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TON at a Major Long-Term SupportOverall Market Structure • TON is trading inside a long-term ascending channel • Price is currently sitting right at the lower boundary of this channel • This zone represents a high-importance decision area from a technical perspective Short-Term Scenario (Trading View) Bullish Short-Term Scenario • Price reaction at the lower channel support • High probability of a technical rebound after heavy selling pressure • Suitable for short-term swing trades Logical entry zone: • $1.50 – $1.65 Short-term stop-loss: • $1.38 • A confirmed breakdown below this level invalidates the setup Short-term targets: • First target: $1.95 • Second target: $2.30 • Extended target (strong momentum): $2.80 📌 Risk-to-reward is attractive, but the scenario depends entirely on holding channel support. Bearish Short-Term Scenario • A confirmed breakdown below the channel • Increased downside momentum and liquidation pressure Downside targets: • $1.20 • $0.95 • Critical support zone: $0.75 Mid- to Long-Term Scenario (Investment View) Bullish Long-Term Outlook • As long as price remains inside the ascending channel, the bullish market structure remains intact • The current zone represents a strong long-term accumulation area Long-term stop-loss: • $1.10 (weekly close below this level = exit signal) Long-term targets: • Conservative target: $3.50 • Mid-cycle target: $5.00 • Full bull-market target: $7.00 – $9.00 📌 Achieving higher targets requires: • Increasing volume • A favorable broader crypto market • Positive ecosystem developments Fundamental Overview (Brief) • TON is the native blockchain of the Telegram ecosystem • Potential access to hundreds of millions of Telegram users is a major strategic advantage • Key focus areas: • In-app payments • Telegram Mini Apps • Web3 integration inside Telegram • Main risks: • Heavy dependency on Telegram’s strategic decisions • Strong competition from L2 networks and high-performance blockchains Fundamental takeaway: TON has strong long-term growth potential, but remains a high-volatility asset, making risk management essential. Final Summary • TON is at one of its most critical technical levels • Short-term: high-quality bounce opportunity with defined risk • Long-term: suitable for gradual accumulation, not all-in entries • A breakdown below channel support would invalidate the bullish thesis
CRYPTO:TONUSDLong
by isahebdadi
Prebreakout buildup at an 18-Year range resistance on KTKBANKMy approach to this setup follows a 3-step top-down filter. I use Stan Weinstein’s "Forest to the Trees" framework to check for macro tailwinds, Stage Analysis of the stock for big-picture placement, and look at price action for near-term structure - is it primed for a breakout? Step 1: The "Forest to the Trees" Filter (Are there tailwinds?) Before looking at the stock, we must verify that the "Forest" is healthy. The Forest - NSE:NIFTY : The index is coiling just under record highs (~26,300). Stage Analysis-wise, it appears on the cusp of a Stage 1 to Stage 2 breakout. The Trees - NSE:NIFTYPVTBANK : A clear relative strength leader. The index is in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend and is consolidating tightly at its range highs. Conclusion: The macro environment is providing a green light for long positions. Step 2: Big Picture Placement (Weinstein Stage Analysis) We zoom out to see the stock's multi-year lifecycle (monthly timeframe in this case gives the cleanest view) The Multi-Decade Base: KTKBANK has been in a massive Stage 1 accumulation base since roughly 2006 - never pushing above its 195-200 resistance till 2023 The 2023 Attempt: The stock rallied into the 18-year range highs but was rejected. Crucially, it lacked the "buildup" necessary to overcome nearly two decades of overhead supply. Current State: After coiling at resistance for all of 2024 and 2025, the stock finally looks ready to break out of this roughly 2-decade long range transition into a Stage 2 Advance. Step 3: Near-Term Structure & Signal Finally, we analyze the price action to see if conditions are ripe for a breakout sooner rather than later. The Buildup: We have a high-quality 2-year tight flag right under the ₹195-200 ceiling. This "buildup" indicates that institutional buying is absorbing the remaining supply. The Correction End: The double bottom formed in March and September 2025 signaled that sellers are probably exhausted. The Momentum Signal: November 2025 delivered a major bullish candle, breaking above the 20-Month EMA and the key ₹195 level on the highest monthly volume of the year. This is an important signal! And then...a pause: December has remained tight, holding above the 20M EMA and the key 195 level. This kind of a quiet pause after a green month is usually bullish. The Fundamental "Rerating" Thesis I believe technicals usually lead the fundamentals in most cases. Here, we see a massive Value Gap: Deep Discount: The bank's Book Value is ~₹333, yet it still trades at a lowly 0.65x P/B. Asset Quality: This is a clean bank now. Net NPAs have fallen to 1.35%, and the bank maintains a very strong CAR of ~20.8%. Target: A conservative rerate to a 1.0x Price-to-Book puts the target naturally at ₹330+. The Gist: A market entering a Stage 2 uptrend, a leading sector, and an 18-year breakout with a perfect prebreakout buildup. This is a prime candidate for a multi-month advance. Timeframe: Monthly. Patience is required!
BSE:KTKBANKLong
by traderoogway
NIFTY: Reading the 10-week Silence Under ResistanceWhat I'm seeing: Tight, 'boring' consolidation under key resistance For the past 10 weeks, NIFTY price action has been "boring" on the surface. Week after week, price has been heading nowhere. Weekly candle ranges are tight without much action. But if we look at the structure a bit more carefully—it's actually quite interesting. What story is this silence in the price action telling? Let's try to read the story that NIFTY has been telling for the past few months: The Level: The last major high of around 26.4k was put in back in Sep '24. Since then, price has remained below this key level. The Approach: Price finally returned to this resistance in late Oct '25. The Reaction: One might have expected a strong sell-off given the history of this level. Instead, NIFTY is meandering in a tight range (25.5k - 26.5k) for 10 weeks and counting. This is a massive clue that supply is being absorbed. Pre-breakout structures: This is a classic example of a "pre-breakout structure." This is the pattern I like to see most on higher timeframes. Key Characteristics: Defined Resistance: The 26.3k–26.4k area is a clear ceiling. Higher Lows: We see a sequence of rising support—Aug '25, Sep '25, and early Nov '25. The Buildup: A tight "squeeze" near resistance and above the 20-week EMA. This coiling action often precedes an explosive move. What’s next? The way price action is shaping up, the odds for a bullish breakout are good within the next 1–3 months. Every tight weekly candle adds to the "squeeze." Note: Bulls must defend the 20W EMA. We may see one more "test" of this average before the breakout attempt begins in earnest. The Tradeable Setup: The PreBreakout Entry: Building a position within the buildup, as close to the 20W EMA as possible. The Breakout Entry: Waiting for a push above 26.4k (trigger), ensuring the entry isn't too far extended from the level. Invalidation Points: Aggressive: Prior swing low from early Nov at 25.4k. Conservative: Swing low from late Sep at 24.6k. Broader Market Context: The "North Star" Effect While this analysis is focused on NIFTY Index Futures, its implications are much wider. The NIFTY 50 acts as the "North Star" for the Indian stock market. The Tide Lifts All Boats: Bullish posturing in the NIFTY—and a successful breakout if/when it happens—provides the necessary "risk-on" environment for individual stocks to break out of their own bases. A Bullish Filter: When the index is coiling like this, it’s often the best time to build a "watchlist of strength." If the NIFTY resolves this consolidation to the upside, the stocks that have been holding up best will likely be the first to fly. Use the NIFTY's price action as your broad-market filter. A breakout here isn't just a trade for futures players; it’s a green light for the entire Indian equity space. Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in the stock market involves significant risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult with a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by traderoogway
BHEL Technical Outlook: Volatility Compression Signals Breakout Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL) is currently in a high-probability consolidation phase after a strong prior uptrend, with price action compressing into a tightening range. The weekly chart shows an ascending triangle, highlighting persistent accumulation through higher lows while supply caps the upside—typically a continuation pattern in a bullish structure. Price remains comfortably above long-term moving averages, reinforcing medium- to long-term trend strength and downside protection. On the daily timeframe, a Bollinger Band squeeze is visible, signalling volatility contraction and increasing odds of an impulsive move. RSI in the mid-50s to low-60s reflects healthy momentum without overbought conditions, allowing room for expansion. MACD downside momentum is fading, with histogram flattening—often an early sign of trend resumption. ₹270–272 acts as a strong demand zone, while ₹290–295 is the key breakout trigger. A decisive close above ₹290 with volume could unlock an upside move toward ₹310–325, while a break below ₹270 would extend consolidation. Bottom line: BHEL is coiling within a bullish structure, with volatility compression setting the stage for a directional breakout. The trend remains constructive, and the next move is likely to be sharp once price escapes the current range.
NSE:BHELLong
by pratik2358
TQQQ Regime ThrottleOverview Rule-based risk expression for QQQ/TQQQ with explicit action prompts. The panel translates a 100/200-day SMA regime on QQQ into what to actually hold and how big to size, so you’re not guessing in real time. TL;DR This Idea pairs a simple 100/200-day SMA regime on QQQ with a volatility gate and a TrendScore so the panel explicitly tells you how to express risk: Express: TQQQ (use leverage and stay in TQQQ while this hint persists, subject to trims), Express: QQQ (stay unlevered), or Express: Cash (flat). It also suggests a sleeve size for TQQQ when enabled. What’s different vs a plain MA system Express hint : turns the regime into an action—TQQQ vs QQQ vs Cash. “Express: TQQQ” means be long TQQQ until the hint changes per rules (or your trims hit). Volatility gate : AnnVol and ATR% thresholds must be met to enable TQQQ; if not, you remain in QQQ or Cash even if GREEN. TrendScore → size : converts trend quality into a suggested sleeve %, capped to your risk budget. Dynamic guardrails : optional buffer around the 200D and extra confirmations at higher vol to curb whipsaws. How colors are determined GREEN = Close > 100D and 100D > 200D. YELLOW = Close > 200D and 100D ≤ 200D. RED = Close < 200D. How to read the panel RISK: GREEN/YELLOW/RED per the MA regime on QQQ daily (signal updates on daily closes). Confirm | Band : daily closes required to change color; the small ±% buffer applied to the 200D when vol rises (set to zero to mimic a plain 200D test). AnnVol | ATR% : realized vol and ATR as % of price used by the gate. TrendScore (0–1) : higher = stronger, cleaner trend. Express: what to hold— TQQQ if regime is risk-on and vol is tame; QQQ if regime is risk-on but vol is hot or trend is marginal; Cash if risk-off. “Express: TQQQ” = stay in TQQQ until the hint changes or your trims fire. Suggested sleeve : size guidance for TQQQ when enabled (TrendScore × vol scaling, then capped). Playbook (discipline) Decide at the daily close ; execute at the next open . If GREEN + Express: TQQQ → allocate up to Suggested sleeve (respect your cap). If GREEN + Express: QQQ → stay unlevered until vol cools or TrendScore improves. If YELLOW → light risk (half base sleeve; panel still gates leverage). If RED → flat/cash. Trim rule: if sleeve value > target × 1.25, rebalance back to target. Inputs you can tune MA lengths (100/200) and confirmations. Vol lookback, ATR length, Max AnnVol, Max ATR% (stricter = less TQQQ). Base sleeves for GREEN/YELLOW and an overall cap. Dynamic band/confirm multipliers (raise to reduce flip-flops). Signal source: QQQ by default; can follow your chart symbol. Notes Signal is computed on QQQ daily via security() and only locks at the daily close. The panel is an indicator , not an order system—use it to standardize decisions and sizing. Leveraged ETFs amplify gains and losses; backtest and size prudently. Disclaimer Educational only. Not investment advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by degenfolio
NVIDIA – When the Same Setup Appears Twice!NVDA - CURRENT PRICE : 188.61 NVDA – Technical BUY Call 📈 Price previously rallied steadily after breaking a minor downtrend line (refer orange circle). Similar technical setup is forming again, suggesting a potential repeat of the prior upswing. In both occurrences, price stayed above EMA50 , confirming the broader bullish trend remains intact. RSI remains in bullish territory (>50) and is not overbought, indicating healthy momentum with further upside potential. No major distribution signal observed, pullback appears corrective rather than trend-reversing. Notes : According to Moomoo, broker house targets range from USD 200 (lowest) to USD 352 (highest), with an average target of USD 260. ENTRY PRICE : 186.00 - 188.61 FIRST TARGET : 206.00 SECOND TARGET : 224.00 SUPPORT : 170.00
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by IMRAN_96
4
DOGE at a Critical CrossroadDogecoin has been moving within a mid-term ascending trend, clearly marked by the purple trendline on the chart. However, price has now decisively broken below this trendline and is consolidating under it, which is a major technical warning signal. Key technical implications: • The structure of higher lows has been invalidated • Price is trading below short-term moving averages • Bearish momentum has increased following the trendline break The black dashed line around 0.048 – 0.05 USD represents a very strong historical support zone, where price has previously reacted aggressively. Short-Term Outlook Bias: Bearish / corrective In the short term, the price action looks more like a breakdown followed by continuation, rather than a healthy consolidation. • Nearest resistance: 0.14 – 0.15 USD • As long as price remains below this zone, selling pressure is expected to dominate Probable scenario: Continuation to the downside with temporary relief bounces. Short-term targets: • First target: around 0.105 USD • Second target (if selling pressure increases): 0.085 USD Short-term stop-loss: • Daily close above 0.155 USD (This would indicate a reclaim of the broken trendline) Mid- to Long-Term Outlook Bias: Deep correction within a larger macro structure If DOGE fails to hold the 0.085–0.10 USD region, the chart opens a clear path toward the major support zone at 0.048 – 0.05 USD. This area aligns with long-term historical lows and major liquidity pools, making it a potential accumulation zone rather than a chase-buy area. Long-term upside targets (after a confirmed rebound): • First target: 0.10 USD • Second target: 0.16 USD • Third target (strong meme-coin cycle): 0.22 – 0.25 USD Long-term stop-loss: • Daily and weekly close below 0.045 USD (This would fully invalidate the long-term structure) Technical Summary in One View • Break of ascending trendline = major warning • Short-term momentum remains bearish • Long-term focus is on the 0.05 USD decision zone Fundamental Overview (Brief) From a fundamental perspective, Dogecoin remains: • Inflationary, with no fixed supply cap • Highly dependent on market sentiment, meme-coin cycles, and social/media influence • Strongly affected by overall crypto market conditions and figures like Elon Musk Strengths: • Very strong and loyal community • High liquidity • Explosive upside potential during bull markets Weaknesses: • Limited real-world utility compared to major Layer-1 projects • Tends to underperform sharply in prolonged bear markets Final Verdict DOGE is not in a low-risk buy zone right now. Patience is key—either wait for a clear bullish confirmation, or monitor deeper supports such as 0.05 USD for higher-probability long-term entries. If you want, I can also convert this analysis into: • A precise trading plan (long/short) • Or a professional YouTube script tailored for your channel
COINBASE:DOGEUSDShort
by isahebdadi
GBPJPY H4 - Potential Short Setup FormingGBPJPY has reached a completed upside expansion objective (XOP) on the H4 chart, where bullish continuation has stalled. Following the objective completion, price action has begun to shift from acceleration to reaction. Directional behavior has weakened: price has broken below the 3×3 Displaced Moving Average and failed to reclaim it, forming a Double RePo pattern. This confirms downside directional pressure rather than a temporary pause. Several DiNapoli Confluence Zones are located below the current price and will be closely monitored as potential areas of future market interaction. These levels are not entry signals but zones where further structure and confirmation may develop. However, those willing to take a short-term short trade can consider these zones as their exit points.
Short
by borces
Healthy Pullback or Trend Reversal?Bullish Scenario (Primary) • Strong uptrend structure • Sharp impulse move followed by bullish consolidation (triangle) • Pullback is constructive, not trend-breaking • Price holding above 50-day SMA 📍 Entry Zone: • $225 – $230 🛑 Stop Loss: • $212 • Daily close below invalidates bullish setup 🎯 Targets: • Target 1: $245 • Target 2: $255 • Extension: $270 Bearish / Risk Scenario • Breakdown below $212 → deeper correction • Next support zone: $200 – $195 • Prefer staying sidelined if breakdown occurs Short Fundamental View • AbbVie has a robust pharmaceutical portfolio • Successful transition away from Humira dependency • Strong free cash flow + attractive dividend • Defensive stock with solid long-term outlook • Fundamentally supportive of medium-term bullish continuation
NYSE:ABBVLong
by isahebdadi
Coty | COTY | Long at $3.00NYSE:COTY , one of the world's largest beauty companies, is known for its extensive portfolio of fragrances, cosmetics, skincare, and body care brands, such as: Adidas Bourjois Bozzano Bruno Banani Burberry Calvin Klein Cenoura & Bronze Chloé CoverGirl David Beckham Davidoff Escada Etro Gabriela Sabatini Gucci Hugo Boss Infiniment Coty Paris Jawhara Jil Sander Joop! Jovan Kylie Cosmetics Kylie Skin Lancaster Leger by Lena Gercke Manhattan Marc Jacobs Marni Max Factor Mexx Miss Sporty Monange Nautica Orveda Paixao Philosophy Rimmel Risqué Sally Hansen Swarovski Tiffany & Co. Vera Wang Technical Analysis Price double bounced off the top level of my selected historical "crash" simple moving average band. While the price may dip further to touch the lower end of this band (low $2 zone), this band is typically where share accumulation begins before a price reversal. The price may trade sideways for some time or jettison up, but my long-term outlook will simply require patience. Growth projections are modest and hinge on the company's successful execution of strategic restructuring and turnaround plans, delivery on new product launches and growth initiatives, and leadership stability / clear catalysts. Thus, at $3.00, NYSE:COTY is in a personal buy zone and not recommended for the risk averse. Targets into 2028 $3.50 (+16.7%) $4.70 (+56.7%)
NYSE:COTYLong
by WorthlessViews
Gold (1H) - Short-Term DiNapoli Context Near XOP CompletionGold is currently approaching the completion area of the prior upside swing, with the XOP target already reached. From a DiNapoli perspective, this zone often marks trend exhaustion or loss of upside momentum , especially in an extended market. While the broader trend remains bullish and fundamental factors continue to influence price, the technical picture suggests slowing upside behavior. Price is trading in an overbought condition, and momentum indicators indicate the potential formation of a bearish reversal sequence , with a MACD crossover developing. This context does not represent a long-term trend change, but rather a short-term corrective opportunity. If price confirms a downside reaction from the XOP area, fib node levels derived from the initial directional swing will serve as the primary downside objectives.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by borces
Smart Money Can Exit Their PositionThis video explains how smart money is able to exit their positions by operating as a coordinated group rather than as individual traders. The discussion focuses on how institutions plan exits using liquidity, timing, and market structure, and why these exits often occur without creating obvious signals for retail participants. The objective of this video is to help understand smart money thinking, team-based execution, and exit behavior from a market-structure and price-action perspective—purely for learning and awareness, not for trade recommendations.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProTradeMatrix