Ethereum Overtakes Bitcoin + new bullish MACD signal COINBASE:ETHUSD
ETH-based funds saw $2.87 billion of inflows in just one week — that’s 77% of all crypto ETF investments. Since the start of the year, cumulative inflows have reached $11 billion, bringing Ethereum’s share of assets under management to 29%. For comparison, Bitcoin’s share stands at just 11.6%.
This redistribution highlights a clear shift in institutional focus. While BTC was once the primary allocation tool, Ethereum is now taking the spotlight. Record inflows confirm that ETH is no longer just an alternative but a first-tier investment asset.
📊 Bullish Signal from MACD
At the same time, the MACD indicator is flashing a bullish signal for ETH. The histogram shows momentum turning positive, which often precedes strong upward moves.
⚙️ How MACD Works
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) tracks the relationship between two moving averages of price. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it suggests bullish momentum; when it falls below, it indicates bearish pressure. This makes MACD one of the most popular tools to confirm market trends.
What is your thoughts on Ether?
Oscillators
GBP/CHF UpdateNext move on the way focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Higher time frame structure was bullish.
2. Price break minor resistance zone.
3. Strong bullish pressure.
4. Fresh demand zone. Possible upside move expected.
Let's see how it will work.
This is not a financial advice. Lower time frame confirmation very important.
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 2💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Ethereum chart, after last night’s rally, ETH hit a new all-time high but was rejected and is now moving downward while maintaining its uptrend.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 50 and 30. Breaking these levels with high volatility could trigger ETH’s next move in either direction.
🎮 Fibonacci drawn from the Jackson Hole event to ETH’s all-time high shows the 0.61 level as a key zone. Losing this could lead to a deeper correction. The 0 Fib level at $4,852 acts as a breakout zone for long trades.
🕯 Red candles are relatively large, but ETH’s pullback is milder than Bitcoin’s. It’s currently at a decision-making zone with a new structure forming.
🪙 ETHBTC pair shows whales are undecided after last night’s drop. The alarm zone for the ETH/BTC pair is at 0.04218; a break above could spark a new bullish leg for ETH.
🔔 ETH’s alarm zone for longs is at $4,852.52. A breakout here with increased volatility and volume could push ETH to higher highs.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Gold coils beneath record high, bulls on alertWhether you call it a bull pennant or an ascending triangle, it’s hard to ignore the coiling in gold beneath the April record highs, keeping traders on alert for a potential bullish breakout.
The latest bounce off uptrend support, fuelled by Jerome Powell’s dovish pivot at Jackson Hole, has gold within reach of downtrend resistance from those highs, sitting near $3390 this week.
A break of the uptrend, especially if matched by a push beyond the $3408 May peak, could draw in fresh bulls targeting a retest of April’s $3500 record. Longs could be established on the break, with stops beneath the downtrend or $3408 depending on entry level. Resistance at $3435 remains an early hurdle, with gold stalling above it on four prior occasions. If the mid-June high near $3450 gives way, there’s little technically blocking a run towards $3500 or beyond.
While weekly RSI (14) and MACD hint at waning momentum, the overall signal still marginally favours the topside.
Good luck!
DS
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 21💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that Bitcoin has still maintained a good bullish trend after breaking out of the channel and is currently in correction, but it hasn’t yet formed a proper structure for trades.
⚙️ The key RSI zones are 40 and 70. When the oscillator crosses these levels, trading volatility increases and this will cause price movement.
🕯 Candle size and volume grew during the Jackson Hole event, but since the market is in holidays, there isn’t much volume present. We need to wait for the opening of the next weekly candle for volume to enter the market.
💵 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D , we can see that during the Jackson Hole event, Tether dominance moved strongly downward into an oversold area, and a large amount of Tether entered the market.
🔔 Bitcoin alarm zones are still the same as before. Breaking these levels can give us positions. Since Bitcoin hasn’t built a complete structure yet and the market is in holidays, we won’t take trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Possible Neutral Triangle Breakout – Key Level at 11.07The chart appears to show a completed neutral triangle (a–b–c–d–e), with a breakout emerging above the upper boundary at 11.07.
Wave a looks like a complex structure (possibly elongated flat or flat + zigzag).
The rest of the legs are mostly zigzag forms, consistent with triangle rules.
False breakdown below wave e followed by a strong reversal.
MACD is confirming momentum during the breakout attempt.
As long as price stays above 11.07, this breakout may be sustained. If confirmed, the next target zone could align with the height of the triangle projected upward.
Is Silver Breaking Out?Silver hit a 14-year high last month, and now traders may think the white metal has further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since late July. XAGUSD pushed above that falling trendline today, potentially signaling a breakout.
Second, prices held the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is still positive.
Short-term signals may paint a similar picture because the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD could also be trying to turn higher.
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LYFT May Be Ready for a Bullish Breakout
Lift is currently sitting above the 50, 100, and 200 moving averages.
It just filled the gap it left from May earnings and since then it’s been consolidating while forming a bull flag pattern.
RSI is also trending higher but just crossed 60 leaving it room to run and MACD line has also crossed the signal line.
OBV has returned to its May levels and average volume has begun to rise a bit over the last couple of weeks potentially due to to the founders announcing they’re stepping away in Feb2025.
Until there’s a major change in buying sentiment for Lyft it’ll probably keep consolidating. Just needs some good news. Maybe those two founders stepping away could be the start.
USD/CAD Bulls Eye 200DMA RetestHaving cleared resistance at 1.3900 on Thursday, a bullish setup has presented itself in USD/CAD ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole.
Longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the 200-day moving average found today at 1.40336. The price has already backtested and bounced off 1.3900 in Asian trade, strengthening the merits of the setup. Momentum signals are firmly positive, with RSI (14) trending higher but not yet overbought, while MACD is also trending higher in positive territory above the signal line.
While market pricing for Fed rate cuts is now less rich than just a few days ago, Powell is unlikely to explicitly back a September rate cut in his speech, especially with the August payrolls report on tap early next month.
If the price were to reverse back beneath 1.3900 and hold there, the bullish bias would be invalidated, opening the door for strategies to trade the range down to support at 1.3800.
Good luck!
DS
EURUSD - Bullish Case - Hidden Divergence - Daily 0.382 FibFX:EURUSD has completed its retracement to the daily support which was previously broken and currently being retested. There is 4 hr hidden divergence on RSI indication potential bullish momentum!
My SL is below Daily higher low to capture the bullish move!
Is ALT-season coming soon?Bitcoin’s supply schedule is punctuated by four-year “ halvings ,” where miner issuance is cut in half. Historically, the post‑halving window has coincided with the strongest phase of the cycle as tightening new supply meets rising demand. Liquidity first concentrates in Bitcoin, pushing dominance higher and volatility lower relative to alts. ALT‑season tends to appear later—often after a Bitcoin top or during a prolonged consolidation—when risk appetite broadens, profits rotate into higher‑beta assets, and narratives fragment across sectors. The featured chart compares prior cycles and frames where we might be within the current one.
Where we are in the 2024 halving cycle
At this stage, Bitcoin may be close to a cyclical high—or may already have set it—but confirmation is lacking. Altcoins have rallied meaningfully, yet at a top‑down level there isn’t decisive evidence of a new, durable alt‑season. Key confirmations I’m watching:
• CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 breaking out of large cup-and-handle formation.
• 1/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS trending up together (alts outperforming BTC both broadly and at the margin).
TOTAL2 — Cup & Handle setup
The weekly structure in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (crypto market cap excluding BTC) resembles a maturing cup‑and‑handle. What I’ll need to see:
A weekly close above the cup’s rim with follow‑through the next week. Moreover, we need to see a weekly close above the prior 2 highs, which currently could be a double top.
Momentum has been on the decline since the rally on alts started in earnest earlier this year...
OTHERS/BTC — rotation breadth check
This ratio (total market cap excluding the top‑10, divided by BTC) gauges whether capital is rotating into the long‑tail (more speculative / smaller ALTs).
It looks like this could have fallen below long term support which suggests the lower quality ALTs may have permanently lost value against BTC during this cycle. That would be reasonable considering there are so many coins now, many of which will likely fade into dust.
1/BTC.D — macro rotation proxy
The inverse of Bitcoin dominance (1 divided by BTC.D) visualizes altcoin outperformance over the longest available history. Here we can see a recent breakout from a downward trend channel, which is definitely auspicious!
Altcoin spotlights (examples & placeholders)
Replace with your chosen set; keep a mix of large‑caps, infra, and high‑beta to illustrate breadth.
• BINANCE:ETHBTC — let's see a new ATH! There's been a blistering rally, tripling from a rough patch earlier in 2025, but momentum still needs to improve. Also concerning is a major drop off in volume in recent years.
• BINANCE:SOLBTC — Solana had an insane 10x rally early in the cycle, but looks like it could be cooling off with the makings of a head & shoulders amidst declining volume.
• BINANCE:LINKBTC — Chainlink has seen a strong price pump in recent weeks, but like Solana appears to have fading momentum. Unless something changes, it's hard to see it moving materially higher during this cycle.
• BINANCE:XRPBTC — put up a mind blowing vertical 5x rally in late 2024 / early 2025. Like Solana and LINK, it shows declining momentum, so it could very well have peaked for the cycle.
• BINANCE:DOGEBTC — ostensibly the original meme coin, unlike the more practical ALTs we've reviewed DOGE looks to have gas in the tank. Strangely it looks best poised for a breakout given historical pricing and momentum.
Analysis recap
Unfortunately there are both bullish and bearish signals making it hard to lean one way or another right now. In summary:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD - 2024 halving cycle
• looks close to complete, we may have already seen the top for the cycle
• prior cycles have been a few weeks longer since the halving so there could be a bit further to go
• during the past 2 cycles ALTs have topped once before (2016 cycle), and once after (2020 cycle) the Bitcoin top, which doesn't help us in predicting the outcome of the third (current) cycle.
High-level analysis
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 - cup & handle -- bullish
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS - break below long term support -- bearish
1/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D - breakout of downward trend channel -- bullish
Individual coin analysis
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD COINBASE:LINKUSD BITSTAMP:XRPUSD - all of these coins are technically neutral to bearish in my view, and they are heavyweights.
COINBASE:DOGEUSD - shockingly bullish! Given that this is the epitome of a meme coin, maybe it means animal spirits are lurking in the shadows. It's hard to imagine DOGE pumping without the other coins we've looked at joining the party.
Personal thoughts
I decided to take a hard look at the prospects of an ALT-season to form my own opinion, mainly because I heard someone make a dismissive statement that "ALT-season always follows a Bitcoin top", or something to that effect. I think you can see it's not nearly that simple. Personally I think the market is pretty frothy, and risk assets could take a beating in the coming months. Just in case though, I've still got the XRP moon bag!
Small Cap Portfolio Trading | $PD ( PagerDuty ) Starting a new position to my #SmallCaps Stock Portfolio:
NYSE:PD (PagerDuty) @ $15.83 bringing my average cost to $15.83 per share.
Short Term Target: $25.00 / 40%+ Gain Potential
Financials:
- Last two years of Free Cash Flow Growth of 50%+ with a projection upwards
- Net income, despite being negative, has improved consistently over the last 3 years.
- Shareholders equity has remained constant over the 3 last years.
- Revenue growth has remained in an upwards trajectory over the last 5 years.
Note: Buying and placed my first order into the Weekly Demand level below 50 RSI and showing a little life in this accumulation box. Also liquidity has been swept in that area. We still have to clear $20.00 for this move to happen though.
GOLD Prediction: BearishTitle: Gold Price Prediction: Targeting 3299
Post:
Hello, TradingView community!
I wanted to share my analysis and outlook on gold prices. Based on current market trends, technical indicators, and fundamental factors, I anticipate that gold will decline to the level of 3299 shortly.
I will continue to monitor the situation closely and adjust my predictions as necessary. As always, this is not financial advice, and I encourage everyone to do their research before making any trading decisions.
Let's see how this plays out!
Happy trading!
#Gold #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldPrediction #MarketAnalysis
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 18💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after hitting the $115,000 zone, it got rejected with a relatively strong red candle and is now moving toward its support at $112,700 .
⚙️ We have two key zones in the RSI : the support zone at 30 , and the resistance zone for long positions at 59.67. Breaking these levels can push Bitcoin toward its alarm zone and sensitive price area for a breakout .
🕯 The size of the red candles is getting smaller , showing reduced selling pressure , while the green reversal candles from $112,700 are closing larger and stronger than before .
💵 USDT.D on the 1-hour timeframe is moving toward its resistance at 4.46% , but the trend is weakening and the size of the buying candles is shrinking . In previous attempts to reach this zone, it faced rejection . If the 4.36% support level is lost , strong inflows could move into Bitcoin .
🔔 Our trading alarm zones are at $115,000 and $112,700 . These zones usually break with increased volume and volatility , and by watching price behavior there , we can find the best trading opportunities .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
NZD/USD: Powell the last hope for Kiwi bullsThe significant dovish shift from the RBNZ at its August meeting has left the Kiwi dollar on the backfoot, closing Wednesday beneath former support at .5850 and the key 200DMA. With Fed rate-cut pricing already so rich heading into Jackson Hole, only an explicit dovish shift from chair Jerome Powell may be enough to prevent a USD rally. As such, a short NZD/USD setup looks to be on the menu.
Positions could be built beneath the 200DMA with a stop either above it or .5850. A retest and rejection of the 200 would strengthen the case. The 50% fib of the April-July rally sits just above .5800, offering a potential early hurdle. A break beneath that opens the way to .5750, .5700 and .5639, all levels that saw plenty of action earlier this year and screen as potential targets depending on risk-reward.
Momentum indicators are flashing bearish across the board, favouring downside. If price reverses back above .5850 and holds, the bearish bias is invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Why I Think GBPJPY Will Sell...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
I think GBPJPY will sell for today. This is only my technical analysis, so make sure you check the news and cross-reference any indicators you have on your chart. Here is what I am looking at:
- There has been a rejection of the previous 4H high.
- The buyers are losing steam over the last 12 hours and there is a strong red candle forming.
- The stochastic is facing down, the orange line (slow) and the blue line (fast) have both crossed below 80 and the orange line is on top.
- These are all bearish confirmations for me
Additional information:
- I will wait until price closes below 198.700 to confirm the selling trend and take my trade. I will set a pending order (sell stop) at this level.
- I will be using previous lows as my TPs and previous highs as my SL.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade.
BTC Analysis - August 20, 2025, 09:28 AM EDT 📊 Price: ~$114,016, consolidating after failing $120,000 resistance (24h).
Technical Analysis:
• Supports: $112,300, $108,000
• Resistance: $116,800, $120,000
• RSI: 46 (daily, neutral), 50 (4-hour)
• MACD: Bearish, histogram narrowing
• EMAs: Below 20-day ($117,300), above 50/200-day ($115K/$110K)
• Bollinger: Near mid-band ($115,400, daily)
Patterns:
• Ascending Channel: Retest of mid-channel ($114K–$115K, August 15–20)
• Bearish Pinbar: August 14
• Doji: August 19
On-Chain:
• MVRV Z-score: 2.2, neutral, nearing rally trigger
• Active Addresses: Up 3% (30d)
• CDD: Low, strong HODLing
• LTH Supply: 74% held >155 days
• STH Supply: Down 13% (30d), profit-taking
Fundamentals:
• M2: $107T (Feb 2025), 3.8% growth, 0.94 correlation with BTC
• ETFs: $15B inflows (2025), $0.8B weekly (August 15)
• Regulatory: GENIUS Act supports crypto (July 2025)
BTC Reserve: Exchange reserves down 10% (2025), low selling pressure.
Dominance: 61% (BTC.D), neutral, altseason if <63.2%.
Social Sentiment: 450K #BTC mentions on X, 55% bullish ( low volatility, dip-buying).
Trends: Neutral short-term, possible dip to $112,300. Long-term: $130K–$200K (2026).
Signal: Buy (60% confidence)
• Buy on dips: $112,300 or $108,000
• Stop-loss: <$108,000
• Target: $116,800 short-term, $130,000 (Q4 2025)
Disclaimer: Research before investing. #BTC
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 17💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin, after losing the $115,000 support zone, moved toward its next support at $113,000 .
⚙️ Our key RSI zone is 27.89, and if this level is lost, Bitcoin will face more selling pressure. The next key RSI zone is 49.74, and breaking above this level could push Bitcoin higher .
🕯 The size of the red candles has increased, and with each rise in trading volume, selling pressure grows stronger. Step by step, as supports are lost (big money in whale wallets and unrealized positions being released), Bitcoin faces heavier selling pressure .
💵 USD.D on the 1-hour timeframe is moving upward and is facing a strong resistance around 4.5%. If this resistance is broken, Bitcoin will likely come under even more selling pressure .
🔔 Our Bitcoin alert zone is set at $113,000: if this zone is broken, Bitcoin could fall to lower support levels. Our alert zone for a long trade is $115,000, and by observing price action around these two zones, we can identify the best type of trade .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
AUDUSD Long OpportunityWe broke the floor but are oversold on the oscillators, we are going to enter here and see if we can catch the ride up for the retest.
if we keep dropping we will space out entries and cost average our way to secondary TP. Keep positions lights, we may use up to 5 additional entries to navigate the pull back. We will look to exit when we get overbought on the oscillators (RSI, CCI etc etc)
GBPJPY Wave Analysis – 20 August 2025- GBPJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 198.00
GBPJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the resistance zone located between the long-term resistance level 200.00 (which has been reversing the price from October of 2024) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier impulse wave iii of the intermediate wave (3) from the end of May.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, GBPJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 198.00.
S&P 500 Shows Early Signs of Momentum Loss Ahead of Jackson HoleThe S&P 500 has begun to show signs of momentum loss ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting. The number of member stocks trading above their 200-day moving average has not increased, even as the index made new highs. RSI is showing a negative divergence, and the index has slipped below its short-term yellow trendline.
In addition, crypto markets sold off early Monday, and the VIX opened the week with a gap higher, moving above its short-term downtrend. These are still only early signals and not yet concrete confirmation, but traders should be cautious of potential profit-taking ahead of Jackson Hole, where Powell may push back against expectations for rapid rate cuts.






















