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XRPUSD - How Ripple is preparing for a potential big moveThe white Fork marks the most probable path of price. There is currently no indication, that Ripple really want's to take off to the upside, but: We have some potential points that could give us a clue: 1. Price seems to stabilize at the L-MLH. 2. There's a clear pressing going on (red line), which mostly will vanish when price pops above. 3. The L-MLH and the yellow CIB are pullback levels where price pauses If we trade below the Support Zone, the idea is thrown in the bin. Let's hold the water and see what happens .
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
Bitcoin is nearing supportFirst, we touched the white Centerline twice. The third attempt was a miss and triggered a Hagopian, which got filled in mid-August. Already below the yellow Centerline, Bitcoin wasn’t able to climb back above it. Now, price is near the L-MLH of both Forks, indicating that potential support lies just ahead. Let’s see if we can hold at the white L-MLH and find a long entry, which would hopefully shoot us back up to the Centerline (remember: there’s an 80% chance of reaching the Centerline). Patience is key, so let’s relax, grab some popcorn, and watch this movie §8-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
3
A Gold/GLD Drop Scenario You Should Not IgnoreSometimes you don't need a ton of information. Sometimes, it's just the right moment when a few facts come together, and you make up your mind. That's the case now with Gold for me. We know that the behavior changed when Gold left the Fork in July. We also know that if price leaves a Fork, it's highly possible we’ll see a test/re-test at the L-MLH, the lower median line parallel. Additionally, Allan H. Andrews, the inventor of the Median Lines/Forks, wrote back then that price could also crawl along the parallel line for a longer period. And if price can't manage to jump back into the Fork—regaining the trajectory of the slope—it will trade in the opposite direction sooner or later. Last but not least: I checked GLD too. Surprisingly it reached the Centerline just yesterday (See screenshot in the right lower corner of the Chart). So price has a high tendency to turn in the opposite direction when balanced again. So, there you have it. I’m planning a short, with profits at the WL as my first target. But what if it goes wrong, if price climbs higher? Well, then I’ll probably get stopped out, which is nothing more than part of this business. Any questions? Don't hesitate to ask me. It's the only way humans learn—by asking questions. Cheers §8-)
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first: - Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels. - Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices. - U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials. 📈 Now the Chart: P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void. Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up. The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline. 💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊 Happy new week to all §8-)
COMEX:HG1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere. The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia. In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection. Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies. The air is thin, very thin up there. And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped. A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short. Until then, just relax and watch the show.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tr8dingN3rd
WMT - Walmart turns southI attached the A-Handle of the fork to the GAP from November 2025, because a GAP is also a Pivot. As we see, price reacts not bad at the Centerline. Price failed to make a new high. Then it broke the Centerline and retested it. No we are trading in the midst of the old accummulation zone where Buyers hung out. A nice bounce would be a good short opportunity. Breaking the support zone also, but with lower Risk/Reward ratio. Observing WMT for a potential short.
NYSE:WMTShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Crude Oil - Why I see it at $56 in the coming weeksCrude is trading below the centerline. The pressing shows that the “election whales” don’t want higher prices at the moment. Why? No idea, and it doesn’t matter either. All I’m interested in is where I can find a good entry to short crude. For example, a pullback to the pressure line, with a money management stop, or behind one of the weekly candles. It’s all a question of how much risk you’re allowed to take according to risk management. Let’s see if we get an entry to join the sleigh ride down to the centerline.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
MSTR Ponzi is paying for my yearly steak & lobster subscriptionWe can see that from the white Centerline, MSTR has only been heading south. In contrast, Bitcoin has held up quite a bit better so far. If you go back through my posts, you’ll see that I’ve been warning for a long time that MSTR is basically feeding itself. That simply can’t end well! Either way – we gratefully take our profit and wait until we reach the lower centerline. Because we know there’s about an 80% chance that the price will fall back into temporary equilibrium, the Centerline And if you’re not too greedy, well then you take 70%–80% of the profits now and let the rest run. Anyone who was able to learn something from this trade or even make profits is welcome to boost and comment. §8-) YT video will be available tomorrow. ...and on we go.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
NQ – Nasdaq follows the witch’s SPY prophecyNot only is the S&P 500 following the oracle in the SPY, but the Nasdaq has also given us a short signal. So, the scenario is the same as with SPY: short down to the Centerline. For the indicator traders, I’ve also added the EMA(10) and EMA(20). Look at how well they’ve provided support so far. If the EMA(20) cracks, things will get hot. And if the CIB line (Change In Behavior) also breaks, then all hell breaks loose! As already mentioned in the SPY post, it wouldn’t be a shame to take at least 50% of the profits you’ve accumulated so far. Because if it goes further up, e.g. above the U-MLH, you still have 50% left to benefit. If it goes down, we’ve already bagged 50%. BTW: At the 1/4 line, we can usually expect support. Exciting times, when maybe it’s better to sit still and keep your hands to yourself. I’ll create the YT video with details tomorrow. Happy profits to you all!
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
SPY – No hocus-pocus – Now the witch is hunting the bullsHappy Hump-Day y'all! In the last post (see linked chart), I explained what the witch sees in the future. A possible scenario that is long overdue: the markets are letting out air. With the candles from yesterday and the day before, we have confirmation that the S&P 500 is heading south. That has consequences that not many want to see right now. The bulls will be overrun, panic selling will kick in and drive the markets into the ground even faster. The current profit target is still the Centerline, as marked with the red arrow. Whoever doesn’t cash in at least 50% of their gains now will end up in the witch’s cauldron §8-) Let’s see how this develops. The YT Video will be up tomorrow - gotta feed the witches cat §8-) May the broom be with you!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
GSL - Global Shipping Lease With Exceptional SignalsGlobal Ship Lease (GSL) stands out as a financially solid, deeply undervalued shipping play with improving earnings and favorable macro tailwinds. If the stock breaks out above the Cup-& Handle pattern, it could be an attractive long opportunity. For value-focused traders, the combination of low multiples, strong fundamentals, and technical setups makes GSL hard to ignore. Global Ship Lease has nearly fully chartered its fleet—96% for 2025 and 80% for 2026—giving it strong cash flow visibility amid market turbulence. On to the technical side: From 2022 until now, the stock has traded within a large range of 14.62 – 29.90 and is now facing, for the third time, a breakout from the currently formed cup & handle pattern. In anticipation of today’s breakout on news, I take this as my starting gun to begin building a position. I will be monitoring the stock closely intraday and trading accordingly. Within the fork, we can see the price hitting the 1/4 line and getting slightly sold off. Ideally, we’d see a pullback to the CL or below. In the longer term, provided the fundamentals support the price, I would build larger positions at the LPL (Last Pivot Low). The target for this stock is at least the U-MLH as PTG1 = 50% target at $36, and next the WL1 (PTG2) as the 100% target at around $48. It goes without saying that this trade is not a quickie. Good luck, and thanks for a like!
NYSE:GSLLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
BTCUSD - Bitcoin potential at least 125'400Bitcoin is trading within the Pendulum Fork. After the CL was reached, the price should have gone to the L-MLH. However, this was not achieved, and instead a HAGOPIAN was left behind. In most cases, this HAGOPIAN will drive the price higher than where it came from. Since we know that in about 80% of all cases the market moves to the CL, we also have a good chance this time of reaching the high of at least 125,400. Personally, I see the target quite a bit higher, but let’s see what BTCUSD has in store for us. Thanks for the likes peeps §8-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
Reddit - Impressive But I Stalk A ShortReddit is currently delivering excellent figures – revenue and user base are booming, profits have returned, and AI partnerships are creating strong conditions for growth. However, the current share price reflects this upward momentum with (over-)enthusiasm. Exciting for speculative investors, but those focused on value should wait for a pullback. And that’s exactly the hook for why I’m lying in wait for a short trade. Let’s take a look at the technical side – the chart analysis: We can see that several CIB lines (Change in Behavior) have been broken. And bam! – the market hits our 80%-probability profit target. We know what that means: the market is in equilibrium. And when the market acts like a couch potato, we also know it can’t stay that way for long. So, what are the options? Up or down. Up? Could happen – human greed is boundless and goes further than the moon, as we’re currently seeing. Down? If we take the fundamental analysis into account, and our common sense also tells us that Reddit is overheated, then this short idea is definitely worth investigating. I see two possibilities: 1. Speculative short: Here I would go with options, since shorts are always trickier than longs. You simply have more time to be right. 2. Wait for a trigger signal: If we see the market leave the couch (the CL), we look at the bars and find a good entry with a sensible risk/reward, targeting: a) the 1/4 line b) the L-MLH Happy hunting!
NYSE:RDDTShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
CVNA - Stinky Fish Short SetupAs can be seen from past analyses of CVNA, they have rarely played out as expected. And yet – this time too, I will be trading CVNA short. Why again? Because it’s a setup that follows the rules of the Forks. Setups are one part of a system. Just one part – nothing more. A setup has a statistical probability of generating a profit. But this probability only works if we play it as often as possible. It’s like the lottery: if you don’t play, you can’t win. And just when you don’t play, you would have won ;-) OK – in the lottery, the odds are inversely against the player. This setup, however, has a positive expectancy. And that’s why I will also initiate a short this time. Here are the triggers: At (1) we see that the market suffered a sharp sell-off at a confluence point. This didn’t happen for no reason! At least from the perspective of technical analysis, specifically the rules of forks, the market reached an upper extreme – the U-MLH. In addition, we also see one of the fork rule-book patterns occurring: "If the market closes outside the fork, we can expect a test/retest back to the line." Here, the yellow fork is meant: The market opens and closes outside the L-MLH, reverses, and promptly tests the L-MLH before continuing down in the breakout direction. So: a) Yellow fork test/retest after breaking out of the fork b) Reaching the U-MLH and sharp sell-off = Short setup The natural target is the equilibrium – the center-line (PTG1). And another target for me, based on my experience, is the 1/4 line (PTG2) if the market breaks the CL. I will execute my entry on a daily basis, possibly with options or a combination with the underlying. Wishing you all much success!
NYSE:CVNAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
TESLA Is Counting Down The Clock – Moonshot?The red and green lines nicely illustrate what true support and resistance look like. At the moment, it appears that the market has formed support again (1), but we can’t really confirm this since we don’t have a higher high that has been broken. So we can only assume that the base is at the C point. We’ve been trading within the fork for several months now, which suggests that we’re once again in a longer-term upward movement. If that’s the case, then we look for a nice profit target (PTG1) at the CL, because we know there’s over an 80% chance of reaching it. An open and close outside the fork would be an exit signal, and could indicate a possible reversal to a short position. I’ll explain further details in the YT video.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Tr8dingN3rd
AMZN - Amazon Hit The 80% profit Target. Trend change ahead?On this chart we have 2 forks. Orange: the pullback fork It shows us where the equilibrium is — at the centerline, which the market respected to the tick (1). After that, there were several bars that formed support (2). When the CIB line was broken (3), the market gapped above the orange centerline and made its way up to the white centerline (5), the target that we can expect in around 80% of all cases. Note the confluence point where the centerline of the white fork and the upper median line parallel (U-MLH) of the orange fork meet. A day later, we saw a sharp sell-off within just one bar! Is this now another trend reversal? No, clearly not. For a trend reversal to occur, the market would have to break the white L-MLH (lower median line parallel). As long as the market is trading within the white fork, we remain long. I’ll make a YT video soon, covering the details. Wishing you all a successful new trading week.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
Crude Oil setting up for a Long Trade to $78.40In the long term, Crude Oil is in a short position. We can see this from the red pendulum fork, which projects the price movement downward. However, in the short- to medium-term, we're long, as clearly illustrated by the white fork. Supporting the case for higher prices is the Hagopian signal that occurred on June 24, 2025. This essentially means that the market is expected to rise beyond the point it came from—specifically, the C-point of the red fork. The target would therefore be around $78.40 in the coming weeks or months, which does seem quite ambitious. But as long as price remains within the boundaries of the white fork, we're in an upward mode, and the potential profit target of $78.40 remains valid. Also, the fact that Crude Oil is finding support exactly at the L-MLH (Lower Median Line Parallel) of the white fork gives me further confidence in a long trade. Crude: Long and: Don't forget to watch the follow-up Video.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd