Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe..Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe — here’s what the technical setup indicates:
Current price: around $4,107
Structure: Rising channel (uptrend), but price recently rejected the upper boundary.
Indicators: There’s a clear blue arrow pointing downward, suggesting a short-term correction.
Support zones:
First near $4,050 – $4,030 (mid-channel support)
Second near $4,000 – $3,995 (cloud & lower trendline support — also marked “Target Point” on my chart)
✅ Short-term Target: $4,000 – $3,995
If the bearish momentum continues, it might test the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud near $3,975.
⚠ Invalidation:
If price closes above $4,145, the bearish correction setup fails and the bullish channel continues.
So, my target zone = $4,000 ±10.
Metals
BTC/USD (Bitcoin) chart pattern..BTC/USD (Bitcoin) 1D (Daily) chart 👇
✅ Current Price: around $110,685
✅ Trend: Bearish breakdown — price has clearly broken below the long-term ascending trendline.
✅ Market structure: After rejecting near $117,000, BTC dropped below both the Ichimoku cloud and the trendline — confirming downside pressure.
---
🎯 Target Levels (Downside)
1. Primary Target: $100,000 – $98,000
2. Extended / Final Target: $94,000 – $92,000
This is the second target point shown on my chart.
It would be the next major support if BTC continues falling after $98,000 breaks.
---
🛡 Resistance / Stop-Loss
Immediate resistance: $113,000 – $114,000 (broken trendline retest zone).
Stop-loss for short trades: above $115,000 – $116,000 (invalidates bearish setup).
---
🔍 Summary
Trend bias: Bearish (break of trendline + below cloud)
Sell zone: $111,000 – $113,000
Target 1: $100,000 – $98,000
Target 2: $94,000 – $93,000
Stop-loss: above $115,000
Ethereum (ETH/USD) 1-hour chart Pattern...Ethereum (ETH/USD) 1-hour chart from Coinbase, with Ichimoku Cloud and a downtrend breakout drawn — here’s the clear target breakdown:
🔹 Current Price
≈ $3,965
🔹 First Target Zone
$4,280 – $4,320
This aligns with the first “Target Point” shown on my chart.
It represents the initial resistance after a confirmed breakout and retest of the cloud.
may i expect some profit-taking or short-term pullback here.
🔹 Second Target Zone
$4,550 – $4,600
This is my final target on the chart.
It marks the upper resistance and aligns with the Ichimoku cloud’s future projection and previous structure highs.
---
📈 Summary:
Target Price Range Comment
🎯 Target 1 $4,280 – $4,320 Short-term target after breakout confirmation
🎯 Target 2 $4,550 – $4,600 Mid-term target if momentum continues
GBP/USD (1H chart) ...GBP/USD (1H chart)
Current price: around 1.3274
Breakout trendline: downward sloping, recently broken
Support zone: near 1.3200 – 1.3220 (highlighted green area)
Resistance/Target zones: marked as “Target Point” on my chart
From the chart structure and Ichimoku breakout:
🎯 Target Levels
1. First target (near-term): 1.3370 – 1.3380
→ This aligns with the first “Target Point” on my chart (post-breakout resistance area).
2. Second target (major target): 1.3470 – 1.3490
→ This matches my higher “Target Point” level and previous supply zone/resistance.
🔄 Summary
Target Type Price Zone Comment
TP1 1.3370 – 1.3380 Short-term breakout target
TP2 1.3470 – 1.3490 Extended bullish target if momentum continues
SL (Suggested) Below 1.3220 To protect against false breakout
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Continues to Respect the AscendingGold remains strongly bullish within its rising parallel channel, confirming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the H1 timeframe. Each correction phase has been shallow and consistently supported along the midline, signaling strong buyer momentum and institutional support.
At the current stage, price has slightly rejected from the upper boundary near $4,145–4,160, suggesting a short-term pullback could occur before the next leg higher.
Key Technical Levels
Support zone: $4,085–$4,100 (previous swing low and trendline confluence)
Resistance zone: $4,185–$4,220 (channel top and Fibonacci 1.618 extension)
Trendline support: Holding firmly across all swing lows since late September
Trading Strategy
As long as price remains within the ascending channel, the bias stays bullish. The ideal strategy today is to:
Wait for a pullback toward the $4,085–$4,100 zone
Look for bullish confirmation (EMA rebound or RSI bounce from 50)
Target the next resistance around $4,200–$4,220
A clean break and close above $4,220 could open the path to $4,250+ in the upcoming sessions.
Summary
The market structure is still intact and momentum supports further upside. Short-term retracements can be used to re-enter long positions at better prices. Traders should maintain patience and discipline, aligning with the dominant bullish trend.
Remember — trend is your friend until it bends.
Follow for more daily gold strategies and updated setups.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 14thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4200, Support: 3945
4-Hour Resistance: 4180, Support: 4060
1-Hour Resistance: 4145, Support: 4090
From a technical perspective, after yesterday's surge to 4100, gold continued its upward trend today, challenging 4200, reaching a high near 4180. This also indicates that the market is entering a period of acceleration, and a significant downward correction is imminent.
As a result, gold and silver prices began to fall sharply in the Asian market today, with gold prices quickly falling from 4180 to 4090, a $90 drop in just one hour. While a $90 correction may seem significant, it's not an exaggeration compared to the period of the upward trend.
Of course, it's too early to say whether gold will continue to fall sharply. After all, several key levels (last week's high of 4060 and low of 3945) have not yet been broken. For now, the upward trend can only be considered a pause. As long as key support remains, the trend will not easily change.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4090near
BUY: 4060near
Gold Outlook: Analysts Eye $5,000 as Tensions RiseHello everyone,
Gold continues to capture market attention as a new wave of geopolitical and trade tensions fuels safe-haven demand. The US–China dispute reignited after President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports and imposed export restrictions on key software technologies. Beijing responded by tightening rare earth exports, raising fears of a supply shock for the tech industry. This chain of events pushed investors back toward gold, seeking shelter from global uncertainty.
On the macro front, Bank of America has revised its 2026 gold forecast upward to $5,000 per ounce, citing sustained central bank purchases and the likelihood of renewed ETF inflows once the Fed begins rate cuts. These expectations underline gold’s enduring role as the ultimate safe-haven asset.
Technically, gold has broken above the 4,100 USD resistance zone, currently trading near 4,130 USD, signalling that buyers remain in firm control. The 4,100–4,120 USD Fair Value Gap now acts as short-term support, while Ichimoku dynamics reinforce the bullish bias. Should this momentum persist, a move toward 4,200 USD seems plausible in the near term.
Still, some profit-taking could emerge around that level, possibly triggering a pullback toward 4,100 USD before the next leg higher. For patient traders, such retracements might offer ideal “buy-the-dip” opportunities.
What about you — do you see gold pushing through 4,200 soon, or taking a breather first?
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 4137.6
Stop Loss - 4123.3
Take Profit - 4164.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Gold’s Bull Run Continues – Target $4,080+Gold is clearly maintaining strong bullish momentum above $4,000. The market has maintained its upward trajectory since rebounding from the $3,900–$3,920 support zone. This zone acted as a solid demand area, leading to consistent higher highs and higher lows — a clear indication that buyers are dominating.
The recent price action shows a clean breakout above the $3,980–$4,000 resistance area, which has now turned into a new short-term support. The chart also marks a “Weak High” near the current level, suggesting that a minor pullback or consolidation could occur before another bullish push resumes. This retracement could test around $4,010–$4,020 before aiming higher.
The next major resistance levels are visible at $4,060, $4,075, and potentially $4,080–$4,100, which could be the next targets if bullish momentum continues. As long as gold stays above $4,000, the overall market bias remains positive. A sustained break below this zone might trigger a deeper correction toward $3,960 or even $3,940, but that currently looks less likely given the strong bullish structure.
In summary, the short-term outlook remains bullish with expectations of a possible brief dip before continuation toward $4,080+. The trendline support and consistent break of minor resistances confirm strong buyer confidence in the market.
Strong bullish trend continues
Key resistance: $4,072 → $4,132 → $4,150
Support to watch: $3,976 → $3,925
🔹 Buy Zone:
A potential buy zone lies between $4,010 – $4,025, where a short retracement is expected before the next upward move. This area aligns with minor structure support and trendline confluence, making it ideal for re-entry or fresh long positions.
🔹 Buy Trigger:
A strong buy trigger would be a bullish 1-hour candle closing above $4,045, confirming momentum continuation toward the next resistance targets at $4,065, $4,075, and $4,080+.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Surpassing the $4,100 mark amid trade tensionsOANDA:XAUUSD rose sharply in the first session of the week, surpassing the 4,100 USD/ounce mark, a new record high, as investors sought refuge in the context of escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, along with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is about to start a cycle of interest rate cuts.
Earlier, in the trading session on Monday, Spot Gold increased by 2.34% to 4,110.30 USD/ounce, reaching an intraday peak of 4,117.27 USD, massive speculative money flows into the precious metal as global political and trade uncertainties continue to dominate.
Some investors believe that gold can easily maintain the current upward momentum, thanks to a combination of central bank buying, ETF inflows and expectations of Fed policy easing.
US-China tensions spark safe-haven buying
Gold prices accelerated after President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on imports from China and plans to control strategic software exports from November 1, a move seen as a response to Beijing's restrictions on exports of key minerals.
Although Trump assured on social media that "everything will be fine", the market still saw this as the start of a new round of escalation in the trade war.
The risk of additional 100% tariffs is still an unpriced variable and of course all risks are a lucrative bait for gold prices to continue to develop positively.
Fed Moves Closer to Taper Cycle
Expectations for Fed easing continue to underpin non-yielding gold. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a 97% chance of a 25 basis point cut in October, and a 100% chance of a cut in December.
Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) annual conference on Tuesday, which is expected to provide further clarity on the path of monetary policy during this delicate period. A host of other Fed officials are also due to speak this week, as global financial markets react strongly to signals from Washington.
Gold Price Outlook: Long-Term Uptrend Strengthened
According to the latest forecasts, Bank of America and Société Générale both see gold prices surpassing $5,000 an ounce by 2026, while Standard Chartered has raised its 2025 target to $4,488.
Suki Cooper, global head of commodities research at Standard Chartered, said:
“The current rally still has room to run. A short-term technical correction could be a positive signal for a more sustainable uptrend.”
Finally, with trade tensions yet to ease and global monetary policy easing, gold continues to consolidate its position as a strategic haven asset in the current period of economic and geopolitical volatility.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Main trend:
Gold continued its strong uptrend, closing around 4,142 USD/ounce, still within the main uptrend channel.
Resistance: 4,162 – 4,213 – 4,286 USD
Support: 4,100 – 4,060 – 4,000 USD
RSI > 75 shows extremely strong buying momentum, but short-term overbought, a technical correction may appear.
Overview:
The medium-term uptrend remains intact, the next target is towards $4,300, as long as the price holds above $4,000.
RSI warns of short-term fluctuations, prefer buying on corrections rather than chasing prices.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4200 - 4198⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4204
→Take Profit 1 4192
↨
→Take Profit 2 4186
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4113 - 4115⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4109
→Take Profit 1 4121
↨
→Take Profit 2 4127
Gold Prices Overview of Primary Catalyst : October 2025📊 Catalyst Scorecard — Updated (10 = max bullish impulse)
1. Fed Path & Real Yields — 9.0/10 (Bullish)
Markets lean toward additional Fed cuts into year-end as labor-market risks build; dovish signaling around/after Jackson Hole has coincided with record gold prints. Lower real yields remain the single strongest tailwind.
2. U.S. Dollar Trend — 8.0/10 (Bullish)
DXY ~99 keeps FX headwind light for non-USD buyers; any further dollar slippage greases upside.
3. Central-Bank Buying / De-Dollarization — 8.5/10 (Bullish)
Official-sector demand re-accelerated in August after a softer July; 2025 remains a strong year led by EM banks. This sticky, price-insensitive bid keeps floors firm.
4. Trade/Tariff Shock (Latest U.S.–China Escalation) — 8.5/10 (Bullish)
Tariff brinkmanship has re-ignited, with scenarios floating sweeping new/raised U.S. tariffs on China up to triple-digits on some categories. Inflationary impulse + growth uncertainty = safe-haven and hedge demand for gold.
5. ETF & Institutional Flows — 7.5/10 (Bullish)
Record-style inflows in Sept. (largest monthly on WGC data this year) and five straight months in Europe underline broadening participation. Flows amplify macro moves.
6. Systematic/CTA & Options Positioning — 6.5/10 (Mixed → Volatility)
Trend-following and options gamma around big figures ($4,100 / $4,200) are magnifying intraday whipsaws. Inference from price behavior vs. round-number pivots and fresh highs.
7. China Growth/Property Stress — 6.0/10 (Bullish)
Macro fragility + trade tensions keep risk appetite cautious and investment demand for hedges elevated. Macro inference aligned with tariff news and sustained safe-haven bids.
8. U.S. Fiscal & Credit Risk — 6.0/10 (Bullish)
Deficits and periodic funding drama incl. shutdown headlines sustain a background bid for duration-agnostic hedges like gold.
9. Jewelry & Tech Demand — 4.5/10 (Slightly Bearish near records)
At all-time highs, price-sensitive jewelry demand lags (India still seasonally active, but at higher rupee prices); investment demand dominates.
10. Geopolitics (Ukraine/Mideast/Taiwan) — 5.5/10 (Event-Bullish)
Event spikes persist but remain secondary to the rate/FX driver set.
🗂️ Quick Table
Rank Catalyst Score/10 Impact Direction Notes
1 Fed path & real yields 9.0 Very High Bullish Cuts priced; new highs on rate-cut bets.
2 Central-bank buying 8.5 High Bullish Aug net adds; robust 2025.
3 U.S.–China tariff risk 8.5 High Bullish Escalation chatter/looming hikes.
4 U.S. dollar trend 8.0 High Bullish DXY ~99 keeps winds favorable.
5 ETF/institutional flows 7.5 High Bullish Sept set records; 5-mo EU streak.
6 Systematic/CTA flows 6.5 Mod Mixed Round-number gamma, whipsaws.
7 China growth stress 6.0 Mod Bullish Macro fragility + tariffs.
8 U.S. fiscal risk 6.0 Mod Bullish Funding theatrics support hedges.
9 Jewelry/tech demand 4.5 Low Slightly Bearish Price-sensitive demand lags at highs.
10 Geopolitics (broad) 5.5 Low-Mod Event-Bullish Episodic spikes; not primary.
________________________________________
🚀 Street Outlook — Bullish 2026 Calls ≥ $5,000
• Bank of America: lifts 2026 target to $5,000/oz (avg $4,400), citing sustained investment demand and macro hedging.
• Société Générale: referenced alongside BofA in calling potential $5,000 by 2026 amid rate-cut cycle & trade tensions.
Bottom line: High-conviction houses are explicitly flagging $5k scenarios into 2026 on the combo of easier policy, FX tailwinds, and structural buying.
________________________________________
🧨 Spotlight: Latest U.S.–China Tariff Escalation
Tariff rhetoric and policy paths have re-intensified into mid-October, with reports of much higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports incl. 100% in some proposals “looming”. The renewed brinkmanship is elevating inflation and growth uncertainty, a classic support for gold.
________________________________________
🧩 Key Supports & Resistances
Reference: Spot ~$4,123/oz; day’s high ~ $4,179, low ~ $4,091 (Oct 14, 2025).
🔼 Resistances
• $4,180–$4,200: Record high / round-number supply (fresh sellers + optionality).
• $4,250: Next psychological magnet; common options strike/target zone (technical inference).
• $4,300: Major psychological figure; likely heavier gamma/stop clusters (inference).
🔽 Supports
• $4,100: First intraday pivot (today’s congestion).
• $4,000: Major psych level / prior breakout; expect dip-buying and CTA reloads. (Inference supported by recent breakout behavior.)
• $3,900–$3,850: Pullback buffer from prior impulse leg (tech inference).
• $3,750 / $3,700: Deeper mean-reversion shelf if macro data surprises hawkish.
• $3,500: Cycle baseline—would imply a regime shift (low probability barring macro shock).
🧠 Trading implications: Expect chop around $4,100–$4,200 as options/CTA flows battle; decisive acceptance above $4,200 opens a momentum run toward $4,250 → $4,300. Failure to hold $4,100 puts $4,000 in play where physical + ETF dip-buyers likely re-engage.
________________________________________
🌐 Flow & Positioning Notes
• ETFs: September marked the largest monthly inflow of 2025, led by Europe (UK/CH/DE), extending a five-month streak—a textbook confirmation of bull-trend participation.
• Official sector: Net buyers in August; EM central banks remain the anchor bid.
• FX: DXY drift lower = mechanical tailwind; watch for USD squeezes around U.S. data prints.
________________________________________
🧭 Risk Map What Can Derail $5k?
• Hawkish upside surprises in U.S. inflation/growth pushing real yields higher (cuts repriced later/weaker).
• Swift tariff de-escalation dampening inflation hedging bid.
• Positioning washouts near round numbers if CTA trend signals flip (volatility risk).
________________________________________
✅ Bottom Line
Momentum, macro, and flows argue buy-the-dip into $4,000–$4,100 while the $5k-by-2026 narrative strengthens on the Street. Break and hold above $4,200 likely extends the up-leg toward $4,250–$4,300 near term; BofA’s $5,000 2026 call underscores the cycle’s runway.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Correction Within Ascending ChannelPrice: around $4,077.2.
The price is moving inside an ascending channel, and it has just touched or slightly broken the upper resistance line.
A pullback from this resistance level is likely, as shown by the blue arrow on your chart.
The target (TAEGET) zone is highlighted between $4,020–$4,040, where price may correct before deciding next direction.
Major support lies around $4,006.41 (blue horizontal line).
📉 Possible Short-Term Scenario
Expect a pullback from the top of the channel toward the target zone (around 4,020).
If the correction deepens, price could test the 4,006 level, which aligns with previous horizontal support and Ichimoku cloud support.
A bullish rebound from 4,020–4,006 would confirm continuation of the uptrend.
However, a break below 4,006 would invalidate the short-term bullish structure and may trigger a deeper drop
GOLD → Ready for continued growth. Target 4100 - 4125FX:XAUUSD remains above $4,000, starting the week with a record high amid the escalating trade war between the US and China. Traders bought up all of last week's decline.
Key drivers: Trump's new tariffs: Introduction of 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and export controls on software from November 1. China is not sitting idly by: Restrictions on exports of rare earth metals and technologies.
The ongoing shutdown and trade uncertainty are weakening the dollar.
US inflation data (CPI on October 24) will be the first key release after the shutdown.
Speeches by Fed officials may adjust rate expectations.
Gold remains in an uptrend, but momentum will depend on the progress of trade negotiations. A breakout to new highs is likely if tensions remain high.
Resistance levels: 4078, 4100, 4110
Support levels: 4059
A breakout of 4078 and a close above the key level could trigger a continuation of the growth to 4100. An additional scenario could be a correction to 4059 before further growth to 4100-4125.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold may revisit 4,100 after strong buying pressureOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action currently testing the upper boundary. This level could act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a pullback toward the support zone at 4,100.
If buyers can hold this support, the bullish structure will remain intact, with the potential to continue pushing towards higher levels. However, if price breaks below this area, a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel could unfold.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume in this key area is crucial to identify buying opportunities. Risk should be managed appropriately, always confirming your setups and trading with proper risk management strategies.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, feel free to share them in the comments!
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading around the $4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week.
Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision.
After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum.
Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg.
• Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity.
• The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone.
• Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB.
• Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215
SL: 4224
TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160
🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058
SL: 4050
TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup.
• Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels.
• If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored.
• Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions.
The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
Silver - 45 Years of Breakout!Silver has just completed one of the largest and longest cup and handle patterns in financial history, spanning more than four decades. The metal has officially broken above the 1980 and 2011 highs, signaling a potential supercycle breakout on the monthly timeframe.
This type of long-term technical structure typically marks the beginning of a massive secular bull run, often driven by macroeconomic shifts such as inflation cycles, fiat currency debasement, and rising demand for hard assets.
Technical Highlights:
- Pattern: 45-year Cup and Handle formation
- Breakout Zone: Above $50 confirmed (Weekly chart)
- Structure: Deep base formation showing multiple accumulation phases (1981–2001 and 2012–2023)
Macro Perspective:
Silver is benefiting from:
- Increased industrial demand (especially in solar, EV, and electronics sectors)
- Inflationary monetary policies and growing global money supply
- Renewed investor interest in tangible and real assets
This breakout could mark the start of a multi-year bull run for silver. Long-term investors may view this as an opportunity to accumulate and hold for 10–15 years, aligning with the magnitude and duration of the pattern.
If the price experiences short-term pullbacks in the coming months, use DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) to build long-term exposure.
Conclusion:
After 45 years of consolidation, silver is finally breaking free. The chart points toward a historic structural breakout, potentially setting the stage for the next precious metals supercycle.
Cheers
Hexa
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk responsibly.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4104.Colleagues, gold is going up steadily and right now it is hard to say where the correction will be. If we look at the wave structure, I expect the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the middle order wave ‘5’. because wave “5” completes the impulse - it complicates the concept of where exactly this wave will end. I think the psychological level of 4100-4105 is suitable for this target.
I expect the price to reach the 4104 resistance area.
Fundamental context
Gold recently broke above $4,000, driven by strong safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and expectations of U.S. rate cuts.
Central banks continue to accumulate gold, supporting demand structurally.
Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 target to $4,000, citing a weak dollar and sustained global demand.
Given the strength and stretched momentum, a pullback is plausible — but the exact timing remains unclear.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Silvers reached a fresh record high due to the short squeezeSilver prices reached an all-time high of over 53 USD/ounce, driven by a significant short squeeze in London. This rally was further fueled by safe-haven demand following the resumption of US-China trade tensions.
US President Trump expressed openness to negotiations after announcing an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods, but China has not responded. Meanwhile, China's Sep exports surprisingly increased by 8.3% YoY, the fastest pace in six months, driven by demand from countries other than the US. Exports to the US fell 27% YoY due to tariff pressures. This indicates that the additional threat from Trump may not significantly impact China, especially given its crucial role in the AI value chain and its dominance in rare earth production. These elevated tensions could continue to drive markets toward safe-haven assets amid global instability.
On the supply side, the London Bullion Market Association, as reported by Bloomberg, confirmed that it is “aware of tightness in the silver market and is actively monitoring the situation.” Mine production has remained below demand since 2021, primarily due to electrical and electricity demand, especially from photovoltaics, where China is a dominant force. The ongoing supply shortage could continue to support silver prices.
Technically, XAGUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking its previous record high, with both EMAs diverging and extending.
XAGUSD could continue to rise and test the 227.2% Fibonacci extension at 60.
Conversely, price could face take profit pressure after a long rally with the RSI indicates the overbought level (over 88). If the bullish momentum weakens, XAGUSD could test the resistance level at 47.88.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: -
💰TP: -
⛔️SL: -
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals continue to demonstrate impressive results. As a result, we are seeing new all-time highs. It's difficult to find any potential buy or sell levels for gold, but we can highlight an area around 4200-4250, where sell trades, especially mid-term, are highly likely to be liquidated. This assumption is based on a 25% price move from the start of the current rally since August, as well as the point of control (POC) of the same rally around 3650. We should likely expect the end of the US shutdown, after which we could see a correction in metals.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15326
💰TP: 1.14123
⛔️SL: 1.16348
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The price continues to accumulate near short-term support 1.16600, indicating a likely breakout toward 1.15500. The most conservative entry points for selling are, surely, located directly at 1.16600, more aggressive - would be to look for selling from approximately current prices.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ [ b]Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
A Roadmap for GOLD to $4,240Gold and silver futures jumped to new highs on Monday, with gold breaking past $4,100 per ounce for the first time and silver exceeding its January 1980 peak. The jump was spurred by rising US-China trade tensions and the possibility of future interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, which increased demand for precious metals. October gold futures jumped 3.3% to $4,108.60 per ounce, while silver gained 6.8% to $50.13 per ounce. This year, gold has risen 56.3%, while silver has risen 74.2%.
While some analysts expect a short-term pullback, the long-term view is still strong. According to Bank of America, gold prices might reach $5,000 and silver $65 per ounce by 2026. Julius Baer and Standard Chartered believe fundamentals continue to support an upward trend, but Goldman Sachs warns of increased volatility in silver due to its considerably smaller and less liquid market than gold. A physical supply deficit is also contributing to the pressure, with reports indicating that merchants have begun moving silver to London to capitalize on the price difference.
Silver has reached the launchpad.Not only did Silver finally hit a new all time high but even more impressive is that it finally closed a candle above the rimline of the 40 year old cup and handle pattern it has been forming since before I was even born. Considering how long it took to accomplish this I can not in good faith let one daily candle close trick me into thinking that it has validated the breakout but this is definitely a giant leap closer to validating an eventual breakout. I get the feeling people are going to be absolutely mindblown by what silver does when the breakout is validated. We are currently on our way to the dotted red trendline’s target but on the way they we should definitely validate the cup and handle breakout hitch will then has us heading to the exponentially higher dotted green lines target at around $722. Buckle up people and prepare for blastoff in the not so distant future. Also be aware that they could have multiple dips back below then back above and below and above the rimline of the cup (horizontal green line) before the actual breakout. Or it could just send a random moonshot candle up to the target as well n the very first try. Best to be prepared for both possibilities. *not financial advice*






















