BITCOIN isn't diverging from 2022 at all!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to replicate the 2022 Bear Cycle almost in the exact same fashion. This is of course a concept we introduced back in October for the first time and so far it has fulfilled all conditions set in its way.
The most recent is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection, which in 2022 happened on March 02 and after another Support test, BTC rebounded for the final rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As mentioned before, that could be around $100k.
Assuming the 2026 Bear Cycle continues to repeat the 2022 price action, the next Support level should be around $70k, then $51-52k and finally around $45000.
So do you think it will unfold like 2022? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Community ideas
Bitcoin's Waterloo is about to begin.
As uncertainty in financial markets and geopolitical situations increases, investors are accelerating their flow into safe-haven assets, significantly weakening the importance of Bitcoin.
The shift in market sentiment is closely related to the uncertainty surrounding U.S. foreign policy. Recently, President Trump's tough stance on major trading partners has sparked market concerns. Last weekend, Trump warned that the U.S. might impose a 100% tariff on Canadian goods if Canada reaches trade agreements with Asian countries, reigniting market concerns about trade tensions.
Bitcoin is likely to experience further declines, and unless trading volume increases or a clear catalyst breaks this trend, Bitcoin appears more likely to consolidate than to surge.
Recent weeks have shown that optimism alone is not enough to change this narrative.
Gold Compressing Near Resistance Ahead of Potential BreakoutHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold has been trading in a strong bullish trend, clearly defined by a rising structure that started after a prolonged consolidation phase. Initially, price moved sideways within a well-marked range, signaling market balance and accumulation. This range acted as a base for the next directional move. Once buyers gained control, XAUUSD broke decisively above the range highs, confirming a shift from consolidation to expansion and triggering a strong impulsive rally. Currently, price is approaching the Resistance Level / Seller Zone around the 5,330–5,350 area. Momentum remains bullish, but the market is showing signs of short-term consolidation near the highs, suggesting a pause after the strong impulse. This behavior is typical after vertical moves, as the market digests gains before deciding on continuation or correction. Importantly, price is still holding above the rising support line and above the Buyer Zone, which keeps the bullish bias intact. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the Buyer Zone around 5,060–5,100 and continues to respect the ascending channel support, I expect a continuation higher toward the Seller Zone near 5,350 (TP1). A brief corrective pullback into support would be a healthy move within the trend and could provide renewed buying interest. A clean breakout and acceptance above the Seller Zone would confirm further upside continuation and open the door for higher targets. However, a strong rejection from the Seller Zone followed by a breakdown below the rising support line and Buyer Zone would signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, the structure, momentum, and price action continue to favor buyers, with the current consolidation appearing as preparation for the next move, not a reversal. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Outlook (GC / COMEX, 1D)Gold just broke above a multi-month resistance line and followed through hard into the 5,300 area. The move is steep, but it’s coming after a long grind up and repeated higher lows, not a single one-off spike.
What I’m watching
Price is extended and momentum is elevated on the daily. That usually leads to one of two things: a sideways base to cool off, or a pullback into the breakout area.
Key levels
5,300 is the current high and obvious overhead reference.
5,000 is the first big psychological level below.
4,700 to 4,650 is the breakout zone from the prior resistance line. If this is a real trend continuation, this area is where buyers should show up on a pullback.
4,400 is the last major swing area below that. Losing that would change the structure.
Scenarios
1) Continuation (most likely while trend holds)
A brief consolidation under/around 5,300, then another push higher. This is typical after a clean breakout when dips stay shallow.
2) Pullback and retest (healthy)
A retrace back toward 5,000 and potentially into 4,700–4,650. If price holds there and bounces, that’s still a long trend, just with better entries.
3) Failed breakout (low probability but important)
Acceptance back below the breakout zone (4,650 area) and continued weakness. That’s the first sign this was exhaustion rather than trend continuation.
Invalidation for the long bias
Long bias stays intact as long as price holds above the breakout zone (roughly 4,650–4,700). A clean break and acceptance below it is where I stop treating this as a trending market.
This lines up with the “institutional hedge” angle too. The chart looks like steady accumulation that turned into an upside expansion, not a retail chase.
BTCUSD – 30M – Bullish Continuation From SupportBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After sweeping liquidity from the lower demand zone, BTC shifted momentum bullish and pushed toward the 90,700–91,000 resistance zone. Price is now retracing into prior support, suggesting a potential continuation if buyers defend the level.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Hold above 88,500 with bullish reaction
🎯 Target 1: 90,700 – 91,000
🎯 Target 2: 91,800 – 92,200
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Clean breakdown below 88,500
A loss of structure opens downside toward 86,300 demand, invalidating the bullish setup.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 90,700 – 91,000
Support 🟢: 88,500 / 86,300
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research before trading.
Lingrid | GOLD Continued Bullish Momentum in MarketOANDA:XAUUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price remains firmly bid after defending the rising trendline and printing another sequence of higher lows within the ascending channel. The recent push above the 5,200 area confirms sustained demand, while momentum continues to build rather than fade. Price action suggests strength, not exhaustion, as buyers keep stepping in on shallow pullbacks.
If the market holds above the rising support band, TVC:GOLD could grind higher toward the 5,500 psychological level, where the upper channel resistance comes into play. Any short-term dip toward trend support may attract fresh demand rather than trigger distribution.
➡️ Primary scenario: continuation above 5,135 → advance toward 5,500.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below the rising trendline could delay upside and expose a deeper consolidation.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
APEX - 10x | 100x potential on this altcoin!APEX is a very promising professional decentralized exchange / platform that's why I share with you this technical analysis! I am not really encouraging people to buy the top, don't do that! Always wait for a pullback. As we can see on the weekly chart, APEX made a pretty significant pullback and filled the previous FVG (Fair Value Gap). That's, from a technical point of view a very important event!
To be precise, we have a 91% correction from the all-time high on this coin. That's a very good correction that is buyable. Usually you don't want to buy coins that dropped 99% or more; that's a sign of a scam. The coin has been trading in this wide range on the weekly chart for 1327 days and soon we should see an explosive price action.
There are 2 profit targets that you can use. The first is at the top of the range, around 3.8 USDT (10x profit). The second profit target is way above the range, but to reach this level we need an altcoin season. Altcoin seasons are often easy to predict if you know how to read the BTC.D chart. In short, take your profit at the top of the range, and if during this time we have an altcoin season, you can extend your profit target. Or take only 50% profit there.
ApeX Protocol is a decentralized, non-custodial, permissionless, censorship-resistant perpetual derivatives protocol that enables the introduction of perpetual swap markets (perpetual futures) for any token pairs. The protocol allows users to relegate crypto derivatives on the Ethereum blockchain with no intermediaries involved while maintaining total control over their private keys.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin at Key Support – Correction Complete or Another Drop!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has continued its correction in recent days due to the following key reasons:
1. U.S. Government Shutdown Risk: Political deadlock over the federal budget deadline (January 30) has triggered a "risk-off" sentiment in global markets, pushing investors away from volatile assets like Bitcoin.
2. Trade Tensions and Tariff Threats: Trump's threats of 100% tariffs on Canadian imports have strengthened the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY DXY), acting as a headwind for Bitcoin and contributing to broader market declines.
3. ETF Outflows and Market Fundamentals: Net outflows of about $6.1B from Bitcoin spot ETFs over the past three months, combined with on-chain realized losses for holders and leveraged position liquidations, have intensified selling pressure.
4. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East: Escalating conflicts, including risks around Iran and oil( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) supply disruptions, have amplified global uncertainty and risk aversion, leading to further sell-offs in cryptocurrencies as investors seek safer assets.
Let’s dive into the technical analysis of Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe to see how it’s performing. Stay tuned!
As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin followed the anticipated bullish and bearish movements, reaching its targets (Targets Done).
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near a support zone($86,420-$83,820) and has also created a new CME Gap($89,205-$88,385) with the start of this trading week.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its main wave 5 near the support zone($86,420-$83,820) and support line, so we can now expect a corrective wave.
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between two consecutive valleys.
I expect that after a correction, Bitcoin will resume its upward movement and potentially reach the first target of $88,667. With strong bullish momentum, we could see Bitcoin move even higher in the short term.
Note: Bitcoin, like other dollar-denominated assets, is influenced by various factors, including political statements and news. Therefore, it’s crucial to manage risk carefully and stay prepared for any scenario. Make sure to keep an eye on updates.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on Bitcoin. Do you think the downward trend will persist, and how far do you expect it to drop?
First Target: $88,667
Second Target: $89,401
Third Target: $90,231
Stop Loss(SL): $85,527(Worst)
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,450-$85,600
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $88,890-$88,400
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Gold Isn’t Weak — It’s Structuring for the Next ExpansionHello traders, Louna here.
Gold started the week around $5,075, up approximately 1.76%. After an aggressive bullish expansion, price has naturally shifted into a slowdown and technical consolidation. This is not weakness — it is healthy trend behavior. Strong trends pause, they don’t collapse.
From a macro standpoint, the backdrop remains supportive. Geopolitical tensions have not eased, and global policy uncertainty continues to favor safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the US dollar lacks the momentum required to suppress gold meaningfully. As a result, capital rotation away from gold is limited — institutions still have reasons to stay positioned.
On the technical side, structure remains exceptionally clean. Price is respecting an ascending channel, with each pullback remaining corrective rather than impulsive. The unfilled gap below stands out as a potential liquidity magnet, though no confirmation has appeared yet. This keeps the market in a “wait and react” phase rather than a “predict” phase.
Primary scenario:
If price retraces into the gap while preserving the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the dominant path, with $5,208 aligning as the next expansion target near the upper boundary of the channel.
Invalidation:
Only a decisive close below the rising channel would force a reassessment of the short-term bullish bias.
Until then, the message is simple:
Structure intact. Trend respected. Patience rewarded.
Trade with clarity, not emotion — and let the chart do the talking.
Gold at Key Resistance – Pullback or Breakout? • XAUUSD ApproachGold (XAUUSD) shows a strong short-term bullish structure after an impulsive move up, with price currently testing a marked resistance zone near 5,290–5,300. Price is trading above the moving averages, reflecting bullish momentum but also slightly extended conditions.
A rejection from resistance could lead to a pullback toward the 5,235–5,215 support area as the first reaction zone. A deeper correction could reach the 5,110–5,100 area, which aligns with a prior consolidation zone.
Holding above support keeps the short-term uptrend intact; a break below would suggest a broader corrective phase. Technical perspective based on price action and key levels, not financial advice.
AUDNZD is Nearing a Strong Support AreaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.15900 zone, AUDNZD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Monthly Rejection ZoneQuick Summary
After the strong rally on EURUSD price appears to have targeted the monthly FVG
This aligns with equal highs located within that zone and This area may support a bearish reaction and continuation of the broader downtrend
The expected move would aim to fill the liquidity void left over the past 10 days
Full Analysis
Following the significant upside move on EURUSD price action suggests that the market was targeting the monthly fair value gap
This scenario is logical as the FVG aligns with equal highs which often acts as a strong liquidity zone
The presence of equal highs within this higher timeframe imbalance increases the probability of a bearish reaction
Such areas commonly attract price before initiating a move in the opposite direction
If price begins to react from this zone the resulting move would form a clear orderflow structure
This orderflow could serve as a strong base for continuation of the broader bearish trend
The main downside objective in this scenario is the liquidity void that EURUSD has left behind over the past 10 consecutive days
That imbalance represents a significant magnet for price and supports the idea of a deeper corrective or trend continuation move
As long as price remains below the monthly reaction zone the bearish outlook remains valid
The focus now is on monitoring price behavior for confirmation that the higher timeframe rejection is holding
Litecoin (LTC): Expecting Trend Switch | Entering Bullish PhaseLTC is again reacting from the same support zone we have seen multiple times in the past. Every time price comes into this area, we usually see a strong reaction to the upside. Right now we are sitting exactly at that zone again, so the focus is on whether buyers can step in and defend it.
As long as this support holds, upside potential remains very attractive. Breakdown below this area would invalidate the setup, otherwise this is a solid zone to watch for continuation higher.
Swallow Academy
Weak USD, EURUSD Ready to Push HigherIn the short term, the US dollar is lacking strong bullish momentum as markets move into a wait-and-see mode ahead of the Fed , while recent US economic data has failed to trigger fresh USD buying. As a result, USD weakness remains largely technical in nature, indirectly allowing EURUSD to maintain its upward momentum.
From a technical perspective, the market structure is clearly bullish , with higher highs and higher lows firmly in place. The ascending trendline continues to be respected, and each pullback is quickly met with strong buying interest, confirming that c apital is still flowing on the BUY side.
At the moment, the 1.1850 level is acting as a key short-term support. Price consolidating above this zone suggests the market is pausing to build strength rather than distributing. If bullish momentum holds, the next upside target for EURUSD lies around 1.1930, where a higher-timeframe H4 resistance is located.
Combining both fundamental and technical factors, EURUSD shows no clear signs of reversal at this stage. In this environment, the most logical approach remains trading in the direction of the uptrend, looking for buy-on-dip opportunities and avoiding counter-trend SELL positions as long as the bullish structure stays intact.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 4h chart route map and trading plan for the week ahead.
We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4999 and a gap below at 4923. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5082
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5082 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5156
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5156 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5228
BEARISH TARGET
4923
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4923 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4842
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4842 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4740
4665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4665 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
4596
4519
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GBPUSD - The hunt for liquidity before the trend continues FX:GBPUSD entered a local correction phase amid a pullback in the dollar after a strong rally. The main trend is bearish, and growth after the correction may continue.
A correction has been forming since the opening of the session. The dollar is recovering slightly, while the pound is correcting towards the daily level of 1.377 and the Fibonacci area of 0.5-0.6. If the bulls hold back the correction, the market may return to the trend.
The main/medium-term trend is bullish. The correction and false breakout of support may shift the imbalance of forces towards buyers, which could trigger growth from strong levels.
Resistance levels: 1.3831, 1.38688
Support levels: 1.377, 1.3748
A false breakdown of support and the upward trend line could trigger growth within the main trend
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETH : Bulls Regaining Control?ETH : Bulls Regaining Control?
Ethereum experienced a strong bullish impulse, followed by a small correction.
This structure looks like a classic bullish reversal pattern, and ETH is likely to resume the bullish trend again.
Price has now broken above the pattern, which is an important bullish signal. As long as ETH holds above this breakout area, the probability increases for a continuation to the upside.
The first upside target is the 3,160 area, which previously acted as a key structure zone.
If bullish momentum continues, ETH could extend higher toward the 3,350 level, where strong resistance is expected.
Key Levels:
3,160
3,350
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
CADJPY: Swing Sell at the liquidity void area! Target 105! Dear traders,
I hope you’re doing well. We have a fantastic selling opportunity with the CADJPY pair. The price is approaching the liquidity gap and is likely to fill it. Once filled, we could see a reversal from that point. Our target is set at 105, but feel free to adjust your take profit based on your analysis and strict risk management.
Good luck and trade safely. If you like our idea, please like, comment and follow for more.
Team Setupsfx_
GBP/USD | Retesting the Bearish OB (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the Daily chart of GBPUSD, It went up as high as 1.37134 and reached the Bearish OB, after which it dropped to just below the High of the NWOG, now being traded at 1.36780. I expect GBPUSD to retest the bearish OB.
For the time being, the targets are: 1.36960, 1.37040 and 1.37120.
JPYUSD 1H Analysis Today: Bullish Trendline HoldsJPYUSD 1H Analysis Today: Bullish Trendline Holds, Weak High Liquidity Target Ahead (Key Levels + Trade Setups)
JPYUSD on the 1H timeframe is maintaining a bullish structure after a strong impulsive leg. Price is currently trading near 0.006552, consolidating under a marked Weak High zone. This is a classic “pause-before-expansion” environment where the market often runs liquidity above the high, then either continues trending or rotates for a cleaner reload.
This plan focuses on practical execution using trendline, Fibonacci retracements, EMA, RSI, plus clear support and resistance levels for intraday trading.
1H Market Structure: Higher Highs, Controlled Consolidation
The recent breakout created a clear bullish displacement.
Price is now forming a tight consolidation under the top, which typically signals either:
A continuation push to take the Weak High liquidity, or
A brief pullback to rebalance before the next leg.
As long as price holds above the nearest demand support, the higher-probability bias remains bullish continuation.
Key Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)
R1: 0.00657 – 0.00658 (Weak High / liquidity top)
Main magnet. Expect wick behavior and stop-runs here.
R2: 0.00660 – 0.00662 (extension zone)
If price breaks and holds above the Weak High, this becomes the next upside objective.
R3: 0.00665+ (momentum continuation area)
Only relevant if the breakout is clean and the market accepts above 0.00660.
Key Support Levels (Where Bulls Must Defend)
S1: 0.00652 – 0.00650 (first pullback support)
Ideal “dip-buy” zone if the trend remains strong.
S2: 0.00648 (nearest demand band on chart)
A critical structure level. If price taps this area and holds, continuation setups improve.
S3: 0.00631 – 0.00630 (major demand shelf)
This is the deeper reload area. If S2 fails, the market often seeks this zone for re-accumulation.
S4: 0.006285 – 0.006260 (strong low support)
If price reaches here, the bullish leg is likely shifting into a broader correction rather than a simple intraday pullback.
Fibonacci Framework (Intraday Precision)
Fib A: Most recent push (approx. 0.00647 → 0.00657)
Key retracements:
0.382: ~0.006532
0.50: ~0.006520
0.618: ~0.006508
0.786: ~0.006491
How to use:
In healthy trends, price commonly respects 0.382–0.618 before continuing.
If volatility spikes, 0.786 becomes the last “shallow trend” defense before deeper support.
Fib B: Larger impulse (approx. 0.00630 → 0.00657)
Key retracements:
0.382: ~0.006467
0.50: ~0.006435
0.618: ~0.006403
This aligns well with the idea of a deeper reload toward the mid-zone if the market rejects the top.
EMA + RSI Filters (Quality Control)
EMA (suggestion: EMA20 and EMA50 on 1H)
Bullish behavior: price stays above EMA20 during pullbacks; EMA20 remains above EMA50.
Warning sign: repeated 1H closes below EMA50 and failed reclaim attempts, increasing odds of a deeper drop toward 0.00631–0.00630.
RSI (14)
In strong uptrends, RSI tends to hold above 50.
If price sweeps above 0.00657–0.00658 but RSI fails to confirm (bearish divergence), expect a pullback even if the larger bias stays bullish.
High-Probability Trade Setups for Today
Setup 1: Breakout Buy Above the Weak High (Continuation Play)
Condition:
1H closes above 0.00658 with a strong body (not only a wick).
Prefer a retest that holds the broken level.
Execution:
Entry: after retest confirmation above 0.00657–0.00658
Stop loss: below the retest swing low (or back under 0.00655 depending on structure)
Take profit: 0.00660 – 0.00662, then trail under higher lows / EMA20
Best for: momentum sessions where price accepts above the liquidity top.
Setup 2: Pullback Buy Into Fib Support (Best Risk/Reward With Trend)
Condition:
Price retraces into 0.00652–0.00650 (Fib 0.382–0.618 area) and prints bullish confirmation.
Execution:
Entry: reclaim + bullish candle confirmation
Stop loss: below the pullback low (keep it logical, not tight)
Take profit: first at 0.00657–0.00658, then partial for 0.00660+
Best for: traders who want cleaner entries without chasing the top.
Setup 3: Deep Reload Buy at Demand (If the Market Sweeps and Drops)
Condition:
Price loses the shallow supports and taps 0.00648, or deeper 0.00631–0.00630, then shows strong rejection.
Execution:
Entry: only after clear bullish response (reclaim / strong rejection candle)
Stop loss: below the demand low
Take profit: back to 0.00652, then 0.00657–0.00658
Best for: higher patience, higher conviction dip buying at structure zones.
Setup 4: Failed Breakout Sell (Countertrend Scalp Only)
Condition:
Price wicks above 0.00658 and closes back below with strong rejection.
Stronger if RSI shows divergence.
Execution:
Entry: after rejection confirmation
Stop loss: above sweep high
Take profit: 0.00652, then 0.00650 if momentum continues
Note: This is countertrend. Keep it tactical and manage aggressively.
Bullish Invalidation (What Changes the Plan)
A sustained breakdown below 0.00648 with failure to reclaim it on pullbacks.
A clean move below 0.00631–0.00630 increases the probability of a deeper correction toward 0.006285–0.006260.
Bottom Line
JPYUSD on 1H remains bullish, consolidating under a clear Weak High liquidity zone (0.00657–0.00658). The best execution comes from:
Breakout with confirmation and retest, or
Pullback entries into 0.00652–0.00650 and 0.00648 using Fib + EMA + RSI alignment.






















