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US NAS 100

MNQ – NY Open Game Plan Fundamentals stay bullish, but MNQ being MNQ… it already showed its teeth. Double top printed, neckline broke, and now I’m expecting a sharp pullback, not a meltdown. MNQ loves to move fast and fake people out, so I’ve got two buy zones and zero interest in guessing: 🟦 Buy Zone 1 First reaction area. If MNQ snaps in and gives me a clean setup, I’ll take the shot. 🟦 Buy Zone 2 Deeper pullback zone. If MNQ overreacts like it always does, I’m ready to try again with confirmation. This thing doesn’t reward patience… until it suddenly does. NY open should bring speed, volatility, and probably a few traps ⚠️ I’m waiting for price to hit my zones and show its hand. Fast market, slow decisions.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by natron
1
How Overconfidence Destroys Profitable TradersHow Overconfidence Destroys Profitable Traders Understanding Overconfidence in Trading Welcome everyone to another article. One of the most dangerous stages a trader can walk into is not fear… but overconfidence. (EGO) Overconfidence in trading is essentially ego. However, there is still an important difference: - Confidence is a real belief built on proof, statistics, and discipline. - Overconfidence is an inflated belief in your ability beyond the proof. This is driven by ego. Many traders do not fail because they do not know enough. They fail because at some point, they believe they know enough or know “everything.” What Overconfidence appears as in Trading: A trader builds a system. ( yay! ) They go on a clean winning streak maybe 10, 12, even 15 profitable trades in a row. At this point, the trader begins to think and assume: “ I’ve cracked the code. ” - Risk gets increased . - Position sizes get bigger . - Rules start to bend . Confidence continues grow until it crosses a dangerous path where belief is no longer supported by data, statistics and proof. Reality eventually steps in. You will never again feel as confident as you did during your first major winning streak when it looked like the market finally made sense and success was “ figured out. ” That feeling is exactly what traps traders. Overconfidence WILL break Risk Management Overconfidence destroys a trader by slowly dismantling their risk management, their system, their discipline, their psychology and their consistency. It rarely happens all at once. First: - “ I’ll just risk a little more this time. ” - “ This setup looks perfect. ” - “ I’m on a winning streak. ” Over time, the trader begins to: • Ignore position sizing rules ( Too many LOTS or contracts ) • Move stop losses (Increases risk) • Add to losing trades ( Does not accept the original loss ) • Trade larger to “maximize opportunity” (Stick to what you can afford to lose ) The trader thinks and believes the system will continue to work, because it worked before. But markets do not reward belief, they reward discipline. (I have mentioned this many times in my previous posts.) Once risk management breaks, even a profitable system becomes dangerous and can lead to zero profits, or even down to negatives. Overconfidence Blocks Positive criticism and continuous Learning There is no such thing and there will never be a 100% perfecto trading system/strategy. Losses are part of the game. Overconfident traders struggle when reality does not meet their expectations. Instead of adapting to the market by adjusting their strategy they: - Resist feedback (Or consider any feedback as hate/negative criticism) - Ignore changing market conditions (Consolidation, flat lining, barcoding etc) - Refuse to admit the system is underperforming (Bad performance & results) - Believe the problem can’t be them (“It’s not the system, it’s the computer!”) But Why…? Well because… their mind keeps rewinding the dopamine high from when everything worked perfectly and the win rate was 99% They only remember the wins, and “ GREEN ” $$$ %%% not the probability. The exact moment a trader believes they “can’t be wrong,” learning comes to a halt. And in trading, when learning stops, losses accelerate, revenge trading increase, risk management collapses, and consistency becomes scrambled. Overconfidence changes Traders into > Gamblers Overconfidence does not just cause losses it can also change behavior. Frustration from unexpected losses turns into: - Anger - Impatience - Forced trades - Revenge trading Rules get ignored. Emotions take control. The trader may still look like a trader, but they are acting like a gambler. The most dangerous part? They still believe they are right… Example: How Overconfidence Destroyed a Profitable Trader Let’s look at Bobby. Bobby was a profitable trader. A very successful one in his 4th year of trading. He discovered what he believed was a 99% win-rate system. The first month was incredible. The second month was just as good. Cash flowing in, heaps of green. By the third month, losses started to appear. Instead of falling back, taking a breather and reassessing , Bobby doubled down. Continuing to trade the same system despite clear signs of underperformance. He was no longer focusing on perfect executions and setups, he was chasing the high. Losses turned into frustration . Frustration turned into anger . Anger turned into impatience . Soon Bobby was: • Forcing trades • Revenge trading • Ignoring risk management Bobby refused to take responsibility. “It was my internet.” “My computer lagged.” “My family distraccted me.” The excuses piled up, but the account kept shrinking. Bobby did not fail because of the system. Bobby failed because ego stopped him from adapting to the market and adjusting his system. Markets Will Always Humble Ego Markets will humble traders in ways they never expect. No matter how experienced you are, there is always something else to learn. Trading is not a destination, it is a constant process of adaptation towards the market. Traders who believe they “know everything” will always be reminded by the market that They. Do. Not. Overconfidence doesn’t end trading careers immediately. But it slowly erodes them trade by trade turning it into mental torture. Final Thoughts Confidence is necessary to trade.. But Ego is fatal! The very moment a trader believes they have cracked the code is often the moment their decline begins. Stay humble. Respect risk. Let statistics, not emotion, guide your decisions. Because in trading, the market doesn’t punish ignorance it punishes ego.
Education
by King_BennyBag
41
NASDAQ doesn’t move randomly. It hunts liquidity.CAPITALCOM:US100 Price is currently trading inside a broken OG zone, after a clear distribution phase from the premium area. Market structure remains bearish, with lower highs and weak upside reactions. Short-term outlook (15M) • Price failed to hold above the broken OG zone • No strong bullish displacement or acceptance above resistance • Liquidity is still resting below current price • Expectation: continuation to the downside to sweep short-term liquidity Mid-term outlook (1H) • Overall structure remains bearish • Previous OG zone acting as resistance • Unfilled liquidity remains below the range lows • As long as price stays below the broken zone, shorts remain valid My expectation I expect price to take the liquidity below and deliver a minimum 50-point drop from the current levels. Any pullback into the broken OG zone can be considered a sell opportunity, as long as structure does not shift.
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
2
Nasdaq 100 Index - Analysis & ProjectionBased on the current upward trajectory and the alignment of moving averages, the Nasdaq 100 Index is likely to continue its bullish trend in the near term, potentially testing the 26,000 level by mid-January 2026 if momentum persists. However, a pullback could occur if the RSI approaches overbought territory (above 70), possibly around the 25,800 resistance level. Long-term, the index may aim for 27,000 by mid-2026, assuming sustained economic growth and favorable market conditions, though external factors like interest rate changes or geopolitical events could introduce volatility.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Michael_Harding
6
TSM Swing Trade Playbook | Bullish Structure + Demand Zone📌 Asset Overview TSM – Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE) Market: US Equities Style: Swing Trade Playbook 📈 Market Bias Bullish Plan Confirmed Price action shows sustained demand, higher-timeframe trend strength, and accumulation behavior consistent with institutional participation. Momentum remains constructive as buyers continue defending key demand zones. 🎯 Entry Plan – Layered Accumulation Strategy This setup uses a layered limit-order approach (accumulation style), allowing flexible participation across price zones rather than chasing a single entry. Buy-Limit Layers (Example): • 295.00 • 290.00 • 285.00 • 280.00 👉 You may increase or adjust layers based on personal risk rules and position sizing. 👉 This approach helps smooth entries during volatility and pullbacks. 🛑 Risk Management Stop-Loss Zone: 270.00 Risk control is essential. This level invalidates the bullish structure if broken decisively. Each trader should adapt risk rules based on account size and strategy discipline. 🎯 Profit Objective Target Zone: 330.00 This area aligns with: • Prior resistance zone • Overbought risk on momentum indicators • Potential supply reaction (profit-taking zone) Partial exits are encouraged when price approaches resistance. 🧠 Technical Confluence ✔ Higher-timeframe bullish structure ✔ Demand zone holding ✔ Accumulation-style price behavior ✔ Trend continuation bias intact 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Considerations (Non-Speculative) Key Structural Drivers: • TSM is a global leader in advanced semiconductor manufacturing • Strong positioning in AI, data centers, and high-performance computing supply chains • Long-term contracts and diversified client base support revenue visibility Macro Factors to Monitor: • Global semiconductor demand cycles • US dollar strength (USD sensitivity) • Technology sector risk sentiment • Interest-rate expectations impacting growth stocks Upcoming macro data and policy signals may influence volatility — manage exposure accordingly. 🔗 Related Instruments to Watch (Correlation Watchlist) • NASDAQ:SOXX – Semiconductor ETF (sector health confirmation) • NASDAQ:SMH – Chipmakers ETF (institutional flow proxy) • NASDAQ:NVDA – AI demand sentiment leader • NASDAQ:AMD – Peer momentum correlation • NASDAQ:QQQ – Tech risk-on / risk-off behavior 👉 Strength in these instruments often confirms continuation in TSM 👉 Weakness may signal caution or delayed expansion ⚠️ Notes for Traders Risk management > entry precision. Adapt position size, layering depth, and exits to your own trading plan. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy shared just for fun and educational purposes. Always trade responsibly and manage risk independently.
NYSE:TSM
by The-Thief
Bullish rise?US30 has bounced off the support level, which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 25,425.09 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 25,270.20 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 25,855.87 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by Vantage
1
NQ; Continuation to lower demand? 📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing the market; use only two time frames. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Matej_trader
1
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Reversal SetupMomentum: Bearish The price could fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support. Buy entry: 24,898.06 Pullback support Stop loss: 24,644.89 Swing low support Take profit: 25,451.19 Pllback resistance Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
2