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USD Weakness Fuels Risk-On Ahead of the FedThe US Dollar remains under strong pressure as risk appetite stays elevated. Stocks continue to benefit, but today’s Fed decision could be a key volatility trigger. Good morning, traders! The US Dollar continues to weaken aggressively, while equities are pushing higher as anticipated, confirming that a risk-on environment remains in play. As long as the USD has room for further downside, stocks may continue to trade within a bullish trend. However, caution is warranted ahead of today’s FOMC meeting, as increased volatility and potential pullbacks are likely. If the Fed does not deliver a rate cut as expected, markets could react with a short-term risk-off move. That said, the sharp decline in the USD may suggest that a rate cut is already partially priced in. A surprise cut would likely extend USD weakness further and support equities and risk assets. From a technical perspective, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains under intraday bearish pressure with scope for additional downside. Still, the structure suggests that price may be completing subwave (v) of wave iii. This opens the door for a corrective rebound in wave iv, potentially revisiting the 96.40–96.80 resistance zone. If that correction unfolds, it could be followed by another impulsive sell-off in wave v of wave 3, targeting the 94.00 area. Key takeaway: trend remains bearish for the USD, bullish for risk—but the Fed decision is the near-term catalyst that could reshape the next move.
TVC:DXYShort
by ew-forecast
1
AUDCAD | Multi-TF | Rejection at High Momentum (VMS Context)AUDCAD has just printed a classic shooting star reversal, followed by a clean engulfing candle, indicating strong rejection at current levels. Context notes: Momentum: Extremely elevated near 96, now pointing down with bearish divergence Volume: 1H: 79 15M: 91 Both timeframes are showing strong participation Structure: Rejection is occurring after an extended move, suggesting potential exhaustion I currently have the position tool mapped on the chart to visualize: Logical stop placement (swing high plus ATR) Realistic profit targets (using the FIB retracement rule 50%-61%) Risk-to-reward feasibility (2:1) Due to the distance between current price and the required stop, any participation here would require a limit order to manage risk properly. This is about position efficiency, not chasing price. At this stage, this is documentation and observation, not a call to action. Execution only occurs if price behavior, structure, and volume continue to align within the VMS framework. Patience first. Process always. Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Short
by darlwright
Bitcoin (BTC) Potential Bottom Forming? Bitcoin price action is currently showing early signs of stabilization after responding from the channel low, an area that aligns closely with the value area low, making it a key region of technical support. The initial bounce from this zone has been constructive, suggesting that downside momentum is beginning to slow. One of the more important developments is the reclaim of the point of control (POC). The POC represents the price level where the highest volume has traded within the recent range and often acts as a pivot for short-term direction. Holding above this level shifts near-term bias back in favor of buyers and opens the door for a rotational move higher. As long as Bitcoin maintains acceptance above the POC, the probability increases for a continuation toward the value area high, which now acts as immediate resistance. A clean reclaim and close above this level would strengthen the case for a move toward the upper boundary of the channel, where higher-time-frame resistance is located. From a market structure perspective, this move is best viewed as a relief rally within a broader range, rather than a confirmed trend reversal. Failure to hold above the POC would invalidate the bullish rotation and expose price to renewed weakness toward the channel low. In the short term, holding reclaimed levels remains critical for upside continuation.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
1
Just In: GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE: $GEV) Set for Earnings Report GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:GEV ) is gearing for earnings report today before market open. shares are constricted in a bullish rectangle pattern. a breakout above the ceiling of the rectangle would resort to a bullish breakout. The last recorded RSI is at 56, making it poise for a breakout amidst bearish resistance. The stock price has increased by +64.74% in the last 52 weeks.. in new update when am making this article; GE Vernova’s stock jumps as demand for electric-grid equipment fuels a raised outlook Quarterly profit rose well above expectations due to a tax benefit, while revenue rose well above expectations Shares of GE Vernova surged in early Wednesday trading after the energy-generation and delivery company reported fourth-quarter results that were well above expectations, with particular strength in the electrification business. And amid strong demand for gas-power and electric-grid equipment, which offset continued weakness in the wind business, the company also raised its revenue outlook for 2026 and for the next three years. About GEV GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segment designs, manufactures, and services gas, nuclear, hydro, and steam technologies.
NYSE:GEVLong
by DEXWireNews
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud. Sell entry: 155.630 - Pullback resistance - 38.2% Fib retracement Stop Loss: 156.323 - Pullback resistance - 50% Fib retracement Take Profit: 154.561 - Overlap support High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Short
by FXCM
SPX: The Uptrend Is Speaking Loud and ClearSPX is still trading within a well-defined and controlled uptrend , supported by both fundamental tailwinds and solid technical structure . After the market has fully digested the high-interest-rate narrative, the Fed’s stance has gradually shifted toward a more neutral tone. Meanwhile, capital continues to favor U.S. equities , especially Big Tech and the AI theme , keeping risk-on sentiment firmly in place . At this stage, there is no catalyst strong enough to reverse the primary trend. On the H4 chart, SPX is moving cleanly within an ascending channel, printing a textbook higher high – higher low structure. Price remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, with the cloud sloping upward — a clear confirmation that this is a genuine uptrend, not a short-lived momentum spike . Previous pullbacks have consistently stalled at dynamic support zones, followed by renewed upside continuation. In the short term, the most realistic scenario remains a shallow pullback for consolidation before the next leg higher. The 6,900 level is acting as a key structural support; as long as price holds above this zone, the bullish structure remains fully intact. Upside focus sits near 7,100, where some short-term reaction may occur, but selling against the trend at this stage remains a high-risk approach.
SP:SPXLong
by Paradise_Noir
2
WTI H4As anticipated in my previous analyses, WTI (Crude Oil) confirms its bullish momentum. The price structure validates buyer strength, supported by a tense geopolitical and energy landscape at the start of 2026. 📌 Key Analysis Points: Bias Confirmation: The long-term vision remains intact. Price is respecting its supports and heading toward the major resistance levels identified on the chart. Catalysts: Recent disruptions to energy infrastructure and rising global demand are pushing the barrel toward new highs. Targets: Take Profit (TP) targets are clearly mapped on the chart. We are aiming for an extension of the current trend to sweep liquidity at the highs. 🛡️ Strategy: Patience has paid off. For those looking for entry points, watch for retests of Demand Zones on lower timeframes. Golden Rule: Follow the plan, manage your risk, and let profits run toward the target zones.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by SNIPERSTN
What is the final price level for gold this January?1️⃣ Trendline Main trend: STRONG UP Price is moving within a steep ascending channel (blue channel). The Higher High – Higher Low structure remains clearly intact. The recent rally was an accelerated breakout move, showing buyers are in control. 👉 Currently, price is in the upper half of the channel, meaning the market is strong but prone to a short-term technical pullback. 2️⃣ Resistance 🔵 5,700 – 5,702: A strong resistance zone (top of the channel + supply area above). If price reaches this zone, profit-taking and strong volatility are likely. 📌 Bullish continuation scenario: A clear break and close above 5,700 is needed to confirm continuation toward higher price levels. 3️⃣ Support 🟢 5,500 – 5,502: Nearest support, the consolidation zone before the recent breakout. If this level holds → short-term uptrend remains strong. 🟢 5,448 – 5,450: Strong support (pullback low + bottom of the consolidation range). This is a zone where strong buying pressure may appear if price corrects deeper. 4️⃣ Quick Summary The main trend remains UPTREND. Price is near a volatile area → it’s safer to wait for a pullback to support to buy rather than chasing at high levels. A break below 5,445 would be the first clear sign of weakness in the current bullish move. Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 5,500 – 5,502 Stop Loss: 5,510 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips BUY GOLD: 5,448 – 5,450 Stop Loss: 5,440 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
5
Gold Is Breaking Higher — Next Move Depends on Pullback BehavesHello traders, Gold has just delivered a strong impulsive expansion, lifting price decisively away from the prior consolidation and pushing the market toward new all time highs. The breakout was clean, vertical, and accompanied by clear follow-through a hallmark of initiative buying rather than short-term speculation. This confirms that the broader bullish structure remains firmly in control. After such an aggressive push, the market is now entering a natural pause phase. This is not a signal of weakness. In strong trends, price rarely moves in a straight line. Instead, it often rotates or pulls back modestly to rebalance liquidity and allow momentum to reset. The projected retracement toward the five thousand one hundred ninety to five thousand one hundred seventy area aligns with prior structural interaction, making it a logical zone for buyers to reassess and defend. As long as pullbacks remain corrective and contained above the highlighted support zone, the bullish thesis stays intact. Acceptance above this area would favor continuation toward the upper resistance and new ATH region around five thousand four hundred, where price discovery may temporarily slow again. This level should be viewed as a reaction zone, not a guaranteed destination. Invalidation remains clearly defined. A decisive breakdown below the support zone would disrupt the current structure and shift focus toward a deeper consolidation or corrective phase. Until then, downside moves are best interpreted as part of a healthy trend digestion process. Gold has already shown its hand. Now patience and structure will determine the next expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
4
JD Approaching Buy Zone - Excellent Reward/Risk For A LongThis chart has a number of confluent signals that point to a good long setup. From both a trend & momentum perspective, I like it a lot. Everyone has to manage their emotions in trading. As this looks to be basing above the zone, I'm feeling a strong urge add to my original long. But I know patience is critical to risk/reward, and letting price come to the buy zone is the right decision. Emotionally, here's how I do it. I spread buy orders across the buy zone, with heavier orders near the bottom. So price action will determine the exact position size, with the maximum loss to my stop loss representing no more than 1-2% of my portfolio value. But what if we really want a position, and it never reaches our buy zone? Sometimes buying a single share before it hits the buy zone satiates that urge to participate. For me, it works. It's a tiny symbolic gesture that manages FOMO. Meanwhile, I sit on my hands with JD for my re-add. The orders are set.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by MicDrop5
USDCAD Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.357. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.369 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Silver- to 80$?Silver reached a critical price level that may dictate its next directional move. The price reached the second high cycle and rejected from that area, a potential decline could materialize, signalling a sell scenario. Conversely, sustained acceptance above this zone may trigger a bullish breakout with upside potential toward $135. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, including the potential for substantial loss. Always exercise caution and trade responsibly.
TVC:SILVERShort
by Bilind-GeniusScalper
ES - January 28th - Daily Trade PlanJanuary 28th - Daily Trade Plan - 7:00am *Before reading this trade plan, if you did not read yesterday's take the time to read it first! (You can view the posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- It is the first FOMC meeting of 2026 and today could set the tone for the rest of the year. We have had a nice 150+pt move over the past 2-3 sessions as we gapped lower at the open on Sunday, closed that gap in the overnight session and have rallied into the ATH's. Price is currently extended but that does not mean we will sell off today or tomorrow. As of writing this post we need to hold 6950 on any pullback this week. Since we are at the end of the month, my general lean is that price can continue higher over the next couple of days, and I anticipate trappy moves today and into end of the week. Price has just rallied overnight into the 7042 resistance. As readers know, I need a pullback to get interested in going long at these levels. The Overnight low is 7006 and the Overnight high is 7042. IF price continues higher and takes out the 7042 level prior to 9:30am open, then I will be very cautious in the first 30 mins of trading and will be patiently waiting on a pullback to the following levels. Key Levels Today - 1. 7006 - Flush and Reclaim 2. 6994 - Flush and Reclaim 3. 6975 - Flush and Reclaim If price does lose 6975 and does not recover it quickly, we will most likely be selling off and 6950, 6931 are the next levels below I will be looking for a reaction/base to be building to keep moving higher. If price does lose 6950 (Which I do not anticipate that happening today), we could be starting a new trend lower. While price may not lose 7006, the first actionable level is the loss and recovery of 7026 (Lower quality). Personally, I will be waiting for 7006 as my first level to engage in. Below there 6994 and 6975. If price is selling off quickly, do not be a hero and try to pick a bottom. Let price build a base and act accordingly. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Purple = A Weekly Low (Current or Previous Week) Blue = A previous day low (Day before or day in the past week) Red - Overnight Session High/Low (Prior to my post) White = Key Support/Resistance Levels
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
GOLD: $5,280 | Building a SHORT Position | Squeeze $6500 levelswhen i heard the WEF world economic forum said that the old money system does not work that seems to be a late remark when gold is on parabolic... at $1.8k or $2.5k would have a been a foreshadowing observation ... at $5,2k levels is a just for some CENTRAL BANKER who got in a a bit later in the $3.5k zone for now this artificial depression is the BRICS gold currency as alternative to King Dollar ahead of MAY 2026 when the new FED is installed and Rate is cut
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Senyores
GOLD 5418-5422 LOOKS TO CORRECTION IF 5385-5400 FAILS GOLD 5418-5422 LOOKS TO CORRECTION IF 5385-5400 FAILS SWITCH TO 15MIN FOR PRICEACTION AND SNIPER ENTRY Geopolitical Tensions US President Donald Trump's insistence on acquiring Greenland, including threats of force and tariffs on opposing European nations, has sparked US-Europe friction. French President Macron's rebukes and potential suspension of US-EU trade deals have weakened the dollar, boosting gold's appeal to foreign buyers. Economic Factors A softer US dollar makes gold cheaper globally, while expectations of steady Federal Reserve rates—despite labor improvements—favor non-yielding assets like gold. Central banks in China and India continue aggressive gold buying, adding structural support. Future Outlook WHAT IS GOLD ??? Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion. History as Store of Value Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power Tier 1 Status Clarification Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again. HOW DOES THE DOLLAR INDEX AFFECT THE PRICE ACTION AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS ?? The US Dollar Index (DXY) exhibits a strong inverse relationship with global gold prices, where a stronger dollar typically depresses gold values and a weaker dollar boosts them. Core Mechanism Gold trades in US dollars worldwide, so dollar strength raises gold's cost for non-US buyers, curbing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar reduces this barrier, making gold cheaper and spurring purchases from international investors. Correlation Strength Historical data shows a negative correlation coefficient of -0.40 to -0.80, meaning 40-80% of gold's movements often align inversely with DXY changes. Interest rate differentials amplify this: Fed hikes strengthen the dollar and hurt non-yielding gold, while cuts weaken it and favor gold. Influencing Factors Geopolitical risks or inflation can override the link temporarily, but dollar dynamics remain the primary driver in most cycles. For instance, recent dollar weakness from de-dollarization trends has fueled gold rallies. the brics nation are busing buying GOLD.this is the year of GOLD as the new money backed by physical GOLD ,this is why all BRICS CENTRAL BANKS are stocking the yellow bullion. #GOLD #XAUUSD
TVC:GOLDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Will Gas Prices Collapse or Skyrocket in 2026?The natural gas market stands at a critical inflection point in 2026, transforming from a simple commodity into a geopolitical weapon and economic force. A massive surge in global LNG capacity, dubbed the "third wave," is reshaping the entire energy landscape. The United States has achieved record production levels of 108.5 billion cubic feet per day, while new liquefaction facilities from Qatar to the Gulf Coast prepare to flood markets with an additional 300 billion cubic meters by 2030. This abundance has driven domestic prices down, saving American consumers $1.6 trillion over 17 years and pushing gasoline to 4-year lows. However, this supply glut creates a paradox. While North American producers maintain unprecedented output, global volatility intensifies as regional markets become interconnected. A production disruption in Qatar now affects prices in Houston; a cold snap in Tokyo impacts manufacturing costs in Berlin. Geopolitical risks have escalated dramatically, pipelines have become legitimate military targets, cyberattacks on infrastructure are industrialized, and traditional alliances fracture under sanctions. Russia's gas flows through Azerbaijan to Europe exemplify how energy security has become a theater for strategic manipulation. Technology accelerates both opportunity and risk. Artificial Intelligence now drives exploration decisions and trading algorithms, while satellites patrol for methane leaks. Yet the industry faces existential threats: state-sponsored hackers target control systems, carbon regulations tighten globally, and the economics of stranded assets loom large. Capital discipline has replaced the boom-bust mentality of previous cycles, with producers prioritizing margins over volume. The convergence of massive supply, geopolitical tension, and technological transformation creates a market where the only certainty is radical uncertainty, making natural gas simultaneously more abundant and more volatile than ever before.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by UDIS_View