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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

New York Trap Alignment 30-Minute Timeframe Summary On the 30-minute timeframe, a price trap zone has been defined by marking both bullish and bearish break of structure levels. Price is currently pushing higher and attempting to close above the 30-minute swing high trap zone as New York session momentum builds. 30-Minute Chart Highlights • Bullish and bearish break of structure levels identified • Defined 30-minute price trap zone • Active bullish pressure attempting upside acceptance 30-Minute Trade Logic • A confirmed close above the bullish break of structure supports a long entry, while a confirmed close below the bearish break of structure supports a short entry. One-Hour Timeframe Summary On the one-hour timeframe, both swing high and swing low expansion levels have been identified and marked as bullish and bearish break of structure levels. The market is showing strong bullish momentum going into the New York session, framing directional bias around these higher-timeframe levels. One-Hour Chart Highlights • One-hour bullish break of structure level identified • One-hour bearish break of structure level identified • Strong bullish momentum entering New York session One-Hour Trade Logic • A close above the one-hour bullish break of structure confirms long continuation, while a close below the one-hour bearish break of structure confirms a short bias, with each timeframe providing its own valid trade trigger.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_HYPOTHESIS
BONK - and profit is on the way!Weekly view We can see that BONK actually entered the support all time for a nice push to higher prices but not before clearing all the buyers existing in the market. We can see that price gives a fractal confirmation on weekly view that bulls came to this market. Last pushing was for about 3 weeks from July and right now the bears put pressure with a squizing model. Daily view We can see on daily how bulls came inside the PA with a good push to upside, breaking the structure on both swing and fractal structure. An instant buy right now or a limit buy from lower prices could easyly give us a really nice entry for what a "crypto pump" is more likelly to happen. Therefore i will be buying and trailing my stop on it from now and willing to see ATH in the near future.
COINBASE:BONKUSDLong
by AlessioRO
2
Higher-Low Attempt vs Weekly/Monthly H&S Supply TrapContext: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P — Fractal Read: 3M vs 1W vs 1M We’re at a classic HTF inflection where a potential 3M higher-low is trying to build, while the weekly/monthly tape still carries “distribution-risk” characteristics (H&S framework + reclaim requirements). Timeframes are fractal — one triggers the next. --- 3M: Higher-low attempt is live, but needs confirmation The 3-month structure is attempting to stabilize after the impulsive sell leg. A higher-low is not “declared” by a bounce — it’s confirmed by: 1) Holding the base (no acceptance back below the pivot zone) 2) Reclaiming overhead supply shelves with follow-through 3) Showing improving participation (volume) on impulse legs I’m treating this as a developing base, not a certainty. My edge is scenario planning, not bottom calling. --- 1W: EMA posture + fib shelves + H&S risk management (EMAs: 12 blue / 26 orange / 50 white / 200 red) On the weekly, the market is still trading below key EMA “control lines” (notably the faster/mid EMAs), which makes the current bounce a *retest environment* until proven otherwise. Fibonacci (swing high → swing low) provides the reaction shelves that matter for a right-shoulder build or a proper reclaim: • 0.236 ~ 91.36k (first reclaim shelf) • 0.382 ~ 98.02k (first serious acceptance test) • 0.50 ~ 103.40k (midpoint / decision shelf) • 0.618 ~ 108.79k (often the “make-or-break” supply zone) • 0.705 ~ 112.75k • 0.786 ~ 116.45k • 0.886 ~ 121.01k H&S framework: - The structure suggests a potential weekly head-and-shoulders with an ascending neckline. - For confirmation, I watch the tape: rallies into the right-shoulder area often show weaker participation (volume not confirming), and breakdown attempts typically require expansion in sell-side participation. - If price rises while buy volume trends lower, that’s a warning for “bounce = distribution” and increases the probability this is a right-shoulder auction rather than a trend resumption. Invalidation logic: - The H&S threat diminishes materially only after sustained acceptance above the heavier supply shelves (not just a wick into them). --- 1M: Zoomed-out H&S = bear-trap potential during the bounce On the monthly, the pattern is cleaner: the current rebound can absolutely function as a “bear-trap / relief rally” while the right shoulder develops. That’s why I treat upside as a sequence of auctions: - Acceptance above each fib shelf = constructive - Fast rejection / failure to hold reclaimed levels = supply is still in control If the rebound fails to convert those shelves into support, the market can rotate back toward the base and re-open the larger corrective fractal. --- Long/Short Accounts %: liquidity context (and cross-exchange check) I use Long/Short Accounts % as a positioning/behavioral overlay, not as a standalone signal. As price tags each fib shelf and the H&S structure “matures,” I’m watching: - Long skew rising into resistance shelves = potential liquidity for sell-side (crowd leaning the wrong way) - Short skew rising into support = squeeze risk (fuel for continuation moves) I also compare the read across venues (e.g., Binance vs Bybit). If both venues show the same crowding at the same shelf, the “liquidity magnet” effect tends to be cleaner. --- Summary: what matters next - Base must hold to keep the 3M higher-low thesis alive. - Weekly/monthly must reclaim and ACCEPT above the fib/EMA shelves to reduce H&S distribution risk. - Volume + acceptance (HTF closes) decide whether this is genuine bid strength or a right-shoulder trap. --- Educational commentary only — not financial advice.
by shdwxbt
EURCHF📊 EURCHF — Bearish Structure Shift & Supply Interaction (Educational Market Commentary | Intraday / HTF Context) This analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It reflects personal chart observations based on price action, market structure, and liquidity behavior. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade recommendations, or execution guidance. 🔍 Market Structure Context EURCHF has recently delivered a bearish break of structure (BOS), signaling a shift in short-term directional bias. The breakdown was impulsive, suggesting active sell-side participation rather than a corrective pullback. Following the BOS, price displaced efficiently to the downside before beginning a corrective rotation, indicating rebalancing rather than immediate trend reversal. 🧠 Supply Zone Logic The highlighted supply zone marks the origin of the bearish displacement that caused the structural break. From an institutional perspective, this zone represents an area of interest, not a signal. If price retraces into this zone, the reaction will be key: •Strong rejection may confirm remaining sell-side order flow •Acceptance above the zone would suggest weakening supply and possible structural repair •Until interaction occurs, the zone remains a reference within a bearish framework. ⚖️ Probabilistic Price Scenarios From a probability-based standpoint: •Bearish continuation remains valid while supply holds •Deeper pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies •Consolidation below supply is also a •healthy outcome No outcome is assumed without confirmation from price behavior. 📌 Channel Philosophy This journal focuses on: •Structure over indicators •Liquidity over emotion •Process over prediction •Discipline over hype There are no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only structured analysis and transparent market logic. If you value institutional structure, liquidity-based reasoning, and rule-driven charting, feel free to follow and engage. Let price confirm the narrative.
Short
by APEXGroup7
EURUSD - Where is the real liquidity?Daily view IF we take a closer look at daily chart for EURUSD, we can see that price remains bullish on the swing structure and the fractal structure just turned yesterday bearish. After turning bearish, we leave a huge wick as a reaction from the daily bullish FVG and near the 0.5% retracement on the swing structure. This fractal change could be just a trap and seen only as a liquidity grab before going more to upside because we have enourmous amount of liquidity resting in a form of trendline liquidity. I will be not surprised if EURUSD will continue to upside to get all that liquidity before anything else. The problem with this view is that, the connection with the daily demand missed by 1 pip. So it has a chance that this daily shift in fractal structure to bearish to actually hold , make a fake move to upside and continue down in the way of the fractal structure just to collect even more liquidity for the upside move and connect with the demand. 4h view On the 4h chart, we can see how price entered the FVG and missed by so little the connection with the demand before changing the 4h fractal structure to bullish. In a form or other, price is able to make this connection or not. We can easelly see that price going up without the connection with that demand, leaving for later this move. As 4h chart, we have the demand of the 4h and the 4h bullish FVG from where i will be interested to see how we will be reacting. I will not enter the market blindelly, will look for 1h oportunities in order to long this. 1h view 1h view is clearlly bearish right now, reacting from a supply zone. It will be interesting to see 1h continuing it's bearish momentum in London session today and a shift in fractal structure somewhere in NY session. After seeing that the connection with the demand on 1h / 4h and a nice shift for 1h at least (if not also on 4h) i am able to say, yes, price wants upside more than downside. If the price is not giving this confirmation on 1h chart. Than i am not willing to risk on either longs/shorts for this market.
Long
by AlessioRO
XAU/USD 06 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150 Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis. Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback. Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GBPUSD -Breaking old highsThis is why is important to zoom out your charts. GBPUSD is currently breaking old highs from the 3RD Quarter from 2025 from June-September. Even though your analysis can be accurate on the small-time frames this is the reasons why you still lose a trade because you simply didn't zoom out the timeframe and pay attention on what's going on in the big picture. New highs are being created in current price while taking out old highs from 3-6months ago. Yes, it can reverse but this is how u prevent yourself to get stopped out. Once you know what's going on, on the big timeframes then you can lower your timeframe for and entry and accuracy.
by JRockets
1
USDCAD: Likely strengthening of the Canadian DollarHi traders and investors! Back in May, we analyzed the monthly chart and projected a decline in the pair — implying strengthening of the Canadian dollar. Let’s now take a look at what has changed since then. Monthly timeframe. The market is in a sideways range, while a seller initiative is active. A test of the key initiative candle was performed at the 1.39248 level. Between October and December, a manipulation of this level formed — a false breakout on increased volume, followed by absorption by sellers. Downside targets: first target — 1.35399; next target — 50% of the trading range, level 1.34. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
by AlexeyWolf
1
Dent token - 10000% in 90 days? - January 2026Ticker : DENTUSDT (DENT) Timeframe : 8 day chart Core thesis Dent has been in a long, joyless downtrend the kind that makes you wonder if “utility token” is just crypto for “emotional damage”. Price has now fallen back into a major historical support band (blue zone), while the weekly and above RSI sits at 26, matching the washed out reading seen around March 2020. Seller exhaustion + multi year support + RSI in basement can set up a mean reversion rally no one expects. Such rallies are energetic, just as before, for one simple reason: Sellers have left the chat. Future selling will now be from buyers on this day forth. This is a high risk, speculative idea built on the assumption that the market’s finished throwing DENT in a the bin (for now). But there’s something else, something else now shown in this idea, which I’ll leave for discussion elsewhere. In the meantime: Key levels Support (base zone) $0.00020 – $0.00024: The current weekly demand area / base. Bulls want to see price hold and build here (ideally a higher low). If this zone holds, it becomes the risk-defined entry point. Invalidation Meaningful weekly close below ~$0.00020 (and especially a clean breakdown to fresh lows). If this fails, the “base” is just a trapdoor. Resistance targets These are profit-taking / reaction zones, not fairy-tale endpoints. T1: ~$0.00058 – $0.00064 (1st Resistance) First serious overhead supply. If we can’t reclaim this, the move is just a dead-cat bounce doing dead-cat things. T2: ~$0.00189 (2nd Resistance) Major level from prior structure. If price gets here, expect volatility and sellers to reappear like they’ve been summoned. T3: ~$0.022 (3rd Resistance / “Crypto Is Back” Level) The big historical ceiling. Could it happen? Sure, so could I become a ballet dancer. This is the stretch target for a full mania-style rotation, not the base case. Conclusions DENT is sitting on a key long-term support band with weekly RSI at extreme oversold (~26) values, a setup that can precede sharp mean-reversion rallies in beaten-down tokens. The trade is simple: hold the base = bounce potential toward $0.00058, then $0.00189 if momentum really flips. But don’t confuse a relief rally with redemption. If price loses $0.00020, this bullish idea is invalid and you move on because loyalty is for dogs, not downtrends. Ww ===================================================== Disclaimer This is not financial advice. It’s a technical opinion on a chart. Basically me looking at squiggly lines and pretending they have feelings. Nothing here is guaranteed, nothing here is a “signal,” and if you treat it like one, that’s on you. Crypto can move 30% because someone tweeted an emoji. It can also drop 90% while you’re making a cup of tea. Manage your risk, size properly, use stops that respect volatility and assume you’re wrong by default because markets don’t care about your hopes, your timeline, or your rent. I may hold a position at any time, and this idea can be invalidated without warning. If you lose money, don’t message me like I stole it. You clicked the buttons.
Long
by without_worries
3
GBPUSD Idea update - Possible HTF Bearish reversal PLEASE VISIT PREVIOUS POST FOR TRADE IDEA MONDAY RECAP First stage of analysis almost complete as we are approaching large supply zone. Price mitigated FVG left by bullish trends ‘true’ Higher Low found on 15m which can be seen as a large wick formed on the 1h/4h. For price action to make sense we had to return into mentioned FVG within the HTF wick so that price could balance buyers/sellers and continue its uptrend toward the larger draw an liquidity which should be retails stop above double top (swept) & larger trends supply zone. Please be aware of the lack of pullback currently seen once sweeping the double top & overall momentum of the bullish leg leading up to the supply zone I have pointed out in the chart above. UPDATE ON TRADE IDEA In favour of the initial idea we have a lot of price action imbalance on the latest bullish leg that will need mitigating along with the unmitigated FVG shown as the grey area w/ red centre zone that will be our first targeted draw on liquidity if we reverse. Normal entry conditions apply, wait for tap into HTF supply, timeframes alignment, possible sweep on LTF, etc. IF momentum continues we could be heading for weekly double top (& top trend line of weekly rising wedge) / HTF reversal / ect. I will now be looking for a ranging Asia session then topside liquidity sweep of Asia by LDN or LDN topside by NY that taps into supply zone initiating reversal.
by AWilliams67
1
Orion S.A. 300% move? - January 2026 Ticker : NYSE:OEC (Orion S.A.) Timeframe : Weekly Core thesis OEC has spent the last year mimicking a lift (in American you say elevator, in English we say lift) in free fall as the overspeed governor decides "there’s no way I can stop this". Proper waterfall stuff. The kind of chart that makes you question free will. But…. the weekly, actually it’s an 8 day chart we got here, is now printing what might be the first whiff of seller exhaustion. A violent capitulation into the circa $5 area, RSI crushed into the basement (again, look left) as price attempts to stabilise after being absolutely humbled. If this base hold, the upside isn’t a “nice little bounce”, it’s a mean reversion back toward prior market structure. The $15 zone and potentially the underside of the long term descending channel, circa $20. That’s between 200-300%. Not unlike the previous trips back up north when RSI was that those levels. This is not a “strong uptrend” setup. This is a “they’ve stopped punching it for five minutes” setup. High risk, high torque. Key levels $5.15 to $5.90 is current stabilisation area after the sell off. Bulls will want to see weekly closes holding above this range. If you want to get fancy, a higher low forming above $5.15 is the whole story. Test point 1: $10-11 The first major reaction area, psychological level. Test point 2: $14-15 The big blue market structure shelf shown on the chart. This is a proper mean reversion target. 190% from the base area. Test point 3: $20-21 Where downtrend goes to ruin your optimism. If price action tags this line, expect sellers to show up like it’s happy hour. 300% from base. Test point 4: $25-26 If we get here, congratulations. Long term resistance breakout, not untypical for 3rd attempts. The chart has gone from “tragedy” to “farce”, and you should be scaling out aggressively. Conclusions Orion S.A. looks like it may be carving a weekly base after an ugly, extended dump. The only bullish argument is that capitulation + RSI washout have now bottomed out. Should price action stabilise, then a run to market structure increases in likelihood. But let’s be honest, this is a trade built on hope that the sellers have finally got tired. Keep risk tight, respect invalidation, and don’t marry it. It’s not that kind of relationship. Ww ===================================== Disclaimer This is not financial advice, it’s technical analysis, not a guarantee, not a signal service, and definitely not a substitute for your own research. Markets are risky; beaten-down names can stay beaten-down. Manage position size, use stops appropriate to volatility and assume you can be wrong (often). I may hold a position at any time, and this idea can be invalidated without notice.
NYSE:OECLong
by without_worries
Long trade BTCUSDC.P — Sentiment Analysis (15m | Institutional / Liquidity–VWAP Read) Overall Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Continuation | Value Reclaim → Expansion Market State BTC has transitioned from intraday balance into directional expansion. The most recent pullback was corrective and failed to accept back into value, signalling that the auction has resolved in favour of the buy-side. Liquidity & Auction Narrative Sell-side liquidity beneath the Asian/London lows was engineered and absorbed. The subsequent push higher shows clean acceptance above reclaimed levels, indicating a successful bullish auction, not a stop-run. Upside liquidity remains active and magnetised, with no immediate signs of distribution. Value, VWAP & Fair Price Price is holding above VWAP and upper deviation bands, confirming premium acceptance. The former balance area has flipped to support, reducing the probability of mean reversion. As long as VWAP is defended, trend conditions remain intact. Bullish continuation dominates, supported by: Strong intraday structure Defended pullbacks and momentum alignment Acceptance above VWAP/value Summary BTCUSDC has resolved higher from value with sustained acceptance above VWAP, indicating buy-side control and favouring continuation while reclaimed support holds.
Long
by davidjulien369
Bullish Expansion Continuation30-Minute Timeframe Summary On the 30-minute timeframe, price has established a new bullish expansion swing high, defining a fresh bullish break of structure level. Buyers are currently showing strength above prior resistance, suggesting continuation potential if the current candle confirms acceptance above this level. 30-Minute Chart Highlights • New bullish expansion swing high identified • Bullish break of structure level clearly marked • Shallow supply zone being violated by buying pressure 30-Minute Trade Logic • A confirmed close above the new bullish break of structure level triggers a long entry targeting 10 base points. 1-Hour Timeframe Summary On the one-hour timeframe, both the bearish break of structure level and its corresponding swing low were identified and treated as support rather than resistance. Although price briefly moved below these levels on the 30-minute chart, it failed to close below them on the one-hour timeframe, invalidating bearish continuation and reinforcing bullish pressure. 1-Hour Chart Highlights • One-hour bearish break of structure level held as support • No confirmed one-hour close below the bearish level • Higher-timeframe structure remains intact and supportive 1-Hour Trade Logic • Failure to close below the one-hour bearish structure level preserves bullish bias while price remains above support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_HYPOTHESIS
Expansion Decision Zone30-Minute Timeframe Summary On the 30-minute timeframe, price is now showing clear bullish sentiment with expanding buying pressure moving beyond the previously identified trap zone. This behavior suggests active buyer participation, increasing the probability of a bullish continuation if strength persists. 30-Minute Chart Highlights • Bullish sentiment expanding beyond the trap zone • Sustained buying pressure on recent candles • Break attempt developing to the bullish side 30-Minute Trade Logic • Continued acceptance above the trap zone supports a bullish trading opportunity, while failure to hold would shift focus back to downside resolution. 1-Hour Timeframe Summary On the one-hour timeframe, both the bullish break of structure expansion level and the bearish break of structure expansion level remain clearly defined. These levels continue to serve as the higher-timeframe decision points guiding directional bias. 1-Hour Chart Highlights • Bullish break of structure expansion level identified • Bearish break of structure expansion level identified • Expansion framework remains intact 1-Hour Trade Logic • A confirmed close above the bullish expansion level favors long continuation, while a close below the bearish expansion level confirms short continuation. Additional Note • Price action will continue to be monitored closely, and this idea will be updated in real time as market conditions evolve.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MR_HYPOTHESIS
2
New Breakout in GE Aerospace?GE Aerospace had a healthy pullback in November, and now some traders may think it’s breaking out again. The first pattern on today’s chart is $308.95, the final price on October 31. It served as the highest weekly closing price for almost two months before a Christmas breakout. Last week, GE pulled back and bounced at the same level. That could suggest that old resistance has become new support. Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA and MACD has been rising. Those signals may reflect short-term bullishness. Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day EMA. That may suggest the industrial stock is in a long-term uptrend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:GE
by TradeStation
1