OKLO
Oklo - Major uptrend intact despite gap downNYSE:OKLO is looking at a resumption of uptrend despite a gap down as prices saw swift rebound at US$110.83 support. Furthermore, it has also closed above the 9-period conversion line of the ichimoku. We believe further upside is likely to come as momentum remain healthy. Mid-term stochastic continues to rise and has yet to see any overbought signal.
Target is at 200.00. Support to watch for accumulation in an event of a correction is at 98.10 and 84.29.
This is an update to our previous call on Oklo back in May 2025
Macro & Technical Signals: IWM, Uranium, Dollar, Oil, ALAB, LULUIn todays video we discuss the breakdown in small caps and high beta stocks.
A macro shift could be unfolding today as we saw the dollar & oil rally all day.
Uranium & gold saw some distribution.
Financials reversed off the highs.
High Beta stocks that have rallied are softening up.
SPX has triggered a near term bearish pattern while losing the 7 day MA.
TESLA 500 BY EOY OR 2026 Why Tesla (TSLA) Could Hit $450 Then $500 by EOY 2025 or 2026: Key Catalysts Tesla's hovering around $315 today (as of Sept 23, 2025), down ~20% YTD amid sales dips, but the setup for a rebound to $450 (43% upside) and $500 (59% upside) is primed by execution on autonomy, EVs, and energy. Here's the bull case, blending fundamentals and forecasts:Robotaxi & FSD Rollout Momentum: Tesla's Cybercab unveil in Oct 2025 could catalyze a surge, with unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 hitting highways by year-end. ARK Invest's base case eyes $4,600 by 2026 (driven 60%+ by autonomy), but even conservative models like CoinCodex forecast $453 avg in 2026, with highs to $664 on ride-hailing revenue potentially adding $10T market value.
2 sources
Piper Sandler just hiked their PT, calling TSLA the "top idea" for AV investing.
EV Delivery Rebound & Affordable Models: Post-2025 sales weakness (1.8M deliveries est.), expect 2.3M+ in 2026 with Model 2 launch (~$25K EV) ramping production to 3M+ annually. This counters China/EU headwinds, recaptures 20%+ US market share, and boosts EPS to $0.49 next quarter—fueling a $450 breakout per LongForecast's Q3 2026 path.
2 sources
Morningstar sees a 2026 revival echoing 2016's Model 3 surge.
Energy Storage Boom: Megapack deployments exploding (Q2 2025: 9.4 GWh), with 50%+ YoY growth projected through 2026, diversifying revenue to 15%+ of total. This hedges EV volatility, pushing margins to 20%+ and supporting $500 on 11% revenue growth to $130B.
Optimus Humanoid Robot Sales: External sales kick off late 2025/early 2026, targeting $20K/unit with factory pilots scaling to millions. This could add $1T+ valuation long-term, per ARK, but even modest adoption lifts sentiment to $500 by EOY 2026.
2 sources
OKLO — when nuclear momentum breaks resistanceSince late 2024, OKLO had been consolidating inside a clear rectangle between $17 and $59. The breakout from this long-term range triggered a new bullish impulse. The price has since returned to retest the breakout zone, now aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $51.94. The retest has completed, and the price is bouncing upward, confirming buyer interest.
Technically, the trend remains firmly bullish. The price closed above the prior range, EMAs are aligned below, and the volume spike during breakout supports genuine demand. The volume profile shows a clean path toward $100, indicating limited resistance ahead. The structure suggests a controlled rally rather than an exhausted move.
Fundamentally, OKLO is a next-generation SMR (Small Modular Reactor) company focused on delivering compact, efficient nuclear power solutions. Following its public debut via SPAC and recent capital injection, OKLO is transitioning from development to implementation. Institutional interest is holding strong, and the broader move toward decarbonization and energy independence places the company in a strategic position.
Target levels:
— First target: $100 — psychological and technical resistance
— Second target: $143 — projected from prior range breakout
OKLO isn’t just another clean energy ticker — it’s a quiet disruptor with nuclear potential. The chart broke out. The volume confirmed. Now it’s time to see if the market follows through.
OKLO ALERT: BEARISH OPTIONS SETUP NEAR EARNINGS ⚛️ OKLO Earnings & Options Play (2025-08-11)
### Oklo Inc. \ NYSE:OKLO — **Moderate Bearish Ahead**
---
### 🚨 Quick Snapshot:
* **Revenue:** Development stage, no sales yet — no growth momentum.
* **Margins:** Profit Margin 0%, ROE -56%, ROA -22.8% — severe inefficiencies.
* **Guidance:** Historically weak, avg surprise -87.7%, beat rate only 25%.
* **Analyst Sentiment:** Mixed, forward EPS -\$0.39, target price swings, high skepticism.
### 🔍 Options Market Insight:
* Elevated IV, VIX normal (\~15.9), but \$73 & \$72 puts show strong OI (\~7,271 contracts).
* Put-heavy skew signals institutional bearish hedging.
* Moderate gamma risk near earnings.
### 📉 Technicals:
* Price at \$75.32, above 20 & 50-day MAs but volume fading (avg 10-day vol 18M vs 9.9M now).
* RSI neutral at 61.2 — possible consolidation or bearish pause.
* Resistance: \$76 | Support: \$72
### 🌐 Macro & Sector Context:
* Clean energy tailwinds from gov’t policies, but nuclear regulation & cost pressure linger.
* Market volatility normal; sector structural risks remain.
---
### 🎯 Trade Setup:
**Buy \$73 Put — Exp 08/15**
* Entry: \$4.50
* Stop Loss: \$2.25 (50%)
* Profit Target: \$9.00 (200%)
* Position Size: Max 2% portfolio risk
* Timing: Enter pre-earnings close, exit within 2 hrs post earnings to avoid IV crush
---
### 🔥 Why This Trade?
* Weak fundamentals + bearish options flow
* Technical signs of fading momentum
* Regulatory & cost headwinds in clean energy sector
---
### ⚠️ Risk/Reward Table:
| Metric | Value |
| ------------- | -------------- |
| Entry Price | \$4.50 |
| Profit Target | \$9.00 (+100%) |
| Stop Loss | \$2.25 (-50%) |
| Confidence | 75% |
---
### 📊 JSON Trade Signal for Bots/APIs:
```json
{
"instrument": "OKLO",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 73.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-15",
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 9.00,
"stop_loss": 2.25,
"size": 2,
"entry_price": 4.50,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_time": "BMO",
"expected_move": 5.00,
"iv_rank": 0.65,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11T14:41:19-04:00"
}
$OKLO – Back to the Moneymaker: HTF + C&H Combo at $77.50NYSE:OKLO – Back to the Moneymaker: HTF + C&H Combo at $77.50
Back to my bread and butter setup — NYSE:OKLO is setting up again, and it’s 🔥. We’ve got a high tight flag forming right above the 9 EMA, and to sweeten the deal, there’s a cup and handle structure layered in too.
🔹 The Setup:
After a strong breakout, NYSE:OKLO has spent the past week consolidating tightly above the 9 EMA.
Price action is coiled, volume has dried up — exactly what I want to see before a power move.
This is a high tight flag + cup and handle combo, one of my favorite high-probability setups.
🔹 Trigger Level:
Watching the $77.50 breakout zone — that’s the line in the sand. If you get a good intraday dip to support you can pre-empt the play i like to often scale in a half in anticipation if the market is in a runup phase
A clean push through with volume, and this can speed up fast.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Either starter near 9 EMA support or confirmation on breakout over $77.50.
2️⃣ Stop: Under the 9 EMA — no reason to stay if it breaks down.
3️⃣ Target: Measured move extension if it clears $77.50 with juice.
Why I Love This Setup:
HTF + C&H = momentum fuel
This name has already proven itself — we’ve made money here before
The structure, the consolidation, and the setup are all textbook
Uranium The Epic Explosion!Global uranium demand is up to rise about 28% by 2030, driven by clean-energy pushes, nuclear restarts (e.g., Japan), and advanced modular reactors
Kazakhstan’s largest producer, Kazatomprom, cut its 2025 production forecast by ~17% due to logistical hurdles and resource constraints
Iran signaled openness to discussions with European counterparts aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment levels. However, seasoned diplomacy and regional conflict issues complicate prospects for an agreement
Bottom line: Uranium markets are tightening due to production cuts and geopolitical risk, while long-range demand is gaining momentum thanks to nuclear expansion and emerging energy technologies.
This Just Went Nuclear - Explosive Move!Uranium prices have surged due to several key factors:
- Increased demand for nuclear energy – Many countries are expanding nuclear power to meet clean energy goals.
- Geopolitical tensions – Supply disruptions from Russia and Niger have tightened the market.
- Underinvestment in uranium mining – Years of low prices led to reduced production, creating a supply deficit.
- Government policies – The U.S. and other nations are prioritizing domestic uranium production for energy security.
- Rising uranium prices – Spot prices have climbed significantly, boosting mining stocks.
We are near some major resistance and expect some profit taking to occur.
Names Like NYSE:OKLO NYSE:SMR AMEX:URNM AMEX:URA NASDAQ:CEG should be on watch for a strong selloff.
OKLO Weekly Options Setup – Bearish Reversal Risk (2025-06-11)📉 OKLO Weekly Options Setup – Bearish Reversal Risk (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:OKLO | Bias: 🟥 Moderately Bearish
Entry Timing: Market Open | Confidence: 65%
🔍 Model Consensus Overview
📍 Price: ~$68.00
📈 Short-Term (5-min): Strong momentum, price > EMAs, MACD bullish
📉 Daily Chart: RSI >80, price well above upper Bollinger Band → overbought
📉 News Catalyst: $400M dilutive equity offering adds downside pressure
⚠️ Max Pain: $58 → suggests strong gravitational pull
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
Bullish View (Grok/xAI):
• Strong intraday chart → targets $70+
• Recommends call play (low conviction)
Bearish View (Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek):
• Daily exhaustion + dilution = reversal setup
• Favor puts (strikes around $61) for downside exposure
• Use weekly contracts for high R:R plays on reversion toward $60–$58
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias)
📍 Strike: $61
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.55
🎯 Profit Target: $1.10 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.26 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry: At open
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-controlled)
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
• 🚀 Bullish momentum at open could squeeze premiums
• ⏳ Weekly theta decay = fast time burn if reversal is slow
• ⚡ Gaps or price whipsaws could breach stops before thesis plays out
• 📉 Trade only with capital you’re prepared to risk on rapid decay
📉 NYSE:OKLO is hot but stretched — fading momentum or riding breakout?
💬 Drop your play 👇 | Follow for more AI-powered weekly setups.
OKLO can go locoPattern: Classic cup and handle formation. Handle forming as a bull flag — very bullish continuation setup.
Resistance: ~$57.78 — key neckline from prior highs. Needs strong close above this level for confirmation.
Volume: Declining during handle = textbook. Suggests controlled pullback. Watching for volume spike on breakout.
Moving Averages: Price is trading above all key MAs, confirming bullish trend structure.
🔥 Most Favorable Path:
Let price tighten within the handle, then breakout above $57.78 on increased volume. If confirmed, target $66–70+ based on measured move from cup base to neckline.
⚠️ Invalidation:
Break below $50 with volume would invalidate handle and signal potential deeper retracement.
✅ Summary:
Setup: Cup & Handle
Bias: Strongly bullish
Entry trigger: Break + close > $57.78
Targets: $66 → $70 zone
Risk level: Manage below $50
*Not a financial advice
Can Small Reactors Solve Big Energy Problems?Oklo Inc. has recently captured significant attention in the nuclear energy sector, propelled by anticipated executive orders from President Trump to accelerate the development and construction of nuclear facilities. These policy shifts are designed to address the US energy deficit and reduce its reliance on foreign sources for enriched uranium, signaling a renewed national commitment to atomic power. This strategic pivot creates a favorable regulatory and investment environment, positioning companies like Oklo at the forefront of a potential nuclear renaissance.
At the core of Oklo's appeal is its innovative "energy-as-a-service" business model. Unlike traditional reactor manufacturers, Oklo sells power directly to customers through long-term agreements, a strategy lauded by analysts for its potential to generate sustained revenue and mitigate project development complexities. The company specializes in compact, fast, small modular reactors (SMRs) designed to produce 15-50 megawatts of power, ideally suited for powering data centers and small industrial areas. This technology, coupled with high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), promises enhanced efficiency, extended operational life, and reduced waste, aligning perfectly with the escalating energy demands of the AI revolution and the burgeoning data center industry.
While Oklo remains a pre-revenue company, its substantial market capitalization of approximately $6.8 billion provides a strong foundation for future capital raises with minimal dilution. The company targets the commercial deployment of its first SMR by late 2027 or early 2028, a timeline potentially accelerated by the new executive orders streamlining regulatory approvals. Analysts, including Wedbush, have expressed increasing confidence in Oklo's trajectory, raising price targets and highlighting its competitive edge in a market poised for significant growth.
Oklo represents a high-risk, high-reward investment, with its ultimate success contingent on the successful commercialization of its technology and continued governmental support. However, its unique business model, advanced SMR technology, and strategic alignment with critical national energy and technological demands present a compelling long-term opportunity for investors willing to embrace its speculative nature.
SMR NNE OKLO – Breakout Setup Triggered by Nuclear CatalystNYSE:SMR is lighting up after Trump’s announcement on nuclear energy — and it’s not alone. NYSE:OKLO and NASDAQ:NNE are also setting up, but NYSE:SMR has one of the cleanest breakout structures on the board.
🔹 Catalyst: Trump’s nuclear energy announcement yesterday is putting serious momentum behind the sector.
🔹 Technical Setup: NYSE:SMR is building a textbook breakout formation, with $32 as the key breakout level.
🔹 Volume & sentiment are increasing — early signs that buyers are positioning.
My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Anticipatory Entry: I’m looking to buy the first dip before the $32 breakout — getting in early with tight risk.
2️⃣ Add on Breakout: Will scale in above $32 if volume confirms.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Just below the recent base — staying tight on risk.
Why I’m Watching This Closely:
Sector catalyst + technical setup = 🔥
Nuclear names have been under accumulation, and now they’ve got a narrative tailwind.
First dip after a big catalyst is often the best R/R opportunity.
OKLO – Base Breakout Setup with a Twist: The Inside Candle CombOKLO is shaping up for a powerful move, and this setup has my attention for a dual-play approach:
🔹 Base Breakout Setup (Primary Entry)
Already in from the initial base breakout around $25, which I shared last week.
Momentum kicked in with that strong May 6th thrust.
🔹 Three Inside Candles (Power Setup)
Since that momentum spike, we've seen 3 consecutive inside candles — a textbook signal of price compression.
Price is hugging the 9 EMA (support zone), a bullish indicator of strength.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Starter Position: Already in from $25.
2️⃣ Add Position: On a clean breakout above the high of the inside candle range.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Tight stop below the 9 EMA — keeps risk tight while capturing the breakout.
🔹 Why This Setup is Special:
Inside candles indicate a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, but with price holding strong above 9 EMA, the bulls have the edge.
Breakout + inside candle combo = explosive potential.
⚠️ Risk Management: Discipline over FOMO — tight stop, but aggressive on breakout.
OKLO: mid-term topping potential in nuclear space The swing long set-up from Dec pullback is about to fully realize its potential
From my Dec chart archive:
pbs.twimg.com
And Jan update:
pbs.twimg.com
when I wrote: "It wouldn't not surprise me to see price pulling back bellow Oct's highs slightly and finding support on rising 8/21 emas before continuing its advance. Until price is above 21 ema, next important macro-resistance zone: 33-40"
As for now my operative scenario that price is preparing either to finish its upside momentum extending towards: 46-50 resistance zone or already have finished it and in the process of bouncing before a larger corrective way starts unfolding in the coming weeks.
If we have the mid-term top already in place, then 20-12 macro support zone might be a good place for the larger bottom to start forming before the new larger upside trend beginnes.
The same kind of pattern (bounce and new larger corrective way down) I expect to manifest itself in the coming weeks in other leading energy names (NNE, CLS, VST, GEV)
If price moves above the resistance zone mentioned, the proposed scenario needs to be re-assessed.
Thank you for your attention and wishing you the best trading and investing results in 2025!
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Oklo Inc. NYSE:OKLO is at the forefront of the clean energy revolution, specializing in compact nuclear reactors designed for efficiency and scalability. Its innovative solutions position it as a transformative player in addressing the global demand for clean, reliable energy.
Key Catalysts:
Landmark Partnerships:
Switch Partnership: A deal to supply 12 gigawatts of nuclear power highlights Oklo’s leadership and demonstrates its capacity to scale operations, significantly boosting its revenue potential.
RPower Memorandum: Supporting data centers, a rapidly growing market, Oklo expands into industries with high energy demands, further solidifying its presence in strategic high-growth markets.
Robust Order Book:
With 14 gigawatts of secured orders, Oklo demonstrates strong market demand and a clear path toward sustained growth and market leadership in advanced nuclear energy solutions.
Market Potential & Expansion:
Oklo’s compact nuclear technology offers cost-effective, carbon-free energy, positioning it to capitalize on global trends toward decarbonization, increased data center energy needs, and clean energy mandates.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on OKLO above the $31.00-$32.00 range, driven by strong partnerships, robust order growth, and expanding applications for its technology.
Upside Potential: Our target for OKLO is $60.00-$61.00, supported by its innovative solutions, increasing market adoption, and entry into high-demand sectors like data centers.
🚀 OKLO—Powering a Clean Energy Future with Innovation and Scalability. #NuclearEnergy #CleanTech #Innovation
OKLO a pre revenue green energy startup LONGOKLA represents a high risk high reward play on green energy. It is a pre-revenue nuclear
power generation plant in Idaho destined to sell electricity to the grid as well as nearby
government customers including a miliary base. As such the risk is inherent but so is the
potential upside. This is a long trade buying at the bottom and looking for 50% upside or more.
On the 120 minute chart price is ascending through EMA lines in the past couple of days.
Price is rising as compared with anchored VWAP lines and the RSI indicator confirms bullish
momentum. I will take a long trade here especially as making a trade supporting green energy
helps in a socially responsible way the energy trend in sustainability.