Get started

Community ideas

Bitcoin - Must go down to retest this pattern + new ATH soon!Bitcoin recently broke out of the head and shoulders pattern and made a pretty strong uptrend. That's a sign of strength that Bitcoin will be ready to continue in the uptrend and go to a new all time high, but not yet! I still think that Bitcoin should retest the previous Head and Shoulders pattern at around 113,300 USD. It's because this is an important liquidity level and there are a lot of orders from traders, in other words - it's a strong point of interest. Alt season continues, so is it still good to hold Bitcoin? Not really, in my opinion you should be selling Bitcoin and prepare for a huge 2026 bear market. I expect Bitcoin to go down to 60k - 70k, but this is for another analysis. I really do not recommend buying Bitcoin, rather focus on altcoins, such as LINK or ADA. There is a potential of 50% to 200% profit in the next weeks, this is not possible on Bitcoin! Bitcoin is relatively weak, that's why a retest of the pattern makes so much sense. In a strong bull market it may go up, but in a weak bull market we see a lot of retests. It's even possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit below the head and shoulders neckline to test the 112k level or so. So be prepared for it! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Xanrox
82
USD/CAD - Bearish Flag (15.09.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. TRADENATION:USDCAD This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3814 2nd Support – 1.3796 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
38
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market Analysis - FOMC Catalyst AheadThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD maintained its upward trajectory this week as investors positioned ahead of anticipated dovish policy shifts from major central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve. The precious metal's resilience signals growing expectations for an accommodative monetary environment that typically weakens fiat currencies and enhances gold's appeal. Price action analysis reveals gold operating within a well-defined upward channel, with the metal successfully breaking above the triangle consolidation pattern near $3,440. The breakout of this formation, combined with bullish momentum indicators, suggests the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Key resistance now sits at the $3,700 ATH level, while the higher low structure around $3,275 provides critical support. 4H chart shows gold trading above a strategic swap zone between $2,580-$2,600, indicating institutional accumulation ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Monday's brief sell-off may occur showing profit-taking rather than a trend reversal, as buyers quickly might step in to defend these support levels. With the Federal Reserve expected to signal a more accommodative stance, gold's fundamentals align with technical strength. The metal's ability to hold above the triangle breakout zone reinforces bullish conviction, targeting the psychological $3,700 resistance and higher levels. Any Fed dovishness should provide the catalyst for the next leg higher, potentially reaching new all-time highs as real yields decline and dollar weakness accelerates. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
37
Gold will correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish, with the price action being guided by a well-established upward channel that has defined the trend for a significant period. The structure of this channel has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance lines, originating from the deep 3370 - 3390 buyer zone. Currently, after a rejection from the channel's highs, the price of XAU is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pull-back has brought the asset into a critical confluence of support, defined by the 3635 - 3615 support zone and the ascending support line of the channel itself. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, which anticipates that buyers will step in to defend this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the conclusion of the corrective move and the resumption of the dominant upward trend. This would likely initiate the next impulsive wave higher within the channel's structure. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3740 points, representing a new potential structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
17
SUI/USDT --> Two-Step Setup: Retest QML, Then RallyHello guys! Short version first: I expect a pullback to the QML (3.30–3.45), then a bounce that resumes the upside toward 3.80–3.90 (and potentially higher if momentum continues). Why this makes sense (the plan): Step 1 --> Pullback to QML: Price broke the long descending trendline and impulsed higher, but the move is showing a normal two-leg structure: first leg up, now a corrective leg down. The green QML box (3.30–3.45) is the nearby demand zone and the most logical place for buyers to re-enter. Step 2 --> Bounce & continuation: If the QML holds and we get a bullish rejection (pinbar, engulfing, clear wick rejection, or a nice bullish close), the most likely path is a continuation back toward the recent supply area — 3.80– 3.90 as the first meaningful resistance. If momentum keeps, extensions toward the next structural highs become possible. Final note This is a two-step game: first, the retest, then the real trade. Don’t chase the breakout now; patience at the QML will give a cleaner, higher-reward setup.
by melikatrader94
18
GOLD → A s.triangle against the backdrop of a bullish trend... FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in anticipation of positive news from the Fed, namely a cut in interest rates. Against this backdrop, the dollar is falling, which only supports the price of gold... Gold is trading in a sideways range around $3650 at the start of a week packed with central bank events. Despite the lack of a clear direction, the metal is finding support thanks to several factors. Key drivers: Weak economic data from China, anticipation of the Fed's decision: On Wednesday, the Fed will almost certainly cut rates by 25 basis points, but there is a chance of 50 basis points. This supports gold. The tone of Powell's comments will determine expectations for further cuts. Technically, gold remains stable ahead of key events. China's weak economy and the Fed's dovish policy limit the potential for decline. A break above $3650 is possible with dovish signals from the Fed or an escalation of trade risks. Resistance levels: 3646, 3657, 3675 Support levels: 3630, 3620, 3600 As part of the formation of a “symmetrical triangle” consolidation, I will consider a retest of the consolidation support with the possibility of further growth (distribution). Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Gold Market Technical Outlook and Key Levels BULLS/BEARS📊 Technical Outlook Update — Gold (H4) As of 15 Sep 2025 • Spot is holding ~$3,640–3,650/oz after last week’s record spike; price is consolidating since. • On futures, settlement came in $3,686.40 (Sep 12) with a short-term “bullish breakout” narrative into today’s session. 🏆 Bull Market Overview ▪️ Massive rally now pausing below $3,700; momentum stalling under headline resistance. ▪️ Overhead resistances will limit upside:  — $3,700 (first major cap) • $3,750 (stretch/overshoot) ▪️ Key S/R zones (now):  — Resistance: $3,700 / $3,750  — Support: $3,600 / $3,500 / $3,400 (step-downs) ▪️ Bias: short-term limited upside after the run; risk of liquidity sweep lower before trend resumes. ▪️ October roadmap: looking for a re-test near $3,500 later in the month to reload bullish flow/liquidity. ▪️ Volatility: elevated vs. summer; headline-sensitive into the Fed this week. ⭐️ Recommended Strategy (H4 game plan) ▪️ Sell the first tests into $3,700 / $3,750 with tight risk; fade wicks. ▪️ Buy the dip into $3,600 → $3,500 → $3,400 zones; scale entries, keep stops beyond structure. ▪️ Momentum traders: wait for clean H4 close above $3,700 to target $3,730–$3,750; otherwise fade spikes. ▪️ Position traders: patient bids $3,520–$3,480 zone preferred for October reload. ▪️ If flat right now: no chase—let price come to your levels. Latest gold market updates 📈 Post-CPI pop kept spot above $3,640, reinforcing dip-buying interest even as the dollar firmed. 📰 Technicians flag bullish breakout dynamics despite intraday chop; futures settled $3,686.40 (Sep 12) ahead of fresh catalysts. 🧭 Context: market is consolidating beneath record highs set last week; pullbacks seen as tactical within a larger uptrend. Level map R2: $3,750 (bulls’ stretch / likely exhaust on first touch) R1: $3,700 (primary cap; fade unless impulsively reclaimed) S1: $3,600 (first bounce zone; liquidity magnet) S2: $3,500 (October re-test area to accumulate) S3: $3,400 (deeper flush / high-conviction buy zone)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
31
President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys, It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you. Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher. Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next. Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern. I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700. Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderTilki
36
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Gold? Gold has entered a corrective phase after printing a new high and is currently consolidating within a clearly defined channel. The price is fluctuating inside this channel and may even test the lower boundary before continuing higher. As long as gold remains within the channel, sideways to slightly downward movement can be expected in the short term. A bullish breakout above the channel would likely act as a trigger for the next impulsive move, potentially leading to a new all-time high. This week, the U.S. interest rate decision will be in the spotlight, which could significantly impact gold’s next move. Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long. Premature entries within the range may face choppy action. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
26
XAU/USD | Gold Prints New ATH at $3,685 – Rate Cut Rally Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price broke the key $3,657 level, just as expected, and today it even printed a new ATH at an impressive $3,685! As you know, this week is the interest rate decision week, and markets are preparing for a rate cut — either 0.25% or 0.5%. Each scenario can have a different level of impact: a 0.5% cut could easily push gold above $3,700–$3,740. Right now, gold is trading around $3,679. As long as it does not break and close below $3,674, we can expect some sideways movement followed by more upside, with the first target at $3,700. However, there’s also an important FVG (Fair Value Gap) between $3,664 and $3,674. If the first scenario fails, gold could sharply drop to fill this gap. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
25
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Movement From : 3645 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
22
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655. The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)? Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome. From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise. Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up. For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
20
The Stop-Loss Dilemma: Tight vs. Loose and When to Use EachToday we talk about stop losses. Love them or hate them, but don’t forget them, especially when things get wild out there. Some traders think of them as the trading equivalent of a safety net: you hope you’ll never need it, but when you slip off the tightrope, you’re grateful it’s there to catch you. Others believe they’re like training wheels that you can ditch when you think you’ve made it. But no matter your style, every trader eventually faces the same question: tight stop or loose stop? Let’s unpack. 🎯 What a Stop Loss Really Is At its core, a stop loss is an exit plan for the bad times (or learning times if you prefer). It’s not about being right, it’s about how wrong you want to be. You set a price level that says: “If the market gets here, I don’t want to be in this trade anymore.” That’s it. The dilemma starts when you realize how wide that safety net should be. Too tight, and you’re out of trades faster than you can say “fakeout.” That usually happens when the market gets too tough, especially around big news releases. But that’s why you have the Economic Calendar . Too loose, and you risk turning a small misstep into a full-blown account drain. 📏 The Case for Tight Stops Tight stops are for the traders who believe in precision. Think scalpers, intraday traders, or anyone not willing to take overnight risk, especially in the unpredictable corners of the crypto universe . These stops are fast, efficient, and don’t have any tolerance for error. And it happens quick: if you still have your position an hour or two later, you know you’ve survived. Pros: Keeps losses small. Risk per trade is limited. Forces you to be disciplined with entries (you need good timing). Frees up capital for more setups since each trade risks a relatively small amount. Cons: Markets love to hunt tight stops. Wiggles, noise, and random candles can boot you out of a perfectly good trade. Requires near-perfect timing. Short before the upside is over and you’re out. Can lead to overtrading – you may start seeing opportunities that aren’t really there. Tight stops can work if you’re trading liquid instruments with clear technical levels. But if you’re placing them under or over every tiny wick, you’re basically donating to the market makers’ La Marzocco fund. 🏝️ The Case for Loose Stops Loose stops are the opposite vibe. They belong to swing traders, position traders, and anyone who thinks the market needs “room to breathe.” A loose stop gives your trade the flexibility to be wrong in the short term while still right in the long run. It’s fairly boring trading. You open a relatively small position, you widen the stop and you forget about it. Pros: Avoids getting stopped out by random intraday noise. Lets you capture bigger moves without micromanaging. Works well in trending markets. Cons: You lock up capital if the trade moves sideways, i.e. risk missing out on other moves. Larger stops mean smaller position sizes (unless you enjoy blowing up accounts). Can tempt you to “hope and hold” instead of cutting losers early. Loose stops demand patience and conviction. They’re not an excuse to set a stop 30% away and take a vacation. They’re strategic, placed around real levels of support/resistance, trendlines, or even moving averages. ⚖️ Finding the Balance The reality? It’s not tight vs. loose – it’s about context. Your stop should reflect: Timeframe : Scalping the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? Tight. Swing trading Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ? Looser (notice the double “o”). Volatility : In calm markets, tighter stops work. In choppy ones (like individual stocks during earnings season ), they’ll get shredded. Strategy : Breakout traders often need loose stops (false breakouts happen). Mean-reversion traders can keep them tight. Think of it as tailoring your stop to the market’s mood. A tight stop in a trending, low-volatility stock might be perfect. That same stop in crypto? Time to say goodbye. 📉 The Asymmetric Opportunity Here’s where stop-loss talk gets spicy: risk-reward ratios . A tight stop with a big upside target creates an asymmetric bet. You risk $1 to make $5 or even $15. The problem is, you’ll get stopped out more often. A loose stop, on the other hand, lowers your win rate risk but demands patience and confidence to ride out volatility. Neither is better. It’s about whether you want more home runs with strikeouts (tight stops) or steady base hits with fewer fireworks (loose stops). 🧠 The Psychological Trap Stop losses aren’t just math, they’re psychology. Traders often tighten stops after a bruising loss, thinking they’ll “play it safe.” Then they get stopped out again and again. Others loosen stops out of fear, giving trades space, until their account looks like a shrinking balloon. The trick? Decide your stop before you enter. Not in the heat of the moment. Not after a candle fakes you out. Plan it. Write it down . Stick to it. 🚦 The Takeaway Stop losses aren’t about being tight or loose – they’re about being intentional. A good stop loss fits your strategy, your timeframe, and your psychology. It’s a line in the sand that says: “I’ll risk this much to make that much.” Next time you set a stop, are you protecting your capital or just trying to feel safe? Because the market doesn’t care about your comfort zone – it only respects discipline . 👉 Off to you : do you keep your stops tight, loose, or do you freestyle it? Let us know in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
12
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out as analysed. We started with our Bullish target 3653 being hit, followed with emA5 cross and lock opening 3678 - This was also hit perfectly completing the setup. We will now look for a ema56 cross and lock above 3678 for a continuation into 3702 or failure to lock above 3678 will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3653 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3653 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3678 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3678 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3702 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3702 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3727 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3727 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3747 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3747 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3768 BEARISH TARGETS 3622 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3622 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3585 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3585 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3556 3528 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Where Is ETH Going This Cycle? (Educational Perspective) Every cycle brings the same question: Where is Ethereum heading next? Most look for price guesses, but that’s a distraction. The real advantage comes from knowing what factors will drive ETH’s direction. Understanding the drivers doesn’t require prediction, it requires planning. A Look Back: ETH in Previous Cycles Ethereum has repeatedly proven its resilience and innovation leadership: 2016–2017: Breakout fueled by ICO boom—ETH became the token-launch backbone. 2018–2019: Bear market and ICO collapse—but builders persisted. 2020–2021: DeFi and NFT surge—Ethereum powered the blockchain economy as “digital oil.” 2022–2023: Post-Merge era—transition to PoS and reduced issuance amid regulatory uncertainty. Through every phase, ETH stayed central to crypto’s evolution. On-Chain Metrics to Watch Ethereum’s transparency lets us monitor structural strength in real time: Active addresses gauge real network use. Staking levels shrink available supply—over 35M ETH (≈30%) staked by mid-2025. ETH locked in DeFi reflects collateral demand. Gas fee burn continues to tighten supply post-EIP-1559. Macro & Narrative Drivers (2024–2025 Upgrades & ETF Momentum) Stories move markets, and Ethereum has some strong ones now: Spot ETH ETF Launch: Nearly $500M in institutional inflows since mid-2024. Staking Supply Constraint: Record ETH locked → tighter supply. Technical Enhancements: Dencun (2024) and Pectra (2025) improving scalability and validator usability. Regulatory & Macro Tailwinds: GENIUS Act, institutional adoption, favorable policies. The Real Question Traders Should Ask Price targets are clickbait. The real question is: “Which factors will move ETH this cycle?” By tracking ETF flows, staking ratios, upgrades, and macro conditions, traders avoid being surprised.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by HyroTrader
12
How to Close a Losing Trade?Cutting losses is an art, and a losing trader is an artist. Closing a losing position is an important skill in risk management. When you are in a losing trade, you need to know when to get out and accept the loss. In theory, cutting losses and keeping your losses small is a simple concept, but in practice, it is an art. Here are ten things you need to consider when closing a losing position. 1. Don't trade without a stop-loss strategy. You must know where you will exit before you enter an order. 2. Stop-losses should be placed outside the normal range of price action at a level that could signal that your trading view is wrong. 3. Some traders set stop-losses as a percentage, such as if they are trying to make a profit of +12% on stock trades, they set a stop-loss when the stock falls -4% to create a TP/SL ratio of 3:1. 4. Other traders use time-based stop-losses, if the trade falls but never hits the stop-loss level or reaches the profit target in a set time frame, they will only exit the trade due to no trend and go look for better opportunities. 5. Many traders will exit a trade when they see the market has a spike, even if the price has not hit the stop-loss level. 6. In long-term trend trading, stop-losses must be wide enough to capture a real long-term trend without being stopped out early by noise signals. This is where long-term moving averages such as the 200-day and moving average crossover signals are used to have a wider stop-loss. It is important to have smaller position sizes on potentially more volatile trades and high risk price action. 7. You are trading to make money, not to lose money. Just holding and hoping your losing trades will come back to even so you can exit at breakeven is one of the worst plans. 8. The worst reason to sell a losing position is because of emotion or stress, a trader should always have a rational and quantitative reason to exit a losing trade. If the stop-loss is too tight, you may be shaken out and every trade will easily become a small loss. You have to give trades enough room to develop. 9. Always exit the position when the maximum allowable percentage of your trading capital is lost. Setting your maximum allowable loss percentage at 1% to 2% of your total trading capital based on your stop-loss and position size will reduce the risk of account blowouts and keep your drawdowns small. 10. The basic art of selling a losing trade is knowing the difference between normal volatility and a trend-changing price change.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by TradingshopUS
9
Gold Price Today – Buy or Sell?👋Hello everyone, it's great to be back. Let’s discuss OANDA:XAUUSD ! Here’s my short-term outlook: XAUUSD is currently facing a new resistance zone around 3,655 USD, showing potential signs of a Triple Top pattern. The price has tested this level multiple times, and if it can’t break through, we might see a pullback towards support—first around 3,620 USD, then possibly down to 3,600 USD. The bullish trend will be maintained as long as this support level holds. Outlook: This week promises to be an exciting trading week with several important news events scheduled to be released: -US Retail Sales (Tuesday) -Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision, Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday) -Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims (Thursday). The next move will depend on these news events. Keep a close eye on the upcoming price action! What’s your take? Do you expect gold to rise or fall? Leave your thoughts in the comments or like the post if you agree with this analysis. Wishing you a fantastic trading week ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
21
EURUSD – Bullish Technical Outlook Still Intact👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of FX:EURUSD ? As of now, EURUSD is moving as expected, with the pair trading around 1.174 at the start of the week. EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone around 1.1800, with the first target at 1.176 already tested. From a technical standpoint, the pair is in a clear uptrend, supported by the trendline and two EMA lines, with strong bullish momentum in play, following the trajectory of an Ascending Triangle pattern. The target to break through remains 1.1800. If the price breaks this level, we could see the next leg of the rally towards 1.1900 or even higher. Watch for a solid confirmation before entering the trade for a safer position. What do you think about EURUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
16
The Final Ascent: BTC's $165K Launchpad Before the Great ResetBuckle up. This isn't just another chart; it's the roadmap for the most critical phase of Bitcoin's current cycle. We're witnessing the final act of a masterpiece play out right now, and understanding this structure is the key to navigating what comes next. Here’s the brutal, beautiful truth laid out by the tape: The Setup: From Compression to Ignition Remember the agonizingly long consolidation? That was the massive Falling Wedge throughout 2022 and early 2023. It was a pressure cooker, squeezing out weak hands and building immense energy. The major breakout from that Falling Wedge was the spark. It wasn't just a rally; it was the official signal that the bull market was back on. That breakout launched us into the next, more powerful pattern the Rising Wedge. The Current Play: The Rising Wedge Journey We are now deep inside this ascending channel. Each higher high and each higher low is creating this converging pattern a classic Rising Wedge. This is the market's way of climbing a wall of worry on a wave of increasing optimism and liquidity. But make no mistake, this structure is inherently bullish yet exhausting. It's the final leg up, the last major push to suck in every last bit of momentum before the fuel runs out. The Target: The Cycle Peak The geometry of this wedge is pointing to a final, spectacular blow-off top. The most probable target for the peak of this wedge is $165,000. I wouldn't be surprised to see a slight extension in the euphoria that could tag $170,000, but that's the ceiling. Based on the rhythm of this move, the clock is ticking towards a November 2025 finale. Mark it. The Inevitable: The Great Bear & The Golden Accumulation Zone This is the most critical part. A Rising Wedge resolution is almost always the same: a violent breakdown. The fallout from this peak will be brutal a proper crypto winter. It will shake out every over leveraged dreamer. This bear market will find its ultimate bottom, its point of maximum financial opportunity, in the $54,000 - $60,000 zone. That is not a typo. That will be the generational buying opportunity. The mother of all dips. ACCUMULATE THERE. The Next Chapter: The $500K Horizon That 2027 bottom won't be the end. It will be the foundation for the next cycle. The recovery from that $60k zone will be the start of Bitcoin's next, truly historic run towards a target that seems crazy today $500,000. This isn't hopium; it's the logical progression of the four year cycle, adoption curves, and the patterns that have always governed this market. The Bottom Line: We are in the final, parabolic stage. Target $165K+ by Nov 2025. Then, prepare for the storm. The real-life changing wealth won't be made at the top; it will be made by those with the courage and dry powder to buy relentlessly in the $54k-$60k pit of despair in 2027. This is the plan. Trade accordingly.
by weslad
61
Don't go crazy with gold, please be rationalGold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655. The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)? Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome. From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise. Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up. For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups. I believe many of my friends who followed me made money during this gold rally, but some new friends must have gotten stuck with their orders or had their accounts wiped out! This market is like this; it can bring both wealth and disaster! So even if you've wiped out your account, don't lose heart or get crazy. Calm down. Gold will fall.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SpringGrant
9
Bitcoin: Bullish Engulfing Setup Into FOMC Week.Bitcoin has formed a minor impulse structure and is currently showing a potential wave 4. The fact that it has initially rejected the 116K area resistance, but has barely retraced is a sign of strength. No wave 1, wave 4 overlap lap means a bullish wave 5 is more likely. A 5th wave can see price testing the 118 to 120K area this week. This puts my B wave scenario that I spoke about a week earlier into question which is the nature of subjective wave counts and why it is important to stay flexible. This week we have the FOMC meeting where the FED is expected to cut interest rates by AT LEAST 25 basis points with an increasing possibility of a greater cut. Keep in mind the 25 point scenario is priced in. If they cut as expected, the focus will be on the press conference and how Powell responds to questions. This is where the market can fluctuate wildly depending on what hints he provides about future rate cuts, etc. Such a catalyst can be substantial enough to push Bitcoin into the 120K area, which will also move the other major markets dramatically as well. What will invalidate the current bullish setup is a break back below the 113K support. IF this occurs as a result of the upcoming meeting, or any other reason, it will strengthen my B wave argument that I made the week earlier. So at this time, swing trade longs make sense, just be prepared for a dramatic change. IF for whatever reason price tests the 123Ks or higher, that will point to a potential run to the 130KS because it will confirm the current formation is still part of a broader wave 4. Yes it can be confusing, and when it is, focus more on the market structure itself. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
6