Community ideas
XAU/USD - A Clear Sentiment IndicatorDear Friends in Trading,
“I share only my perspective. In this industry, learning never ends, but progress comes when we learn from mistakes without repeating them.” - ANROC
A) The message is clear:
Market Sentiment = "RISK OFF"
B) Food for Thought:
US Treasury Bonds - "$" is also a safe haven commodity under "RISK-OFF" Sentiment.
Let that sink in.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
SOL PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $216SOL PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $216
Currently $216
Targeting $212 or Down
(Trading plan IF SOL go up to $222
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Gold Extends Rally After Hitting Record High📊 Market Overview:
Gold is holding at record highs, trading around $3,652/oz, supported by a weaker dollar, lower yields, and growing Fed rate cut expectations.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance (near-term): 3650 – 3665
• Extended resistance (H1): 3690 – 3700
• Nearest support: 3640 – 3635
• Extended support (H1): 3615 – 3608
• EMA: Price is trading above multiple EMAs, confirming a bullish bias.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: Momentum remains bullish; RSI on H1 is slightly overbought, suggesting potential for short pullbacks before continuation.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue higher short-term if it holds above 3640. A breakout above 3665 could open the door to 3690 – 3700, with potential extension to 3725 – 3735. Conversely, a drop below 3635 may trigger downside pressure toward 3615 – 3585.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3640 – 3643
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3637
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3663 – 3666
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3669
USD/JPY - KEY LEVELS TO WATCHDear Friends in Trading,
“I share only my perspective. In this industry, learning never ends, but progress comes when we learn from mistakes without repeating them.” - ANROC
If a 1D candle body closes below S1 and/or S2.
The potential for price to drop into MAJOR liquidity levels, are very high.
Stacked high Impact Data today to Friday - PPI, CPI & GDP.
Trade SAFE.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
EUR/USD - SIMPLIFY POTENTIAL OUTCOMEDear Friends in Trading,
“I share only my perspective. In this industry, learning never ends, but progress comes when we learn from mistakes without repeating them.” - ANROC
A new 3D candle shows it best - CONTRACTION
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
BTC Analysis (4H)Honestly, as you know, the market had been ranging for several days without much movement. On the chart, we had signs of a drop, but the drop didn’t happen, and instead the market dropped in a way that was shown.
The key level for Bitcoin is the 117K zone, where we may see a negative reaction. It is expected that Bitcoin will advance toward the red zone for now.
This market is a dangerous one, and it is necessary to avoid unnecessary trades.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is Sofi about to pull of a Palantir to over $100 ?!🔹 Technical Structure
SoFi has built a multi-year rounded bottom base from $4.27 lows (2022–2023) to the $26 rim resistance (2025).
Pattern depth: ~$22.
Conservative measured move target: ~$48–50.
Supercycle stretch target: ~$100–150 (a repeat of the 500% magnitude move from the base, similar to Palantir’s trajectory).
This mirrors Palantir’s 2020–2023 cup base, where a long accumulation under $23 eventually broke out, launching into a magnificent run once the resistance gave way.
🔹 Palantir Analogy
Palantir’s Setup:
Bottom $6.00, rim $30
Multi-year base, AI narrative catalyst.
Broke out in late 2023, surged to $185, fulfilling its measured move.
SoFi’s Setup:
Bottom $4.27, rim $26.
Multi-year rounded base, fintech adoption catalyst.
Currently pressing resistance; breakout would align it with Palantir’s pre-explosion stage.
👉 Both charts share the same accumulation → breakout → exponential expansion cycle.
🔹 Fundamentals Supporting the Breakout
Q2 2025 Results:
Net Revenue: $855M (+43–44% YoY) — strongest growth in two years.
Adjusted EBITDA: $249M (+81%), ~29% margin.
Net Income: $97M GAAP profit, EPS $0.08 (+700% YoY).
Members: 11.7M (+34% YoY).
Products: 17.1M (+34% YoY).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue ~$3.375B, EPS ~$0.31.
Growth Outlook (2026+):
Revenue CAGR ~18–20% through 2026.
EPS CAGR ~20–25% expected.
Forecast by 2028: Revenue ~$5.1B, Net Income ~$950M.
Strategic Strengths:
Expanding ecosystem (banking, lending, investing, insurance).
Cross-sell flywheel → increasing monetization per user.
Scalability proven with profitability and margin expansion.
Rate cuts + digital adoption = macro tailwinds.
🔹 Why $100 Is Plausible
Technical Base Magnitude: Rounded bottom projects $48, but history shows supercycles often extend beyond measured targets
Fundamentals: Tripling revenue, scaling profits, ecosystem expansion.
Macro Liquidity: Lower rates + fintech adoption cycle provide tailwinds.
Valuation Expansion: With EPS trending toward ~$4–5 by 2030, premium multiples could justify triple-digit valuations.
Comparative Proof: Palantir’s breakout validated that multi-year fintech/tech bases can lead to 300–500% runs when catalysts align.
✅ Conclusion:
SoFi’s rounded base breakout mirrors Palantir’s 2020–2023 accumulation. With accelerating fundamentals (revenue growth, profitability, ecosystem leverage), and macro tailwinds (rate cuts, fintech adoption), SoFi could realistically run to $48–50 in the base case, with $100+ as a stretch target if Palantir’s roadmap repeats.
Bitcoin breaking down to 95k !?The recent move makes me think Bitcoin could revisit the 95k area and sweep the June lows. Another scenario is we stay stuck between 105k and 115k for a while before the next big move, which then would be more likely to be up to new ATH. Until we reclaim 115k with volume, I expect down.
A big red flag for me is the lack of volume on the way up since April. Markets don’t move higher forever without new buyers stepping in, and right now it feels like momentum is running out.
95k isn’t just a random number either. It lines up with a key demand zone, and where the last big bounce started, and if price gets there with volume, that could be the reset we need. A clean sweep of the June lows would also wash out weak longs and set up a stronger base for the next move higher.
At the same time, the macro climate is still a wild card. Wars, inflation, interest rates, central banks, Trump... these are all heavy influences that can shift momentum in either direction without warning. Bitcoin might be doing its own thing, but it doesn’t live in a vacuum.
Until something changes, I’m leaning short on the way down, targeting 95k as the spot to watch for signs of real buying pressure.
What do you think?
$ADA warming up.CRYPTOCAP:ADA
This chart W timeframe, looking specifically at the duration of the 2020/21 W1 move in comparison to what we are seeing in 2025.
As you can see in 2020/21 W1 was 36 weeks 2025 it is 44 weeks showing what most are already tracking, that this Bullrun has been more drawn out and deliberate.
2020/21 W3 was 25 weeks after breaking out from the descending resistance marked in orange.
I assess that once CRYPTOCAP:ADA price action breaks above the $1.00 it will activate the 3rd wave of the 3rd wave targeting the 1.618 fib @ $4.77
the question is :
Will the pattern repeat?
Will W3 be faster, same, longer in duration?
Based on the drawn out bullrun of 2025 I continue to assess CRYPTOCAP:ADA will run until Q1 2026
may your dreams become reality
num num crayons
GL
Gold XAU$, 1M TF, 18/03/2023 and the Odyssey to $3600OANDA:XAUUSD The Gold Odyssey: From $1,983 to $3,600 and Beyond
Once upon a time on TradingView back on March 18, 2023 (1M TF), gold (XAUUSD) was trading at $1,983.68. That’s when the chart of destiny was drawn — A bull flag breakout projection 75.14% with a bold target of $3,600.
⏳ 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days later, the projection hit on 08/09/2025— the beautiful patience and the satisfaction of this hodl is overwhelming.
Back in Q1–Q2 of 2023, many traders like @day0 echoed the same view. This cart was posted on the TradingView Gold community room walls multiple time getting MODED🤑 which went on for months😉 "GOLD CARTEL"
The journey was both technical and emotional — the "disciples of the (HODL) discipline" brought satisfaction as the chart aligned with macro reality. While I did take 10% profit at \$3,600 for validation of this projection, well the narrative isn’t over — now the charts point toward $4,000.
📈 The Timeline of Gold’s Rally
🔹March 18, 2023 – The Trigger
Gold surged post the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and accelerated central bank buying, breaking decisively above $2,000/oz.
🔹 2024 – The Sustained Rally
Through persistent inflation, geopolitical flashpoints, and a weakening dollar, gold extended gains. By year-end, it reached around $2,690/oz (+31%).
🔹 April 2025 – Breaching History
Gold shattered the $3,500/oz barrier, fueled by " record central bank accumulation " 🪙 and " dollar fragility ", cementing its safe-haven role.
🔹 April 9, 2025 – The Spike
The biggest daily jump since 2023, a 3% surge driven by bond sell-offs and safe-haven demand.
🔹 September 8, 2025 – The Mark of $3,600
Gold reached fresh record highs at $3,526/oz, supported by a weakening dollar, dovish Fed expectations, and global instability. The climax: $3,600 achieved — bulls eye 🎯.
The Chart Came First (March 18, 2023)
Gold was trading at $1,983.
A bull flag breakout projection pointed to $3,600, based purely on technical structure — no headlines, no hindsight.
“Gold’s journey from $1,983 to $3,600 wasn’t foretold by headlines — it was written in the charts first.
Exactly — this is a textbook example of that famous trader’s maxim:
"Show me the charts, and I’ll tell you the news.”
(TA + Philosophy):
When I first charted gold at $1,983 in March 2023, the bull flag projected a trajectory toward $3,600. At that time, there was no Silicon Valley Bank collapse, no April 2025 breakout, no Fed policy pivot — just a chart whispering its truth. Fast-forward 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days, every piece of “news” that followed — inflation spikes, central bank hoarding, bond sell-offs, dollar weakness — merely played its role as fuel for a path the chart had already mapped. This is the essence of market psychology: technical encode the collective positioning and pressure before fundamentals are written into the headlines. The gold move isn’t just about price — it’s about patience, conviction, and the timeless charting.
"nerves of steel with a Rush of Gold✨"
💡 Reflection:
The gold chart wasn’t predicting the exact news events (SVB collapse, Fed stance, dollar weakness). Instead, it revealed the underlying accumulation and pressure that would need some catalyst to unlock — and when those catalysts arrived, price delivered.
So yes — this is a perfect case study of “show me the charts and I’ll tell you the news.”
Thanks for reading,
Thank you Trading View
🌟Note:
This was never just a chart — it was a story of patience, macro forces, and market psychology converging. From $1,983 to $3,600, the bull flag wasn’t just a pattern, it was a prophecy. Now, as gold eyes $4,000, the question isn’t "if", but "when"
Always DYOR,
Trade Safely
-See you on the other side-
-Jova A
Gold – Still One of Wall Street’s Highest Conviction TradesGold – Still One of Wall Street’s Highest Conviction Trades
Almost every major Wall Street bank currently lists long Gold as one of their strongest conviction calls – and the reasoning makes sense. There are three fundamental drivers that continue to support the bullish case:
I. Persistent U.S. Inflation → Gold remains in strong demand as a hedge.
II. Potential Fed Rate Cuts → Likely USD weakness could further lift Gold due to its negative correlation .
III. Reserve Diversification → A gradual shift towards Gold as a USD alternative in global central bank and hedge fund portfolios.
I’m not typically a trend trader, nor do I trade Gold frequently (my focus is mean reversion in FX), but I do find these arguments compelling.
From a tactical perspective, I wouldn’t chase the current highs. Price recently broke out of a triangle formation, and the Williams %R is at levels that historically preceded pullbacks. If I had to establish exposure, I’d prefer to wait for a retracement into the 38.2%–61.8% Fibonacci zone, scaling in gradually with multiple small longs.
To be clear – I don’t see an attractive short setup here. But patience may offer better risk–reward on the long side.
What’s your view? Do you agree with the fundamental case, or do you see a different setup?
Stay safe & happy trading,
Meikel
GALA/USDT – 4H Chart Analysis
Bearish Harmonic Pattern
Price completed a Bearish Gartley formation at point D (0.01733–0.01756 zone).
This level aligns with a strong supply zone (gray area) where sellers historically stepped in.
📊 Technical Signals
. Stochastic RSI: Currently in the overbought zone, showing potential weakness.
. Liquidity Zones: Multiple sell-side liquidity pools exist below current price, increasing downside probability.
. Rejection Wicks: Candles show early selling pressure at resistance.
🔑 Key Levels
. Resistance (Short Entry Zone): 0.01733 – 0.01756
. First Support: 0.01550
. Deeper Support / Target: 0.01360
🎯 Trading Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Bias: Bearish rejection likely from 0.0180 zone.
Potential Targets:
. TP1: 0.01550
. TP2: 0.01360
Stop Loss: Above 0.01818
⚠ Disclaimer: This is market analysis for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
XAUUSD -Short term sellGold surged to a new all-time high of $3,674.70 as traders priced in a 92% chance of a Fed rate cut this month.
Silver struggles below $41.67, weighed down by weak industrial sentiment despite dovish Fed expectations.
Platinum reversed from $1,438.30 and is now testing key support at $1,367.60 near the 50-day moving average.