Is the Dollar's Throne Shaking? DXY AnalysisHello friends, today we have the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) on the table, which concerns all of us closely, and the major pairs ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD ) seeking direction under its shadow. Looking at the charts, we see that the dollar has somewhat moved away from its old "haven" status, and the market is evolving in a new direction.
On the DXY side, the "purple box" (our critical support zone) that we have been monitoring on the 4-hour chart has unfortunately (or for some, thankfully!) been broken downwards. That tired downward movement starting from the 100.000 level tells us that the dollar is running out of steam.
Currently, we are seeing a small rebound at the 95.57 levels. However, we should not be deceived by this; technically, this could be a "Dead Cat Bounce." I expect the price to make a "fake" rise up to the 98.00 - 98.50 range and then slide towards our main target of 93.60. As long as it does not remain above 98.50, the direction is still down for me.
This pullback of the dollar is having a positive effect on GBP and EUR.
GBP/USD: The pound was already struggling to hold its ground. The elegant rising channel structure on the daily chart and the upwardly broken flag formation prove how high the appetite is. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the 1.4200 levels on our screens in the coming days.
tr.tradingview.com
EUR/USD: On the euro side, there is a more cautious but determined upward movement. With support taken from the lower band, the curved path we have drawn on the chart seems to be taking us towards the 1.2343 peak.
tr.tradingview.com
In short, the current market sentiment is "Sell the Dollar, Buy the Majors." Of course, a surprising announcement from the FED or inflation data could disrupt these plans, but technically, the story is telling us this right now.
My strategy is clear: I will watch for possible rebound rises in DXY to catch new opportunities in the pairs.
Wishing you plenty of profits, and don't neglect your risk management!
Community ideas
AUDNZD Setup: Symmetrical Triangle + Bullish FundamentalsToday, I want to share a long idea on AUDNZD ( OANDA:AUDNZD ) with you.
Let’s walk through the fundamental and technical picture step by step.
From a fundamental perspective, AUDNZD maintains a mild bullish bias.
Australia’s monetary policy remains slightly more restrictive compared to New Zealand’s.
Persistent inflation pressures keep the RBA cautious about rate cuts, while recent inflation data in New Zealand has largely been priced in and has not provided a fresh advantage for the NZD.
Additionally, Australia continues to benefit from relatively stronger growth support driven by the commodity sector, which adds to AUD resilience.
Overall, the fundamental balance currently favors AUD over NZD, making a long AUDNZD position reasonable — though, as always, not without risk.
AUDNZD is currently trading near key support lines.
From a classic technical analysis perspective, the pair is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, signaling compression and a potential expansion phase ahead.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, AUDNZD appears to have completed the main wave 4, suggesting the market may be preparing for the next impulsive move.
If price breaks above the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, I expect AUDNZD to push at least toward the 1.16370 NZD as an initial upside target.
First Target: 1.16370 NZD
Second Target: 1.1668 NZD
Stop Loss(SL): 1.1547 NZD
Points may shift as the market evolves
Do you think AUDNZD can resume its upward trend?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analysis (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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Gold - Preparing the final blow off top!💰Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) will rally a final +20%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just in January alone, Gold is up another +25% so far. Looking at this very bullish parabolic rally, Gold remains super strong and is still not done with the bullrun. Until Gold retests the ultimate resistance trendline, it can easily rally another +20% from the current levels.
📝Levels to watch:
$6,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-28: Breaking(Up/Down)Today’s pattern is a Breaking(Up/Down) pattern.
This pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to break away from yesterday’s price range. Normally, these Breaking patterns resolve as a moderately aggressive move away from the previous candle’s body range. Thus, my expectations are for the SPY/QQQ to attempt to move higher into the “new high” territory as we continue to work through the Flag Apex volatility phase.
Overall, I believe this move higher will stall out in early February and move downward as my Predictive Modeling has suggested. For many weeks, the Predictive Modeling tool has shown the markets will move into a potential breakdown phase in early/min February.
At this time, I believe the markets are pushing higher into a “false high” pattern that could translate into a larger breakdown phase moving through Q1:2026 and into Q2:2026. Time will tell.
As you know, I’ve moved my trades mostly to CASH and am currently sitting on about 70-80% CASH in my account. Yes, I still have some trades active and I have begun to setup 35+ day Shorts/Puts related to my expectation the markets may move downward in early February – but I’m not going to chase this move any further right now.
The one trade I believe I may make by the end of this week is to put on 1-3 longer-term Gold/Silver Calls. I believe this move in metals is unprecedented and I believe a small active position is almost essential. If you don’t play this once in a lifetime move efficiently, you can’t materialize the gains.
Right now, the hardest part of my trading is NOT wanting to get overly excited about these big runs in Metals and the potential for NatGas. I have to keep telling myself to be patient and wait for the right setups. Trust my analysis and trust my instinct.
There will always be another day to trade in the future.
At this point, I think the smartest move is to sit back and watch for a few days. This big move higher in Gold/Silver could be “the rally to the peak of Leg #2” – just like I predicted. One thing I’ve learned is not to chase moves when you believe they are over or nearly done.
Sure, you can leave a small runner position on if you want. Just be prepared for that position to turn into a loss if the markets suddenly turn against your trade.
NatGas rolled to the March contract. That is why we are seeing a big price gap on the NG chart. UNG is holding up well and I believe this storm will continue to increase demand into February – possibly into March. So, I plan on trying to take advantage of any price weakness in UNG.
If today goes as planned, it should be a day of mostly sitting and watching the markets. I don’t plan on being overly aggressive with my trades today.
Get some.
USDT Dominance(USDT.D%) RoadmapUSDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is one of the crucial indexes in the crypto market. Alongside token analysis, it’s important to consider this metric because an increase in USDT.D% often leads to a decrease in crypto asset prices.
Currently, USDT.D% has successfully broken through its support lines and even created a fake breakout above the resistance lines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that USDT.D% has completed its 5 impulsive waves over the past 10 to 12 days, and we can expect a corrective downward movement.
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks.
I anticipate that USDT.D% will begin to decline, potentially reaching the Fibonacci support levels. This decline could lead to an increase in crypto asset prices, especially Bitcoin .
Notes: If USDT.D% drops below the support zone(6.234%-6.090%), we can expect a significant upward trend in the crypto market.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Market Cap USDT Dominance% Analyze (USDT.D%), 8-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Gold Isn’t Weak — It’s Structuring for the Next ExpansionHello traders, Louna here.
Gold started the week around $5,075, up approximately 1.76%. After an aggressive bullish expansion, price has naturally shifted into a slowdown and technical consolidation. This is not weakness — it is healthy trend behavior. Strong trends pause, they don’t collapse.
From a macro standpoint, the backdrop remains supportive. Geopolitical tensions have not eased, and global policy uncertainty continues to favor safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the US dollar lacks the momentum required to suppress gold meaningfully. As a result, capital rotation away from gold is limited — institutions still have reasons to stay positioned.
On the technical side, structure remains exceptionally clean. Price is respecting an ascending channel, with each pullback remaining corrective rather than impulsive. The unfilled gap below stands out as a potential liquidity magnet, though no confirmation has appeared yet. This keeps the market in a “wait and react” phase rather than a “predict” phase.
Primary scenario:
If price retraces into the gap while preserving the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the dominant path, with $5,208 aligning as the next expansion target near the upper boundary of the channel.
Invalidation:
Only a decisive close below the rising channel would force a reassessment of the short-term bullish bias.
Until then, the message is simple:
Structure intact. Trend respected. Patience rewarded.
Trade with clarity, not emotion — and let the chart do the talking.
USD/JPY: True Bullish Reversal?!The 📈USDJPY pair formed a well-defined inverted head and shoulders pattern following a test of a significant historical support level.
A decisive bullish breakout above its neckline, confirmed by a strong bullish candle, would provide a reliable indication.
I anticipate a correctional movement to at least 155.20.
Whale Watching 101: How to Use Exchange Inflow/Outflow DataIn the ocean of cryptocurrency, Retail Traders are the plankton, and Institutions are the Whales. When a Whale moves, the water displaces, and the plankton get pushed around. If you want to survive in 2026, you must stop swimming against the current and start tracking the Whales.
But how do you see them? They don't post their trades on Twitter. They leave On-Chain Footprints. The biggest footprint they leave is moving money in and out of Exchanges.
Today, we are mastering the most fundamental On-Chain metric: Exchange Netflow.
1. The Golden Rule of Flows
To understand this data, you must understand the psychology of a Whale. A Whale (holding 1,000+ BTC) does not keep their money on an exchange like Binance or Coinbase unless they are planning to do something.
Exchange INFLOW (The Bearish Signal)
The Logic: Why would a Whale move 5,000 BTC from a secure Cold Wallet (Ledger/Trezor) to an Exchange?
The Intent: They are likely preparing to SELL.
The Trading Signal: If you see a massive spike in "Exchange Inflow" while price is hitting a Resistance level, it is a massive warning sign. The Whales are loading their guns to dump on the retail breakout.
Exchange OUTFLOW (The Bullish Signal)
The Logic: Why would a Whale withdraw 5,000 BTC from an Exchange to a Cold Wallet?
The Intent: They have finished buying. They are removing the supply from the market to hold for the long term.
The Trading Signal: If price is dumping, but "Exchange Outflows" are hitting record highs, this is Accumulation. The Whales are buying the dip and removing the coins from circulation. This is how "Supply Shock" happens.
2. The Nuance: Stablecoins vs. Bitcoin
This is where 90% of rookie traders get it wrong. You must distinguish what is flowing in.
BTC Moving to Exchange = Sell Pressure (Bearish)
Interpretation: Supply is increasing.
Stablecoins (USDT/USDC) Moving to Exchange = Buy Power (Bullish)
Interpretation: This is "Dry Powder." When Whales move millions of USDT to an exchange, they are preparing to BUY the dip.
The "Ultimate Bull Signal": High BTC Outflows (Supply Shock) + High Stablecoin Inflows (Buying Power) = Parabolic Price Action.
3. Case Study: The "Fakeout" Trap
Let’s apply this to a real trading scenario.
The Scenario: Bitcoin is trading at $98,000. It looks bullish. Suddenly, a breakout occurs to $100,000. Retail traders start longing with 50x leverage.
The On-Chain Reality: You check the data. You see that 1 hour before the breakout, 10,000 BTC flowed INTO Coinbase Pro.
The Trade:
The Trap: The breakout is likely a "Bull Trap." The Whales moved that BTC to sell into the liquidity provided by the retail longs.
Your Move: Instead of longing the breakout, you Short the rejection, knowing that massive sell pressure is sitting on the order book.
4. Tools of the Trade
You cannot trade this without data. Here are the industry standards for 2026:
Glassnode: The gold standard for "Exchange Net Position Change" charts.
CryptoQuant: Excellent for real-time "Exchange Inflow" alerts.
Whale Alert (Twitter/X): Good for spotting individual massive transactions, but be careful—sometimes these are just internal transfers (exchange wallet to exchange wallet). Always verify if it is an actual inflow.
Conclusion: Context is King
Exchange flows are powerful, but they are not a crystal ball.
Low Volatility + Inflows = Preparing for a big move (likely down).
High Volatility + Inflows = Panic selling (Capitulation).
Use Fundamental Analysis to see Where the money is going, and Technical Analysis to time When to enter.
Stop guessing. Start tracking.
-Tuffycalls (Team Mubite)
Lingrid | LINKUSDT Counter-Rally Pullback Short OpportunityBINANCE:LINKUSDT remains capped below a dominant descending trendline after a sharp sell-off from the supply zone. The recent bounce appears corrective in nature, with price stalling inside the 12.50 resistance where sellers previously stepped in aggressively. Market structure continues to print lower highs, keeping downside pressure active.
If price fails to reclaim the descending trendline and momentum fades again, the move could transition into another impulsive leg lower. A rejection from this counter-rally zone may expose the 11.2 support area, where the lower channel boundary and horizontal demand converge.
➡️ Primary scenario: pullback rejection near 12.5 → continuation toward 11.2.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a sustained break above 12.8 may weaken the bearish setup and force a reassessment toward higher resistance.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAG/USD – A Market That Refuses to Go LowerThere is one thing that stands out very clearly on XAG/USD right now:
the market has absolutely no intention of moving lower.
The news flow is quiet, with no major shocks — and paradoxically, that is exactly what favors the BUY side. The Fed is not hawkish enough to choke precious metals, real yields are failing to create pressure , and defensive sentiment remains quietly present beneath the surface.
For silver, the narrative is even stronger than gold: it is both a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. Capital inflows are not speculative hit-and-run trades — this is hold, push, and accumulate behavior.
Looking at the chart, price is clearly advancing within a clean and steep ascending channel. Every pullback is disciplined and controlled — p rice taps the lower trendline and immediately reacts upward. No panic, no aggressive sell-offs.
This is a textbook sign that smart money is in control, not a market driven by FOMO.
Ichimoku may only be playing a supporting role here — but it is an extremely reliable one. Price is firmly above the cloud, the cloud itself is sloping upward, and the distance between price and the cloud confirms that bullish momentum still has room to run. There are no signs of exhaustion or distribution at this stage.
The 112.7 zone is not a level to fear — it is a trend-validation boundary. As long as price holds above this area, every retracement should be viewed as an opportunity for the market to reload. And once momentum is fully rebuilt, a move toward 124.3 becomes a matter of time, not doubt.
EUR/USD Ready To Go Down , Are You Ready For 150 Pips ?Here is my 1H Chart on EUR /USD and it`s The Same GBP/USD , We Have A Fake Breakout and then the price Back below my old res and we have a very good bearish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price playing very good around my res and i`m waiting the price to retest the broken area and giving a good bearish price action For the second time on smaller time frames to can get a confirmation to enter , So i see it`s a good chance to sell this pair if it go up a little to retest the broken area and then we can sell it and targeting 100 to 150 pips . and if we have a daily closure again above my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Breakout .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4 - Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
5- The Price Respect The Res Again .
Excellent Profits / Gold to #6,000.80As discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: Gold became so easy to deliver #100 - #150 point move Intra-day so protect your capital by being on right side of the market (re-Buy orders only) and never swim against the tide. However I do believe that #5,100.80 mark won't get invalidated so easily (without significant reason) as it represents psychological Top's. I will Trade #5,000's belt with my re-Buy orders until #5,100.80 gives away where I can Buy Gold once again on Medium-term. #5,027.80 and #5,002.80 represent excellent re-Buy points as well.'
My position: I have been waiting for Gold to invalidate #5,200.80 benchmark all session long as I was well aware if Gold establishes #5,200.80 benchmark as an Support, Medium-term stays Bullish and new #6,000.80 psychological benchmark Target can be pursued with my set of key re-Buy orders (both Short and Medium-term). As soon as #5,200.80 is tested first time, I spotted that Gold delivered firm Support zone within #5,178.80 - #5,184.80 last night, I Bought Gold there aggressively with set of Buying orders waiting for final #5,200.80 break-out which was delivered on Asian session market opening where I closed my set of Buying orders on #5,223.80 and closed all of my orders. Needless to mention besides all Fundamentally (critically) Bullish / Gold-friendly pointers, most important one is DX taking strong hits with every Hourly candle which is adding enormous Buying pressure on Gold. I will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points maintaining my next Medium-term Target seen Trading at #6,000.80 benchmark.
Jan 28 : BE BuyJust bought Bloom Energy Corp. I see this has a massive Daily break potential that has been consolidating for the better part of January 2026.
Momentum looks decent, CAD interest rate news has also just been released today. There should be enough activity to carry it through today and over the next few days.
"Nasty Pattern" Bull Trap; False Breakout Above 7000SPX opened this morning above mythical big number 7000.
What appeared to be a very bullish breakout,
has suddenly turned lower.
What is happening ?
A potential false breakout above 7000.
Now price is in a "descending wedge" pattern moving lower,
and bullish traders who bought the breakout are trapped.
An extremely bearish technical occurrence, should it play out.
A move below 6970, would confirm that something very bearish is brewing.
SPX Last 6976.75
THE_UNWND
WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
In yesterday’s session, we highlighted key price areas using our hot spots and red box levels and stated that we would maintain the existing plan as long as price continued to hold above our defensive zone.
While the market did experience a brief extension beyond these levels, our indicators continued to confirm structure, allowing several opportunities to enter trades on the bounce back into value.
At this stage, there is no reason to change the broader plan. However, with the FOMC decision scheduled for tomorrow, we expect price action to begin settling into a pre-event range. Because of this, any positions taken from lower levels should now be actively protected and carefully managed, as volatility can increase rapidly around major economic releases.
During the session, price successfully reached three of the four red box targets, narrowly missing the 5045 region. This move reinforces the importance of respecting key levels rather than chasing price once momentum slows. Currently, support has re-established itself in the 5060–5055 area, while resistance remains firm around the 5080 level.
Overall, there is no change to our outlook at this time. We will return tomorrow with The KOG Report focused on the FOMC event and our expectations surrounding the release.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a Good movement , and we have a new upside wave now and we have a good res @ 5300.00 so we can sell Gold from it as scalping and 5267.00 will be the best place for Buy cuz the price broke it and retest it and give us a good bullish price action , and the main direction still very bullish and any short setup it`s a scalping setup to collect some pips and then continue to the main direction .
The range between 5300.00 to 5267.00 will be the best place for Sell as a scalping as i mentioned , now the price very near selling area so we can wait the price to retest the res area and then enter a sell trade and targeting 5267.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bullish P.A , we can enter a buy trade and targeting 5300.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action , if we have a daily closure below our support then the price will go down more and more after huge movement to upside .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
TheGrove | GBPJPY buy | Idea Trading AnalysisGBP/JPY is trading within a rising channel, with price holding above the Ascending Triangle after a clear bullish and is moving on Resistance area.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.689 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XRP Liquidity Hunt: Targeting the $2.00 SweepWelcome to another Mubite market update. Today we are analyzing XRP (XRP/USDT) on the 1H timeframe, where a classic liquidity setup is forming.
The market is currently consolidating above a key demand zone, and the "Smart Money" objective seems clear: Hunt the liquidity resting above the highs.
Here is the technical breakdown of the trade setup.
1. The Launchpad: Demand Zone (Yellow Box) Price is currently respecting the Yellow Demand Zone (~1.8800).
The Reaction: We have seen multiple wicks rejecting this lower level, indicating that buyers are defending this area. As long as this box holds, the immediate structure supports a push higher.
2. The Magnet: Buy-Side Liquidity (White Line) Markets move from liquidity to liquidity. Right now, there is a massive pool of "Buy-Side Liquidity" (Stop Losses from early shorters) resting above the equal highs at $1.99 - $2.00.
The Setup: As illustrated by the blue curve on the chart, we expect price to gravitate toward this level like a magnet to "sweep" these highs.
3. The Game Plan: Long to Sweep We are looking for a tactical long position to target this liquidity run.
Entry: Current levels or a retest of the Yellow Zone (1.8800 - 1.9000).
The Move: We anticipate an impulse wave up to clear the white resistance line.
The Exit (Take Profit): The $2.00 psychological level is the target.
Caution (The Reversal): As indicated by the white arrow path, once the liquidity is swept, the price often reverses quickly. Do not get greedy at the top—take profits into the pump.
Summary
Bias: Bullish (Short-term).
Key Support: 1.8800.
Target: Liquidity Sweep at $2.00.
Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Are you longing the dip or waiting for the sweep to short? Let us know in the comments!
-TuffyCalls (Team Mubite)
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD has successfully broken above the descending trendline as well as a key resistance zone, confirming a bullish breakout on the daily timeframe.
At current levels, price is approaching a resistance area. Therefore, a short-term correction is likely, with a potential pullback toward the broken trendline and former resistance zone.
As long as price holds above this reclaimed area, the pullback can be considered corrective, and bullish continuation toward higher targets remains the preferred scenario.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️






















