EURUSD Short: Supply Holds — Pullback to 1.1610 in FocusHello, traders! The price action on EURUSD is unfolding within a well-defined technical structure shaped by an ascending Trend Line, with the market transitioning from consolidation into a corrective pullback. After a prolonged bullish advance, the pair formed a Head and Shoulders pattern near the upper Supply Zone around 1.16660, signaling exhaustion of buying momentum. Following this distribution phase, price broke below the neckline and started moving lower, showing a clear shift in short-term control toward sellers.
Currently, EURUSD spent time consolidating inside the highlighted Range, where multiple false breakouts occurred before bullish continuation resumed. However, the recent rejection from supply and the breakdown from the pattern suggest that upside momentum is weakening. Currently, the price is trading below the former range support and is approaching the Demand Zone near 1.16100, which also aligns with a key horizontal support level.
My scenario for the next move is a continuation toward the 1.16100 demand area, where buyers may attempt to slow the decline. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could trigger a corrective rebound back toward the broken structure. However, if the price fails to hold this demand, the bearish pressure may intensify and open the door for a deeper pullback. As long as the market remains below the 1.16660 supply, the short-term bias stays bearish. Manage your risk!
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S&P500 The Bearish Divergence that may spoil the party.S&P500 (SPX) is extending a strong rally following the rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) almost 3 weeks ago. As we pointed out in a previous analysis, the price action of the past 2 months has been identical to the pattern after November 19 2024.
We are currently on the same 1D MA100 rebound towards the Higher Highs trend-line but the key development is that the 1D RSI on both fractals shows a huge Bearish Divergence, being on Lower Highs.
In February 2025 that led to the start of a strong correction in the stock markets. So as long as the 1D RSI Bearish Divergence holds, the S&P500 currently risks a technical correction towards at least the first Support level of 6500.
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ADA: Cardano Near Breakout: H&S Reversal Pattern in PlayADA: Cardano Near Breakout: H&S Reversal Pattern in Play
ADA is about to complete and reverse the Head and Shoulders pattern. The price is currently rising to test the neckline of the pattern, which is also the strongest area for buyers.
Once this area is broken, we can see ADA rising in a clear way, it could start an upward movement this time since it is also very oversold.
Targets:
0.46; 0.49; 0.54 and 0.6
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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BITCOIN Why nobody talks about this??That was the last indicator standing and now it is as clear as it can get. With last month's candle close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has confirmed that it has already started a new Bear Cycle.
The reason is simple and it is one of the most basic trading indicators out there. The 1M MACD was already on a Bearish Cross since October, and November's closing widened the gap to such extent that it is not recoverable anymore.
This has happened every time during a BTC Bear Cycle and in two of the past three cases, it took place while already on the Bear Cycle. History has shown that there is no coming back from this and BTC should start looking for the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1M MA100 (green trend-line) Zone. If all the Bear Cycle indicators we've shown on analyses since September were early signs, the MACD is conclusive and as mentioned, has confirmed it.
But what do you think? Has the MACD Bearish Cross confirmed the new Bear Cycle beyond any doubt? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AUDUSD Set to Rally as Dollar Softens Ahead of Fed Cut!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around the 0.66000 zone.
AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase in which it is approaching the 0.66000 support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, the U.S. Dollar continues to weaken as markets front-run the expected Fed rate cut, and traders increasingly price in a more dovish policy stance going into the next FOMC meeting.
This broad Dollar softness supports upside momentum on AUDUSD, especially as risk sentiment improves.
Trade safe,
Joe.
EURUSD Next Buying Move AnalysisThe chart is showing EUR/USD with two key zones marked
Strong Support Level (bottom blue zone):
Price has bounced from this area multiple times, meaning buyers tend to enter here.
Strong Resistance Level (upper blue zone):
Price has been rejected here several times, meaning sellers tend to enter here.
What the drawn idea on the chart indicates
The sketch on the chart suggests a bullish scenario:
1. Price pulls back slightly
2. Forms a higher low
3. Breaks above the resistance zone
4. Continues up toward the “Target Level” (around 1.17)
This is a typical support → consolidation → breakout → continuation idea.
Reminder
This is only a technical analysis illustration, not a prediction or trading recommendation. Real market conditions can behave differently.
EURUSD: Price Holds Channel Support, Aiming for 1.1680Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD remains in a broader bullish structure, with recent price action developing inside a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong impulsive rally, the pair broke above the previous consolidation zone and confirmed the breakout with a successful retest of the 1.16100 support zone, which now acts as a key demand area. The market then continued higher, forming higher highs and higher lows along the channel structure.
Currently, price is consolidating below the 1.16800 resistance zone, which represents a major supply area and the upper boundary of the current bullish leg. Despite short-term consolidation, buyers continue to defend the support zone, keeping bullish pressure intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.16100–1.16200 support zone and respects the ascending channel structure. I expect the price to continue pressing toward the 1.16800 resistance, which is the next major target for buyers. A clean and sustained breakout above this resistance would open the way for further upside continuation and new highs.
However, if price fails to break the resistance and shows strong rejection, a short-term pullback toward the mid-channel or back into the support zone is possible. Still, the overall bullish structure remains valid as long as the lower channel boundary holds. For now, the market supports a long bias, with the main objective being a retest of the 1.16800 resistance zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD (XAU/USD): Consolidation ContinuesGold is currently consolidating within a horizontal parallel channel.
We spotted a notable bullish reaction to its support:
the price formed a small double bottom pattern and subsequently started to rise, violating its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
It is highly probable that the price will reach the 4220 level soon.
BTC: Liquidity Sweep SetupBTC: Liquidity Sweep Setup
Bitcoin continues to operate inside a broad equilibrium zone after completing a prolonged downward phase earlier in the month. The decline lost momentum as price entered a high-participation area, where trading activity became increasingly balanced and rotational. Since then, the market has developed a wide consolidation band, signaling a temporary standoff between directional conviction and liquidity accumulation.
Recent sessions show price repeatedly rotating through the center of this zone, forming alternating impulses that lack continuation. This pattern reflects a market focused on collecting orders rather than trending. Each short-lived push quickly transitions back into the range, indicating absorption on both sides and limited willingness from participants to sustain directional movement.
The lower portion of the range has begun attracting more activity, suggesting interest from larger players seeking efficient fill zones before any expansion. Price behaviour here is characterized by controlled sweeps, shallow recoveries, and frequent re-tests of the mid-band — signs of liquidity harvesting rather than aggressive distribution.
Forward behaviour on the chart implies that the market may first dip into the lower liquidity pocket to finalize order collection. Once this pocket is satisfied, conditions become favourable for a transition into an expansion phase targeting the upper boundary of the current equilibrium. This type of structure is common before major repricing, as it reflects the buildup of untriggered positions awaiting execution.
Overall, Bitcoin is in a preparation phase where energy is being stored, volatility is compressing, and liquidity is reorganizing. The next significant development is likely to emerge once the market completes its sweep of inefficient areas inside the range and finds a stable base for expansion.
Previous EURUSD Analysis Hit Exactly – Here’s What Comes NextEURUSD Analysis – Tuesday, December 9
Welcome traders!
I’m glad to have you here — we’re all learning and growing together in this amazing trading journey.
As always, we analyze the market every single day to keep you prepared, confident, and aligned with the cleanest institutional setups.
Let’s dive into today’s analysis on EURUSD 👇
Market Overview
EURUSD continues to maintain a bullish structure on the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes.
However, price is currently sitting in a decision state:
• If price breaks the higher-timeframe low → a deeper retracement may begin.
• If price breaks the high and forms a new HH → the bullish trend continues.
I have clearly marked all pro key levels, POI, and OBS zones on the chart to help you follow the logic step-by-step.
Today’s Scenarios
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Move After POI Reaction
Price may
• sweep the Asia session low liquidity,
• tap into the POI at discount,
and from there initiate the next bullish leg.
This is the clean continuation scenario if the POI respects its structure.
📌 Scenario 2 – Liquidity Grab Above Before Bullish Expansion
Price may
• take out the buy-side liquidity above (previous daily high),
• tap into the OBS,
• then drop toward the POI,
and from there start the main bullish impulse.
This scenario offers a deeper mitigation before expansion.
Important Notes
• Today we have high-impact EUR news, so volatility may increase.
• The market is never 100%, therefore always:
– follow strict risk management,
– wait for clear confirmation before entering any trade.
If you have any questions, feel free to comment below. I’d love to see your thoughts.
📘 Educational Note:
This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only.
Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully.
Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency.
🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts.
Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights.
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #POI #PriceAction #FXMarket #DailyAnalysis #TraderCommunity #ForexEducation #EURUSDPrediction #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold Price Update – Clean & Clear Explanation✅ Gold where the market has been moving inside repeated zones of support and resistance. You can clearly see that price has been bouncing between these grey areas, which act like barriers that stop the market from moving too far in one direction without a reaction.
🤙At the right side of the chart, the price is currently pulling back from a recent high and dropping toward an important support region near 4,180 – 4,173, which has been tested several times in the past. This zone sits right above two rising trendlines, showing that buyers have been stepping in every time price moves down to these upward-sloping lines. Because of this, the chart suggests that the market may give a bullish reaction once again when it reaches this lower area.
⭕The drawing on the chart shows that price might first dip slightly below its current level, touch the trendline support, and then bounce upward with strength. If the market follows this path, the first target for the move is the mid grey zone around 4,220, which has acted as a key supply and demand level. If buyers manage to break through this zone, the next larger target lies higher around 4,254, which is marked as the final take-profit area for the potential bullish swing.
⭕The overall idea shown in the chart is that the market is still respecting an upward structure. As long as price stays above the trendlines and the support levels below, the suggested trade setup is a buy from the lower zone, aiming for the mid-range resistance and finally the upper target. The plan also hints that a deeper drop below 4,159 would invalidate the bullish expectation and act as a stop-loss area.
⭕If you find it helpful please and comments for this post and share thanks.
Netflix Paramount - Acquisition war - What You need to know. Netflix is selling off because it announced a massive, high‑risk acquisition of major Warner Bros. Discovery assets — and the market hates the price, the leverage, and the regulatory risk.
The bid is in the range of $72-$82 Billion.
Trump tweeted last night putting the deal under scrutiny.
This tweet comes on the back of Paramount Skydance announcing a hostile take over bid $108B of warner bros discovery. Trumps son in law Jared Kushner hold private equity in Para and would benefit from the takeover.
Netflix is sitting pretty as the stock has sold off in anticipation of higher cap ex. If the deal doesn't go through it will likely rebound.
Netflix wont have to pay the 5.8 Billion break up fee if WBD board votes down their deal. In fact Netflix will receive $2-$3 Billion.
XAU/USD | A free fall or an bullish attempt? (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see, Gold has been moving on a range recently, with no clear intention as to where it is headed. A possible scenario could be dropping down to the 4164 NDOG and then an uptrend move above the pool of liquidity above 4265 and the 4272 FVG.
However if it fails to make a move at that level, it'll drop further to 4111-4159 IFVG, which then I expect it to bounce back and go up again. However, if it fails to make a move then, we will witness a free fall of Gold.
Let's see what happens.
How Market Drivers Influence Forex PhasesI examined the key drivers and major players in the Forex market. Price patterns are a direct reflection of human psychology responding to significant events and the subsequent flow of institutional money. Therefore, understanding what influences overall market direction is crucial.
Above, you'll find a few historical events on the EUR/USD chart to analyze their effects on price movements.
Below is a brief overview of the four main drivers and the role of speculation in the Forex market.
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Key Triggers for Market Shifts
Market shifts in Forex are influenced by several key drivers. Grasping these drivers enables better identification of market phases and the price patterns that emerge within them.
Economic Health
Refers to consumers' financial stability and purchasing power.
A healthy consumer sector boosts economic growth and strengthens a country's currency.
Positive consumer sentiment leads to bullish currency trends, while negative sentiment results in bearish trends.
Monetary Policy
Central banks influence currency rates through interest rate policies.
Decisions regarding interest rates are high-impact news in Forex.
Central banks aim for maximum employment and inflation control, affecting currency value through their policies.
Fiscal Policy
Government expenditure on services and infrastructure impacts aggregate demand and GDP.
Increased spending can stimulate the economy, leading to currency appreciation.
However, if spending is funded by borrowing, it may lead to a higher budget deficit, causing loss of investor confidence and currency depreciation.
Political Stability
Refers to the reliability of a country's government and policies.
Stability encourages foreign investment and capital inflow, leading to currency appreciation.
Political unpredictability can deter investment and negatively impact currency value.
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Role of Speculation
Speculation from investors, based on perceived outcomes of these market drivers, creates volatility.
Major Market Players:
Investment Banks: The largest players in the Forex market, trading significant volumes between themselves and on behalf of clients like hedge funds and governments.
Hedge Funds: The third-largest players, trading pooled capital with long-term strategies.
Retail Traders: Although they contribute a high volume of transactions, their collective impact is smaller compared to institutional investors.
Speculation fuels volatility and price fluctuations.
Understanding these components helps identify patterns in the Forex market, leading to better trading strategies.
GBP/CAD: Bear Trap & Bullish ConfirmationThe GBPCAD pair formed a liquidity grab following a test of significant intraday/daily support.
The presence of an ascending triangle pattern and a violation of its neckline offer strong bullish confirmation.
I anticipate an upward movement, at least to 1.8511.
$TWT/USDT ANALYSISTWT/USDT on the 12-hour chart is still moving in a clear downtrend because price is trading below the descending trendline and also below the EMA, showing sellers are still controlling the market. Price is sitting inside a strong support demand zone around 0.95–1.00, and this zone has reacted before which means buyers are trying to defend it, but until the price breaks and closes above the trendline and 1.02–1.03 area with strength, upside continuation is not confirmed. If price keeps failing at the trendline it can stay weak and continue sideways or even push down toward the lower support area around 0.91, but if buyers manage to break out cleanly above resistance, then recovery toward higher levels becomes possible. Right now the structure is bearish but sitting on support where reaction can happen, so the next move depends on whether price breaks up from the trendline or gets rejected again.
Gold Stalls as Markets Brace for the FedGold is entering a sensitive phase as both news and technicals show the market temporarily hitting the brakes ahead of the Fed’s signal. On the macro side, the delayed release of October–November PPI data to January 2026 adds another layer of uncertainty around inflation. With a lack of critical numbers, investors typically reduce risk exposure, causing safe-haven demand for gold to cool off. At the same time, this week’s Fed meeting is creating notable psychological pressure. Many traders fear Powell may adopt a firmer tone or signal that it is “too early to ease,” which could dampen rate-cut expectations. In this environment, the DXY has inched higher and the 10-year yield is holding near 4.15%, both acting as headwinds for gold.
On the chart, after failing to retest 4,220 USD/oz successfully, gold slipped back toward 4,180–4,190 and is showing visible hesitation. The 4,210–4,220 area remains a short-term ceiling, with repeated upper-wick rejections signaling ongoing profit-taking pressure. To the downside, price is still holding above the Ichimoku cloud and the 4,170–4,180 equilibrium zone, but if this area breaks, the risk of a deeper move toward 4,140–4,150 increases significantly.
SILVER Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 5,871.4.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 5,754.1 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Lingrid | USDJPY Potential Long on Channel BreakoutFX:USDJPY has successfully broken above the descending channel while holding a sequence of higher lows, signaling a structural shift in favor of buyers. The breakout occurred from a former consolidation zone, with price reclaiming and retesting the 155.60–155.70 area, which now acts as short-term support. This confirms acceptance above the trendline and reduces the probability of a deeper pullback.
As long as price remains supported above the rising trendline, bullish momentum remains intact. The recent rejection wicks below support suggest buyers are actively absorbing supply on dips. This sets up a continuation move toward the upper resistance zone around 156.70, where prior selling pressure and liquidity reside.
➡️ Primary scenario: hold above 155.65 → continuation toward 156.70 resistance.
⚠️ Risk scenario: sustained acceptance back below would invalidate the breakout and reopen downside toward 155.00 support.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Calm Before the Fed-Driven StormOANDA:XAUUSD price action this week has been a masterclass in consolidation, trading in a tight, choppy range just around $4,200 technical level. This sideways movement is not a sign of weakness but rather a necessary pause after the recent parabolic rally, allowing traders to digest gains and build fresh momentum. The market has found a solid floor at the $4,150 zone, which now acts as a formidable support barrier. Looking ahead, the path of least resistance remains upward; a decisive break above the current congestion zone opens the door for a powerful retest of the all-time high region, with a clear target of $4,285 if bullish conviction returns.
The 4H chart shows the intricate battle between buyers and sellers. We can see a clear sideways move formed within a broad channel, bounded by an ascending support line and a descending resistance line. The presence of a swap zone around $4,150 indicates heavy institutional activity, where large positions are being exchanged, often preceding significant moves. The downward-sloping trendline acts as immediate support; a clean rejection would signal the end of consolidation and the start of the next leg up.
Fundamentally, all eyes are on the upcoming FOMC meeting and the Federal Reserve’s next move on the Federal Funds Rate. Any hint of a prolonged “higher for longer” stance could pressure gold short-term, while dovish signals or acknowledgment of cooling inflation may ignite a breakout. Until then, the market is likely to remain range-bound, as participants refrain from aggressive positioning ahead of the Fed’s guidance. The weekly doji candle underscores this indecision, suggesting that volatility is coiling for a post-statement directional move—most likely to the upside if the Fed softens its rhetoric.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold: Watching the Support Zone for a Bullish Rebound Toward 4,2Gold: Watching the Support Zone for a Bullish Rebound Toward 4,255 and 4,290
Gold continues to trade within a broad consolidation, but the structure overall remains bullish. This area near 4180 has acted as support multiple times, showing strong buyer interest.
If price stabilizes here again and buyers step in, GOLD could attempt another push higher.
The first area to watch is the Quick Target at 4,255, where previous reactions occurred.
A clean break above this level could open the way toward the main target at 4,290, completing a healthy bullish continuation.
However, a daily candle closing below the support zone would weaken the bullish structure and delay the upside scenario.
Key Levels:
• Support: 4,164 – 4,180
• Quick Target: 4,255
• Main Target: 4,290
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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