The Fed kept interest rates unchanged. Will gold reach $5600 ?Pero – Daily Trading Plan | XAUUSD
Date: Jan 29, 2026
(Macro Narrative + Multi-Timeframe Technicals + Disciplined Execution)
1️⃣ Market Context – Macro Narrative
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Powell’s tone was neutral and data-dependent.
No policy shock — the decision was fully priced in.
USD failed to stage a meaningful rebound after the meeting.
Gold remains supported by:
Medium-term easing expectations
Safe-haven demand
Strong speculative liquidity
👉 Conclusion:
The medium-term bias for gold remains bullish.
However, following a strong impulsive rally, price is now in a short-term distribution / corrective phase.
2️⃣ Market Structure – Trend Assessment
Primary structure: Higher High – Higher Low (uptrend intact)
Current behavior:
Consolidation below a major supply zone
Post-Fed volatility with liquidity sweeps
No H4/D1 structural breakdown confirmed
👉 No justification for a bearish medium-term bias.
3️⃣ Technical Breakdown – Multi-Timeframe
🔹 Daily (D1)
Clear bullish trend
Price remains above key moving averages
No confirmed reversal signals
🔹 H4
Distribution phase near resistance
Volatility expansion → two-sided liquidity grabs possible
🔹 H1
Repeated rejection from upper supply
Short-term momentum weakening
Suitable environment for:
Buy pullbacks with the trend
Counter-trend sell scalps only
4️⃣ Key Levels – Critical Zones
🔴 Supply / Resistance
5,568 – 5,570
5,590 – 5,600 (major distribution zone)
🔵 Demand / Support
5,480 – 5,500 (high-quality pullback zone)
5,440 – 5,450
5,400 – 5,410 (last structural support)
5️⃣ Trading Bias – Directional Preference
👉 Primary bias: BUY PULLBACK in an uptrend
👉 SELL only as short-term counter-trend scalps
6️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Scenarios
🟢 BUY GOLD 5500 - 5502
↠ Stop Loss 5492
→ Take Profit 1 5512
→ Take Profit 2 5522
🔴 SELL GOLD 5598 - 5600
↠ Stop Loss 5608
→ Take Profit 1 5588
→ Take Profit 2 5578
7️⃣ Execution Rules – Pero Discipline
No emotional trading after Fed events
No SL widening – no averaging
Tight entries (~20 pips) with clear R:R
Strong supply breakout → cancel sell bias
Sideways price action → reduce size, protect capital
⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
Community ideas
PIPPIN PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $0.48500PIPPIN PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $0.48500
Currently $0.48400
Targeting $0.46300 or Down
(Trading plan IF PIPPIN
go up to $0.52 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 152.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 152.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 154.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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XRP Dips UNDER $2 - Are we Heading BACK TO $1 ??Have you been watching XRP lately?
I was quite surprised that it held above the $2 as long as it did, to be honest.
But now, as the entire market dips, XRP drops... and it is notoriously know to dump and lose all bullish season gains.
Apart from all the controversy, if and I say IF you managed to held the $1 bag up until now - you would be in profit. Buying over $2 would have been high risk, and now we are likely approaching another few key buy zones, depending on where the price finds a bounce. The questions is.... worth it to accumulate or not?
Seeing price action in the 4h under the moving averages is always bearish for the SHORT term, which we do:
The massive wick in July 2025 already indicated the beginning of the bear market, and the lower moving averages is likely where we will find major support - 1.40 ish.
Gold breaks $5593! Geopolitical risks and Fed's next moveGold finally broke $5593 this morning! I am a Japanese hobby trader living in Chiang Rai, Thailand. I am very surprised by this move. Fed kept rates 3.50-3.75% yesterday. Powell said wait for more data, but the market eyes a June cut.
The biggest driver is Middle East tension. Everyone is buying gold for a safe haven. If tonight's US GDP is weak, Gold will break $5600 and head to $6000 very fast. I use my Gold Analytica tool for my analysis. Sentiment is still very bullish.
RECORD LOW DOLLER DECLINE FUELS GOLD RALLY UPWARDGold is currently trading around the 5,563 level, maintaining strength above the key support zone near 5,450. The broader structure remains constructive as long as price holds above this area. Immediate resistance is seen around the 5,600 level, and a sustained move beyond this zone could open the path toward the 5,750 bullish target zone.
The ongoing upside momentum is being supported by continued central bank buying, a declining U.S. dollar, and elevated geopolitical tensions, which together are sustaining safe-haven demand. Monitoring how price reacts around these key levels will be important to assess the next directional move.
ENTRY AT 5560
TARGET 5750
SL 5610
#NZDUSD: Final Drop Before Swing Bullish ReversalThe NZDUSD has dropped significantly in recent months without any proper bullish correction. Currently, the price is approaching a key level from which we believe it could finally reverse. However, as this is a swing setup, it might take months to complete. We wish you the best in trading and stay careful tomorrow.
Good luck,
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSD: continuation of the fall🛠 Technical Analysis: BTC is trading below the 90K psychological zone after the recent pullback, with price compressing near the MA cluster (dynamic resistance). The rising support line and the 88,335 area act as the key “trigger” zone: a clean breakdown can open the way for a deeper correction. Nearest resistance is 92,193 . Key downside support/target zone is 80,820.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: 88335.83
🎯 Take Profit: 80820.02
🔴 Stop Loss: 92193.50
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Vedanta - My Stock Pick for 2026Starting the year at ATH. Coming out of 15 year period of consolidation.
Look for dips till 530 to enter.
Target: 765 / 1200
Support: 530 / 495 / 360
Below 495 exit temporarily and buyback on reversal above 530.
Disclaimer: I have entered the trade around 606. Looking for dips to build on position.
Play on Levels !ENGROH Analysis
Closed at 265.22 (21-01-2026)
as shared on 19-12-2025, it crossed 233 & shoot towards 270.
Now Beautiful Cup & Handle formation with breakout range 270 - 280 now.
It still has Upside potential towards 300 - 320 once it sustains 280.
252 - 256 seems to be an Important Support Zone.
Now it should not break 242.
Silver Is Not Breaking Down — It’s Rotating Inside a Strong BullSilver is currently trading near $117.10, continuing to respect a well defined ascending price channel after a strong impulsive advance. The broader structure remains bullish, with price holding above the rising trendline that has guided the move higher since the prior expansion phase.
Following the recent push higher, price has transitioned into a controlled pullback, finding support near the $115.00–$116.00 support zone. This area aligns closely with the channel support and the rising trendline, making it a technically significant decision point rather than a breakdown signal. The pullback so far remains corrective, not impulsive, suggesting that sellers lack follow-through.
From a structural perspective, as long as silver holds above the trendline support around $115.00, the bullish bias remains intact. Consolidation or rotation in this region would be consistent with healthy trend behavior, allowing momentum to reset before the next expansion attempt. A constructive reaction here would keep the path open toward the upper channel boundary near $125.00–$128.00, where price may encounter its next major reaction zone.
Invalidation is clear and objective. A decisive breakdown below the $114.50–$115.00 support zone, followed by acceptance below the trendline, would signal a loss of structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective phase toward the lower portion of the channel.
For now, silver is not rejecting higher prices. it is testing trend support within a bullish structure. Trend intact. Support in focus. Let price behavior confirm the next expansion.
SLV Quick UpdateIt's been many years now but we finally reached the wave 3 target. For all those that accumulated down below, congratulations. The wave 3 looks to be in so we should be prepared for a 38% pullback here. It can still go to $100 for the wave 3 but that move is usually more rare in fibonacci extensions. Being that the wave 2 took so long, im now expecting the wave 4 to be relatively quick before continuing for one last push higher. It will inevitably coming crashing down so be ready to sell if your in it for the short term. Remember that this is a generational wealth building asset and I will not be selling but I will buy more on the next major dip under $50. I hope you all are doing well.
Thanks for your time
Rigo
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) – Accumulation in the Buy ZoneThis analysis presents a long-term outlook for Adobe (ADBE) from a weekly timeframe perspective. The current chart structure suggests we are approaching a major structural pivot point.
1. Technical Analysis: Key Buy Zone
On the weekly chart, the price has returned to a historically significant support area, labeled as the "buy zone" (the $280–$300 range).
Long-Term Reversal: The price is currently trading near the lower boundary of a wide macro channel. We expect this zone to serve as a strong foundation for a long-term trend reversal.
RSI Indicator: The Weekly RSI is approaching oversold territory. Historically, similar RSI dips in Adobe's history have coincided with local bottoms and the start of significant new upward cycles.
2. Price Targets and Fibonacci Levels
The Fibonacci retracement levels plotted on the chart are intended as strategic profit-taking levels for the anticipated recovery cycle:
Target 1 (0.236 Fib): ~$361 – Initial technical resistance.
Target 2 (0.382 Fib): ~$414 – A key psychological and structural level.
Target 3 (0.5 Fib): ~$456 – Mid-term growth objective.
Target 4 (0.618 Fib): ~$499 – The "Golden Pocket," often a zone of high resistance.
Target 5 (0.786 Fib): ~$559 – Final major resistance before previous highs.
Target Max (1.0 Fib): ~$636 – A return to the previous all-time highs.
3. Strong Company Fundamentals
The technical setup is reinforced by Adobe's robust financial health and market position:
Market Dominance: Adobe maintains a near-monopoly in creative software (Creative Cloud) while experiencing strong growth in its Document Cloud and Experience Cloud segments.
Exceptional Margins: The company generates massive Free Cash Flow and maintains industry-leading operating margins. This financial strength allows for aggressive investment in AI innovation, such as Adobe Firefly.
Predictable Revenue: A business model centered on high-retention subscriptions ensures stable, recurring revenue, making the stock a "safe haven" within the tech sector during market volatility.
Summary
The current entry price for ADBE offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for long-term investors. We are in a zone where institutional "smart money" typically begins to accumulate positions. With patience, a recovery toward the $450–$500 levels is highly probable in the coming quarters.
$SPX Near Term Structure and timing. Based on my personal Technical studies of "Doodle Noodles"
how I'm reading the chart
1- We could clip 7005 to extend over 70 RSI on a 1D chart
2- Thursday reset RSI could reset and drop to 6900 below 30RSI to retest highs.
3- The range of topping would be 6990-7050 first week of Feb which aligns with the GEX, VEX, CEX, then we could see greater draw downs and reversal regime.
The drawdown trends nearly aligns with every major support zone we've experienced and gap.
The top i've been calling for a month is 7050 the max drawdown over the year could be 5800
Scale hedges keep runners
Scaling Into XAUUSD Without Killing Your Winners - MONSTER TRADEWe’re focusing on Gold (XAUUSD) and growing our monster trade. 🥇📈. Price has rallied strongly, presenting multiple high-probability opportunities to build into positions with precision.
This is our Monster Trade Strategy 💪—a systematic approach where we continually add new positions, while locking in 50% partial profits from the previous trade 🔒💰. Every position that remains is then held indefinitely, allowing trends to do the heavy lifting.
In this video, we break down the exact trade plan 🎯, including how to open the next position, where to place your stop loss, and how to define realistic targets based on market structure and momentum.
This is how we scale into trends, manage risk intelligently, and let winners run 🚀






















