NASDAQ Needs some sideways relief but remains bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) continues to extend the new Bullish Leg of its 5-month Channel Up, having turned the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support, in line with both previous Bullish Legs.
We still expect at least a +9.59% rise, targeting 26300, to be completed before the pattern's new Higher High is priced but as the 4H RSI turned overbought (red circle), we expect the price to slow down a little, maybe seeking the 4H MA50 again as it happened in July.
In any event, the long-term trend remains bullish, until the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) breaks.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Ndx!
MSTR: Time to Short? Death Cross + Triangle Break Analysis🐻 MSTR "STRATEGY INC." - The Bear's Playground | Thief's Multi-Layer Setup 💰
📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT
Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (Strategy Inc. - formerly MicroStrategy)
Current Price: ~$291.23 (Oct 17, 2025)
Setup Type: Swing/Day Trade - Bearish Confirmation
Strategy Style: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders 🎯
🔍 THE SETUP - Why This Bearish Play Makes Sense
Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief's playbook! 👋 MSTR just gave us a beautiful bearish signal with a triangular moving average breakdown. Here's what the charts are screaming:
🎯 The "Thief" Entry Strategy - Layered Limit Orders
This isn't your typical "buy now" play. We're sneaking in like a thief in the night with MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT LAYERS:
Entry Zones (Layer Your Shorts):
Layer 1: $310 (First resistance retest)
Layer 2: $300 (Psychological level)
Layer 3: $290 (Current consolidation zone)
💡 Pro Tip: Scale into your position! You can add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance (e.g., $305, $295, $285). The "Thief Method" is all about spreading your entries to catch the perfect price zones.
🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT - The Thief's Insurance Policy
Stop Loss: $320 🚨
(This is the Thief's emergency exit - if price breaks above this, the bears lost control)
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE:
Dear Thief OG's (Original Gangsters), this is MY stop loss level based on MY analysis. You should set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Don't copy blindly - manage YOUR money, take YOUR profits (or losses) at YOUR own risk! This is YOUR trade, not mine. 💯
🎯 PROFIT TARGET - Where the Money's Hiding
Primary Target: $250 🎉
Why $250?
Strong historical support level
Oversold bounce zone (RSI typically rebounds here)
TRAP ALERT: Institutional buyers often accumulate at this level - be ready to ESCAPE with your profits before the bulls wake up! 🐂💤
⚠️ TAKE PROFIT NOTE:
Dear Thief OG's, $250 is MY target based on MY analysis. You can (and should) set YOUR own targets. If you're in profit at $270, $260, or even $280 - TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN! 💰 No shame in banking profits early. Remember: pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. This is YOUR trade, YOUR risk, YOUR decision!
🔗 RELATED ASSETS TO WATCH - The Correlation Game
MSTR doesn't trade in a vacuum! Keep your eyes on these correlated assets:
📈 Primary Correlation:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin): ~$108,625 (Oct 17, 2025) - MSTR holds 640,000+ BTC (3%+ of total supply!)
Correlation Strength: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 ULTRA HIGH
Why It Matters: MSTR is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play. When BTC sneezes, MSTR catches a cold. Bitcoin's current bearish pressure directly impacts MSTR's valuation.
🔄 Secondary Watchlist:
NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase): Crypto exchange - sentiment indicator
NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms): Bitcoin mining stock
NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital): Another BTC-related equity
NASDAQ:CLSK (CleanSpark): Bitcoin mining operations
Key Point: If Bitcoin breaks below $105K support, expect MSTR to accelerate downward. Conversely, if BTC rallies back above $115K, this bearish setup could invalidate. Watch Bitcoin like a hawk! 🦅
📊 THE BIGGER PICTURE - Why MSTR Is Vulnerable Right Now
Bitcoin Pressure: BTC down -2.19% today, testing critical support levels
Institutional Caution: Recent S&P 500 rejection (not included in index) = credibility questions
Valuation Concerns: Trading at significant premium to NAV (Net Asset Value)
Technical Breakdown: Multiple MA crosses + trend reversal signals
Macro Headwinds: Risk-off sentiment in crypto markets (3-day consecutive decline)
🎓 THE THIEF'S WISDOM - Final Thoughts
This setup combines:
✅ Technical confirmation (MA breakout)
✅ Layered entry strategy (better average price)
✅ Clear risk management (defined stop loss)
✅ Realistic profit targets (strong support zone)
✅ Correlated asset monitoring (BTC relationship)
Remember: The market doesn't care about your opinion. Respect the charts, manage your risk, and don't get greedy. The "Thief Method" is about stealing profits intelligently, not gambling recklessly! 🎰❌
💬 TRADE SMART, NOT HARD!
This is a BEARISH SETUP with defined entries, exits, and risk parameters. Whether you're swing trading or day trading, the key is DISCIPLINE. Stick to your plan, don't chase, and protect your capital.
Questions? Thoughts? Drop them below! 👇
Let's build a community of smart traders who help each other win! 🤝
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#MSTR #Bitcoin #BTC #TradingView #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ProfitTarget #StrategyInc #MicroStrategy #ThiefMethod #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #NASDAQ
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
🟢 24,300
🟢 24,400
🟢 24,500
🟢 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.)
🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL):
❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
💰 Target Area (Profit Zone):
🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓).
⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
📌 Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️♂️💸
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
Can NQ1! Push Through $25K+ Resistance Zone?🎯 The Great NQ Heist: Layered Entry Strategy for E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures
📊 Market Overview
**Asset:** NQ1! (E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures)
**Strategy Type:** Swing/Day Trade - Wealth Accumulation Map
**Bias:** 🐂 **BULLISH**
🎭 The "Gentleman Thief" Layering Strategy
💰 Entry Philosophy: Layer Like a Pro
This setup uses a **sophisticated layering approach** - think of it as strategically placing multiple limit orders to capture the best average entry. You're not going all-in at one price; you're building your position like a chess master.
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Zones:
- 🎯 Layer 1: **24,800**
- 🎯 Layer 2: **24,900**
- 🎯 Layer 3: **25,000**
- 🎯 Layer 4: **25,100**
Note: You can scale in at ANY price level using this layering method. Add more layers based on your position size and risk tolerance. The beauty of this strategy is flexibility - enter where the market gives you opportunity! 🎪
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: **24,700**
⚠️ **Important:** This is MY stop loss level based on technical structure. However, trading is a personal journey - YOU decide your own risk parameters. Protect your capital first, profits second. Your SL should align with YOUR risk tolerance and account size.
🎯 Profit Target
Target Zone: **25,600** 🚀
This level represents a confluence of:
- 💪 Strong resistance zone
- 📈 Overbought conditions
- Potential bull trap area
**Smart Exit Strategy:** As we approach this zone, consider scaling out of positions. Don't get greedy - take profits when the market offers them!
⚠️ **Reminder:** This is MY target projection. You're the captain of your own ship - take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Trail stops, scale out, or hold for moon - your money, your rules! 🌙
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated instruments
- SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ =F** - NASDAQ-100 Futures (spot reference)
- NASDAQ:QQQ - Invesco QQQ Trust (ETF equivalent)
- NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:GOOGL ** - Top NASDAQ-100 components
- NASDAQ:NDX - NASDAQ-100 Index (cash)
- CME_MINI:ES1! - E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (broader market correlation)
📌 Why these matter:** The NASDAQ-100 is tech-heavy, so major tech stocks drive NQ movement. Watch QQQ for retail sentiment and ES for overall risk appetite. When big tech moves, NQ follows! 💻
🎓 Strategy Breakdown
This "layering" or "scaling-in" approach offers several advantages:
- ✅ **Better average entry** - Dollar-cost averaging into position
- ✅ **Reduced timing risk** - Not dependent on perfect entry
- ✅ **Psychological comfort** - Builds confidence as position develops
- ✅ **Flexibility** - Adapt to market conditions in real-time
📢 Final Thoughts
The market rewards patience and discipline. This layered entry strategy is about working WITH the market, not against it. Whether you're a swing trader holding for days or a day trader scalping ticks, the principle remains: **Control your risk, let profits run.** 🏃♂️💨
✨ **If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!**
**⚠️ DISCLAIMER:** This analysis represents a "gentleman thief" style layered trading strategy intended for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade with risk capital you can afford to lose. Make your own trading decisions based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and market analysis. 🎭📊
#NQ1 #NASDAQ100 #NASDAQFutures #EminiNQ #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeringStrategy #ScalingIn #TradingSetup #FuturesMarket #TechFutures #NDX #QQQ #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #BullishSetup
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
SPY : Stay heavy on positionsSPY : Stay heavy on positions (2x leverage)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold SPY(+QQQ) and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of SSO(+QLD) and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈:
🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000)
The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000.
🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000.
🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension.
🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption.
🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009)
The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market.
🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉.
🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️.
🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)*
The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses:
⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012)
Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves .
🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength.
📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal.
🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻.
📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies.
🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012)
A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows.
🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands.
📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break.
💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021)
This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves.
🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal.
💡 Fundamentals:
Rise of cloud computing
Mobile-first economy
AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion
COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history
🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3.
🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈.
🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022)
A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity.
🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones.
📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral.
🌍 Macro Headwinds:
Interest rate hikes
Inflation fears
Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis)
🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding*
This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress):
🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅
Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior.
🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion.
🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅
Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation.
🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026)
This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2).
📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks.
🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up.
💡 Fundamentals:
AI hypergrowth
US tech dominance
AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization
Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐
🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027)
A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle.
📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3.
🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally.
🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase.
🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029)
The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2.
🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off
📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up
📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks
🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms.
🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029)
Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold.
🧠 Expect:
Systemic debt pressure
Currency shifts
Economic reset themes
Potential Fed policy overcorrection
Liquidity crunch
🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K.
📚 Final Thoughts
Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈.
✅ Wave Count Aligned
✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected
✅ SMC Structure Intact
✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync
📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊.
"Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊
📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
#FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰
📊 Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
🔍 Technical Foundation
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
🎯 Layer 1: 24,800
🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
🎯 Layer 3: 25,200
🎯 Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
⚡ Key Technical Points
✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
🎭 The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
📢 Community Support
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
AMD could see further downsidePreviously, before the 10 Oct crash, I posted here () that AMD is timed for a pullback with $213 as a price to sell puts off.
It worked perfectly. NDX looked tired to the upside, thus, possible further pullback underway, with $195/$200 as price targets based on my confluence of algo levels.
Nasdaq - The most important structure!💰Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) perfectly respects structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, the Nasdaq has been rallying an expected +50%. Still, until the Nasdaq will retest the upper channel resistance trendline, this rally won't be over. Therefore, we can still see a rally of another +10% in the very near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $30,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️2weeks/candle price chart
▪️Gold Bull market in progress
▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1
▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2
▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3
▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD
▪️650% gains off the lows
▪️will hit in 2026/2027
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold
▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
“Intel’s Bullish Structure Building Power for a Breakout Move!”🔥 INTC “Intel Corporation” – The Thief’s Profit Playbook 🕶️💰 (Swing/Day Trade Setup)
⚔️ Plan Overview – Bullish Setup with Thief Precision
The Thief Strategy is in play here — a smart layering entry method designed to steal optimal positions from impatient traders. 🕵️♂️
Our mission: Load, Layer, Loot, and Leave with Profits.
🎯 Entry Plan (Layering Method)
We’re layering multiple buy limits (thief-style) to catch value dips:
Buy Limit Layers: 35.00 💵 → 36.00 💵 → 37.00 💵
(⚙️ You can expand your layers based on your risk tolerance and style — thieves adapt fast.)
💡 Why Layer? Because a pro thief never rushes a vault — we break in step-by-step. This builds position strength while keeping entry efficiency.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s Escape Hatch)
📉 Stop Loss @34.00
💬 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending you set my SL. You’re the boss of your vault. Manage your own risk, grab the bag, and disappear in profits like a shadow.” 🌑💼
🚀 Target Zone (Profit Extraction Level)
🎯 Main Target: @43.00
📛 Police Barricade @44.00 — strong resistance zone + overbought region + potential bull trap.
🧠 Play it smart — escape clean with gains at 43.00 before the blue lights flash. 🚨
💬 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — not recommending you follow my TP blindly. Make your own move, take your profit, and vanish like a ghost.” 👻💸
🧩 Technical Breakdown
Intel (INTC) forming a strong base accumulation near the $35–37 range.
Volume Profile shows liquidity pockets aligning with the layering zones.
RSI hovering mid-levels → room for upside before overbought conditions hit near $43–44.
EMA Confluence: Price reclaiming short-term EMA — early trend reversal signals in motion.
Fundamental Boost: Intel’s AI chip roadmap and cost-optimization headlines add bullish narrative momentum. ⚙️📈
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Market Sync)
💠 NASDAQ:NVDA – Leader in AI semis; momentum correlation ~0.78 with INTC.
💠 NASDAQ:AMD – Similar sector swing potential; can mirror INTC lag-moves.
💠 NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) – Sector strength indicator. A breakout above resistance supports INTC’s upside.
💠 NASDAQ:QQQ / NASDAQ:NDX – Tech-heavy indices; bullish bias strengthens chip sector sentiment.
🧭 Correlation Tip: If NVDA or QQQ rallies strongly while INTC consolidates — that’s your thief’s golden signal to layer your entries quietly before the breakout sparks. ⚡
⚙️ Risk Management Wisdom
Never go all-in; layer your risk like a pro.
Keep your SL tight but mind flexible.
Respect zones — police don’t like thieves hanging around too long. 😎
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade wisely — stay stealthy. 🕶️
#INTC #Intel #StockMarket #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntries #TechnicalAnalysis #NASDAQ #StocksToWatch #AIStocks #TradingViewCommunity #TradingViewEditorsPick #Semiconductors #NVDA #AMD #QQQ #ProfitPlaybook
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
Click like Follow Subscribe, let's get to 5,000 followers.
NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
SPY : Stay heavy on positionsSPY : Stay heavy on positions (2x leverage)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold SPY(+QQQ) and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of SSO(+QLD) and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
Can NASDAQ100’s Retest Turn Into a Full-Fledged Rally?⚡ NASDAQ100 — “The Wall Street Engine” Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade)
Plan:
📈 Bullish confirmation awaited at the Hull Moving Average retest.
When price respects that dynamic zone and momentum aligns, the Thief layers up — ready to stack positions like a pro!
💰 Thief Strategy Playbook:
Thief’s weapon? Layering entries — the art of scaling in like a patient hunter.
Multiple buy limit orders are placed around:
🔹 24,400 🔹 24,500 🔹 24,600
(You can adjust or add more layers based on your own trading structure and capital.)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
This is the Thief’s SL → @24,200
🕵️♂️ Note to all Thief OGs:
I’m not recommending that you copy my SL — risk management is your call.
Remember: Make money, then take money at your own risk.
🎯 Target Zone:
@25,300 — where the POLICE BARRICADE (resistance) stands tall!
⚠️ The zone aligns with overbought levels + liquidity trap potential, so don’t overstay your welcome.
Escape with profits like a smart thief before the market cuffs you! 💨
🕵️♂️ Note again to Thief OGs:
Targets are flexible — adapt based on your execution and structure confirmation.
🔍 Correlated Assets to Watch:
SP:SPX (S&P500) — often mirrors NASDAQ’s overall direction.
TVC:DJI (Dow Jones) — gives early risk-on/risk-off sentiment clues.
TVC:US10Y (US Treasury Yield) — rising yields can pressure tech stocks.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — watch for volatility spikes; they often precede reversals.
Correlation Key Insight:
When the dollar weakens and yields cool, NASDAQ tends to fly 🚀 — liquidity rotation favors growth stocks and tech-heavy indices.
⚙️ Quick Recap:
✅ Bias: Bullish (with retest confirmation at Hull MA)
💸 Entry Zone: 24,400 → 24,600 (Layered limits)
🧱 SL: 24,200 (risk-controlled zone)
🎯 TP: 25,300 (liquidity + resistance zone)
⚠️ Risk: Adjust position size and trail stops as structure evolves
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for entertainment, education, and market storytelling. Trade responsibly; it’s just for fun, not financial advice.
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #IndexTrading #HullMA #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingCommunity #ThiefTrader #ChartArt #EditorPickCandidate
META Platforms Chart – Technical Reversal Signals Sell Momentum🎯 META's Bearish Heist: Time to Rob the Bears' Bank! 💰
📊 Asset Overview
META PLATFORMS, INC - The social media giant is about to get socially distanced from higher prices!
🔍 Market Analysis
Current Setup: Bearish Momentum Confirmed ⚠️
The Hull Moving Average just broke down like my New Year's resolutions! 🐻 Bears have grabbed the steering wheel and they're driving this bus downhill. The technical setup is screaming "SHORT" louder than your stop loss alerts at 3 AM.
🎭 The "Thief Strategy" Game Plan
🎯 Entry Strategy: Layer Like a Pro
The Layered Limit Order Approach (because catching falling knives is for amateurs!)
Layer 1: $740 🎯
Layer 2: $730 🎯
Layer 3: $720 🎯
Layer 4: $710 🎯
You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and portfolio size. Think of it as building a profit sandwich - the more layers, the tastier! 🥪
Alternative: Direct market entry at current price levels (for the adrenaline junkies among us)
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: $760
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY stop loss level based on my risk tolerance. This is NOT a recommendation - you MUST set your own stop loss based on YOUR risk management rules. Trade at your own risk, secure your own bag! 💼
🎯 Profit Target
💎 Target: $660
Why $660?
✅ Triangular Moving Average acting as Fort Knox-level support
✅ Oversold conditions brewing like a perfect storm
✅ Bull trap zone where buyers might step in
✅ Technical barricade stronger than a police checkpoint 🚓
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's,
This is MY take profit level. You can exit whenever you want - secure those gains at YOUR comfort zone. Take profits when you're happy, not when I tell you! Your money, your rules. 💵
📈 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated assets:
🔗 NASDAQ:GOOGL - Fellow tech giant showing similar bearish pressure
🔗 NASDAQ:AAPL - Tech sector leader; weakness here confirms broader tech selloff
🔗 NASDAQ:MSFT - Big tech correlation play
🔗 NASDAQ:AMZN - FAANG/Magnificent 7 correlation
🔗 NASDAQ:QQQ - Nasdaq ETF; META's moves often mirror tech sector sentiment
Key Correlation: When META sneezes, social media stocks catch a cold! Watch NYSE:SNAP and NYSE:PINS for sympathy plays.
🎪 The Thief Style Philosophy
This isn't your grandpa's trading strategy - we're playing chess while others play checkers! ♟️ The "Thief" approach uses strategic layering to maximize entry opportunities while managing risk like a boss.
Remember: We're not thieves in the literal sense - we're just stealing profits from the market inefficiencies! 😎
📊 Technical Summary
✅ Hull MA Breakdown Confirmed
✅ Bearish Momentum Building
✅ Multiple Technical Resistance Overhead
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio Favoring Shorts
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#META #MetaPlatforms #StockMarket #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #HullMovingAverage #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #TradingView #FAANG #TechStocks #BearishMomentum






















