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ANNX 1D - pennant before the next impulse?On the daily chart, Annexon Inc. is forming a bullish pennant after a strong upward move — a classic continuation pattern often signaling the next wave of momentum. The price remains above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with a golden cross confirming that buyers are still in control. The key support zone is $2.70–2.90, while Fibonacci targets sit at $4.29 and $5.69 if momentum continues. From a fundamental view , Annexon stays on investors’ radar as it develops treatments for neurodegenerative disorders - a risky but high-potential biotech niche. Tactical plan: wait for a confirmed breakout from the pennant. If buyers push through, the uptrend could accelerate fast. Remember - a golden cross doesn’t always mean golden profits, but it might this time.
NASDAQ:ANNXLong
by TotoshkaTrades
US stocks hit record highs on better-than-expected CPI The Sep US CPI indicated that tariff-driven inflation has not materialized, reinforcing the Fed’s dovish policy stance and driving US equities to new record highs. The prevailing view in the market remains with “Don’t fight the Fed.” The stock market’s impressive resilience, defying the typical seasonal weakness through Oct, reflects a dovish Fed stance amid the absence of recession signals. The S&P; 500 remained within the ascending channel, reaching a new high at 6,800. Diverging bullish EMAs suggest that the bullish structure may extend further. If the index closes above 6,800, it could advance toward 6,900. Conversely, a drop below 6,800 may lead the price to retreat toward 6,700, which coincides with EMA21.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by inkicho_exness
SPY and QQQ Macro outlook for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025 Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC. Watch list Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday SPY and QQQ outlook for next week Set up US equities enter a policy and growth triad. Wednesday brings the FOMC decision and press conference. Thursday brings the first look at Q3 growth. Friday brings the price index that the Fed emphasizes. The path for real yields and the earnings tone are the first order drivers. Valuation sensitivity is higher in QQQ due to the weight of long duration cash flows. SPY has more cyclicals and defensives and therefore reacts more to growth beats or misses. Baseline view A patient Fed message combined with growth that is solid but not hot and inflation that continues to ease supports a grind higher. The market prefers falling real yields with inflation in check. A hawkish shift in the balance of risks, or a hot inflation print that lifts terminal pricing, pressures multiples and skews returns lower. If messages conflict, expect a whipsaw week with heavy rotation. Scenarios and probabilities Relief grind higher with QQQ leadership. Probability thirty eight. Triggers are a patient tone on Wednesday, a growth print that shows resilience without overheating, and Core PCE that validates disinflation. Breadth improves and volatility stays contained. Air pocket lower. Probability thirty two. Triggers are a firmer Core PCE or a hawkish shift in the statement language that pushes real yields up. Valuation compression hits QQQ first and deepest. SPY holds better if staples and energy carry. Two way chop with wide intraday bars. Probability thirty. Triggers are mixed messages across events and sectors. Expect quick moves around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday with mean reversion later in the day. Key confirms Watch the ten year real yield and the curve. A drop in real yields with stable breakevens favors a risk appetite day. A jump in real yields with a firm dollar and tight financial conditions favors de‑risking. Also watch VIX and the put call ratio into Wednesday afternoon to gauge dealer positioning. Risk notes Large cap earnings that land between FOMC and PCE can add idiosyncratic gaps. Respect prior week high and low as regime markers. If the market opens outside that range and fails to re enter on a retest, trend day odds increase.
AMEX:SPY
by exlux
Netflix (NFLX) | FVG + OTE Entry Loading | Multi-Confluence ICT Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is currently retracing into a high-probability multi-timeframe setup, aligning several ICT confluences that suggest a potential re-entry opportunity within a bullish continuation narrative. Market Structure: Price remains bullish overall, with clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). The recent decline represents a healthy retracement inside a developing higher-timeframe structure. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Alignment: The current pullback has driven price into an overlapping Monthly and Weekly FVG, an area of institutional interest where price has previously shown strong reactions. This zone often serves as a re-accumulation region before expansion. Optimal Trade Entry (OTE): The FVG aligns directly within the 62%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone, known as the golden OTE zone. This overlap of structural retracement and imbalance discount makes it a prime setup from a smart money perspective. Liquidity & Target Zones: - Discount Range: $944 – $1,033 - Primary Buyside Liquidity (BSL): $1,345 - Extended Target: $1,872 (100% expansion projection) Each level aligns with liquidity pools and Fibonacci extension targets visible on higher timeframes. Trade Bias: Bullish, with focus on accumulation and confirmation within the OTE discount range. A weekly bullish displacement or rejection candle within this zone would strengthen the case for long continuation plays. Summary: NFLX is presenting a multi-timeframe high-probability setup, where a clean retracement into an overlapping Monthly/Weekly FVG and OTE zone creates a strong case for re-entry. If the discount zone holds, expect expansion toward buyside liquidity and potential continuation into 2026.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by INSIDER_INTEL
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dips!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100 The NASDAQ closed last week at ATHs. I expect more of the same next week. Look for valid dip buying opportunities, my friends. If the market disrespects the +OB, then buys become invalidated. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by RT_Money
Popcorn Ready? Netflix Layering Setup for Bold Traders🎬 Netflix Stock | Thief Trader’s Profit Realization Blueprint 🍿💰 🧭 Market Outlook Netflix (NFLX) is lining up for a bullish playbook — and here’s how the Thief Strategy goes down. This setup is purely educational and shares how I personally view price behavior with a layering approach. 🎯 Trading Plan (Swing/Day Trade Idea) Entry (Layering Style 🥷): Instead of one-shot entries, the thief strategy is about multiple buy-limit layers. Example blueprint: 👉 1160 | 1170 | 1180 | 1190 | 1200 (more can be added if liquidity allows) Stop Loss 🛡️: Thief-style SL ~1120 (after breakout levels are confirmed). ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Manage your own SL & adapt risk. My level is an example, not a fixed call. Target 🎯: Eyeing the 1340 zone, where resistance + overbought vibes + possible trap signals align. The thief rule? Escape before the crowd escapes 🚪💨. ⚠️ Again — not a fixed TP. Manage your own exits depending on profit goals & risk appetite. 🕵️‍♂️ Thief Trader Philosophy This is not financial advice. It’s a “steal-and-escape” blueprint to show how layered entries can help smooth entries across zones instead of one rigid buy point. Adapt, manage, and steal profits like a pro before the market takes them back. 🔗 Related Assets to Watch NASDAQ:AMZN — often shows correlation in big tech swings 📦 NASDAQ:AAPL — mega-cap sentiment driver 🍏 NASDAQ:MSFT — growth stock momentum check 💻 NASDAQ:QQQ — ETF to track Nasdaq 100 flow 📊 AMEX:SPY — broad market sentiment monitor 🏦 📌 Key Correlation Notes Big tech stocks often move in sympathy — when Nasdaq pumps, Netflix usually gets extra popcorn 🍿 fuel. Watch volatility spikes in TVC:VIX , as they can trap over-leveraged longs & shorts. Macro cues (USD strength, yields, Fed talk) can shift momentum across all growth stocks. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #NFLX #Netflix #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #Options #StockMarket #TradingView #ThiefTrader #Equities #QQQ #SPY #StockAnalysis
NASDAQ:NFLX
by The-Thief
Elliott Waves Don’t Lie: NVDA’s Path to $26,000Summary: “Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and Smart Money align perfectly — NVIDIA’s long-term chart points to an AI-powered Supercycle with massive upside." 💎📊 🚀 NVDA | The Supercycle of the AI Era! 💚 🌀 Elliott Wave Supercycle Breakdown NVIDIA’s price action over the past two decades is a textbook example of a multi-decade Elliott Wave Supercycle — where technical , fundamentals , and Smart Money flows perfectly align to form a once-in-a-generation structure 🌎 Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇 Super Cycle Wave (1) — launched in the early 2000s, marking NVDA’s first growth phase during the birth of consumer GPUs 🎮. Super Cycle Wave (2) — deep correction into 2002, retracing a 0.786 Fibonacci, cleansing early euphoria and creating the foundation for institutional accumulation 💼. Then began the Super Cycle Wave (3) — the most powerful phase of all. Within it, we have distinct macro sub-waves: 1️⃣ Macro Wave (1) — ended in 2007 , aligning with the first institutional wave of adoption. 2️⃣ Macro Wave (2) — retraced 0.618 in 2008 , coinciding with the global financial crisis (perfect Smart Money shakeout). 3️⃣ Macro Wave (3) — the current dominant leg, fueled by exponential AI and data center growth . It’s extending toward the 3.618 Fibonacci extension (~$256) , confirming wave strength and institutional conviction. 4️⃣ Macro Wave (4) — expected between 2026–2027, likely retracing 0.236–0.382, a natural cooling period before the next breakout. 5️⃣ Macro Wave (5) — projected to rally toward 4.618 extension (~$2,500) , completing Super Cycle Wave (3) near 2029 🏁 From there, a larger Super Cycle Wave (4) correction could unfold before the final parabolic Super Cycle Wave (5) run to the 5.618 Fibonacci extension (~$26,000) — the climax of NVDA’s decades-long AI expansion super-trend 🌕 💰 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective The chart structure clearly shows Smart Money accumulation patterns in every correction phase: Re-accumulation ranges appeared at every 0.618 retracement level 📊 Liquidity grabs below previous swing lows before strong impulsive moves ⚡ Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) filled during corrections, creating perfect liquidity imbalances that institutional players exploit Currently, NVDA trades near a premium zone of Macro Wave (3), but Smart Money will likely reaccumulate during the upcoming Macro Wave (4) discount phase (2026–2027). Expect Order Block re-tests and liquidity sweeps around discounted Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236–0.382) before the next major rally 📉➡️📈 📈 Price Action Structure NVDA’s macro structure remains strongly bullish: The multi-decade trend has respected every higher high and higher low sequence since 2008. Each impulse is followed by a healthy re-accumulation range, never breaking long-term structure. Expect distribution near the $250–$300 (split-adjusted) region as Wave (3) matures, followed by a macro correction that offers generational entries for long-term investors 🧠 🔢 Fibonacci Confluence & Technical Harmony Fibonacci has been the invisible hand guiding NVDA’s growth 👇 0.786 retracement (2002) → deep liquidity reset 0.618 retracement (2008) → institutional re-entry 3.618 extension (256) → current macro resistance target 4.618 extension (2500) → Super Cycle Wave (3) final target 5.618 extension (26K) → ultimate Super Cycle Wave (5) projection Each impulse and retracement aligns perfectly with Fibonacci’s geometric rhythm , proving the power of confluence between time, price, and sentiment. 🧠 Fundamentals — The Energy Behind the Waves Behind the technicals lies unmatched fundamental growth : 💾 AI & Data Centers: NVIDIA is the core infrastructure for modern AI compute and cloud training workloads. 🧩 CUDA Ecosystem: A software moat that ties developers and enterprises directly to NVIDIA’s architecture. 🌐 Omniverse & Robotics: Positioning NVDA as a leader in 3D simulation, robotics, and digital twins — future trillion-dollar markets. ⚙️ Strategic Partnerships: Expanding across hyperscalers, automotives, and enterprise AI. Each innovation wave fuels a new Elliott Wave impulse , with the AI revolution now driving the strongest macro leg in NVDA’s history. ⚡ Macro Outlook & Timeline ✅ Now (2025): Completing Macro Wave (3) of Super Cycle (3) → heading toward $256 target ⚠️ 2026–2027: Macro Wave (4) correction to 0.236–0.382 (Smart Money entry) 🚀 2028–2029: Macro Wave (5) push → Super Cycle (3) peak near $2,500 🌊 2030–2032: Super Cycle (4) correction — consolidation phase 💎 2035–2040+: Super Cycle (5) → ultimate 5.618 target near $26K 💬 Final Thoughts "Every correction is a setup for the next expansion. Smart Money buys fear — not euphoria." NVIDIA is the heartbeat of the AI revolution , the core of data-driven computing , and a living Fibonacci sequence in motion. As long as fundamentals stay aligned with the wave rhythm, NVDA’s Supercycle will continue to redefine what’s possible in long-term growth. 🌌 #NVDA #ElliottWaveAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciMagic #AIRevolution #StockMarket #Investing #TradingViewCommunity #TechSupercycle #NVDAtoTheMoon #LongTermInvesting 💬 Traders, analysts, and wave watchers — your insights matter! Have you spotted NVDA’s next move? Drop your Elliott Wave counts, confirmations, or constructive critiques below 👇 Let’s discuss NVIDIA’s structural evolution, AI-driven Supercycle, and long-term growth potential together 🚀💚 Every comment adds perspective — let’s decode this massive wave as a community! 🌊📈 — Team FIBCOS ⚡💎
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by fibcos
30
General Market OutlookHello, I want to talk about markets in general before the week start. The Federal Reserve is trying to navigate with limited data. Recently, after Governor Waller used ADP data without authorization, the Fed lost access to ADP’s high-frequency employment data as well. CPI and core CPI both came in at 3%, slightly below market expectations but in line with Cleveland Fed and Bloomberg models. With inflation not overheating, there is little reason for the Fed to delay rate cuts in its remaining two meetings this year, though these cuts are likely already priced in. The real focus will be on what FED will do in 2026. This week brings meetings from the Fed, ECB, BOJ, and BOC, while the Trump–Xi talks will take center stage. For me, the most important event will be the US–China negotiations. China holds a structural advantage: its exports have remained resilient despite US tariffs, supported by rising trade with South America, Africa, the EU, and South Asia. Meanwhile, the US remains heavily dependent on China for rare earths, a situation unlikely to change soon. However, China’s top priority remains its economy, which should keep the door open for compromise and negotiations. Also, keep an eye on the shutdown situation and upcoming earnings reports. US bond yield is falling, now a battle around 4% is ongoing for 10-y yield. If it bounced from 3.85% trendline dollar might try to recover, but so far I don't see any reason for a dollar jump, rather the tight range between the trendline from 2011 and 100 resistance likely to continue. EURUSD is trying to recover with slighlty bullish trend but this trend could turn into flag formation easily if dollar index to make a move towards 100. I expect EURUSD to continue recover with strong data from EU and weaker data from US. If shutdown extends further, both stock market and dollar might turn bearish. There’s nothing new to add for USDJPY beyond the previous analysis. If the base case scenario unfolds, it will support the dollar index retesting its trendline in the coming weeks. Nasdaq is still trending high with insane amount of AI investments and better than expected earnings. High valuations, shutdown and China fears are not in the spotlight yet. As long as Nasdaq trend channel continues, no reason to back out bullishness, but careful if it break because corrections often came very hard. Crypto market is yet to recover after the massive sudden crash. Bitcoin is less effected, but still has a problem. If 114k regained, maybe signs of recovery will be more clear. But the danger is not over yet. My base case for gold to hold above 4000 and recover towards 4250. 4160 is a key resistance this week. I expect gold is getting to a long term peak, likely to hit before the year end but still has some way to go. I will write about Silver's long term cycle in a couple of days so stay tuned for that.
TVC:DXY
by orancapital
BTC - Liquidity Dynamics leading to new HighsMarket Context Bitcoin has shown a constructive reaction from the recent lows, printing a clean double bottom structure that suggests short-term demand entering the market. After a previous buy-side liquidity sweep and rejection, price has rebalanced and is now challenging a fair value gap (FVG) that previously served as resistance. This marks a key decision zone where the next directional move will unfold. Fair Value Gaps & Structure The FVG overhead has already acted as resistance, capping the first impulsive move from the lows. Should price retrace slightly to take out the remaining sell-side liquidity below the double bottom before re-engaging higher, it would confirm the area as a springboard for a bullish continuation. A clean reclaim and hold above the FVG zone would signal a shift in order flow favoring buyers. Liquidity Dynamics The current setup offers both sides of the market clear liquidity targets: sell-side liquidity resting under the double bottom and buy-side liquidity resting above the prior high. Smart money could engineer a sweep of the lower side first to accumulate before expansion, or alternatively, break directly through resistance to trigger a larger bullish leg. Final Thoughts The structure reflects a balanced but bullish-leaning scenario — a classic accumulation and breakout setup. A deeper retest to clear out lower liquidity would strengthen the foundation for continuation, while sustained strength above the FVG opens the door for a reaction toward new highs. If this analysis aligned with your view, drop a like — do you think we clear the lows first, or head straight for a bullish breakout?
Long
by Louigi_24
71
NAS100 Intraday & Swing Trade Setup🎯 NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Technical Analysis: Oct 27-31, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Setup Closing Price: 25,373.7 | Date: Oct 25, 2025 12:54 AM UTC+4 | Timeframes: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 1D ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 ELLIOTT WAVE & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 🌊 From the daily chart perspective, NAS100 shows completion of Wave 4 correction around 25,100-25,200 support zone. Current positioning at 25,373.7 suggests early Wave 5 development with bullish impulse structure emerging. The 4H timeframe confirms impulsive uptrend with higher highs and higher lows—classic Elliott Wave signature for institutional accumulation phase. 💡 KEY INSIGHT: If 25,900-26,050 resistance breaks decisively on 4H close with volume confirmation, we target Wave 5 extension toward 26,400-26,800 range through mid-week. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔄 DOW THEORY & TREND CONFIRMATION ⬆️ Primary Trend: Bullish | Higher highs established above 25,600 on 1H charts Secondary Trend: Consolidation above 25,300-25,350 support validates buyer control Confirmation Signal: Volume surge on breakouts above 25,900 confirms institutional participation The daily VWAP sits at 25,420, acting as dynamic support. Price trading above VWAP with 1D EMA(20) > EMA(50) > EMA(200) alignment signals strong bullish conviction for the coming week. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚡ INTRADAY SETUPS: 5M TO 1H TIMEFRAMES 5M & 15M: Utilize Ichimoku Cloud crosses for quick scalp entries. Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen crossover signals 3-5 minute momentum trades. Bollinger Bands (20,2) show tight squeeze—breakout imminent. RSI <30 on 5M = panic-sell exhaustion reversal opportunity. 30M: This is the swing trader's sweet spot . Harmonic patterns—particularly Butterfly and Bat patterns—should be monitored around 25,200-25,100 support confluence. Gann angles from Oct 22 low project resistance at 25,888, 26,150. 1H: Primary intraday timeframe for entry/exit. Support: 25,300 (VWAP), 25,100. Resistance: 25,900 (breakout trigger), 26,050. RSI overbought above 70 = profit-taking zone. EMA(9) above EMA(21) = trend strength confirmation. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎪 WYCKOFF METHOD & ACCUMULATION PHASE 📈 Current price action displays classic Wyckoff accumulation: Spring formation around 25,200 + subsequent recovery above neckline. Effort (volume) on upside breakouts now exceeds effort on downside—textbook Wyckoff buying climax setup. Watch for secondary test of 25,300—if holds above with lower volume, expect breakout run to 26,000+. ⚠️ WARNING: Climax volume spike above 26,000 may indicate exhaustion—take profits on target. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔷 HARMONIC PATTERNS & FIBONACCI LEVELS 📐 Gartley Pattern forming in 4H with D-point targeting 25,850-25,920 (78.6% Fib retracement). Potential risk/reward ratio of 1:3+ makes this ideal swing entry zone. Support cluster: 25,300-25,420 (multiple MA confluence + VWAP). Extended Fib target: 26,400 (161.8% extension from Oct 22 impulse base). ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📍 TRADING PLAN: MON-FRI (OCT 27-31) 🗓️ INTRADAY SCALPERS (5M-30M): Target 25,750-25,850 breakout on Monday. Stop: 25,250. Take profit 1: 25,650 (+300 pips). Repeat breakout patterns on every higher low formation. SWING TRADERS (4H-1D): Accumulate longs 25,300-25,420 on dips. Primary target: 26,150-26,250 (Wave 5 target). Secondary: 26,400-26,800. Stop loss: 24,900 (break below daily cloud). Risk/reward: 1:2.5 minimum. ⏰ OPTIMAL TIMING: US market open (13:30 UTC) provides best 5M-1H breakout volatility. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚨 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT SIGNALS 🎯 Reversal Alert: If RSI divergence forms (lower high on price, lower high on RSI) at 26,000+ = sell-off imminent. Initial support: 25,650. Hard stop: 25,420. Breakout Confirmation: Volume >200M shares on 4H close above 26,000 = institutional breakout, extend targets to 26,600+. Failure to hold 25,900 three times = bullish setup invalidation. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 VOLATILITY & BOLLINGER BAND SQUEEZE 📉 Current Bollinger Band width suggests compression before expansion . Watch 1H BB (20,2) for band walk breakout into 26,000+ on closing above upper band. ATR expansion above 250-300 points validates trending move. Consolidation below upper band = power accumulation before next leg up. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚖️ RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST ✅ Daily loss limit: 2% portfolio | Use 1:2 minimum risk/reward ratio Position sizing: Reduce entries above 26,200 (resistance cluster) Breakout confirmation: Require 5-minute close above resistance + volume spike Support holds: If 25,300 closes below on daily, trend invalidates—exit swings ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎓 Technical Theory Applied: Elliott Wave (Wave 5 setup) | Wyckoff (Accumulation completion) | Dow Theory (Higher highs confirmation) | Harmonic Patterns (Gartley D-point) | Gann (Angular resistance) | Japanese Candlesticks (Bullish engulfing on 4H) 🛠️ Indicators Aligned: Bollinger Bands (squeeze breakout), RSI (bullish divergence), Volume (accumulation), VWAP (dynamic support), MAs (uptrend slopes), Ichimoku Cloud (bullish crossover). 📈 Bias: BULLISH with caution above 26,200 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧 Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄 If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter— residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but— 🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈: 🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000) The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000. 🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000. 🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension. 🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption. 🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009) The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market. 🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉. 🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️. 🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)* The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses: ⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012) Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves . 🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength. 📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal. 🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻. 📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies. 🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012) A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows. 🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands. 📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break. 💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021) This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves. 🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal. 💡 Fundamentals: Rise of cloud computing Mobile-first economy AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history 🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3. 🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈. 🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022) A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity. 🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones. 📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral. 🌍 Macro Headwinds: Interest rate hikes Inflation fears Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis) 🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding* This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress): 🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅ Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior. 🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion. 🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅ Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation. 🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026) This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2). 📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks. 🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up. 💡 Fundamentals: AI hypergrowth US tech dominance AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐 🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027) A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle. 📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3. 🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally. 🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase. 🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029) The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2. 🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off 📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up 📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks 🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms. 🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029) Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold. 🧠 Expect: Systemic debt pressure Currency shifts Economic reset themes Potential Fed policy overcorrection Liquidity crunch 🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K. 📚 Final Thoughts Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈. ✅ Wave Count Aligned ✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected ✅ SMC Structure Intact ✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync 📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊. "Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
NAS100 1H: Bulls vs Bears at the Line📊 NAS100 – 1 Hour Analysis Hello friends, Here’s my NAS100 analysis for you. Looking at the 1-hour chart, I want to highlight a critical level. 👉 If NAS100 breaks above 25,038 and closes a candle there, the next move could point higher. 👉 If NAS100 fails to break 25,038, then a pullback toward 24,267 may come into play. 🙏 Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
FX:NAS100
by TraderTilki
37
Bullish continuation for NASDAQ? 📊 CME_MINI:NQZ2025 Analysis – Oct 18, 2025 🧠 Market Context: Price recovered back into Premium of range (the upper part of the current weekly range) after the drop to 24,158. Creating an inside week that managed to provide a Bullish close. Inside Week consolidated in an 1H frame. Price currently upper band (Premium) of 1H consolidation. Trapped Sellers at discount of 1H range which happens to be previous week Opening Gap High area. Lack of US scheduled Red Folder news until Friday morning. 8:30am 📕 Core CPI m/m 📕 Weekly wick 50% at 25196 📕 CPI y/y 9:45am 📕 Flash Manufacturing PMI 📕 Flash Services PMI Price referencing areas between 25,050–25,210. Premium of a weekly range. 🔼 There are several thing to note here: 🎯 Daily wick 50% at 25121.75 🎯 Weekly wick 50% at 25196 🎯 A Daily REQ Close and Open ( Origin of Weekly Short) at 25354.00 🎯 And REQ (Relative Equal) Highs and ATHs (All Time Highs) at 25394.00 Price can continue to explore Premium of weekly range using these as targets but keep in mind the potential for weakness and reversal formations along these levels. High timeframe bias as well as structure still Bullish, keeping in mind that Price is currently within a Bearish Range (Friday October 10, 2025) Mondays PA and range might clarify wether Bias will remain Bullish, or if there will be any more signs of weakness and reversal formations. 🔻 There are several thing to note on the short side here: 🙁 Trapped Sellers ( Passive Liquidity) at discount of 1H Range and accumulation or Lower Band. 📉 Week Opening Gap (Reference partially) at discount of bigger range 📉 Weekly Low at 24410.00 📉 Previous Weekly Low at 24158.50 🧩 Context: Still questioning whether Fridays drop could be labeled as Price displacement and considered signal, or Rebalance. The difference will be noticed Mon-Tues. Still uncertain on 💲 Dollar TVC:DXY Pending Bullish continuation confirmation or reversal back into chop.
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by JP_Tru
4
24-10-2025 Intraday Plan (CPI + NY Open Scenario) – US30 5M/1M💬 Intraday Plan (CPI + NY Open Scenario) – US30 5M/1M 📍 Bias remains bullish above 46,700 (structure still forming higher lows). 📍 Expecting CPI at 13:30 to create a liquidity grab — ideally sweeping lows into the ascending trendline/support. 📍 After CPI spike settles, looking for a NY Open breakout above 46,850 (key resistance). 📍 If we get a break + retest of 46,850, I’ll look for long entries targeting: ✅ TP1: 47,000 ✅ TP2: 47,100 ✅ TP3: 47,200 (liquidity extension) ❌ If CPI breaks below 46,700 and fails to recover, I’ll reassess for a bearish scenario. 🕒 No trades during initial CPI spike – waiting for structure confirmation post-news & into NY session. 📌 Plan: CPI grab → NY breakout → retest entry → continuation.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Ryan-L
1
NASDAQ Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on Nasdaq , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed above my old res and new support with daily candle and we have a very good bullish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price trying to retest the area now and giving a good bullish price action on smaller time frames , , So i see it`s a good chance to buy this pair when it back to retest the broken res and we can targeting from 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again below my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 4H Closure .
FX:NAS100Long
by FX_Elite_Club
TTEC – Accumulation Setup and Sector Mean Reversion PotentialTTEC (NASDAQ) The price structure is forming a descending diagonal, suggesting a potential exhaustion phase of the ongoing downtrend. The stock is currently trading inside the 1st Buying Zone, with a possible deeper test toward the 2nd Buying Zone before a sustained reversal begins. The sector average stands near $10, aligning with the gap area, which could act as a major upside target if accumulation continues. 📈 A confirmed breakout from the diagonal pattern would strengthen the bullish bias toward that sector-level equilibrium.
NASDAQ:TTECLong
by CakirInsights
ORACALE (ORCL) Rally! Cycle 3 → $400, Eyes on Supercycle $6,000🌀 ORACLE (ORCL) – Elliott Wave Supercycle Analysis | Smart Money & Fibonacci Confluence 🔭 Macro Perspective Oracle’s long-term chart (NYSE: ORCL) showcases a powerful Supercycle (III) wave in motion — a multi-decade expansion phase fueled by institutional participation, structural growth, and technological innovation. The internal Cycle waves (1–5) are clearly defined, with current price action positioned deep within Cycle Wave (3) — the strongest segment of this major bullish leg. 🟢 Supercycle Wave (I) (1987 – 2000) Elliott Behavior: The first grand impulsive advance, representing Oracle’s rise during the early software and database revolution. Fibonacci Structure: Wave (3) extended toward the 2.618× of Wave (1), typical of an early institutional growth wave. SMC Dynamics: Breaks of structure (BoS) at each impulsive stage. Liquidity sweeps before rallies — consistent smart money accumulation patterns. Fundamentals: Explosive earnings growth through enterprise software adoption and global market expansion. 💥 Conclusion: The dot-com peak in 2000 completed Supercycle (I). 🔵 Supercycle Wave (II) (2000 – 2002) Nature: The sharp, emotion-driven retracement following the tech bubble. Fibonacci Retracement: Retraced into the 0.236 zone of (I), providing the long-term discount region for accumulation. SMC Characteristics: Liquidity grab beneath 1998–1999 structure. Long accumulation base confirming institutional re-entry. Fundamentals: Oracle streamlined operations and built the groundwork for enterprise-level solutions. 🧱 Bottom: Wave (II) ended around 2002 — the base of today’s decades-long uptrend. 🟣 Supercycle Wave (III) (2002 – 2030s, ongoing) This ongoing macro impulsive wave contains five internal Cycle Waves (1–5) . ⚪ Cycle Wave (1) (2002 – 2019) Elliott Context: A powerful, sustained impulsive leg lasting nearly two decades. Structure: Clean five-wave advance with strong extensions during 2010–2019. Fibonacci Note: The move achieved near the 1.618× extension relative to its starting point. SMC Insight: Consistent higher highs and higher lows throughout the period. BoS continuation patterns confirming institutional markup. Fundamentals: Expansion of Oracle’s business model — cloud transition, data analytics, and enterprise software dominance. 📈 End: Cycle (1) peaked near 2019 , completing the first internal impulsive leg of Supercycle (III). 🔵 Cycle Wave (2) (2019 – 2020) Nature: A sharp yet shallow correction that coincided with the global market decline (COVID crash). Fibonacci Retracement: Retraced around the 0.236–0.382 zone of Wave (1). SMC Dynamics: Liquidity sweep under 2018–2019 structure. Fast accumulation pattern — strong re-accumulation footprint. Fundamentals: Short-term market shock, but Oracle’s fundamentals remained intact and rebounded swiftly. 🧭 Conclusion: Cycle (2) ended in 2020, setting the foundation for the explosive ongoing Cycle (3) rally. 🟢 Cycle Wave (3) (2020 – ~2026, in progress) Elliott Context: The most powerful internal impulsive wave — currently unfolding. Target Zone: Projected to complete near $380–$400 , expected around late 2025 to early 2026 . Fibonacci Extension: The 2.618× extension of Wave (1) perfectly aligns near $400. SMC & Market Structure: Continuous BoS and HH–HL formations — clear institutional control. No macro distribution yet; structure remains intact. Liquidity inducements near highs suggest ongoing markup phase. Price Action: Aggressive impulses, shallow retracements, and orderly continuation patterns. Fundamentals: Rapid expansion in Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), AI-driven services, and recurring revenue models. Sustained EPS growth and improved margin performance support wave maturity. 🚀 Expectation: Completion near $400 will likely trigger a Cycle (4) corrective structure before the final impulsive push. 🟠 Cycle Wave (4) (Projected: 2026 – 2028) Elliott Behavior: A corrective phase — retracing part of the strong Cycle (3) run. Fibonacci Retracement: Expected correction into the 0.236–0.382 zone of Wave (3), roughly $200–$280. SMC Insight: Break of structure (BoS) near top zones to induce liquidity. Re-accumulation base forming after liquidity sweep below key supports. Market Psychology: Cooling from euphoria, consolidation, and rebalancing of valuations. Fundamentals: Period of stabilization after several years of aggressive expansion. 📉 Outlook: Likely forms the structural foundation for the next rally phase (Cycle 5). 🟢 Cycle Wave (5) (Projected: 2028 – early 2030s) Elliott Context: The final impulsive leg completing Supercycle (III). Target Zone: Fibonacci 3.618× extension (~$900–$950) of Cycle (1). SMC Structure: Final markup phase with strong BoS continuation patterns. Climax rallies as retail sentiment peaks. Price Action: Parabolic trend, thin retracements, and expanding volatility. Fundamentals: Oracle could cement its dominance in global data, AI, and enterprise infrastructure markets. 💎 Completion: Cycle (5) will mark the end of Supercycle (III), leading into the long-term corrective Supercycle (IV). 🔶 Supercycle Wave (IV) (Projected: 2030s – 2040s) Nature: Major macro correction after decades of expansion. Fibonacci Depth: Likely retraces into the 0.382–0.5 zone of (III). SMC Behavior: Distribution → liquidity sweep → re-accumulation. Market Context: Could align with macroeconomic tightening or sectoral rotation. 📊 Purpose: To reset valuations and build energy for the final Supercycle (V). 🟩 Supercycle Wave (V) (Projected: 2040s – 2050s) Elliott Context: The final impulsive wave of Oracle’s century-long trend. Fibonacci Target: 3.618× expansion (~$6,000). SMC Behavior: Final institutional markup followed by distribution and secular reversal. Fundamentals: Could coincide with Oracle’s role as a global AI–data infrastructure leader. 🚀 Legacy Wave: The culmination of decades of innovation and expansion. ⚙️ Macro Summary Accumulation (1980s–1990s) – Smart money foundation. Expansion (2000s–2020s) – Institutional markup phase. Distribution (2030s) – Macro correction and rotation. Re-accumulation (Post-2040s) – Long-term reset for future cycles. 🧠 Technical & Fundamental Alignment ✨ Elliott Structure: Clear impulsive (I–V) sequence with macro rhythm. ✨ Fibonacci Confluence: $400 (2.618× of Wave 1) & $900 (3.618× of Wave 1). ✨ SMC: Institutional control with clean BoS → reaccumulation → continuation. ✨ Price Action: Aggressive bullish order flow with no macro distribution yet. ✨ Fundamentals: Oracle’s AI + Cloud strategy drives sustainable growth. 🌍 Conclusion Oracle (ORCL) continues to trend within Supercycle (III) — the most powerful long-term wave. Cycle Wave (3): In progress, targeting $380–$400 by end of 2025 / early 2026. Cycle Wave (4): Anticipated retracement toward $200–$280 zone. Cycle Wave (5): Final impulsive run toward $900+ into the early 2030s. 📈 Macro Bias: Long-term bullish — institutional structure intact. 📊 Short-term Outlook: Momentum strong but nearing Cycle 3 completion; prepare for corrective rotation. 💬 Summary: Oracle’s price evolution beautifully mirrors its technological growth story — a near-perfect alignment of Elliott Wave symmetry , Smart Money structure , and fundamental strength . The completion of Cycle 3 near $400 will open the door to an ideal re-entry opportunity for the next macro leg higher. #ORCL 📈 #Oracle 💼 #ElliottWave 🌊 #WaveAnalysis 🔹 #Supercycle 🚀 #Fibonacci 📊 #SmartMoney 💎 #PriceAction 🕯️ #MarketStructure 🏗️ #LongTermBull 🟢 #StockAnalysis 💹 #TechnicalAnalysis ⚙️ #Investing 💰 #TradingViewIdeas 💡 💬 Respected traders and analysts! Your insights matter. Share your views, confirmations, or constructive criticism in the comments below. Let’s discuss ORCL’s structural evolution, Elliott Wave setup, and long-term Supercycle potential 🚀📈. — Team FIBCOS 💎
NYSE:ORCLLong
by fibcos
US100 | Expansion Phase Alignment The Market Flow | Oct 23, 2025 Technical Overview • Price confirms a breakout above the active countertrend trigger (green). • All observed timeframes are in bullish alignment — wave structure expanding higher. • Immediate resistance lies near 25,175 , where the 100% Fibonacci projection aligns. • Clearing this zone opens continuation toward higher Fibonacci extensions — 25,353 , 25,418 , 25,464 , and 25,583+ . • Structural pivots remain supportive above 24,763 and 24,613.7 (daily pivot zone). Trade Structure & Levels • Bias: Long above 24,613.7 • Trigger = 25,095–25,143 breakout zone • Primary Invalidation = 24,613.7 (daily pivot) • Secondary Invalidation = 24,323.5 (H4 pivot) • Targets → Fibonacci extensions: 25,353 → 25,418 → 25,464 → 25,583 • Phase: Expansion Risk & Event Context • Focus remains on U.S. macro data and yield repricing. • Short-term volatility expected around key data prints; sustained closes above the trigger confirm momentum continuation. Conclusion The US100 shows multi-timeframe bullish alignment, initiating an expansion phase above the countertrend trigger. As long as price holds above the daily pivot at 24,613.7, the structure supports progressive upside toward the Fibonacci expansion cluster. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SKILLING:US100Long
by TheMarketFlow
NASDAQ | Daily TF - Bearish Divergence with Double TopCAPITALCOM:US100 NASDAQ continues to hold a bearish tone on the 1-hour chart, with a clear bearish divergence confirming weakness in momentum. Price is respecting lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure bearish. On the 4H timeframe, the index is approaching the trendline support around 24,600, which marks the third touch of this level. If this zone fails to hold, we could see an extended move toward the 24,000 area. From a broader view, the daily chart shows a double top pattern along with a strong bearish divergence — both supporting a deeper pullback. However, a daily close above 25,220 would invalidate this view and could shift momentum back to the upside. 📰 With the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and heightened market uncertainty, sentiment remains mixed. Volatility is expected to stay elevated, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation around key levels before taking any positions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by awaisulabdeen
USNAS100 | Bearish Momentum After Tesla Earnings MissUSNAS100 | Bearish Momentum After Tesla Earnings Miss ⚠️ The index dropped sharply by 1.5% (~500 points), exactly as projected. Currently, the bias remains bearish while trading below 24860, with the next downside targets at 24760 → 24510. Key Levels: Pivot: 24,860 Resistance: 24,960 · 25,035 · 25,200 Support: 24,760 · 24,510 · 24,350 Trading Plan: Sell Setup: Shorts remain valid below 24,860, targeting 24,760 / 24,510 / 24,350. Buy Setup: Longs active only above 24,860, with confirmation toward 25,035 / 25,200. Premium Takeaway USNAS100 maintains a bearish bias below 24,860, with room to extend toward 24,510–24,350. Only a confirmed 1H close above 25,035 would shift momentum bullish, signaling recovery toward 25,200. previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi