Bitcoin's Waterloo is about to begin.
As uncertainty in financial markets and geopolitical situations increases, investors are accelerating their flow into safe-haven assets, significantly weakening the importance of Bitcoin.
The shift in market sentiment is closely related to the uncertainty surrounding U.S. foreign policy. Recently, President Trump's tough stance on major trading partners has sparked market concerns. Last weekend, Trump warned that the U.S. might impose a 100% tariff on Canadian goods if Canada reaches trade agreements with Asian countries, reigniting market concerns about trade tensions.
Bitcoin is likely to experience further declines, and unless trading volume increases or a clear catalyst breaks this trend, Bitcoin appears more likely to consolidate than to surge.
Recent weeks have shown that optimism alone is not enough to change this narrative.
Community ideas
Eurusd will be bullish EURUSD is trading inside a clear range, with price reacting from the support zone around 1.1836. A bullish rebound from this level can push price toward the resistance area near 1.1899–1.1907. If resistance breaks and holds, the next upside target lies around 1.1925. Overall bias remains bullish above support, while a support break may invalidate the setup.
Wait for confirmation before entry.
BITCOIN isn't diverging from 2022 at all!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to replicate the 2022 Bear Cycle almost in the exact same fashion. This is of course a concept we introduced back in October for the first time and so far it has fulfilled all conditions set in its way.
The most recent is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection, which in 2022 happened on March 02 and after another Support test, BTC rebounded for the final rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As mentioned before, that could be around $100k.
Assuming the 2026 Bear Cycle continues to repeat the 2022 price action, the next Support level should be around $70k, then $51-52k and finally around $45000.
So do you think it will unfold like 2022? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Whale Watching 101: How to Use Exchange Inflow/Outflow DataIn the ocean of cryptocurrency, Retail Traders are the plankton, and Institutions are the Whales. When a Whale moves, the water displaces, and the plankton get pushed around. If you want to survive in 2026, you must stop swimming against the current and start tracking the Whales.
But how do you see them? They don't post their trades on Twitter. They leave On-Chain Footprints. The biggest footprint they leave is moving money in and out of Exchanges.
Today, we are mastering the most fundamental On-Chain metric: Exchange Netflow.
1. The Golden Rule of Flows
To understand this data, you must understand the psychology of a Whale. A Whale (holding 1,000+ BTC) does not keep their money on an exchange like Binance or Coinbase unless they are planning to do something.
Exchange INFLOW (The Bearish Signal)
The Logic: Why would a Whale move 5,000 BTC from a secure Cold Wallet (Ledger/Trezor) to an Exchange?
The Intent: They are likely preparing to SELL.
The Trading Signal: If you see a massive spike in "Exchange Inflow" while price is hitting a Resistance level, it is a massive warning sign. The Whales are loading their guns to dump on the retail breakout.
Exchange OUTFLOW (The Bullish Signal)
The Logic: Why would a Whale withdraw 5,000 BTC from an Exchange to a Cold Wallet?
The Intent: They have finished buying. They are removing the supply from the market to hold for the long term.
The Trading Signal: If price is dumping, but "Exchange Outflows" are hitting record highs, this is Accumulation. The Whales are buying the dip and removing the coins from circulation. This is how "Supply Shock" happens.
2. The Nuance: Stablecoins vs. Bitcoin
This is where 90% of rookie traders get it wrong. You must distinguish what is flowing in.
BTC Moving to Exchange = Sell Pressure (Bearish)
Interpretation: Supply is increasing.
Stablecoins (USDT/USDC) Moving to Exchange = Buy Power (Bullish)
Interpretation: This is "Dry Powder." When Whales move millions of USDT to an exchange, they are preparing to BUY the dip.
The "Ultimate Bull Signal": High BTC Outflows (Supply Shock) + High Stablecoin Inflows (Buying Power) = Parabolic Price Action.
3. Case Study: The "Fakeout" Trap
Let’s apply this to a real trading scenario.
The Scenario: Bitcoin is trading at $98,000. It looks bullish. Suddenly, a breakout occurs to $100,000. Retail traders start longing with 50x leverage.
The On-Chain Reality: You check the data. You see that 1 hour before the breakout, 10,000 BTC flowed INTO Coinbase Pro.
The Trade:
The Trap: The breakout is likely a "Bull Trap." The Whales moved that BTC to sell into the liquidity provided by the retail longs.
Your Move: Instead of longing the breakout, you Short the rejection, knowing that massive sell pressure is sitting on the order book.
4. Tools of the Trade
You cannot trade this without data. Here are the industry standards for 2026:
Glassnode: The gold standard for "Exchange Net Position Change" charts.
CryptoQuant: Excellent for real-time "Exchange Inflow" alerts.
Whale Alert (Twitter/X): Good for spotting individual massive transactions, but be careful—sometimes these are just internal transfers (exchange wallet to exchange wallet). Always verify if it is an actual inflow.
Conclusion: Context is King
Exchange flows are powerful, but they are not a crystal ball.
Low Volatility + Inflows = Preparing for a big move (likely down).
High Volatility + Inflows = Panic selling (Capitulation).
Use Fundamental Analysis to see Where the money is going, and Technical Analysis to time When to enter.
Stop guessing. Start tracking.
-Tuffycalls (Team Mubite)
USDJPY 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 153.920 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 4h chart route map and trading plan for the week ahead.
We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4999 and a gap below at 4923. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5082
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5082 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5156
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5156 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5228
BEARISH TARGET
4923
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4923 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4842
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4842 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4740
4665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4665 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
4596
4519
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
Bitcoin — Bearish Bigger Picture, But a Short-Term Reversal?When it comes to the overall outlook for BTC, I remain far from optimistic and continue to hold a bearish bias on the medium to longer term.
That said, markets move in waves — and based on last week’s price action, I’m now expecting a short-term upside reversal.
🔎 What Changed on the Chart
After breaking below the flag formation that had defined price action since late November, BTC dropped into the 86k zone, where it formed a local low.
What’s important is what happened next:
- price reversed quickly
- and moved back up to retest the broken flag structure
Under normal circumstances, a clean break from a continuation pattern like this should lead to acceleration to the downside.
The fact that this acceleration did not happen is, in itself, information.
👉 This behavior strongly suggests the possibility of a false break.
⚖️ Two Time Horizons, Two Different Biases
To be very clear:
Medium-term:
My bearish view remains unchanged, with 75k still my primary downside objective.
Short-term:
The current structure opens the door for a counter-trend long, especially if price continues to hold above the recent low.
📌 Trading Idea (Short-Term Only)
On the short-term horizon, I will look to:
👉 buy dips
The logic is simple and tactical:
- downside risk is relatively well-defined
- upside potential could extend toward the 95k zone
That gives a potential risk-to-reward of up to 1:5, which is more than acceptable for a counter-trend setup.
✅ Conclusion
BTC remains a bearish market on the bigger picture — but short-term price behavior matters.
Right now, the lack of downside follow-through after the flag break increases the probability that we are seeing a temporary upside reversal.
Trade the timeframe you’re in — and manage risk accordingly. 🚀
Gold will experience a significant correction.
Gold experienced its largest single-month increase in history this month.
In the long run, gold will certainly rise, but in the near future, there will definitely be a significant downward correction. The recent gold market has been extremely volatile, but we must remain calm when trading. Maintain a clear head and don't be carried away by the current surge.
I predict this correction will cause many people to lose their entire accounts. Therefore, taking profits in a timely manner is essential. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
Elise | XAUUSD – 30M | Bullish ContinuationOANDA:XAUUSD
After the impulsive upside move, XAUUSD entered a healthy consolidation phase. The pullback into demand was met with support, suggesting this move is corrective rather than distributive. As long as price holds above the demand zone, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Hold above 4,995
🎯 Target 1: 5,135
🎯 Target 2: 5,220
❌ Bearish Invalidation 📉 → Sustained breakdown below 4,995 would weaken bullish structure.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 5,135 – 5,160
Support 🟢: 4,995 – 5,015
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
RENDER - Decision Zone ApproachingRENDER is slowly grinding lower and approaching a clear demand zone, an area where buyers have previously stepped in aggressively.
As long as price is holding inside this blue demand zone, the plan is simple:
👉 look for longs, patiently, with confirmation...
That said, context matters.
For the bulls to fully take control again, one thing is still missing:
a clean break above the red falling channel. Until that happens, any upside remains corrective rather than impulsive.
In short:
Demand zone = opportunity.
Channel break = confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
NQ Short (01-28-26)Fed Day and the stage is set for a decent drop test or rip lower. As usual I may be 1 day or so early with the Short call (yesterday), staying with it today. What to look at is how/when we got here. Mostly O/N after narrow sideways PA in the Reg (not normal or strange Bull). Why so much in the off session? The NQ Contract has 15 times the buying power vs QQQ ETF, this may explain the use to prop (up only in O/N) the NAZ or pave the way higher. The chart below will show the Reg Only session (left) and both sessions (right).
Regarding the Post, we could be looking at a Double Top False Breakout of the Triangle to a Rip Lower or Breakout with White arrow into upper channel, above the Orange TL (started in 10/22).
$AMZN - Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern Perfect Setup!Hello My Exit Liquidities!
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most used and noticed patter in trading
In this case we have a inverted head and shoulders which is just a regular head and shoulders, but upside down
When seeing a regular head and shoulders people usually look to go short to flow with the momentum
However, with an inverted head and shoulders people usually look to go long
This setup on NASDAQ:AMZN 1H chart is a perfect example of this pattern
I'll be watching this one!
EURUSD Monthly Rejection ZoneQuick Summary
After the strong rally on EURUSD price appears to have targeted the monthly FVG
This aligns with equal highs located within that zone and This area may support a bearish reaction and continuation of the broader downtrend
The expected move would aim to fill the liquidity void left over the past 10 days
Full Analysis
Following the significant upside move on EURUSD price action suggests that the market was targeting the monthly fair value gap
This scenario is logical as the FVG aligns with equal highs which often acts as a strong liquidity zone
The presence of equal highs within this higher timeframe imbalance increases the probability of a bearish reaction
Such areas commonly attract price before initiating a move in the opposite direction
If price begins to react from this zone the resulting move would form a clear orderflow structure
This orderflow could serve as a strong base for continuation of the broader bearish trend
The main downside objective in this scenario is the liquidity void that EURUSD has left behind over the past 10 consecutive days
That imbalance represents a significant magnet for price and supports the idea of a deeper corrective or trend continuation move
As long as price remains below the monthly reaction zone the bearish outlook remains valid
The focus now is on monitoring price behavior for confirmation that the higher timeframe rejection is holding
USDJPY 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 153.420 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Gold: Focus on the 5110 resistance level and bullish momentum!
From the daily chart, gold's candlestick pattern continues to be supported by short-term moving averages, maintaining a steady upward trend. Although there was a pullback after a surge the previous day, the price did not continue to fall today, indicating limited corrective pressure. The key focus in the short term is the test of the 5110 resistance level.
Switching to the 4-hour chart, the gold price is currently maintaining a narrow range of high-level fluctuations, undergoing technical correction. The intraday pullback was limited, and it's worth noting that silver has already broken out on the 4-hour chart, which may provide guidance for gold during the European and US trading sessions. Watch to see if gold can follow suit with an upward move.
On the hourly chart, the trading range narrowed significantly in the afternoon, with the price hovering near the previous support area. Short-term technical indicators are gradually adjusting and correcting, and the overall structure has not weakened. In summary, the price action across all timeframes still tends to maintain a strong upward bias, and further upward momentum may follow after consolidation.
Trading Strategy: Consider buying lightly near the 5080-5081 area, with a target of 5110-5136. Market conditions are volatile; please closely monitor real-time movements.
DXY Update and What It Means for CryptoThis is a fresh update on the DXY (US Dollar Index), and the chart is finally doing something interesting for crypto bulls.
DXY just broke down out of a descending triangle, a classic bearish pattern where lower highs crush into flat support until the floor finally gives way. On this chart, that breakdown is now in play, and for crypto, that’s a big deal.
The move isn’t small either. DXY is having one of its biggest drops ever: is down about
‑15.6% from its 2022 peak, trading around 96.8 today, the largest slide since 2017. That last major dollar dump came right before global liquidity surged and crypto went into a historic bull market.
There’s also a level that keeps showing up in history: 95 on DXY.
- The last time DXY broke and lived below 95, BTC went parabolic.
- In both 2017 and 2021, decisive breaks under 95 lined up with major Bitcoin bull phases.
We obviously can’t copy‑paste the past, but the message is pretty clear.
Liquidity looks for risk and crypto is one of the purest risk assets on the board.
SILVER | Pullback as Precious Metals Rally PausesPRECIOUS METALS MINERS | Pullback as SILVER Rally Pauses
European precious metals miners opened lower as investors took profits after the recent strong rally in TVC:GOLD and TVC:SILVER . The pause in bullion momentum weighed on mining equities, which tend to amplify moves in underlying metal prices.
In early London trade, Fresnillo and Hochschild fell around 3.2% and 2.5%, respectively, while losses extended beyond precious-metals-focused miners, reflecting a broader risk-off tone at the open.
Technical Outlook
The price maintains a bearish structure while trading below the 112.91 pivot.
As long as price remains below 112.91, downside pressure is expected toward 110.40.
A confirmed 1H close below 110.40 would strengthen bearish continuation toward 107.46, followed by 103.35.
On the upside, bullish momentum would only be activated with a 1H close above 112.91, opening the way toward 117.19 and 119.83.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 112.91
• Support: 109.41 – 107.47 – 103.40
• Resistance: 115.00 – 117.20 – 119.84
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Levels AnalysisThis chart illustrates the current price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Key resistance and support levels are identified to aid in predicting potential price movement. The chart highlights critical areas of interest, including the Upper Target/Resistance Level at 5,395.289, Key Support Level at 5,252.384, and Major Support Level at 5,204.713 These levels are essential for planning trades and understanding price behavior Price action is expected to react near these key zones, with potential for reversals or breakouts
ETH : Bulls Regaining Control?ETH : Bulls Regaining Control?
Ethereum experienced a strong bullish impulse, followed by a small correction.
This structure looks like a classic bullish reversal pattern, and ETH is likely to resume the bullish trend again.
Price has now broken above the pattern, which is an important bullish signal. As long as ETH holds above this breakout area, the probability increases for a continuation to the upside.
The first upside target is the 3,160 area, which previously acted as a key structure zone.
If bullish momentum continues, ETH could extend higher toward the 3,350 level, where strong resistance is expected.
Key Levels:
3,160
3,350
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
BTC.D - Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakdown & Key LevelsWelcome to another Mubite technical update. Today we are focusing purely on the market structure of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the 1H timeframe.
The index has just confirmed a significant structural shift that suggests a change in the immediate trend direction.
Here is the technical breakdown of the chart.
1. The Trendline Breakdown For several days, BTC.D has been respecting a steep ascending trendline (White Line), creating a series of higher lows.
The Signal: As shown on the chart, the price has now decisively broken below this trendline support. This invalidates the immediate uptrend structure on this timeframe.
2. The Immediate Support (Yellow Zone) The decline is currently approaching a critical demand cluster—the Yellow Zone located between 4,600 and 4,620.
Technical Importance: This zone previously acted as a consolidation base before the last leg up. We expect it to act as the first line of defense, potentially pausing the initial drop.
3. The Forecast: The "Break & Retest" Pattern Based on the breakdown, we are projecting a classic bearish continuation pattern, as illustrated by the white arrows:
Phase A (The Bounce): Upon hitting the Yellow Zone (4,600), we anticipate a bounce.
Phase B (The Retest): The index will likely attempt to rally back up to test the Broken Trendline. This trendline, which was previously support, should now flip to act as Resistance.
Phase C (Continuation): If the retest rejects at the trendline, it confirms the bearish structure, likely leading to a lower low below the yellow zone.
Summary
Trend: Bearish (Trendline Broken).
Key Support: 4,600 - 4,620.
Key Resistance: The underside of the ascending trendline.
Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.
What is your technical bias on this chart? Do you see a bounce or a straight drop? Let us know below.
-TuffyCalls (Team Mubite)
Selena | XAUUSD | 1H – Bullish Market Structure With Channel FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
After consolidating at lower levels, Gold broke structure and entered a sustained bullish phase. Each pullback has been corrective and followed by renewed buying pressure, confirming trend strength. Current price is holding above internal support zones, indicating continuation potential toward higher liquidity.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → As long as price holds above internal demand and channel support, continuation toward external highs remains valid.
🎯 Target 1: 5050 – 5080
🎯 Target 2: 5120 – 5200
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A decisive break and close below channel support would invalidate the bullish structure and open a deeper corrective phase.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 5050 – 5200
Support 🟢: 4920 – 4850
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research before trading.
When Fear Returns, Gold Speaks AgainHello everyone,
After many years of following and trading gold through crises, geopolitical tensions, and major shifts in monetary policy, I have always viewed gold as a barometer of market psychology. And what the H4 chart of XAUUSD is showing right now feels very familiar: fear is starting to outweigh confidence, and safe-haven flows are returning to where they naturally belong.
This is not a purely technical rally. The price structure suggests gold is advancing within a clearly supportive macro backdrop. On the H4 timeframe, the uptrend maintains a healthy slope, pullbacks remain shallow, and dips are quickly absorbed. EMA 34 and EMA 89 are positioned neatly below price, expanding and sloping upward — a classic signature of a strong market where price no longer feels the need to revisit deep equilibrium zones. Gold is currently trading around 5,220–5,230, at fresh highs, yet there are no meaningful signs of distribution so far.
What makes this move particularly noteworthy is the story behind it. Gold is rising exactly in line with its traditional role — as a measure of fear. Geopolitical concerns, monetary policy uncertainty, and broader instability are pushing investors toward defense. When gold rallies on safe-haven demand, trends rarely reverse quickly, because this is the behavior of large capital reallocations rather than short-term emotional flows.
The policy backdrop further reinforces this dynamic. The Fed, along with several major central banks, has shifted into a cautious stance, deliberately avoiding firm commitments. Holding rates steady while political and macro pressures intensify places markets in a prolonged “waiting mode” — an environment where gold typically thrives. At the same time, the U.S. dollar has weakened notably, with DXY falling to multi-month lows, driven not only by rate expectations but also by policy considerations and volatility in the Japanese yen. When USD weakness stems from policy factors rather than pure growth optimism, its impact on gold tends to be swift and pronounced.
From my perspective, this keeps the broader picture intact: gold is not just moving higher — it is being repriced in response to risk, uncertainty, and shifting confidence. And as long as fear continues to quietly build beneath the surface, gold is likely to keep speaking louder than many other assets.
What’s your take — do you see this as the early stage of a deeper repricing, or simply another strong leg within an already extended trend?






















