GOLD | Daily Analysis #1 - 29 October 2025Hello and welcome back to DP
Today we’re excited to launch our Gold daily analysis series. We hope this new addition provides useful and practical insights for your trading decisions. Please support us with your follows and reactions — it really helps us grow!
Market Review:
After a strong bullish run over the past 2–3 weeks, gold finally started to correct from October 20, 2025, continuing its decline up until yesterday.
On the daily timeframe, we’ve identified:
• Support: 3,897
• Resistance: 4,155
Today’s trading session is particularly important as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is due.
According to CME FedWatch, there’s about a 95% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points.
Until the announcement, we may see choppy and sideways movement, but once the decision is released, expect a surge in volume and sharp “kangaroo” moves in both directions as traders react to the news.
1H–4H Technical Analysis:
As seen on the chart, 3,897 and 4,155 remain our key daily support and resistance zones.
• If price breaks above 4,012 and confirms the breakout, gold may extend higher toward 4,083 as the first upside target.
• On the other hand, if price drops below 3,974, it may continue falling toward the 3,897 support zone.
With the Fed’s rate decision approaching, expect increased volatility.
Whichever direction price confirms after the announcement could set the tone for gold’s next major move.
Trade cautiously, keep your stop-loss tight, and avoid chasing price during the initial volatility spike.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
Metals
Gold Side Trade IdeaOur main trade is ongoing with our stoploss level taken down to prevent any risk of loss while keeping our TP level unchanged.
With that in mind and the positive news from AI sector and possibility of fentanyl tariffs written off for China, gold's upward correction might come to a quick end. A wedge formation formed close to 4000 also supports the downward case. Entry: 3987 Stop: 4013 TP: 3914
Note: This is a side trade idea and indipendent from our main trade.
Focus on the Federal Reserve, short once in 4020.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Last night, I gave everyone a trading strategy to short at 3975-3990. It can be said that there were several opportunities after the Asian session opened. As long as you followed the strategy and executed the short order, I believe you will definitely have a rich return if you seize any of the opportunities.
However, please note that trading is never done blindly. Price trends change over time, so please combine strategies with flexible responses. For example, since the current gold price has broken through the trendline resistance, short-term traders should be more cautious.
With the trend resistance broken, the short-term bulls have strengthened further. The first resistance level to watch is 4000-4005. As a psychological barrier for previous defense, gold prices will definitely test this resistance level first if they want to rise further. If this level is broken, gold will continue its upward trend and further test yesterday's rebound high of 4020. This is also the key level that bears need to defend today. Therefore, I believe we should not rush into trading in the short term. We can patiently observe the market performance. When the gold price rebounds to the 4010-4020 resistance range and encounters resistance, we can consider shorting gold appropriately.
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected
Bearish Reversal : 3978
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
➕Bias: Bullish & bearish Reversal
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
Goal: Controlled with minimal drawdown
Tactical Edge: Reversal Protocol through liquidity engineering
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
Xauusd✅ Current XAU/USD Setup
Setup Type: Bearish continuation (short after pullback)
Entry (Sell Limit): 3958.00
Stop Loss: 3980.00
Take Profit 1: 3910.00
Take Profit 2: 3875.00
Price is currently reacting to a previous supply zone after a clean pullback, showing clear rejection wicks on M15 and M30 timeframes.
Market structure remains bearish — we’ve had consecutive BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside and no CHoCH indicating reversal yet.
Ideal entry is if price retests the 3955–3960 region and shows bearish confirmation (rejection candle or engulfing).
Market context:
Gold continues to trade under pressure below the 4,000 psychological level; sellers remain in control as long as 3980–4000 holds as resistance.
DeGRAM | GOLD seeks to decline📊 Technical Analysis
● Price trends inside a descending channel, posting lower highs after rejections at ~4045; latest pullback broke intraday base and points toward mid-channel.
● Bearish structure with failed bounce at prior support (~3950) keeps momentum down; next magnet sits near 3855 (channel/HTF support confluence).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Short-term bearish: stronger USD and improved risk appetite recently weighed on gold after the retest of record highs, triggering corrective pressure.
✨ Summary
● Bias: short toward 3950 → 3855, invalidation above 4045. Key levels: 4045 (res), 3950/3855 (supports).
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GOLD → Sell-off due to uncertainty FX:XAUUSD is falling, the trend is downward, and we have confirmation of this. Profit-taking is leading to a decline, which is causing buyers to exit the market...
Caution ahead of the Fed: Markets are pricing in a 25 bp rate cut, but the main thing is the tone of the statement and Powell's comments on further steps. The USD is not ready to continue its growth and is starting to look downwards. The US government shutdown continues, adding uncertainty, which supports gold.
However, an important issue is the trade deal between the US and China; a positive outcome could put pressure on gold.
Gold is balancing between hopes for a trade truce and risks from Fed policy.
Support levels: 3895, 3820
Resistance levels: 3943, 3975, 4015
Since the opening of the session, the price has fallen by 2.3%, which is an intraday range. The 3900-3895 area may see a reaction in the form of a false breakdown and a correction to the imbalance zone before a possible further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 45.69877
💰TP: 41.19089
⛔️SL: 48.77557
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals remain a mid-term sell priority. For silver, the most likely scenario is the formation of a small accumulation near 47.48680 (main scenario), where the price expectedly paused its decline. Given the Fed's interest rate decision today, we can't rule out volatility, which could lead to a retest of the point of control (POC) area around 48.80 (alternative scenario). The downside target remains in the 41-42 range.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.33660
💰TP: 1.31160
⛔️SL: 1.34654
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The pound's first downside targets, previously noted, have already been reached, namely 1.33000. Sell priority remains, but given potential volatility (the Fed's interest rate decision is today) and the presence of seller liquidity near 1.34 (sellers's stop-loss levels), a short-term strengthening of the pound is likely. This doesn't change the mid-term trend, and downside targets of 1.32, 1.31, and 1.30 are still being looked for.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3968.251
💰TP: 3623.107
⛔️SL: 4088.396
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals have broken the lower border of previously identified accumulations. For gold, this is the price range of 4005 - 4143, indicating a highly probable downward impulse previously anticipated toward the 3600 - 3700 region. Currently, the main scenario is a breakout and entry around 3970. If the stop loss is triggered, re-entries can be considered.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
GOLD will return to the Fibonacci level after a sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD The price recently experienced a sharp sell-off and, after being strongly rejected at a key resistance level, is now entering a stabilization phase. We’re currently in a consolidation phase, where the selling pressure is gradually subsiding.
If buyers can hold this level and push the price higher, the next target will be the Fibonacci retracement zone of 0.5–0.618, ranging between 4,000 and 4,020. This is a critical area, as it could mark the point where sellers may re-enter the market, creating further fluctuations.
Wishing you all successful trades and substantial profits!
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975, Potential for Further Downside
Gold continues to trade under selling pressure after failing to break above the 3975 resistance zone, which has acted as a strong ceiling for price several times in recent sessions. On the H1 timeframe, the market structure remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
After a brief consolidation around 3965–3985, price appears to be creating a distribution range, suggesting potential continuation to the downside once liquidity above this minor range is collected.
Key Technical Zones:
Resistance: 3975 – 3985
Support: 3910 – 3880, with extended targets near 3820
Trading Strategy:
Traders may consider short opportunities near 3975–3980 if the price confirms rejection with bearish engulfing or RSI divergence.
First profit target around 3910, and extended target near 3880.
If gold breaks and holds above 3985, it could invalidate the short bias and trigger a short-term correction toward 4020–4030.
Technical Confluence:
EMA trend slope still points downward
RSI below 50 confirms bearish momentum
Fibonacci retracement 0.618 aligns with resistance zone
Today’s price action may remain range-bound ahead of key U.S. economic data later in the week, but as long as price holds below 3985, the bearish outlook remains intact.
Follow for more daily gold trading insights and strategic updates.
GC Futures – Are We Flipping Bearish Into Midweek?Tuesday closed below Monday’s low, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Currently, price is approaching a 1H FVG inside the prior Asian range, just below the Weekly Low (W-L) and Daily High (D-H) — a perfect liquidity pocket.
I’m watching for signs of rejection here to confirm a bearish continuation. If price holds above this area, we may see a short squeeze back into higher value.
Bias remains bearish, but confirmation is key.
What are you seeing here — are we setting up for continuation or a fakeout?
#Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #ICT #NoFOMO
Gold Analysis: Price action is back... Revised Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD)
1. Current Market Situation
Your technical view remains sharp. The market has seen a significant break below the major psychological level of $4,000 per ounce. It is currently consolidating in the $3,940 - $3,980 range, attempting to find its footing after this major drop.
This pullback has been driven by short-term fundamental factors, primarily a reduction in "safe-haven" demand due to easing US-China trade tensions and significant profit-taking.
2. The Critical Resistance Zone: $4113
Your identification of $4113 as the key resistance is a crucial correction. This level isn't just a minor pivot; it's a major structural ceiling, likely representing a recent high or a significant reversal point.
The $4,000 - $4,018 area, which was just broken, now acts as the first minor hurdle, but $4113 is the true test of the bullish trend.
Your Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Rejection (Your "Hard to Go Up" Thesis) You are correct. If gold attempts a rally from its current price but fails to reclaim the $4113 level, it will be a powerful bearish confirmation. This failure would signal that the recent break below $4000 was not a small correction but the start of a much deeper move, with **$3770** as the logical target.
Scenario 2: Breakout (Your "Return to Previous Rate" Thesis) This is the long-term bullish-continuation scenario. If the price can stabilize, build momentum, and eventually push back above $4113, it would invalidate the entire recent sell-off. This would prove the drop was just a deep pullback, trapping short-sellers and signaling a strong move to new, higher records.
3. The Powerful Support Zone: $3,770
Your identification of "377" (the $3,770 area) remains the most critical support floor. This is a major structural level that everyone is watching.
Key Moving Average: This zone aligns perfectly with the 50-day moving average (approx. $3,767), a key dynamic support level for institutional traders.
Structural Lows: It also lines up with other identified pivot points (e.g., $3,830 and $3,754) and the 1-month low.
A decisive break below this $3,770 zone would be a very serious bearish development, signaling a potential medium-term trend change.
4. Key Fundamental Drivers (The "Why")
The technicals are being driven by a powerful "tug-of-war" between opposing fundamental forces:
Bearish Pressure (Short-Term):
Geopolitics: Optimism around US-China trade talks is pulling money out of safe havens like gold and into "risk-on" assets like stocks.
Profit-Taking: After a historic rally, many large funds are selling to lock in massive profits.
Bullish Support (Long-Term):
Federal Reserve Policy: This is the most important factor. The market has priced in a ~96% probability of a Fed interest rate cut today (October 29). Lower interest rates make non-yielding gold more attractive.
U.S. Dollar: Fed cuts tend to weaken the US Dollar, which makes gold (priced in USD) cheaper for international buyers.
Central Bank Buying: Global central banks continue to be massive buyers of gold, providing a strong, consistent baseline of demand.
GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD reacted precisely from the horizontal supply area, showing displacement and lower-timeframe structure breaks. A bearish move is expected as liquidity above the previous high was swept.
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Stop Loss: 3,993$
Take Profit: 3,882$
Entry: 3,938$
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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$GOLD is COOKED! Rotation into $BTC Soon!!MARKETS ARE SIGNALING RISK-ON 🔥
TVC:GOLD is so unbelievably COOKED 👨🍳
3 Black Crowes printed on the Daily, with a decisive close below the 20MA 🗡️
Waiting on the final nail in the coffin to close below the DANGER ZONE ~$3,900 where we will then see GOLD retest the 50MA along with the 50% Gann retrace $~3,750 ⚠️
I very much expect the rotation into CRYPTOCAP:BTC soon 👑
SILVER: Bullish, But Retracing. Sell The Dip, Buy At the +FVG!SIlver, like the other metals, is bullish. Currently, price is retracement. This could present a selling opportunity.
The -FVG is holding price at bay, If the market continues to respect this premium array, look for short term sells down to the sellside liquidity at the relative equal lows at 46.70, in
route to the Weekly +FVG.
There, we will look for high probability buy setups.
This is an ERL to IRL move, my peoples.
*Price may sweep the consolidation high before dropping lower. So be mindful of the potential for a liquidity event before the move.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD: Bullish, But Retracing! Short Term Sell Opportunity!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st.
Gold is still bullish, the current pullback it's in notwithstanding. Waiting patiently for valid buy setups is the sure way to go.
That being said, there is sell setup that could present an short-term opportunity. The Daily -FVG is currently holding price in check. Should price return to it and it continues to hold, a valid sell opportunity could present itself.
Be careful, as it is counter-trend. They can be lower-probability.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAU/USD Completing Wave Y: Final Dip Before RallyGold has completed its major 5-wave rise and is now finishing a corrective W-X-Y pattern. The recent drop looks like the final leg of this correction, meaning sellers are getting weaker. Price may show a small bounce up and then one last dip to complete the correction. After that final drop, a strong new uptrend is expected to start again. In short: correction ending soon, last dip big bullish move ahead.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
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