XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Overlap SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,163.66
- Overlap support
- 38.2% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 4,111.85
- Overlap support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 4,219.19
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDCAD H4 | Bullish Reversal Off Key Overlap SupportMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, however, we can look for a bullish reversal as price is at a crucial level.
Buy entry: 1.38811
- Strong overlap support
- 161.8% Fib extension
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 1.3831
- Pullback support
Take Profit: 1.3939
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Looking at three of Bobby's marketsNovember 8th we looked at three of Bobby's markets plus Tesla. Bobby's markets are the smaller contracts which are the way you want to trade until you're comfortable with a larger contracts< I didn't state this but if you're inclined to trade more than one contract it may be much more prudent to trade the smaller contracts anyway as long as they have enough volatility. I have a real neat idea and I don't want to talk about it but I'm looking into something that I do not normally do but I'm going to make a decision I'm going to include a strategy for the equity markets..... Tesla would be an example of what I would be looking at and trade if I find certain setups. I haven't traded equity markets for well over 2 decades.... But it is something I might consider and if I do make that decision I will be very clear on the reasons... The tools I use the decisions I make are absolutely representative of what I'm doing. I don't need your money, I don't want your money.... I will show you what I'm doing and what I'm thinking and I will never tell you to take a trade because I don't want your lawsuit. So stay tuned.
How to Use ATR in TradingViewMaster ATR using TradingView's powerful charting tools in this step-by-step tutorial from Optimus Futures.
ATR, or Average True Range, is a volatility indicator that helps traders measure market movement, set appropriate stop losses, and adjust position sizing based on current market conditions.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding ATR as a volatility measurement tool that tracks price movement regardless of direction
How ATR calculates the average range between highs and lows over a specified period — typically 14
Why rising ATR signals increasing volatility and larger price swings
Why falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility and quieter market conditions
Using ATR to set dynamic stop losses that adjust to current volatility rather than arbitrary dollar amounts
How to calculate stop distances by multiplying ATR by factors like 2x or 3x
Applying ATR for position sizing to maintain consistent risk across different volatility environments
Setting profit targets based on ATR multiples to align with actual market movement
Filtering trade setups using ATR levels to avoid low-volatility periods or confirm breakout momentum
How to add ATR on TradingView via the Indicators menu
Understanding the default 14-period setting and how shorter or longer periods affect responsiveness
Practical examples using the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart
Applying ATR across daily, weekly, and intraday timeframes for risk management and trade planning
This tutorial is designed for futures traders, swing traders, and risk-focused analysts who want to integrate volatility-based risk management into their trading approach.
The methods discussed may help you set smarter stops, size positions appropriately, and adapt your trading strategy to changing market conditions across multiple markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital.
We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations.
Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior.
In our opinion, charts are analytical tools, not forecasting instruments.
Netflix Paramount - Acquisition war - What You need to know. Netflix is selling off because it announced a massive, high‑risk acquisition of major Warner Bros. Discovery assets — and the market hates the price, the leverage, and the regulatory risk.
The bid is in the range of $72-$82 Billion.
Trump tweeted last night putting the deal under scrutiny.
This tweet comes on the back of Paramount Skydance announcing a hostile take over bid $108B of warner bros discovery. Trumps son in law Jared Kushner hold private equity in Para and would benefit from the takeover.
Netflix is sitting pretty as the stock has sold off in anticipation of higher cap ex. If the deal doesn't go through it will likely rebound.
Netflix wont have to pay the 5.8 Billion break up fee if WBD board votes down their deal. In fact Netflix will receive $2-$3 Billion.
PLAN THE TRADE. TRADE THE PLAN. IT'S THIS SIMPLE !📅 Q4 | W50 | D8 | Y25 |
📊 EURGBP FRGNT FULL TRADE BREAKDOWN - TAKE PROFIT + 2%
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
BTC End-of-Week Pullback Potential Here's My Trade PlanBitcoin BTC has been bullish this week, pushing higher as momentum continues to favour the upside. 🚀📈 But as we approach the end of the week, we need to be cautious because BTC is now trading directly into a key resistance zone. This is normally where trends start to slow down, weaken, or even pull back. 😮💨
Just like with any strong move, a bullish trend doesn’t mean endless continuation. Institutions and major players often begin reducing exposure toward the end of the week, which can trigger retracements or consolidation. So the big question becomes: do you really want to chase longs right as BTC is hitting major resistance and the weekly trend is reaching potential exhaustion? ⚠️
Looking at the structure, Bitcoin has climbed into a level where we’ve seen previous selling and heavy order activity. This makes the current area a strong resistance zone, and personally, it’s not somewhere I’d want to be looking for new long positions.
If anything, heading into Thursday and Friday, we could see Bitcoin pull back from this resistance as buyers take profit and institutions rebalance their positions before the weekly close. 🕒🔄
Be patient, stay aware of the levels, and let price tell you the story.
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin - The bearmarket officially started!🪚Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will still head lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Taking a look at all previous cycles on Bitcoin, each cycle lasted for about 1,000 days. Together with the current retest of the major resistance curveline, the recent move lower was totally expected. And looking at clear market structure, this correction is not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$75,000 and $60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,225.37
- Pullback support
- 38.2% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 4,215.10
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 4,241
- Multi-swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Dollar Index Bearish Setup: Dead Cat Bounce Then Collapse. The weekly chart shows a strong bearish signal, with a bearish engulfing candle forming and a confirmed double top structure on the daily chart. Price has already broken below the neckline of this double top, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Currently, price is consolidating just below the 50 EMA. With RSI deeply in oversold territory and stochastic oscillators near cycle lows, a short-term relief bounce is likely. This bounce could push price toward the 99.032 level, just below the 21 EMA, which now acts as a key resistance zone.
On the daily timeframe, the 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA, reinforcing a bearish trend and suggesting that upward moves will face strong resistance. More importantly, the weekly stochastics have already crossed down, and the weekly MACD is showing clear signs of momentum loss.
In conclusion, after a potential short-term bounce to fill the gap on the 4-hour chart—where a death cross is also forming—the broader expectation is for a significant bearish continuation in the Dollar Index.
As always, I thank you for supporting my publications with a boost and sharing your own thoughts in the comment section. I wish you the best trading in the coming week. Cheers!
US Dollar: Bearish! Look To Sell it towards 98.56!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 8-15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD is currently bearish, sitting in a Daily -FVG. If the FVG holds, the sell off will continue from last week. Should the -FVG fail, then hold off on sells! A close above the -FVG will be a bullish indication.
Wed's FOMC will likely weaken the currency further, as institutions have seemingly baked in their bearish bets.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
AUDUSD H1 | Bullish Continuation Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.6617
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.65805
- Pullback support
Take Profit: 0.6660
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USDCHF H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.80088
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.7989
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 0.8038
- Multi-swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
BITCOIN BEARISH FLAG STRUCTURE AND LIQUIDITY GRAB In this weekends Bitcoin price analysis, Bitcoin appears poised to close the weekly candle with an indecision doji, signaling uncertainty in market direction. On the 12-hour chart, the current candle formation combined with a stochastic cycle low suggests that price may first gravitate toward the liquidity zone near $96,388 before resuming downward momentum.
Looking at the daily timeframe, price has retraced precisely to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, reinforcing the idea of a temporary pause. With both the 12-hour and weekly stochastics registering cycle lows, the setup points to continued sideways consolidation into next week. Ultimately, this structure favors a breakdown toward the $80,524 support zone, where buyers may look to re-engage.
However, on 4 hours time frame I have a identified a bearish flag structure and if the structure break out of the sideways channel, then I expect Bitcoin to fall towards the initial target of $72k and ultimate target of $58k.
I would like to thank you for reading my publications and supporting my analysis. Please if you find value in my presentation kindly give it a boost and comment with your thoughts in the comments section. Let's be a community that sharpens each other. Cheers and have a great trading week.
NZDUSD - Bearish BiasToday's bias on NZDUSD is Bearish based on my Daily Bias Model (Wick Rejection Scenario).
Here’s the breakdown:
The previous daily candle traded above the high of the candle before it.
But instead of closing outside the range, it closed back inside the previous day’s range.
And importantly, it did NOT take the previous day’s low.
This confirms a bearish wick-rejection profile, suggesting downside delivery is more likely today, at least hunting for the Previous 1D Low (DOL).
📌To sum it all up, Bias for today: 🔻 Bearish
Expecting a minor retracement into an Internal Range Liquidity (In this case the 1h FVG, or the 15m short term high as shown in the video), before hunting the main DOL (Previous daily low).
Wish you the best in your trading day :D
#NZDUSD #Forex #FX #SMC #ICT #PriceAction
#DailyBias #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts
#Bearish #MarketStructure #Forextoday
#USD #NZD #FXTrader #ForexTraders #TradingView
The Art of the Liquidity BuildIt’s the same progression, repeating again and again on multiple different time frames.
In this crazy looking chart, I essentially just color code the different stages of the liquidity build. Each box represents a stage in the cycle - and when you see it clearly, it’s almost too obvious:
Strong Selling (Red) → Selling (Orange) → Taper (White) → Buying (Green) → Strong Buying (Yellow)
Confirmation of increasing volume during the white --> green changeover.
A basic "Head and Shoulders" or "Cup" pattern. You'll see this same thing each time. Price intentionally proves each stage and sets itself up for the next algorithm on the next timeframe!
Notice the volume get's increasingly large once the white begins the pass over to green!
Oh, and I'm very bullish on OSCR - As usual - But especially with the proving of white and breakout of orange. Anything below $16 is a freebee for me!
Price Prediction: $30 by April 15th
*For those who like Fibonacci - line it up. It's beautiful
Happy Trading :)
XRP: Likely to Move Lower Ripple’s XRP is expected to retrace further into the green Target Zone ranging from $1.03 to $0.38 as part of a blue downward impulse, which would complete the higher-level turquoise wave B. Afterward, wave C should drive price sharply higher, ultimately setting a new high for the larger wave (Y) above the resistance at $4.09. However, if bulls manage to push the altcoin above the $3.19 resistance and the $4.09 level in the near term—a scenario we estimate has a 30% probability—it would suggest that the turquoise alt.B wave has already been completed, and our Target Zone would no longer be reached.






















