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QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 4 of 2026 (Jan 26–30)QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 4 of 2026 (Jan 26–30) Technical Look QQQ moved exactly as expected on the bearish side, hitting its downside targets with the Tuesday open last week and finding a bounce from those levels. In the Mid Week Update I shared afterward, I highlighted that the structure had shifted into a bullish phase and that price was now more likely to target higher levels. I’m also linking last week’s outlook on the side for reference. Scenarios – Prediction Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario (Likely) With the current bullish structure established during the week, I expect price to continue higher and potentially target all time highs. Overall bullish sentiment remains strong, which makes this continuation reasonable. That said, risks remain on the table. Escalation around Iran or a potential 100% tariff on Canada could quickly flip market structure back to bearish, so staying cautious is important. This bullish scenario can play out in two ways: 1-A direct gap-up open followed by continuation toward bullish targets 2-A pullback toward the 687 area, a brief deviation, then a bounce with a strong close above that level, leading to higher targets Bullish scenario targets: 626 – 629.5 – 636.5 Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario Geopolitical tension around Iran or a potential tariff shock could still trigger a bearish shift, keeping this scenario in play. A strong break and close below 618.5 would activate the bearish scenario for me. On any retest, price should fail to reclaim and close back above 618.5. If that happens, I would look to actively trade this scenario using puts. Potential bearish targets: 607 and 599.5 Position Management Notes I manage risk by scaling out of positions at key reaction levels and adjusting exposure as structure confirms. Partial profit taking at major levels is a core part of my approach. I share deeper SPY-QQQ breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Review🔍 Market Structure • Price is in an ascending channel (higher lows, higher highs). • Currently, we are in the middle of the channel, after a rejection from above. ⸻ 📉 Price Action • 90,500–90,800 → strong resistance (upper zone + previous rejections). • The last upward impulse has been reversed, but without breaking the structure. • Retracement candles are relatively short → no aggressive supply. ⸻ 🧱 Key Levels Resistance: • 90,500 – local high / reactions • 91,600 – upper band of the channel (target at breakout) Support: • 88,650 – key mid-support (very important decision level) • 87,400 – lower band of the channel (must hold for bulls) ⸻ 📊 RSI Stochastic • RSI Stochastic in the oversold zone (<20) • This is a signal for a potential bounce, but: • candle confirmation needed (e.g., bullish engulfing / higher low) ⸻ 🧠 Scenarios 🟢 Baseline Scenario (more likely) • Defense at 88,600 • Rebound up the channel • Test at 90,500 • On breakout → 91 600 👉 Typical buy-the-dip setup ⸻ 🔴 Negative scenario • 1H close below 88,600 • Quick move to 87,400 • Loss of 87,400 = structure changes to corrective
by cryptodailyuk
Gold - Trump is crashing metals soon!🥊Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is retesting major resistance now: 🔎Analysis summary: Yes, Gold has been creating an insane rally of 190% over the past couple of months. And so far, Gold also remains totally bullish. But looking at the higher timeframes, Gold is now sitting at a massive resistance trendline and clearly ready for a shorter term correction. 📝Levels to watch: $5,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
45
Bullish continuation?Cable (GBP/USD) could fall towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3668 1st Support: 1.3550 1st Resistance: 1.3849 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets
“Bearish Price Action Analysis After Rejection at Key ResistanceAfter an extended bullish rally, price has reached a key supply zone where strong selling pressure emerged, leading to a clear rejection from the highs. This rejection signals weakening bullish momentum and the presence of institutional selling at premium prices. The subsequent move lower indicates a bearish corrective phase, with price now heading toward a previously established demand/support zone. Failure to reclaim the prior highs and the formation of lower intraday highs suggest a short-term bearish market structure. If price breaks and closes below the support zone, it would confirm bearish continuation and increase the probability of a deeper pullback. Until then, any upside moves are likely to be corrective rather than impulsive.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_CAPITAL
10
Long on thyssenkrupp nucera AG & CO. KGaA (Ticker NCH2) XETR:NCH2 Technicals: - the price has been glued to the 9.23 resistance level and zone for a month - a breakout above this level opens the path to close the gap from Oct 22 - the month-long accumulation suggests that large-scale capital is building a position within the 8.77 – 9.20 range - the recent squeeze to the 0.23 fibo is nothing more than a stop-loss hunt targeting late-entry passengers who jumped on the train - scenario invalidated if 2 bar close below 8.77 Fundamentals: - alkaline water electrolysis (AWE) is considered one of the most reliable and scalable - maintains a strong balance sheet (net cash position), allowing it to finance expansion without incurring expensive debt - a large order backlog provides high visibility for future revenue - however, profitability remains questionable. Despite being profitable at the gross margin level, operating profit frequently fluctuates near zero or turns negative - increasing pressure from Chinese companies adds fuel to the fire regarding the asset's future valuation Conclusion: - this trade represents an interesting speculative position on a breakout of the monthly resistance zone - but a wider stop at 8.33 is only justified if the Take Profit (TP) is set at 11.65. While theoretically achievable, this target is not guaranteed and would likely require strong fundamental catalysts # - - - - - ⚠️ Signal - Buy ⬆️ ✅ Entry Point Term - 9.13 # - - - - - 🛑 SL - 8.76 🤑 TP - 10.46 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.85 👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 3 months 🗓 # - - - - - Good Luck! ☺️ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
XETR:NCH2Long
by TotSamiyKaa
2
Gold Decision Map – XAUUSD Structured Expansion & Decision Zones🟡 Gold Decision Map – XAUUSD TradingView | Daily Decision Framework 🔹 Fundamental Context Gold’s sharp rise was not news-driven, but the result of a structural release of accumulated pressure. The move unfolded in a risk-off geopolitical environment, allowing price to expand without meaningful resistance. This created a controlled expansion, not a random spike. 🔹 Current Market State Structured Expansion – Managed Pullback Primary structure: Bullish Current behavior: Cooling phase after strong expansion No confirmed reversal signals at the time of publishing 🔴 Upper Decision Zone 5275 – 5295 Primary rejection / acceptance area Suitable for: Short-term selling Profit-taking Position reduction Continuation requires clear acceptance above 5295 🟡 Balance Zone – No Trade Area 5205 – 5245 Neutral price behavior No directional edge inside this range Trading inside the balance is methodologically rejected 🟢 Repricing Zones (Buy on Behavior) 5145 – 5185 Primary repricing area Suitable for rebuilding long exposure Requires: Stabilization Downside rejection Absorption behavior 5075 – 5110 Deep repricing zone Defensive buy only A break below weakens the short-term bullish scenario 🚫 No-Trade Conditions Any price action inside 5205 – 5245 Entries taken without price reaching a defined decision zone 🔺 Upper Expansion Levels (Reference – Not Daily Targets) 5310 5340 5385 – 5400 Used for structural assessment and scenario planning, not execution. 🧭 Execution Framework Sell / reduce: 5275 – 5295 Buy (conditional): 5145 – 5185 No trade: 5205 – 5245 Acceptance above 5295 → expansion continuation Break below 5145 → invalidate short-term buy 🧠 Core Rule Decisions at zones, not in the middle.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldDecisionMap
8
Market Pressure (Part 5) | Multi-Timeframe Selling AlignmentPrice structure is currently reflecting strong and aligned selling pressure across multiple timeframes. On the 6H chart , price previously formed a rising wedge , followed by a developing Head and Shoulders structure with a slanted neckline . Price has now reacted at the left shoulder resistance , which may mark the early formation of the right shoulder . This reaction is supported by: • shrinking candles • a clear bearish engulfing candle • rejection from a well-defined resistance zone On the Daily chart , price has also reacted from an ascending trendline acting as resistance, adding higher-timeframe confirmation. On the 30-minute chart , a Head and Shoulders breakdown is already visible, reinforcing the broader bearish narrative. 📉 Primary Observation – Selling Pressure Alignment Selling pressure is currently aligned across: • Daily timeframe • 6H structure • 30-minute execution context This alignment suggests controlled downside participation rather than random volatility. ⚠️ Pressure Reassessment If price breaks and sustains above the current resistance and invalidates the right-shoulder structure, selling pressure would weaken and the structure would require reassessment. 🧠 Key Insight Patterns do not move price. Pressure alignment across timeframes does. ⚠️ Educational & Analytical Use Only This analysis is shared strictly for educational and analytical purposes. No financial advice, trade signals, or guarantees are provided. All decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader and should align with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles.
by ARMA_Market_Analysis
1
GOLD: Overbought But Still Bullish? Gold sits at $5,278.21, exactly where EMA50 and EMA200 converge. This isn't random; it's a critical decision point where neither bulls nor bears have control. We're technically overbought across the board, yet momentum remains intact. The market is at equilibrium, and equilibrium requires patience. 1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉 • Price rejected at $5,298.26 (24h high) with strong lower wick (42.3%) showing buyer support • Currently above Bollinger middle band ($5,103.12) but rejected from upper band at $5,295.97 • Holding above EMA20 ($5,109.86) is bullish, but sitting right at EMA50/200 confluence = no clear control • Range: $62.99 (1.19%), standard gold volatility 2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️ Bearish Signals: • RSI at 74.2 - overbought territory • Stochastic at 89.6 - extreme overbought • MFI maxed at 100.0 - maximum buying pressure Bullish Signals: • MACD still bullish (97.2 vs 84.2 signal) • ADX at 39.3 - moderate trend strength intact • Price structure holding above key EMAs The Conflict: Momentum indicators screaming "cool off" while trend indicators say "keep going." Equal buy/sell signals (2 each) with only 50% confidence, the definition of mixed signals. 3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯 🔴 Scenario A: Overbought Rejection • Trigger: Failure to reclaim $5,298.26 • Target: $5,235.27 (24h low support retest) • Move: ~$43 or 0.8% pullback • Invalidation: Break below $5,220.00 (confirms reversal, not pullback) 🟢 Scenario B: Breakout Continuation • Trigger: Conviction break above $5,298.26 • Entry: Confirmation above resistance • Target: $5,320.00 (psychological round number) • Stop: Below $5,278.00 (EMA confluence) MY VERDICT Risk-reward isn't compelling at this pivot. If you're long from lower, consider profit-taking at resistance. If looking to enter, wait for either breakout confirmation above $5,298 or pullback to $5,235-$5,240 support zone. Gold respects levels cleanly, let it come to you rather than forcing trades at equilibrium.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MonoCoinSignal
2
IBM Earnings Play: QS V4 Bull Call SpreadIBM QuantSignals V4 Earning 2026-01-28 Technical & AI Insight Current Price: $294.96 Katy AI Bias: Neutral, 40% confidence → signals uncertainty Polymarket Beat Probability: 90% → strong crowd conviction 200-Day MA Support: $275.02 – long-term bullish floor 50-Day MA: $301.73 – short-term resistance IV Rank: 41.3% → moderate, lower IV crush risk Implied Move: $20 (~6.8%) Risk Architecture RISK GRADE: Extreme (Binary Event) Thesis Error: Price drops below $288.07 → invalidates bullish setup Exit Protocol: Scale 50% at Target 1; trail 15% on remaining 50%; hard exit by next session post-earnings Tactical Notes Technical consolidation near VWAP ($294.64) – shows institutional balance MACD bearish short-term (-0.77), RSI neutral (49) Crowd intelligence strongly bullish → high-probability asymmetric upside if earnings beat Post-earnings guidance will determine final price direction
NYSE:IBMLong
by quantsignals
#LINK Crash Incoming? Why strong support always Weak... Yello Paradisers! Did you catch the early signs of this breakdown, or are you still stuck in the trap? As we warned in our previous market commentaries, #LINKUSDT was setting up for a deeper move — and now the chart is confirming that view. 💎After a clean rejection from the trendline resistance, #LINK has decisively broken below a key structural support, confirming a shift in market sentiment. This wasn’t just a random bounce or a short-term wick — the break below structure was accompanied by clear momentum loss on the higher timeframes, which increases the probability of a sustained leg lower. The trendline rejection aligns perfectly with the broader structure, and we’re now seeing continuation as price respects the bearish market geometry. 💎What makes this setup even more compelling is the presence of hidden bearish divergence on the RSI as price retested resistance. This is a technical sign of strength in the prevailing downtrend — price was making lower highs, but RSI was printing higher highs. That kind of signal often goes unnoticed by retail traders but is a critical continuation indicator for experienced analysts. It confirmed that bears were in control and buyers were lacking conviction on the retests. 💎Moreover, the broken support level had been tested three times prior to the breakdown, and many retail traders fell into the trap of interpreting that as strength. But as we’ve mentioned many times in our updates, repeated testing of a level weakens it, not strengthens it. What we saw here was a classic liquidity trap — smart money absorbed retail demand at support, engineered a false sense of safety, and then triggered a breakdown to the downside once enough positions were lured in. It’s a strategy often used to generate liquidity before the real move begins. 💎Now that structure has shifted, the technical landscape becomes clearer. The RSI is currently holding below the 40 level — a zone typically associated with strong bearish control. Until we see a sustained reclaim of that range or a divergence forming closer to oversold levels, there is no reason to assume momentum has faded. The trend remains firmly to the downside. 💎Looking at key levels, the next major support comes in around the $8 region. This zone is significant both psychologically and structurally — a breakdown into that area would align with prior consolidation ranges and potentially trigger more long liquidations. On the upside, the $15 level now acts as strong resistance. Unless that level is reclaimed with conviction, all rallies should be viewed as potential selling opportunities within a broader bearish context. As always, we’re not here to gamble or chase noise. The structure is breaking down, and our job is to stay on the right side of probability. That is why we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities. This is the only way how you can get inside the winner circle. Stay sharp, Paradisers — and let the rest chase shadows. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
2
Astera Labs $ALAB Technical Analysis Overview of Recent Price Action Astera Labs experienced significant momentum as a hot stock between July 2025 and September 2025, climbing an impressive 146% from its initial breakout point to reach its all-time closing high. Following this strong rally, the stock subsequently retraced approximately 45% of its gains. Current Trend Channel Formation Since the retracement, NASDAQ:ALAB appears to be trading within an upward-sloping channel, characterized by a pattern of higher lows. This technical setup suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend, provided support levels within the channel remain intact. Trading Strategy Considerations Going forward, a key area of interest is the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). If ALAB manages to reclaim this level, it could signal renewed strength and provide an entry point for initiating a position. In such a scenario, the upper boundary of the channel would serve as an initial price target, while the lower upsloping trendline should be used as a stop reference to manage risk. Upcoming Earnings Event Investors should note that Astera Labs is scheduled to report earnings in 13 days from today. This event may introduce increased volatility and should be factored into any trading decisions. Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and adhere to their individual trading strategies. All investments carry inherent risks, and it is essential to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:ALABLong
by Brent_Calver
Gold Enters Distribution — Liquidity Will Decide the Next LegGold is no longer in the same phase it was a few sessions ago and this chart makes that transition very clear through a clean Wyckoff Market Cycle lens. After an extended accumulation phase around five thousand to five thousand eighty, smart money built positions quietly while price moved sideways and volatility compressed. That base provided the fuel for the next phase: a sharp and aggressive markup, where price expanded impulsively from the accumulation range and accelerated higher with wide candles and minimal pullbacks. This is classic markup behavior urgency, poor structure, and a clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. That markup leg carried gold directly into the five thousand five hundred to five thousand five hundred eighty region, where price is now stalling around the Point of Control (POC). This is not random. The POC represents the price area where the highest volume has recently transacted in other words, where large players are most active. When price reaches this zone after a vertical move, the market often transitions from expansion to distribution. The current price action inside the highlighted box shows all the early signs of distribution: overlapping candles, failed continuation attempts, repeated swings within a defined range, and increasing time spent at highs without further upside progress. Liquidity-wise, this range is designed to absorb late breakout buyers while allowing stronger hands to gradually offload inventory. Each push higher inside the range invites new longs, and each pullback tests their conviction a textbook process of liquidity harvesting. From a structural perspective, this does not yet mean an immediate crash. Distribution phases often take time. Price can continue ranging, creating multiple false bullish signals, before the market commits to a markdown. However, once acceptance occurs below the lower boundary of the distribution zone roughly below five thousand four hundred the probability shifts decisively toward a deeper corrective move, with downside liquidity resting closer to five thousand two hundred and potentially five thousand one hundred. Macro context strengthens this reading. While gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes due to persistent geopolitical risk, central bank demand, and long-term currency debasement concerns, short-term positioning has become crowded. The recent vertical rally reflects aggressive speculative participation rather than fresh defensive flows. When positioning becomes one-sided, the market’s priority shifts from trending to rebalancing and that is exactly what distribution accomplishes. Market psychology is also aligned with this phase. Sentiment is still optimistic, targets are being raised, and dips are aggressively bought all typical near the end of a markup leg. True bearish phases rarely begin when fear is high; they begin when confidence is excessive and structure quietly deteriorates. Key takeaway: Gold has completed accumulation and markup. It is now rotating in a high-level distribution range near five thousand five hundred. As long as price remains inside this zone, expect volatility, fake breakouts, and liquidity games. A confirmed breakdown below the range would open the door for a controlled markdown toward lower demand zones not as a trend reversal, but as a necessary reset before the next major cycle resumes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Andree_Fx
2
MSFT Earnings Edge: Capture Upside Before Market OpenMSFT QuantSignals V4 Earning 2026-01-28 Event Type: Earnings Announcement (Binary Event) Bias: Bullish Confidence / Crowd Sentiment: 92% beat probability (Polymarket) Expected Move: ±$21.65 (~4.5%) 🎯 Key Levels 200-Day MA: $484.37 (critical breakout level) 50-Day MA: $479.11 Psychological Resistance: $500 🧠 Why This Trade Works Extreme crowd-sourced consensus (buy-the-news bias) MACD bullish (+2.28), RSI neutral (48.6) Institutional positioning detected ahead of earnings Strategy mitigates IV crush risk via debit spread 📝 Trade Plan Play: Bull Call Spread Buy: $482.50 Call Sell: $502.50 Call Expiry: Jan 30, 2026 Entry (Debit): $8.40 Target Max: $11.60 Max Risk: $8.40 Risk Rules Event risk: Earnings can gap opposite (beat and drop) Exit 100% at market open on 2026-01-29 MSFT earnings: high-probability “buy the news” setup; use a $482.5/$502.5 bull call spread to capture upside while controlling IV crush risk.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by quantsignals
Long NIO into earningsChinese equities have been in an uptrend lately. Aside from long term investments like NYSE:BABA and NASDAQ:JD it might be nice to capture trading profits on smaller, more speculative names. I've started such a position on NYSE:NIO via call options, dated to expire just after earnings. My theory is it can climb into the earnings announcement, especially with the momentum Chinese stocks as a tailwind. NIO's technical setup a rounding bottom bullish momentum time to appreciate on pre-earnings optimism attractive risk/reward profile
NYSE:NIOLong
by quickshiftinn
Bitcoin Bear Flag Breakdown in Play - Target $74k - $75kAnd this chart of Bitcoin we see the Bear Flag pattern playing out as forecast by the Red zigzag line a few weeks ago. Price pushed up directly into the Red Cell Zone which are just visualizations of limit sell orders on the order books. Similarly, there are strong limit buy orders in the buy support green zone below around 84 to 85k. But based on my prior study of the macro Head and Shoulders that likely will play out, even if we get it bounce here I do believe we will roll over and take out the buy support Zone below us and complete the Bear Flag measured move target down to 74k to 75k. This will likely be the bottom, as Bitcoin is never gone below the price it was when a new incoming president won an election. 74k was a prior resistance level flipped as support and I expected to hold. If it doesn't, then likely Bitcoin can head to 62k which would be the measured move on the macro Head and Shoulders in the prior study here. In the meantime, lots of uncertainty in the markets, that could drive prices either way in the short term. Today we have FOMC and although there is a 97% chance they do not cut rates, Powell's comments will be important and may move the markets depending on how hawkish or doveish he sounds. With war tensions in the Middle East and Iran's escalatory language, Market participants are staying out as they don't like uncertainty. On the other hand, hearing rumors that the US is buying Japanese yen to help prop up their currency and potentially start the money printer which would be bullish. The DXY is also heading down, and if it breaks the 95 level then typically we enter another bullish phase as we saw in 2021. Let me know your thoughts!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
1