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Gold Analysis - Can Buyers Push the Price to $4,250?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving within a clearly defined upward channel, with prices consistently adhering to both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The recent bullish momentum indicates that the buyers are in control, creating a strong possibility for the uptrend to continue in the near future. Recently, the price broke through a key resistance level and is now retracing to test it again. If this level holds as support, it will further reinforce the bullish structure, and the next target of 4,250 will become attainable, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook will remain intact. However, if the support is broken, the bullish scenario could be invalidated, increasing the likelihood of a deeper pullback. Remember, before making any trading decisions, always confirm your setups and ensure you are managing risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kiliann_Dang
1
Condor in the Clouds: When the S&P 500 Takes a Nap1 – The Setup Nobody Expected The S&P 500 just pulled a classic “I’m tired” move. After that big drop, it stopped running and started hovering between 6,437 and 6,873 — a cozy sideways zone filled with Fibonacci levels, Floor Trader Pivots, and UFOs (yep, UnFilled Orders, not flying saucers). Markets do that sometimes — they sprint, then nap. And when they nap, option sellers quietly collect theta while everyone else wonders when the action will come back. 2 – The Play: Short Iron Condor When the market’s stuck in the middle, the Short Iron Condor is like putting walls on both sides of the price. Here’s the idea — you get paid if ES stays in between. How it’s built: Sell a Call above resistance Buy a Call a little higher (that’s your safety net) Sell a Put below support Buy a Put a little lower (another safety net) Boom — now you’ve boxed the market. If it behaves, you earn. If it doesn’t, your risk is capped. 3 – Why It Works Right Now The Condor thrives when volatility chills out. That’s exactly what ES is doing — taking a breath after chaos. Theta decay: your invisible ally, eating away at option value day by day. Range stability: resistance ≈ 6,873, support ≈ 6,437. Low Vega: volatility tantrums matter less. You don’t need fireworks — you need patience. This trade doesn’t scream, it hums. 4 – The Fine Print (a.k.a. Risk Management) Keep it real: Size positions by max risk, not by excitement level. Don’t wait for expiration — grab 50–60% profit and fly away. When the market is calm, the Condor glides. When storms build, fold your wings. 5 – For the Data Nerds If you love precision: ES tick = $12.50 MES tick = $1.25 Margins ≈ $21k and $2.1k respectively (subject to volatility). And yes — theta doesn’t care which one you trade; it just wants time to pass. 6 – The Takeaway Markets don’t always trend. Sometimes they just drift — and that’s okay. In those moments, the Short Iron Condor turns boredom into strategy. So, if the S&P 500 keeps “floating in the clouds,” don’t chase it — collect from it. Want More Depth? If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one: 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by traddictiv
Options...Lets talk about risk managment Options are a tricky subject to learn. There are many technical terms to understand like the Greeks, contract size and more. Today I wanted to illustrate a few examples of option calls (bullish bias) on NASDAQ:BRLT Using a website called, optionprofitcalculator.com I can simulate my idea by specifying the strike price, date of expiration as well as entry price. What you will get is a chart outlying different profit curves and what you would expect to see when exercised. I took the time to draw trendlines outlining the minimum the price would need to be by set a date to breakeven throughout the life of the option. What I noticed is that not all options are created equally as we know. But, I never had such a visual as just how different they were. Observe each line, I provided projection for a few points of reference to compare. Percentage at expiration (set at $6 expiration for comparison), the expiration date and breakeven projection line. This little experiment is a simple example research first is important. Look First then Leap. Cheers, Uni.
NASDAQ:BRLT
by Uniden202
Bear Call Spread on JNJBear Call Spread Sell 195 Call strike and Buy 200 Call Strike, Exp: Nov 28 (45 DTE) for no less than $1.55 Trade has about 67% probability of profit Taking advantage of high IV rank of 40 Credit received = $155 BP Effect = $345 Max Loss = (5 - 1.55) * 100 = $345 Breakeven = 195 + 1.55 = $196.55 Percentage return: (155 / 345) * 100 =44.928% Exit Target: 40% - 70% of Credit received ($62 - $108.50) Stop-loss: close if price threatens the short strike and cost to buy back exceeds 50% of max loss or predefined dollar loss, Exit no later than 7 days before expiration JNJ has seen a significant rise and it at ATH, RSI indicator also shows JNJ being overbought Trade is just for educational purposes and willing to learn consistent option trading
NYSE:JNJ
by Hustle_251_Days
1
Oil Playing Twister: Triple Bottom or Quadruple Pretzel?A Triple Bottom Walks Into a Bar… Crude Oil (CL) has been busy doing something traders love and hate at the same time: building bottoms. First, it carved a neat Triple Bottom on the daily chart — textbook stuff. Everyone lined up at 66.68 waiting for the breakout champagne to pop. But what did price do? Instead of exploding higher, it slammed on the brakes and took a detour straight back to support. Typical CL — always keeping traders on their toes. Now we’re staring at the possibility of a Quadruple Bottom. Not a typo. Yes, they exist, but you don’t see them every day. Like spotting a unicorn in Times Square. Why We Care About 66.68 That level isn’t just random. It’s the line where: The Triple Bottom neckline lives. The Supertrend upper band hangs out. And, conveniently, the breakeven of our options spread sits. In other words: get above 66.68 and suddenly this setup has wings. Target? Around 70.63, where UFO resistance is waiting to greet us. The Fun Part: Bull Call Spread Instead of swinging a giant futures bat and risking unlimited pain, we play it smarter with a Bull Call Spread: Buy the 65 Call (Nov-17) Sell the 71 Call (Nov-17) Pay about 1.75 points (≈ $1,750 per standard spread, ≈ $175 if you go micro). That’s it. Risk capped, reward mapped. Max loss? $1,750. Max gain? $4,250. And yes, the breakeven is… drumroll… 66.8. Same line as the chart breakout. Love when math and pictures line up. Plot Twist: Cheaper Now, But… Here’s the kicker: because price dipped back into support, the spread might actually be cheaper right now. Sounds good, right? But there’s a catch. Waiting for the breakout confirmation could make the spread pricier later, shrinking your reward-to-risk. Classic trading dilemma: do you want cheaper tickets with less confirmation, or more expensive tickets after the bouncer checks your ID? Risk in 3 Sentences Keep your trade size sane. Don’t marry the setup if price dumps below the bottoms. If CL rushes toward 70, take the money and run (or at least roll the short strike higher). Bottom Line Crude Oil is still building its base. Maybe it’s a Triple Bottom. Maybe it becomes the rare Quadruple Bottom collectors dream about. Either way, the play is the same: breakout above 66.68, aim for 70.63, and do it with a defined-risk Bull Call Spread that doesn’t keep you up at night. Sometimes the market is dramatic. That’s why we trade it. 🎭 Want More Depth? If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one: 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by traddictiv
2
FOMC 100% Breakout (Check) - Key Resistance and 6500 Gamma PinFOMC was in fact a NOISE candle So I measured the candle, projected a 100% breakout bullish and bearish Bulls took the bait and ran higher, but still resistance @ 6700 seen today and hopefully a short-term window to see a bit of a slide lower into some technical levels EMA support levels -watching the 21 period daily EMA -watching the 50 period daily EMA 6550 FOMC candle lows from last week 6500 Gamma Pin with JP Morgan's quarterly collar trade This is the first day in several weeks where I've seen some actual follow through in negative gamma option flows If futures grinds prices lower, the cascade may take hold and we can see a 100-200 point selloff quickly in the S&P I still like scooping up premium and buying the dips, but hopefully at more attractive levels like 4-5% lower or even 8-10% lower Let's see how it plays out. I'll be in the markets grinding per usual. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
KMX CarMax Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold KMX before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KMX CarMax prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2027-1-15, for a premium of approximately $4.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:KMXLong
by TopgOptions
TSLA Support & Resistance Lines for September Month 2025TSLA’s September map uses the same monthly bands. Expect faster moves and occasional overshoots; size accordingly. 30-minute for 2–3-day swings Longs Rejection at lower band: Buy back toward half-step; add on clean midline reclaim. Acceptance + retest: Hold above a line and retest from the top → ride to next line. Shorts (when price trades above lines) Volatility fade: TSLA often overshoots the upper band. If a 30-min prints a wicky close back inside, short the fade. - Targets: Nearest half-step, then midline. - Stop: Above the overshoot high (give TSLA a bit of air). UTAD-style failure: If TSLA holds above a band briefly but fails the retest (can’t sustain closes above, sellers reclaim), short on the first failed retest. - Targets: Half-step → next line down. - Invalidation: Clean 30-min close back above the failed line. Management Scale at each line; go flat if a 30-min close invalidates your level. Trail quickly after TP1—TSLA snaps. 1–3 hour for weekly swings Bias Acceptance above midline → continuation to the next band. Rejection at upper band → path back to midline more likely. Shorts 1–3h exhaustion above band: Bodies compress, momentum fades, then a close back inside → short toward the half-step/midline. Break-and-fail sequence: Close above a band → lose it → retest from below fails → short continuation lower. Risk: Stop just above the lost line; tighten on first target tag.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OnePunchMan91
$MRNA I might full port..Everything is noted in the chart for visualization. We have local resistance around $27 which I don't think is an issue. This name is at 5 year lows with an incredible 67% haircut over the span of a year and change, if that. NASDAQ:MRNA just crushed its last earnings beat and it dropped. A controlled and manipulated drop in my opinion. Healthcare names may have a beautiful end of the year. This is a great name to acquire for mid to long term portfolios just in shares itself. I personally will be entering calls for dated out. I am currently in $30 calls for 10/17 expiration. I expect this name to make a full 100% recovery into the psyche level of $50 in the months to come.
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by fullbellytrading
CRM Salesforce Options Ahead of EarningsIf you ahven`t bought CRM before the rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CRM Salesforce prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 300usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-12-19, for a premium of approximately $7.52. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CRMLong
by TopgOptions
TQQQ Momentum Meets Options Flow | $92 Call YOLO?” # 🚀 TQQQ Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03) ### 📊 Market Recap * **Weekly RSI**: 🔥 70.9 (bullish) * **Daily RSI**: 😐 49.7 (neutral) * **Options Flow**: 💎 Strongly bullish (C/P = 1.78) * **Volume**: 📉 0.9x (weak confirmation) * **VIX**: ✅ Favorable (\~16–17) 👉 **Models Split:** * 🐻 Gemini → **NO TRADE** (daily/weekly misaligned, weak volume). * 🐂 Claude, Llama, DeepSeek → **BUY \$91.50–92.00 CALL** (tight stop, quick exit). --- ### ✅ Consensus Trade Setup ```json { "instrument": "TQQQ", "direction": "call", "strike": 92.0, "expiry": "2025-09-05", "entry_price": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.15, "stop_loss": 0.35, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.66, "entry_timing": "open" } ``` --- ### 🎯 Trade Details * 📌 **Strike**: \$92 CALL * 💵 **Entry**: 0.65 (ask @ open) * 🎯 **Target**: 1.15 (+77%) * 🛑 **Stop**: 0.35 (–46%) * 📅 **Expiry**: Sep 5 (2 DTE) * 📈 **Confidence**: 66% * ⏰ **Max Hold**: Exit by Thu EOD (⚠️ avoid Friday gamma) --- ⚠️ **Risks** * Weak weekly volume = 🚨 reduced conviction * Daily RSI neutral → rally may stall * Theta burn + gamma whipsaws with 2 DTE ⚡
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by quantsignals
1