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Moving Averages

Double Top and Dump simulation (Bearish With Time) Here's a double top scenario slight run to 680. forecasted CMF, MACD, and price action. fits within retracement and time for your Fibonacci nerd. ~$630 11/20/25 ~$680 12/30/25 1. Santa rally 2. Gov Shutdown over probably at the 11/20 mark 3. Taco Rally on 11/20 as well ~$650 1/7/25 ~$675 2/25/26 ~$620 4/16/26 ~$600 7/6/26 ~$630 7/30/26 ~$600 8/21/26 ~$550 10/16/26 Just an alternative theory to my blow off top idea. SP:SPX AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPYShort
by MerloClover-PugetPointCapital
Arweave shortEntry now: 3.94, with optional scale‑in on a pop that stalls around 4.04–4.10.​ Primary targets: 3.72, then 3.55, then 3.35; take partials at each step.​ Hourly setup (loose): stop above 4.28 or Entry + 2×ATR(1h); trail by ~1×ATR after first target.​ 4‑hour setup (loose): stop above 4.45 or Entry + 2.5×ATR(4h); add only if a bounce into 4.28–4.45 rejects.​ Daily setup (loose): stop above 4.45 or Entry + 3×ATR(1d); bias remains bearish while short MA stays beneath long MA.​ Weekly context: use very small size; catastrophic stop above the long MA region near 6.44–6.60 if holding for weeks.​ Invalidation cue: sustained daily close back above ~4.28 weakens the short thesis; reduce or exit.​ Risk control: risk 1–2% per trade and size via position‑sizing formula based on distance to stop for capital protection.​
Short
by Low_Leverage_Matthew
4
Bitcoin at the EdgeShort-Term View: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the lower boundary of its rising channel near $111,000–$112,000, signaling potential short-term weakness. However, the price is still hovering close to this zone, meaning a false breakdown and quick recovery could still happen. If BTC reclaims $114,000, a rebound toward $118,000 → $122,000 becomes likely. A daily close below $104,000 would confirm a deeper bearish move. Long-Term View: As long as Bitcoin stays above the $101,000–$102,000 area (the last major swing low), the broader bullish structure remains intact. A recovery back inside the channel could reignite the uptrend toward $125,000–$128,000. If the breakdown holds and BTC closes multiple days below $101,000, the long-term support could shift lower toward $92,000–$88,000. Summary: Bitcoin is currently testing the bottom of a long-term ascending channel, making this a critical zone for market direction. A recovery above $114K could turn sentiment bullish again, while sustained weakness below $104K opens the door to a larger correction.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by isahebdadi
S&P 500 at the Golden Support – Bounce or Breakdown?Short-Term View: S&P 500 is testing its 50-day moving average near 6,470 after a recent correction from 6,800. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could push prices toward 6,850 → 7,000. If the index closes below 6,550, short-term momentum turns bearish and a drop toward 6,400 becomes likely. Long-Term View: The broader trend remains bullish as long as price holds above 6,470–6,145. Breaking below 6,145 would confirm a larger correction toward 6,000–5,800, while holding above this zone keeps the path open for new highs near 7,200. Summary: S&P 500 stands at a key technical decision zone — the market is deciding whether to resume its bullish trend or start a mid-term correction.
SP:SPXLong
by isahebdadi
GoDaddy | GDDY | Long at $128.90GoDaddy NYSE:GDDY is the world's largest domain registrar, managing over 84 million domains for over 21 million customers. AI, particularly through GoDaddy's Airo platform and related GenAI tools, is poised to drive outsized growth by supercharging product innovation, customer value, and operational efficiency. Technical Analysis The stock has dropped 35% so far in 2025, but this was after a meteoric 208.5% rise from October 2023 to December 2024. The price has now regressed to my selected historical mean - a typical share-accumulation region for algorithmic trading when it comes to high-growth stocks. While this is often a solid area of support, it may dip down to $115 to shakeout retail traders. Obviously, further declines would occur if fundamentals change, but the forward growth is highly attractive, and I doubt it will "crash" from here if the outlook remains positive. Earnings and Revenue Growth into 2028 Projected earnings-per share growth between 2025 ($5.98) and 2028 ($11.12): 86.0% (AI effect...) Projected revenue growth between 2025 ($4.92 billion) and 2028 ($6.19 billion): 25.8% Current P/E: 22x (remaining tech sector: 45.7x) www.tradingview.com Insiders Warning: Lots of insider selling and no recent buying. openinsider.com Health Debt-to-equity: 9x (very high, but due to aggressive share repurchases rather than distress) Cash flow remains a bull case cornerstone, with accelerating free cash flow conversion (>100% of EBITDA) underscoring operational leverage from AI efficiencies and premium customer shifts. Action GoDaddy NYSE:GDDY is a prominent name and leader in domain registration. As AI enhancements lead to improvements in operational margins, earnings are likely to grow tremendously into 2028. Once agentic AI search enters the scene, it will be very interesting to better understand the importance of such a domain registration company for its successful implementation. While the price may dip beyond the historical mean to shakeout some retail traders, I think the future of this currently undervalued, high-growth company into 2028 is very bullish. Thus, at $128.90, NYSE:GDDY is in a buy-zone with potential near-term risk between $100 and $115. Targets into 2028 $160.00 (+24.1%) $200.00 (+55.2%)
NYSE:GDDYLong
by WorthlessViews
Bioceres Crop Solutions | BIOX | Long at $1.43Technical Analysis Bioceres Crop Solutions NASDAQ:BIOX has entered my selected "crash" simple moving average. This area is often a zone of share accumulation and may result in a trend reversal (or a short-term stair-step down to $1 or lower before trading sideways). Growth, Fundamentals, & Health Not expected to become profitable again until 2028. Earnings-per-shares growth from 2026 (-$0.26) to 2028 ($0.56): +323% Revenue growth from 2026 ($350 million) to 2028 ($511 million): +46% Current Fair Value: $5 Debt-to-Equity: 0.9x (very good / healthy) Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: .9 (high risk, some financial distress) Action 75% technical analysis play and only 25% based on company fundamentals. The only major risk based on the data is bankruptcy. The near-term could be rough for the company, but the outlook into 2028 shows significant growth. Thus, at $1.43, NASDAQ:BIOX is in a personal buy zone. There could be near-term risk near $1 or a bit lower, but this one is a total gamble. Time will tell. Targets into 2028 $2.00 (+39.9%) $4.00 (+179.7%)
NASDAQ:BIOXLong
by WorthlessViews
Amazon at the Edge – Bounce or Breakdown?On the daily chart of Amazon (AMZN), the price is sitting right on its long-term uptrend line — a trendline that has supported the stock multiple times since early 2023. The current price hovers around $220, with the 50-day SMA near $225, acting as short-term resistance. In the short term, a confirmed move above $225 could trigger a rebound toward $235 and $248. A logical stop loss for this bullish scenario is below $210, where the short-term structure would weaken. In the longer-term view, as long as the price stays above the uptrend line (around $205–$208), the broader trend remains bullish with targets at $255 and $270. However, a confirmed breakdown below $200 would invalidate the uptrend and could lead to a deeper correction toward $185. Overall, Amazon is at a critical decision zone — the next few sessions will reveal whether it bounces back into strength or breaks its multi-year trendline support.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by isahebdadi
CVE — Swing Trade💰 CVE — Swing Trade Breakdown 🏢 Company Snapshot CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc.) is a Canadian integrated energy firm active in oil sands, conventional, refining, transportation, and marketing. The stock has traction now due to elevated energy prices, tightening supply, and its ongoing M&A with MEG Energy (bid recently sweetened). 📊 Fundamentals P/E: ~17× (vs oil & gas peers ~15–20×) — in line, not overly stretched Google +1 P/B: ~1.5×–2× (modest premium, consistent with energy sector norms) — decent balance sheet multiple Debt/Equity: moderate (levered but manageable given cash flow) ROE: mid-teens % (reflecting solid profitability for the sector) Dividend Yield: ~3.3% — yields plus growth angle in energy exposure Google +3 Investing.com +3 StockAnalysis +3 Summary: Sector-aligned valuation, decent income buffer, acceptable leverage in a strong commodity backdrop. 📈 Trends & Catalysts Revenue growth: stable to modestly rising (benefits from upstream + refining mix) EPS trend: relatively steady with occasional volatility — recent quarters deliver modest beats Balance sheet: steady cash flow; potential debt reduction if oil prices hold Catalysts:  • MEG Energy acquisition resolution (bid escalation ongoing)  • Crude oil and natural gas price strength / OPEC supply signals  • Canadian energy sector rotation in seasonal demand cycles Risks: valuation sensitivity to commodity downside, regulatory/tax changes, execution risk on M&A, emissions regulation headwinds 🪙 Industry Overview Weekly: up modestly (energy sector in positive zone) Monthly: outperforming broader TSX (rotation into energy) 12-month: outperformed general market on rising commodity tailwinds Sentiment: Bullish — flow shifting into energy and resource plays as cyclical bets ramp 📐 Technicals Price ≈ 24.20–24.50 50-SMA ≈ 22.50 (price above → trend favoring bulls) RSI(2): ~12–18 (nearing oversold short term) Pattern: bullish consolidation off rising support; possible flag / continuation setup Support: 22.80 – 23.50 Resistance: 25.50 – 26.50 🎯 Trade Plan Entry Zone: 23.80 – 24.40 on strength or pullback Stop Loss: 22.80 Target: 26.40 (first leg), stretch 27.50 Risk/Reward: ~3× on base target Alternate Setup: If breaks above 25.50 convincingly, use a retest as continuation entry 🧠 My Take CVE offers a clean swing setup with mixed support from fundamentals and commodity strength. I favor initiating on a dip near support ahead of the next leg upward, capturing energy tailwinds while limiting downside via tight stop.
NEO:CVELong
by SwingTraderKev
Gold at Decision Point – Break or Correction?On the 15-minute gold chart, price is testing the key resistance around $4,381. This level has acted as a ceiling several times, suggesting strong selling pressure. The 50-period SMA at $4,234 still supports the broader uptrend, but momentum appears to be weakening near resistance. In the short term, a close below $4,340 could trigger a pullback toward $4,280 and possibly $4,240. A reasonable stop loss for this scenario is above $4,385. In the longer-term view (over the next few sessions), if gold breaks and sustains above $4,381, we could see an upside move toward $4,400 and $4,460. The protective stop for this bullish setup should be below $4,275. Overall, gold is at a decision point — a breakout could signal continuation of the bullish wave, while rejection from resistance may lead to a short-term correction.
TVC:GOLDLong
by isahebdadi
At the end of the ascending triangle, go shortToday, gold opened with a volatile climb and then consolidated at elevated levels. The bulls still have lingering momentum, but gold has been trading above its 5-period moving average for three consecutive days now. Since the start of this unilateral rally from 3,311, gold has consistently advanced with support from the 5-period moving average—only once did it find support at the 10-period moving average. When gold deviates from the 5-period moving average for an extended period and keeps rallying nonstop, a pullback correction is likely to occur. Furthermore, gold is trading at the end of an ascending triangle pattern, leaving little room for further movement, and a trend reversal could happen at any time. Realistically, due to the U.S. government shutdown, it’s nearly impossible to make reliable judgments based on economic data right now—the data is simply too untrustworthy, and any outcome would come as no surprise. That said, I don’t believe inflation will ease at all. In fact, the U.S. government shutdown has dealt a severe blow to the U.S. economy. Additionally, tariff tensions have never truly subsided; on the contrary, they are currently escalating step by step. Under such circumstances, I don’t think U.S. inflation will slow down—in fact, I lean toward the possibility of further inflationary pressures. If that’s the case, the Federal Reserve will likely put rate cuts on hold. Even if a rate cut is forced through in October, it will impact the progress of future rate cuts. Once inflation heats up, gold faces a high risk of a sharp collapse. In terms of market trading, gold’s rebound after the previous collapse has only fueled more bullish buying. Paradoxically, this has made the market unafraid of another collapse—traders now assume that any drop will be quickly followed by a rally to new highs. Amid the uptrend, chasing highs remains common, and rightly so, given the impressive gains in recent days. However, this could well be a sense of inertia instilled by the market, designed to make traders trust the bullish trend. If gold falls again, the decline will likely exceed 100 points. Resistance Levels: 4,275, 4,300 Support Levels: 4,235, 4,220 Trading Strategy While others are cautious, we’ll be greedy. We plan to consider shorting gold around the 4,275 level in the evening, waiting for a trend reversal. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
#GASUSDT #1D (ByBit) Falling broadening wedge breakout & retestNeoGas printed a golden cross on daily and a morning star at the same time, just like last year. Also formed a triangle, seems likely to bounce on 200MA support then break bullish in the coming weeks. ⚡️⚡️ #GAS/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 5.4% Current Price: 3.281 Entry Targets: 1) 3.201 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 4.387 Stop Targets: 1) 2.607 Published By: @Zblaba HOSE:GAS BYBIT:GASUSDT.P #1D #NeoGas #dBFT neo.org Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +74.1% Possible Loss= -37.1% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Long
by TradingOn
#SXTUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending trendline break retestSpace and Time (SXT) pulled back to 50MA daily support, looks ready for mid-term recovery after those two dragonfly dojis in a row. ⚡️⚡️ #SXT/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 5.0% Entry Targets: 1) 0.08264 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.15684 Stop Targets: 1) 0.05787 Published By: @Zblaba NYSE:SXT BINANCE:SXTUSDT.P #1D #SpaceAndTime #ZK #AI #DPoS spaceandtime.io Risk/Reward= 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +179.6% Possible Loss= -59.9% Estimated Gaintime= 1 month
Long
by TradingOn
2
Is Western Digital Still Going North?Western Digital has been riding the AI boom to new highs. Now, after a pullback, some dip buyers may see an opportunity. The first pattern on today’s chart is the September 22 closing price of $112.41. WDC ripped through that level at the end of last month and stabilized slightly above it on Tuesday. Has old resistance become new support? Second, the bounce occurred at the rising 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). Third, the 8-day EMA is above the 21-day EMA. That may confirm it’s in an uptrend. Finally, stochastics are turning higher after dipping toward (but not reaching) oversold. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:WDC
by TradeStation
1