Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD) – October 28, 2025Gold continues its bearish momentum, forming a clear lower-high structure after multiple failed attempts to break the resistance area around $4,075–4,085. The market has been respecting a descending trendline, signaling sustained selling pressure from institutional traders.
At the moment, price is retesting the $3,930–3,935 zone — a key short-term support level that coincides with previous liquidity grabs. A decisive break below $3,922 could open the door toward the next demand zone near $3,830–3,805, where buyers may attempt a technical rebound.
Technical Highlights:
Trend: Bearish bias remains intact below $3,970.
Resistance levels: $3,970 / $4,025 / $4,085
Support levels: $3,922 / $3,880 / $3,830
Indicators: Price remains below EMA20 and EMA50 on H1, while RSI hovers near oversold — suggesting a potential short-term pullback before further decline.
Trading Strategy:
Traders could look for short opportunities on minor pullbacks toward the $3,950–3,960 area, maintaining a stop above $3,970 and targeting the $3,830–3,805 zone.
Conservative traders may wait for a confirmed close below $3,922 before joining the bearish leg.
Overall, the structure still favors the downside unless price breaks and sustains above $3,970.
- Stay alert to macro catalysts — especially upcoming U.S. data releases that could influence the dollar and bond yields.
Metals
Gold Price Analysis – Will Bears Drag XAUUSD Below 3900?Gold continues to trade within a clear downward structure facing consistent resistance near the 4040–4060 zone while maintaining pressure below key descending trendlines. Price recently confirmed another Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 3972 level suggesting bearish continuation. The projection shows potential short-term pullbacks toward 3980–4000 followed by a deeper drop toward targets at 3901 and 3857.
Unless bulls reclaim the 4063–4128 resistance the overall bias remains bearish with expectations of further downside toward the $3,816–$3,850 support range.
Regarding the Fed meeting tomorrow markets widely expect a 25 bps rate cut which is already priced in. The real impact will come from the Fed speech if the Fed hints at further easing (a dovish stance) gold may bounce higher as the dollar weakens. But if the Fed sounds cautious or signals a pause gold could drop sharply as yields and dollar strength return. Overall trend remains bearish traders should stay alert to post Fed volatility as it could temporarily disrupt or confirm the next major move.
🔴 Sell Zone:
The main sell zone is between 4150-4200 which aligns with the upper resistance range and the top boundary of the descending channel. This area has repeatedly acted as a rejection point where sellers step in aggressively. If price retraces into this zone and forms bearish confirmation candles it becomes a strong region to look for short entries.
⚡ Sell Trigger Area:
The sell trigger area lies around 4000 which is a key psychological and structural level. A confirmed break and candle close below 4000 would likely trigger renewed bearish momentum opening the way toward 3901-3857 as next downside targets. This break would confirm continuation of the bearish wave and strengthen the short bias.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?
📅 Date: October 28, 2025 | Session Update: 13:00 VN Time
📈 Market Context
Gold is now reacting sharply around the $4,000 psychological level, as risk sentiment remains fragile following stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data.
The recent rebound in Treasury yields and a firm U.S. dollar has put pressure on gold, driving a short-term bearish correction from the $4,080 highs.
However, the $4,000 zone remains a critical liquidity and demand area, where institutional buying interest could reappear — especially if the market prices in future Fed rate cuts for 2026.
For today’s session, expect range-bound volatility between $3,980 – $4,050, with potential manipulation near both extremes before any decisive move.
🔎 Technical Outlook (1H / Smart Money Concept)
Market structure shifted from bullish to corrective after failing to sustain above $4,050.
Liquidity below $4,000 has been swept multiple times, indicating possible accumulation.
Discount demand zone: $3,985 – $3,995
Premium supply zone: $4,045 – $4,060
A confirmed BOS (Break of Structure) above $4,025 on the 15M timeframe would validate a bullish intraday reversal.
🟢 Buy Setup (Reversal Scenario)
Entry Zone: 3,985 – 3,995
Stop-Loss: 3,978
Take-Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 4,025
→ TP2: 4,050
→ TP3: 4,080
Rationale:
Price is holding near the $4,000 psychological zone — a high-probability reaccumulation point.
Look for a 15M bullish BOS/ChoCH for confirmation before entering.
A break above $4,025 could trigger momentum toward the premium zone.
🔴 Sell Setup (Continuation Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,045 – 4,060
Stop-Loss: 4,072
Take-Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 4,015
→ TP2: 3,985
Rationale:
The $4,045 – $4,060 zone is an optimal premium area for potential short-term rejection.
Ideal setup if price sweeps liquidity above intraday highs and shows bearish confirmation (ChoCH) on lower timeframes.
Be cautious of false breakouts during U.S. session volatility.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
Wait for clear confirmation (BOS/ChoCH) before entering either direction.
Avoid entering near high-impact news — gold tends to produce deep liquidity spikes.
Take partial profits early at structure points and trail your stops once direction is confirmed.
Maintain position risk under 1% per trade due to current volatility.
✅ Summary
Gold is testing the critical $4,000 zone, acting as both psychological and structural support.
A bullish rebound from this level could push price back toward $4,050 – $4,080, while a clean break below $3,980 would expose $3,950 and potentially extend the correction.
Stay patient — liquidity manipulation is likely before a clear move emerges.
FOLLOW KHANG_TRADER for precision market insights ⚡
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15381
💰TP: 1.14051
⛔️SL: 1.16279
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: A breakout of the support area of 1.15000 - 1.16000 remains the main and more reliable sell scenario. More aggressive sell scenarios suggest entering near the current price, that is, from the local maximum of 1.16600. It is anticipated that the price will rapidly approach the 1.14000 area if the support area indicated is broken, as buyers liquidate their positions that have accumulated in large quantities below this level.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Momentum Continues Below 4,000Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Momentum Continues Below 4,000 as Market Targets 3,940
Gold remains under pressure as sellers continue to dominate below the 4,040 resistance zone. After failing to break higher, price formed a lower high and is now consolidating near the 3,995 region.
On the 15-minute chart, a clear bearish structure is visible — the market is printing successive lower highs and lower lows, indicating that momentum still favors the downside. If gold makes a minor retracement toward 4,020–4,040, this could be an ideal zone for short-term sellers to re-enter.
The next key support sits around 3,940–3,920, which aligns with the previous demand zone and Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low. A confirmed break below this level could accelerate the decline toward 3,900.
Resistance zones: 4,020 / 4,040 / 4,080
Support zones: 3,940 / 3,920 / 3,900
Short-term bias: Bearish below 4,040
Trading strategy:
Wait for a pullback toward 4,020–4,040.
Look for bearish confirmation candles (e.g., engulfing or rejection wicks).
Target 3,940 initially, and extend profits to 3,900 if momentum continues.
The RSI remains below its midpoint, confirming weak bullish momentum, while EMA trends are flattening—signaling that the sellers are still in control for the day.
Remember to manage risk carefully and adjust stop-losses above the 4,050 level.
Follow for more daily gold strategies and Fibonacci-based trade setups.
Gold: A False Breakout Pattern Is FormingThe buyer needs to absorb the attack candle at 4023 to confirm a reversal and open the path toward 4154–4185.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept.
On the 1-hour timeframe, the market is in a sideways range.
Sellers attacked the lower boundary of the range — the 4004 level — with increased volume.
This is the candle with the highest volume inside the seller’s initiative (IC on the chart).
Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that most of the volume was accumulated below 4004, which looks very much like a false breakout.
A false breakout pattern on the hourly chart will be considered confirmed once the buyer absorbs the seller’s attack candle, meaning the buyer’s candle closes above the high at 4023.
If the buyer manages to absorb the attack candle at the lower boundary of the range,
the next steps to watch are:
whether the price can pass 4050 and the 50% level of the trading range at 4066; be especially cautious around this area, since 4059 is also a daily level where the buyer might face resistance and trigger a short reaction.
and whether the movement stalls near the high of yesterday’s daily candle at 4109.
If these levels are successfully passed, the buyer targets are located at 4154 and 4185.
Wishing you profitable trades!
J.D. Vance and the market consequences of successionJ.D. Vance’s sudden rise to the Presidency could mark a dramatic shift for financial markets if he breaks from his current boss’s stance on how to govern an economy.
Before being picked as Trump’s VP, Vance was known for his opposition to corporate monopolies. In the past, he criticised the power of firms like Google, Apple, and Amazon, calling for antitrust enforcement. A sudden shift to a Vance-led administration could crash markets that have priced in continued support for the “Magnificent Seven,” who have driven much of the S&P 500’s recent performance. Ultimately, In the long run, however, breaking up dominant players can spark greater innovation (and potential stock gains), as the incumbents lose their ability to acquire and bury emerging competition.
Meanwhile, one of the defining trends of Trump’s second term has been the significant decline of the U.S. dollar. A change in leadership, especially one less inclined toward isolationist policies and piling on national debt, could potentially strengthen the dollar in the short term. Gold might also take a hit and find a medium-term price level below $4000.
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 46.925 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 47.528.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP🧭 Market Context
Pair: Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute
Current price: ≈ $3,981.72
The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows.
A Break of Structure (BOS) has confirmed bearish control after liquidity was taken from the previous high.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone (Sell area):
Highlighted in red: around $3,985 – $3,990
This zone aligns with a prior imbalance and structure break, where sellers stepped in.
Demand Zone (Target area):
Highlighted in green: around $3,957 – $3,950
This is where previous buying occurred and where liquidity likely rests below.
📉 Sell Setup Details
Entry (Sell limit): ~$3,985.00
Inside the lower half of the red supply zone for best risk-to-reward.
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,990.00
Above the supply zone and last minor high to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $3,970.00 — midpoint between current price and main target (≈1:2 R:R)
TP2: $3,957.00 — lower demand zone (≈1:4 R:R)
⚙️ Trade Logic
Liquidity Grab: The previous high near $3,990 was taken out — a classic liquidity sweep before the drop.
Break of Structure: A clean BOS confirms sellers now dominate.
Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the supply zone, ideal for short re-entry.
Imbalance fill: The retracement aligns with a fair value gap (FVG) that may get mitigated before continuation down.
💡 Trade Management Tips
If price rejects strongly before entering the full zone, consider a market entry after a bearish engulfing or M1 BOS confirmation.
Move SL to breakeven once price passes $3,972.
Partial close at TP1, let remainder run to TP2.
BTCUSD SELL IDEACurrent price: around $114,976
Recent structure: The price made a CHoCH after forming a lower high around $115,600, signaling a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
BOS confirmation: A break of structure downward confirms sellers taking control.
Supply zone: A red zone above ~$115,400–$116,000 shows a bearish supply area, where price could retrace to before continuing lower.
Expected move: A short-term pullback (retracement) toward ~$115,200–$115,400 before a continuation down toward the demand zone near $113,200–$112,800.
📉 Sell idea summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry zone: ~$115,200–$115,400 (after retracement)
Target: ~$113,200
Stop loss: Above ~$115,600
Gold -Alternative TradeMy preferred entry level didn’t materialize yet may not, so it’s time to create an alternative tactic.
Main idea is to trade pennant pattern breakout. The take-profit target remains the same, but both the entry and stop levels are lower, reducing the risk-reward ratio from 3.98 to 2.85. This setup carries higher risk.
I will trade whichever pending order will be hit first and cancel the other one.
Original idea:
Long Term Gold Indicators Turning BearishSome of the long term indicators I check give me warning about 15%-20% correction possibility. With US - China deal done, I'm start to turn more bearish. If 4045 broken, the chances of 4000 support fail may not be low as I first thought. So I plan for a short entry from 4113 with 3.98 RR. For safer entry, 4045 break could be used, of course with shorter stop level, If 4113 won't be reached, I plan to post another short position version here.
Silver support retest at 4737The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4737 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4737 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4980 – initial resistance
5066 – psychological and structural level
5166 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4737 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4667 – minor support
4600 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4737. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold retest of the pivotal 4010 levelThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4010 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4010 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4215 – initial resistance
4270 – psychological and structural level
4315 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4010 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3985 – minor support
3955– stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4010. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD - Gold awaits a decisive week?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly timeframe and is trading in its range. A break below or above this range will lead to a continuation of the trend in the same direction. A correction towards the demand range will provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. And a rise will provide us with the next short position!
After experiencing one of the worst trading sessions for gold in recent years and failing to achieve its tenth consecutive week of gains, many traders, analysts, and retail investors are now wondering where the gold market is headed next.
Mark Leibovit, publisher of the VR Metals/Resource Letter, took a cautious stance, saying:
“At the moment, I prefer not to hold any position in the market. I’m simply observing and waiting to see how conditions unfold.”
With the U.S. federal government shutdown still ongoing, the release of economic data next week is expected to be limited. As a result, market attention will once again shift toward central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.
On Tuesday, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for October will be released. However, the main market movements are expected on Wednesday, when the Bank of Canada’s policy decision and the U.S. pending home sales data will be published — followed by the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement. Later, the Bank of Japan will provide an update on its monetary stance, and finally, the week will conclude with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy decision on Thursday, which could also influence the euro’s direction.
It is widely expected that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
The Fed aims to lower borrowing costs and support the labor market through this move. Having kept rates elevated for an extended period to combat stubborn inflation, policymakers now view labor market stability as a higher priority, given that recent data show inflation remains persistent but under control.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, which tracks rate expectations through federal funds futures, the FOMC is likely to reduce the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, marking a second consecutive rate cut.
While many Fed officials have expressed readiness to ease rates, opinions still differ on the pace and extent of future reductions.
The outlook for upcoming policy actions remains uncertain, as the Fed continues to balance its dual mandate from Congress — containing inflation while maximizing employment.
A rate cut would bring the federal funds rate closer to a neutral level, where it neither stimulates nor restrains economic activity. Although the Fed kept rates high to fight inflation, the recent weakening in the labor market has become a more pressing concern.
Even though inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% annual target, officials are increasingly worried about the health of the labor market, as job creation has nearly stalled in recent months.
By lowering the federal funds rate, the Fed seeks to reduce short-term borrowing costs, encourage lending and investment, and bolster employment.
At the same time, trade tariffs are contributing both to rising prices and slower job growth. These import taxes have created uncertainty among business leaders, discouraging expansion plans and pushing higher costs onto consumers.
The Fed now faces the challenge of making interest rate decisions without access to many key economic reports it typically relies upon. In fact, the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) may be the last major economic data release the central bank receives for some time.
Other crucial government reports — including employment and GDP growth data — have been delayed or suspended due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, and may not be released at all for October.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Liquidity Grab Setup | Buy-Side Sweep ScenarioGold is currently consolidating between $4,044 (PDL) and $4,113 (Buy-Side Liquidity Zone).
Price recently reacted from the demand zone near $4,044–$4,058, showing signs of bullish absorption.
The plan: a short-term liquidity sweep below $4,078, followed by a potential push toward $4,097–$4,113.
Key observations:
Buy-side liquidity resting above $4,097 and $4,113.
PDL ($4,044) and discount zone acting as a strong accumulation base.
Ideal scenario: Sweep of minor lows → structure shift → long entries targeting $4,113.
Watch for reaction near $4,068–$4,078 for confirmation.
Break below $4,044 invalidates the bullish setup.
📊 Bias: Short-Term Bullish (Intraday)
Technical Analysis – Aluminium FuturesTechnical Analysis – Aluminium Futures
Date: October 27, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly | Exchange: Pepperstone CFD (LME Reference)
1. Trend Overview and Price Structure
Aluminium futures closed the week at USD 2,882/ton, up +0.9% from the previous week, confirming a breakout above the medium-term resistance zone of USD 2,700/ton.
The technical structure shows an 18-month accumulation base (from March 2023 to September 2025), now evolving into a new medium-to-long-term bullish cycle, targeting USD 3,075 → 3,304 → 4,061/ton.
Overall trend: Medium-term bullish, with solid support at USD 2,700.
2. Key Technical Price Levels
Resistance: 3,075 – 3,304 – 4,061
Support: 2,707 – 2,550 – 2,320
3. Detailed Technical Analysis
(1) Short-Term Trend
A decisive breakout above 2,707 confirms that a new medium-term impulse wave has begun.
If prices hold above this level for two consecutive weeks, aluminium may enter an accelerated rally toward 3,075.
(2) Volume and Open Interest
Open interest (OI) on LME and SHFE rose 7–9% over the past two weeks, signaling fresh speculative inflows and increased hedging activity by Asian producers.
(3) Elliott Wave Structure
Wave 1 (cycle bottom): 2,320 → 2,707
Wave 2: Minor correction
Wave 3 (in progress): Expansion phase targeting 3.30–3.40 (Fibonacci 161.8%)
Waves 4 & 5: Expected completion near 4.00–4.10
(4) Trend Confirmation Signals
Weekly close above 2,880 confirms a full breakout.
EMA-50 crossed above EMA-200 on the weekly chart — a clear long-term trend reversal signal.
4. VNC Intelligence View – Strategic Outlook
Macro and Structural Drivers
Aluminium’s rally is underpinned by strong fundamental catalysts:
Output Cuts in China: Power shortages in Guizhou and Yunnan have forced 6–8% production cuts among smelters.
(CNIA, Oct 24)
Rising Demand from the Green Energy Sector: Global aluminium demand from solar, EV, and power grid infrastructure rose 12% YoY, led by India and China.
(Bloomberg, Oct 21): Sharp Inventory Decline on LME. LME-registered aluminium stocks fell to 385,000 tons, the lowest since Feb 2022.
(LME, Oct 25)
Europe’s Secondary Production Cuts: High energy costs continue to limit capacity in Germany and France, tightening global supply.
(Reuters, Oct 23)
Higher Industrial Power Costs in China: Average industrial electricity prices up 5% since September, lifting production costs and supporting price recovery. (Shanghai Metals Market, Oct 18)
VNC Intelligence Assessment (BI View):
Short-Term (2–3 weeks): Range-bound consolidation 2,850–2,950 before the next leg higher.
Medium-Term (4–6 weeks): Upside targets 3,075–3,304 on robust macro and supply-side tailwinds.
Long-Term (Q1 2026): High probability of USD 4,000/ton if China maintains current power-use restrictions.
5. Suggested Technical Strategies
Preferred Long Setup (Primary Scenario):
Entry: 2,850 – 2,880 (retest of breakout zone)
Targets: TP1 3,075 | TP2 3,304 | TP3 4,061
Stop-Loss: 2,700
Probability: 75%
Rationale: Long-term base breakout confirmed by volume and macro fundamentals.
Counter-Trend Short Setup (Profit-Taking):
Entry: 3,300 – 3,320
Target: 2,900
Stop-Loss: 3,380
Probability: 25%
Rationale: Tactical pullback trade at Fibonacci 161.8% resistance.
6. Corporate Hedging Strategies
Asian Aluminium Producers: Consider short-hedging 30–40% of Q2-2026 output near 3,300–3,400, securing margins amid rising energy costs.
Aluminium Consumers (EV, Construction, Packaging): Initiate long hedges below 3,000, as Q1-2026 projections point toward 3,800–4,000/ton.
Medium-Term Investors: Maintain long exposure from 2,800–2,850 with a 3-month return potential of 15–20%.
VNC Intelligence Summary:
Aluminium has entered a confirmed structural uptrend, driven by tightening Chinese supply and accelerating green-energy demand.
With inventories at multi-year lows and macro conditions supportive, prices are likely to retest USD 3,300–3,400 in the near term and could approach USD 4,000 by early 2026 if energy constraints persist.
Gold: Balance of power between buyers and sellersKey levels 4004 and 3944 remain areas of interest for buyers, while sellers aim for 4011
Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, the buyer initiative remains active.
The price has corrected below the 50% level of the initiative, and accumulation is currently taking place in this zone.
Key levels from the buyers’ perspective are 4004 and 3944,
while from the sellers’ side, the main resistance level is 4185, where we may see their reaction.
1-Hour Timeframe
On the hourly chart, the price has formed a sideways range, and the seller initiative is now active with a target at 4011.
It makes sense to look for long setups from a false breakout of the lower boundary of the range, around 4004.
If buyers defend the 4004 level, potential targets are 4160 and 4185, where seller reactions should be watched.
If buyers fail to hold 4004, then attention should shift to 3944, where another buyer response may appear.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD) – October 27, 2025Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD) – October 27, 2025 | Key Support at 4070, Eyeing Rebound Toward 4180
Gold continues to consolidate within a wide range between 4,000 – 4,180 USD/oz, after several days of sideways movement. On the 15-minute timeframe, the price recently completed a short-term descending channel and is now showing early signs of reversal from the 4,070 support area.
Technical Overview
Trend: Neutral-to-Bullish bias within the range
Support levels: 4,070 – 4,030 – 4,000
Resistance levels: 4,120 – 4,150 – 4,180
Indicators: RSI near oversold zone, potential for short-term recovery
Pattern: Breakout from falling channel suggests momentum shift toward the upper boundary of the range
Trading Strategy
Buy setup: Consider long entries near 4,070–4,050, targeting 4,150–4,180, with stop-loss below 4,030.
Sell setup: If price fails to break above 4,180, look for short opportunities targeting back toward 4,070.
Market Context
Gold remains supported by expectations of future Fed rate cuts and mild USD weakness. However, lack of clear catalysts keeps it trapped in consolidation. A clean breakout above 4,180 could open the way toward 4,240–4,280, while a breakdown below 4,000 would shift control back to sellers.
Summary
Today’s bias is mildly bullish as long as 4,070 holds. A bounce from this level could retest 4,150–4,180 in the short term.
Platinum Swing Setup: SMA Pullback + Hull MA Breakout!🎉 Platinum Heist: XPT/USD Bullish Breakout Plan
Asset: XPT/USD (Platinum vs. U.S. Dollar)
Trade Type: Swing/Day Trade
Vibe: Thief-Style Market Raid with a Bullish Twist! 🚨
Get ready, Thief OG's! We're plotting a slick move on the Platinum market, using a layered limit order strategy to sneak into profits. Let’s break down this heist with a polished, professional, yet fun approach to maximize views and likes on TradingView! 😎
📊 The Setup: Bullish Confirmation for the Win!
Here’s the plan to pull off this Platinum Profit Pathway:
🟢 Bullish Confirmation: Price pulling back to the Simple Moving Average (SMA), setting the stage for a breakout.
🕯️ Heikin Ashi Power: A bullish Doji candle confirms the upward momentum—our signal to strike!
📈 Hull MA Breakout: Price smashes through the dynamic resistance of the Hull Moving Average (HMA), screaming bullish vibes.
⚠️ Market Mood: Overbought conditions and strong resistance lie ahead, so we’ll need to be quick to escape the police close-in (aka profit-taking zone).
The Thief Strategy: Layered Limit Order Entry
We’re not just diving in—we’re layering our entries like a master thief stacking their loot!
Entry Plan: Place multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels:
🎯 $1400
🎯 $1410
🎯 $1420
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite—customize your heist!
Why Layering?: This sneaky strategy spreads your entries to reduce risk and maximize your chance of catching the move.
🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot!
Thief SL: Set at $1390 to keep the cops at bay.
Note: Dear Thief OG's, this SL is my suggestion, but it’s your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance—take the money and run at your own discretion.
🎯 Target: Escape with Profits!
Profit Zone: Aim for $1460, where strong resistance + overbought conditions signal a potential trap.
Escape Plan: The police (market reversal) might close in, so lock in profits quickly!
Note: Dear Thief OG's, this TP is my call, but you’re the boss of your trades. Secure your gains when you feel the heat!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to spot market clues:
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar): Gold and Platinum often move in tandem due to their precious metal status. A bullish Gold trend could support our XPT/USD heist.
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar): Silver’s volatility can signal broader metal market sentiment—watch for bullish confirmation here too.
USD Index ( TVC:DXY ): A weaker USD often boosts precious metals. If DXY weakens, it could fuel our Platinum breakout.
Key Correlation Insight: Platinum tends to follow Gold’s lead but can be more volatile due to industrial demand. Monitor XAU/USD for confirmation and DXY for USD strength/weakness.
📝 Disclaimer
This Thief-Style Trading Strategy is just for fun and educational purposes! Trading is risky, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always do your own research and manage your risk carefully. I’m not a financial advisor—just a fellow market thief sharing the plan! 😜
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