Get started

Metals

XAU/USD Intraday Analysis – October 8, 2025Technical Overview: Gold is currently trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel. Price action indicates strong bullish momentum, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows. Short-term retracements are expected around resistance zones, providing optimal entry points for buyers. Key Levels: Immediate Support: 3,983 – 3,985 USD (lower boundary of ascending channel) Immediate Resistance: 4,000 – 4,005 USD (upper boundary, psychological level) Next Target Zone: 4,065 – 4,070 USD (extension of channel projection) Indicators: EMA cluster aligns with the ascending trend, confirming continuation potential. RSI approaching overbought territory, suggesting possible short-term pullback before resuming uptrend. Trading Strategy: Long Setup (Buy): Entry: 3,990 – 3,995 USD Stop Loss: 3,983 USD (channel support) Take Profit 1: 4,020 USD Take Profit 2: 4,040 USD Take Profit 3: 4,065 USD Short Setup (Sell / Countertrend): Entry: Only consider if price rejects 4,000 – 4,005 USD resistance Stop Loss: 4,010 USD Take Profit: 3,985 – 3,990 USD Market Notes: The ascending channel remains intact; trend-following strategies favor buying near support. A break above 4,005 USD may trigger strong bullish continuation to the projected 4,065 USD zone. Watch for high-impact US economic events that could create volatility (e.g., CPI, Fed statements). Conclusion: Gold shows strong bullish bias on the hourly timeframe. Patience for pullbacks near support levels is recommended to maximize risk-reward. Discipline and adherence to channel boundaries will enhance trade accuracy. Follow for more daily XAU/USD strategies and precise entry setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold Cant stop...Wont Stop....Price continues pressing into new highs with no meaningful pullback, showing strong safe-haven momentum amid rising geopolitical tension. Watching for signs of exhaustion near current highs — ideally a liquidity sweep above the Daily High (DH) before any structural shift confirms. No rush to fade strength. Waiting for: A clean displacement break below intraday structure. Retest of an unmitigated FVG or imbalance for potential short. Until then, bullish continuation remains in control. Bias: Neutral → Bullish (waiting for confirmation) Setup on Watch: Liquidity Sweep + SSB (Shift in Structure Break)
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
The Market Doesn't Care About Your Thesis"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." - John Maynard Keynes A month ago, I wrote about the brutality of trading and introduced a concept I called the "trading pandemic" - when a chain of events clouds judgment, breaks confidence, and brings down even the best traders. Life has a dark sense of humor. Shortly after publishing that post, I found myself living through exactly what I'd described. The Storm That Found Me Last week, I took significant losses. Not from ignorance. Not from recklessness. But from something far more dangerous: the very conviction that makes me a disciplined trader became the weight that pulled me under. My thesis wasn't built on hopium or hunches. It was constructed on macro fundamentals: The Setup: IG:BITCOIN halving cycle suggesting the rally should fade by September TVC:GOLD due for a correction as recession stress builds SP:SPX primed for a rollover amid a macro death cross between inflation ECONOMICS:USINTR and unemployment ECONOMICS:USUR The U.S. government shutdown on October 1st - echoing 2008 crisis conditions And the blackout of key data reinforcing the uncertainty Everything pointed to significant market stress. The fundamentals weren't just bearish - they were screaming. I waited patiently for the setup. I did the analysis. I had conviction backed by historical parallels and macro reality. Then the market did what it does best: it ignored the script and wrote its own story. When the Market Rewrites the Rules Week two of October, IG:BITCOIN didn't just hold - it broke through ATH. TVC:GOLD continued its relentless climb. SP:SPX kept grinding higher with controlled strength that suggested continuation, not exhaustion. Not with the kind of instability you'd expect during a government shutdown. Not with the fear you'd anticipate when economic data goes dark. But with the kind of structural strength that signals something bigger is happening beneath the surface. What I started seeing instead was a completely different story unfolding: Dedollarization accelerating faster than models predicted Sovereigns accumulating TVC:GOLD at record pace Institutional capital flooding IG:BITCOIN breaking cycle theory entirely SP:SPX pricing in policy accommodation before stress even surfaced Assets moving as if they're pricing in a paradigm shift, not a recession The thesis wasn't wrong about stress in the system. It was wrong about how markets would price that stress. Maybe this resolves later and my macro read proves correct on a longer timeframe. Maybe this controlled bull market is just an extended distribution before the real move down. Or maybe - and this is the hardest thing to accept - the market is telling me the playbook changed, and I'm still trading the old game. I expected liquidation, but the market priced transformation. The Paradox of Deep Conviction Here's what last week reminded me: The same deep macro understanding that separates sophisticated traders from noise traders is also the double-edged sword that can cut you down. You don't forget that conviction without risk management is dangerous. You know this. I know this. But when your thesis isn't just technical - when it's built on macro lens, death crosses, historical crisis parallels, cycle theories - conviction doesn't feel like opinion anymore. It feels like inevitability. And that's when you start making exceptions: "The 2008, and year 2000 parallels are undeniable - history doesn't lie" "Government shutdown + data blackout = liquidity stress is coming" "Dedollarization and sovereign gold buying confirms the global system is cracking" " TVC:GOLD can’t keep climbing into a deflationary panic." " Halving cycles has been the most accurate prediction of IG:BITCOIN for over a decade." You're not abandoning your principles. You're just... trusting the depth of your research. This isn't a coin flip - you've done the macro work. You understand what's happening at a structural level. But sometimes, conviction blinds you to what price is screaming: the rules changed. When Fundamentals and Price Disagree Here's the hardest pill to swallow: You can have an airtight macro thesis and still get destroyed if the market is playing a different game than the one you're analyzing. I wasn't wrong to study the 2008 crisis parallels. I wasn't wrong to watch the unemployment-inflation death cross. I wasn't wrong to position for stress when the government shut down and economic data went dark. I wasn't even wrong about sovereign de-risking - that's actually happening. But I was wrong about what markets would do with that information. The markets didn’t ignore stress they front-ran the policy response. Assets aren't climbing despite the fundamentals - they're climbing because of what those fundamentals imply about the future of fiat currencies, monetary policy, and the global financial system. TVC:GOLD isn't rallying because everything's fine - it's rallying because sovereigns are losing faith in dollar hegemony IG:BITCOIN isn't breaking halving theory because technicals matter less - it's breaking them because institutional adoption is rewriting the cycle dynamics SP:SPX isn't ignoring the shutdown - it's pricing in that monetary policy remains accommodative no matter what happens I was positioned for crisis. The market was positioning for transformation. Same data, entirely different interpretation and timeline... When Knowing Isn't Enough Nothing I learned this week was new. I got reminded. Reminded that macro analysis tells you what might happen, not when or how markets will price it. Reminded that historical parallels inform probabilities but don't dictate outcomes - especially when structural forces are shifting. Reminded that when fundamentals say "crisis" but price action says "transformation," you don't fight price - you reassess your interpretation of the fundamentals. Reminded that the market doesn't humble you because you're ignorant. It humbles you because you forgot that being right about the problem doesn't mean being right about the solution markets will price in. The irony? The conviction that comes from deep macro research, from understanding sovereign behavior, from recognizing historical patterns - that same conviction blinds you to the moment you stop asking "What if markets are pricing this differently than 2008?" and start insisting "I know what's coming because I know what happened before." The Trading Pandemic, Revisited The trading pandemic isn’t when you’re lost. It’s when you’re certain - certain enough to ignore what price is saying. You stop asking “What if this time it’s different?” and start defending why it shouldn’t be. You stop respecting liquidity dynamics and start fighting them. And when you’re already drained personally or emotionally, that conviction turns to concrete. You don’t bend - you break. The Double-Edged Sword Here's the brutal truth: What makes us sophisticated traders - deep macro research, historical pattern recognition, fundamental analysis - is precisely what makes the storm hit us harder when markets reprice the narrative. The trader who randomly bought IG:BITCOIN , TVC:GOLD , and SP:SPX in September and held? They're up significantly. Not because they saw the shift - but because they had no thesis to be wrong about. But when you lose after being this prepared - after reading every indicator, watching every pattern - it shakes more than confidence. It shakes identity. Because if you can be this right on fundamentals and still be this wrong on timing, what does that say? It says the market just handed you a gift wrapped in pain: the reminder that understanding the fundamentals doesn't guarantee understanding how markets will discount those fundamentals. What the Market Reminded Me Not taught. Not showed. Reminded. That 2008 parallels matter less when the monetary system itself is being questioned That a macro death cross doesn’t guarantee a crash - it can precede a reflationary melt-up. That government shutdown + data blackout doesn't always trigger fear - it can mean "Fed will do whatever it takes" That Bitcoin breaking halving cycles isn't a bug - it might be the feature of institutional adoption That being unable to get updated economic data doesn't stop markets from pricing in what they expect that data to show That when fundamentals and price diverge, price is telling you your interpretation is early The Humbling Truth Maybe my macro thesis resolves later - markets realize the stress, panic ensues, and the correction comes. Maybe this controlled bull market across IG:BITCOIN , CAPITALCOM:GOLD , and equities is just a longer distribution phase before reality hits. Or maybe I'm watching the market tell me in real-time that we're not repricing a 2008-style crisis - we're repricing the end of dollar dominance, and I'm still trying to trade it like 2008. Either way, it doesn't matter right now. What matters is that I was positioned for my version of the story, and the market is writing its own. The government shut down October 1st. Data went dark. And instead of fear, markets priced in transformation. Instead of crisis, they priced in paradigm shift. I was trading the problem. They were trading the solution. Moving Forward The losses hurt not because I didn’t know better - but because I did. I knew that fundamentals don’t dictate timing. I knew liquidity rules all. But I trusted the thesis more than the tape. Maybe it all reverses. Maybe it doesn't. But my job isn't to insist on my macro thesis - it's to respect what's happening right now and position accordingly, even when it contradicts everything my research suggests should happen. The infinite game continues. The conviction that hurt me last week is the same conviction that's made me successful countless times before. I'm not trying to kill the macro analysis. I'm trying to keep it humble in the face of price action. Final Word The market only truly beats the trader who quits. But it tests the trader who stays by reminding them, again and again, that mastery isn't having the right macro thesis. It's respecting price action even when - especially when - it contradicts every fundamental you've studied. October 1st came. Government shut down. Data went dark. Death crosses formed. 2008 parallels aligned. Halving Cycle completed. And yet, here we are - breaking every rule the old playbook taught us. My thesis might still be right eventually. But "eventually" doesn't pay the bills, and it certainly doesn't save your account when you're positioned for a crisis and the market is pricing a transformation. This week was expensive tuition for a lesson I already knew: The market can remain irrational - or perhaps perfectly rational in a way you don't yet understand - longer than you can remain solvent betting against it. Rise, remember, and keep playing the infinite game. 💚
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by niclaxfx
31
GOLD: Buyers In Control! Fundamentals Support Higher Prices!Pre-Market analysis for Tuesday Oct 7, 2025 Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RT_Money
7
Silver will Make a New All Time HighHello Traders In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XAGUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by ForexMasters2000
Can it happen?Disclaimer This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
COMEX:GC1!
by AustrianTradingMachine
Silver Pulls Back from Recent HighsDuring the current session, silver has started to retreat from its recent highs, posting a decline of more than 2.4% in the short term. This movement has led to a renewed bearish bias in price action, driven mainly by the strengthening of the U.S. dollar. The DXY Index, which measures the dollar’s performance against other major currencies, remains above the 98-point level, reflecting a renewed firmness of the greenback. This strength has reduced investor appetite for precious metals, limiting silver’s upward momentum. If the dollar continues to strengthen, selling pressure on silver could intensify in the coming sessions. Short-Term Uptrend Remains Intact Since late August, silver has maintained a pronounced upward trend that remains dominant in the short term. Although some bearish corrections have been observed, they have not yet signaled a structural change in the trend. Therefore, as long as no clear selling signals emerge, the bullish structure continues to be the key pattern to watch at this stage. RSI The RSI line continues to hover near the overbought level (70), reflecting an imbalance caused by the recent surge in buying momentum. This could lead to price exhaustion and short-term downward corrections if the overbought condition persists. MACD The MACD histogram remains above the zero line, confirming a dominant bullish momentum in recent sessions. However, the MACD and signal lines are beginning to converge, which could foreshadow a bearish crossover and indicate exhaustion in the upward impulse. If this crossover occurs, the market could enter a period of indecision, leaving room for more pronounced pullbacks in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: $48 per ounce – Resistance: Corresponds to the recent peak reached by silver. A sustained move above this level could trigger a stronger bullish trend and reinforce a dominant buying bias. $45 per ounce – Intermediate Resistance: Represents a technical barrier that could limit upside momentum and serve as a potential pivot zone for short-term corrections. $44 per ounce – Key Support: Aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, acting as the most relevant short-term support. A break below this level could threaten the current bullish trend and shift the outlook toward a more pronounced bearish bias. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREX.com
Potential GOLD Correction Phase IncomingGold FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been making new record highs almost every day for the past 30 days. It could come to a halt this week before maybe continuing higher... WHY? you may ask, Reason 1: When Price fails to follow through on Expansions, there is a weakning i momentum and that usually signals corrections/full on reversals, however in this case, we cannot expect a full on reversal seeing as gold is constantly in demand due to the sever decline in investor confidence in basically, every currency out there right now. In the terms of a correction however, there are inefficiencies on the 4H chart that price can seek to reprice to and then continue higher. Case in point here: Reason 2: The short term bearish bias is also backed by a mean reversion wirth silver forming intraday during tuesday's regular trading hours There are much more things I could talk about, but for now, I want to keep it as clear as possible, The bias ia Bullish Long term, small correction to the downside and another expansion higher after the H4 gap has been filled. Follow for more.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by cephxs
GOLD → The correction will trigger growth to $4,000.FX:XAUUSD hit a new record high of nearly $3,977 and entered a correction phase to build up potential before further growth. Despite the local strengthening of the dollar, the upward trend continues thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Key supporting factors: Ongoing US government shutdown: The Democrats' fifth unsuccessful attempt to resolve the issue increases uncertainty. Markets expect two interest rate cuts before the end of the year. China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month, and global central banks bought +15 tons in August. No bearish triggers: Any correction is seen as a buying opportunity. Gold maintains its upward momentum. Breaking through $4,000 seems a matter of time if current drivers remain in place. Key risks are an unexpected resolution to the shutdown or hawkish signals from the Fed. Resistance levels: 3977, 4000 Support levels: 3945, 3927, 3920 Technically, a false breakdown of support could lead to continued growth. A retest of 3945 is possible; a weak reaction could trigger a deeper correction, for example to 3927, before further growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
Gold Watching 3,850 Support as Dollar Weakens on UsGovt ShutdownHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,850 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently in a correction phase, with price approaching this important support/resistance level. Structure: Gold remains within an overall bullish structure and is also trading inside an ascending channel. Key level in focus: 3,850 — a key support zone where buyers may look to step in. Upside target: 3,930 — aligning with the channel resistance and potential area for bullish continuation. Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown is adding bearish pressure on the US Dollar. Given Gold’s negative correlation with DXY, this environment continues to support the bullish bias for Gold. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
17
AUDUSD Eyes 0.65900 as Gold Nears Record HighHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65900 zone. AUDUSD remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price moving toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias is bullish, with price retracing toward trend support. Key level in focus: 0.65900 — an important area where buyers may look to re-enter. Fundamentals: Gold continues to rise and is nearing a fresh ATH, supported by a bearish US Dollar bias. Given the positive correlation between AUDUSD and Gold, further upside on the pair remains likely. Next move: Monitoring price reaction at 0.65900 to assess whether the trend resumes higher. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
15
Silver Is Extending Impulsively Higher; All-Time Highs SoonSilver Is Extending Impulsively Higher, which can push the price into all-time highs from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave model. Silver is on the rise and has been outperforming gold quite a lot over the last week, and it looks like an extended leg up is still in progress; seems like wave three of an extended impulse, therefore more gains are possible after next three-leg retracement. Based on the 4-hour chart, there is a chance that price goes towards 50usd, but there can be some new pullback first. Ideally red wave (4) could stabilize near 45.86. Only a sharp impulse down closer to 43 level will be an indication that higher degree wave four has started. Higher Time frame charts show an ongoing bull cycle that is now targeting the high from April 2011, which could be the next major level and a potential area for a new retracement, maybe sometime in 2026.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Above $3910Gold price is currently showing a mild correction after testing the upper trendline of the ascending channel. The chart suggests a possible short-term pullback toward the $3925–$3913 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. As long as price holds above $3910, the bullish structure remains intact, and a rebound toward $3976 and possibly $4016 can be expected. A break below $3900 would weaken bullish momentum and could extend the decline toward $3875 support. Support: $3925 / $3910 / $3875 Resistance: $3976 / $4016 Bias: Bullish above $3910; correction possible before next leg up. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
1
Buyers Hold Momentum Above SupportGold continues to trade in a bullish structure, forming higher highs after a clean rebound from the support zone. A short term pullback provides a potential swing buy opportunity targeting higher resistance levels as buyers remain active above intraday support. Key Levels: Buy Entry: 3960 Take Profit: 3980 Stop Loss: 3945 Reasoning: Technically, price action shows a sustained uptrend, supported by rising structure and consistent bullish candles. The 1H chart confirms momentum continuation after retesting previous resistance turned support. Fundamentally, weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and stable Treasury yields continue to support gold demand as investors look for safety ahead of key U.S. data releases. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
GOLD – New All-Time High, Bullish Above 3,976 Toward 4,020GOLD – Overview Gold recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and continues to show strong bullish momentum. The metal remains supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts and safe-haven demand, but short-term corrections are possible if price fails to hold above key pivot levels. Technical Outlook As long as price trades above 3,976, the bullish trend remains intact, with potential to extend toward 4,008 → 4,020. A 1H or 15M close below 3,976 would indicate the start of a bearish correction, targeting 3,957 → 3,944. Pivot: 3,976 Resistance: 4,008 – 4,020 Support: 3,960 – 3,944 – 3,920
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Zone 4: Where Gold’s Next Move Will Be DecidedTVC:GOLD continues its impressive bullish structure, climbing cleanly through all prior resistance zones. Each expansion phase has been measured and consistent - alternating between ~1.7% impulsive legs and ~4.4% corrective expansions, forming a rhythmic price behavior that reflects controlled institutional flow rather than retail volatility. Price is now operating within Zone 4, approaching the $3,987–$3,990 resistance target. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the current expansion range, making it a critical decision point. If price follows the same historical rhythm observed in September, there’s a high probability we’ll see a tap of $3,987, followed by a retracement toward $3,914 (zone support) before any continuation attempt. However, it's important to note that we’re currently in a blackout phase, with no tangible U.S. economic data releases to fuel directional conviction. This means momentum here is largely technically driven, and could mark the final phase for gold before a broader trend shift. Key Note: Primary Bias: Bullish continuation remains valid while above $3,900 support. I expect price to hit 3987 and then pullback to 3914 where possible re-accumulation repeats. Volume remains steady but not euphoric - signaling disciplined accumulation rather than late FOMO. Conclusion: TVC:GOLD structure remains intact, but the market is entering a decision zone. The next move from here within 24-48 hours window, will likely determine whether we witness a final extension or the start of a deeper correction. 💭 Share your thoughts below if following this trade.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by niclaxfx
4