PATH QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-10-25PATH QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-10-25
PATH Weekly Signal | 2025-10-25
• Direction: BUY PUTS | Confidence: 50%
• Expiry: 2025-10-31 (6 days)
• Strike Focus: $16.50
• Entry Range: $0.62
• Target 1: $0.99
• Stop Loss: $0.58
• Weekly Momentum: NEUTRAL (+0.79% 1W)
• Flow Intel: Bearish (High P/C Ratio) | PCR 3.38
• Max Pain: $16.50 (-0.3% vs spot)
• 🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
⚖️ Compliance: Educational commentary for QS Premium members only. No financial advice.
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: BUY PUTS
Confidence: 65%
Conviction Level: MEDIUM
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🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: Neutral trend (Confidence: 50%), suggesting a HOLD signal.
Technical Analysis: PATH has shown moderate positive momentum over the past two weeks but lacks significant direction with lower-than-average volume.
News Sentiment: Recent news includes an UBS upgrade to Neutral, which is bearish compared to previous analyst calls.
Options Flow: Bearish flow (PCR 3.38) and max pain near $16.50 indicate potential downside pressure.
Risk Level: Medium risk with moderate volatility.
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💰 TRADE SETUP
Expiry Date: 2025-10-31 (6 days)
Recommended Strike: $16.50
Entry Price: $0.62
Target 1: $0.99 (+60% gain from entry)
Target 2: $1.53 (+120% gain from entry)
Stop Loss: $0.58 (-6.45% loss from entry)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
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⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Options flow and max pain analysis suggest bearish positioning, aligning with Katy’s neutral outlook but leaning bearish.
Timing Advantage: Path's recent performance shows no upward momentum, making it a good time to capitalize on potential downside.
Risk Mitigation: Stop loss at $0.58 limits risk while allowing room for volatility.
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🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Lower confidence in Katy's prediction (50%) and moderate weekly
Image
QS Analyst
APP
— 9:29 AM
volume warrant caution. Monitor news flow for any potential bullish catalysts.
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: PATH
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 16.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.62
🎯 Profit Target: 0.99
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.58
📅 Expiry: 2025-10-31
📏 Size: 2.0
📈 Confidence: 50%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-10-25 12:29:14 EDT
🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
Community ideas
Ethereum Near Breakout as Whales AccumulateCOINBASE:ETHUSD ’s price is testing key resistance levels after a steady week of accumulation. On the daily chart, COINBASE:ETHUSD remains capped by Fibonacci barriers at $3,986 (0.382) and $4,281 (0.618) — both of which rejected earlier rally attempts. A daily close above $4,281 could confirm a reversal toward $4,491–$4,954, while losing $3,804 risks a drop to $3,509.
The RSI continues to show a bullish divergence, as the indicator made higher lows while price formed lower lows between September 25 and October 22, hinting at fading bearish momentum.
On-chain metrics back the setup: whales added 150,000 ETH ($588 million) in 24 hours, and spent coin movement dropped 88%, showing rising holder conviction. Together, these signals strengthen Ethereum’s rebound case — but confirmation still depends on a clean breakout above $4,281.
EURUSD : Status @ 24/10 (update)Direction: Buy
Signal triggered: 24/10/2025
Stop when:
a) Stop Loss @ 1.1583; or if
b) Sell signal triggered
Good luck.
Price went up soon after the signal. But price is unable to move ABOVE the critical 1.1630
And now we have a new downward sloping 'trendline' - this is interesting, going into FOMC in a few days.
Close the buy and wait for the SELL signal. I think it is coming.
US30 Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for US30 below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 47206
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 46982
Recommended Stop Loss - 47329
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ETHEREUM ETHUSDTETHEREUM TECHNICAL INFORMATION.
THE WEEKLY TIME FRAME SHOWS THAT BUYERS REJECTED THE 4998-5000 ZONE AND IT BECOMES OUR NEW BUY LIMUS TEST IN THE FUTURE.THE BREAK AND COSE OF A WEEKLY CANDLE WILL CALL FOR 15MIN SCALP IN SEARCH OF POINT OF ENTRY TO AIM 6000-7000$ IN PROFIT.
THE CURRENT REALITY WITH ETHEREUM SHOWS LACK OF BIUY MOMENTUM AND ITS EVIDENT FROM THE BREAK AND RETEST OF 4200 LEVEL ON WEEKLY TIME FRAME ON THE CHART ,THIS REACTION IS DETAILED ON THE CHART FOR REFERENCE.
THE SELL CONFIRMATION WILL COME FROM THE WEEKLY BREAK AND CLOSE 3780 AND MY SELL TARGET WILL BE 3116$ DEMAND FLOOR AND ALSO 50% FIB LEVEL
TARGET 2 WILL BE 2727.8 DEMAND FLOOR
AND PRICE COULD GO LOWER BEYOUND THIS ZONE ON BEARISH SENTIMENT AND PROLONGED TAKE PROFIT,
ETHEREUM IN CONTEXT
Ethereum remains the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and continues to be a foundational platform for decentralized finance (DeFi), smart contracts, and tokenized assets.
Ethereum 2025 Overview and Outlook
Ecosystem Growth: Ethereum’s ecosystem is expanding with over 127 million active wallets and total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols reaching about $96.86 billion, a 50% increase since mid-2025.
Technology Upgrades: Recent upgrades like Pectra and Fusaka, along with Layer 2 solutions such as Arbitrum, improve scalability, reduce fees, and enhance user experience.
Macro and Regulatory: Institutional inflows via Ethereum ETFs total nearly $24.7 billion, supported by gradual regulatory clarity.
Price Forecast: Despite short-term volatility, Ethereum shows strong fundamental on structure and rally.
Summary
Ethereum remains a dominant blockchain platform with robust adoption and technical advancements, supporting a positive price outlook .currently, with potential to rally toward $5000-6000k if they break and close weekly resistance at 4200
the ecosystem growth, institutional participation, and network upgrades will be its bullish catalyst
.
#ethusd #ethereum
GBPJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 203.425.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 206.227 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Is ES1! Setting Up for Another Leg Up? Layer Entry Plan💼 ES1! | E-Mini S&P 500 Futures | Thief Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀📈
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias
We are mapping the ES1! (E-Mini S&P 500 Futures) with a thief layering strategy for flexible swing/day trading.
Thief Entry Layers (Layering Strategy Method)
Instead of “one-shot” entries, we use multiple buy limit layers to scale into the move.
💰 Example entry levels:
🔹 6720
🔹 6740
🔹 6760
(👉 Add more layers if you wish, that’s the thief flexibility 🔑)
🛡 Stop-Loss (Thief SL)
📉 6680
⚠ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to strictly follow my SL. Manage your own risk — protect your capital thief-style.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape Zone)
📈 6900 — key resistance area + potential overbought zone = possible bull trap!
💡 Escape with profits thief-style before the market traps late buyers.
⚠ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to strictly follow my TP. Take your own exit when you steal your bag.
🔑 Key Points & Correlations
🟢 ES1! (S&P 500 futures) often correlates with:
CME_MINI:NQ1! (Nasdaq Futures) 📡 Tech-driven momentum
CBOT_MINI:YM1! (Dow Futures) 🏦 Old-school industrials
CME_MINI:RTY1! (Russell Futures) 📈 Small-cap sentiment gauge
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) ⚡ Inverse relationship with risk-on moves
Watching these markets helps filter fake pumps and identify real liquidity grabs.
⚡ Thief Trading Philosophy
This is not about exact entries — it’s about layering, adapting, and escaping with profits before the crowd realizes.
Steal pips.
Escape traps.
Repeat.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy Map, created just for fun and market observation. This is NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always manage your capital wisely.
#ES1 #SP500 #SPX #Futures #DayTrading #SwingTrading #IndexTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #ScalpAndRun
Coinbase Bottom in, new all time high coming?NASDAQ:COIN had a deep pullback after its recent bullish move but caught a large bid by the end of the week leaving a long lower wick. It appears the bottom is in but investors should be cautious as price is below resistance major resistance High Volume Node and R1 weekly pivot.
If the pullback is complete then we have a very shallow wave 2 within wave (II) and can expect much higher targets perhaps in the $1000s before the end of this business cycle. There will resistance at the upper boundary and R3 weekly pivot around $600 and a breakout above that area will signal we go higher.
RSI has plenty of room for months over overextension in price.
I will be looking to add a long so look out for the signal in my Trade Planning Substack.
Safe trading
Weekly crypto review: BTC trend structure Price continues to move in line with the main scenario discussed in previous weekly updates.
As long as the structure remains constructive and key supports hold, I'll be holding the base hypothesis of correction completion and gradual trend recovery as a prime one.
In this scenario, over the coming weeks and into Q4, I’d like to see:
• price holding above local support;
• breakout and consolidation above the 21-day EMA and 50-day MA;
• gradual movement toward next resistance zones — 115–120K, followed by 123K+.
Key levels:
• Local support: 109–107K
• Local resistance: 114–116K, then 120–123.5K
• Macro support zone: 102K
A breakdown below local support may trigger another retest of the lower boundary of the macro-support zone.
If weekly closes occur below 102K, it would notably increase the probability that the current long-term uptrend cycle is ending and a macro-correction phase is beginning.
Daily time frame:
Weekly:
Thank you for your attention — wishing everyone a calm weekend and a productive start to the new week!
$EPT/USDT delivered a solid breakout with a massive 72% pump! $EPT/USDT delivered a solid breakout with a massive 72% pump! Both targets hit perfectly as predicted 0.005 and 0.006 levels achieved. Momentum was strong, and the breakout played out beautifully. Now waiting to see if bulls push for the next leg up.
BITCOIN ON DAILY TIME FRAME THE ASCENDING TRENDLINE HELD PRICE FROMTHE DEMAND FLOOR MORE THAN 5 TOUCHES AND PRODUCED A STRONG REJECTION ON DOUBLE CONFLUENCE AT 103,300k-,BUYERS RETURNED AND RETESTED THE SAME ASCENDINGTRENDLINE AT 103,800K AND WE ARE SEEING A SMALL BUY POTENTIAL .
Technically we saw a rejection at 114,084.91 supply roof on the descending trendline connect the current all time high sell structure .on double confluence as illustrated on the chart we rejected 114,084.91 on the descending trendline and from the current price position we could be retesting 114,084-115,900 a make or break situation because we have a technical breakout of the descending trendline connecting the current all time high...this is a likely high case scenario for now.
if we reject this zone we sell and if we break out of structure we add more long position .
technical sell is on hold until we breakout of daily demand floor that provided the buy impetus at 103,300-103850 with 5 touches respected and as illustrated from our previous post.
layer by layer ,dont rush ,no oversight ,precision is big money in trading.
HISTORICAL CONTEXT /OVERVIEW AND APPLICATION OF BITCOIN
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency and the first cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, which is a public ledger that records all transactions securely and transparently without the need for a central authority.
Key Features of Bitcoin
Decentralization: No central bank or government controls Bitcoin, making it resistant to censorship and centralized manipulation.
Limited Supply: Total supply is capped at 21 million bitcoins, which introduces scarcity and potential value appreciation over time.
Pseudonymity: Transactions are publicly recorded but can be conducted without revealing personal identities directly.
Security: Uses cryptographic proof and consensus mechanisms (Proof of Work) to secure transactions and prevent double-spending.
Divisibility: One bitcoin can be divided into 100 million smaller units called satoshis for microtransactions.
Use Cases
Store of Value: Often referred to as "digital gold," Bitcoin serves as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation for many investors.
Medium of Exchange: Used for peer-to-peer payments, remittances, and merchants accepting it for goods and services.
Investment: Trading and holding Bitcoin as an asset for speculative gains or portfolio diversification.
Financial Inclusion: Provides access to financial services for the unbanked and underbanked populations.
Market Overview 2025
Bitcoin continues to hold the largest market capitalization among cryptocurrencies.
It experiences significant price volatility but has shown resilience through macroeconomic uncertainties.
Regulatory frameworks around Bitcoin vary globally, impacting adoption and market dynamics.
Increased institutional adoption, development of Bitcoin ETFs, and integration with traditional finance continue shaping its ecosystem.
#BTC #BITCOIN #BTCUSDT
ETH/USD – The Next Big Move Is Loading!Ethereum is setting up for a potential massive bullish reversal after finding strong support at a key demand zone (green box).
📊 Here’s my breakdown:
Demand Zone (Buy Area): 3,600 – 3,700
Target Zone (Sell Area): 4,350 – 4,400
Bias: Bullish — price is likely to tap into the demand zone before pushing upward.
Confirmation: Watch for bullish rejections or strong momentum candles from the green zone.
🧠 This setup aligns with previous liquidity sweeps and market structure shifts, showing clear signs that smart money may be reloading before the next leg up.
🔥 My Plan:
Waiting for a clean bounce from the green area → confirmation entry → target red zone.
💬 What do you think — will ETH respect the zone or break lower first?
Drop your view below 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
📈 Like & comment “ETH TO 4.4K 🚀” if you’re watching this move too!
Engro Holdings Limited ENGROH
Engro Holdings Limited :
Trading within an ascending parallel channel, indicating a medium-term bullish trend.
The recent bounce from the lower trendline (PKR 225–230) shows strong institutional buying activity — this area is considered an institutional buy zone.
As long as the price stays above this zone, the overall trend remains positive and accumulative.
Price Action
Current Price: PKR 237.55
Lower channel line near PKR 225 acted as strong support and institutional accumulation zone.
Immediate resistance: PKR 245–250; next strong resistance at PKR 261 (upper channel).
A breakout above PKR 250 could trigger continuation toward PKR 261
Support & Resistance Levels:
224–230 Institutional Buy Zone / Support Channel bottom + accumulation zone
245–250 Resistance Minor horizontal resistance
261 Major Resistance Upper channel & previous swing high
200 Major Support Next key level if channel breaks
Technical Outlook:
The price action confirms institutional accumulation near the 225–230 zone, aligning with technical support.
Momentum indicators support a bullish continuation if the price remains above this area.
Watch for confirmation above PKR 245–250 for the next upside leg.
Trading Plan (Technical View) :
Institutional Buy Zone: 225–230
Buy Range: 230–235
Target 1: 245
Target 2: 261
Stop Loss: Below 224
CHOLAFIN Breaking out of the ascending Triangle*CHOLAFIN* is breaking out of Ascending triangle and can be accumulated for Yearly investment. CMP 1733. Ideal entry 1650. Can be accumulated till 1550 if market reverses due to bad global relationships. *Target* 2295+ *Duration* Dec 2026
*Stoploss* 1400
RTY Daily ChannelThis is why I said there might be a melt up next week. RTY has been in the same upward channel since the tariff tank. You figure as bullish as this market is, it needs to hit the top of the channel in a breakout like this.
Will not be shorting IWM next week. Long on shitcoin for the week based on daily indicators.
Since the market broke out, I think it'll be easier to buy the dips when MFI gets oversold on my 3 hr chart than shorting anything.
The Market Doesn’t Hate You — It’s Just Doing Its JobEvery trader at some point feels attacked by the market.
You take a trade, it hits your stop loss by one pip… and then runs perfectly in your direction.
You think, “The market is against me.”
But the truth is — the market doesn’t hate you.
It’s simply doing its job: collecting liquidity before moving to its real destination.
💡 Here’s What’s Really Happening
The market is a liquidity machine.
It moves where money is resting — not where traders wish it would go.
When you see price sweeping highs or lows before reversing, that’s not manipulation against you —
it’s Smart Money doing what it’s built to do:
Hunt liquidity
Fill institutional orders
Create displacement before the next move
Your stop loss isn’t being targeted personally —
it’s sitting where millions of other traders’ stops are clustered.
The market simply clears those levels before delivering the real move.
🧠 The Lesson
Stop trading emotionally and start thinking structurally.
Ask yourself before every setup:
Where is liquidity resting?
Has the market collected it yet?
Is structure confirming the new direction?
When you learn to think like Smart Money, you stop blaming the market and start understanding it.
You’ll realize every loss was a lesson pointing you toward better timing, discipline, and patience.
📊 Final Thought
The market is not your enemy — it’s your teacher.
Once you align with how liquidity and structure truly work,
you’ll stop feeling trapped and start trading with clarity and confidence.
💬 Follow for more institutional-based educational posts.
No signals. No hype.
Just pure trading knowledge and Smart Money insights that help you grow.






















