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US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher. Support Zone & Initial Rally The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels. Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG — reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries. Liquidity Grab & Next Move Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs. Final Thoughts The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above. If this analysis brought value, drop a like — and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
FX:NAS100Long
by Louigi_24
38
NASDAQ WILL FALL TO 22400 end even moreSo the economy in the US is weakening with every DATA released daily...this is not an easy situation for the FED to cut rates... the dollar is rising, although it should have fallen with anticipation that the FED cuts rates, gold is falling, oil prices are skyrocketing, US10Ys is on the rise... Just to make sure you get me right, I am not mixing Nasdaq with economy, BUT, do not forget about FED and about MONEY which is borrowed with high rate in the hope of rate cut...now imagine what would happen if the next DATA, namely PCE and PCI come hotter, and i am pretty sure it will...all that borrowed "expensive" (with current rates) money will be dumped out of window...and that money sits ALSO in stock market, crypto, Gold etc... Trading is not always about higher highs or technical trendlines; it is also about geopolitics, the economy, and monetary policy... By the way, the current uptrend, which started from 22980 on Friday the 22nd of August, is broken today...another indicator for the upcoming bearish explosion
IG:NASDAQShort
by Hayk_Petrosyan
4
COIN Trade Setup – Strong R/R at Macro Support ZoneIn our previous trade idea, NASDAQ:COIN surged over 120%, confirming the bullish setup we highlighted. We're now watching a key support zone that offers another high-probability entry with excellent risk-to-reward. 📉 Gap Still In Play The recent gap-down in price is unfilled, and statistically, such gaps tend to retrace at least 50%. This area also aligns with the golden pocket (Fibonacci 0.618–0.65) — a zone known for sharp reversals and trend continuations. 📈 Trade Levels Entry Zone: $250–$260 Take Profits: $360 / $420 Stop Loss: Below $225 Bias: Bullish bounce from support, targeting range high flip 🔍 Watch For: Volume confirmation at support RSI / Momentum divergence near golden pocket Break and hold above range high = expansion This zone offers a low-risk entry before potential continuation of the macro uptrend.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by Richtv_official
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement. This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided. Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg. The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery). The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders. ‍ Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event. Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area. This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs. Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg. The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected. The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by TradeConfirmed
EVLV 1WEVLV — a rectangle pattern has formed, and the 100 MA has crossed above the 200 MA, signaling the start of a potential trend reversal. Targets: $8.29 and $12.94. As of May 2025, the fundamental outlook for Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (ticker: EVLV) is as follows: The company continues to show strong revenue growth and improving key financial metrics, despite remaining unprofitable. Revenue for 2024 reached $103.9 million, up 31% from 2023, while the net loss was halved to $54 million. EBITDA improved to -$21 million from -$51.8 million the year before. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 39% to $99.4 million. The company maintains a strong financial position with $51.9 million in cash and zero debt. The stock is currently trading at $4.44, above its estimated intrinsic value of $2.76 according to AlphaSpread. Analysts remain optimistic, giving EVLV a “Strong Buy” rating and forecasting an average price target of $5.31, suggesting about 19.6% upside potential. However, investors should keep in mind that the company is still unprofitable, and the current market valuation exceeds its fundamental value.
NASDAQ:EVLVLong
by TotoshkaTrades
USNAS100 Holds Above 23,690 – Bulls Eye 23,870 ATHUSNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq 100 remains in bullish momentum while trading above the pivot at 23,690, with the next target near the ATH at 23,870. Technical Outlook: 📈 As long as price holds above 23,690, bullish momentum is expected toward 23,860 → 23,940 → 24,090. 📉 A confirmed 1H close below 23,690 would shift bias bearish, opening the way to 23,600 → 23,500 → 23,280. Key Levels: Pivot: 23,690 Resistance: 23,860 – 23,940 – 24,090 Support: 23,600 – 23,500 – 23,280
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ NAS100 at a Crossroads: Riding Nvidias Surge with CautionThe immediate reaction to Nvidia's stellar earnings has been decidedly bullish, propelling the NASDAQ higher. We saw a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" event where the "news" was so powerful it triggered a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) rally with a healthy correction on Friday. In the next one to two weeks, the near-term bias is bullish, but with extreme caution. The market has received the fundamental "all-clear" it was waiting for from its most important company. However, the index is now technically overextended and sentiment is euphoric, making it vulnerable to a short-term pullback or consolidation. The primary trend, however, remains bullish IMO. 1. The Catalyst: Nvidia Earnings Nvidia didn't just beat expectations; it shattered them and raised future guidance, validating the entire AI investment thesis. Revenue & EPS: Significant beats on both the top and bottom lines. Guidance: Q2 revenue guidance of ~$28B was vastly higher than analyst estimates of ~$26.6B, demonstrating unprecedented demand for its Blackwell and Hopper architecture chips. Data Center: Revenue of $22.6B, up 427% year-over-year, is the core of the story. This shows that AI infrastructure spending is not slowing; it's accelerating. Stock Split: The announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split adds a psychological boost for retail investors, improving accessibility and reinforcing bullish sentiment. Analyst Interpretation: This wasn't just a quarterly report; it was a fundamental confirmation that the AI revolution has tangible, massive earnings power. It alleviated fears that the AI trade was a bubble. For the NASDAQ, which is market-cap weighted and heavily influenced by NVDA, this was rocket fuel. 2. Technical Analysis (One-Day Timeframe Post-Earnings) Price Action: The NASDAQ gapped up powerfully at the open, breaking cleanly above its previous consolidation range. This was a strong bullish signal. Volume: The rally was accompanied by massive volume, confirming broad institutional participation. This wasn't a low-volume grind; it was a conviction move. 3. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop Interest Rates: The market is currently pricing in a higher-for-longer stance from the Fed. However, recent economic data (PMIs, jobless claims) has shown slight signs of softening, which keeps hopes alive for a potential rate cut later in the year. A stable, non-accelerating rate environment is acceptable for tech stocks, especially those like Nvidia with explosive earnings growth that outweighs rate concerns. Geopolitics: While always a risk (U.S.-China tensions, elections), the market has largely shrugged off these concerns for now, choosing to focus on the stellar corporate fundamentals. Market Breadth: A key watch-out. The rally has been narrow, led primarily by the "Magnificent 7" (now perhaps the "Fab 1" - Nvidia). For the rally to be sustainable, we need to see broader participation from other sectors and smaller-cap stocks within the NASDAQ. 4. Likely Outcome for the Next 1-2 Weeks: Bullish with a Caveat Bullish Scenario (60% Probability): The momentum from Nvidia is likely to carry the NASDAQ higher in the very near term. We could see a continued "melt-up" towards 17,400-17,500 as underinvested funds are forced to chase performance and add equity exposure. Any dip will likely be shallow and bought aggressively, with the 17,000 level holding firm. Consolidation/Pullback Scenario (35% Probability): This is the most likely healthy outcome. After such a massive, emotion-driven surge, the market is likely to need a period of digestion. We could see the NASDAQ chop sideways for a week or two to work off the overbought conditions. This would reset the momentum indicators and allow the market to build a new base for the next leg higher. This is not a bearish signal; it is a strengthening signal. Bearish Reversal Scenario (5% Probability): A sharp reversal below the 17,000 support level and a fill of the earnings gap (~16,900) would be a significant warning. This would likely require a new, negative macro catalyst (e.g., unexpectedly hot inflation data, a major geopolitical escalation) that forcefully changes the interest rate narrative. Trading & Investment Implication For Bulls / Existing Longs: Hold positions. Consider taking partial profits on extreme strength, but avoid selling your entire position. The trend is your friend. Use any pullback to the 17,000 support as a potential buying opportunity. For New Entrants: Chasing the green spike is high-risk. Be patient. Wait for the inevitable pullback or period of consolidation to establish a position. The risk/reward is poor on the day after a massive gap up. For Bears: Fighting this tape is exceptionally dangerous. The fundamental news from NVDA is a game-changer for the index. Shorting based solely on overbought conditions is a quick path to losses. Final Analyst Call: The next week is likely bullish with high volatility, potentially extending gains. However, the following week is highly susceptible to a consolidation or pullback as the initial euphoria settles. The overall trajectory for the next two weeks is cautiously bullish, with the understanding that a 2-4% pullback is a normal and healthy part of a strong uptrend. The burden of proof is now on the bears to prove they can wrestle control back from a market that just received the best possible news from its most important constituent. Not financial advice, this is just my opinion.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) - Technical Analysis Report - 20250908Analysis Date: September 8, 2025 Current Price: 23,671 Market Session: Post-Market Analysis --- Executive Summary Nasdaq 100 presents a moderately extended equity position requiring defensive management, but with meaningful institutional support structure revealed through 3-quarter volume profile analysis. While trading above recent institutional accumulation, the presence of multiple quarterly POCs creates a more robust support framework than initially assessed. This positioning requires cautious defensive strategies rather than emergency liquidation, with clear institutional reference levels for risk management. --- Quarterly Volume Profile Analysis 3-Quarter Institutional Positioning Intelligence The 3-quarter volume profile (Q1-Q3 2025) reveals a complex but supportive institutional positioning pattern across multiple price ranges: Multi-Quarter Institutional Activity Zones: Q1 2025: Heavy blue institutional accumulation at 21,800-22,200 range Q2 2025: Substantial blue volume during correction at 19,800-20,500 range Q3 2025: Fresh institutional activity developing at 22,000-22,400 levels Current price (23,671) moderately extended above most recent institutional positioning Comprehensive Support Structure: Primary Support: 22,000-22,400 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence zone) Secondary Support: 20,200-20,500 (Q2 correction accumulation) Extended Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor) Current Extension: 6-8% above primary institutional zones (manageable vs. catastrophic) Institutional Pattern Analysis: 21,800-22,200: Q1 original institutional positioning validates current levels 19,800-20,500: Q2 correction buying shows institutional conviction during weakness 22,000-22,400: Q3 re-engagement demonstrates continued institutional participation Above 23,000: Moderate extension requiring defensive positioning Price Structure Context Historical Pattern Recognition: The 3-quarter analysis reveals continuous institutional engagement rather than abandonment, indicating healthy market structure with multiple layers of smart money support. This pattern suggests institutional rotation and repositioning rather than wholesale exit from technology exposure. Revised Risk Assessment: Moderate Extension: 6-8% above institutional levels vs. previously assessed 18%+ Multiple Support Layers: Three quarterly POCs provide robust institutional framework Institutional Continuity: Ongoing smart money participation throughout 2025 Risk Definition: Clear institutional boundaries at multiple levels for defensive management Sector Composition and Market Leadership Technology Sector Positioning: Artificial intelligence leadership driving institutional reallocation Mega-cap concentration providing stability and institutional interest Innovation premium supporting elevated valuation multiples Defensive technology characteristics during uncertain economic cycles --- Execution Chart Technical Analysis Current Technical Configuration - MIXED SIGNALS DEMA Analysis - MOMENTUM CONCERNS: Black Line (Fast DEMA 12): Currently at 23,671 Orange Line (Slow DEMA 20): Currently at 23,597 Configuration: Bullish but showing momentum deceleration Trend Bias: Technical momentum weakening despite continued bullish bias DMI/ADX Assessment - TREND MATURITY: ADX Level: Declining from previous highs, indicating mature trend phase +DI vs -DI: +DI maintaining slight edge but margin narrowing Momentum Direction: Signs of trend maturation after extended advance Trend Strength: Weakening ADX suggests institutional repositioning phase Stochastic Analysis - OVERBOUGHT BUT NOT EXTREME: Tactical Stochastic (5,3,3): Overbought with some negative divergence Strategic Stochastic (50,3,3): Extended levels but within historical norms Divergence Analysis: Moderate negative divergences suggesting consolidation need Support and Resistance Levels Critical Technical Levels: Current Resistance: 24,000 (psychological and technical barrier) Immediate Support: 23,400 (DEMA cluster support) Key Support: 22,800 (recent consolidation boundary) Major Support: 22,200 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence) Critical Support: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation) Ultimate Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor) --- Trading Scenarios and Setup Criteria Scenario 1: Defensive Profit-Taking Setup (PRIMARY) Recommended Position Management: Systematic reduction of existing positions by 50-75% Profit-taking priority given moderate extension above institutional levels Maintain small tactical exposure with tight risk management Capital reallocation to higher-conviction institutional accumulation opportunities Profit-Taking Protocol: Primary Action: Reduce positions by 50-75% at current levels Secondary Reduction: Complete exit on failure to hold 22,500 support Stop Management: Trail stops using 22,200 institutional support Cash Allocation: Redirect capital to commodity opportunities with stronger institutional backing Scenario 2: Tactical Range Trading (SECONDARY) Range-Bound Management: Defined range: 22,200-23,800 (institutional support to resistance) Small position tactical trading within institutional boundaries Quick profit-taking on bounces toward 23,500-23,800 Defensive positioning on approaches to 22,200 support Range Parameters: Long Zone: 22,200-22,500 (institutional support approach) Short Zone: 23,600-23,800 (resistance approach) Stop Distance: 400-600 points maximum Position Size: Reduced allocation (1% account risk maximum) Scenario 3: Breakdown Management (DEFENSIVE) Support Violation Protocol: Break below 22,200 requires immediate position liquidation Institutional support violation indicates potential deeper correction Target return to 20,200-20,500 Q2 institutional accumulation Complete avoidance until clear institutional re-engagement Breakdown Parameters: Critical Level: 22,200 (institutional support) Action Required: Immediate exit of all positions Targets: 20,500, 20,000, 19,500 (institutional accumulation zones) Re-entry Criteria: New institutional accumulation evidence required --- Risk Management Protocols Position Sizing Guidelines Defensive Approach (Recommended): Maximum Risk: 1.5% of account (reduced from standard due to extension) Contract Calculation: Account Size × 0.015 ÷ (Stop Distance × $5) Example: $100,000 account with 500-point stop = 40 contracts maximum Rationale: Extended positioning requires conservative allocation Stop Loss Hierarchy Tactical Stop: 23,200 (execution chart support cluster) Strategic Stop: 22,200 (institutional support boundary) Emergency Stop: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation violation) Portfolio Management Framework Defensive Positioning Strategy: Current Holdings: Reduce exposure by 50-75% New Positions: Limited tactical exposure only Capital Reallocation: Redirect to institutional accumulation opportunities (NG, CL, 6E) Monitoring Frequency: Daily assessment of institutional level respect --- Market Context and External Factors Technology Sector Fundamental Assessment Supporting Factors: Artificial intelligence revolution driving institutional reallocation Productivity gains supporting elevated valuation multiples Defensive growth characteristics during economic uncertainty Innovation leadership providing competitive advantages Risk Factors: Interest rate sensitivity affecting growth stock premiums Regulatory scrutiny on mega-cap technology companies Valuation concerns at current extension levels Economic cycle sensitivity for discretionary technology spending Institutional Investment Trends Smart Money Positioning: Continued institutional engagement evidenced by Q3 volume activity Rotation within technology rather than wholesale sector exit Quality focus on mega-cap names with defensive characteristics AI theme driving strategic institutional reallocation --- Monitoring Checklist and Alert Levels Daily Monitoring Requirements Institutional Respect: Monitor behavior at 22,200 support boundary DEMA Configuration: Watch for momentum deterioration or bearish crossover Volume Analysis: Track institutional activity at current levels Sector Rotation: Monitor technology vs defensive sector performance Policy Impact: Federal Reserve decisions affecting growth stock valuations Critical Alert Levels Risk Escalation Alerts: Break below 22,200 institutional support with volume DEMA bearish crossover below 23,400 ADX declining below 20 with -DI gaining dominance Technology sector rotation accelerating toward defensives Defensive Action Triggers: Multiple failures to break above 24,000 resistance Volume decline on any rally attempts above 23,500 Institutional selling evidence (yellow volume) at current levels Federal Reserve policy shifts affecting interest rate outlook --- Strategic Outlook and Risk Assessment Risk/Reward Analysis Moderate Risk Profile: Upside Potential: Limited 500-1,000 points to major resistance Downside Risk: 1,500-3,000 points to institutional accumulation zones Risk/Reward Ratio: Unfavorable 1:2+ downside bias Probability Assessment: Moderate (35%) for further upside, High (65%) for correction Portfolio Allocation Recommendation Defensive Management Required Nasdaq 100 requires defensive positioning due to moderate extension above institutional levels, but the presence of multiple quarterly POCs provides meaningful support structure. While not emergency territory, the asymmetric risk profile favors systematic profit-taking and capital reallocation to higher-conviction opportunities with stronger institutional backing. The 3-quarter analysis reveals ongoing institutional engagement, allowing for tactical exposure with proper risk management. Allocation Framework: Current Portfolio Weight: Reduce to 8-12% maximum (from higher previous levels) Entry Method: Limited tactical positions only until institutional re-accumulation Hold Period: Short-term tactical only, systematic profit-taking Exit Strategy: Defensive reduction with 22,200 as critical support --- Conclusion and Strategic Assessment Nasdaq 100 analysis demonstrates the importance of comprehensive timeframe evaluation in institutional intelligence assessment. The 3-quarter volume profile reveals a more nuanced risk picture than initially assessed, showing continued institutional engagement across multiple price levels. While defensive positioning remains appropriate due to moderate extension, the presence of multiple institutional support layers allows for tactical exposure rather than complete avoidance. Current conditions warrant systematic profit-taking with clear institutional boundaries for risk management. Strategic Priority: Defensive positioning with systematic profit-taking while respecting institutional support levels at 22,200 and 20,500 as critical risk management boundaries. Next Review: Daily monitoring of institutional level respect and momentum indicators Position Management: Systematic reduction with defensive stops at institutional boundaries --- Important Disclaimer Risk Warning and Educational Purpose Statement This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. All trading and investment decisions are solely the responsibility of the individual trader or investor. Key Risk Considerations: Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors Past performance does not guarantee future results Market conditions can change rapidly, invalidating any analysis Leverage can amplify both profits and losses significantly Individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance vary greatly Professional Guidance: Before making any trading decisions, consult with qualified financial advisors, conduct your own research, and ensure you fully understand the risks involved. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Methodology Limitations: Volume profile analysis and technical indicators are tools for market assessment but are not infallible predictors of future price movement. Market dynamics include numerous variables that cannot be fully captured in any single analytical framework. The views and analysis presented represent one interpretation of market data and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis and individual judgment.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by mxb1961
NASDAQ If this trend-line holds, it targets 29500.Nasdaq (NDX) has it's long-term bullish trend intact as it has mainly held its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support. If it manages to hold the 1W MA20 (red trend-line) also, then it can extend the uptrend for even longer as the similarities overall with the 2020 fractal are noticeable. As you can see, the March - April 2025 correction in particular, is very similar with the March 2020 COVID crash. Both sharp declines (-25% and -30% respectively), found Support just before hitting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The 2020 fractal managed to rebound and reached its 2.0 Fibonacci extension and even extended the uptrend to the 2.5 Fib, all while the 1W MA20 remained intact (1W candles closed above it). Even their 1W RSI sequences are identical and even on the price action that preceded the Megaphones. As a result, we remain bullish long-term as long as the 1W MA20 holds, targeting 29500 (Fib 2.0 extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
1
NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025🧠 NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025 Bias: Intraday Bearish after NY Open Price is currently trading within a well-defined premium zone, between the Sunday-Monday Order Block and the BPR M30 area. 🧩 Key Observations: Price tapped into a minor M5 Order Block (OB) right after the 8:30 NY macro event. We're seeing a reaction to a short-term OB, with a small push up likely to grab liquidity above the London session high. Expecting liquidity run + rejection from the upper OB zone (23,810–23,830). 🔽 Bearish Scenario: After the sweep of local highs, I anticipate a sell-off toward the Imbalance zone below (23,710 area). Main targets are: Imbalance fill Possibly further down toward Weekly Open near 23,680 🔧 Confluence: Midnight Open has already been reclaimed. NY AM session is about to open – expecting expansion to provide confirmation. Potential divergence between NQ (stronger) and ES (weaker) gives context for relative weakness later in the session. 📌 Idea Summary: I expect one final push into the premium zone to grab liquidity before reversing down toward the Imbalance and possibly into the Weekly Open.
CME_MINI:MNQU2025Short
by gysnoize
1
S&P500 | 100 year bullish channel | GTradingMethodHello Traders - Happy Monday! I thought this was a very interesting perspective on S&P500. What they don’t want you to see... 👀 The S&P has been moving inside a bullish channel for nearly 100 years (since 1925). Right now, price is breaking out of that channel but is it fakeout? If it’s a fakeout, the implications are huge: we could be looking at a 70% drop back to the bottom of the channel. ⚠️ Chart is on the monthly timeframe with a logarithmic scale. What do you think — breakout or fakeout? Very keen to hear all your thoughts #TradingLife
SP:SPXShort
by GTradingMethod
9
Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod 🧐 Market Overview: All my variables have been met. Some of the variables I look for are as follows: - RSI divergence - Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule) - Attack candle closes in range Opened a short position on Silver. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.9 🎯 Entry: 41.29 🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67 💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93 💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDShort
by GTradingMethod
1
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for Inflation Index?!The index is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trend line is maintained, we can expect Nasdaq to reach its previous ATH. In case of its valid breakdown, its downward path will be smoothed to the specified demand zone, where it can be bought with appropriate risk-reward. U.S. equities closed lower on Friday after a volatile session, capping off a turbulent week in negative territory. Initially, weaker-than-expected employment data fueled optimism that the Federal Reserve would move toward further rate cuts. However, growing fears of an economic recession quickly overshadowed that optimism and pushed the indexes into the red. Following the labor market report, expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting are now virtually certain. The main question, however, is how fast subsequent cuts might unfold. Some analysts have even floated the possibility of a surprise 50-basis-point cut on September 17. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium, stressed that risks stemming from labor market weakness may now outweigh inflation risks—a factor that could justify a shift in the central bank’s policy approach. Nick Timiraos, a prominent Wall Street Journal reporter closely tracking Fed policy, noted that the sharp slowdown in job growth over the summer has likely cemented the Fed’s decision to cut rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting. Still, he made no explicit mention of a 50-basis-point move. While markets have raised the probability of that scenario to 14%, Timiraos believes the main focus remains on a more moderate reduction. He also observed that the latest jobs report has deepened uncertainty over the pace and scope of cuts beyond September—a challenge that policymakers and markets will grapple with in the months ahead. Barclays Bank now projects the Fed will lower rates three times in 2025—each time by 25 basis points in September, October, and December. This is an upward revision from its earlier forecast of just two cuts in September and December. President Donald Trump once again lashed out at Fed policy in a post on his social media platform, writing: “Jerome Powell should have cut rates long ago. But as usual, he has acted too late.” Meanwhile, mounting concerns over ballooning fiscal deficits—not only in the U.S. but also in countries like Japan, France, and the U.K.—have placed added pressure on long-dated bonds. The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury briefly climbed to a one-and-a-half-month high last week. At the same time, the Treasury Department plans to issue new three-year, ten-year, and thirty-year securities next week, an event that could further fuel volatility in the bond market. The coming week will be light in terms of data volume, yet the few scheduled releases will carry significant weight as inflation once again takes center stage. On Wednesday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August will be published. Forecasts suggest both the headline and core readings will show sharp declines compared to July. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will hold its policy meeting, where markets currently expect the deposit rate to remain unchanged at 2.15%. Shortly afterward, traders will turn their attention to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, along with weekly jobless claims data—closely monitored for signs of potential weakness in the U.S. labor market. Finally, on Friday, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released. This survey has been a particularly important gauge of inflation expectations this year, offering deeper insights into how U.S. households perceive price trends. The PPI, which reflects changes in goods prices at the factory gate, often provides more forward-looking signals than the CPI. As shown in July’s data, any unexpected surge in August’s numbers could temper investors’ optimism about the pace of rate cuts. For now, the impact of tariffs on goods prices appears limited, while the Fed’s main concern remains the risk of renewed inflationary pressures in the services sector. According to the Cleveland Fed’s Nowcast model, headline inflation rose 0.1% in August to reach an annualized rate of 2.8%, while core inflation held steady at 3.1%.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Micron (MU) Trade Plan | Resistance, Pullback & Thief Setup📊 Micron Technology (MU) | Thief Plan Swing/Day Trading Setup ⚡ Why This Plan? Micron Technology (MU) has been showing strong momentum in 2025, driven by AI demand, DRAM revenue growth, and favorable fundamentals. The Thief Plan Strategy (layering entries + tactical exits) is designed to adapt to both swing & day trading setups, balancing technical signals with fundamental catalysts. 🎯 Thief Technical Trading Plan Strategy: Hull Moving Average Pullback ➝ Bullish Bias Entry Method (Layering Style): Multiple buy limit layers $122.00 $124.00 $126.00 $128.00 (You may increase/decrease layers based on your own plan & risk) Stop Loss: Thief SL reference @ $115.00 Adjust based on your own risk tolerance & style. Target Zone: $146.00 (resistance barricade / overbought trap zone — best to “escape” before exhaustion). ⚠️ Note: These levels are educational references. Manage your own SL/TP — trade at your own risk. 📈 Fundamental & Sentiment Insights 52-Week Range: $61.54 – $131.41 Market Cap: $147.02B YTD Performance: +50.4% 🚀 Investor Sentiment: Analyst Consensus: Moderate Buy 🟢 21 Buy | 5 Hold | 1 Sell | 2 Strong Buy Avg. PT: $147.54 (+12.3% Upside) Institutional Ownership: 80.84% Fear & Greed Index: 39/100 → Fear 😨 Earnings & Growth: Q3 FY2025 EPS: $1.91 (Beat by $0.34) Revenue Growth YoY: +58.2% DRAM Revenue: +51% YoY (AI-driven) Net Margin: 18.41% Debt-to-Equity: 0.30 (healthy) Dividend Yield: 0.4% 🌍 Macro & Market Drivers AI Boom: HBM demand projected at $10B run-rate. Data Center DRAM: +63% YoY expected in Q4 FY2025. US CHIPS Act & Tariffs: Long-term tailwinds for domestic semiconductor players. Competition: Samsung & SK Hynix applying pressure on margins. 🐂 Bullish vs 🐻 Bearish Outlook Bullish Case (Long): AI/Data Center demand ➝ strong revenue trajectory. Valuation attractive (PE 23.6x vs peers 32x). Analyst PTs reach as high as $200. Bearish Case (Risk): Memory market cyclicality ➝ volatile pricing. Fear & Greed shows low confidence (39/100). DCF suggests stock could be overvalued short-term. 📌 Summary Outlook: Neutral ➝ Bullish short-term (AI strength offsets macro fear). Catalyst: Q4 FY2025 Earnings (Sept 23, 2025). Risk: Moderate (High Beta 1.47). 🔗 Related Assets to Watch NASDAQ:NVDA - AI semiconductor sentiment indicator NASDAQ:AMD - Semiconductor sector momentum NASDAQ:SOXX - Semiconductor ETF for sector strength NASDAQ:SMH - Alternative semiconductor ETF NASDAQ:WDC - Memory sector correlation ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #MU #Micron #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefPlan #Semiconductors #AI #TechStocks #TradingView
NASDAQ:MU
by The-Thief
META Platforms — Can Bulls Escape With $800 Loot?📈 META Money Heist: Bullish Thief Swing/Day Trade Plan! 💰🔥 Date: 08 September 2025 Asset: META Platforms, Inc. Trading Style: Money Heist Plan with Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🦹‍♂️ Plan: Bullish (Pullback in the LSMA Moving Average) – Bulls charging for upside momentum! 🚀 🎯 Entry: Any Price Level – Thief Using Layer Strategy Deploy multiple limit orders (layering style entries) at $730.00, $740.00, $750.00 (scale up layers based on your preference). Be a stealthy trader, sniping entries during pullbacks for max profits! 🕵️‍♂️ 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief SL at $710.00 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. Protect your loot! 🛡️ Please adapt your SL to your own strategy, risk appetite, and style — take profits when it makes sense for you. 🎯 Target: Resistance + Overbought Zone + Trap Ahead Escape with your stolen profits before the trap! Aim for $800.00 target. 🏃‍♂️💨 📝 Note: Dear Thief OG's I’m not dictating your TP – it’s your heist! Take profits at your own risk and make the market your playground. 💸 💡 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Edge The Thief Plan is a cunning, layered approach to "steal" profits from market pullbacks, aligning with META’s bullish technicals (near 52-week highs, above 200-day SMA). By stacking limit orders, you capitalize on dips in the LSMA moving average, riding the bulls’ strength with precision. Backed by strong fundamentals, macro trends, and greedy sentiment, this setup is primed for a high-reward heist! 🤑 📊 META Stock Sentiment & Market Outlook (08 Sept 2025) 🔢 Real-Time Data Overview 📈 Day Change: +0.51% (↑ $3.80) 📏 52-Week Range: $479.80 - $796.25 💰 Market Cap: $1.89T 🏆 😊 Investor Sentiment Outlook Retail & Institutional Mood 🟢 Consensus Sentiment: Bullish (Greed Phase) Analysts’ Price Target Avg: $822.41 (9.30% upside). 42/47 analysts rate META as "Buy" 🟢. Institutions love AI-driven ad growth + strong cash flow. 💪 Fear & Greed Index ⚖️ Stock Market Sentiment Score: 53/100 (Neutral to Greed) Driven by market momentum, options activity, and low volatility. 🔄 Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (53/100). 📉 Fundamental & Macro Score Points Fundamental Strength ✅ 💸 Valuation: P/E Ratio: 27.32 (below peers’ avg 35.47). Free Cash Flow: $57.63B (projected to hit $198.64B by 2035). Profit Margin: 39.99% (industry leader). 🚀 Growth Catalysts: AI boosting ad engagement. Reality Labs innovation (long-term bet). ⚠️ Risks: Regulatory scrutiny (antitrust/data privacy) 🚨. High reliance on ad revenue (98% of total). Macroeconomic Factors 🌍 📅 Upcoming Events: CPI Inflation Report (11 Sept). Fed Meeting (16-17 Sept) 🏦. 📊 Market Volatility: VIX stable (low fear). 🐂 Overall Market Outlook: BULLISH (LONG) ⏳ Short-Term: ✅ Price near 52-week high + above 200-day SMA. Target upside: $900+ (Bank of America, DBS Bank). 📅 Long-Term: ✅ AI monetization + metaverse potential. Undervalued by 29% (DCF model). 🎯 Key Takeaways 😊 Sentiment: Greed-driven optimism (institutional + retail). 💰 Fundamentals: Strong cash flow + EPS growth ($27.54). 🌍 Macro: Monitor CPI/Fed for volatility triggers. ⚠️ Risk: Regulatory risks offset by growth bets. ✅ Verdict: Bullish alignment across sentiment, fundamentals, and technicals. 📡 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:NVDA ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #META #MoneyHeistTrade #BullishSetup #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #AIStocks #TechStocks #TradingView #StockMarket #FearAndGreed #BullMarket
NASDAQ:METALong
by The-Thief
Will Fed rate cut expectations continue to fuel US equity gains? US August job growth missed expectations, highlighting labor market weakness, while rising Fed rate cut odds kept equities higher. Broadcom (AVGO) delivered strong 3Q earnings with robust AI-driven growth and issued an upbeat 4Q revenue forecast. Despite valuation concerns, Morgan Stanley (MS) expects multiple Fed cuts to sustain equity gains and views September dips as buying opportunities. US500 extended its uptrend, briefly setting a new high. The index remains within the ascending channel and above both EMAs, signaling the potential extension of bullish momentum. If US500 holds above EMA21, the index may breach the 6530 high. Conversely, if US500 breaks below EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound, the index could retreat toward the support at 6340.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by inkicho_exness
NASDAQ (NQ1!): Buy It Until The Market Notifies Us Otherwise!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100 The NASDAQ looks poised to move higher. There is potential for it to make a new ATH. Wait for pullbacks to poi's for valid long setups. I do not see a reason to sell this market. Until there is a bearish break of market structure, buys are the ticket. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by RT_Money
$MSTR Swing Trade Setup: Layered Short Entries on Breakout📉 MSTR "STRATEGY INC" STOCK – Bearish Thief Plan (Swing/Scalp Setup) ⚡ Trade Setup (Bearish Pending Order Plan) Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) Plan: Bearish (waiting for support breakout confirmation). Entry Zone: Pending breakout entry @ 320.00 ⚡ Layered “Thief” Strategy (scaling entries): Sell Limit Layers: 340.00 / 330.00 / 320.00 You may add or adjust layers based on your own risk tolerance. 🔔 Set TradingView alerts at breakout levels to track price action. Stop Loss (Thief Style): Protective SL @ 360.00 (after breakout confirmation). Adjust per your strategy & risk management. Target Zone (Exit): Police barricade support @ 290.00 Note: Take profit is discretionary — escape with profits at your own chosen level 🚪💰. 🔑 Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy Context) The Thief Plan = using multiple layered limit entries after a breakout for better risk/reward. Scaling entries gives flexibility while reducing FOMO and chasing. Exit early at support barricades or oversold traps. 📊 MicroStrategy (MSTR) Market Data Report As of September 7, 2025 1. Retail & Institutional Sentiment 🤝 Retail: Mixed / cautious (crypto exposure volatility). Institutional: Neutral → slightly bearish (Bitcoin correlation + regulatory risk). Estimated Sentiment: 55% Neutral / 30% Bearish / 15% Bullish. 2. Fear & Greed Index 😨😋 Current level: Neutral ~50/100 Suggests balanced emotions → no extreme greed or fear. 3. Fundamental & Macro Scores 📈📉 Fundamental ~60/100: MSTR tied to Bitcoin trends, highly volatile. Macro ~55/100: Pressures include crypto regulation, tech volatility, interest rates. Bitcoin remains the key driver. 4. Market Outlook 🐂🐻 Bull Case: BTC rally → MSTR boost, institutional adoption helps. Bear Case: Regulatory clampdowns, BTC volatility → downside pressure. Overall: Neutral → Slightly Bearish (short-term caution). 🚀 Key Takeaways NASDAQ:MSTR moves in sync with Bitcoin → monitor BTC charts closely. Sentiment is not strongly bullish → short setups have edge here. Thief layering strategy aligns with volatility. Always respect SL & manage risk 🔐. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch BITSTAMP:BTCUSD NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase) NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms) NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital) SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX (macro impact on tech/crypto plays) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #MSTR #MicroStrategy #Stocks #SwingTrade #Scalping #BearishSetup #CryptoStocks #LayeredStrategy #ThiefPlan #BitcoinCorrelation #TradingViewIdea
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by The-Thief
BTC - Bullish continuation in the makingMarket Context BTC has recently broken out of a long-standing descending trendline, marking a significant shift in sentiment. This breakout signals the end of the controlled downtrend and sets the stage for a possible bullish continuation. At the same time, the chart shows a clear sweep of sell-side liquidity at the lows, which often serves as the fuel for a reversal. Trendline Breakout & Liquidity Sweep The bullish breakout of the old upper trendline is an important technical event. Combined with the earlier sell-side liquidity sweep, this suggests that downside liquidity has been cleared and that the path of least resistance could now be higher. Such a combination often marks the start of a new leg in the trend. Market Structure Shift Retest Following the breakout, price has pushed higher and printed a market structure shift (MSS). The current retest of this MSS zone will be key — if it holds, it provides the ideal spot for bulls to reload positions. This retest acts as confirmation that the breakout is valid, not just a short-lived deviation. Next Liquidity Grab & Upside Targets Above the current range sits a clear buy-side liquidity pool. The next logical move would be a grab of that liquidity, which could extend into a more aggressive bullish expansion toward higher levels. The structure suggests a stair-step move higher: liquidity grab, retest, and then continuation toward 115k–117k zones. Final Thoughts The sell-side liquidity sweep, trendline breakout, and market structure shift all point to a bullish shift in momentum. The key lies in how price reacts to the retest — hold it, and the next liquidity levels are likely to be taken. If this breakdown helped clarify the setup, a like is much appreciated — and let me know in the comments: are you playing the retest, or waiting for the liquidity grab above?
Long
by Louigi_24
53