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#USDCAD: +500 Pips Swing Sell Opportunity; One Not To Miss!The USDCAD pair is currently in a strong bearish trend and we anticipate a price correction. We expect the price to turn bullish in the short term, filling the liquidity gap it's left behind. Once filled, the price could reverse and continue selling until it reaches around 1.3200, a 500+ pip move. Currently, there's only one target, and the stop-loss can be adjusted based on your risk management. The USD is plummeting, but there's a chance it could show some bullish momentum. However, the CAD is experiencing a strong, continuous bullish trend, so we expect a correction. If you enjoy our work, please like and comment. Also, follow us for updates whenever we post ideas.
Short
by Trade_Strategies
1
Bitcoin Is Holding Structure — Consolidation, Not Rejection, DefHello traders, Bitcoin is currently trading around eighty nine thousand one hundred, following a sharp rebound from the lower boundary of a well defined ascending channel. The recovery was impulsive and decisive, signaling strong demand absorption near the highlighted support zone around eighty-seven thousand two hundred. This reaction confirms that buyers are still active at structurally important levels. Since the rebound, price has transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase below the mid-channel region and the descending EMA. This slowdown should not be interpreted as weakness. After an impulsive recovery, markets often pause to rebalance liquidity and allow late participants to reposition. The overlapping candles and reduced downside follow-through suggest acceptance rather than rejection. Structurally, the bullish case remains intact as long as price continues to respect the ascending channel and holds above the established support zone. Pullbacks that remain shallow and corrective would favor continuation toward the upper channel boundary near ninety-one thousand, which aligns with a prior technical reference and serves as a potential reaction area, not a guarantee. Invalidation is clear and objective. A decisive breakdown below the support zone and sustained acceptance outside the channel would challenge the current bullish structure and shift focus toward a deeper corrective phase. For now, Bitcoin is not breaking down it is pausing with intent. Structure is respected. Direction will be decided by behavior, not impatience.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
2
Interest rate decision. Will the high point be surpassed again?The gold market has recently continued its strong upward momentum. As a globally recognized safe-haven asset, gold prices have hit new historical highs for eight consecutive days, successfully breaking through the $5250 mark and reaching the psychological barrier of $5300 during Wednesday's Asian trading session. This phenomenon not only reflects the complexity of the current economic and geopolitical environment but also highlights investors' heightened sensitivity to uncertainty. Market funds continue to flow into gold due to the impact of decisions made by US President Donald Trump, while changes in the Federal Reserve's policy outlook further reinforce this trend. Later interest rate decisions, even if the data is bearish, should not have a significant impact, as the market remains in a bull market. Currently, there is strong support around 5250-5230, which has now become a key support level. As long as this level is not broken, the market remains in an uptrend. In summary, the short-term trading strategy for gold today should primarily focus on buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary approach. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 5290-5310, while the key support level to watch is 5250-5230.The gold market has recently continued its strong upward momentum. As a globally recognized safe-haven asset, gold prices have hit new historical highs for eight consecutive days, successfully breaking through the psychological barrier of $5250 and reaching $5300 during Wednesday's Asian trading session. This phenomenon not only reflects the complexity of the current economic and geopolitical environment but also highlights investors' high sensitivity to uncertainty. Influenced by decisions made by US President Donald Trump, market funds continue to flow into the gold market, and changes in the Federal Reserve's policy outlook further reinforce this trend. Later, even if the interest rate decision data is bearish, the impact should be limited, as the market is still in a bull market. Currently, the strong support level is around 5250-5230, which acts as a support-resistance flip point. As long as this level is not broken, the upward trend remains intact. In summary, the short-term trading strategy for gold today is primarily to buy on dips and sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 5290-5310, while the key support level to watch for buying opportunities is 5250-5230. I will post more trading strategies in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_
GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS “The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World” Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Psychology 📅 Date: October 22, 2025 📍 Current Price: ~$4,039/oz ⏳ Time Horizon: 1970s to post-2050 🎯 Focus: Multi-decade Elliott Wave structure signaling the endgame for fiat currencies 🌐 SUPER CYCLE NARRATIVE – GOLD’S MONETARY METAMORPHOSIS 🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Real Money Gold's first major secular rally began when the Bretton Woods system collapsed and President Nixon ended the U.S. dollar’s convertibility to gold in 1971. Gold soared from around $35 to nearly $875 by 1980. This wave was driven by runaway inflation, the oil embargo, and shattered confidence in fiat money. 🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Fiat Illusion Following the 1980 peak, gold entered a brutal 19-year corrective phase, falling to the $250 zone. During this time, the U.S. dollar gained strength, Volcker’s interest rate hikes reined in inflation, and a new era of debt-based prosperity and stock market euphoria unfolded. Gold was dismissed, even by central banks who sold reserves. Structurally, this corrective phase formed a complex WXYXZ pattern , setting the groundwork for the massive Wave III rally. 🟢 Wave III (1999–~2033): The Fiat Reckoning Has Begun This is the longest and most powerful supercycle wave and the one we are currently in. It is subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. As of now, gold is deep within Wave iii of III , the most explosive phase of the entire structure. The current rally is no longer driven by inflation fears but by existential doubts about the long-term viability of fiat currencies. 📈 Wave I of III (1999–2011): The Institutional Accumulation Gold rose from around $250 to $1,920 over this period. Triggers included the dot-com bust, 9/11, the 2008 global financial crisis, and the launch of the first gold ETFs like GLD. This wave marked the beginning of institutional interest in gold as a systemic hedge. 📉 Wave II of III (2011–2015): The Disbelief Correction Gold corrected nearly 45%, bottoming near $1,050. The narrative shifted — QE hadn't caused hyperinflation, the stock market was booming again, and faith in the dollar resurged. Retail abandoned gold, but institutional buyers quietly accumulated from newly created demand zones. 🚀 Wave iii of III (2015–~2026): The True Price Discovery Phase This is where we are now. Since 2015, gold has exploded upward, driven by COVID-era QE, negative real interest rates, geopolitical instability, and major central banks accumulating gold for cross-border settlements outside the dollar system. We are currently in the middle of this wave — micro wave (3) of iii — with price around $4,039. According to Fibonacci projections, this wave is expected to peak near $6,552 , corresponding to the 2.618 extension level . If bullish momentum continues, gold could overshoot toward $22,744 , matching the 3.618 Fibonacci extension and marking the likely top of macro Wave III. In an extreme scenario where fiat trust collapses entirely, the 4.618 extension projects a possible target of $78,940 . All of these levels align with the upper bounds of the long-term logarithmic channel, validating both structure and projections. But most likely this target is for Wave V TOP . 🟣 Wave IV (Projected: 2026–2033): The Great Shakeout After the parabolic run of Wave iii, a deep multi-year correction is likely. This correction — Wave IV — may retrace toward the long-term red trendline and could coincide with a temporary return to “faith” in fiat through reforms like CBDC rollouts or aggressive fiscal pivots. This wave could resemble a WXY pattern or large ABC structure and may unfold alongside capital controls, deflationary pressure, and a resurgent tech or dollar narrative. However, this will likely be the last major buying opportunity before gold enters its final, euphoric revaluation. 🟢 Wave V (2033–2045+): The Final Blow-Off Top Wave V is expected to be driven by an overt crisis of confidence in the global fiat system. Scenarios could include: Mass adoption of gold-backed or commodity-tied digital currencies Loss of global trust in the USD as the reserve currency BRICS or emerging alliances introducing gold into cross-border settlements Global central banks returning to physical gold as a monetary base The upside potential here is monumental. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension already targets $78,940 , but under full systemic collapse or monetary reset conditions, gold could reprice toward $100,000–$250,000 per ounce — not as a bubble, but as a return to its role as sound, base-layer money. 📐 Fibonacci Milestones and Structure Alignment Each major wave has closely respected its corresponding Fibonacci extension. Wave I topped around the 1.618 level ($1,887) . The ongoing Wave iii appears on track to reach the 2.618 level ($6,552) . From there, macro Wave III could stretch toward 3.618 ($22,744) . If Wave V extends fully, a 4.618 projection leads to $78,940 — all within the bounds of the established logarithmic trend channel. In a full-blown systemic reset, price could break even higher. These levels are not speculative but grounded in structural alignment with Elliott wave geometry , Fibonacci mathematic s, and long-term institutional order flow . 🧠 Smart Money Concepts & Technical Validations Smart money activity has left clear fingerprints across this cycle. Each break of market structure (in 2016, 2020, and 2023) confirmed higher time-frame bullish continuation. Institutional demand zones — especially during the 2018–2019 consolidation and 2022 pullback — were respected to the dollar. This cycle isn’t retail-driven mania — it's a stealth institutional accumulation that’s now evolving into price discovery. 📊 Market Psychology Across the Cycle Investor sentiment has followed classic psychology stages: From 1999 to 2004, disbelief reigned: “Gold is dead.” Between 2005 and 2011 came growing awareness: “Gold might work again.” The 2011–2015 correction brought denial: “It was just a bubble.” Hope returned in 2016–2020 as price quietly rallied. From 2022 to 2026, euphoria dominates: “Gold will never go down.” Wave IV will likely bring fear and capitulation between 2026 and 2033. Finally, Wave V will ignite mania: “Gold to the moon!” 🚨 Final Synthesis: What This All Means We are living through the largest repricing of monetary value in modern financial history. Gold is no longer just an inflation hedge — it’s becoming a hedge against the system itself . The structure on the chart doesn't just map price — it maps the collapse of fiat trust and the return of monetary sanity. Gold is transitioning from: A commodity hedge → To a central bank hedge → To a currency hedge → And finally, to a system hedge The current leg — Wave iii of III — is nearing its climax. After a correction in Wave IV, Wave V could take gold into previously unthinkable territory, not because gold changed — but because everything else did. 📌 Final Position Summary We are currently in wave (5) of iii of III — the most powerful segment of the bull run The next Fibonacci target is $6,552 The broader Wave III could peak near $22,744 After a correction (Wave IV), the final wave could send gold toward $78,940 , or even into the $100,000–$250,000 zone under extreme monetary reset conditions This is not a mere forecast — it’s a macro-monetary blueprint for the coming decades. 🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." – FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is an educational market outlook based on technical and macroeconomic structure. It is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
6
Long on USD/CAD pairI’m currently very long on the Dollar Index, following its rebound from a four-year historical low. From a technical perspective, the USD is already showing signs of recovery against most major pairs, at least for now. That said, extra caution is required tonight due to the Fed meeting, which could trigger significant volatility across the markets. Additionally, the Bank of Canada left its policy rate unchanged today, removing an immediate catalyst on the CAD side. Stay safe tonight.
Long
by Marcel_Platon
PUMPUSDT: 65% Wick Rejection at Supply ZoneWe just witnessed a textbook rejection at $0.003096 with a shooting star candle sporting a 65% upper wick. After an 18% rally into extreme overbought conditions, the market delivered a violent rejection at our identified bearish order block. This is smart money distribution, not retail strength. 1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉 • Trading in PREMIUM zone per SMC framework – the sell zone, not the buy zone • Unfilled bullish FVG at $0.002541 acting as magnet for price reversion • Bullish OB demand zone sitting at $0.002354-$0.002492 below current price • Strong low at $0.002240 becomes primary target if demand fails 2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️ Bearish Signals: • RSI at 72.8 – extreme overbought territory • Stochastic at 81.7 – confirming overbought conditions • ADX reading of 19.3 shows weak trend strength despite +18% move • Shooting star with 65% upper wick at resistance = distribution pattern Bullish Signals: • Recent 18% rally shows momentum capability • Bullish OB demand zone intact below at $0.002354-$0.002492 The Conflict: The rally percentage looks impressive, but ADX reveals there's no real conviction behind this move. Overbought indicators at resistance suggest this is a liquidity grab, not a breakout. 3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯 🔴 Scenario A: Mean Reversion Short • Trigger: Continued rejection below $0.003096 bearish OB • Entry: Current levels or retest of $0.002936-$0.003096 supply zone • Target 1: $0.002541 (bullish FVG fill) • Target 2: $0.002354-$0.002492 (bullish OB demand) • Target 3: $0.002240 (strong low) • Stop: 4H close above $0.003096 🟢 Scenario B: Rejection Invalidation • Trigger: Strong 4H close above $0.003096 bearish OB • Entry: Reclaim and hold above $0.003096 • Target: $0.003243 (24h high retest) and potentially higher • Invalidation: Failure to hold above $0.003096 on retests MY VERDICT The setup favors the short side with 72% confidence. We're in the premium zone with overbought indicators and a weak ADX reading – this rally lacks the conviction for continuation. The line in the sand is clear: $0.003096. Below it, bears control the narrative. Above it, reassess immediately.
Short
by MonoCoinSignal
4
Long on thyssenkrupp nucera AG & CO. KGaA (Ticker NCH2) XETR:NCH2 Technicals: - the price has been glued to the 9.23 resistance level and zone for a month - a breakout above this level opens the path to close the gap from Oct 22 - the month-long accumulation suggests that large-scale capital is building a position within the 8.77 – 9.20 range - the recent squeeze to the 0.23 fibo is nothing more than a stop-loss hunt targeting late-entry passengers who jumped on the train - scenario invalidated if 2 bar close below 8.77 Fundamentals: - alkaline water electrolysis (AWE) is considered one of the most reliable and scalable - maintains a strong balance sheet (net cash position), allowing it to finance expansion without incurring expensive debt - a large order backlog provides high visibility for future revenue - however, profitability remains questionable. Despite being profitable at the gross margin level, operating profit frequently fluctuates near zero or turns negative - increasing pressure from Chinese companies adds fuel to the fire regarding the asset's future valuation Conclusion: - this trade represents an interesting speculative position on a breakout of the monthly resistance zone - but a wider stop at 8.33 is only justified if the Take Profit (TP) is set at 11.65. While theoretically achievable, this target is not guaranteed and would likely require strong fundamental catalysts # - - - - - ⚠️ Signal - Buy ⬆️ ✅ Entry Point Term - 9.13 # - - - - - 🛑 SL - 8.76 🤑 TP - 10.46 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.85 👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 3 months 🗓 # - - - - - Good Luck! ☺️ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
XETR:NCH2Long
by TotSamiyKaa
Bitcoin: Setting Up For Higher Prices.Bitcoin started to build the base for the next Daily move . We need to see a strong move with volume on the next bounce, so far it started to look good again but there is a long process for Bitcoin ahead to gain steam but don't expect much from the last leg up. Whatever the high is in the next 6 to 8 weeks , that will be it and be ready to move to bears side. DON'T be left holding the bag in March. For now more upside move to come. Play it right .....Play it safe......know the rules of the game. Boost..........Follow.........Comment.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by Numberfive
EURCAD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 1.62026 - Pullback support - 78.6% Fib retracement Stop Loss: 1.61423 - Swing low support Take Profit: 1.62890 - Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Long
by FXCM
GOLD (XAUUSD) — Price Discovery-Wave 3Gold remains in strong price discovery, printing higher highs consistently with no meaningful bearish structure on the higher timeframes. Momentum is accelerating, confirming that bulls are fully in control. From an Elliott Wave perspective, price is currently developing Major Wave 3, and more precisely, we are advancing through the final sub-wave (Wave 5) of this impulsive leg. This phase is typically marked by aggressive expansion and emotional buying—exactly what we are witnessing now
TVC:GOLDShort
by Captain-MAO
1
Brent Crude bullish trend breakout ahead?The BRENT crude oil remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 6508 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 6508 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 6758 – initial resistance 6840 – psychological and structural level 6920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 6508 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 6430 – minor support 6330 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Brent crude oil holds above 6508. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by Trade Nation
2