Get started

Metals

Gold can Fail its Rally and Fall Towards 4125Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been through a highly complex and volatile phase after breaking down from its prior upward channel. This led to a significant fall into the support zone, followed by a strong recovery that has since pushed the price of XAU above a major ascending trend line. Currently, the asset is undergoing a corrective pull-back towards this broken trend line, setting the stage for what I believe is a critical test. In my mind, the price action is setting up a potential 'bull trap'. I expect that the price will first make a correction to the trend line, find support, and then attempt another rally. I think this rally will be exhaustive and will fail upon reaching the 4280 mark. A confirmed rejection from that peak would signal a major reversal. The subsequent decline should have enough momentum to break the major ascending trend line. Therefore, I have placed my TP for this reversal scenario at 4125. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
15
How to Analyze Daily Time Frame on Gold. 5 Important Things There are 5 important things that you should analyze on Gold on a daily time frame to accurately predict long term, midterm and short term movements. In this article, I will share with you a step-by-step guide for daily time frame analysis that you can apply on Gold or any other financial instrument. 1 - Identify the market trend When you analyze a daily time frame, you should identify long term, midterm and short term market trends. Long-term trend is based on the analysis of one year long price action. In the example above, Gold is trading in a long term bullish trend because the price keeps setting new higher high and new higher lows during the year. Midterm trend is based on the analysis of a price action for the last 4–5 months. Above, we can clearly see that a mid-term trend is bullish because again, the price sets new higher highs and higher lows over time. Short-term trend is based on the analysis of price movements for the last 2 months. Short-term price action is also bullish on Gold, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. According to the trend analysis, long-term, mid-term and short-term trends are bullish. 2 - Identify the directional bias The directional bias defines a highly probable future direction on the market. In our example, we can anticipate that Gold will keep growing among all the dimensions: long-term, mid-term and short-term. 3 - Execute structure analysis Identify important historic horizontal and vertical structures. That will be the points from where you should look for trading opportunities. When you analyze key levels, identify the structures that are lying close to the current price levels. Make sure that all the structures that you spotted were respected by the market in the past. 4 - Look for price action patterns Price action patterns are the language of the market. Proper identification of the patters will help you correctly understand the intentions of the market participants. You can see that a bearish breakout of a rising channel triggered a correctional movement on the market. Gold started to fall steadily within a bullish flag pattern and after it tested a key support, the price violated the resistance of the flag. 5 - Analyze candlesticks Candlestick patterns can provide extra clues and confirmations. You can see that the market formed multiple rejections from key support, an inside bar formation and bullish engulfing candle. Violation of the inside bar to the upside with a strong bullish candle is an important bullish signal. Combining trend analysis, structure analysis, price action and candlestick analysis, and you can make predictions and look for trading opportunities. You can also make your analysis even more sophisticated, for example, analyzing fundamental analysis or applying technical indicators. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
11
XAUUSD Technical Analysis: Golden Crossroads at 4,246.86Executive Summary (1D & 4H Timeframes): Gold is at a critical juncture. The daily chart reveals a battle between a dominant Head and Shoulders top pattern and a potential Elliott Wave 4 corrective pullback. The neckline at 4,220 is the line in the sand. A decisive break below confirms the H&S pattern, targeting 4,150. However, the 4H chart shows consolidation above this level, with the 200-EMA (4,235) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement providing immediate support. The RSI is bearish but not oversold, suggesting room for a move in either direction. The overarching trend from the last major low remains intact until 4,220 gives way. Swing Trading Strategy (4H/Daily): BEARISH SCENARIO (Below 4,220 ): Sell on a confirmed break and close below 4,220. Initial Target: 4,180 (H&S Measured Move). Final Target: 4,150. Stop Loss: 4,265 (above recent swing high). BULLISH SCENARIO (Above 4,265 ): A hold above 4,235 (200-EMA) and a break above 4,265 invalidates the immediate bearish structure, targeting a retest of 4,300. Buy on a bullish reversal candle above 4,235. Stop Loss: 4,210 . Intraday Trading Plan (1H/30M/15M): SHORT SETUP: Look for price rejection at the 4,255 - 4,260 resistance zone (aligned with 4H VWAP and 50-EMA) with bearish candlestick confirmation (e.g., Bearish Engulfing). Sell Entry: 4,255. Target 1: 4,240. Target 2: 4,225. Stop Loss: 4,268. LONG SETUP: Only valid if price holds above 4,235 and shows strength. A bounce from 4,235-4,240 with a bullish candle (Hammer, Bullish Engulfing) offers a long opportunity. Buy Entry: 4,238. Target 1: 4,255. Target 2: 4,265. Stop Loss: 4,225. Key Market Drivers & Alerts: Geopolitical & Macro Watch: Monitor USD strength (DXY) and real yields. Any escalation in global tensions could trigger a safe-haven rush, invalidating technical bearishness. Indicator Cluster: The convergence of the 200-EMA, Fibonacci support, and the H&S neckline creates a high-probability zone for the next significant move. Final Word: The path of least resistance is bearish below 4,220. Intraday traders can fade rallies towards 4,255-4,260, while swing traders await the decisive break. Always manage risk; a close above 4,265 flips the script to bullish. Trade safe and follow the price action. Like and follow for continued high-quality analysis!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by sunya
GOLD 30M - time to cool off after the rally?After a sharp rally, gold seems ready for a breather. The chart shows a break of the short-term trendline followed by a retest from below. The price is now hovering near $4250, testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level - a classic resistance area where sellers often step in. If the pullback continues, the next downside targets lie near $4185 and $4064. However, as long as the $4200 support holds, bulls still have a chance to regain control. Fundamentally , gold remains supported by global uncertainty and dovish central banks, but technically, a healthy correction was long overdue. Tactical plan: watch $4260 closely. If sellers hold, the drop could extend. If buyers reclaim the level - bears will have to retreat. Remember: don’t try to catch falling gold - it cuts both ways.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
What to Do When the Market Is in an Uptrend?Hello everyone, When the market is rising , most traders get excited. Every price push feels like a wave of enthusiasm – everyone believes they are on the winning side. But in reality, even in the most favorable conditions, not everyone makes a profit . The simple reason: a rising market does not automatically mean a win; it’s about knowing when to buy and when to wait . I’ve seen many traders jump into positions just because the price is going up, only to be surprised when the market pulls back . An uptrend is not a straight line up, but a series of higher highs – pullbacks – higher highs , and the winners are those who know how to choose the right timing. Confirm the Trend – Don’t Confuse Uptrend with a Technical Rebound: Before placing a trade , the first step is to confirm whether the market is truly in an uptrend . A proper uptrend should have higher highs and higher lows , with the price staying above moving averages like EMA 20, EMA 50, or above the Ichimoku Kumo cloud . If the price just bounced from a low after a sharp decline, it may only be a technical rebound , and confusing the two can make you buy at the top . For example, when gold keeps forming new highs at 1,920 – 1,940 USD/ounce, while the lows remain higher than the previous ones, the money flow clearly supports the uptrend . Buy on Pullbacks – “Buy the Dip” Is a Smart Entry: Once the uptrend is confirmed, the next step is to choose the right entry point . Don’t rush to follow the price when the market is flying , as every uptrend has pause phases . Each minor correction or pullback is a chance to buy the dip . Watch important support zones , such as Fibonacci 0.5 or 0.618 or unfilled FVG areas . When the price touches these levels and shows a reversal signal , it is usually the highest probability entry point . Note: even in an uptrend , the market may experience shakes due to profit-taking or short-term adjustments . This is normal and should not cause panic. In fact, the pullback is an opportunity to buy at a better price . Wait for a confirmation signal from candlestick reversals or indicators like RSI not oversold . For example, if gold rises from 1,900 to 1,940 and then pulls back slightly to 1,915 – 1,920, this can be a good entry , instead of chasing at the peak . Risk Management – Stop Loss and Take Profit: Even when the market is rising , risk management is crucial. Place Stop Loss below higher lows or the nearest support zone to protect against sharp pullbacks. Take Profit can be set at the next resistance zone , or use trailing stop to lock in profits as the price continues upward. For example, buying gold at 1,915 USD/ounce , you could place SL below 1,905 and TP near the resistance at 1,950 USD. Monitor Macro News – Don’t Let Big Waves Sweep Away Profits: A strong trend always has a reason behind it: monetary policies , inflation data , or global capital flows . Staying informed helps you avoid being caught off guard. I’ve covered this part, you can click here to read more. Patience and Discipline – Two Weapons to Survive an Uptrend: One of the biggest challenges for traders is… standing still . When the market keeps rising , FOMO (fear of missing out) can make you jump in immediately, but most hasty trades end up buying right before a pullback . I’ve made this mistake many times – buying when the price is flying , then watching the position turn red in a few hours. Later, I realized that in an uptrend , patience to wait for a pullback is the key to winning. Wait for the price to return to a support zone , wait for a confirmation signal , then enter. Discipline is not only about entry timing but also risk management . Place Stop Loss below the nearest low , Take Profit at the next resistance zone , and if the price continues upward , move SL favorably – trailing stop protects profits without exiting too early. Emotions are the biggest enemy of a trader ; greed or rushing leads to wrong decisions. Following your plan and discipline avoids unnecessary losses. An uptrend is a perfect time to increase profits , but it can also make traders complacent . If you can identify the trend , wait for the right entry , and maintain discipline , you will not only ride the wave but also survive it. Is the market rising? The question is not whether to buy or not , but whether you have enough patience to wait for the right moment .
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by EmmaChartist
20
XAUUSD 4H – Pullback to Test, Then Push HigherHello everyone, Gold is still maintaining a strong uptrend on the 4H timeframe, even though it shows signs of stalling in the supply zone around 4.34–4.36. Given the wick candle formed there, I lean toward the scenario where price pulls back in the short term to the 4.26–4.24 zone to fill FVG and gather liquidity before moving up again to retest 4.34–4.36. If that area is decisively broken, the upward momentum could extend toward 4.39–4.40 and even into the 4.43x region. Conversely, only a 4H close below 4.20 will make me consider a deeper decline toward 4.17–4.145. Macro backdrop: News still backing the bulls This week, gold has repeatedly hit record highs above 4,200 USD, driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts and intensifying geopolitical/trade tensions. The highs of recent sessions around 4.12k – 4.22k – 4.21k validate the already strong trend. Fed cut expectations: According to CME FedWatch, the market is nearly certain (97–98%) that the Fed will cut 25 bps in October and possibly again in December. Comments from official Waller — advocating a 25 bps cut due to weaker labor conditions — further underpin this anticipation. US–China rare earth tensions: Beijing has tightened export licensing, while Washington lashes out — Bloomberg calls this a “rare earth shock,” a new geopolitical lever sustaining global risk. US shutdown risk: The Treasury estimates that a prolonged government shutdown could cost up to $15 billion a week — this uncertainty often drives safe-haven flows into gold. Solid base demand: According to WGC, central banks continued net purchases (19 tonnes in August), helping form a resilient floor for gold prices in 2025. With the macro narrative still tilted supportive, the current pullback on 4H is most likely a healthy retracement to fill FVG and rebalance positions, before price retests 4.36 and eyes 4.40–4.43x. Short-term risks include a surprise hawkish Fed statement or a strong bounce in DXY / yields. In such a case, gold could dip toward 4.22–4.20 (the 4H trend buffer). However, the larger uptrend remains intact as long as 4.20 holds. What do you think — will gold successfully retest before climbing again, or see a deeper pullback first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
8
Short GLDGold is now over $4,200 and I believe there is a trade to the down-side. Understand, it VERY hard to call a top in such a powerful bull market move. Most of the time, you WILL lose this trade. Even when you do win these type of trades, the price action will usually go against you before it goes in the right direction. It is a market. You WILL be tested. That’s how price discovery works. The truth is that if you're trying to outperform market-level returns, you MUST take risks.
AMEX:GLDShort
by Mlangford75
1
CAD/JPY (1H timeframe)...CAD/JPY (1H timeframe) — I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud and a downtrend resistance line that’s just being tested. Here’s the technical breakdown 👇 🔍 Analysis: Price is currently around 107.12–107.20, testing the descending trendline. The Ichimoku cloud (yellow area) is above current price, acting as resistance. The marked “Target Points” in my chart show potential bullish breakout levels if the price successfully closes above the cloud and trendline. 🎯 Target Levels: 1. First Target (Short-term): ≈ 108.00 – 108.10 → This aligns with the lower horizontal “Target Point” shown and matches the bottom of the next resistance zone. 2. Second Target (Extended / Medium-term): ≈ 108.90 – 109.00 → This is my higher “Target Point” on the chart, aligning with prior structural resistance and top of the projected move. 📉 If rejection occurs: If price fails to break above 107.20–107.30 (trendline resistance), expect a pullback toward 106.80 as short-term support. --- ✅ Summary: Buy breakout confirmation: Above 107.30 Targets: TP1 → 108.00 TP2 → 109.00 Support: 106.80
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
7
Gold testing session lowsGold finally succumbed to profit-taking pressure today as it sold off nearly $180 from its intraday record high of $4380, representing a sizeable drop. Hardly a surprise to be fair, with the market being so severely overbought. Potentially it is not the end of the trend, but a large bearish engulfing candle at the peak here does point to at least a temp top, which wouldnt be a bad thing. Anyway, the metal has rolled over and the metal was now trading near $4200, on track for its worst day in a LONG time. Let's see how it closes the session, but i wouldn't be surprised if it were to head back down to $4K in the week ahead, before potentially consolidating. By Fawad Razaqzda, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREX.com
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 51.058 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 51.944.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FXOPEN:XAGUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone, This is an extended 4H chart idea, continuing from our previous analysis, now with the added Goldturn levels above, allowing us to continue to track ongoing movement. After completing the 4212 move, price continued to push upward, leaving a small gap near 4383 before facing rejection. We’re now seeing price retest the lower Goldturn levels for support, with a current test around the 4212 Goldturn. The 4212–4154 zone remains a key weighted area, and as long as price holds above this zone, we may see a potential bounce. We’ll return on Sunday with our multi-timeframe roadmap and trading plans for the week ahead. Thank you all once again for your continued support, likes, and comments, we truly appreciate it. Mr. Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
(Gold 2H – XAU/USD):(Gold 2H – XAU/USD): ✅ Breakdown confirmed: Price has clearly broken below the ascending trendline and retested it (marked by the red circle). ✅ Support zone: Price is sitting just below the previous support box (~4,250–4,230). ✅ Ichimoku Cloud: Next visible support lies inside the Kumo (blue shaded area). 🎯 Target Levels (Downside) 1. First target: 4,180 – 4,170 → top of the Ichimoku cloud. 2. Main target: 4,130 – 4,110 → the “Target Point” you have marked (bottom of the cloud and horizontal support). 3. Extended target (if momentum continues): 4,070 – 4,050 → next structural support zone. 📈 Summary Entry: After the retest near 4,250. TP1: 4,180 TP2: 4,130 SL: Above 4,270 (trendline retest). So, my main target zone = 4,130 ±20 (as drawn on my chart).
TVC:GOLDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
6
SILVER Strong Uptrend! Buy! Hello,Traders! SILVER SMC based analysis shows price retracing toward the rising trend-line to rebalance short-term liquidity before another bullish leg. Buyers are expected to defend the structure and push price back toward the upper target zone near $5,296. Time Frame 5H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
4
Gold Near 4,280 as US–China Tensions Fuel Flight to Safety!Hey Traders, In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with price currently correcting toward a key structural support area where buyers may look to re-enter. From a fundamental standpoint, rising US–China geopolitical tensions have pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. Market sentiment is tilting defensive, and Gold — already hovering near all-time highs — continues to reflect that global risk aversion. A sustained bid above 4,280 could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially open the path toward new highs if uncertainty persists. Key level: 4,280 (support / trend confluence) Bias: Bullish while above this level Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
8