.
The latest market impact came from Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY lower and slightly lifted the Dollar.
However, Gold only made a small correction and held steady.
➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY now have only indirect influence, not enough to push Gold into deep declines. The main trend remains supported for further upside.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Captain’s Shield (Main Support) :
Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549
Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551
Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575
Storm Breaker (Resistance) :
Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – potential new ATH)
⏩ Price structure still maintains a bullish trend (continuous BOS ). Corrections mainly serve to attract liquidity before breaking into higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx
Liquidity Dock : 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3602 – 3604
SL: 3610
TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH)
Entry: 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship stays steady as the seas remain calm this morning, with no major news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) along with OB around 3542 is a safe haven for sailors following the bullish tide. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is only a temporary anchor point before bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those seeking short-term waves. And if the ship reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , that could mark a new peak – but the greater journey is still northward with the bullish sails filled with wind.”
DOORDASH ($DASH) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSEDOORDASH ( NASDAQ:DASH ) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSE
(1/7)
DoorDash just reported 25% YoY revenue growth to $2.9B! That’s a hearty slice of the delivery pie. 🚀🍕 Let’s dig into the numbers, risks, and what might lie ahead for $DASH.
(2/7) – EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT
• GAAP net income: $0.33/share—the second profitable quarter since going public! 💰
• Net revenue margin: 13.5%, inching up from last quarter.
• Plus, a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B share repurchase plan signals management’s confidence in future earnings. 💎
(3/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Market cap ~$80.2B, with the buyback at ~5% of that.
• Analysts (e.g., Oppenheimer) raising price targets → suggests undervaluation vs. Uber Eats & Grubhub. 🤔
• Strong performance in new verticals & international markets = diversification & growth advantage. 🌐
(4/7) – RISK FACTORS
• Market saturation: Competitors might lower prices or offer bigger discounts. 🛍️
• Regulatory: Gig worker laws could drive up costs. ⚖️
• Economic sensitivity: Consumer spending on delivery can be fickle during downturns. 💸
• Restaurant health: If restaurants stumble, so does DoorDash. 🍽️
(5/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Leading U.S. food delivery market share 🍔
• Expanding into grocery & retail → less restaurant dependence 🛒
• Solid international growth 🌍
Weaknesses:
• High operational costs to maintain delivery network 🚚
• Customer loyalty can be promo-driven vs. brand-driven 💳
Opportunities:
• Enter underpenetrated regions → more global share 🌐
• Expand non-restaurant deliveries → bigger wallet share 🏪
• AI-driven efficiency → streamlined ops 🤖
Threats:
• Heavy competition (direct & from self-delivery restaurants) ⚔️
• Consumer shift back to in-person dining if economy improves 🍴
(6/7) – BULL OR BEAR?
With 25% growth and a second profitable quarter, is DoorDash set to dominate? Or are looming regulatory and market saturation risks a speed bump? 🏁
(7/7) Where do you stand on DoorDash?
1️⃣ Bullish—They’ll keep delivering the goods! 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Impressed, but risks loom 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & costs will weigh them down 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Gold Surges Amid Fed Drama & Key Data: Buy or Sell Now?Fundamental Analysis: What’s Shaking Up Gold Prices?
USD Index Up 0.2%: A stronger dollar makes gold pricier for foreign buyers, creating short-term pressure. But don’t worry—gold remains the ultimate safe-haven in times of uncertainty! 📉
US Treasury Yields Rise 0.4%: Higher yields make non-yielding gold less attractive. Still, with persistent inflation, gold’s allure as a hedge stays strong! ⚖️
Fed Drama: Trump vs. Lisa Cook: Earlier this week, Trump announced plans to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook from the Board of Governors. Cook’s legal team fired back, filing a lawsuit to block her removal, setting the stage for a prolonged legal battle. The result? Gold surged to a 2-week high on August 26 following this news. Political uncertainty = Rocket fuel for gold! 🔥🇺🇸
Key Economic Data on the Horizon: Investors are on edge awaiting GDP data today (28/08) and the PCE index—Fed’s favorite inflation gauge—on 29/08. Reuters’ poll forecasts PCE inflation at 2.6% for July 2025, matching June’s level. If the data comes in softer than expected, the Fed might cut rates, sending gold soaring! 📊 What’s your take on the Fed’s next rate move?
Technical Analysis: Bullish Trend Intact, But Watch for a Pullback!
Gold continues its bullish run, breaking through the 3393 level with a clear BOS (Break of Structure), signaling the uptrend is alive and well! However, price is hesitating around the 340x resistance zone, with risks of a sharp pullback at any moment. Strategy: BUY short-term to ride the momentum, but be ready to SELL on signs of a structural reversal. Don’t miss out! 📉📈
Key Resistance: 3399 - 3405
Key Support: 3393 - 3385 - 3381 - 3374 - 3363 - 3352
Sell Zone: 3403 - 3405
SL: 3410
TP: 3399 - 3393 - 3385 - 3381 - 3374
Buy Zone: 3375 - 3373
SL: 3369
TP: 3381 - 3385 - 3393 - 3400
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #Fed #Trump #PCE #GDP #GoldTrading #Finance #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #Crypto #Forex
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move boosts gold sharply, what’s next?
1. News Waves 🌍
Trump suddenly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook, citing irresponsible recent financial decisions.
👉 This political–monetary shock pushed gold up more than 30 points from 3,350 – 3,352, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD.
Safe-haven demand was triggered, but gold is unlikely to “rally in one straight line.” Markets usually require a pullback to fill liquidity before a clearer trend forms.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Price bounced strongly from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area.
Currently, gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400), where liquidity is concentrated → potential for profit-taking sell pressure.
On H1, multiple FVGs appeared around 3363 and 3355 → gold may return to “fill the gap” before continuing its journey.
👉 Intraday bias: prioritize Sell at resistance, while watching for Buy Scalp opportunities at Quick Boarding 🚤 if price retraces to 3342 – 3340.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Major Resistance): 3384 – 3400
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342
FVG zones: around 3363 & 3355 (short-term liquidity magnets)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (priority setup)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx
🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3342 – 3340
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
“Trump’s news wave lifted gold like an unexpected headwind. But ahead, the Storm Breaker 🌊 could unleash turbulent waters. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️, the swift may choose Quick Boarding 🚤. And always remember: today’s gold sea is steered by the sharks’ oars.”
USDZAR - Forecast, Outlook and Market WatchHello fellow Market Watchers ☕
Today I'll take a top-view look at the USDZAR chart. And since I am in South Africa, this pair is of particular interest to me.
Now recently, the US introduced a 10% baseline tariff on most imports and lifted metals tariffs to 25%. Additionally, citrus, nuts, grapes and wine have been subjected to 30% duties since Aug. 7.
There is no doubt that in the short term, this will cause ripple effects throughout the economy but in the long run, South Africa will find new trading partners - this is how trade works. This will likely extend to Asian markets. The priority is to export more to China, where duty-free access has already been secured for five types of fruit (unsure which fruits these are).
South Africa will continue to strengthen ties with other countries to lessen reliance on the US for exports. Therefore, this is merely a short term hurdle.
From the monthly perspective, we see a clear peak. A double top marks the price where sellers are ready to dominate:
Although we've had two bearish micro-cycles (lasting just over two years and a year respectively), the multiyear trend has been bullish - almost "up only" since August 2011.
July US inflation cooled, so markets still expect the Fed to cut rates in September. Futures point to a strong chance of a 25 bps cut, and the dollar has lost some momentum. When rate-cut odds rise and inflation-adjusted US bond yields fall, higher-beta currencies like the rand often firm up.
However on a bullish note for the Rand, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) cut the repo to 7.00% in July and said it aims at the bottom of the 3–6% target band, while June CPI printed 3.0%. This is optimistic news for the Rand, and further supports a decline on the chart.
What to watch next
• Fed path into September. Base case: a 25 bps cut.
• DXY (the US dollar index). Softer DXY tends to help ZAR.
• US real yields from the Treasury’s par real yield curve. Drifting lower is rand-friendly.
• Powell at Jackson Hole. A tougher tone on inflation could cap rand gains.
10 Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security - Lower US real yields usually lift demand for higher-yielding EM assets, leading to Rand strengthening.
DXY - A softer DXY = less broad USD strength, ZAR increases/strengthens
Gold and Platinum - If these increase, that supports SA's exports and likely helps the Rand considering the export volume. It should be noted that platinum gains will be limited by the new metal tariff at 25% if exporting to the US . In 2023, South Africa exported approximately $16.2 billion worth of platinum globally. Of this, about $3.42 billion went to the US. That works out to roughly 21% of South Africa’s total platinum exports being destined for the U.S.
I asked my friend GPT to put it in a table and got this helpful result:
So to summarize:
As of today (18 Aug 2025), markets still lean toward a Fed rate cut in September, with odds around the mid-80s, which has taken some heat out of the dollar and kept real Treasury yields anchored near ~1.9%—a mix that’s usually rand-friendly.
Locally, SARB’s July move left the repo at 7.00% while June CPI printed 3.0%, so South Africa still offers positive real carry. Firm gold prices and subdued equity volatility also help sentiment. The main offset is trade policy risk, with the new 30% US tariff on many South African imports clouding the export outlook and current account. Net-net, if US data stay calm into Jackson Hole, the bias tilts to a softer USD against ZAR.
Bitcoin Dominance Hits Channel Floor – Altcoin Storm Incoming?Bitcoin dominance has been sliding within a well-structured descending channel since early August. Now, it’s touching the channel’s lower boundary — a level that has previously sparked strong reversals.
A bounce from here could ignite a short-term uptrend in BTC dominance, targeting the channel’s midline and possibly its upper boundary.
If this happens, capital is likely to rotate back into Bitcoin, applying pressure on altcoins and triggering a corrective phase in the broader altcoin market.
Key Takeaway: Watch for bullish price action at the channel’s floor. A confirmed breakout in dominance could mark the start of an “altcoin cooldown” phase.
PLTR 1D — When the tea is brewed and the handle’s in placePalantir’s daily chart is shaping up a textbook cup with handle pattern — one of the most reliable continuation setups in technical analysis. The cup base was formed over several months and transitioned into a consolidation phase, building a rectangle structure where smart money likely accumulated positions before a breakout.
Now here’s the key: price has not only broken out — it’s settled above all major moving averages, including EMA 20/50/100/200 and MA 50/200. The breakout candle was supported by surging volume, signaling strong participation from institutional buyers. When all the averages start bending upwards, it's usually not by accident.
The breakout above the $121 resistance zone unlocked a pathway toward a target at $187 , derived by projecting the height of the cup upward from the breakout level. This kind of structure, once confirmed, often fuels aggressive continuation — and this one’s got the setup locked in.
From a fundamental perspective, Palantir is holding solid ground: strong earnings reports, expanding government and commercial contracts, and aggressive development in AI services. Institutional interest is rising steadily, and that momentum is visibly reflected in price action.
To sum it up: price has launched cleanly out of the consolidation zone, pierced all critical MAs and EMAs, and continues to gain momentum. While the market sips its tea, this cup is boiling hot. Just don’t forget your stop loss — this is a trading desk, not a tea party.
If you enjoy posts like this, drop a like, share it around, and let’s hear your thoughts below. It keeps ideas moving and the content flowing — free, sharp, and relevant.
Gold Price Drops After Rally – What’s Next?Hello everyone, let's take a closer look at today's gold price
Gold has unexpectedly dropped significantly today after a notable rise early last Friday. The market's initial concerns stemmed from rumors that the U.S. would impose an import tax on gold, which caused some panic. However, after the White House officially clarified its position and assured the market, the initial worries eased
From a technical perspective, gold has broken through the upward trendline and is moving swiftly. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction might occur soon, but if the price remains below key resistance levels, the decline could extend toward the Fibonacci 1.272 region, or even down to the Fibonacci 1.618 level if the downtrend persists.
Do you agree with this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
Good luck and happy trading!
Gold Price Setup – Potential Rejection & Long ScenariosPrice is currently consolidating below the H4 Supply Zone after rejecting the ascending trendline twice.
Two key scenarios are in focus:
✅ Scenario 1 – Deeper Pullback to Demand Zone
A retracement into the 1H + 30M Order Block (OB) and liquidity zone near 3,341–3,355 (marked with $$$) could attract buyers.
If bullish momentum confirms, look for a continuation toward 3,388 and possibly the upper trendline near 3,400+.
✅ Scenario 2 – Immediate Push Higher
If price holds above the moving average and fails to break below 3,355, bulls could step in earlier, driving price back to test the trendline resistance.
Breakout of the trendline could target the higher supply region.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
H4 Supply Zone (3,440 area) for potential reversal.
3,341 OB Zone for liquidity sweep and reaction.
Trendline Resistance capping the upside.
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350
“From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.”
🔸 Sunday Plan Recap
Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240).
The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held.
Above price, major zones included:
3314 – mid-structure
3330–3345 – supply zone
3368–3380 – final retracement targets
🔸 What Changed?
✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed.
✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg.
🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345).
🔸 Current H4 Structure
🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement
📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone
📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum
💡 RSI = approaching overbought
⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314
🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1)
🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355
Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs:
Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing)
If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265
High RR short only if structure confirms
🔵 Breakout Bullish Case
If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active
Next upside target: 3368 → 3380
🧭 Final Thoughts
We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan.
The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming?
Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts.
💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply?
📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together.
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