HDFC Bank | Short-Term Trade SetupHDFC Bank – Short-Term Technical View
On the 1-hour timeframe, HDFC Bank is showing a positive EMA crossover, indicating improving short-term momentum. The crossover has formed near the ₹922 level, which is a crucial price zone.
This level gains further importance as the price is trading above both the daily and weekly pivot levels, suggesting bullish strength emerging from this area.
On the upside, if momentum sustains, the stock has the potential to move towards ₹950–₹960 in the short term.
On the downside, the last reversal point around ₹900 may act as immediate support. Additionally, the stock has a strong support zone between ₹890–₹900.
As long as this support zone holds, higher price levels can be expected in HDFC Bank.
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REDWIRE LONG: PERSONAL JOURNAL - 6 MONTHS AHEADFractal Cup Handle
Space + Defense pivot
Part of $151B Golden Dome project (over 5 years)
Next catalysts = specifics about new deals for satellites, drones, managed services.
THIS IS A PERSONAL JOURNAL WHERE I HOLD MYSELF ACCOUNTABLE BEFORE MYSELF, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
HOOD Setting Up a High-Probability Rebound from Key Support HOOD QuantSignals V4 Swing 2026-01-28
📈 HOOD Swing Trade (2–4 Weeks)
Bias: 🟢 Bullish (Mean Reversion Bounce)
Setup Type: Oversold support test → relief rally
RSI: 25 → extreme oversold
Support: Holding 200-Day MA ~$103
Analyst: Needham Buy, $135 target
Pattern: HOOD historically bounces 5–10%+ after RSI <30
🎯 Trade Setup
Option: $110 CALL
Expiry: Feb 20, 2026
Entry Zone: $3.90 – $4.40
💰 Targets
Target 1: $6.20 (+45%) → sell 50%
Target 2: $8.80 (+100%) → runner
🛑 Risk Control
Stop Loss: $2.60
Hard Invalidation: Daily close below $102
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support: $102 – $103 (must hold)
Trigger: Reclaim $106.75 VWAP
Upside Magnet: $118 (50-Day MA)
HOOD is deeply oversold at long-term support — high-probability bounce setup if $102 holds.
PIPPIN Update🚨📊 CRYPTOCAP:PIPPIN Update
After a strong uptrend,
price formed a head and shoulders pattern 👀.
The black neckline has been broken,
and structure has shifted to LH and LL ❌📉.
Price could move down toward
the first or second blue line levels 🔵🔵,
where a reaction may occur.
Bearish structure remains valid
until price reclaims key levels.
On to the next setup. 👀
WEAKNING DOLLER FEUELS GOLD RALLY UPWARDS TO 5370 LEVELGold is currently trading around the 5290 level, with 5252 acting as key support on the downside. The broader structure remains constructive, and if bullish momentum persists, the 5370 level comes into focus as the next upside area.
Fundamentally, a weakening US dollar, continued central bank buying, and ongoing geopolitical tensions are providing support to the ongoing gold rally. Monitoring price behavior around key levels will be essential for confirmation.
TARGET 5370
ENTRY PINT 5290
SL 5250
A CLEAN BREAKOUT BELOW 5250 LEVEL WILL INVALIDATE THIS SET UP,
Pyth should be on your watch list. PYTH remains within a broader downtrend, but short-term structure is beginning to improve.
Price is holding a local demand base where buyers have consistently stepped in. Compression is developing between support and the range high, suggesting a potential expansion phase ahead.
Momentum is turning higher from depressed levels, indicating selling pressure is fading. Volatility has reset and is starting to curl upward, a typical precondition for a directional move. Volume remains light, so confirmation is still needed.
Key Structure
• Local demand holding
• Range compression forming
• Momentum improving
• Volatility resetting
Outlook
Acceptance above the range high would support continuation, while failure to do so likely keeps price in consolidation or leads to another sweep of demand.
Early structure forming. Patience over prediction.
AlphapulseAI - Latest readout on Bitcoin📌 Trade Verdict (Weekly Chart – BTCUSD)
Market Context
You’re currently seeing price testing the top of a monthly bearish FVG while simultaneously sitting above a strong yearly bullish FVG support.
This creates a compression zone between higher-timeframe supply and very large demand, which typically results in a high-volatility decision point.
🔍 What the Chart Shows
1. Price is reacting to the upper Monthly FVG (bearish)
The region around $115K–$125K is a bearish Monthly FVG / Weak Reaction OB zone.
This area historically acts as premium supply, where long-term sellers often step in.
The current weekly candles show rejection wicks + CHoCH, indicating hesitation.
This suggests:
➡️ Upside continuation is vulnerable unless this zone is broken cleanly.
2. Strong Yearly FVG + Strategic Entry Zone sits below
The massive Yearly FVG + Strategic Entry Zone around $50K–$60K is a major institutional demand region.
This is not typical short-term support — this is macro-level demand where large buyers accumulate.
This means:
➡️ Deeper retracement into this zone remains a valid long-term bullish accumulation area.
➡️ Market is unlikely to break through this on the first attempt.
3. Dashboard Context (as shown)
Signal: WAIT
Confidence: Medium (0)
FIB: 61.8% region
Trend Strength: Red / weakening
MACD: bearish
Volume sentiment: Bearish tilt
Trap Zone: None currently
This aligns with a market in pullback phase, not confirmed reversal yet.
🎯 Final Alpha Pulse AI Verdict
📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish / Corrective Move Likely
Since price is testing the top of the monthly FVG (supply) while trend strength and MACD weaken,
short-term continuation downward is favored.
Expectations for the coming weeks:
Pullback deeper into the weekly imbalance
Potential revisit of:
Balance Price Zone (~$70K)
or even
Yearly FVG upper boundary (~$60K–$64K)
📈 Macro Bias: Bullish (Yearly FVG is strong support)
As long as BTC holds above the Yearly FVG, the macro structure remains intact.
This creates a classic HTF: bullish / LTF: corrective environment.
🧭 Practical Interpretation
If you are a Swing Trader
Wait for the reaction inside the deeper FVG / Balance Price Zone.
A bullish BOS/CHoCH inside the $60K–$70K region would be the first high-probability swing entry.
If you are a Long-Term Investor
The Yearly FVG remains the strongest accumulation zone visible on the chart.
If you are a Day Trader
Expect volatility & fake outs near monthly FVG highs and weak bearish OB on top of current price
Favor shorts until structure flips on lower timeframes.
🔻 Summary
Short-term: Bearish corrective move expected.
Medium-term: Watch $70K → $60K zones for bullish re accumulation.
Long-term: Still macro bullish while Yearly FVG holds.
Silver- to 80$?Silver reached a critical price level that may dictate its next directional move. The price reached the second high cycle and rejected from that area, a potential decline could materialize, signalling a sell scenario. Conversely, sustained acceptance above this zone may trigger a bullish breakout with upside potential toward $135.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, including the potential for substantial loss. Always exercise caution and trade responsibly.
When a Stock Rises 78% in 30 Days, and You Don't Know What to DoHi, friends! This is Alexander Dlutsky, and today in my blog about investing in stocks, we'll talk about a situation that can happen to any of us. Imagine: you bought a stock, and it suddenly skyrocketed 78% in just a month. Joy? Of course! But also panic: sell? Hold? Buy more? I've gone through this many times myself, and I know how nerve-wracking it is. And even after many years, I know for sure that no one knows the exact answer to the question "What to do?"
In this post, I'll break down three typical scenarios for what to do in such a situation. This is not financial advice — always consult with experts and study the market yourself. But these ideas will help you think logically and avoid impulsive mistakes. Let's figure it out!
Scenario 1: "This is the Start of Big Growth" — Hold and Buy More
If the stock rose so sharply, it might not be a coincidence. Pullbacks are inevitable, as one trader said, "even the road to hell wasn't built in a straight line."
Check the fundamentals: did the company release a cool product, win a contract, or is the market overall on the rise? If you had the courage to buy, have the courage to hold.
Personal advice: spend more time on things besides investments; the more you devote time to the outside world, the more unbiased your opinion becomes in investments, which helps a lot.
You can always take your chips off the table. But still, what should you do?
* Check the financial metrics, check your investment thesis, why you bought this company in the first place.
* Analyze news and reports.
* If in doubt, sell without thinking.
* If confident, buy more on the pullback — but don't risk all your money.
I remember how in 2020, Zoom stocks skyrocketed due to the pandemic. Many held and won. But remember: the market is unpredictable, so diversify your portfolio.
### Scenario 2: "The Bubble is Inflating" — Lock in Profits Partially
78% in 30 days — that's a lot. Maybe it's hype: meme stocks like GameStop or crypto in a boom. If the growth is based on emotions, without real fundamentals, better not to get greedy.
What to do
- Sell 30-50% of your position to lock in profits (for example, if you invested $1000 and it became $1780 — sell for $500-900).
- Monitor the remaining part: watch the last 4 candles, they will tell you a lot about the near-term hype trend.
In my experience, such "skyrockets" often end in a correction. Another saying from an experienced trader: "100% profit is very cool, anything above that is already greed."
### Scenario 3: "Not Sure, Waiting for Signals" — Observe and Learn
If you don't know what's what — don't rush. The market gives you time to think.
What to do:
Set a stop and let the market decide what happens next.
While waiting, look for confirmations for or against. Forums, blogs, anything you can find — information is the key to success.
This is my favorite approach now. Investments are a marathon, not a sprint. Don't hurry, learn from mistakes.
In conclusion: Emotions are the worst advisor. Choose a scenario based on your strategy, risk, and knowledge. If you're in a similar situation, share in the comments — let's discuss!
If the post was useful, give it a like or share this post, it's valuable to me. I promise to share more honest stories from the world of stocks. Support me, friends — it motivates! 😊
#investments #stocks #stockmarket
GOLD GOLD WATCH ZONE FOR CORRECTION 5384-5400 ZONE .
SWITCH TO 15MIN FOR PRICEACTION AND SNIPER ENTRY
Geopolitical Tensions
US President Donald Trump's insistence on acquiring Greenland, including threats of force and tariffs on opposing European nations, has sparked US-Europe friction. French President Macron's rebukes and potential suspension of US-EU trade deals have weakened the dollar, boosting gold's appeal to foreign buyers.
Economic Factors
A softer US dollar makes gold cheaper globally, while expectations of steady Federal Reserve rates—despite labor improvements—favor non-yielding assets like gold. Central banks in China and India continue aggressive gold buying, adding structural support.
Future Outlook
WHAT IS GOLD ???
Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion.
History as Store of Value
Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power
Tier 1 Status Clarification
Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again.
HOW DOES THE DOLLAR INDEX AFFECT THE PRICE ACTION AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS ??
The US Dollar Index (DXY) exhibits a strong inverse relationship with global gold prices, where a stronger dollar typically depresses gold values and a weaker dollar boosts them.
Core Mechanism
Gold trades in US dollars worldwide, so dollar strength raises gold's cost for non-US buyers, curbing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar reduces this barrier, making gold cheaper and spurring purchases from international investors.
Correlation Strength
Historical data shows a negative correlation coefficient of -0.40 to -0.80, meaning 40-80% of gold's movements often align inversely with DXY changes. Interest rate differentials amplify this: Fed hikes strengthen the dollar and hurt non-yielding gold, while cuts weaken it and favor gold.
Influencing Factors
Geopolitical risks or inflation can override the link temporarily, but dollar dynamics remain the primary driver in most cycles. For instance, recent dollar weakness from de-dollarization trends has fueled gold rallies.
the brics nation are busing buying GOLD.this is the year of GOLD as the new money backed by physical GOLD ,this is why all BRICS CENTRAL BANKS are stocking the yellow bullion.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
Apple H4 – Bullish Order Block Respect & RSI ConfirmationApple Inc (AAPL) H4 Bullish Order Block Respect
On the H4 timeframe, price previously showed a rapid upward move from an old bullish order block. After that, the market made a healthy pullback and again approached the same order block, showing clear respect, which is a strong sign of bullish continuation.
The RSI is also in a bullish structure, forming a higher low and supporting upward momentum, confirming buyers’ strength.
Trade Plan:
Entry: 252.80
First Target: 274.00, Upper side order block
Final Target: 288.7, Previous High / Recent ATH
Stop Loss: 236, order block
As long as price holds above the order block and RSI remains in the bullish zone, the overall bias stays bullish.
Pullbacks can be viewed as buying opportunities with proper risk management.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, so always do your own research and manage risk properly before taking any trade.
US Primary Silver Miner – HL Trend & CycleHecla Mining (HL) is one of the largest primary silver producers in the US, operating major mines like Greens Creek and Lucky Friday, with additional assets in Canada and across North America. I’m using this chart to track how a core silver miner responds to the ongoing silver bull move, mapping weekly demand zones, production‑driven catalysts, and trend structure as a higher‑beta alternative to SLV.
XAUUSD: Bullish Push to 5200?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 1-hour chart , with price forming higher highs and higher lows within an upward channel after rebounding from support, converging with a potential entry zone that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against short-term pullbacks. This setup suggests a continuation opportunity amid the ongoing uptrend, targeting higher resistance levels with more than 1:3.5 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 4980–5000 for a long position. Target at 5200 . Set a stop loss at a 4-hour close below 4950 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's momentum in the channel.🌟
Fundamentally , gold is trading around $4,983 in early January 2026, with key US Dollar events next week potentially weakening USD if data disappoints, favoring gold upside. On January 5 at 8:30 AM ET, the Employment Situation report (Non-Farm Payrolls forecast 150K, Unemployment Rate 4.4%) could pressure USD on soft hiring; January 6 features ISM Services PMI at 10:00 AM ET (forecast 52.5), where a miss signals slowdown; January 7 brings Consumer Credit (Nov) at 3:00 PM ET (forecast $15.5B), with weaker borrowing indicating economic caution. Overall, labor and service sector weakness could boost gold's safe-haven appeal. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
4980 – 5000
(Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.)
🎯 Target:
• 5200
❌ Stop Loss:
• 4H close below 4950
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:3.5
💡 Your view?
Does gold extend this trend toward 5200, or do you expect another consolidation before the next impulse higher? 👇
You will ask, "how did he know UNH would do that"?On Sept 29th, I suggested that UNH was topping and would retrace to my "probable" target T1.
As of yesterday, that target was hit as anticipated. In my opinion, this T1 target is a good entry long term. The only question that remains is will UNH swipe the lows (T2). It is "possible" but not probable.
Congrats to everyone who had the patience to wait for price to come to you.
May the trends be with you.
XAGUSD SILVER CYCLE 2020 - 2026With such significant upward price movements, Silver began its bullish trend in 2020.
And now, in 2026, Silver has broken through the 4,618 Fibonacci level.
Will Silver break through the 5,618 level? Given the continued strengthening, the possibility of breaking through that level still exists, around the 120s.
Let's continue to follow this extraordinary price movement.
XAUUSD - Long Entries Targeting Continuation Higher HighsPrice is in a strong uptrend inside an ascending channel, so bias is bullish toward higher levels around 5,200–5,300. The idea is to wait for a pullback into the marked demand/support zone near the lower channel line and then look for long entries rather than selling.
Bitcoin at Key Support – Correction Complete or Another Drop!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has continued its correction in recent days due to the following key reasons:
1. U.S. Government Shutdown Risk: Political deadlock over the federal budget deadline (January 30) has triggered a "risk-off" sentiment in global markets, pushing investors away from volatile assets like Bitcoin.
2. Trade Tensions and Tariff Threats: Trump's threats of 100% tariffs on Canadian imports have strengthened the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY DXY), acting as a headwind for Bitcoin and contributing to broader market declines.
3. ETF Outflows and Market Fundamentals: Net outflows of about $6.1B from Bitcoin spot ETFs over the past three months, combined with on-chain realized losses for holders and leveraged position liquidations, have intensified selling pressure.
4. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East: Escalating conflicts, including risks around Iran and oil( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) supply disruptions, have amplified global uncertainty and risk aversion, leading to further sell-offs in cryptocurrencies as investors seek safer assets.
Let’s dive into the technical analysis of Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe to see how it’s performing. Stay tuned!
As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin followed the anticipated bullish and bearish movements, reaching its targets (Targets Done).
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near a support zone($86,420-$83,820) and has also created a new CME Gap($89,205-$88,385) with the start of this trading week.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its main wave 5 near the support zone($86,420-$83,820) and support line, so we can now expect a corrective wave.
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between two consecutive valleys.
I expect that after a correction, Bitcoin will resume its upward movement and potentially reach the first target of $88,667. With strong bullish momentum, we could see Bitcoin move even higher in the short term.
Note: Bitcoin, like other dollar-denominated assets, is influenced by various factors, including political statements and news. Therefore, it’s crucial to manage risk carefully and stay prepared for any scenario. Make sure to keep an eye on updates.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on Bitcoin. Do you think the downward trend will persist, and how far do you expect it to drop?
First Target: $88,667
Second Target: $89,401
Third Target: $90,231
Stop Loss(SL): $85,527(Worst)
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,450-$85,600
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $88,890-$88,400
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.






















