DJI M30 RSI Reset and Bullish Mean Reversion Setup📝 Description
Dow Jones on M30 is still trading inside a bullish HTF context. After the recent corrective drop, RSI has fully reset and is now sitting in a zone that historically aligns with price reversals to the upside. This tells us downside momentum is exhausted and the market is getting ready for a bounce.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while holding above 48,800
Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Buy): 48,820 (HTF FVG)
• Stop Loss: Below 48,750
• TP1: 48,930
• TP2: 49,075
• TP3: 49,230
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• RSI in reset / reversal zone
• Corrective move, not impulsive selling
• Price holding near HTF FVG support
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🧩 Summary
With RSI showing exhaustion of sellers, the market looks ready for an upside rotation. As long as price remains above the current support, the probability favors a bullish continuation toward higher liquidity levels.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Strong ISM Services supports economic strength and favors upside in the Dow. Softer JOLTS does not challenge the bullish trend, with pullbacks likely offering continuation opportunities.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Tesla: Risk of further price declineTesla shares on the weekly timeframe remain in a sideways range that has been forming since 2021.
In December 2024, there was an attempt to break out of the range to the upside; however, the seller quickly pushed the price back into the range.
In December 2025, the market again attempted to move above the upper boundary of the range, but this attempt has so far been unsuccessful. During the breakout attempt (which was formed only by the candle’s wick), a large buyer volume appeared and was absorbed by the seller, indicating selling pressure and a lack of follow-through on the upside.
Given this structure, the base scenario points to a price decline. To assess potential targets, let’s move to the daily timeframe
On the daily timeframe, a sideways range is also in place. Within the seller’s initiative, the price has already reached its nearest target — around $432.
Considering the weekly timeframe context, the probability remains for a further decline toward $400, and in an extended scenario, into the $380 area, where it would make sense to closely monitor buyer behavior and reaction.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
USDJPY M15 FVG Rejection and Short-Term Bearish Rotation Setup📝 Description
USDJPY on M15 is trading inside a corrective pullback after a recent bullish push. Price has moved into the 15M FVG and is showing rejection from the upper imbalance, suggesting weak acceptance at higher prices. This behavior points to a liquidity-driven pullback rather than continuation.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Short-term bearish while below 156.80
Short Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Sell): 156.73
• Stop Loss: Above 156.82
• TP1: 156.63
• TP2: 156.46
• TP3: 156.30 (sell-side liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price rejected from 15M FVG
• Failure to hold premium pricing
• Sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows
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🧩 Summary
As long as USDJPY remains capped below the 15M FVG, the higher-probability path is a downside rotation toward 156.46 and 156.30 liquidity. Acceptance above the imbalance invalidates the short idea.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Short-term moves remain sensitive to US yield fluctuations and BoJ expectations. In the absence of strong USD momentum, technical rejection zones are likely to guide price action.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
US100 H4 BPR Reaction and Buy-Side Liquidity Expansion Setup📝 Description
US100 on H4 is holding a bullish HTF structure after a strong impulse. Price reacted cleanly from the H4 UNICORN, showing absorption on pullbacks rather than acceptance lower. With structure intact, the market looks positioned for upside expansion toward buy-side liquidity.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation above 25,570–25,600
Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Buy): 25,590
• Stop Loss: Below 25,490
• TP1: 25,683
• TP2: 25,812 (BSL)
• TP3: 25,929 (HTF liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish impulse with controlled pullback
• Buy-side liquidity stacked above recent highs
• No bearish CHOCH + BOS on HTF
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🧩 Summary
As long as US100 holds above 25,500 the higher-probability path is continuation higher toward 25,813 and 25,930 liquidity. Pullbacks are viewed as opportunities, not reversals.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Strong ISM Services supports economic strength but reinforces higher-for-longer rates. Softer JOLTS only adds short-term consolidation, not a trend change.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
ZECUSDT Eyes ATH Reclaim After Healthy CorrectionZECUSDT remains structurally bullish following a strong impulsive rally that pushed price to a new all-time high around $764.
After the peak, price entered a healthy corrective phase, completing a pullback that found firm local support near the $301 region. Since that reaction, momentum has improved significantly, with price now showing strength and attempting to reclaim the previous ATH structure.
The current plan is to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks toward the $480 zone, which aligns with prior structure and demand. From this region, the expectation is a continuation move back toward the ATH area, where major supply and profit-taking are anticipated. A protective stop loss is placed below the $450 support zone to manage risk in case the structure fails.
XAU/USD 08 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 January 2026.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 January 2026.
Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis.
Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
SLPUSDT at Wedge Support Bounce or Breakdown AheadSLPUSDT remains in a broader downtrend, with price now consolidating within a potential reversal structure in the form of a descending broadening wedge. Currently, price is reacting near the lower boundary of the pattern, presenting a tactical buying opportunity with clearly defined risk using a tight stop below structure. Upside attempts are expected toward the critical resistance zone, which will act as the primary decision area.
A strong rejection from this level would favor a return toward the main downside target zone highlighted on the chart, while acceptance above resistance would signal a meaningful shift in structure.
Gold Context: Asian Session Slide & The Test of Long-Term Put Gold Context: Asian Session Slide & The Test of Long-Term Put Support
Related Tickers: COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026, COMEX:GC1!, CAPITALCOM:DXY
Analysis
1. Market Context (Asian Session Slide)
The auction has continued its downward drift during the Asian session, trending toward the two-day low area .
• Structure: Price is currently testing the HVL 0DTE and GEX 3 levels around 4440-4445 . After failing to reclaim the POC yesterday, the market is searching for a base.
• The Shift: We are transitioning from a liquidation phase to a potential Range Bound environment as we hit heavy structural support.
2. Inventory & Nuance (Support Clusters)
• Put Support Defense: We are currently trading on long-term Put support . The confluence of 0DTE Put Support and HVL 0DTE just below yesterday's low is acting as a "sticky" floor.
• The Magnet: If this floor holds, the auction's natural magnet is the POC (~4465-4475) as shorts take profits at the range extremes.
• Inventory: Inventory is likely short-heavy after the slide from 4480. A failure to break 4440 could trigger a "Short Squeeze" rotation back to value.
3. The Catalyst (Upcoming News - Next 24 Hours)
• Today (Thursday Jan 8):
• 08:30 AM EST (20:30 WIB): Initial Jobless Claims. This will confirm if the labor market cooling is real. A "high" number is "good" for Gold.
• Friday (Jan 9):
• Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). The focal point of the week.
Plan & Execution
• Bias: Neutral / Defensive Buy . We are at the bottom of the bracket; selling here is low-odds.
• The Play: Look for Responsive Buying at 4440-4445. Target a rotation back to the POC (4465) .
• Invalidation: A sustained trade and close below the 1D Min / GEX 6 (~4410) would imply a deeper bearish correction.
Talk to you for the next update.
1/7/26 - APO: new SELL mechanical trading signal.1/7/26 - APO: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
APO - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 153.27
Entry SELL SHORT @ 144.28
Target Profit @ 120.52
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less or only slightly peaking higher than the preceding top price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked above the ATR (Average True Range) breakout high and then reversed.
SUIUSDT Structure Intact Trendline Support Fuels Upside ScenaroSUIUSDT has posted a strong reaction from the rising dynamic trendline, which continues to act as a key monthly support. This reaction signals sustained buyer interest at higher-timeframe demand. The current plan is to accumulate within the marked demand zone while structure remains intact, with upside rotation expected toward the immediate resistance zone and, ultimately, the final projected target highlighted on the chart.
Invalidation remains a clean break below the dynamic support.
Nifty W2, Day 4 (Jan 8, 2026) Quick ViewSpot View
Critical choke point – calls defending stubbornly (C26.1K volume yesterday).
Technicals
* PR1X spot: 199–200 key zone
* 🐻 199 → 200-202+
* 🐂 199 → swift downside
Bias
Bullish below 199 | Bearish break above 202.
Options Flow
Simple & clear: If calls surrender that key holding line on the 1/2-hour timeframe, puts will likely take control. If not, we could see put premiums crash back to Monday’s (Jan 05) levels, with calls rebounding to Tuesday’s (Jan 06) pricing.
This call/put dynamic extends to other strikes too with delta 0.3 above.
N
NEIROUSDT Structure Completion Planning the Next RotationNEIROUSDT has completed a full 1:1 measured move within the M-pattern structure following the recent aggressive decline. With the downside objective now fulfilled, price is reacting from a clearly defined demand zone, suggesting selling pressure is beginning to ease. From this area, a relief rally is expected, with price likely to rotate back toward the supply zone marked on the chart.
The main plan is to use this corrective upside move for positioning, focusing on accumulation into the projected sell-off areas as price approaches supply.
As always, reaction at these levels will be key in confirming continuation or invalidation of the setup.
Gold ATHGold is an asset similar to the SP500 in terms of trend and pullback.
Normally, the daily EMA always supports large upward movements, and in this case, it seems to me that it is no exception.
The price retested the EMA a few days ago and reacted with intent. Currently, after a slight pullback, the lower timeframes have provided an opportunity for a continuation trade.
There was a retest of the 4H EMA and a break of the 1H EMA with a change in the fractal structure, aligning with the bullish confluences.
Gold Context: Defending the Floor & The 0DTE Battle**Related Tickers:** `COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026`, `COMEX:GC1!`, `CAPITALCOM:DXY`
### Analysis
**1. Market Context (Liquidation Break)**
The auction has shifted from "Balance" to **Imbalance** (Short-term Bearish).
* **The Move:** The failure to hold the POC (4480) triggered a liquidation of weak longs. We have now rotated down to the bottom of the bracket.
* **Current Location:** We are trading **below** Yesterday’s Value Area Low (VAL ~4473). In strict auction terms, price is being "accepted" lower. However, we have slammed directly into a major structural "Floor" at the Put Support.
**2. Inventory & Nuance (The Line in the Sand)**
* **The Defense:** The **4455-4459** zone is effectively the "Put Wall." Market Makers who sold puts here are defending this level to avoid being forced to short futures.
* **Sticky Price:** We are seeing a cluster of Gamma Exposure (GEX 2 & GEX 8) here. This creates a "sticky" environment where price often stalls or bounces as dealers adjust inventory.
* **Inventory:** Shorts are likely **stretched**. The rapid move from 4488 down to 4459 likely has late shorts chasing. If 4455 holds, these late shorts could be squeezed.
**3. The Structural Risk (The Air Pocket)**
* **The Cliff:** If **4450** gives way, the Dealer Put Support evaporates.
* **The Drop:** Below 4450, the volume profile is thin. The next major high-volume node/GEX structure is the **4400-4410** area.
### Plan & Execution
* **Bias:** Defensive. We are looking for a **Responsive Buy** (The Save) against 4455 or an **Initiative Sell** (The Flush) below 4450.
* **Scenario A (The Save):** We must reclaim **4473** (Yesterday's VAL) to confirm the breakdown was a trap. Target return to POC (4480).
* **Scenario B (The Flush):** A sustained break below **4450** targets **4410**.
Talk to you for the next update.






















