$TLT Monthly Uptrend Signaled for 16 MonthsThe simple trend-following and trend-timing and trend-targeting method I call "Time@Mode" is generating a new signal as of this week.
The signal is created when the range this month is up by more than last month's range, which is called a "Range Expansion Month".
The mode becomes the measuring launchpad for the move and the range around the mode is the measuring stick.
Projecting up to nearly 103 by January 2027 is a greater than 15% gain from current levels.
We need to see the entire month of September hold this gain, but it is acceptable to take a trade prior to the bar (Month of September) closing.
The risk is a move back under the mode.
Tim
9/9/2025 10:54AM EST
Community ideas
CHF/JPY Near Strong Res Area , Short Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is my opinion on 8H CHF/JPY Chart , the price touch a very strong res area that forced the price to respect it and go down for more than 500 pips for 5 times , and now the price touch it and moved 30 pips to downside so now i`m waiting the price to go back to retest the same area again and give me a good bearish price action to can enter a sell trade and we can targeting from 100 : 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above my res area this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Very Strong Daily Res Area .
2- Perfect Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger Time Frames Confirmed .
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
With gold continuing it's mission to all time highs again we did manage to get a 200pip rejection from the red box only to the support, get a trade upside and the RIP the from near enough the final target given this morning for the move. Worked out pretty well in our opinion!
Now, interesting move here on gold and many will think the retracement has started however, there are a few hurdles here to then confirm the move. First stage is the 3655 resistance which needs to hold us down, while the 3630 support level needs to break. Due to news tomorrow, we would expect this to start a range now between the two levels. For us, we'll stick with the plan in place as that level above 3668 gave us a nice RIP downside.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDNZD Reached strong ResistanceThe market has recently pushed upwards with momentum.
And it reached a strong resistance, the kind I love trading and forecasted many times in my ideas.
This clear level seems to be provoking a reaction already.
And when price finds its feet in these kinds of zones, I immediately think of what opportunity is offering, that might be the signal to get involved: not just in candlestick structure but also in volume behavior.
Target: 1.0990
Do you agree? Drop a comment below. Engaging with the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and grow as traders.
Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts. Trade safely 😊
AINUSDT – Watching for a Trend ReversalAINUSDT has been trading inside a descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price is now testing the upper boundary, and a breakout could open the way for a strong move higher.
- Descending Channel: Clear channel structure since mid-July.
- Current Price Action: Price is pressing against upper resistance.
- Breakout Potential: A successful breakout could send price toward the $0.50 zone.
- Support Zone: Strong support near $0.082, providing a clear risk management level.
Cheers
Hexa
GBPJPY – Continuing to RiseGBPJPY is currently in a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending price channel. After successfully testing the support at 198.300 JPY, the price has bounced and is now heading towards the resistance level at 200.800 JPY.
On the H8 chart, GBPJPY is staying above the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating that the buying pressure is still strong and the uptrend could continue. The 198.300 JPY area will be an important support level if the price retraces, and if the price breaks through 200.800 JPY, it may open up the next target.
Overall, GBPJPY continues to follow the uptrend, and any pullbacks will provide opportunities to enter long positions.
EURAUD: Confirmed Bear Trap?! 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
It looks like we have a confirmed bearish trap after a test
and a false violation of a solid falling trend line on EURAUD.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle provides a strong
bullish confirmation.
I expect a pullback to 1.7825 level.
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Gold Price (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – September 9, 2025On the H4 timeframe, gold has been moving strongly within an uptrend channel, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. At present, price is testing the key resistance zone around 3660 – 3680 USD/oz, which overlaps with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This is a critical area where profit-taking pressure may appear, increasing the probability of a corrective pullback.
Technical Breakdown
Main Trend: Short-term bullish, but momentum is weakening near resistance.
EMA 50 & EMA 200: Both EMAs are sloping upward, confirming bullish structure. However, rejection near resistance could trigger a correction back toward dynamic support.
RSI (14): Currently entering overbought territory, signaling potential exhaustion of buyers.
Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring the latest bullish leg, retracement levels to watch are 0.382 = 3540, 0.5 = 3500, and 0.618 = 3460 – all acting as key support zones.
Price Action: Bearish rejection candles or engulfing patterns near 3660 – 3680 will strengthen the case for a pullback.
Key Levels
Resistance: 3660 – 3680
Near-term Support: 3540 – 3500
Deeper Support: 3460 – 3420
Major Long-term Support: 3260 – 3300 (trend reversal zone if broken)
Trading Strategies
Short-term Sell Setup
Entry Zone: 3660 – 3680 if bearish confirmation occurs.
Targets: 3540 – 3500.
Stop Loss: Above 3700.
Buy-the-Dip Setup
Entry Zone: 3500 – 3460 if price retraces into support.
Targets: 3600 – 3660.
Stop Loss: Below 3440.
- Outlook: Gold is likely to face selling pressure around 3660 – 3680, with a corrective move expected before bulls can regain control. Traders should wait for confirmation signals to avoid falling into a “fake breakout” trap, as seen in previous market structures.
Gold with bullish momentum still intactGold touched above the 3600 level, with bullish momentum still intact. If the market pulls back, watch the 38% Fibonacci retracement level as a potential support. Overall, gold has gained 4.75% in one week, suggesting that a minor consolidation could occur before the next move toward the upper resistance around 3620.
President Donald Trump’s recent move on Friday exempted graphite, tungsten, uranium, gold bullion, and other metals from tariffs, while subjecting silicon products to new levies.
You any find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
XAUUSD: Consolidating the bullish momentumHi everyone, it’s Ken!
At this moment, gold is shining with strong appeal. The market is moving within a steep channel, and price action continues to respect its structure, forming higher highs without showing weakness.
Not long ago, gold broke a key resistance level and might come back to retest it. Interestingly, this area also aligns with the “golden zone” from the last breakout. If buyers defend it well, the bullish outlook remains valid, with the next target aiming toward 3,660 – the channel’s peak.
As long as price stays above the support and the rising trendline, the uptrend remains intact. However, if it slips below, chances of a deeper pullback will rise.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation before entering, and always protect your capital with proper risk management.
Wishing you success!
GBPUSD consolidation to move downsideGBP/USD Outlook Price is consolidation to move downside After Friday’s NFP release, GBP/USD climbed to 1.3600, a key resistance level that has repeatedly capped price in recent months. The 1.3600 area is a major supply zone, where price often struggles to sustain gains. Upside momentum looks exhausted, and the risk of reversal is increasing.
If selling pressure emerges at resistance, a corrective downtrend could unfold. and there First key support lies near 1.3450, with a deeper move potentially extending towards 1.3300.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely Best Of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
DeGRAM | EURUSD above the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD has broken above the long-term resistance line after consolidating in the 1.1650–1.1720 accumulation zone, confirming a bullish breakout.
● Price is now testing 1.1770 resistance; sustained momentum above this level would open the way toward the 1.1950 target, with 1.1700 acting as fresh support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro is supported by easing recession fears in the eurozone and improving investor sentiment, while the dollar weakens amid speculation the Fed may pause tightening after softer US inflation data.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 1.1700; targets 1.1770 → 1.1950. Invalidation on a close below 1.1650.
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OG more than 4 years of accumulation!OG / USDT
Price is playing in long term accumulation between 2$ as support and 14$/16$ as resistance
Every time price hit resistance zone it rejected hard but once again we see another try to breakout with big volume
Breakout here and we will see fireworks
Keep an eye on it
USD/JPY: Downside Pressure MountsUSD/JPY has completed a corrective rally into the wave (2) region, stalling around the 152.00–150.50 supply zone and respecting the descending trendline resistance. This rejection confirms that the broader bearish cycle is intact, and the pair is now entering a wave (3) decline.
From the structure, wave (1) has already unfolded strongly to the downside, and the recent corrective bounce aligns as a double three (W–X–Y) correction, which has likely ended. With this in place, we should see downside continuation, targeting lower levels in a clean five-wave decline.
T1 = 144.289
T2 = 142.288
SL = 150.525
As long as USD/JPY holds below the 150.80–152.00 invalidation zone, the outlook stays bearish. Selling momentum remains strong, and any pullback is likely to create new opportunities for sellers until wave (5) completes.
REVERSAL OR NOT?✅ If Price Breaks Above:
Enter long (buy) on breakout above the upper orange line.
Use the height of the range to project a potential target (as shown by the blue upward arrow).
Stop-loss typically goes below the range (lower orange line).
❌ If Price Breaks Below:
Enter short (sell) on breakout below the lower orange line.
Target = range height projected downward (blue downward arrow).
Stop-loss typically goes above the upper range line.
Wait for strong confirmation (volume, candle close, or momentum) before entering a breakout.
False breakouts are common in tight consolidations, so risk management is key.
Crypto Market Is Recovering From Support; ALTseason To Resume?Good morning Crypto traders! No major changes in the Crypto market since yesterday, but we can see the Crypto TOTAL market cap chart recovering nicely within wave (C) or (3) as anticipated on September 1st:
There may still be room for more upside as the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to weaken. Since we are still in a risk-on environment, cryptocurrencies could experience a stronger recovery. Moreover, with the ALTcoin dominance chart breaking higher out of consolidation, ALTseason may resume soon.
Notice that Crypto TOTAL2 market cap chart, which excludes BTC, is still eyeing all-time highs, so we may see a breakout higher into final wave (5) of 5 soon.
NZDJPY: Can We Expect a Pullback?The NZDJPY pair appears to be testing a strong horizontal resistance level on its intraday chart.
An inverted cup and handle pattern is observable on an hourly timeframe, accompanied by a neckline breakout, multiple rejections, and an unusual gap up.
There is a possibility of a price rebound.
Potential targets are 87.22 and 87.00.
EUR/USD: Mild Uptrend Remains FavouredHello everyone, EUR/USD is showing technical improvement after several days of consolidation. On the H4 chart, the pair has broken out from the previous sideways zone and currently hovers around 1.171, following a bounce towards 1.174–1.175. The short-term structure has turned more positive: higher lows, price above the thin Ichimoku cloud, and three layered demand FVG boxes below 1.1685 → 1.1660 – a clear sign of active buying. In the near term, 1.174–1.175 remains immediate resistance, while 1.170–1.168 acts as a “magnet” during market fluctuations.
On the news front, the focus this week is the US CPI/PPI data, which directly affects USD and yields, alongside the ECB meeting where commentary on inflation and growth will influence EUR interest rate expectations. Currently, US easing expectations slightly outweigh European ones, giving EUR/USD a mild tailwind for upward movement.
My view: EUR/USD leans towards a mild bullish scenario, prioritising shallow pullbacks above 1.168 before retesting 1.174–1.175. A successful break of this cluster could see momentum extend to 1.180–1.185. Conversely, a close below 1.166 on H4 would weaken the bullish case, potentially returning the market to a broader sideways range.
How do you see EUR/USD unfolding next? Share your thoughts in the comments.
SOL/USDT – The Powerful Wave Isn’t Over YetSolana is showcasing its strength by holding firmly above the 200 USDT psychological level while also being backed by massive inflows, with open interest hitting record highs. This clearly shows strong market confidence in SOL’s breakout potential.
On the 12H chart, the bullish structure remains crystal clear: price is clinging to the trendline, holding above both the EMA34 and EMA89, and bouncing solidly from support zones. The next key destination the market is eyeing is 223 USDT – a crucial resistance. If broken, Solana could easily open the path to even higher levels.
In short, both news and technicals are in sync: SOL/USDT’s bullish momentum is far from over – in fact, it’s gearing up for an even more impressive breakout.