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XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – September 5, 2025Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating around 3,551 USD/oz after a strong bullish impulse earlier in the week. The H1 chart shows clear structure respecting Fibonacci retracements, EMA zones, and trendline confluence. Price Action & Structure After a breakout and BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside, price is moving within a corrective ABC pattern. Wave (A) formed a push up, (B) corrected down toward EMA support, and (C) is expected to test the resistance zone 3,565 – 3,580 USD. The shaded purple box above represents a liquidity zone / weak high, where a potential rejection can occur. EMA & Trendline Confluence Price is currently supported by the EMA cluster (20 – 50 – 100) around 3,542 – 3,550 USD. The ascending blue trendline is holding as dynamic support – a break below it may trigger deeper retracement toward 3,518 – 3,503 USD. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: 3,567 – 3,580 (weak high liquidity zone) Next Resistance: 3,600 psychological level Immediate Support: 3,542 – 3,550 (EMA confluence) Deeper Support: 3,518 – 3,503 (Fib 50% + EMA 200) Major Support: 3,476 (demand zone + previous structure) Trading Strategy Bullish Scenario: As long as price holds above 3,542, buyers can aim for 3,567 – 3,580. Break and close above 3,580 may open the way to 3,600 – 3,615. Bearish Scenario: Rejection at 3,567 – 3,580 with bearish confirmation (RSI divergence + bearish engulfing) can trigger a short setup targeting 3,518 – 3,503. If broken, expect extension toward 3,476. RSI Outlook RSI on H1 is cooling off after previous overbought signals, suggesting possible short-term retracement before continuation. - Summary: Gold is in a short-term bullish corrective move, but upside may be capped at 3,567 – 3,580. Traders should watch for rejection at this zone for potential short setups, while above 3,542 the trend bias remains bullish.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GOLD → ATH retest before NFP. High risk level...FX:XAUUSD remains in a bullish trend, but short-term dynamics depend on NFP. A break above $3578 will open the way to new highs, but profit-taking at record levels could increase volatility. Gold remains strong ahead of US NFP data, which may confirm the Fed's policy easing. Weak data (forecast: +75K new jobs) will reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold. However, the risk of a correction is quite high, and any nuances could trigger liquidation. Weak employment data, namely rising unemployment and low ADP figures, are strengthening bets on a Fed rate cut, which overall only increases interest in the metal. Resistance levels: 3564.5, 3578.5 Support levels: 3545.9, 3526, 3508 NFP data will determine the short-term trend. A weak report will lead to growth to $3600+, while a strong report will lead to a correction to 3450-3400. Technically, I expect a correction after the local bullish structure breaks down. It is not worth trading on the news; it is better to wait 20-40 minutes after the release to make decisions based on fundamental data. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
Gold Technical Analysis – The Pullback DeepensHi everyone, let’s take a closer look at XAUUSD today! Gold is still trading inside a broad upward channel, but momentum has slowed and the market is now in a corrective phase. After a strong rally, the pullback looks natural — with eyes on the 3,500 zone, where multiple supports converge: horizontal, trendline, and the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This area is the real battleground. Hold the line, and buyers may step back in with force. Lose it, and the bullish structure breaks, paving the way for a deeper decline. Stay sharp, validate your setups, and keep risk under control. Good luck out there!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kenn_Nguyen
4
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
XAUUSD Analysis - FSX🔍 1. Technical Analysis (5-Minute Chart Review) Price Structure Price is currently at $3,549.71, having bounced twice off the $3,545.40 support and lower $3,542.26 support. We're seeing short-term bullish rejection wicks near those support levels, suggesting buying interest. Trend On this intraday (5-min) chart: The market made a lower high and lower low, indicating a short-term downtrend, but this is being tested. There's a potential reversal pattern forming (double bottom or inverse head-and-shoulders near $3,542 area). Key Levels Support: $3,545.40 → Recent double rejection, acting as short-term support $3,542.26 → Stronger horizontal support, tested multiple times Resistance: $3,551.30–$3,552.00 → Immediate resistance (previous lower high) $3,557.00–$3,560.00 → Major intraday resistance (top before breakdown) Indicators (Implied) You have the "Buffett-Ackman RSI Support/Resistance Strategy" on — not shown directly, but the levels drawn seem to support RSI-based oversold zones near support. Short-term candles are shrinking in body with long wicks → sign of buyer absorption of selling pressure. 🌐 2. Fundamental Analysis (As of Sept 5, 2025) Macro Backdrop USD Strength: Likely remains strong due to higher interest rates by the Fed (continuing 2024 tightening). Inflation: If inflation remains sticky, it supports USD but also Gold due to its inflation hedge. Geo-Political Risks: Any tensions (Russia/Ukraine, China/Taiwan) can spike gold as a safe haven. Bond Yields: Rising yields pressure Gold due to opportunity cost of holding it. If yields cool, gold rallies. Upcoming Events to Watch US NFP (Jobs Data): If weak, USD drops and Gold may pump. Fed Commentary: If dovish, bullish for gold. CPI or PCE Inflation Data: Any downside surprise could trigger upside in Gold. ✅ 3. Trade Plan (Pro Setup) 🟢 Trade Idea: Long (Buy) XAUUSD – Countertrend Intraday Reversal Entry: $3,546.00 (Buy limit just above the strong support zone) Stop Loss: $3,540.50 (Below key swing low and liquidity zone) Take Profit 1: $3,552.00 (Intraday resistance) Take Profit 2: $3,557.00 (Key structure resistance) Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 minimum 🛡️ Reasoning: Bullish rejection wicks on support zone ($3,542–$3,545) Possible RSI oversold condition Double bottom / consolidation = base formation Risk tightly defined below structure Fed uncertainty and safe haven bids can cause sudden spikes ⚠️ Alternative Scenario – If It Breaks Down If $3,542.00 breaks convincingly with volume, then: Flip bias short Sell Below: $3,540.00 Target: $3,532.00–$3,528.00 Stop: $3,546.00 Reason: Clear breakdown of structure with liquidity hunt done
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by rigsa104
1
Gold before NFP (what are the new targets?)Gold has recently reached a new all-time high at $3,578. In my view, today's NFP and Unemployment Rate generally favor the U.S. dollar, which could initially push gold lower toward the $3,500 level — a key psychological round number. However, in the bigger picture, gold still looks bullish both technically and fundamentally, especially with the Federal Reserve expected to start cutting interest rates soon. This could eventually drive prices higher, potentially toward $3,600 and beyond to new record highs. short term targets: 3535 - 3527 - 3510 keep an eye on news... Do not forget risk management. good luck
OANDA:XAUUSD
by aliatashi17
1
GOLD Will Go Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,341.21. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,450.36 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Pullback or trend reversal? One article gives you the answerGold fell nearly $60 in the Asian session, providing an opportunity for a pullback. It rebounded after touching the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3520-3500. The current stage is a process of gold correction, with intraday fluctuations as the main feature. A major trend change may occur after the release of NFP data tomorrow. Although there is a downward correction at present, the bullish momentum is still there and it has not effectively fallen below the previous top and bottom conversion positions. Both bulls and bears have opportunities in the short term. In the short term, focus on 3550-3560. If it fails to rebound effectively and stabilize above, it will continue to fluctuate today. Friends who execute long trades based on yesterday’s trading strategy can consider exiting the market near 3550-3560. The focus today is on the release of ADP data, which will provide a certain reference direction for the possible trend of NFP data tomorrow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
2
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & Distribution into new HighsMarket Context BTC is currently printing a series of higher lows, which signals a bullish underlying trend despite short-term volatility. Each dip has been defended, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier with every pullback. This type of structure often builds the foundation for an eventual breakout higher. Consolidation Phase After the strong bounce from recent lows, price has moved into a tight consolidation range. This is a classic "cooling-off" period where liquidity builds up and traders wait for direction. Consolidations at this stage often precede expansion moves, and the side that breaks tends to dictate the next wave of momentum. Bullish Fair Value Gap & Fakeout Just below the consolidation lies a Bullish Fair Value Gap. Price may fake out to the downside into this zone, trapping breakout sellers and filling imbalance before reclaiming levels. This setup is particularly interesting because the higher-timeframe structure still favors the bulls, making the FVG a potential springboard for continuation. Distribution into New Highs If the FVG reacts as expected, the next phase would likely be distribution into new highs. That means clearing out liquidity above the consolidation and targeting the next round of upside expansion. In this scenario, the higher lows, the fakeout trap, and the FVG all align to fuel the breakout. Final Thoughts The higher-low structure gives this setup a bullish tilt, but the real clue will come from how price behaves around the Fair Value Gap. A clean reaction there could be the trigger for a sharp push into new highs. If this breakdown gave you clarity on the structure, a like would be appreciated — and drop your thoughts in the comments. Do you expect the fakeout into the FVG, or are you positioned differently?
Long
by Louigi_24
70
GOLD H1 | Bearish reversal off swing high resistanceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 3,573.66, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 3,573.66, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 3,484.30, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Trump’s Bond Strategy vs. Saylor’s High-Stakes Bitcoin BetBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) Macro Analysis: Trump’s Bond Strategy vs. Saylor’s High-Stakes Bitcoin Bet 1. Trump’s Bond Play and Crypto Ventures: A Dual Macro Hedge Since returning to office in January 2025, Donald Trump has purchased over $100 million in corporate and municipal bonds, including debt from Meta, Citigroup, and local governments. These purchases are notable for two reasons: Yield Lock: Trump’s bond buys were made at yields near 5%, a level not seen since the pre-2022 low-rate era. If the Federal Reserve cuts rates as expected in late 2025, the value of these bonds will rise, and their fixed 5% coupons will become increasingly attractive compared to new, lower-yielding issues. Policy Alignment: Trump has publicly pressured the Fed to lower rates, which would further inflate the value of his bond portfolio. His administration’s fiscal and trade policies (e.g., tariffs, deregulation) could also indirectly support bond markets by stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. Trump’s Crypto Ventures: Profiting from the Public Unlike traditional crypto investors, the Trump family’s involvement in the sector is not built on holding Bitcoin or other digital assets. Instead, their companies focus on selling crypto-related products, cashing in on trading fees, and enriching themselves at the expense of an uninformed public. These ventures have been widely criticized as predatory, leveraging Trump’s political influence and public persona to attract unsuspecting investors into high-fee, low-value schemes—effectively an open scam that prioritizes short-term profits over genuine market participation. Implications for Bitcoin: If rates fall, bond yields become less competitive with risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially driving capital back into crypto. However, Trump’s bond strategy and his family’s exploitative crypto ventures signal a preference for traditional financial instruments and extractive business models over supportive crypto policies. This could temper any positive impact on Bitcoin from his administration’s economic agenda. 2. Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy: A Leveraged Bitcoin Bet MicroStrategy, under Michael Saylor, has become the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with over 446,000 BTC (worth ~$50 billion as of September 2025). The company’s strategy relies heavily on convertible debt issuance: Debt Structure: MicroStrategy has issued billions in zero- or ultra-low-interest convertible notes (as low as 0.625%), using the proceeds to buy Bitcoin. This allows the company to avoid high interest payments and benefit from Bitcoin’s price appreciation. Risks: Leverage: If Bitcoin’s price falls sharply, MicroStrategy may face margin calls or be forced to sell BTC to meet debt obligations, exacerbating downward pressure on $BTCUSD. Equity Dilution: The company’s aggressive stock issuance (planned dilution from 330M to 10B shares) could depress shareholder value if Bitcoin underperforms. Recent Performance: MicroStrategy’s stock NASDAQ:MSTR has outperformed Bitcoin in 2024–2025, but its valuation is now highly correlated with BTC’s price and market sentiment toward leverage. 3. Federal Reserve Policy: The Wild Card Current Rates: The Fed has held rates at 4.25–4.50% since late 2024, but markets anticipate cuts in late 2025 (potentially 0.50–0.75% by year-end). Impact on Bitcoin: Rate Cuts: Historically, lower rates boost risk assets. Bitcoin could benefit from increased liquidity and weaker dollar, as seen in late 2024 when BTC rallied following Fed easing. Inflation & Macro Risks: If cuts are delayed or inflation resurges, Bitcoin may face headwinds as investors favor bonds or cash. 4. The Crypto Winter Thesis: Is Doomsday Coming? Bull Case: If the Fed cuts aggressively and liquidity floods markets, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory, especially if institutional demand (e.g., ETF inflows) remains strong. Bear Case: MicroStrategy’s Leverage: A sharp BTC drop could force NASDAQ:MSTR to liquidate holdings, triggering a cascade effect. Regulatory Risks: Trump’s bond focus, his family’s extractive crypto ventures, and potential regulatory crackdowns could dampen sentiment. Macro Uncertainty: Geopolitical tensions, recession fears, or a stronger-than-expected dollar could further pressure risk assets. Technical Outlook: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading at $109,430 (as of September 4, 2025), up 1.63% over the past week but still range-bound between $107K–$112K. Support/Resistance: Watch $105K (psychological support) and $115K (next resistance). A breakout or breakdown here could signal the next major move. Conclusion: A Tale of Two Strategies Trump’s bond purchases and push for rate cuts could indirectly benefit Bitcoin by reducing the appeal of fixed income, but his administration’s stance on crypto, and his family’s history of exploiting the public through crypto ventures, remains a significant red flag. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy’s leveraged Bitcoin bet is a high-risk, high-reward play that could either propel BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to new highs or accelerate a downturn if forced liquidations occur. Traders should monitor: Fed meetings (next: September 16–17, 2025) for rate cut signals. MicroStrategy’s debt maturity schedule and Bitcoin holdings. Trump’s policy shifts on crypto regulation and fiscal stimulus, as well as any new developments in his family’s crypto-related businesses. Final Thought: The stage is set for a volatile Q4 2025. While the macro backdrop favors risk assets if the Fed eases, the specter of leverage unwinding, regulatory risks, and the Trump family’s extractive crypto practices looms large. Caution and active risk management are advised. NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:COIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MARA BITSTAMP:ETHUSD CRYPTOCAP:USDC NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
The world gold price increase shows signs of slowing downThe global gold price rally has shown signs of slowing as short-term futures traders booked profits after gold hit an all-time high and silver hit a 14-year high on Wednesday. “We are seeing some profit-taking, but gold remains in an uptrend. Expectations of interest rate cuts and concerns about the independence of the US Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to boost safe-haven demand,” said Brian Lan, director of GoldSilver Central. While gold has yet to hit that target, analysts said they are taking profits on concerns about upcoming news risks. The bank also noted that market volatility related to global trade issues has cooled, and long positions are showing signs of “condensing” again, which could limit the upside in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
1
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expecting price to pull lower toward demand areas before the next bullish leg. ________________________________________ 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity) • Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 • Stop Loss: 3,535 • Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones 1. Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 o Stop Loss: 3,470 o Target: 3,508 – 3,526 2. Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 o Stop Loss: 3,435 o Target: 3,500+ ________________________________________ ⚖️ SMC Bias • Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. • Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. • Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD – FED dovish, gold extends momentum; SELL only for scalp⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD 1. Market Waves 🌍 The probability of a FED rate cut in September has surged to 96.6% (from 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects. Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, turned dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance, with a scenario of just one cut. As a result, flows rushed back into gold as the #1 safe haven , fueling a strong rally last night. 📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time): ADP Nonfarm (7:15) Jobless Claims (7:30) ISM Services PMI (9:00) 👉 This trio of data could trigger significant volatility for GOLD. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ M30/H1 Chart: gold keeps forming bullish BOS , with the main trend still upward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): old Order Block, strong support if price retraces. Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): suitable only for short-term scalps. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): aligned with fibo 0.618–0.786 resistance, high chance of strong supply. Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3,477 – 3,479 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx 🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – short-term only) Entry: 3,561 – 3,563 SL: 3,569 TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – strong resistance) Entry: 3,573 – 3,575 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ “The gold sail is filled with dovish winds from the FED. Golden Harbor 🏝️ 3477 remains the safe anchor to ride the trend. SELL setups are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Russel 2000 | H4 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders. Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod. 🧐 Market Overview: Since April 2025, this rally has been powering higher, leaving little room for pullbacks. But momentum is starting to show cracks — indicators are flashing signs of exhaustion. This doesn’t mean a sharp drop is guaranteed; markets often pause and drift sideways to shake off overbought pressure. What I’m watching closely now is whether a head and shoulders pattern takes shape. If price steps into and closes in my entry zone, it could mark the start of a deeper pullback, but confirmation is key before jumping in. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.9 Entry: 2,359.6 Stop Loss: 2,379.7 Take Profit 1 (50%): 2,292.9 Take Profit 2 (50%): 2,258.7 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation keeps you aligned with probability and protects you from unnecessary losses. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Short
by GTradingMethod
2
SP500 Structure Shift: Sell Zone ActivatedHey Guys 👋 I’ve prepared an SP500 analysis for you. Since the market structure has shifted, I’ll be opening a sell position from my designated sell zone. 📌 Entry: 6,474.90 📌 Stop: 6,522.12 🎯 TP1: 6,459.79 🎯 TP2: 6,425.80 🎯 TP3: 6,371.54 RISK REWARD - 2,21 Every single like you send my way is a huge source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone supporting with a like 🙏
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by TraderTilki
22
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – Key Levels and Trading StrategMarket Overview Gold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum since late August, but the current structure reveals signs of exhaustion around the 3,565 – 3,570 zone, marked as a Weak High. Price action on the H1 timeframe shows multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and liquidity sweeps, suggesting a potential short-term correction before the next directional move. The EMA layers (20 – 50 – 100 – 200) remain supportive of the medium-term uptrend, yet sellers are defending the resistance zone aggressively. Key Support and Resistance Zones Major Resistance (Plan A): 3,565 – 3,570 (Weak High zone). Immediate Support: 3,538 – 3,540. Key Demand Zone (Plan B): 3,505 – 3,515 and deeper at 3,471. A confirmed break below 3,471 could extend the retracement toward 3,440 – 3,400. Trading Plans Scalp Sell (Plan A – Primary Setup) Entry: 3,566.xx – 3,555.xx Stop Loss: 3,570 Take Profit: 3,525 → extend toward 3,505 Rationale: Shorting from resistance, capitalizing on liquidity above Weak High. Buy the Dip (Plan B – Secondary Setup) Entry: 3,505 – 3,515 or 3,471 Stop Loss: below 3,460 Take Profit: 3,538 → 3,565 Rationale: Buying from strong demand zones aligned with EMA confluence. Conclusion Gold is likely to consolidate around 3,550 before retesting the 3,565 – 3,570 resistance. Scalp selling from the upper zone offers the best short-term opportunity, while a deeper retracement toward 3,505 – 3,471 could provide an attractive buy-the-dip setup in line with the broader bullish trend. Stay alert to intraday price reactions and manage risk carefully. Save this outlook for reference throughout today’s session to track how price develops.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
SILVER, MONSTER RISE AHEAD targeting 3 digit pricing!!! SEED NOWFirst things first. Chart is based on reverse metrics of GOLD/SIVER. SILVER, is usually the supporting actor of the main star GOLD for months. During GOLD's relentless series of rise from 1900 -- silver has been pretty much on the low key state in terms of volume exposure and media mileage but that is about to change soon. Recent long term data metrics is hinting of a massive reversal to the upside after that elusive 14-year downtrend break. This event does not come often, so THIS IS VERY SPECIAL -- a once in a lifetime opportunity. Based on our diagram, we are seeing some expanding upside pressure this past few weeks rendering a strong break of this long standing resistance trend that lasted years -- which started from 0.033 on April 2011 to finally tapping an extreme lows at 0.09 on January 2025. This HUGE SHIFT is giving some clues already of whats about to transpire in the next few months -- to break barriers. Now things are shifting BIG TIME for SILVER as recent price surge this past few weeks has depicted a very significant net long positioning on a grand time scale (long term). Since the start of 2025, SILVER has already risen almost 40% from its lows. An impressive feat. This yearly percentile growth is hinting of a bigger picture as we move forward -- to rise further, and explore new high HIGHS in the next few seasons. This recent massive break -- 14 years in the making should warrant significant positioning already both in retail and institutions. I'm expecting SILVER to supercede gold in terms of percentile growth metrics % because of the wide price difference ratio. SILVER will continue to grab good attention from hereon as increasing demand of this metal will just inflate its prices -- moreso, with apparent depleting supplies. To add to this, US has proposed adding silver to its Critical Minerals List, reflecting its vital industrial, technological, and national security importance, especially for renewable energy, electronics, and medical applications. The draft 2025 list by the USGS and Department of the Interior includes silver for the first time, aiming to boost domestic supply security and reduce reliance on imports by providing incentives for mining and recycling. With all these factored in, SILVER should be a no-brainer part of your portfolio starting today. Rewards will be far greater than you will ever imagine. Current price: 39.0 Target 100. Long term Target 200-400. TAYOR. Trade safely.
OANDA:XAUXAGLong
by JSAL
14
Gold Before NFP – The Calm Before the StormGold finished the session near 3545, caught right in the middle of its range. This is no accident — the market often slows down and builds tension before major data like Non-Farm Payrolls. On the higher timeframes, the trend remains bullish, but the battlefield is clear: Above, the big wall sits around 3565–3585, a wide supply zone where liquidity has been building. Below, strong demand is waiting between 3500–3480, the deeper shelf that buyers have defended many times. For now, price is hovering in the middle, in a wide decision area between 3555 and 3530. Moves inside this box are just noise — the true direction will only appear once NFP provides the catalyst. 📌 The bigger picture: A breakout above 3565–3585 could open the door to new highs. A breakdown below 3530 could unlock the path back into 3500–3480 support. Until then, patience is the real edge. ✨ What do you think — will NFP give us the breakout, or will gold revisit the deeper support shelves first? Share your view 👇 — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Will gold prices continue to rise on September 4th? I. Fundamental Analysis Strong safe-haven demand Weak US economic data (manufacturing has contracted for six consecutive months), trade policy uncertainty, and heightened global geopolitical risks are driving investors toward the safety of gold. Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have intensified (the market is betting on an over 80% probability of a September rate cut). The prospect of falling real interest rates is supporting long-term strength in gold prices. The cumulative increase this year is 34.5%, significantly outperforming other assets, reflecting the market's concerns about systemic risks. Key Event Risks Non-farm payroll data (September 5th): If the employment data falls short of expectations, it could strengthen the case for a rate cut, further boosting gold prices. Federal Reserve interest rate decision (September 17): If a dovish signal is released or an interest rate cut is implemented, gold prices may break through previous highs; if a hawkish surprise occurs, it may trigger a short-term correction. II. Technical Analysis Trend Structure The bullish trend remains intact: Both the weekly and daily charts are in an ascending channel. A breakout from the end of the triangle consolidation could theoretically target the 3650 area. Key Support and Defense Lines: Short-term Support: 3545-3535 (Intraday Bull-Bear Divider) Strong Support: 3505-3500 (Bulls' last line of defense; a break below indicates a weakening trend) Resistance Area: 3555-3560 (4-hour Bollinger Band upper band) 3575-3585 Time Patterns and Trading Rhythm Asian Session: Frequently sees a surge followed by a decline or oscillation; avoid chasing the ups and downs. European session: Volatility narrowed, mostly building momentum for the US session. US Session: Regularly strengthening over the past two weeks. III. Comprehensive Trading Strategy Key Strategy: Buy low and go long (follow the trend before it breaks), sell high and go short only as a counter-trend short-term strategy. Specific Strategy: Long Opportunities: Buy lightly on pullbacks to 3540-3535, stop loss at 3525, target 3555-3560. If it falls to the 3505-3500 area, add to your long position with a stop-loss at 3495 and a target of 3550-3580. Short Opportunities: Test short positions on the first touch of 3575-3585 (strict stop-loss at 3590), with a target of 3550-3540. If the Asia-Europe session falls below 3535, short sell when it rebounds to around 3540, with the target at 3520-3505. Risk Management Tips: Single stop-loss should not exceed 2% of principal, and positions should be halved before the non-farm payroll report. If it breaks through 3585 strongly, the short selling order will be invalid, and the long position needs to wait for confirmation after a pullback. IV. Key Notes: Intraday data is light, but be wary of sudden geopolitical news disruptions. If the US dollar index moves unexpectedly during the US trading session, adjust your positions flexibly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind