GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains extremely bullish, driven primarily by central bank accumulation.
Since 2023, global central banks — led by China — have been buying gold aggressively, creating a long-term demand base.
With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, risk assets like GOLD are expected to outperform as USD (DXY) weakens.
This macro setup builds a powerful bullish narrative that continues to favor long exposure on gold.
📈 Technical Analysis
GOLD has rallied for nine consecutive weeks since mid-August, reaching overbought RSI levels.
Currently, price is showing signs of retracement and consolidation, suggesting an accumulation phase may form before the next impulsive move.
The Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $4010, just below the HTF bullish trendline, acts as a critical support area where a potential deviation and bounce may occur.
📌 Game Plan
I expect GOLD to retrace toward the HTF trendline and Weekly FVG ($4017).
A deviation and bounce from this zone could trigger a new bullish leg.
However, I anticipate 1–2 weeks of accumulation before continuation.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Metals
Gold/Copper Signaling Recession & Market Super bubble!We're continuing to see extreme signals from Gold, and that should raise concerns.
Earlier, I highlighted the Gold/Oil ratio — now, I want to draw your attention to the Gold/Copper ratio:
🔗
Historically, such extreme readings in the Gold/Copper ratio have consistently preceded recessions. The only exception? A period of economic stagnation and sideways markets — not exactly a bullish outcome. See the chart from 2014 to 2016
🔗 www.tradingview.com
Quick recap:
Gold = Fear + Inflation hedge
Copper = Economic strength + Inflation signal
Oil = Similar to Copper; reflects growth and inflation expectations
These divergences aren't random — they’re warning signs of a recession & market Super Bubble that's about to POP!
These are not random fluctuations of prices. You can choose to view them as such. I get it. But from a macroeconomic perspective, this is bad JUJU!
Capitalism without failure is like religion without hell! Remember that!
Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
Bearish Key Reversal Puts Platinum Bulls on NoticePlatinum was slaughtered along with every other precious metal on Tuesday, delivering on the risk we flagged 24 hours earlier. Given the scale of the move, the question everyone is now asking is whether that was it? I don’t know personally, but the bearish key reversal candle that printed only adds to the signals from longer timeframes in recent weeks, warning of the potential for more downside to come.
Looking at the price action on the dailies, it’s notable the rout halted Tuesday at $1516—the high that was set in July. That suggests technicals still matter even if some of the selling was likely forced in nature. As such, it’s now the key level to watch when assessing directional risks.
Should $1516 give way, the 50-day moving average is the first point of interest, with $1478 and $1440 other minor levels before more substantive support is found at $1380. Should $1516 hold, $1555, $1675 and $1775 are the levels to watch.
The momentum picture has unsurprisingly shifted quickly as a result of the pullback, with RSI (14) now trending lower beneath 50, indicating increasing downside pressure. MACD has yet to turn outright negative, but it has already crossed the signal line and is accelerating downwards. At the very least, it provides a warning for bulls looking to immediately buy the dip.
Good luck!
DS
The ratio of Silver / M2 reached an important resistanceThe ratio of Silver / M2 (x$1T) has reached an important resistance last Thursday. It also reached rare overbought condition (see the monthly RSI14 at the 78 resistance area). It is now due for a consolidation phase, support seen near 0.18 (implying a pullback of about 18% to $44 from the recent high of $54 on silver. This could take a few months (normally, but who knows) before exploding above the down trend line towards the 0.53 area. In summary, the rise of silver has just started.
If $GOLD is at its peak, is $BTC next?Gold has been rejected at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci channel on the 3M chart.
The Stoch RSI demonstrates a striking similarity to past cycles:
The bullish structure, which continued in the overbought region in October 2010, peaked 273 days later in July 2011.
Momentum, which continued in the overbought region again in October 2019, reached its peak 365 days later in October 2020.
Today, history paints a similar picture once again.
The bullish structure, which began in the overbought region in October 2024, may have reached its peak approximately one year later, in October 2025, just as in previous cycles.
Gold appears to be completing its historical rhythm once again.
Note: The Bitcoin / Gold pair is developing in the opposite direction.
GOLD – top is in?There are many possible Elliott Wave interpretations regarding the recent years in gold, but one thing seems quite clear. The rise that began in August 2025 was preceded by a triangle, which according to wave theory always signals the final wave of an impulse of the same degree. After it concludes, one should expect a correction of the entire impulsive five-wave sequence, typically retracing to the level of the preceding fourth wave.
In recent days, the media have been filled with images of people buying physical gold — and as we know, the crowd is never right. Could this widespread euphoria be signaling the end of the bull run, at least for a while? Many signs point to that. It is not unlikely that we will soon see capital rotation into crypto.
Silver - The catastrophic rejection!🆘Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is just collapsing:
🔎Analysis summary:
At this exact moment, Silver is retesting the previous all time highs, which were already rejected about 45 years ago. Considering the extremely bearish rejection on the smaller timeframes, Silver simply fails to break out. This will lead to a devastating reversal.
📝Levels to watch:
$50
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
EURNZD – Elliott Wave Roadmap2D Chart
Every swing continues to unfold with precision - true to Elliott Wave structure. We’re now in the final stages of Wave 5.
This structure is nearing completion, with price developing the final sub-wave (C) of (5) into the Sell Zone.
📍 The Sell Zone aligns with the upper channel resistance - where we’ll be watching closely for exhaustion and the start of the next major decline.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to complete Wave (5) inside the Sell Zone
- Aggressive short: Rejection within the zone
- Conservative short: Entry after trendline break / BOS
🎯 Targets:
- TP1: 1.8800 (1800 pips)
- TP2: 1.7600 (3100 pips)
We’re in the final stretch of this multi-month rally. Once Wave 5 completes, expect a sharp corrective drop to follow.
Plan the trade. Wait for confirmation. Execute with precision.
Goodluck, and as always, Trade Safe!
Gold mania ends in a $4000 reality check? Thousands queuing for hours in central Sydney to buy gold last week was a potential warning sign that gold was vulnerable to correction.
Today, gold prices saw their largest one-day fall in over ten years. After several failed attempts to break above 4,400, resistance held and momentum reversed sharply.
The first key support now potentially sits near 4,000 (200% retracement).
Despite the correction, long-term outlooks might remain positive. Ongoing inflation risk, lower interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and U.S. government dysfunction are still ever present. This might be why Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 price target to 4,900 per ounce, up from 4,300, citing
Silver also slumped more than 7%, marking their biggest daily loss since 2021, as overbought signals flashed extremes.
GOLD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅XAUUSD Price has reached the key demand zone where institutional buyers are likely accumulating. The market structure suggests a potential rebound toward 4,160$, with momentum favoring a bullish continuation after this reaction zone holds. Time Frame 2H.
—————————
Entry: 4,115$
Stop Loss: 4,079$
Take Profit: 4,160$
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
$GOLD Bearish Engulfing on Daily - Rotation to $BTC Incoming!MASSIVE BEARISH ENGULFING FORMING ON THE TVC:GOLD DAILY CHART.
Down ~7% just on the day alone.
~$2 TRILLION has been wiped out on its market cap,
the equivalent of Bitcoin’s entire MC.
We can see the rotation into CRYPTOCAP:BTC in real-time here.
If GOLD Closes below the DANGER ZONE,
it’s game-over for everyone’s favorite pet rock 🪙
Accurately grasp every trading opportunity,do you dare to followGold prices fell sharply in the evening due to the news, with a daily drop of nearly $300. Judging from the daily chart, the large real negative line almost swallowed up all the gains last week, and the bears have absolute control over the market.
Since this morning, Allen has been reminding everyone to pay attention to the M-shaped double-top structure and be alert to the possible sharp market correction. Even if you fail to keep up with our trading rhythm, as long as you refer to my ideas and read them carefully, you can at least effectively avoid being washed out by the market.
As gold continues to fall, various voices have appeared in the market. Bros must keep their eyes open when referring to them. After all, not everyone is as brave as Allen in facing mistakes and losses.
As I said, the bears are currently dominating the market. Although the decline has stagnated slightly in the short term, the downward trend has not completely stopped. It will be difficult for the bulls to recover all their lost ground tonight. The current gold price is hovering around 4110. If it continues to fall, you can pay attention to the short-term support of 4060-4050 below. Try to go long with a light position, set a stop loss, and look for support at the 4000 integer mark if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Testing 4,210 Support as Bulls Eye Another Leg HigherHey Traders, in today’s session we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,210 zone. Gold continues to trade within a broader uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction toward a key support and resistance confluence at 4,210.
Market structure:
Momentum remains bullish, with price forming higher highs and higher lows. The ongoing correction could provide a trend-continuation entry if buyers step in near support.
Key level:
4,210 — a decisive zone where previous reactions have sparked renewed buying interest.
Outlook:
A sustained bid from this area could pave the way for another push toward 4,300 and beyond, keeping Gold aligned with its dominant bullish trajectory.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4275 and a gap below at 4229. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
275
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4275 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4320
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4320 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4360
BEARISH TARGETS
4229
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4229 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4194
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4194 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4151
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4151 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4122
4075
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4075 WILL OPEN THE SECONDAARY SWING RANGE
4022
3955
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
$BTC / $GOLDThe Golden age will fade in the shadow of Bitcoin
The Bitcoin/Gold pair maintains its major uptrend, with the price trapped between the 2021 ATH resistance and the uptrend.
As it does before every strong run, it's holding above the demand zone.
Once the 2021 ATH resistance (supply zone) is broken, Bitcoin will continue to change not only the pair's price against gold but also its perceptions.
Be prepared… a face melting move is coming soon.
Silver Squeeze – Risk Reversals and Dollar Strength Sets InSilver has broken lower after recent highs, with the much-anticipated “silver squeeze” losing momentum. The market is now facing renewed pressure from a stronger U.S. dollar and broad risk-off sentiment, as investors trim exposure to commodities and metals.
The weekly close will be crucial — a bearish candlestick could confirm further downside potential, opening the door toward the USD 40.00 area, a key technical support zone.
Several factors are currently weighing on Silver:
- DXY rebound: The U.S. Dollar Index has bounced from support, attracting safe-haven demand and pressuring metals.
- Higher real yields: As inflation expectations ease, rising real yields make precious metals less attractive.
- ETF outflows: Institutional investors are trimming Silver ETF holdings, reducing speculative support.
- Weakness in industrial metals: A slowdown in China’s manufacturing sector is dragging down sentiment for Silver, which also has industrial demand.
- Technical exhaustion: After repeated tests of the USD 53.00 zone, momentum faded, and a breakdown below short-term moving averages confirmed a shift in tone.
If the current move continues, Silver could test USD 40.00 in the coming sessions. Only a decisive recovery above USD 52.00 would ease the short-term bearish outlook.
( HANZO Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal DetectedTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 4240
🆚 Reasons To Enter The path
————
➕ Volume Engaged & Confirmed
➕ Time Zone Aligned (London / NY)
➕ Liquidity Cleared Below
➕ Cluster Shield Active
➕ Delta Shift Showing Buyer Control
➕ Reversal Formation Detected
➕ Price Below POC – Ready for Retrace
➕ Entry Prepared with Zero Emotion
Analysis and trading position for gold
Hello traders
The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now
The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 21stGold prices rebounded sharply yesterday, fully recovering the $200 drop from last Friday as of today's Asian time.
From a structural perspective, after the downward risk in gold is released and there's no continuation, it will face renewed pressure to challenge new highs, with 4400 likely to be reached this week. While there will be some volatility before the Fed's rate cut at the end of the month, gold's trend inertia remains. A slow rise amidst fluctuations will allow the market to gradually absorb the new buying pressure until the next imbalance between bulls and bears.
Of course, the confirmation of a double top pattern in gold is also crucial on the 4-hour chart. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are about to form another downward death cross. If gold fails to hold above 4300 today, yesterday's rebound will be merely a final push by buyers.
Even if gold breaks above 4400 again this week, I believe the upward trend will be short-lived, with a volatile bull-bear tug-of-war continuing to dominate the market for the foreseeable future.
The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 4295. Today, focus on the support levels of 4245 and 4185. Buy once the price stabilizes. If it falls below 4185, it will test the support levels of 4146 and 4100.
BUY: 4245 near
BUY: 4185 near
SELL: 4295 near
Double Fakeout on GoldHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept.
Gold has corrected by 6.5% from its peak and so far shows no signs of recovery.
On the 1-hour timeframe, the market is in a sideways range.
First, there was a false breakout below the lower boundary, and then a false breakout above the upper boundary of the range.
Now the seller has broken through the lower boundary of the sideways range, and the price has dropped below the 50% level of the daily buyer initiative.
At the base of the last buyer initiative on the daily timeframe, there is a buyer zone between 4058 and 3944 — a good area to look for potential trade setups.
Wishing you profitable trades!






















