USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Oil
CRUDE OIL (CL) PREDICTIONCRUDE OIL (CL) PREDICTION
📊 Market Sentiment
Crude oil prices had been trending lower following signs of de-escalation in the Israel–Palestine conflict, easing tensions with Iran, and emerging peace signals from the Russia–Ukraine front.
However, recent statements from Trump and the possibility of a U.S. military action against Venezuela have shifted sentiment back to the upside.
Venezuela holds approximately 18% of the world’s proven oil reserves and ranks as the 12th largest oil producer globally. Any potential conflict involving the U.S. could significantly disrupt supply expectations, acting as a strong bullish catalyst for oil prices.
📈 Technical Analysis
CL swept monthly liquidity around the $55 level and has since shifted into a bullish structure on the daily timeframe.
In my view, this move indicates that price has gathered sufficient energy for either continuation higher or a controlled retracement before the next bullish leg.
📌 Prediction – Game Plan
I entered a long position at 56.24$.
🎯 TP1: 57.70$
I will take partial profits here and move the remaining position to breakeven.
🎯 TP2: 58.90$
🛑 Stop Loss: Daily close below 55.40$
💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
WTI Crude Oil 4H Setup – Liquidity Zones & FVG ReactionThis 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (FXCM) highlights a potential trade setup based on liquidity structure and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). Key zones include Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Sell Side Liquidity (SSL), and both 4H and Daily FVGs. An Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) is marked, with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels clearly defined. Price action suggests a reaction from the FVG zone, with structure favoring a move toward the next liquidity pool. The setup reflects Smart Money Concepts and precision-based execution.
Crude Oil Futures Closing the GAP this Week?📊 CRUDE OIL FUTURES (FEB 2026) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
"The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary." — Alexander Elder
The Crude Oil Futures (CLG2026) chart on the 1-hour timeframe shows a significant bearish breakdown as we head into late December 2025. Sellers have taken control after a period of distribution near the recent highs.
📉 CURRENT PRICE ACTION
Ticker: CLG2026 (Crude Oil Feb '26)
Price: 56.93 (+0.05% in the current session)
Trend: The market has experienced a sharp "flush" from the 58.40 level, breaking through multiple support zones in a single high-momentum move.
🚀 CRITICAL LEVELS TO WATCH
UPWARD RESISTANCE
Entry Zone: 58.40 (This was the previous distribution peak and acts as significant resistance on any bounce).
Previous Support: 57.80 (The blue line now acts as a technical "ceiling" for short-term recovery).
DOWNWARD SUPPORT
Market Closing Price: 56.94 (Current area of consolidation following the breakdown).
Target Gap: 56.53 – 56.60 (The chart indicates an "Open Gap" that hasn't been filled yet; price is gravitating toward this zone).
📈 MOMENTUM AND PATTERNS
Distribution Box: The yellow box near the top shows the price struggling to move higher before the aggressive sell-off.
Breakout Move: A large yellow rectangle highlights the high-velocity downward move that invalidated the previous bullish structure.
Gap Theory: The orange arrow points directly to the lower gap, suggesting a high probability that the price will hit the 56.50 range before finding new buyers.
🔍 TRADING STRATEGY
Bearish Bias: The overall short-term outlook is bearish as long as the price remains below 57.80.
Gap Fill Play: Traders are likely watching for a move into the 56.60 "Gap" zone to look for potential "exhaustion" or reversal signs.
Wait for Rejection: If the market rallies back to 57.14, look for rejection candles to confirm the downtrend's continuation.
#CrudeOil #OilTrading #FuturesTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Commodities #CLG2026 #WTI #TradingStrategy #MarketUpdate
OIL, Crucial Wedge-Formation, Huge PLUNGE to Follow Next!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of OIL. Within the recent high inflation development with continued rate hikes in a lot of economic fields, it has to be mentioned that OIL could be on the brink of major market disruptions especially when the rate hikes continue to rise further together with the DXY printing the next new highs. In this case, I have detected important underlying dynamics within the analytics dashboard and I have put them into perspective to determine what should be considered with OIL in the upcoming times.
As when looking at my chart now, OIL could since May 2023 recover from the crucial bearish wave lows nonetheless this wave does not have a fundamental open interest and volume backing and this is why it can turn any time especially when a massive bearish supply wave is entering the market because of grievous rate hikes and potential new supply-chain disruptions that are going to trigger a supply shortage. Taking these crucial factors into consideration a major bearish decline and bearish momentum acceleration may be just around the corner.
OIL has also formed this gigantic descending channel formation in which it has the major bearish distribution resistances within the upper boundary as marked. The most determining factor here is the massive ascending triangle formation that leads directly into the upper resistance zone and is now about to complete the wave count within the ascending triangle. This means, that as the wave-count directly approaches the crucial upper resistance zone it is going to lead to an increased bearish volatility breakout below the boundaries within the next times.
Once the gigantic ascending triangle formation has been completed it is going to activate the next bearish continuation below the 100EMA and 300EMA. Especially, once the price-action formed the breakouts below the levels this is going to massively accelerate the bearish dynamics towards the lower levels and continue into the bearish momentum direction.
The bearish price dynamic is going to continue till the final targets have been reached and in this case, it will be highly determining how the final targets are actually approached especially when the interest rates continue to rise together with supply-chain disruptions to accelerate this is going to trigger the next bearish waves even below the final target zones.
Taking all the factors into consideration and because of the gigantic ascending triangle, together with the underlying indications with the interest rate dynamic as well as the supply-chain disruptions dynamic I am keeping the symbol on my watchlist and I am going to re-evaluate the situation once important changes happened within the bearish formation.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of OIL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
WTIUSD: Bearish Drop to 56?CFI:WTI is eyeing a bearish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price testing the upper boundary of a downward channel after recent rebounds, converging with a resistance zone near cumulative sell liquidation that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend the highs. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the ongoing downtrend, targeting lower support levels with 1:2.5 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 59–59.70 for a short position (entry at current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 56 . Set a stop loss at a close above 60.40 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the channel's bearish bias.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
59.00 – 59.70
(Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Target:
56.00
❌ Stop Loss:
• Close above 60.40
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~ 1:2.5
💡 Your take?
Does WTI reject channel resistance and slide toward 56.00, or will buyers force a deeper breakout attempt above 60.40 first? 👇
USOIL - Symmetrical Triangle at $57 Executive Summary
TVC:USOIL (WTI Crude) is trading at $57.23 on December 26, 2025, down nearly 2% as markets react to progress in Ukraine peace talks that could eventually allow more Russian oil to return to global markets. Price is trapped in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4H timeframe, compressing between $55 support and $60 resistance. Despite geopolitical support from the US Venezuela blockade and Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, WTI is heading for its steepest annual drop since 2020 (-18% YTD) as oversupply concerns dominate.
BIAS: NEUTRAL - Waiting for Triangle Breakout
The symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern that can break either direction. Geopolitical risks favor bulls, but oversupply fundamentals favor bears. Let the breakout determine direction.
Current Market Context - December 26, 2025
Oil is at a critical juncture:
Current Price: $57.23 (-1.99% on the day)
Day's Range: $57.14 - $58.88
Weekly Performance: +3% (best week since October)
YTD Performance: -18% (steepest annual drop since 2020)
Brent Crude: ~$61.51
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $58.60 / $59.07 / $60.48
Support: $57.80 / $55.50 / $54.98
Triangle apex approaching - breakout imminent
THE BULL CASE - Geopolitical Risk Premium
1. Venezuela Blockade Intensifying
President Trump has ordered a "total and complete blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers" going into and leaving Venezuela:
US Coast Guard boarded the Centuries tanker in the Caribbean
US forces pursuing tanker Bella 1 heading to Venezuela
Coast Guard assembling more manpower and weapons to forcibly board vessels
Venezuelan exports down to less than 400,000 bpd (half of last year)
While global impact is minimal, it's keeping a "bullish tilt to prices"
2. Ukraine-Russia Energy Infrastructure Attacks
Ukraine struck Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery (key diesel/jet fuel supplier)
Ukrainian drones hit Russian shadow oil tanker in Mediterranean Sea
At least 28 Russian refineries targeted in past three months
Six tankers attacked by drones/missiles in Baltic Sea since November
New US and EU sanctions curbing Russian oil exports
Limiting Russia's crude export capabilities
3. US Oil Rig Count at Multi-Year Lows
Active US oil rigs fell to 4.25-year low of 406 rigs (Dec 19)
Slight recovery to 409 rigs this week (+3)
Down sharply from 627 rigs in December 2022
Lower rig count = slower future production growth
4. Inventory Data Supportive
US crude inventories: -4.0% below 5-year seasonal average
Gasoline inventories: -0.4% below 5-year average
Distillate inventories: -5.7% below 5-year average
Crude stored on tankers fell -7% week-over-week
5. OPEC+ Production Pause
OPEC+ pausing production increases in Q1 2026
Still has 1.2 million bpd of cuts left to restore
November OPEC production fell -10,000 bpd to 29.09 million bpd
Trying to manage emerging surplus
THE BEAR CASE - Oversupply Dominates
1. Record Global Oil Surplus Expected
IEA forecasts record 4.0 million bpd surplus for 2026
OPEC revised Q3 estimates from deficit to 500,000 bpd surplus
US production exceeded expectations
Most major traders expect global surplus next year
WTI heading for steepest annual drop since 2020 (-18%)
2. Ukraine Peace Talk Progress
Zelenskiy expects to meet Trump to discuss ending war
Kremlin reviewing peace proposals
Maintaining contacts with US officials
Peace could allow more Russian oil to return to markets
This news triggered today's -2% drop
3. Rising US Production
US crude production at 13.843 million bpd
Just below record high of 13.862 million bpd
EIA raised 2025 estimate to 13.59 million bpd
Production outside OPEC+ also rising
4. Seasonal Weakness
2025 significantly underperforming 2024 and 2023 seasonally
Thin holiday trading amplifying moves
Year-end positioning adding volatility
Expert Analysis
Dennis Kissler (BOK Financial):
"While the backup of the blockade and sanctions is not decreasing world supplies, the fact that it may be delaying them is keeping a bullish tilt to prices."
"Venezuelan oil exports have been less than 400,000 barrels a day the past couple of months, which is half what they were exporting last year. While the U.S. blockade has turned the pressure up on Venezuela, the global impact to crude prices looks minimal at this time."
Ritterbusch and Associates:
"We feel that excessive optimism regarding a quick peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia has been quelled for now."
"Crude fundamentals continue to provide a significant offset against the geopolitical factor."
Technical Structure Analysis
Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe
The chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle pattern:
Symmetrical Triangle Characteristics:
Upper trendline: Connecting lower highs (descending resistance)
Lower trendline: Connecting higher lows (ascending support)
Converging trendlines creating compression
Price oscillating between boundaries
Triangle apex approaching - breakout imminent
Neutral pattern - can break either direction
Key Zones Identified:
Upper resistance zone: $60-$61 (purple shaded)
Lower support zone: $55-$55.50 (purple shaded)
Major resistance line: $60.48 (red horizontal)
Major support line: $54.98 (red horizontal)
Current price: $57.23 (mid-triangle)
Pattern Implications:
Symmetrical triangles typically break in direction of prior trend
Prior trend was bearish (down from highs)
However, geopolitical factors could override technicals
Volume typically decreases during triangle formation
Breakout should come with volume confirmation
Measured move target = triangle height from breakout point
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
$57.80 - Immediate resistance (analyst target)
$58.60 - Secondary resistance
$59.07 - Triangle upper boundary area
$60.00 - Psychological resistance
$60.48 - MAJOR RESISTANCE (red line on chart)
$62.00 - Extended resistance
Support Levels:
$57.14 - Day's low / immediate support
$56.50 - Secondary support
$55.50 - Triangle lower boundary area
$55.00 - Psychological support
$54.98 - MAJOR SUPPORT (red line on chart)
$53.00-$54.00 - Extended support
Triangle Breakout Targets
If Bullish Breakout (above $59-$60):
Triangle height: ~$5-6
Target 1: $62-$63
Target 2: $65-$66
Would require geopolitical escalation or supply disruption
If Bearish Breakdown (below $55):
Triangle height: ~$5-6
Target 1: $52-$53
Target 2: $50-$51
Would confirm oversupply narrative
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
BULLISH SCENARIO - Breakout Above $59-$60
Trigger Conditions:
4H close above $59.07 (triangle resistance)
Volume spike on breakout
Venezuela situation escalates
Ukraine-Russia peace talks collapse
Major supply disruption
Price Targets if Bullish:
Target 1: $60.48 - Major resistance
Target 2: $62.00-$63.00 - Measured move
Target 3: $65.00-$66.00 - Extended target
Bullish Catalysts:
Venezuela blockade intensifying
Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries
US oil rigs at 4.25-year lows
Inventories below seasonal averages
OPEC+ production pause in Q1 2026
Geopolitical risk premium
BEARISH SCENARIO - Breakdown Below $55
Trigger Conditions:
4H close below $55.00 (triangle support)
Volume confirmation on breakdown
Ukraine peace deal announced
OPEC+ increases production
US production hits new record
Price Targets if Bearish:
Target 1: $54.98 - Major support
Target 2: $52.00-$53.00 - Measured move
Target 3: $50.00-$51.00 - Extended target
Bearish Risks:
IEA forecasts record 4.0 million bpd surplus for 2026
Ukraine peace talks progressing
US production near record highs
YTD: -18% (steepest drop since 2020)
Oversupply narrative dominant
Seasonal weakness
NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Continued Triangle Consolidation
Most likely short-term outcome:
Price continues oscillating within triangle
Range: $55.50 - $59.00
Thin holiday trading
Wait for breakout confirmation
Watch geopolitical headlines
MY ASSESSMENT - NEUTRAL with Slight Bearish Lean
This is a genuinely balanced setup:
Bullish Factors:
Venezuela blockade intensifying
Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure
US rigs at multi-year lows
Inventories below seasonal averages
OPEC+ production pause
Weekly gain of +3%
Bearish Factors:
Record surplus expected for 2026
Ukraine peace talks progressing
US production near record highs
YTD: -18%
Prior trend was bearish
Oversupply fundamentals dominant
My Stance: NEUTRAL - Trade the Breakout
The symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern. Geopolitical risks provide support, but oversupply fundamentals cap upside. The prior trend was bearish, which slightly favors a downside breakout, but geopolitical escalation could easily flip this bullish.
Strategy:
Wait for confirmed breakout
Long above $59.07 with volume
Short below $55.00 with volume
Don't trade the middle of the triangle
Watch Venezuela and Ukraine headlines
Trade Framework
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade
Entry Conditions:
4H close above $59.07
Volume exceeds recent average
Geopolitical catalyst
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $59.20-$59.50 on confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: $57.50 below recent support
Target 1: $60.48 (Risk-Reward ~1:0.7)
Target 2: $62.00-$63.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:2)
Target 3: $65.00 (Extended)
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Trade
Entry Conditions:
4H close below $55.00
Volume confirmation
Peace deal progress or supply news
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $54.80-$55.00 on confirmed breakdown
Stop Loss: $56.50 above recent support
Target 1: $53.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1.2)
Target 2: $51.00-$52.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:2.5)
Target 3: $50.00 (Extended)
Scenario 3: Range Trade Within Triangle
Entry Conditions:
Price tests triangle boundaries
Rejection candle at support/resistance
No breakout confirmation
Trade Parameters:
Buy Zone: $55.50-$56.00 (triangle support)
Sell Zone: $58.50-$59.00 (triangle resistance)
Stop Loss: Outside triangle boundaries
Target: Opposite boundary
Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5
Risk Management Guidelines
Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade
Wait for confirmed breakout - don't anticipate
Thin holiday volumes = amplified moves
Watch geopolitical headlines closely
Oil is highly volatile - use appropriate size
Scale out at targets
Move stop to breakeven after first target
Invalidation Levels
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes below $54.98 (major support)
Triangle breaks down with volume
Ukraine peace deal announced
OPEC+ increases production
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes above $60.48 (major resistance)
Triangle breaks up with volume
Major supply disruption
Venezuela situation escalates significantly
Conclusion
TVC:USOIL (WTI Crude) is trapped in a symmetrical triangle at $57.23, caught between geopolitical support and oversupply fundamentals. The pattern is compressing toward a breakout, with the apex approaching.
The Numbers:
Current Price: $57.23
YTD Performance: -18% (steepest drop since 2020)
Weekly Performance: +3% (best since October)
IEA 2026 Surplus Forecast: 4.0 million bpd
Key Levels:
$60.48 - MAJOR RESISTANCE (breakout level)
$59.07 - Triangle upper boundary
$57.23 - Current price
$55.50 - Triangle lower boundary
$54.98 - MAJOR SUPPORT (breakdown level)
The Setup:
Symmetrical triangle = neutral pattern. Geopolitical risks (Venezuela blockade, Ukraine strikes) provide support. Oversupply fundamentals (record surplus expected, US production near highs) cap upside. The breakout direction will determine the next major move.
Strategy:
NEUTRAL stance - wait for breakout
Long above $59.07 (targets $60.48, $62, $65)
Short below $55.00 (targets $53, $51, $50)
Don't trade the middle
Watch Venezuela and Ukraine headlines
The triangle will resolve soon. Let the market show its hand.
WTI OIL on its 1D MA50 again. Sell signal.Last week (December 17, see chart below) we gave a strong Buy Signal on WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) after it hit and rebounded on the 8-month Support.
The resulting rally easily hit our $58.50 Target and today the price tests the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the previous Lower High of the 5-month Channel Down. This is an automatic technical Sell Signal as at the same time the 1D RSI is reversing near its 4-month Resistance Zone.
Our short-term Target is again the $55.20 Support.
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Crude Oil – Sell around 58.90, target 57.00-56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The recommended strategy for today is to sell crude oil. Recent crude oil price fluctuations have been relatively small, and the fluctuations are mostly within a consolidation phase. The recommended strategy is to sell, as chasing this range-bound market is not advisable. Wait for a rebound to a higher point before considering selling. Today, pay attention to the levels around 58.90 and 59.50.
Fundamental Analysis:
These past few days have been a holiday, with few major data releases. However, the escalating US-Venezuela relations and the worsening Russia-Ukraine situation are providing short-term geopolitical support, significantly benefiting gold prices.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.90, target 57.00-56.00
USOILSPOT H4 | Bullish Momentum To ExtendMomentum: Bullish
The price is falling towards the buy entry, which aligns with the 23.6% Fib retracement, which adds significant strength to this level.
Buy entry: 57.88
Pullback support
23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 57.12
Pullback support
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 59.27
Pullback resistance
78.6% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
(USOIL) 2H – Bullish Continuation After Trend ReversalThis 2-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) shows a clear transition from a prior downtrend into a structured bullish recovery. After forming a base near the mid-$55 area, price breaks structure (BOS) and establishes a steady uptrend, guided by an ascending channel.
The Ichimoku Cloud supports the bullish bias, with price trading above the cloud and the cloud turning positive. A clean pullback into a demand zone around 57.0–57.5 aligns with previous consolidation and cloud support, suggesting a potential buy-the-dip area.
Price is currently consolidating above a change in structure (CISD), indicating strength. Upside projections highlight two key resistance targets:
1st target: around 59.10
2nd target: near 60.45
As long as price holds above the demand zone and trend channel support, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid.
USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup from Strong Demand Zone
🔍 Market Structure & Price Action Insight
USOIL is currently trading inside a well-defined and repeatedly tested demand zone between 55.10 – 56.50.
This zone has proven its strength by rejecting price three times in the past, each time producing a meaningful bullish reaction.
The current revisit into this zone offers a high-quality risk-defined buying opportunity for swing and positional traders.
📌 Trade Execution Plan (Bullish Bias)
🟢 Entry Zone:
55.10 – 56.50
🔴 Stop Loss:
50.00
(Below the demand structure to avoid false breakdowns)
🎯 Target 1:
64.00
(Previous structure + supply reaction area)
📊 Technical Confluence
✔ Multiple demand-zone validations
✔ Price reacting at historical accumulation area
✔ Clear structure-based invalidation level
✔ Favorable Risk : Reward profile
🧠 Professional Trading Insight
Strong trades are not created by prediction, but by location and confirmation.
When price revisits a proven demand zone, patience and discipline offer an edge. Entries taken close to demand provide superior psychology and controlled risk.
📈 Trade Management Note
Partial booking can be considered near intermediate resistance levels.
Trail stop only after structure confirmation — let the market do the work.
USOIL short trade setupIf price maintain below those Lower Highs, the dotted line, I can still see reasons to short USOIL.
-Price has been trending down creating LH's and LL's .
-I can see buyers presence only above that dotted line (!!!).
-I charted this on the 4H so this may take long to play out.
Patience.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.74 (Wave 5).Colleagues, wave “4” of the minor order is ending or has already ended. As part of a major downward movement in wave ‘5’ of the major movement, I expect a downward movement in wave “5” of the minor order.
This wave should update the low of wave “3”, but I believe it is worth looking at the nearest target in the support area of 55.746.
I also allow for the possibility of reaching the 59.00 area before the price begins a downward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude Oil – Sell around 59.20, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has started a slight rebound, but it hasn't broken through the 55 level effectively. Today's strategy remains to sell on rallies and be bearish. Continue selling on rallies. Resistance for crude oil is around 59.20; consider selling near that level. If crude oil breaks above 59, it indicates a return to a consolidation phase. The recent escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is supporting buying opportunities in crude oil.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Russia-Ukraine conflict shows signs of escalation again, providing some support for gold. Pay attention to the holiday situation in the next few days.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 59.20, target 56.00-55.00
UKOIL H4 | Potential Bullish RiseMomentum: Bullish
The price has bounced off the buy entry, which has been identified as a pullback support.
Buy entry: 61.75
Pullback support
Stop loss: 60.59
Pullback support
Take profit: 63.86
Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 56.52 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
WTI | H4 — Sellers Defending the StructureWTI is currently trading into a well-defined descending dynamic resistance on the H4 timeframe, maintaining a bearish structure with consistent lower highs. This area has repeatedly capped price, making it a key decision zone for the next directional move.
From a technical perspective, the broader trend remains bearish, with sellers defending rallies into the resistance band. Recent upside moves appear corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting limited buyer conviction so far. A clear rejection from this resistance would favor continuation toward recent lows. On the other hand, a strong marubozu close above the resistance would signal acceptance and a potential shift in control to buyers.
Fundamentally, oil remains sensitive to OPEC supply guidance, geopolitical risks, and USD strength. Without a supportive fundamental catalyst, upside breakouts may struggle to sustain, increasing the importance of confirmation at this level.
Takeaway:
Bearish continuation remains favored on rejection from resistance. A bullish bias only comes into play if price breaks and accepts above resistance with strong momentum — otherwise, patience is key.
#WTI #Oil #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TradingStrategy
CRUDE OIL: No-Bias Trading Oil option traders are bracing for increased volatility by buying synthetic Straddles: Long OTM Call + Short Future.
Being market-neutral, it’s a pure volatility play: it earns on price action in either direction. Once it hits the profit target, owner can close it or manage
This isn't a unique story. Such portfolios frequently appear in the market when favorable situations arise, including those that are 'graphically convenient' (look closely at the chart and answer the question: will the price linger at this level for long? Probably not, it'll move somewhere). Options allow you to profit from these chart setups without worrying about the direction of the price move. Cool, right?
Bottom line:
this post is primarily educational, rather than sentiment-revealing. However, we also shouldn't ignore such 'market-neutral portfolios' in our analysis.▶️ If the professional players aren't sure where the market is headed next, maybe we shouldn't overstate our own humble abilities either.
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo lvl (58.00).The structure has broken down. Wave “2” of the middle order should not have updated the minimum of 56,420 of wave “B” of the higher order, but this has happened.
This means that the wave structure will have to be revised.
It seems that the major correction is not yet complete, and in order for the scenario to be completed, impulse “12345” must be completed.
At the moment, I think that the price will begin to form wave “4”.
I expect movement towards the 50% Fibonacci level from wave “3” at 58.00.
The target is not far off, but at the moment we need confirmation of the impulse.
This would mean that the price will update the local minimum, but more on that later.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.40, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The daily chart for crude oil continues to show a bearish trend. Sell on rallies. In the Asian session, watch for a short position around 58.40, which acts as minor resistance. A stronger resistance level is around 59.60. The overall trend for crude oil is bearish, with short-term consolidation expected. Recent data releases have had limited impact on crude oil.
Fundamental Analysis:
The recent rise in gold prices is no longer significantly related to data releases. It's essentially a long-awaited breakout from a high level after a period of consolidation. The previously released bullish data was merely a catalyst, and the upcoming days are filled with European and American holidays.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.40, target 56.00-55.00






















