Bitcoin - Hardcore pump 125k and dump 49k (must see!)In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 49k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price! We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty?
Statistically:
Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days
Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days
Correction is every time weaker, but still huge
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between September and December 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 49k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Community ideas
USDJPY Analysis – Yield Support Signals Potential UpsideUSDJPY is currently sitting at a key support zone around 142.80–143.00, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This support area has previously acted as a strong launchpad for price rallies.
🟢 Technical Setup:
Price action has formed a clean higher low structure, bouncing off horizontal support.
The US10Y Treasury Yield (pink line) has rebounded sharply and is diverging to the upside — a leading indicator for USDJPY strength.
The Fib retracement from the last swing move aligns well with the 0% zone, suggesting the dip might be complete.
A bullish reaction from here targets the 148.50 zone, with intermediate resistance around 145.00–146.00.
🟠 Risk Levels:
Invalidated below 141.40 (structure break).
Stops could be placed below 142.00, targeting a 2:1 or better risk-reward ratio.
🔍 Macro-Fundamental Insight:
U.S. Yields are firming despite mixed Fed signals — this gives strength to USD, especially against low-yielders like the JPY.
BOJ remains dovish with no urgency to normalize rates, keeping the yen weak.
With risk appetite improving and bond yields lifting, carry trade dynamics favor USDJPY upside.
✅ Conclusion:
As long as US10Y yields remain firm and USD holds above 142.00, USDJPY has a strong probability of rallying toward 148.50. Look for confirmation with higher highs on the 4H chart and continued divergence between yield and price.
Gold Fibonacci Analysis of (XAU/USD)📊 Fibonacci Levels Overview:
23.6% Level: Minor correction zone, price rejected this area and continued lower.
38.2% Level: Acted briefly as a support but eventually broken.
50.0% Level (~$2,351.6): Currently being tested — a key level. Price is consolidating here.
61.8% Level: If 50% breaks decisively, 61.8% becomes the next major support zone.
📉 Trend Outlook:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above the 50% Fibonacci level, we could see a bounce toward 38.2% and potentially back to 23.6%.
Key upside targets: $2,345 – $2,380 zone.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the 50% level fails to hold, the price could drop to test the 61.8% Fibonacci level and possibly lower.
Downside target: $2,330 – $2,320.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is currently at a decision point:
Holding above 50% = potential recovery.
Breaking below = confirmation of a short-term downtrend.
Traders should watch for price action and volume confirmation near the $2,351 level to determine the next move.
GOLD increased in the short term: Break down expectedThe Gold market has been very strong for some time, but I don’t think this will continue to be the case going forward. As we’ve seen, the price has rallied a bit on Friday with Trump’s EU tariff threats.
Market structure starts to hint exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to generous pullbacks, supporting needed corrections.
That being said I do think that on Monday we might see a short term pullback.
We can see that gold is currently being rejected just above the higher zone of the 4h ascending channel. The zone aligns with a low-volume node as well. Therefore, at this zone around the 3,350, I wouldn't recommend to chase high. Before this zone is clearly broken considering long entries here would be buying blindly.
Right now I think you have to look at this as a market that may just simply be a buy on the dip and hold till we get to the $3,500 level again type of situation.
The other scenario is that the market will consolidate for a while.
If we were to break down below the $3,290 level, then $3,200 is next support.
In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture.
But if you're watching for buys:
wait to see how price behaves on Monday
watch for sustained bullish structure before getting involved
don’t chase, wait for a clean break + candle confirmation pattern
For sells:
Watch for bearish rejection in the next couple of candles (4H or Daily)
Don’t enter unless it’s confirmed!
Top 10 Altcoins Yet To Move, Strong Growth Potential —CommentI am making a list of TOP 10 Altcoins that are yet to move. These are not the ones with the highest growth potential nor anything like it but a selection of pairs that are yet to move strongly thus low risk vs a high potential for reward.
Let me give you some examples and then I will share the instructions below.
» PEPEUSDT grew some 200% already. This is awesome but it wouldn't be in the TOP 10 yet to move because it already grew strongly. It has plenty of room left available for additional growth but the higher it trades, the higher the risk.
» ETCUSDT grew less than 70%. This one is still trading low so it has huge potential for growth, it can be part of the TOP 10 Altcoins yet to move.
Let me give you another example:
» DOGSUSDT grew 150% already. It is currently trading below the last high of course but this one wouldn't make it in the list. We already jumped in early so we look for other pairs.
» AVAXUSDT grew a maximum of ~80% and is now trading only 55% higher compared to its 7-April low. This can be in the set of the TOP 10 Altcoins yet to move. Makes sense?
Like this, I will make a list.
If you are interested, leave a comment with "Share the TOP 10 Altcoins Yet Move" and if there is enough interactions I will do this post for you.
I can take a while because I will go through hundreds of pairs. Depending on how much interest there is, I can do another TOP10 and another TOP10, 3 sessions total, because there just too many Altcoins that are looking great and yet to move.
Sounds good?
Leave your comment below and let me know.
Namaste.
Bitcoin – Possible 4h Sweep at 106.5kBitcoin recently printed a sharp rejection after revisiting a key supply area formed by a 4H fair value gap, overlapping perfectly with the golden pocket zone from the most recent down move. This confluence provided a strong technical ceiling, causing a clear reaction and shifting short-term sentiment to the downside. The rejection was sharp and clean, leaving behind an upper wick that signals strong selling interest. From here, price appears to be in search of support, and our eyes are now locked on the 4H imbalance around the 108.2k level, which could serve as a key pivot for the next directional move.
Consolidation and Confluence Structure
This recent move isn’t just a random drop. We’ve built a range around this resistance zone, with multiple failed attempts to break higher, followed by a clear rejection from inside the 4H FVG and golden pocket. This kind of structure usually tells us two things: first, buyers are struggling to break through strong institutional resistance, and second, there’s still liquidity left below that the market may want to sweep before any continuation higher. This is where the FVG at 108.2k and the PDL around 106.5k come into play. Both zones are clean, visible, and highly likely to draw price if the current level doesn’t hold.
Fair Value Gap Reaction Potential
The 108.2k zone is where the first major reaction could occur. It marks a fresh 4H imbalance created during the impulsive move upward, and price is now backfilling that inefficiency. If buyers step in here, respecting this imbalance as a demand zone, we could easily see a rotation back up toward 110.2k and eventually a retest of the upper resistance band near 111k. This would be a typical FVG play: price rebalances into the gap, finds demand, and continues higher.
Failure Scenario and Liquidity Sweep Setup
If the 108.2k FVG fails to hold as support, the next target becomes much more obvious, the previous day’s low at 106.5k. That level is also a 4H swing low, making it a prime liquidity draw. A move below that low would allow price to collect sell-side liquidity, sweep out late longs, and potentially trap breakout traders expecting further downside. If this level is swept cleanly and followed by bullish displacement, it could offer a high-probability long entry from the discount zone. The risk-reward from this setup would be ideal, especially if we reclaim 108.2k afterward.
Market Context and Higher Timeframe Bias
Zooming out, the structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but this local rejection is a necessary reset. It’s a shakeout that allows price to reprice into demand and generate momentum for the next leg up. This kind of behavior is typical in trending markets, corrective moves that dig into inefficiencies, hunt liquidity, and then reestablish the trend. As long as we don’t see sustained closes below 106k, the bias remains tilted toward continuation to the upside, with current price action offering a potential entry opportunity.
Price Target and Expectations
If we hold the 108.2k zone, my first short-term target is the 110.2k structure high, followed by the upper resistance area around 111k where the initial rejection occurred. A reclaim of that zone opens the door to expansion toward 112k. If instead we sweep the PDL and bounce from 106.5k, the first target would be a retrace into the 108.2k imbalance, with the next leg aiming for the same resistance range. Either path sets up a long opportunity from areas of value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at an important decision point. The rejection from the 4H FVG and golden pocket confirms strong resistance, and price is now seeking support lower. The 108.2k FVG is a critical zone, a hold here gives us a clean continuation setup, while a failure could lead to a deeper liquidity sweep toward 106.5k. Either scenario offers high-quality trade potential as long as we stay disciplined and wait for confirmation from price action. Patience is key, but both levels present opportunities to position long from areas where smart money typically steps in.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
GOLD → Correction before possible growthFX:XAUUSD entered a liquidation phase (rally) within the trading range at the opening of the session. The dollar's rise is to blame. The focus is on supporting consolidation...
Investors remain interested in gold as a safe haven asset amid geopolitical risks and declining demand for US assets.
The key drivers remain news about tax reform in the US, trade negotiations, and upcoming macro data.
Gold is consolidating, but since the opening of the session, the price has been heading towards support. Against the backdrop of an upward trend, a trigger for bearish liquidity is likely to form before growth.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, gold is entering a correction phase. At the moment, all attention is on support and the liquidity zone of 3265. A false breakdown will trigger a price buyback.
Resistance levels: 3322
Support levels: 3282, 3265
Since the price is still within the range and a countertrend correction is forming in the market, in our case, it is worth considering an intraband trading strategy. A false breakdown of support could trigger growth to intermediate resistance or to the upper border of the channel.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$BTC Liquidity Squeeze Incoming – Breakout or Breakdown?#Bitcoin
According to the liquidation heat map, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is building a large cluster of liquidations on both the upside and downside, creating some confusion in the market. However, the nearest major liquidation zone is around $112K–$113K, which increases the chances of a move toward that range.
Technically, BTC is forming a symmetrical triangle, and the breakout from this pattern will likely determine the next major move.
So keep a close eye on it.
I’ll keep you posted as things unfold.
If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
ETH: Still optimistic and in transformationETH: Still optimistic and in transformation
Previously, ETH showed a strong bullish trend, but recent economic events have shaken things up.
On Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 50% tariff on the European Union, set to begin on June 1, 2025. This caused uncertainty in financial markets, triggering selling pressure on ETH, which dropped to $2,463—a key support level.
However, over the weekend, Trump extended the EU negotiations deadline until July 9, for talks between Washington and the 27-nation bloc to produce a deal.
If ETH holds the $2,463 support level, we could see another upward push in price.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance.
The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance.
🔁 Now We're Back towards 142
Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce.
📌 Outlook and Trading Plan
I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity.
Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146.
That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD.. gold 4H charts pattern I'm outlining a short (SELL) trade setup for XAU/USD (Gold). Here's a breakdown of your trade idea:
Entry: 3308 (SELL)
First Target (FVG): 3250
(FVG likely refers to a Fair Value Gap – a liquidity target in imbalanced price zones)
Final Target: 3140
Let’s assess the setup:
Key Points to Consider:
1. Risk Management:
Have you set a stop-loss? For this short, a logical SL might be above recent highs or structure – perhaps around 3330–3340.
Position sizing is critical depending on account size and risk tolerance.
2. Market Context:
Is this based on a higher time frame imbalance, a bearish trend continuation, or news catalyst?
Are you following a liquidity sweep strategy or reacting to a key resistance rejection?
3. Technical Confirmation:
Confirmation from order blocks, bearish divergence, or break of market structure (BOS) could strengthen your setup.
Would you like me to:
Analyze the chart if you provide a screenshot?
Provide a technical breakdown of current XAUUSD levels?
Help calculate risk-to-reward or position size for this trade?
Let me know how you'd like to proceed.
Lingrid | GOLD Key SUPPORT Zone Bounce OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating after a rejection from the descending resistance trendline near 3345, with price now approaching the prior demand zone around 3265. If this support holds, a bullish reaction could propel price back toward the 3345–3350 zone for another retest. The broader pattern reflects a potential higher low forming against the downward trendline. A bounce here would confirm bullish interest and set the stage for continuation higher.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3265
Buy trigger: bullish reaction from support or breakout above 3300
Target: 3345
Sell trigger: break below 3265
💡 Risks
Failure to hold 3265 support could trigger sharp downside
False breakouts near 3345 remain a threat
Market-sensitive data could increase volatility
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Flag BREAKOUT Eyes April HighOANDA:XAUUSD is currently forming a textbook flag pattern at 3,358, following the sharp rally from March lows. This consolidation represents a pause in bullish momentum rather than a reversal, with price oscillating between well-defined boundaries in a rectangular formation. The 4H chart shows a completed corrective wedge pattern after April's 3,500 high, while the daily timeframe clearly displays the flag structure - a classic trend continuation pattern. The downward trendline containing recent price action appears increasingly vulnerable as gold approaches the flag's upper boundary.
Key technical levels include immediate resistance at 3,400, with the more significant battle at 3,500 where April highs converge with the flag's upper boundary. A decisive break above this zone could trigger rapid acceleration toward measured move targets around 3,680 - 3,720. The major support at 3000 has held firm throughout consolidation, providing a solid foundation for renewed buying. The primary uptrend remains intact with consistent higher lows despite periodic weakness.
The broader macro environment continues supporting gold's fundamental case through geopolitical uncertainties, currency concerns, and diversification needs. Combined with this compelling technical setup, the current consolidation likely represents accumulation rather than distribution. Next week we should monitor the flag's upper trendline closely, as any breakout above 3,380 - 3,400 could trigger rapid acceleration toward new all-time highs.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Crypto: The Complete Guide🔸Introduction:
In financial markets in general—and the crypto market in particular—understanding market liquidity and imbalance zones is essential for building successful trading strategies. One of the most prominent modern price analysis concepts, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework, is the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This refers to a price imbalance between buyers and sellers.
🔸What is the Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
A Fair Value Gap is an area on the price chart that shows an imbalance between supply and demand. It occurs when the price moves rapidly in one direction without being fairly traded within a balanced price range. This usually happens due to the entry of large players or “smart money,” creating a gap between three consecutive candlesticks on the chart.
Classic Bullish FVG Setup:
Candle 1: A bearish or neutral candle.
Candle 2: A strong bullish candle (usually large).
Candle 3: A bullish or neutral candle.
🔸Where is the Gap?
The gap lies between the high of candle 1 and the low of candle 3.
If candle 3 does not touch the high of candle 1, an unfilled price gap (FVG) is present.
🔸How is FVG Used in Market Analysis?
Traders use Fair Value Gaps as potential areas for:
Entering trades when the price returns to retest the gap.
Identifying zones of institutional interest.
Setting potential targets for price movement.
🔸Common Scenario:
If a strong bullish candle creates a Fair Value Gap, the price often returns later to retest that gap before continuing its upward movement.
The gap can be considered "delayed demand" or "delayed supply".
🔸🔸Types of FVG:🔸🔸
🔸Bullish FVG:
Indicates strong buying pressure.
The price is expected to return to the gap, then bounce upwards.
🔸Bearish FVG:
Indicates strong selling pressure.
The price is expected to return to the gap, then continue downward.
🔸Relationship Between FVG and Liquidity:
Fair Value Gaps are often linked to untapped liquidity zones, where buy or sell orders have not yet been fulfilled. When the price returns to these areas:
Institutional orders are activated.
The price is pushed again in the primary direction.
🔸How to Trade Using FVG (Simple Entry Plan):
Steps:
Identify the overall trend (bullish or bearish).
Observe the formation of an FVG in the same direction.
Wait for the price to return and test the gap.
Look for entry confirmation (like a reversal candle or a supporting indicator).
Set your stop loss below or above the gap.
Take profit at a previous structure level or the next FVG.
🔸🔸Real-World Examples (Simplified):🔸🔸
🔸Bullish Example:
A strong bullish candle appears on BTC/USD.
A gap forms between $74K and $80K.
The price rises to $108K, then returns to 74K$ (inside the gap).
From there, it begins to rise again.
🔸Important Tips When Using FVG:
Don’t rely on FVGs alone—combine them with:
-Market Structure.
-Support and resistance zones.
-Confirmation indicators like RSI or Volume Profile.
-Best used on higher timeframes (15m, 1H, 4H, Daily).
-The gap can be filled the same day or after days/weeks.
🔸Conclusion
The Fair Value Gap is a powerful analytical tool used to identify zones of institutional interest. It plays a key role in the toolset of professional traders who follow smart money principles. By mastering this concept, traders can improve entry and exit timing, reduce risk, and increase their chances of success.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
GOLD About To Develop a WXYXZ PatternGOLD About To Develop a WXYXZ Pattern
GOLD it's a very risky trade as we have seen it often rising in days without news or without volume in the market.
However, the previous week gold reached 3365 and looks like the top was already completed.
Trump's decision to impose 50% tariffs also for Europe made gold bouce on Friday.
The current situation looks more stable. As we have seen already, Trump doesn't want to increase tariffs but to reach deals that are better for the US.
US and Europe will resume talks soon and this news improved the market sentiment for a slight sell-off on GOLD.
The chances are that this was the first movement, and a bigger wave may happen. I don't like gold shorts too much due to the price that moves up often without any clear reason.
The pattern this time is showing the possiblitity that it may expand in a large WXYXZ pattern and we could be on the Z wave as shown on the chart.
Targets: 3285 ; 3250; 3170 and 3100
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Trump Delays Tariffs, but Trade Tensions with EU Are Heating UpDonald Trump is back in headline mode — and this time, the EU is in his crosshairs.
After weeks of relative calm, the US President reignited global trade tensions by announcing a 50% tariff on all EU imports. But in a surprise twist — and in true reality-TV fashion — he’s now pushed the start date from June 1 to July 9.
So Europe gets a five-week stay of execution. Lucky? Or just stuck in limbo?
Let’s dive into what it means for markets, why traders aren’t exactly panicking yet, and whether this is just another Trump bluff — or a prelude to Trade Wars, Season 2.
🍝 All EU Imports — Yes, Even the Pasta
Trump’s post-holiday bombshell would slap a sweeping 50% tariff on everything from French wine and Italian olive oil to German sedans and Spanish ham.
His reason? Brussels is “dragging its feet,” and Trump, never one to shy away from drama, says enough is enough.
Cue the “America First” soundtrack.
But with the tariff now rescheduled for July 9, markets are interpreting this as more of a pressure tactic than an immediate economic hammer. A cooling-off period? Or the calm before the tariff storm?
👀 Markets Blink — But Just Barely
When the initial June 1 announcement hit Friday, Europe’s Stoxx 600 TVC:SXXP dropped about 1% — not exactly a meltdown, more like a “here we go again” shrug.
US stocks , which are closed for Memorial Day Monday, had already wrapped Friday in the red. Investors were digesting the potential for yet another trade war rerun — just when things were starting to feel a bit less chaotic.
The new July 9 date has offered some breathing room, but it hasn’t erased the risk. Instead, it’s created a countdown clock for volatility — one that traders can’t ignore.
⏳ Bluff or Battle Plan?
Trump’s tone this time is more poker table than podium.
“That’s the way it is,” he told reporters.
“Our discussions with them are going nowhere!” he posted on Truth Social.
“I’m not looking for a deal — we’ve set the deal: 50%.”
Still, the sudden five-week delay suggests there might be some wiggle room behind the scenes. Maybe it’s about giving Brussels time to blink. Or maybe it’s about giving voters time to rally.
🧐 Should Traders Be Freaking Out?
Short answer: No.
Slightly longer answer: Not yet.
While the tone feels sharper and the numbers bigger, traders have learned one thing about Trump: even the most dramatic threats often serve as negotiation leverage.
That said, this isn't 2018. The global economy is more fragile. Rates are higher. Consumer fatigue is real. And if this escalates into tit-for-tat tariffs, the recovery narrative could hit a speed bump — just in time for earnings season.
So traders should:
Keep an eye on EU-exposed sectors — autos, luxury goods, industrials
Monitor the FX space — especially EUR/USD volatility
Watch the earnings calendar for reports from multinationals with eurozone exposure
Stay alert for a potential 3 a.m. Trump pivot post
And maybe keep one tab open for the Brussels response
🌱 A New Deadline, Same Old Drama
So, is this real? Maybe. Is it priced in? Partially. Is it over? Definitely not.
The July 9 date might delay the fallout, but it also means the headlines — and market jitters — aren’t going anywhere. Investors now have five more weeks of speculation, positioning, and potential volatility as the transatlantic trade story unfolds.
And if you’re sitting on European exposure? Maybe don’t go full “buy-the-dip” mode just yet. More like a “watch the tape, prep your hedges, and don’t believe everything you read is final.”
Your turn: are you fading the noise or surfing the chaos? Let us know how you’re playing the next move in this global chess match.
USDCAD I Daily CLS nested in W/M CLS Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
NZDUSD - growth ended with a false breakout NZDUSD makes a false breakout of resistance after strong growth in the Asian session. The dollar is correcting a bit before the news at this time, which may give a chance for the currency pair to correct
Scenario: Strong growth of 2.3% is tempered by a false breakout. The price is not ready to continue rising. Consolidation of the price below 0.60200 may intensify the sell-off and trigger a correction to the support at 0.5969 (0.5)
Bitcoin Bounce on Trump Tariff Delay – Short Setup Still Valid!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , and declined near the Support lines .
Bitcoin started pumping after the news that " US President Trump agreed to postpone 50% EU tariffs until July 9th ." Do you think this pumping of Bitcoin will continue?
Bitcoin is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,800) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to be in corrective waves , which is why I am labeling this idea as a ''Short''. The corrective waves structure is of the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) type.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines once again, and if these lines are broken, it will decline to the Targets I have indicated on the chart.
Notes :
MicroStrategy bought another 4,020 Bitcoins, but it didn't have much of an impact on the market.
If the Bitcoin price falls back below $109,000, about $185 million in long Bitcoin positions will be liquidated . = Attractive for exchanges
Bitcoin 2025 Conference to be Held in Las Vegas, Tuesday-Thursday = Could Cause Market Excitement .
Note: If Bitcoin touches $112,080, we should expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURO - Price can rise a little and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered a falling channel, where it broke through $1.1310 level at once, but soon broke it again.
Price traded near this level for some time, after which it reached resistance line and continued to decline.
Then price broke $1.1310 level and dropped to $1.1065 level, after which it turned around and started to grow within the channel.
In the rising channel, Euro broke $1.1140 level and continued to grow, but later made a correction to this level.
After this, price continued to grow and later broke $1.1310 level, then rose to the resistance line of the channel.
I expect that Euro will rise to resistance line and then start to decline to the $1.1310 support level.
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart route map, playing out as analysed.
We started the week with a bearish gap at 3352 being hit, followed by ema5 cross and lock below 3352, which opened up the next level at 3317, also hit perfectly. We are now seeing ema5 cross and lock below 3317, opening the retracement range, which is currently being tested. We are expecting a reaction within this retracement range, aligning with our plan to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Flag Breakout Points to $114KHello guys!
Bitcoin continues to respect the bullish structure within its ascending channel, and we just got a clean breakout from a textbook bull flag.
After a solid move higher earlier this month, BTC cooled off inside a tight flag pattern, consolidating above $106K. That pullback helped reset momentum, and now we’ve broken out with conviction.
You can read about it here:
We’re currently hovering around $ 109.8 K. A short-term retest of the breakout zone near $108K–$108.5K wouldn’t be surprising. it could even offer a great entry opportunity before the next leg up.
If momentum holds, the projected target from this flag pattern lands in the $113.5K–$114K zone.
watch these:
Support: $107.5K–$108.5K
Target: $114K
Invalidation: Break below $107K
Bias remains bullish unless we lose the channel structure.
EUR/USD - Is the uptrend about to end?The EUR/USD currency pair has demonstrated a consistent uptrend on the 4-hour chart for approximately two weeks. This sustained bullish momentum has captured the attention of traders and analysts alike, who are now questioning whether the pair can maintain its upward trajectory or if a retracement is imminent as it approaches significant resistance levels.
Rising wedge
A closer examination of the price action reveals that EUR/USD has been advancing within a rising wedge formation. This technical pattern is generally considered bearish, as it often precedes a reversal or a breakdown rather than a continued rally. Rising wedges are characterized by converging trendlines, with price making higher highs and higher lows at a diminishing rate, which typically signals waning bullish momentum and a potential for sellers to regain control.
Strong resistance
Recently, the pair encountered a notable resistance zone around the 1.141 level. Upon reaching this area, EUR/USD faced a rejection, resulting in a pullback from its recent highs. While there is a possibility that the pair could make another attempt to test this resistance, the initial rejection suggests that the upward move may be losing steam. As a result, the likelihood of a retracement has increased, especially given the bearish implications of the rising wedge pattern.
Support/target zone
If the pair does indeed correct lower, a logical target for a cooldown would be the green support zone near 1.127. This level has previously acted as a strong support area, and it could serve as a foundation for buyers to step in once more, potentially setting the stage for another move higher. Until the resistance at 1.141 is decisively broken, caution is warranted, and a period of consolidation or a pullback towards support appears increasingly probable.
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