XAUUSD: Continues Uptrend After Breakout, $5,170 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a strong and well-established bullish trend, supported by a clearly defined upward channel that has guided price higher over an extended period. Throughout this move, Gold has consistently respected the channel structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, which confirms sustained buyer dominance and healthy trend conditions rather than an exhausted rally. In the middle of the trend, price paused and formed a consolidation range, signaling temporary balance and accumulation before continuation. This range acted as a base, after which XAUUSD broke out decisively to the upside, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. Following the breakout, price accelerated higher and began respecting a rising triangle support line, showing that pullbacks remain shallow and corrective in nature.
Currently, Gold broke above the marked Support Zone, confirming a clean structure flip where former resistance turned into support. This breakout was followed by acceptance above the level, indicating strong buyer commitment rather than a false move. Price is now trading above the support zone and continues to trend higher toward the upper boundary of the structure. Above the current price, a clearly defined Resistance Zone around the 5,160–5,170 area stands as the next major technical obstacle. This zone represents a higher-timeframe supply area where profit-taking or temporary selling pressure may emerge. However, so far, there are no strong signs of impulsive rejection, and price action suggests continuation strength rather than distribution.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD holds above the Support Zone around 5,050–5,070 and continues to respect the rising structure. A controlled pullback into support, followed by bullish continuation signals, would offer a favorable continuation setup. I expect buyers to maintain control and attempt a push toward the Resistance Zone near 5,170 (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion within the broader bullish channel.
However, if price reaches resistance and shows clear rejection, a short-term corrective pullback toward the support zone or the rising triangle support line would be a healthy and expected move within the trend. Only a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, structure, momentum, and price action continue to favor buyers.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
