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GBP/USD 2-hour chart Pattern....GBP/USD 2-hour chart, here’s the detailed target analysis --- 📊 Chart Overview Pair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 2-hour Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud Price Zone: 1.3387 (current area) Support Zone: Around 1.3340 – 1.3360 (white box area) Resistance Zones (Targets): Marked as “Target Points” on my chart --- 🎯 Target Levels 1. First Target Point (Short-term): Around 1.3440 – 1.3460 This aligns with the first marked “Target Point” on your chart. Price likely to react here since it’s near the top of the Ichimoku cloud and past resistance. 2. Second Target Point (Extended Target): Around 1.3515 – 1.3520 This matches the upper “Target Point” zone shown on my chart. If bullish momentum continues and price breaks 1.3460, this level could be reached. --- 🧭 Summary Target Type Price Level Notes 🎯 TP1 1.3440 – 1.3460 First strong resistance zone 🎯 TP2 1.3515 – 1.3520 Extended bullish target 🛑 Support 1.3340 – 1.3360 Key demand area (entry zone confirmation) ---
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
3
Gold Setup You Can’t IgnoreHey everyone, Erik here ! Gold is quietly preparing for its next move. After a strong rally, price didn’t collapse as many expected. Instead, it’s been building a smooth accumulation structure — the classic Cup and Handle that often signals continuation in a healthy uptrend. This setup tells a deeper story about market psychology. Sellers are running out of strength, while buyers keep absorbing every pullback with patience and confidence. Momentum is quietly shifting, and pressure beneath the surface is growing. If a clean breakout confirms this formation, gold could enter its next bullish leg. A move toward 4500 looks not just possible, but reasonable based on the current market structure. Until that confirmation comes, patience remains the key. Waiting for a clear breakout with strong volume helps filter out false signals and keeps you aligned with the dominant trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erikk_Kraft
2
Gold setup: The retracement that could spark the next rallyOANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade confidently within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining a clear and healthy bullish structure. After testing the upper boundary, the price pulled back to the mid-zone, where a strong rejection candle appeared, confirming that buyers are still defending key levels with conviction and keeping the upward momentum alive. This kind of market behavior often signals renewed strength before the next move higher. If the bullish momentum holds, the price could break above the upper boundary of the channel and push toward new highs. Given the current technical setup and positive sentiment across the market, a move toward 4,500 seems both realistic and consistent with the ongoing trend. Even so, caution remains important. A daily close below the lower boundary of the channel would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a short-term correction before the trend resumes. From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook for gold continues to be supported by geopolitical tensions, global uncertainty over interest rate policies, and the weakening US dollar. With central banks maintaining strong demand for gold as a hedge against economic instability, the precious metal remains one of the most attractive safe-haven assets in today’s volatile market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erikk_Kraft
1
GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar), 1H timeframe..GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar), 1H timeframe — CMC Markets — here’s the detailed read 👇 🔍 Technical Setup Current Price: around 1.3289 Pattern: Price recently broke out of a descending trendline, retesting the breakout area and forming a potential bullish reversal pattern. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below but close to entering the cloud — a bullish momentum build-up zone if it breaks cleanly above. Structure: The chart shows an upward arrow toward a resistance/target zone. --- 🎯 Target Levels Immediate Resistance: 1.3340 – 1.3360 Main Target Point (as marked on chart): 1.3440 – 1.3460 → This aligns perfectly with my “Target Point” label and previous structural highs. --- ⚠ Invalidation / Stop-Loss Zone If price closes below 1.3250, the bullish setup becomes invalid, and it could retest 1.3200 support. --- ✅ Summary: Entry Zone: 1.3280 – 1.3300 Target Zone: 🎯 1.3440 – 1.3460 Stop-Loss: below 1.3250
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
5
USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) 4-hour..USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) 4-hour.. Current price: Around 1.4060 Trend: Strong uptrend, respecting an ascending trendline. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud — confirming bullish momentum. Pattern: Breakout above consolidation, moving toward a marked resistance. 📈 Target Point (as shown on my chart): The blue arrow and label mark a target point around 1.4120 – 1.4130 ✅ Summary: Entry zone: Around 1.4050–1.4060 (post-breakout retest) Target: 1.4120 – 1.4130 Stop-loss suggestion: Below 1.4020 (just under the support/cloud) This projection looks like a measured move breakout continuation within the ascending channel.
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
2
ETH/USD (Ethereum to USD, 2-hour timeframe)...ETH/USD (Ethereum to USD, 2-hour timeframe) — here’s what’s shown and how to interpret it: Current price: Around $3,885 The pattern: Symmetrical triangle — price consolidation before a breakout. Breakout direction (based on my arrows): Upward (bullish bias). 📈 Target Points (as marked on my chart): 1. First target: Around $4,100 2. Second (main) target: Around $4,300–$4,320 These levels correspond to the blue arrows labeled “Target Point” — they reflect the projected breakout move from the triangle formation. ✅ Summary: Entry zone (breakout confirmation): Around $3,950–$3,960 (above resistance line) Target 1: ~$4,100 Target 2: ~$4,300 Stop-loss suggestion (if trading): Below $3,800 (triangle support)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
3
Big cycle M double top, beware of big pullbackGood morning, bros. Last night we proposed a strategy of short selling in batches if gold rises first and touches the upper pressure level of 4365-4380, and achieved good profits. After today's opening, gold rebounded to this range several times, and it can be said that it has basically recovered the losses since last Friday. However, the intraday rebounds have failed to effectively break through this resistance range. If the bulls want to fully counterattack and move towards the 4400 mark, they need to break through the upper resistance. Judging from the long-term trend, the market has a tendency to form an M-shaped double top, so be cautious in chasing the rise in intraday trading and beware of possible large market corrections. Judging from the short-term trend, the resistance near 4350 is still obvious. If the European session rebounds to this level again without breaking through, the bull market will be difficult to sustain in the short term. We can consider trying a light short position once, but be sure to set a stop loss. At the same time, if the short-term support of 4330-4320 below cannot be held, gold will fall further to test yesterday's rebound low of 4305-4295. Once 4305-4295 is breached, it may trigger a technical sell-off, pushing the gold price to accelerate its correction to 4240 or even the 4220 neckline. Trade intraday at key levels, but be wary of market whipsaws. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Perfect_Allen
Gold Bull Market Outlook And Targets: 5000 USD/7500 USDGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update ________________________________________ 🌊 Five-Wave Roadmap — Targets & Timing • Wave 1 (2016–2020): From ~$1,050–1,200 to the COVID-era spike; established secular up-trend. • Wave 2 (2020–2022): Consolidation/corrective pullback (~–20%). • Wave 3 (2023–2025/26): Power leg to ATHs (current). Room to extend toward $4,200–$4,500 on flow surges before pausing. • Wave 4 (2026, base case): Re-accumulation/consolidation ~12 months; likely range-bound –10% to –15% from the Wave-3 peak as institutional buying digests gains. • Wave 5 (2027–2030/32): Final thrust to the cycle’s terminal zone: – First objective: $5,000–$5,500 (consistent with 2026 Street “bull wave” scenarios). – Terminal extension: $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 (our desk’s stretch path if real yields stay muted, official-sector demand persists, and private capital rotation broadens). Why Wave-4 can last ~12 months: prior secular bulls often paused for a full year near major breakouts while flows “change hands.” Expect lower realized vol, fading retail FOMO, and steady official accumulation to define the tape. 📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull 2025 1. Price & ATHs: Spot ~$3.75–$3.79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025. 2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD 3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (later revised to ~1,086 t as lagged data came in). H1/Q1’25 tracking remained elevated. 4. ETF Flows: Back-to-back strong quarters; Q2’25 total demand 1,249 t, value US$132bn (+45% y/y) with ETFs instrumental. 5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD. 6. Jewelry Demand: Tonnage softened as prices surged; value at records (2024 down y/y; weakness persisted into H1’25). 7. Gold–Silver Ratio: ~85–88 (silver torque improving as it pushes into the mid-$40s). 8. Macro Link: Safe-haven bid + expected policy easing keep real-yield headwinds contained. 9. Technical: Confirmed 13-yr cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend. 10. Street Forecasts: GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26; bulled-up houses (HSBC/BofA) flag $4.9–$5.0k potential into 2026 if private/ETF rotation persists. • This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind. • Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s. • Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return). • Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move. • Outlook: Street base cases cluster near $4,000 by mid-’26; several houses now publish $4,900–$5,000 stretch targets into 2026 as flows accelerate. ________________________________________ 🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats 1. 1968–1980 “Super Bull” • Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980) • Gain: ~2,330% • Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress. • Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run. 2. 1999–2011/12 • Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12) • Gain: ~650% • Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid. 3. 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle) • Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025) • Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor) • Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout. ________________________________________ 📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025) Metric | 1968–80 Super Bull | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Current 🚀 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% (so far) ⏲️ Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing) 💔 Max Drawdown | ~–45% (’74–’76) | ~–30% (’08) | ~–20% (2022) 🏦 Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks 🏛️ Pattern | Secular parabolic | Cyclical ramps | 13-yr base → breakout (’24) Notes: current-cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & the 2024 technical breakout. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________________________________________ 🔄 What Makes This Bull Different 2025 Edition • 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Third consecutive 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 is still tracking strong on a run-rate basis. This “sticky” demand is from price-insensitive reserve managers. • ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Drawdowns are shallower/shorter vs the 1970s analog, consistent with a structural rather than speculative buyer base. • 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — ATHs with equities positive YTD = macro hedge + diversification bid, not just “panic buying.” • 📐 Structural Breakout — 13-yr base cleared in 2024; market now in multi-year price discovery. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy Ideas 2025 & Beyond • Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties. • Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity and tactical tilts. Satellite/Leverage • Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners. • Factor Tilt in Miners: Prioritize low AISC, strong balance sheets, reserve growth, rule-of-law jurisdictions; emphasize free-cash-flow yield and disciplined capex. Risk-Management • Define max drawdown per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike). • Use options overlays (collars on miners; long-dated calls on physical proxies) to shape payoff in Wave-3 late innings and Wave-4 digestion. ________________________________________ 🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull? • Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained) → compress gold’s opportunity cost. • Official-sector buying stalls (policy or FX-reserve shifts) → removes the anchor bid. • Growth re-acceleration + faster-than-expected disinflation → weaker safe-haven + fewer rate cuts. • Technical break: a persistent move below ~$3,600–3,700 would question Wave-3 extension and pull forward Wave-4. ________________________________________ 🧭 Quick Reference Tables 🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current Feature | 1968–80 | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing) Correction | ~–45% | ~–30% | ~–20% (’22) Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks Pattern | Parabolic | Cyclical | Cup & Handle → Secular 🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook • If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations. • If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge. • If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque. ________________________________________ 🔚 Key Takeaways Updated • Twin pillars: relentless official-sector demand + 2024 structural breakout. • Base case: Street ~$3.7–4.0k by mid-’26 with upside to $4.5–5.0k on accelerated private/ETF rotation. • Roadmap: Extend Wave-3 → Wave-4 re-accumulation (~12 months) → Wave-5 to $5,000–$5,500, then $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 under favorable macro/flow dynamics. • Operating stance: keep core, add on dips/sideways phases, manage beta and drawdowns proactively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
49
GOLD → Consolidation. 4269 - trigger. Chances for growth?Gold is consolidating due to uncertainty. On Friday, the market broke its local structure, which slightly changed sentiment. Focus on current consolidation. Key drivers of the week: Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports and China's response supported demand for safe havens. Problems with regional banks (Zions, Western Alliance) and the fall in Treasury bond yields below 4% increased the inflow into gold. Powell maintained a neutral tone, but markets are expecting two rate cuts in 2024. All eyes are on inflation data, US-China negotiations, developments between Russia, the US, and China; any de-escalation of the situation could trigger a correction. Technically, the upward trend in gold remains relevant. Corrections will be bought up as long as uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the banking sector, and the Fed's monetary policy persists. Resistance levels: 4269, 4316 Support levels: 4251, 4218 At the moment, a pre-breakout base is forming around 4269. If the structure remains intact and the price continues to attack resistance, the chances of a breakout and growth will be high. Otherwise, a close below 4251 could trigger a retest of 4218. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
Gold Fundamentals | Smart Money Buy Zones (10/21/2025)BELOW IS DETAILED ANALYSIS ON GOLD (10/21/2025) Central Bank Buying Surge 🏦 Central banks, especially from BRICS nations, added 77% more gold reserves in 2025, hitting record highs and pushing prices up amid de-dollarization fears. 🥇 Silver benefits indirectly as industrial demand grows 17% YoY from solar and EVs. This trend could add $200-300/oz to gold by year-end. ETF Inflows Hit $41B 📈💸 Gold ETFs saw $38B inflows in H1 2025, strongest since 2020, while silver ETFs added $3.6B (95M oz). This reflects retail and institutional flight to safety, but overbought RSI warns of 5-10% pullback risk soon ⚠️. Silver Deficit Deepens ⚙️🥈 Cumulative silver deficit reached 750M oz over 4 years (75% of annual supply), driven by booming industrial use in renewables. Expect prices to test $55+ if deficits persist into 2026 💥. Latest Tweets from Key Figures Impacting Gold/Silver 🐦 Influencers warn Trump’s tariffs could spike silver to $60 on supply chain chaos. highlights Fed dovishness fueling $4,300 gold breakouts amid trade war fears. Option Inflows💬📊 SLV open interest peaks at Oct 17/Nov 21 expiries, with put IV at 62.9% vs call 53.8% at $46 strike showing downside hedge bets amid tariff buzz. Net bullish $36M call premium at $49-50 strikes signals $55 targets if squeeze hits 🚀. Latest Geopolitical Events 🌎🔥 US-China tensions escalate with new export controls on rare earths and batteries, driving safe-haven buys gold tops $4,300, silver $54. Russia-Ukraine stalemate and Middle East flares add volatility, but BRICS de-dollarization supports long-term uptrend 🏦. Latest Fundamentals 📊💵 Gold up 58% YTD on inflation hedges and $38B ETF inflows; silver surges 79% from 1B oz supply deficit and 17% industrial demand growth. Fed rate cuts lower holding costs, targeting gold $4,400 and silver $57 by mid-2026 🎯. Current Prices (as of Oct 21, 2025) ⏰💰 Gold spot: $4,362 USD/oz, up 0.10% today and 16.41% monthly. Silver spot: $51.20 USD/oz, down 5.6% from $54.47 record but up 74% YTD. Conclusion 💎 Gold and silver are in a strong bull run, fueled by trade wars, Fed easing, and supply shortages ideal for safe-haven plays.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DECRYPTERS
DeGRAM | GOLD above the support area📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD found strong support in the 4,220 zone, where buyers stepped in after a brief pullback, confirming the area as a key accumulation level. ● Price is now consolidating below 4,260, preparing for a potential bullish breakout toward 4,312–4,357, supported by the fixing pattern near the support zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold demand remains solid as geopolitical uncertainty and lower Treasury yields sustain its safe-haven appeal. ✨ Summary ● Long bias above 4,220; objectives 4,312–4,357. Price stabilization at support suggests renewed upward momentum in the short term. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
2
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe ...Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud setup with Fibonacci or horizontal resistance levels marked. Here’s the analysis breakdown: Current price: around $4,261 Ichimoku cloud: price is retesting the cloud top, showing potential for bullish continuation if it holds above the cloud. My drawn levels and arrows indicate a pullback to around $4,250–$4,260, followed by a bounce toward the upside. 🎯 Target Point (based on my chart and Fibonacci zones) The blue arrow and upper red arrow point toward: Target zone: around $4,360 – $4,380 USD 🔍 Summary Element Level (Approx.) Current Price $4,261 Support / Cloud Base $4,240 – $4,250 Resistance / Target $4,360 – $4,380 Stop-loss (suggested) Below $4,230 (below the cloud and recent low) This suggests a potential bullish move of about $100–$120 from current levels if the price confirms above the cloud and breaks $4,300 resistance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
8
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone. Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields. • Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal. • Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension. Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement. • Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation. • Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push. • Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4454 – 4452 • Stop-Loss: 4463 • Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330 🟢 Buy Setup • Entry: 4270 – 4272 • Stop-Loss: 4260 • Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 + ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases. • Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction. A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+. Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
28
Gold Extends Its 8-Week Winning Streak👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ? Over the past week, gold prices climbed close to the $4,400 mark before pulling back sharply and closing the week around $4,250, up $223 from the weekly open of $4,022 — nearly a 6% gain, marking the eighth consecutive week of growth. Despite the volatility, Main Street investors remain confident that the precious metal will continue to rise this week. Trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties have been the key drivers supporting gold’s rally. Meanwhile, the Fed’s rate cut and the U.S. government shutdown have strengthened the dollar while simultaneously providing support for gold prices. At the time of writing, gold is fluctuating around $4,255, showing little change since the start of the session. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact, and as long as the confluence zone holds, buying opportunities are still favored. What about you — what’s your outlook on XAUUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s discuss! Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
35
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.15425 💰TP: 1.14149 ⛔️SL: 1.16114 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: Bearish mood for the euro persists. A strengthening of the USD is expected in the mid- and short term. The most aggressive sell scenario is to look for an entry point at the current price level below 1.16600 (alternative scenario). A more conservative scenario (main scenario) suggests an approach to support at 1.15500 and then a breakout towards 1.14000. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
GOLD surges on political uncertainty and Fed easing expectationsOANDA:XAUUSD climbed to a fresh record high in the first trading session of the week, as expectations of an extended rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a wave of safe-haven assets continued to strengthen the rally. Spot gold ended the session on Monday (October 20) up 2.47%, equivalent to $104.81, at $4,355.72/ounce, its biggest one-day gain since July. The recovery came after a correction last weekend, when the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell two basis points to 3.991%, dragging the USD down. The US real yield, a measure reflecting the opportunity cost of holding gold, also fell to 1.723%. The rally suggests the market is “repositioning expectations” as the Fed is expected to maintain its easy policy for the rest of the year. Investors now see a 96% chance of another 50 basis point cut by the end of 2025, according to CME FedWatch data. In addition to monetary policy factors, the political picture in Washington has also contributed to the demand for gold. The US government entered the 20th day of a partial shutdown, with Congress still unable to reach a budget deal. This situation has delayed important economic data, including the September Consumer Price Index (CPI), clouding the economic picture ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting next week. Global geopolitical risks continue to play a central role. Fighting between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip has flared up again, threatening to unravel the recently signed ceasefire. Meanwhile, US-China trade talks are set to resume in Malaysia as the November 10 trade war truce deadline approaches. US President Donald Trump is expected to increase pressure on Beijing to cut fentanyl exports and resume soybean imports. Personally, I believe that the combination of political, interest rate and global trade concerns is pushing gold back to the center of the international financial market. Gold prices could approach $4,500/ounce in the short term, and the possibility of reaching $5,000/ounce next year if political tensions continue to escalate. With a gain of more than 62% since the beginning of the year, gold is currently the best performing asset among major commodities. The main drivers are strong central bank buying, the trend of de-dollarization of foreign exchange reserves and capital flows into Western gold ETFs. Amid widespread political uncertainty and a dovish US monetary policy, gold appears to be resuming its historic role as not just a safe haven, but a measure of global confidence in the current financial system. Technical Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold's medium-term uptrend remains strong within the uptrend channel, despite a short-term correction around the historical peak of $4,379/ounce. The candle on October 21 showed slight technical selling pressure after a long rally, but the price structure is still above the 21-day moving average (MA21) and has not broken the main uptrend channel. The Fibonacci correction zones show that the important support levels are located at: • 4,289 – 4,213 USD/ounce (Fibo 0.236–0.382): the nearest support zone, where buying pressure can return. • 4,161 USD (Fibo 0.5): the balance level, which also coincides with the previous short-term bottom. • 4,110 USD (Fibo 0.618): the important support level to preserve the medium-term uptrend. The RSI is still above 70, reflecting the market in the overbought zone but there is no clear bearish divergence signal. This shows that there is a possibility of a short-term technical correction, but there is not enough sign for a trend reversal. Overall, the main uptrend is still dominant, with the next target at 4,454 - 4,527 USD/ounce (Fibo extension zone 0.618 - 0.786). If the price breaks through the 4,110 USD area, the bullish pattern will be temporarily invalidated, then we should observe the reaction around MA21 (~3,940 USD). Comment: Gold is still in the "trend stability phase" with corrections considered as opportunities for re-accumulation, not reversal signals. Short-term investors should take advantage of technical recovery to optimize entry points, while closely controlling the risk zone below 4,110 USD. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4452 - 4450⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4456 →Take Profit 1 4444 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4438 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4300 - 4302⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4296 →Take Profit 1 4308 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4314
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD) – October 21, 2025Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum after bouncing sharply from the 4,160 support area. The recent corrective leg formed a clean “V-reversal” structure, suggesting renewed buyer interest as price approaches the mid-channel resistance zone around 4,340–4,360 USD. On the 1-hour chart, the structure shows a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming ongoing trend strength. The short-term pullback was absorbed quickly, and current price action indicates a potential breakout retest setup. Key Technical Levels Support 1: 4,290 – 4,300 (Fib 0.382 retracement & short-term EMA support) Support 2: 4,160 – 4,180 (previous demand & trendline confluence) Resistance 1: 4,360 – 4,380 (local swing high, short-term target) Resistance 2: 4,440 – 4,470 (upper channel boundary / potential take-profit zone) Trading Strategy Primary bias: Buy on dips within the ascending channel - Look for bullish confirmation around 4,300–4,310 to join the prevailing trend. - Target short-term 4,380, extend to 4,450+ if momentum persists. - Stop loss below 4,270 to maintain favorable risk-reward. Alternative scenario: If gold breaks below 4,270, expect deeper retracement toward 4,180 where strong buyers may re-enter. Technical Outlook EMA trend: Price remains above the 50-EMA on H1, confirming bullish control. RSI: Currently near 60, leaving room for further upside before overbought levels. Fibonacci structure: The 0.618 retracement aligns with the 4,300 zone — a key decision point for intraday traders. Conclusion Gold maintains a strong bullish structure supported by trendline and Fibonacci confluence. Short-term corrections are seen as opportunities to buy dips toward 4,300 with targets near 4,440–4,470. Traders should watch the 4,270 level as the key invalidation zone for the bullish setup. Stay disciplined, and follow to receive more intraday trading strategies and market insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GOLD leveled off after its strongest rally since 1979OANDA:XAUUSD Falls After Trump's 'Softening' Comments on China Gold Spot gold fell nearly 2% on Friday (October 17), ending a long rally after hitting a new record, as a stronger US dollar and President Donald Trump's soft remarks dampened demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold ended the session at $4,250.91 an ounce, down 1.74%, after peaking at $4,379.94 earlier in the session. The US dollar index rose 0.2%, making gold more expensive for foreign investors. Earlier, gold recorded its biggest weekly gain since the Lehman Brothers crisis in 2008. Trump Calms Trade Tensions, Gold Loses Safe-haven Momentum Speaking at the White House, Trump admitted that 100% tariffs on Chinese goods were “unsustainable” and confirmed plans to meet President Xi Jinping in the near future. The comments quickly changed market sentiment, easing expectations of an escalation in the trade conflict and pulling safe-haven demand away from gold. FXStreet commented: “Gold prices fell about 2% from a historic peak as Trump eased his tone with Beijing. The recovery in risk sentiment kept the dollar strong and gold under pressure.” The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose 3 basis points to 4.01%, while real yields rose nearly 2.5 basis points to 1.72%, further pressuring non-yielding assets like gold. Medium-term outlook remains positive Despite the short-term correction, gold prices have risen more than 64% year-to-date, boosted by expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin a rate-cutting cycle. The market is now pricing in a 25 basis point cut at its October meeting, and another in December. HSBC has raised its 2025 average gold price forecast by $100 to $3,455 an ounce, and expects prices to reach $5,000 by 2026. Some fresh concerns about credit risks emerged after two regional US banks reported $50 million in bad loans, but White House Senior Advisor Kevin Hassett reassured that the banking system remains liquid and “credit conditions are generally stable.” Goldman Sachs: Gold Price Rally “Real-Based,” Not Speculative Bubble Gold prices continued to hit records this week, surpassing $4,300 an ounce on October 16, marking a four-session winning streak and a gain of about 65% year-to-date, the strongest since 1979. However, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc., this is not a speculative frenzy, but reflects real demand from institutions and central banks. “The current momentum in gold is not driven by euphoria,” Goldman Sachs said in a video conference. “Central banks continue to buy at record levels, while private investors are only gradually rebalancing their portfolios as the Fed accelerates the pace of rate cuts.” After years of low asset allocations to gold, the market is now returning to a more reasonable balance, not a “gold bubble,” Goldman Sachs said. Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900 an ounce, highlighting two key drivers: strong inflows into Western gold ETFs and sustained net buying by central banks, particularly in Asia and the Middle East. Echoes of the 1970s: History Repeats in a New Way Let’s compare the current cycle to the “gold rush” of the 1970s, when the US ended the Bretton Woods system, inflation soared and the oil crisis pushed the price of gold many times higher. “Back then, budget deficits and policy uncertainty led investors to seek refuge outside the official monetary system. And now, similar factors are emerging, from US fiscal risks to geopolitical divergence, making gold continue to be a popular hedge.” According to Goldman Sachs, the gold market is still relatively small compared to the scale of global capital flows, so each shift in capital flows greatly amplifies price fluctuations. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD The daily chart of gold is still in a medium-long term uptrend, as shown by the price remaining above the MA21 and still in the uptrend channel despite the correction. After reaching a historical peak of 4,379, the price has dropped to around 4,250 USD/ounce, corresponding to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382. • Current candlestick structure: a strong correction candle appears but has not broken the bullish structure. • Important technical support zones: o 4.216 – 4.160 (Fibo 0.382 – 0.5): potential short-term support zone. o 4.110 (Fibo 0.618): stronger support, if this zone is broken, it can move into a deep correction phase. • RSI: still above 70, showing that the market is still in the overbought zone, prone to strong short-term fluctuations but has not confirmed a reversal. => Conclusion of the main trend: Gold is still in the main uptrend, currently only in a technical correction phase after reaching the peak, there is no signal of a medium-term reversal. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4309 - 4307⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4313 →Take Profit 1 4301 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4295 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4160 - 4162⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4156 →Take Profit 1 4168 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4174
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold Pulls Back in Technical Correction, No Reversal Signal YetHello everyone, Gold has entered a corrective phase after reaching the historical peak at 4,380–4,400 USD/oz. Selling pressure has emerged, triggering a strong bearish candle and sending price back to retest the 4,220–4,240 USD zone — also the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the Ichimoku system, acting as short-term support. At the moment, gold is attempting a slight recovery around 4,265 USD but still trades inside the Kumo cloud, suggesting a sideways correction after an overheated rally. On the H1 chart, the bullish structure has temporarily weakened with a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows forming. The 4,280–4,310 USD area is a red Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, currently serving as the nearest resistance where sellers may re-enter. Meanwhile, the thick Kumo cloud continues to reflect persistent corrective pressure, especially as recent declines were supported by rising volume — confirming profit-taking at peak levels. From a fundamental perspective, this retracement is a healthy “cool-down” following nine consecutive weeks of gains. Gold surged nearly 25% in just two months — an exceptionally rare move in history — so profit-taking was inevitable. Additionally, sentiment has been influenced by the Federal Reserve’s lack of clear commitment regarding the timing of rate cuts. Recent US macro data such as CPI and retail sales exceeded expectations, giving the Fed justification to maintain a cautious stance. This has boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY) back toward 106.5, while the US 10-year Treasury yield has moved near 4.1%, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Risk sentiment has also improved as geopolitical tension between the US and China cooled and the US government avoided a shutdown, prompting some safe-haven flows to rotate out of gold. Several analysts agree that this pullback is constructive for the broader trend, with Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro noting that gold was “overbought” and needed a rebalancing phase, while Phillip Streible of Blue Line Futures reiterated that the long-term trend remains bullish. In the short term, gold may continue to move within the 4,220–4,280 USD range, with a potential retest of the 4,210–4,220 USD zone — the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud. If buyers step back in and price breaks above 4,285 USD, a rebound toward the 4,300–4,315 USD FVG resistance zone is likely before the market decides its next direction. Only a confirmed break below 4,200 USD would reinforce further downside toward 4,150 USD. Conversely, holding above 4,200 USD would suggest gold is still in a healthy consolidation phase and retains the potential to revisit 4,300–4,350 USD in the coming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
18
Gold Above 4300 – Watching for FVG Fill Before Next LegPrice consolidated all of yesterday’s Asian and London sessions before breaking bullish through NY, clearing the 4300 resistance. Today, we’re holding above that breakout level and sitting just beneath the weekly high at 4398. A 4H FVG rests below price around 4345–4360 — that’s my first area of interest for a retrace and possible continuation higher. If price dips to fill that gap and shows strength, I’ll look for a long toward 4398–4420. Otherwise, I’ll wait for a clear reclaim above the weekly high before confirming continuation. Staying patient tonight — the easy part is waiting for the market to tell me what it wants to do. #FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #PriceAction #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
3