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Bitcoin Hodlers are happy campers - BUT🕷️ 🌕 🦇 In Switzerland it’s now 11:50 PM 🕷️ 🌕 🦇 I’m tired from a long day in the markets, but I feel I have to get this one out because it’s important for many of you holding Bitcoin. In my last post, I said we’d run upward to reach the Hagopian Line, and here we are, even higher. We’ve just tagged the U-MLH for the third time. There’s an old pattern from the futures markets that farmers once noticed. It’s called the “Three Drives” pattern. The old farmers knew that when this pattern appeared, it was time to hedge their crops, or add to their hedge. When I was a student at MarketGeometry, Tim Morge explained this pattern, and ever since it’s served me well as a signal for a trend reversal. I don’t know exactly how this will help each of you, but I’m sure it’s worth a heads-up. Whether you decide to hedge, close your positions, or just HODL until the sun burns out, it’s something to keep in mind. Meanwhile, the Harvest Moon is shining into my office tonight, twinkling with a strange grin... 🌕 Time for me to rest. Good night, everyone. 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HowToChart
3
Gold - A shifted move in play and up to 4K🔱 Here’s a shifted move in play 🔱 What exactly is a shifted move? You see the parallel lines next to the white fork? Those are the shifted lines. Now, if you observe how price behaved at the white fork, you’ll notice it was a bit sloppy at the L-MLH, and again at the Centerline after reaching it. But when we add the dotted parallel lines to the chart and measure the distance from the overshoot at the L-MLH, we find a beautiful support at the Shifted Centerline. The usual target would be the U-MLH. So, could the target also be shifted? And what does that tell us? Well, if you’re long on Gold, you might want to take some profit at the Shifted U-MLH and let the rest ride up toward 4K—if there’s enough gas in the goose. For me, a re-entry long would be a pullback to the Centerline—either the original or the shifted one—with a small stop just below some structure. Let me know what you think ho far Gold will go in the comments. 😊 Thanks for boosting, thanks for following 🙏
COMEX:GC1!Long
by HowToChart
4
Google Alphabet: Why I think it's time to short🔱 Simple decision because of the Fork framework 🔱 Left Chart: Zero-to-five count with a potential P5 and a turn. Why P5?... Right Chart: ...because price broke out of the U-MLH, then fell back into the fork. As a filter I like it when price is opening and closing inside the fork again. All in all it's a new and weak behaviour. Or in short: That’s a pretty darn strong short signal to me. Following the rules, taking acceptable risks, and hunting a fat profit. 👉 PTG1: The white centerline 👉 PTG2: The orange centerline 🛷 Happy Sleigh Ride 🎄
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by HowToChart
BTCUSD - Nothing broken - so farUp where the 0 (zero) is, at the white Centerline, BTC was trying to re-test it, when it came from the white 1/4 line. So a larger Hagopian kicked in, projecting price to go further down than from where it originally came. Price did what was projected by the Hagopian and cracked the low of 111'920. Then from Point 1, Bitcoin made it up to the red U-MLH. It was just natural resistance up there. Now we see a pullback to the south, which I had not expected last week. Even if we stop in the buyers zone, chances that BTC is trading down to the Centerline are around 80%. And down there we will find out if the white L-MLH will hold or not. If not, then we are in a 0 to 5 count to the south and we will see much lower prices. But as long as price can stay within the white Fork, we are still projecting it's most probable path to the upside in the long term timeframe. Happy new week and stay tuned for the news §8-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HowToChart
XHB - Housing Is In Real Trouble - My Short explained🏠 Some Facts & Fundamentals first 🏠 The Fed has made its first rate cut in 2025, and more are expected if inflation remains under control. That could put downward pressure on long-term mortgage rates, which may give the market a little boost. Builders (like Lennar) are 🏚️ facing profit pressure 🏚️ due to affordability and are offering incentives (rate buydowns, other discounts) to spur demand. 📈 Now to the technicals 📉 Price went up to the Centerline. The 80% rule played out like textbook. Then it closed above the Centerline, and failed to move further up to the U-MLH, which is a loud 🚨 warning sign 🚨. And finally, we have a confirmed "Hagopian", when we close below the Centerline this Week. To me it's all perfect in line - I mean, the TA & Fundamentals. My plan is, to play XHB short with LEAP Options (182 Days) and take profit on the way down, which is at the Centerline, 1/4 Line and the L-MLH. Of cours I would bail out or hedge, if price open & close again above the Centerline on the weekly time frame Chart. ⚠️ Stay updated ⚠️ I will start something new in one or two weeks, so you better don't miss it and follow! §8-) ❤️ THANK YOU ALL ❤️ ...for the Boosts and Follow from this week. Your feedback is what makes it worth to post! I wish you all a relaxing and happy weekend §8-)
AMEX:XHBShort
by HowToChart
3
Intel (INTC) silent accumulation pattern and projection of priceThe last time INTC broke out of its sideways range, it re-tested support three times. After that, price surged upward, pulled back to the Centerline (an 80% probability move), and then began accumulating again within a sideways coil — or “Battery,” as I like to call it (see the TSLA example). This setup looks similar now. In fact, we even have a stronger filter: Price must first break out of the downsloping red Fork. Once that happens, we can expect a re-test of the upper median line (U-MLH). That’s the point where I decide whether or not to take a position. My target is the Centerline of the grey “What If Fork.” I want to emphasize that the inventor of the Forks highlighted this idea in his original course: always project and think, “What if…?” That’s exactly what I do — and maybe it will help you as well. Let’s see if Intel’s “Battery” gives us a solid trade. §8-)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by HowToChart
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first: - Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels. - Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices. - U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials. 📈 Now the Chart: P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void. Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up. The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline. 💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊 Happy new week to all §8-)
COMEX:HG1!Long
by HowToChart
BTCUSD is moving exponential and here's the setupBecause BTCUSD couldn't reach the L-MLH of the red fork twice, we have 2 HAGOPIANs cooking. That means, that price will move further in the opposite direction than from where price came. Price came from the Centerline, and that's where the high of the today's Candle peeked through. I expect more upside movement. As for a trade, I want to see price holding above the centerline. From there, PTG1 is the U-MLH and beyond that it's the white Centerline again (...which looks like it's going to the Moon, like XRPUSD). Of course, we seldom can eat the whole Cake. So we manage it and take partial profits on the way up. 🙏😊✨ Thanks for following and boosting folks. 🙏😊✨
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HowToChart
XRPUSD is following our projectionThe red pressure line is broken. After dabbling with the L-MLH, price decided to jump back into the fork, projecting a potential huge move ahead. But not so fast! The slope of the white fork is super steep. In such situations I like to throw a Modified-Shiff-Fork, or a Shiff-Fork on the chart too. This gives me often more realistic profit targets. The trade could be managed by using the light-grey fork's centerline as PTG1 and the rest of the position aims for the white mooning centerline §8-) A second steak of the position could be loaded, after the yellow CIB-Line is broken. I like to wait for a test of it after the crack and jump-above. It's the same like a test/retest of a Medianline-Parallel if price broke out of it. Let's have fun here §8-)
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by HowToChart
Crude Oil - Eye twinkle to go long?The Test/Retest was expected, and it was not that clean as it is mostly. Usually I don't want to see price trading back into the fork again. This time, price managed to jump out of it again and opened above the U-MLH. If it can close outside the fork too, then this would be a good hint for me to load the boat. The 80% target is the yellow Centerline, or even higher, since the drillers moan about a too low price (Fundamental Fact). Let's see if we find some petro dollars.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by HowToChart
MRK is showing some breakout signsThe white fork is pointing slightly to the upside. CIB is broken and signals a change in behavior. The pullback to it was very nice - a Eye twinkle? §8-) Then price opened the door to the upside by peeking through the resistance of the consolidation, asking: "Anybody here to buy me?"...silence...so far. OK, let's be patient and wait for another sign or hint. Until the, stalking hat on, as my mentor Shane always said. --> NO FOMO IN THIS CLASS! <--
NYSE:MRKLong
by HowToChart
A Gold/GLD Drop Scenario You Should Not IgnoreSometimes you don't need a ton of information. Sometimes, it's just the right moment when a few facts come together, and you make up your mind. That's the case now with Gold for me. We know that the behavior changed when Gold left the Fork in July. We also know that if price leaves a Fork, it's highly possible we’ll see a test/re-test at the L-MLH, the lower median line parallel. Additionally, Allan H. Andrews, the inventor of the Median Lines/Forks, wrote back then that price could also crawl along the parallel line for a longer period. And if price can't manage to jump back into the Fork—regaining the trajectory of the slope—it will trade in the opposite direction sooner or later. Last but not least: I checked GLD too. Surprisingly it reached the Centerline just yesterday (See screenshot in the right lower corner of the Chart). So price has a high tendency to turn in the opposite direction when balanced again. So, there you have it. I’m planning a short, with profits at the WL as my first target. But what if it goes wrong, if price climbs higher? Well, then I’ll probably get stopped out, which is nothing more than part of this business. Any questions? Don't hesitate to ask me. It's the only way humans learn—by asking questions. Cheers §8-)
COMEX:GC1!Short
by HowToChart
XRPUSD - How Ripple is preparing for a potential big moveThe white Fork marks the most probable path of price. There is currently no indication, that Ripple really want's to take off to the upside, but: We have some potential points that could give us a clue: 1. Price seems to stabilize at the L-MLH. 2. There's a clear pressing going on (red line), which mostly will vanish when price pops above. 3. The L-MLH and the yellow CIB are pullback levels where price pauses If we trade below the Support Zone, the idea is thrown in the bin. Let's hold the water and see what happens .
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by HowToChart
Bitcoin is nearing supportFirst, we touched the white Centerline twice. The third attempt was a miss and triggered a Hagopian, which got filled in mid-August. Already below the yellow Centerline, Bitcoin wasn’t able to climb back above it. Now, price is near the L-MLH of both Forks, indicating that potential support lies just ahead. Let’s see if we can hold at the white L-MLH and find a long entry, which would hopefully shoot us back up to the Centerline (remember: there’s an 80% chance of reaching the Centerline). Patience is key, so let’s relax, grab some popcorn, and watch this movie §8-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HowToChart
4
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere. The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia. In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection. Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies. The air is thin, very thin up there. And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped. A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short. Until then, just relax and watch the show.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by HowToChart