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XAUUSD: Will Gold Continue to Rise or Fall?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
As of writing, gold is trading around $4115, partially recovering from the sharp decline of the past few days. To explain the steep drop in gold prices on Tuesday, there’s no need for any conspiracy theories — the previous meteoric rise was already a big enough reason.
Earlier, gold reached extremely high levels, and the rally had matured; any irrational market could fall without a clear reason.
Despite this, while gold remains under technical selling pressure after the shock, the market is holding the initial support level above $4,000. After this volatility, it may take longer than expected for precious metals to regain stability. However, it’s still too early to conclude whether this is a "market crash" or just a short-term correction.
From a technical perspective, gold is reacting well to the $4000 support I had previously anticipated . If it can hold, the next challenge to watch will be the first resistance zone around $4200 - $4230. As long as the support holds, I’m still betting on an upward trend.
What about you? What do you think about gold prices? Will it continue to rise or fall? 💬Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
EURCAD: Another Trend Line Based Opportunity 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD may continue rising after a test of a solid
rising trend line on a daily.
A formation of a double bottom pattern accompanied by
a bullish Change of Character on an hourly time frame
indicates a strong buying interest.
Goal - 1.6305
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Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Solana - We have to see new all time highs!🚀Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) has to break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Solana has been rallying another +100%. This rally ultimately resulted in another, third retested of the previous all time high. And if Solana now creates bullish confirmation, we can all expect new all time highs very soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
PYPL Weekly Outlook (Oct 21–25): Buyers Defend the BaseCan Bulls Reclaim $70? 🚀
📆 Daily Chart — Macro Structure and Bias
Market Structure:
PayPal (PYPL) continues to trade within a broad descending channel but is showing early signs of structural stabilization. After several failed breakdowns, bulls defended the $64.50–$65.00 demand zone — a key level where prior liquidity sweeps triggered reversals. The most recent BOS (Break of Structure) around $69.00 indicates that smart money might be accumulating again within this base range.
We can see multiple CHoCH and BOS interactions suggesting buyers are quietly absorbing supply below $70, preparing for a potential structural shift back toward the mid-channel zone.
Supply & Demand / Order Blocks:
* Major Demand Zone: $64.00–$65.00 (deep OB and liquidity defense).
* Intermediate Supply Zone: $70.50–$71.00 (mid-channel resistance).
* Major Supply Zone: $79.00–$80.00 (top of the previous swing high cluster).
If bulls can maintain daily closes above $68.50, this could evolve into a mid-term reversal attempt toward $75+.
Indicator Confluence:
* 9 EMA vs 21 EMA: Bearish on macro view but flattening — momentum loss from sellers.
* MACD: Histogram is improving from deep negative; a cross above zero could confirm a macro shift.
* Stoch RSI: Rising sharply from oversold (10 → 45), signaling renewed buying strength.
* Volume: Buyer volume expanding near the base, consistent with accumulation phase behavior.
The daily structure remains in a potential bottoming phase; sustained closes above $69.50 will confirm a bullish shift.
⏱️ 1-Hour Chart — Short-Term Trend and Swing Bias
Market Structure:
The 1-hour timeframe paints a much clearer bullish microstructure after a decisive CHoCH from the descending wedge. Price reclaimed $67.00, then printed a BOS toward $69.20, completing the first leg of reversal structure.
We’re now consolidating just beneath $69.80–$70.00, which lines up with the mid-term supply zone and a key call wall on the GEX chart. The structure remains bullish as long as $68.00 holds as a higher low.
Supply & Demand / OB Zones:
* Demand Zone: $67.00–$68.00 (recent breakout OB).
* Supply Zone: $69.80–$70.50 (local resistance and liquidity pocket).
Indicator Confluence:
* 9 EMA > 21 EMA — clear bullish alignment, steep slope.
* MACD: Strong expansion with rising histogram, supporting upward bias.
* Stoch RSI: Hovering at 80+ — slightly overheated, but not reversing yet.
* Volume: Increasing on breakouts, declining during pullbacks — healthy pattern.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Setup: Buy dips near $68.20–$68.50 → Target $70.00 / $71.00 → Stop $67.20.
* Bearish Setup: If rejection from $70.50 with divergence → Short to $68.00 / $67.00 → Stop $71.00.
If PYPL breaks and closes above $70, it will invalidate short setups and start targeting $72.50–$73.50 next.
🕒 15-Minute Chart — Intraday Momentum and Scalping Zones
Market Structure:
The 15-minute chart confirms strong short-term bullish control with stacked BOS and higher-low formations. Price is trending neatly along the rising intraday trendline, using the 9 EMA as dynamic support. Each micro pullback toward $68.80–$69.00 has been aggressively defended.
Supply & Demand / OB Levels:
* Demand Zone: $68.60–$68.80 (scalp OB and trendline support).
* Supply Zone: $69.80–$70.20 (intraday resistance + liquidity sweep potential).
Indicator Confluence:
* 9 EMA vs 21 EMA: Strong bullish slope; 9 EMA acting as perfect bounce line.
* MACD: Histogram slightly flattening after expansion — possible short-term cool-off.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought (>80), indicating potential short-term pause before continuation.
Scalp Plan:
* Bullish Bias: Enter near $68.80 pullback → Target $69.80 / $70.20 → Stop below $68.20.
* Bearish Bias: If $70 rejects twice with fading MACD momentum → Short scalp to $68.80 → Stop $70.40.
Intraday bias stays bullish unless price closes below $68.50 — that would mark short-term exhaustion.
📊 GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Overview
PYPL’s options structure shows a neutral-to-bullish gamma setup with dealers likely positioned to stabilize price between $66–$70. The highest positive NET GEX sits around $70, effectively pinning current price in a tight gamma range.
Key GEX Levels:
* Highest Positive Gamma: $70.00 (dealer magnet).
* Major Call Walls: $72.00 and $74.00 — resistance zones if momentum expands.
* Put Support: $65.00 and $64.00 — strong floor if pullback occurs.
* IVR: 58.6 — elevated but not extreme, indicating active trader participation.
* Call Flow: 35.2% (muted but rising), suggesting cautious optimism.
If price sustains above $70.00, dealer hedging could flip to positive gamma expansion, pressing for a gradual melt-up toward $73–$74. A rejection below $68.00, however, might trigger delta-neutral unwind and short-term reversion to $65.
🎯 Closing Outlook
PYPL enters the week with a constructive recovery tone. The broader daily structure suggests a possible bottoming phase, while the intraday trend shows active buyer defense near $68. The GEX map supports a magnetized range between $68–$70, with potential gamma breakout if momentum persists midweek.
I’m watching for a decisive daily close above $70 — if bulls manage that, $72.50–$74 could be in play before the week ends. Below $68, expect a controlled retest toward $65 before another attempt higher.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Easy method to determine next target based on candle closeHey traders today we are going to look in how to determine Daily Bias. Its actually not that complicated how many people thinks.
Please forget about higher highs, and higher lows, channels and moving averages. Yes these can be also used, but we will be looking at the market in terms where is the liquidity and we will be determining the bias based on candle closes which tell us where the liquidity is resting.
We will look at the Daily bias, but as I mentioned this many times in my posts - price is fractal so you can use this at any timeframe. But, If I can give you recommendations look for Higher timeframe bias on Daily and Weekly and H4 / H1 Structure and M15 entries.
This post will be about continuation setups in a trend, I will touch a bit reversal because it's part of setup on LTF in the continuation. Something will be shown on bearish examples something bullish I hope you can use imagination for both sides.
⁉️ Where is the liquidity ? Always follow the Daily / Weekly candle close.
📈 Continuation
If todays daily candle closed above previous days high and its still not reaching the key level, then liquidity is above todays high. Why ? Because people have intentions to sell highs to early, so and price will most likely go there. So we are bullish. Bullish Close 📈 Reversal
If todays candle wicked above previous day high, but closed below , then we can expect liquidity is below Previous days low. Why? Because mostl likely traders entered fake high break out they put SL below days low. It's signs of reversal. Every significant reversal wicked above PDH and closed inside, if not seen on PDH than its on weekly. ‼️ Yes, Its that simple - this is how I predict my bias for the setups.
There is obviously little bit more regarding the market context, because I want to be always selling highs and buying lows. Hence there must but pullback deep enough. I have explained how to buy low and sell highs in this post below. 🔗 Click the picture to learn more 👇 This is not about catching every significant highs and lows, you don't need it to be profitable. We are looking for the high probability trend continuation setups. We can catch highs and lows in the trend. After the stop hunt.
🧪In downtrend you want sell after stop hunt of short term highs 🧪In the uptrend you want be buying after stop hunts of short term lows I have explained more about stop hunts in this post. 🔗 Click the picture to learn more 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/1J6LLshN-The-Art-of-the-Stop-Hunt-Trading/ Now, If we know the bias based on the Daily / Weekly candle close our goal is to position ourself in the right time for the continuation setup which will be during the lower timeframe reversal.
📌 Reversal Setup
first lets have a look to the reversal. We want see a candle high being taken and closed below. In that case draw on liquidity is below the daily low. Sign of reversal. So we can position ourselves in a trade as described on the picture, wick above and close inside is not enough for the signifcant HTF reversal. But its enough for our continuation setup,
📌 Continuation setup
We want to see bullish candle close above previous days high and not liquidity taken above that wick. Then we can assume that liquidity is still resting above and we want to position ourselves during the LTF reversal in the direction of the HTF liquidity. same case will be for this bearish example where we can see how candles closed below the previous days low and last low was not swept hence we can expect price to visit that low again, we have spotted potential reversal by wicking above the candles high and close below and than we can position ourselves to the short and target daily lows. 📌 Continuation LTF reversal timing
same case now you must already see it bullish close above PDH and that high was not swept so liquidity is still above , next day is inside candle once price dips below inside candle low we cans spot reversal setup on LTF and by creation of order block we enter the position during the NY session manipulation 📌 No Stop hunt = No trade
if liquidity was not taken don't enter. Yes you can miss a trade it doesnt happen always, but if it doesnt happen it's not your setup so you didnt miss anything. On this example you can see that we had almost same setup. Bullish daily candle close. High was not swept, and than 2 inside candles. 3 candle manipulated lows and another candle was expansion. Now still focus the the picture above 2nd candle that candle is a range you are entering it after that range was manipulated. Look how price reached 50% of that range , retraced and than it went full range. Its Trading model 1 and Model 2. You mostly get 2 chances to trade it. Trading ranges is in my opinion least subjective approach and unlike diagonal drawings or multiple various pattern it has defined rules. I have described this strategy in details in this post below. 🔗 Click the picture to learn more 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/PkQJvVm4-Complete-system-for-Day-Swing-Traders/ 📌 Final example for today - Schematics
Now try it alone - step by step
1) How are candles closing
2) Was the Liquidity on the low taken ? No - price might go there - Im bearish
3) Lets wait for the LTF reversal - bearish this scheme was actually traded and posted here on Tradingview as a Continuation setup Model 1 & 2 🔗 Click picture below to learn how price action developed 👇 💊 Here are few more examples based on this trading logic
1️⃣ GBPUSD Daily range - Continuation setup Model 1 & 2
🔗 Click picture below to learn how price action developed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/VSZwqjUj-GBPUSD-Daily-CLS-Range-Key-Level-OB-Distribution-Phase/ 2️⃣ AUDUSD Daily range - Continuation setup Model 1 & 2
🔗 Click picture below to learn how price action developed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/YzC7vNOf-AUDUSD-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Manipulation-I-Short/ 3️⃣ DOGE Daily range - Continuation setup Model 1 & 2
🔗 Click picture below to learn how price action developed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DOGEUSDT.P/t48YbkXb-DOGE-Daily-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-Setup-is-ready/ Final words
Is this holy grail ? Almost.
Why is this approach great ? It's mechanical system for analysis - No subjective guessing.
Does it prevent me from losses ? No, I can make and I sometimes I do mistakes in analysis, Im not perfect.
Dont trust me , Im just a guy from the internet. Verify it by yourself and see if you take some of it to your trading arsenal.
Adapt useful, Reject useless and something specifically your own.
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
EURUSD: Buyers Preparing for a Potential Reversal MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
After a prolonged bearish trend that followed the formation of a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, EURUSD has transitioned into a range-bound consolidation. The market structure suggests that sellers are losing momentum, as the price has established strong support near the 1.15550 area, forming a key demand zone where buyers have shown repeated interest.
Recently, the market created a descending triangle formation, with price action coiling between the Triangle Resistance Line and Triangle Support Line. The current positioning shows that EURUSD is testing the lower boundary of this structure — an area that aligns with both historical support and the bottom of the range, forming a strong confluence zone.
My Scenario & Strategy
In my view, this setup provides an interesting long opportunity if the support around 1.15550–1.1600 continues to hold. I’m looking for a bullish reaction or confirmation signal (such as a strong breakout candle or retest) from the Triangle Support Line. If buyers successfully defend this area, I expect the price to rebound upward, breaking through the descending Triangle Resistance Line and initiating a new bullish leg within the broader structure.
My first target (TP1) for this move is the 1.17570 resistance level, which represents a key zone of prior supply and a natural technical objective for the next upward rotation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Friday 24 October: Post CPI thoughts Once I saw CPI has been reported 'below expectations', I fancied the possibility of a trade, either 'short USD' or a 'risk on short JPY'.
When I looked at the charts, I felt everything was aligning for a 'risk on' trade, S&P up, VIX down, weak JPY. But, once I saw the 30min AUD JPY down candle (3pm UK time), I decided to leave it alone.
Perhaps it would have been a different story if the M.O.M number has been 0.2 rather than 0.3, or perhaps it's Friday profit taking. Either way, I think it's prudent to wait. Although I will take a 'risk on bias' into next week.
I'll also be keeping an interested eye on the possibility of AUD NZD long.
For now, I'll wish you a lovely weekend, on Saturday, I'll actually be playing golf for the first time in about 20 years, wish me luck.
Please feel free to ask any questions, particularly of you're struggling with anything at the moment:
KGEN - BULLISHAs mentionned, #KGEN bottom was in! +30%up from the yellow zone shared. ✅
Bullish correction still ongoing, I expect to see further bull move📈
Upper big resistances:
🎯0.2980
🎯0.3230
🎯0.3650
🎯0.420
🎯0.450
Big resistance: 0.280 - 0.2950$ if bulls break above, buy volume could increase quickly.
Big supports:
0.2650 *- 0.2520 - 0.2350 - 0.2240 - 0.2100
Bitcoin Technical Outlook (update)📉 Stage 1 – Bearish Reversal Zone
The red zone and areas below it signal a potential return to the downtrend.
Stage 2 – Launch Zone
The desicion zone between 111,300 to 111,500 could trigger a sharp breakout move.
📈 Stage 3 – Bullish Extension
If price breaks through the 115,000 to 117,000 range, there’s a high probability of reaching 121,000 to 122,000.
XAUUSD – Increased Selling Pressure After CPI DataHello traders,
With U.S. CPI rising sharply to 3.1% (compared to the forecast of 2.9%), inflation remains elevated, reinforcing the likelihood that the Fed will not cut interest rates anytime soon. With higher interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding gold (a non-yielding asset) increases, causing capital to flow into USD, which is a negative factor for gold.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is facing pressure at the 4.150 level, with a pullback pattern forming within a descending channel. After reaching this level, the price of gold is likely to continue its decline, with the next target being the 4.080 support area, and potentially heading toward 3.830 if the bearish momentum persists.
Additionally, while both the PMI for manufacturing and services have slightly decreased , reflecting a slowdown in the U.S. economy, the CPI remains the dominant factor , limiting the potential for gold's short-term price increase.
EURUSD – Range Retest Could Trigger New Sell WaveHello traders, I want to share my view on EURUSD. The market recently formed a descending wedge pattern after breaking down from the previous range structure, which dominated price action for a long time. The breakout from this wedge occurred after the pair reached the major support zone around 1.1560, triggering a minor upward correction. At the moment, the price is testing the lower boundary of the previous range, which has now turned into a strong resistance zone around 1.1660. This level coincides with the confluence of a horizontal resistance and the descending trendline, creating a potential supply area. Despite the small bullish reaction from support, the overall market sentiment remains bearish. Buyers have not shown sufficient momentum to push price above the resistance, suggesting that this movement is likely a corrective pullback within a broader downtrend. In my view, the 1.1660 area will act as a ceiling, and the pair is likely to resume its decline toward the 1.1560 demand zone. A confirmed rejection from this resistance could open the path for a new bearish leg, potentially targeting even lower levels if sellers maintain control. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
PALANTIR sitting on a Buy Zone. Target $220.Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a Channel Up since early May and is currently consolidating on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). while holding he 1D MA50 (red trend-line). The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA50 range has been technically the most optimal buy zone of this pattern.
With the 4H RSI exhibiting a Bull Flag similar to May - June, we expect the stock to aim for at least its 2.618 Fibonacci extension at $220.00. If broken, it may extend for an end-of-year rally to $255.00 completing a +80% Bullish Leg similar to the Channel's first.
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Lingrid | USDJPY Weekly High Rejection - Potential Sell SignalFX:USDJPY reached the weekly high, showing bearish divergence after an extended rally inside the upward channel. Price is now hovering near the 153.000 level, where prior highs align with weakening momentum. A rejection here could trigger a pullback toward the 152.000 mid-channel support, marking the next liquidity pocket. The 153.000 area acts as the key pivot where bears may regain short-term control before a potential rebound.
⚠️ Risks:
Breakout above 153.000 would invalidate the pullback outlook and invite new buying pressure.
Broader dollar strength could lift the pair beyond resistance.
Weakening yen fundamentals might limit downside follow-through.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
USNAS100 Extends Rally to New All-Time Highs?USNAS100 | Bullish Continuation Toward New Highs
The index recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and has already stabilized above it, supporting further bullish momentum toward 25,400 → 25,550.
The main driver behind the move remains strong corporate earnings.
However, to confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 1H candle below 25,170, which would expose 25,100 → 25,010.
A sustained break below those levels could extend the decline toward 24,850.
Pivot Line: 25,230
Resistance: 25,400 – 25,550
Support: 25,100 – 25,010 – 24,860
Bitcoin - Will the bears push the price towards $104.000?Introduction
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation following the recent sharp decline. For several days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating increasing tension between buyers and sellers. This phase is often seen as a period of preparation for a larger move. However, clear bullish momentum is still lacking, which increases the risk of a downward breakout.
Triangle pattern
The price is moving within a triangle pattern, where the highs are decreasing and the lows are slightly rising. This suggests a compression of liquidity and declining volatility. The upper boundary of the pattern acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. Once the price breaks out of this structure, the direction of the next major move will likely be determined. For now, the price seems trapped between these two key levels.
Liquidity at the top with the bearish 4h FVG tested
Yesterday, the upper side of the structure was tested, just above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). In that area, liquidity from previous highs was also located. The price reacted with a strong rejection and quickly fell back. This reaction confirmed that sellers still have control and that demand has weakened. The signal indicates that the market is struggling to break above $114,000.
4h bearish FVG
The 4-hour bearish FVG is located between approximately $108,600 and $111,300. This zone now serves as a key resistance area. Each time the price touches this region, selling pressure increases, limiting further upside movement. As long as this zone is not convincingly broken with volume, the short-term trend remains bearish. A breakout above this level could open the door to higher targets.
Liquidity area at the bottom
At the lower end of the triangle, there is a clear liquidity area around $103,500. This is where stop-losses from long positions and potential buy orders from large players are located, waiting for a liquidity grab. If the price moves into this area, a short wick downward could occur before a potential bounce takes place. Therefore, this level is important to monitor in case of a downward breakout.
Conclusion
BTC still shows no signs of strength. The rejection from the 4-hour bearish FVG above the liquidity zone points to a lack of buying interest. As long as the price remains within the triangle and trades below $113,000, the likelihood of a downward move remains higher. Only a convincing breakout above the upper boundary could temporarily improve market sentiment. Until then, the bears remain in control, with focus on the support around the lower liquidity zone.
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CADCHF Forms Bearish Channel- Sellers Target 0.5620 ZoneCADCHF Forms Bearish Channel- Sellers Target 0.5620 Zone
CADCHF shows a rising channel pattern (bearish flag formation) following a strong impulsive downward move.
This indicates that the recent bullish correction might be coming to an end, and CADCHF could resume its prior bearish trend.
The price appears to have rejected the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
Key Targets:
First target: 0.5660
Second target: 0.5640
Final target: 0.5620
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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NZDJPY: Important Breakout 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY broke and closed above a significant horizontal
resistance cluster on a daily.
There is a high chance that the market will go higher soon.
Expect a bullish continuation to 88.3 level.
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BITCOIN → Trend support broken. Consolidation...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is consolidating below the previously broken uptrend line. There are no clear signs of the correction ending or the presence of a strong bullish player. A retest of resistance is forming...
Bitcoin is forming a trading range of 111650 - 107377 (106270). There is no clear bullish pattern at the moment, and we are seeing a correction to resistance before a possible decline to the liquidity pool of 106270, which is formed by consolidation and a retest phase. There are two key zones ahead: 111650 and 113600. Resistance at 111650 has been confirmed, but if this zone does not hold the price, it will be necessary to monitor the upper boundary. A false breakout could trigger a pullback. The cryptocurrency market currently looks somewhat weak due to the phase of uncertainty and doubts about policy.
Resistance levels: 111650, 113600
Support levels: 108650, 107375, 106270
Market behavior indicates that a consolidation phase is currently developing within the local downtrend. A breakout of 113K and consolidation above 113500 could confirm a trend reversal, but there are no such signals at the moment. I consider a pullback to the zone of interest from resistance to be a priority.
Best regards, R. Linda!






















