NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy This Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ reached all time highs last week, then started a pullback, landing in a +FVG.
As the +FVG continues to hold, look for valid buy setups to form.
Sells are not valid, my friends. Go with the trend!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
QQQ Weekly Map 3–7 Nov 2025Context
QQQ finished the week near the highs after a steady October climb. Buyers keep absorbing every shallow pullback. This week sits on two hinges. First, jobs and services data that nudge yields and implied vol. Second, a small cluster of tech earnings that can rotate leadership inside semis and handsets. The plan is simple. Let the market prove strength above the record band or let it pull back into patient demand. You will trade the reaction, not the forecast.
Chart setup
Use a one hour chart. Add 20 and 50 EMAs, a daily VWAP with bands, and the previous week high and low. Keep plots at global scope and turn lookahead off. Display VIX on a small separate pane for bias only.
Levels that matter
• 637.01 is the record high and the top of the current band
• 635 to 637 is the breakout ridge where wicks happen first and real holds happen later
• 629 is the Friday close reference for gap work on Monday
• 626 is last week’s first shelf where buyers defended cleanly
• 620 is a round shelf with memory from October
• 612 is the mean reversion area that often aligns with short term moving averages
• 597 is the bigger trend check where the intermediate crew steps in
How to read the week
Imagine a door at 637. When price opens that door and stays inside the new room for a while, trend traders have permission. If price knocks and gets rejected, range traders take the other side. If price steps down into 620 to 612 while volatility stays tame, that is where you seek bounces with tight risk. Your confirms are simple. VIX under the upper teens is friendly. Yields not jumping is friendly. If either flips, you slow down.
Three rules only
• Rule 1. Momentum only above the ridge. If cash breaks and holds above 637 for at least thirty minutes, take a starter. First target 645, stretch 650. Invalidate on a clean loss and thirty minute close back inside 635.
• Rule 2. Buy the dip into 620 to 612 only if volatility stays calm. Enter in the 620 to 612 pocket when VIX stays below your upper guardrail. Manage a first target 620 to 626 and trail. Invalidate on a decisive thirty minute close under 609 to 610.
• Rule 3. Risk first below 597. If the week forces a daily close below 597, treat it as a trend health check. Reduce gross and net and wait for a reclaim before trying to be a hero.
Why this works
One instrument. One band at the highs. One pocket for mean reversion. You are not predicting the data. You are pricing the reaction at the lines the market already respects. Breakout failures happen and that is fine because your hold filter removes most traps. Dips fail too and that is fine because your volatility guardrail removes the worst ones.
Intraday guide
• Morning plan. If we gap up into the ridge, let the first thrust exhaust and demand the hold. If we gap down toward 626, let the opening range print and only act after the first pullback.
• Midday plan. If price is inside 629 to 635 around lunch, expect chop. Trades there are optional.
• Afternoon plan. If the day is trending, trail behind a five minute reclaim of your entry line.
Risk and heat
Set maximum portfolio heat per idea at one half of one percent. Scale entries in thirds. Respect your stop even when it feels unfair. A string of small scratches is the tuition for the one clean runner that pays for the week.
Earnings and calendar awareness
AMD and Qualcomm after the close on Tuesday and Wednesday can swing semis and handsets. Shopify and Airbnb bookend consumer tone. The first week of the month carries ADP, services PMIs, ISM services, and payrolls. Do not guess the print. Trade the reaction at the levels on your chart. If VIX jumps before data, size down and wait for the dust to settle.
Cross checks
• If the ten year sits near recent levels or drifts lower, multiples breathe and the 637 break has better odds
• If VIX pins below the upper teens, dips are easier to buy
• If one of these flips, you slow down and treat the day like a range
Reminder
Education and analytics only. No advice. No guarantees. Process beats prediction.
$NVO Short Setup | EMA Wall Stops Bulls, Downside Active🎯 NVO Bearish Breakdown: 200 EMA Rejection Setup 🐻
📊 Asset Overview
Novo Nordisk (NVO) - NYSE
Type: Swing/Day Trade Opportunity
Bias: Bearish Reversal Confirmed ⚠️
🔍 Technical Analysis
The bulls just got rejected harder than a bad pickup line at the 200 EMA! 📉 We're seeing strong bearish momentum building up with heavy downside pressure taking control. The market structure screams reversal, and bears are flexing their dominance.
Key Technical Factors:
🚫 200 Exponential Moving Average acting as dynamic resistance
📉 Bearish momentum accelerating with high selling pressure
🔄 Clear market structure reversal pattern forming
🐻 Bears in full control of price action
💰 Trade Setup - "The Thief Strategy"
🎯 Entry Strategy
Layering Method - Multiple limit orders for optimal positioning:
Layer 1: $53.00
Layer 2: $52.00
Layer 3: $51.00
Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size!
🛑 Stop Loss
Thief SL: $56.00
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is MY stop loss level. You're the captain of your own ship - adjust based on your risk tolerance and trading plan. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Target Zone
Primary Target: $44.00
📍 Why $44? Strong support confluence + oversold conditions + potential bull trap zone. Smart money takes profits where the crowd panics!
⚠️ Profit Taking Note: This is MY target. You make your money, you take your money. Don't be greedy - secure those gains when YOUR plan says so!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated assets for confirmation:
📈 Pharma/Healthcare Sector:
NYSE:LLY (Eli Lilly) - Direct competitor in diabetes/obesity space
NASDAQ:SNY (Sanofi) - European pharma correlation
AMEX:XLV (Healthcare ETF) - Sector-wide momentum gauge
💵 Currency Impact:
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) - Strong dollar = pressure on international stocks
$EUR/USD - Danish Krone correlation (Denmark-based company)
💊 Related Healthcare Plays:
NYSE:JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) - Large-cap healthcare sentiment
NYSE:PFE (Pfizer) - Big pharma correlation
Watch for divergences or confirmations across these pairs to validate the bearish thesis!
📝 Key Points Summary
✅ 200 EMA rejection = institutional selling zone
✅ Bearish market structure confirmed
✅ Multiple entry layers = better average price
✅ Strong support target at $44 = ideal exit zone
✅ Risk management is KING 👑
⚡ The Thief's Edge
This "layering strategy" lets you build positions gradually while managing risk like a pro. Instead of going all-in at one price, you spread your entries to capture the best average. It's not about timing the perfect entry - it's about stacking the odds in your favor! 🎲
🎭 The Thief Strategy: A playful nickname for layered limit order entries. Trade responsibly and within your means.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NVO #NovoNordisk #BearishSetup #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #NYSE #ThiefStrategy #LayeringStrategy #PharmaStocks #200EMA #BearishReversal #TradingIdeas #PriceAction #RiskManagement #Healthcare #BiopharmaTrade
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰
📊 Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
🔍 Technical Foundation
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
🎯 Layer 1: 24,800
🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
🎯 Layer 3: 25,200
🎯 Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
⚡ Key Technical Points
✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
🎭 The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
📢 Community Support
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
iShares Semiconductor ETF Eyes Bullish Continuation🚀 SOXX Breakout Play — Swing/Day Trade Setup 🎯
Asset: SOXX – iShares Semiconductor ETF
Playbook Type: Fund ETF Market Profit Playbook
Plan: 🔥 Bullish Plan (Swing/Day Trade Setup)
⚡️ Entry Plan
Looking for long entries after a confirmed breakout above $292.50.
Once this resistance gives way, momentum traders may pile in — that’s where our profit zone starts heating up! ⚙️
🛡️ Stop-Loss (Risk Control)
Stop Loss: $277.50 — a.k.a. The Thief SL.
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 👑 — I’m not recommending you to use only my SL. It’s your call, your risk, your money. Manage like a boss. 💼
💰 Profit Target
Target: $308.00 — this level sits near a strong resistance zone where the market might turn overbought or trap late buyers.
Be smart. Escape with profits before the herd does. 😎
Again, Thief OG’s — my TP is just my view. You decide when to take your money and run. 💸
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
Keep your eyes on these key players — they often front-run SOXX moves or confirm direction:
SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) → Often mirrors SOXX behavior.
NASDAQ:SOX (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index) → Sector index — leads ETF flow.
NVDA / AMD / TSM → Chip giants that heavily influence ETF weight.
QQQ → Tech sentiment gauge; if NASDAQ rallies, SOXX gets wings.
💡 Tip: When NVDA and SMH break resistance together, SOXX rarely stays quiet — momentum usually follows fast.
⚠️ Key Watchpoints
Always confirm breakout volume before entry.
Keep an eye on macro headlines — rate decisions, chip demand, or supply chain data can shift the tone fast.
Protect profits once RSI hits overheated zones near the upper channel.
🧠 Thief Trader Mindset
This setup isn’t about guessing — it’s about waiting for confirmation, reacting fast, and locking profits like a pro thief in daylight. 🕶️
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun. Always trade responsibly and at your own risk.
#SOXX #Semiconductors #ETF #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechSector #TradingView #TradeIdea #ThiefTrader #RiskManagement #MarketPlaybook
NAS100 | US100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical OutlookUS100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical Outlook
📊 Market Structure:
Price has recently formed a weak high around 26,200, rejecting from a premium / supply zone, signaling potential short-term bearish pressure.
The previous upward structure showed a BOS (Break of Structure) near 25,000, confirming bullish intent earlier — but now momentum is slowing as price returns below the PDH (Previous Day High).
The current 4H candles show strong bearish reaction, indicating sellers defending the premium zone.
📉 Key Levels:
Supply Zone (Premium Area): 26,000 – 26,200
Equilibrium Zone: Around 24,800 – 25,000
Immediate Support: 25,800 (current PD level)
Weekly Pivot (PW): 25,400 (potential short-term target)
📈 EMA Confluence:
Price has rejected from above the 89 EMA (blue) and is now testing below it.
The 200 EMA (yellow) continues to trend upward, showing long-term bullish momentum, but the shorter EMAs suggest a short-term pullback.
As long as price stays below 89 EMA, bias remains bearish to neutral in the near term.
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Short-Term Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: 25,950 – 26,100 (retest of premium area or EMA rejection)
Take Profit: 25,400 (PW)
Stop Loss: Above 26,250
Confluence: Supply zone + weak high + bearish EMA alignment
Scenario 2 – Bullish Continuation (after retracement):
Wait for price to retrace to the equilibrium zone (24,800–25,000)
Look for bullish reaction with confirmation from Stochastic RSI divergence
Target: Return to 26,000
📊 Indicators Insight:
Stochastic RSI: Currently dropping from overbought territory, indicating possible continuation of short-term downside.
Momentum slowing — ideal for short retracement trades before potential reversal.
Summary:
US100 is rejecting from premium resistance near 26,200.
Short-term bias: bearish retracement toward 25,400 or deeper 25,000 equilibrium zone.
Long-term bias remains bullish, supported by 200 EMA structure — watch for confirmation before re-entry buys.
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025 [03.11.- 07.11.2025]Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025
📅 November 3 – November 7, 2025
Let’s kick off an exciting new trading week — and a brand-new trading month! 🚀
Seasonal factors often play a major role in November and December, and I’ll break them down for you in this week’s video. 🎥📈
Sit back, enjoy the overview, and dive into the world of banks, hedge funds, and institutional flows — with exclusive insights into how the pros are positioned right now. 🧠💼📊
💡 Bonus segments: Strategies, setups & market psychology — everything you need to know for the week ahead. ⚡️
📘 Topics covered in this week’s outlook:
🏛 Seasonality in the Nasdaq:
🥇 Seasonality in Gold:
... and many more charts & concepts in the video! 🎬📊
💬 I’m looking forward to your questions, comments, and an active discussion here on TradingView!
👋 Best,
Meikel
NAS100 Master Technical Analysis | Weekly Forecast Nov 3-7🚀 NAS100 NASDAQ-100 INDEX | Master Technical Analysis | Weekly Forecast Nov 3-7, 2025 🚀
📈 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS | INTRADAY & SWING TRADING BLUEPRINT | 25,866.9 📈
Closing Level: 25,866.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025 | UTC+4
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🎯 MARKET OVERVIEW & CRITICAL LEVELS
NASDAQ-100 consolidates near all-time high territory at 25,866.9 , presenting a pivotal moment for tech bulls. Our comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis reveals a cautiously bullish stance with immediate resistance at 25,900 and crucial support at 25,750. The upcoming week offers exceptional opportunities for both scalpers and position traders as we navigate post-earnings volatility.
Major Support Levels: 📉
Immediate: 25,800 - 25,820
Secondary: 25,750 - 25,770
Critical: 25,650 - 25,680
Major: 25,500 - 25,550
Key Resistance Zones: 📈
Immediate: 25,900 - 25,920
Secondary: 25,980 - 26,000
Psychological: 26,100 - 26,150
Major Target: 26,250 - 26,300
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📊 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - THE BIG PICTURE
Elliott Wave Structure: 🌊
Currently navigating Wave 4 correction within larger degree Wave 5 . The shallow retracement suggests strength, targeting 26,500+ upon completion. Alternate count places us in Wave B of an ABC correction - monitor 25,500 for validation.
Wyckoff Analysis: 📖
Textbook Re-accumulation Trading Range (TR) after upthrust. Volume signature confirms Phase C - Last Point of Support (LPS). Expect markup phase initiation above 25,920.
Ichimoku Cloud Perspective: ☁️
Price maintains position above weekly Kumo with Chikou Span confirmation. Tenkan-sen at 25,720 provides dynamic support. Bullish TK cross intact since October.
Harmonic Pattern Alert: 🦋
Potential Bullish Crab pattern forming with PRZ at 25,650-25,700. The 1.618 XA extension at 26,450 serves as measured target upon pattern completion.
Gann Analysis: 📐
Price respecting 1x1 Gann angle from September low. Next significant Gann resistance at 26,080 (45-degree angle from yearly pivot).
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📉 DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADER'S ROADMAP
Japanese Candlestick Patterns: 🕯️
Yesterday's Spinning Top at resistance signals indecision. Watch for today's close above 25,900 to confirm Three White Soldiers continuation pattern.
Pattern Recognition:
Ascending Triangle formation with horizontal resistance at 25,900. Successful breakout projects 26,250 target (350-point measured move).
Bollinger Bands Analysis:
Price kissing upper band (25,885) with bands expanding - volatility breakout imminent. Middle band at 25,720 serves as dynamic support.
RSI & Momentum Oscillators:
RSI at 62 - bullish but not overbought. Hidden bullish divergence on 4H timeframe supports continuation thesis.
Volume Profile: 📊
High Volume Node (HVN) at 25,750-25,800 acting as support magnet. Point of Control (POC) at 25,680 defines major support.
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⏰ 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - SWING & INTRADAY FUSION
Dow Theory Application: 📈
Primary trend: Bullish (series of HH-HL intact)
Secondary trend: Consolidation phase
Minor trend: Testing resistance
Chart Pattern Alert:
Bull Flag completion targeting 26,050. Flag pole: 25,600-25,900 (300 points). Breakout confirmation above 25,920 activates pattern.
Moving Average Configuration:
EMA 20: 25,825 (immediate support)
EMA 50: 25,760 (strong support)
SMA 100: 25,680 (critical support)
SMA 200: 25,550 (major support)
VWAP Analysis:
Weekly VWAP at 25,810 acting as dynamic pivot. Price above VWAP = bullish intraday bias.
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🎪 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRIES
Immediate Setup: 💡
Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern developing. Left shoulder: 25,750, Head: 25,700, Right shoulder forming at 25,760. Neckline at 25,900 - breakout targets 26,100.
Support & Resistance Matrix:
R4: 26,150 (Weekly R2 Pivot)
R3: 26,050 (Pattern Target)
R2: 25,980 (Psychological)
R1: 25,920 (Neckline)
PIVOT: 25,866 (Current)
S1: 25,820 (1H Support)
S2: 25,760 (Right Shoulder)
S3: 25,700 (Pattern Low)
Entry Strategies: 🎯
Breakout Long: Above 25,920 | Stop: 25,850 | Target: 26,050
Pullback Long: 25,820 test | Stop: 25,760 | Target: 25,920
Reversal Long: 25,760 bounce | Stop: 25,700 | Target: 25,900
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⚡ 30-MINUTE TIMEFRAME (30M) - SCALPER'S PLAYGROUND
Micro Structure: 🔍
Rising Wedge pattern - bearish implications short-term. Expect pullback to 25,800 before continuation. Volume declining confirms pattern.
Scalping Zones: 🎯
Prime Buy Zones:
• Zone A: 25,820-25,830 (30M demand)
• Zone B: 25,790-25,800 (VWAP test)
• Zone C: 25,760-25,770 (Strong support)
Prime Sell Zones:
• Zone A: 25,900-25,910 (30M supply)
• Zone B: 25,940-25,950 (Extension)
• Zone C: 25,980-26,000 (Major resistance)
ATR & Volatility:
30M ATR(14): 35 points - optimal stop-loss range: 25-30 points
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🏃 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING
15-Minute Momentum Setup: ⚠️
Bullish Pennant forming - breakout above 25,880 targets 25,920 (40-point quick move).
5-Minute Precision Matrix:
London Open: Range 25,840-25,880
NY Pre-market: Breakout potential above 25,900
NY Open: Volatility spike - 50+ point moves
NY Afternoon: Consolidation 25,850-25,900
RSI Scalping Strategy:
5M RSI < 25: Oversold bounce long
5M RSI > 75: Overbought short
15M RSI divergence: Position entry
Optimal RSI range: 40-60 for trends
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📅 WEEKLY FORECAST & DAILY GAMEPLAN (Nov 3-7, 2025)
Monday, November 3: 🚀
Gap-up potential to 25,920. First test of resistance.
Strategy: Wait for pullback to 25,850 for longs
Target: 25,950-25,980
Tuesday, November 4: 📊
Election uncertainty - expect 100+ point range.
Strategy: Fade extremes with tight stops
Range: 25,750-25,950
Wednesday, November 5: 💥
Breakout day - major move expected post-election.
Strategy: Momentum trades only
Breakout target: 26,100+
Thursday, November 6: 🔄
Consolidation/profit-taking day.
Strategy: Range trading 25,900-26,050
Focus: Mean reversion
Friday, November 7: 📈
Weekly options expiry - pin risk around 26,000.
Strategy: Fade moves away from 26,000
Close above 26,000 = Bullish weekly
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
💼 COMPREHENSIVE TRADE MANAGEMENT
Intraday Risk Parameters: 🎮
Maximum risk per trade: 0.5-1% of capital
Risk-Reward minimum: 1:2.5 ratio
Daily stop loss: -2% of account
Trailing stop activation: After +30 points
Breakeven stop: After +20 points profit
Maximum daily trades: 3-5 quality setups
Swing Position Guidelines: 📊
Position sizing: 2-3% portfolio risk
Initial stop-loss: Below 25,650 (major support)
Target 1: 26,050 (30% exit)
Target 2: 26,150 (40% exit)
Target 3: 26,300 (20% exit)
Runner: 26,500 (10% moon shot)
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚠️ RISK SCENARIOS & INVALIDATION TRIGGERS
Bearish Reversal Signals: 🐻
Hourly close below 25,800 = Caution mode
Daily close below 25,750 = Bearish shift
Break of 25,650 = Major support failure
Weekly close below 25,500 = Trend reversal
Black Swan Considerations: 🦢
• Tech earnings surprises
• Federal Reserve policy shifts
• Geopolitical tensions escalation
• Major tech regulatory news
• AI sector rotation risks
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔥 HIGH-PROBABILITY CONFLUENCE ZONES
Ultimate Buy Zone: ✅
25,750-25,800
(EMA cluster + Fibonacci 61.8% + Volume POC + Daily pivot)
Ultimate Sell Zone: ❌
26,050-26,100
(Pattern targets + Weekly R1 + Psychological round number)
Breakout Trigger Zone: 🚀
25,920-25,950
(Multiple pattern completions + Resistance cluster)
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📝 WEEK AHEAD SUMMARY & ACTION ITEMS
The NASDAQ-100 stands at a critical technical juncture at 25,866.9. Multiple timeframe analysis confirms bullish bias above 25,750 with significant upside potential toward 26,300. The convergence of pattern completions, moving average support, and favorable volume dynamics creates an optimal risk-reward environment for disciplined traders.
Top 3 Trade Setups: 🏆
Swing Long: 25,750-25,800 zone | Target: 26,150
Breakout Long: Above 25,920 | Target: 26,050
Scalp Long: VWAP touches at 25,810 | Target: 25,900
Key Success Factors:
• Respect stop-losses religiously
• Scale in positions gradually
• Book partial profits at targets
• Trail stops on winners
• Stay patient for A+ setups
"The trend is your friend until the end when it bends" - Trade the trend, manage the risk!
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🎯 FINAL THOUGHTS
Tech bulls maintain control above 25,750. The path of least resistance remains HIGHER targeting 26,300. Election week volatility presents exceptional opportunities for prepared traders. Remember: Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Stay disciplined. Stay profitable. 💰
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #Indices #StockMarket #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ElliottWave #PriceAction #TradingStrategy #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #IndexTrading #TechStocks #SPX #QQQ #MarketForecast
🔔 Follow for Daily Premium Analysis! | Trade Smart, Not Hard! 📊
Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and implement proper risk management.
LLY Market Blueprint – From Pullback Base to Profit Zone🎯 LLY Stock Market Heist Plan 🏦💰 | Swing Trade Setup
📊 Asset Overview
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) - NYSE
Pharmaceutical Giant | Market Cap Leader
🔍 The Setup: What We're Seeing
The chart is screaming opportunity! 🚨 LLY is showing classic bullish pullback behavior with strong accumulation zone activity. We've got:
✅ Accumulation Zone Pressure - Big money is quietly loading up
✅ Weighted Moving Average Breakout & Retest - Technical confirmation ✓
✅ Bullish Momentum Building - The spring is coiling for the next leg up
🎯 The Thief's Game Plan
Entry Strategy: The Layered Approach 🪜
You've got two options here, fellow thieves:
Option 1: Simple Entry
→ Any current price level works if you're confident in the setup
Option 2: The Thief's Layered Entry 🧠
This is where we get tactical. Use multiple limit orders to ladder into the position:
Layer 1: $780
Layer 2: $800
Layer 3: $820
Layer 4: $840
You can add more layers based on your capital and risk tolerance. This approach averages your entry and reduces timing risk.
🛑 Risk Management: The Escape Hatch
Stop Loss: $760
⚠️ Important Note: This is MY stop loss level based on my risk tolerance and analysis. You are the captain of your own ship! Set your SL based on YOUR risk appetite. Make money, take money - but do it at your own risk. 🎲
💰 Target: The Vault 🏦
Take Profit: $920
Here's the situation: The ATR line is sitting at $920 acting like a police barricade 🚔. This is a strong resistance zone where:
Overbought conditions likely
Potential trap zone for late entries
Natural profit-taking area
🎯 My Advice: When you reach the vault, grab the cash and RUN! Don't get greedy.
⚠️ Another Important Note: This is MY target. You make your own rules. Scale out, hold longer, take profits earlier - whatever fits YOUR trading plan. This is your heist, not mine! 💼
📈 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep these on your radar for correlation and broader market context:
Healthcare/Pharma Sector:
NYSE:JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) - Healthcare bellwether, moves often correlate
NYSE:UNH (UnitedHealth Group) - Health sector leader, shows sector strength
NYSE:PFE (Pfizer) - Direct pharma competitor, industry sentiment gauge
NYSE:ABBV (AbbVie) - Biopharmaceutical peer, similar market dynamics
Market Context:
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - Overall market direction matters
AMEX:XLV (Health Care Select Sector SPDR) - Sector health indicator
Key Correlation Points:
LLY often leads pharma sector during strong diabetes/obesity drug cycles
Watch NYSE:JNJ for defensive rotation signals
AMEX:SPY correlation increases during risk-on markets
AMEX:XLV breakouts often precede individual pharma stock runs
🎭 The Thief's Philosophy
This setup combines patience (layered entries), discipline (clear stop loss), and calculated risk-taking (defined target). We're not gambling - we're executing a well-planned heist with multiple contingencies.
The market is the vault. The chart is the blueprint. Your risk management is your getaway car. 🚗💨
Remember: The best thieves know when to strike AND when to walk away. Don't fall in love with a position. Take your profits and live to steal another day! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#LLY #EliLilly #SwingTrading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NYSE #PharmaStocks #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #ThiefStyle #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #PriceAction #MovingAverage #AccumulationZone #HealthcareStocks #TradingIdeas #StockTrading #ChartAnalysis #MarketHeist
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Continuation In PlayNAS100 has bounced off the buy entry at 25,827.05, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 25,593.54, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 26,452.71, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
News Whirlwind Propels Nasdaq 100 to a Fresh All-Time HighNews Whirlwind Propels Nasdaq 100 to a Fresh All-Time High
According to the chart, the Nasdaq 100 index has climbed above the 26,260 mark for the first time in history. Market sentiment is being driven by an extraordinary combination of powerful news factors:
→ Meeting between US President Donald Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping in Busan, South Korea. The talks lasted around one hour and forty minutes. Xi emphasised the importance of “steering the giant ship” of bilateral relations, while Trump described the meeting as “tremendous” and “fantastic”. However, few concrete details about a potential trade deal were revealed.
→ Federal Reserve rate cut. As expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25% yesterday. Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone, using the metaphor of “driving through fog” to describe the lack of key inflation and labour market data due to the government shutdown. He also highlighted divisions within the committee, suggesting that another rate cut – possibly in December – remains uncertain.
→ Tech giant earnings reports. After the US stock market closed yesterday, Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (META) released their quarterly results. A key theme across all three was massive capital expenditure on artificial intelligence. Investors are now questioning whether these heavy investments are beginning to pay off.
Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 chart
At the start of the week, when analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100, we:
→ used the outlines of the 10 October sell-off to construct an upward channel (shown in blue);
→ drew a steeper trajectory using three orange trendlines;
→ suggested that the price target was the upper boundary of the blue channel.
That target has now been reached, and the upper boundary is showing signs of resistance — evidenced by the price slipping below the middle orange line and now being supported by the lower one.
Given the emerging RSI divergence, it is reasonable to assume that the upward momentum (+6% since the start of the month) may begin to slow. Note the recent bearish candlestick (marked by an arrow), notable for its strong move. Profit-taking could soon occur, with bears potentially attempting to push the Nasdaq 100 back down towards the median of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
OPEN: Time to Accumulate? Layer Entry Method Explained🎯 OPEN: The Heist is ON! 🏠💰 Strategic Swing Trade Setup
📊 Asset Overview
Ticker: OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc.)
Exchange: NASDAQ
Trade Type: Swing Trade
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH
🎭 The Master Plan: "Operation Real Estate Robbery"
Listen up, fellow wealth redistributors! 👋 Opendoor's chart is screaming opportunity louder than a house alarm at 3 AM. We're setting up a classic layered accumulation strategy (aka "The Thief's Multi-Pocket Approach") to maximize our position while managing risk like professionals.
🚪 Entry Strategy: The Layered Infiltration Method
Primary Approach: Multiple Limit Orders (Ladder Strategy)
Instead of going all-in at one price (rookie move 😅), we're spreading our capital across strategic levels:
Recommended Entry Layers:
🎯 Layer 1: $6.50
🎯 Layer 2: $7.00
🎯 Layer 3: $7.50
🎯 Layer 4: $8.00
Flexibility Note: You can adjust the number of layers and position sizing based on your capital and risk appetite. Some traders prefer tighter layers ($0.25 increments), others go wider. Make it yours! 💪
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, current market price entry works too, but layering gives you better average cost basis on dips.
🛡️ Risk Management: The Escape Hatch
Stop Loss: $6.00
⚠️ Important Disclaimer: This SL level is based on technical structure, but YOU are the captain of your own ship. Adjust based on:
Your risk tolerance
Account size
Market volatility
Personal trading rules
Risk Management Tip: Never risk more than 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade. Set your position size accordingly!
🎯 Target: The Grand Exit
Primary Target: $10.00
At this level, we're expecting:
🚨 Strong resistance zone
📈 Potential overbought conditions
Possible bull trap area
💰 Excellent risk-reward ratio
Scaling Out Strategy (Advanced Move):
Consider taking 30-50% profits at $9.00-$9.50
Trail stop-loss on remaining position
Lock in gains progressively
Remember: Nobody went broke taking profits! 💵 If the market gives you money, take it. Don't get greedy waiting for the "perfect" exit.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch
Keep these correlated symbols on your radar for confluence:
📍 $Z (Zillow Group) - Direct competitor in real estate tech, strong correlation with OPEN's price action
📍 BLACKBULL:RDFN (Redfin Corporation) - Another proptech player, moves in sympathy with sector sentiment
📍 NASDAQ:EXPI (eXp World Holdings) - Real estate brokerage, broader sector health indicator
📍 AMEX:IYR (iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF) - Overall real estate sector strength/weakness gauge
📍 AMEX:XHB (SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF) - Housing market sentiment indicator
Correlation Logic: When real estate tech and housing sectors show strength, OPEN typically benefits. Conversely, sector weakness can drag OPEN down regardless of individual fundamentals. Watch for divergences—they often signal important reversals! 🔄
📈 Technical Synopsis
This setup combines:
✅ Strategic layered entries for optimal positioning
✅ Defined risk with clear stop-loss
✅ Realistic profit target with strong R:R ratio
✅ Sector correlation awareness
✅ Flexible execution for different trading styles
The swing trade timeframe gives this setup room to breathe and develop, perfect for traders who don't want to be glued to charts all day! ⏰
⚡ The Bottom Line
This isn't financial advice—it's a strategic roadmap presented with personality! The "thief style" approach is all about:
🎯 Strategic positioning
🛡️ Risk management
💰 Profit-taking discipline
😎 Having fun while trading
Trade smart. Trade safe. Trade YOUR plan.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#OPEN #OpendoorTechnologies #SwingTrade #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RealEstateTech #PropTech #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingView #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #SwingTrading #DayTrading
NasdaqHello traders! Last Friday, we had a major selloff in the 25,000 region, which quickly sent the Nasdaq crashing by more than 4% in just a few hours. In technical analysis, 24,000 is a price that has been broken previously and is now being tested as weekly support. If we expand this movement, we project a target price of 26,000, continuing the upward movement. The technology sector remains promising with advances in artificial intelligence, and we have no news of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Happy trading!
NASDAQ Watching 24,975 for Fresh Bounce in Ongoing UptrendHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around the 24,975 zone. NASDAQ remains in a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, approaching the key 24,975 support and resistance area that aligns with the ascending trend structure.
If buyers step in at this level, we could see a continuation of the bullish momentum in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Reaches an All-Time HighNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Reaches an All-Time High
As the chart shows, trading in the Nasdaq 100 opened with a bullish gap today, with the price rising above the 25,600 mark for the first time in history.
The upbeat sentiment is being driven by:
→ expectations of a potential interest rate cut, with the Federal Reserve’s decision due on Wednesday;
→ the upcoming meeting between Chinese and U.S. leaders, where the presidents may announce a new trade agreement;
→ anticipation of quarterly earnings reports from major tech firms – Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL) and Meta Platforms (META) are all set to release results this week.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
A closer look at the hourly Nasdaq 100 chart, within the context of this month’s volatility, shows a steady recovery from the sharp drop on 10 October – the day President Trump suggested imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods.
The contours of that sell-off can now be used to outline an ascending channel, which neatly captures the market’s current price swings. Notably, today the index climbed into the upper half of that channel, overcoming resistance levels at:
→ the channel’s median line;
→ the 25,220 mark.
Since last Thursday’s low, the price has advanced by more than 3.5% – a strong rally – forming a steep upward trajectory (highlighted in orange). In this context:
→ the next potential target lies at the upper boundary of the blue channel, which would mark a new record high near 26,000 for the Nasdaq 100;
→ however, with RSI signalling overbought conditions, a short-term correction towards 25,500 would be a healthy development.
Should this week’s key events deliver the optimism investors are hoping for, the bulls may well succeed in reaching those ambitious targets.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dips!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ closed last week at ATHs. I expect more of the same next week.
Look for valid dip buying opportunities, my friends.
If the market disrespects the +OB, then buys become invalidated.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NAS100 | Bullish Momentum ExpectedBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 25,196.55, which is a pullbakc support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,926.57, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 25,626.70, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
🟢 24,300
🟢 24,400
🟢 24,500
🟢 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.)
🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL):
❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
💰 Target Area (Profit Zone):
🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓).
⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
📌 Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️♂️💸
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
Some notes to reflect on. A little how to for the indicatorHey everyone,
Hope you guys & gals are doing well using these indicators. I'm publishing a chart that I wrote some notes for. Notes are offering some insight on what look for when using this indicator. If you have any questions, let me know. I am planning to get videos up soon when I get some extra free time.
Thank you again for the support!
Can NQ1! Push Through $25K+ Resistance Zone?🎯 The Great NQ Heist: Layered Entry Strategy for E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures
📊 Market Overview
**Asset:** NQ1! (E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures)
**Strategy Type:** Swing/Day Trade - Wealth Accumulation Map
**Bias:** 🐂 **BULLISH**
🎭 The "Gentleman Thief" Layering Strategy
💰 Entry Philosophy: Layer Like a Pro
This setup uses a **sophisticated layering approach** - think of it as strategically placing multiple limit orders to capture the best average entry. You're not going all-in at one price; you're building your position like a chess master.
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Zones:
- 🎯 Layer 1: **24,800**
- 🎯 Layer 2: **24,900**
- 🎯 Layer 3: **25,000**
- 🎯 Layer 4: **25,100**
Note: You can scale in at ANY price level using this layering method. Add more layers based on your position size and risk tolerance. The beauty of this strategy is flexibility - enter where the market gives you opportunity! 🎪
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: **24,700**
⚠️ **Important:** This is MY stop loss level based on technical structure. However, trading is a personal journey - YOU decide your own risk parameters. Protect your capital first, profits second. Your SL should align with YOUR risk tolerance and account size.
🎯 Profit Target
Target Zone: **25,600** 🚀
This level represents a confluence of:
- 💪 Strong resistance zone
- 📈 Overbought conditions
- Potential bull trap area
**Smart Exit Strategy:** As we approach this zone, consider scaling out of positions. Don't get greedy - take profits when the market offers them!
⚠️ **Reminder:** This is MY target projection. You're the captain of your own ship - take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Trail stops, scale out, or hold for moon - your money, your rules! 🌙
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated instruments
- SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ =F** - NASDAQ-100 Futures (spot reference)
- NASDAQ:QQQ - Invesco QQQ Trust (ETF equivalent)
- NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:GOOGL ** - Top NASDAQ-100 components
- NASDAQ:NDX - NASDAQ-100 Index (cash)
- CME_MINI:ES1! - E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (broader market correlation)
📌 Why these matter:** The NASDAQ-100 is tech-heavy, so major tech stocks drive NQ movement. Watch QQQ for retail sentiment and ES for overall risk appetite. When big tech moves, NQ follows! 💻
🎓 Strategy Breakdown
This "layering" or "scaling-in" approach offers several advantages:
- ✅ **Better average entry** - Dollar-cost averaging into position
- ✅ **Reduced timing risk** - Not dependent on perfect entry
- ✅ **Psychological comfort** - Builds confidence as position develops
- ✅ **Flexibility** - Adapt to market conditions in real-time
📢 Final Thoughts
The market rewards patience and discipline. This layered entry strategy is about working WITH the market, not against it. Whether you're a swing trader holding for days or a day trader scalping ticks, the principle remains: **Control your risk, let profits run.** 🏃♂️💨
✨ **If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!**
**⚠️ DISCLAIMER:** This analysis represents a "gentleman thief" style layered trading strategy intended for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade with risk capital you can afford to lose. Make your own trading decisions based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and market analysis. 🎭📊
#NQ1 #NASDAQ100 #NASDAQFutures #EminiNQ #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeringStrategy #ScalingIn #TradingSetup #FuturesMarket #TechFutures #NDX #QQQ #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #BullishSetup
NAS100 Intraday & Swing Trade Setup🎯 NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Technical Analysis: Oct 27-31, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Setup
Closing Price: 25,373.7 | Date: Oct 25, 2025 12:54 AM UTC+4 | Timeframes: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 1D
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📊 ELLIOTT WAVE & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 🌊
From the daily chart perspective, NAS100 shows completion of Wave 4 correction around 25,100-25,200 support zone. Current positioning at 25,373.7 suggests early Wave 5 development with bullish impulse structure emerging. The 4H timeframe confirms impulsive uptrend with higher highs and higher lows—classic Elliott Wave signature for institutional accumulation phase.
💡 KEY INSIGHT: If 25,900-26,050 resistance breaks decisively on 4H close with volume confirmation, we target Wave 5 extension toward 26,400-26,800 range through mid-week.
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🔄 DOW THEORY & TREND CONFIRMATION ⬆️
Primary Trend: Bullish | Higher highs established above 25,600 on 1H charts
Secondary Trend: Consolidation above 25,300-25,350 support validates buyer control
Confirmation Signal: Volume surge on breakouts above 25,900 confirms institutional participation
The daily VWAP sits at 25,420, acting as dynamic support. Price trading above VWAP with 1D EMA(20) > EMA(50) > EMA(200) alignment signals strong bullish conviction for the coming week.
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⚡ INTRADAY SETUPS: 5M TO 1H TIMEFRAMES
5M & 15M: Utilize Ichimoku Cloud crosses for quick scalp entries. Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen crossover signals 3-5 minute momentum trades. Bollinger Bands (20,2) show tight squeeze—breakout imminent. RSI <30 on 5M = panic-sell exhaustion reversal opportunity.
30M: This is the swing trader's sweet spot . Harmonic patterns—particularly Butterfly and Bat patterns—should be monitored around 25,200-25,100 support confluence. Gann angles from Oct 22 low project resistance at 25,888, 26,150.
1H: Primary intraday timeframe for entry/exit. Support: 25,300 (VWAP), 25,100. Resistance: 25,900 (breakout trigger), 26,050. RSI overbought above 70 = profit-taking zone. EMA(9) above EMA(21) = trend strength confirmation.
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🎪 WYCKOFF METHOD & ACCUMULATION PHASE 📈
Current price action displays classic Wyckoff accumulation: Spring formation around 25,200 + subsequent recovery above neckline. Effort (volume) on upside breakouts now exceeds effort on downside—textbook Wyckoff buying climax setup. Watch for secondary test of 25,300—if holds above with lower volume, expect breakout run to 26,000+.
⚠️ WARNING: Climax volume spike above 26,000 may indicate exhaustion—take profits on target.
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🔷 HARMONIC PATTERNS & FIBONACCI LEVELS 📐
Gartley Pattern forming in 4H with D-point targeting 25,850-25,920 (78.6% Fib retracement). Potential risk/reward ratio of 1:3+ makes this ideal swing entry zone. Support cluster: 25,300-25,420 (multiple MA confluence + VWAP). Extended Fib target: 26,400 (161.8% extension from Oct 22 impulse base).
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📍 TRADING PLAN: MON-FRI (OCT 27-31) 🗓️
INTRADAY SCALPERS (5M-30M): Target 25,750-25,850 breakout on Monday. Stop: 25,250. Take profit 1: 25,650 (+300 pips). Repeat breakout patterns on every higher low formation.
SWING TRADERS (4H-1D): Accumulate longs 25,300-25,420 on dips. Primary target: 26,150-26,250 (Wave 5 target). Secondary: 26,400-26,800. Stop loss: 24,900 (break below daily cloud). Risk/reward: 1:2.5 minimum.
⏰ OPTIMAL TIMING: US market open (13:30 UTC) provides best 5M-1H breakout volatility.
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🚨 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT SIGNALS 🎯
Reversal Alert: If RSI divergence forms (lower high on price, lower high on RSI) at 26,000+ = sell-off imminent. Initial support: 25,650. Hard stop: 25,420.
Breakout Confirmation: Volume >200M shares on 4H close above 26,000 = institutional breakout, extend targets to 26,600+. Failure to hold 25,900 three times = bullish setup invalidation.
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📊 VOLATILITY & BOLLINGER BAND SQUEEZE 📉
Current Bollinger Band width suggests compression before expansion . Watch 1H BB (20,2) for band walk breakout into 26,000+ on closing above upper band. ATR expansion above 250-300 points validates trending move. Consolidation below upper band = power accumulation before next leg up.
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⚖️ RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST ✅
Daily loss limit: 2% portfolio | Use 1:2 minimum risk/reward ratio
Position sizing: Reduce entries above 26,200 (resistance cluster)
Breakout confirmation: Require 5-minute close above resistance + volume spike
Support holds: If 25,300 closes below on daily, trend invalidates—exit swings
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🎓 Technical Theory Applied: Elliott Wave (Wave 5 setup) | Wyckoff (Accumulation completion) | Dow Theory (Higher highs confirmation) | Harmonic Patterns (Gartley D-point) | Gann (Angular resistance) | Japanese Candlesticks (Bullish engulfing on 4H)
🛠️ Indicators Aligned: Bollinger Bands (squeeze breakout), RSI (bullish divergence), Volume (accumulation), VWAP (dynamic support), MAs (uptrend slopes), Ichimoku Cloud (bullish crossover).
📈 Bias: BULLISH with caution above 26,200
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.






















