U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook | Gold (XAU/USD) Correlation📈 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at Key Support | 🪙 Gold at Record Highs
🔎 Quick Summary:
• DXY holding 97.70 support inside a descending channel.
• A rebound could push it back toward 98.25 – 98.50.
• Meanwhile, Gold is sitting near $3,600/oz, at all-time highs, fueled by safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
• The DXY’s next move will help decide if Gold keeps climbing or pauses.
⸻
💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook
On the 4H chart, the Dollar Index remains inside a descending channel. It has been forming lower highs and lower lows, yet the 97.70 level has repeatedly held as strong support.
• 🔹 Buyers are defending this zone, showing demand.
• 🔹 A rebound could take price back to the 98.25 – 98.50 supply zone.
• 🔹 A breakout above 98.50 would be significant, opening room toward 99.00+.
This makes the 97.70 region a critical turning point for DXY.
⸻
🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Context
Gold is trading at record highs around $3,600/oz 🚀 — a level never seen before.
• 🌍 Central banks continue to accumulate gold aggressively.
• 🏦 Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• ⚖️ Persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand.
Correlation with DXY:
• 📉 If the Dollar rebounds, Gold could slow down or consolidate after its massive rally.
• 📈 If the Dollar breaks below support, Gold could see further upside, possibly testing higher targets near $3,700/oz and beyond.
⸻
📊 Conclusion
The Dollar Index is sitting at make-or-break support. A bounce would show Dollar strength and may cool off Gold’s rally. But if DXY weakens further, Gold could extend its surge into new record territory.
At this point, Gold remains the undisputed leader in the market, with DXY’s next move likely deciding how fast momentum continues.
⸻
⚡ Summary in one line:
💵 DXY at critical support — 🪙 Gold shining at record highs, waiting for the Dollar’s next move.
Parallel Channel
BTC.D : Moving upward to retest ascending channelBTC.D (1W Update)
Bitcoin dominance has broken down from the ascending channel and is now heading for a retest.
If this retest fails to reclaim the channel, it could trigger a huge rally in altcoins over the long term — just a matter of time.
Keep a close watch, as confirmation here will decide the next big move for the market.
BITCOIN → Sale on positive news? What to expect? 100K or 130K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P unsuccessfully ended another attempt to break through the 112K-113K zone. The positive background (NFP) did not affect the price, and a bearish setup formed on D1...
D1 is forming a pin-bar relative to the strong resistance zone of 112K - 113K, positive news is quickly sold off, and the price, rebounding from the resistance of the trading range, closes near the bearish trigger of 110500. Bitcoin looks quite uncertain as it faces selling pressure in the 112K-113K zone. The price cannot consolidate above this area despite the previously broken correction resistance. There is logic in this maneuver... The market is betting on a more than 90% chance of interest rate cuts, and by that point, the price of Bitcoin may fall to the maximum permissible limits before further growth. Areas of interest may be 107K - 105K - 100K
Resistance levels: 111.9K, 113.3K, 117K
Support levels: 110.5K, 107.4K, 105.0K
A breakdown of the 110.5K support could trigger further sell-offs towards the support of the key trading range. Within the current downward cycle, the price may well test 105,000, which is a fairly strong liquidity zone. The fundamental background is positive, and the current sell-off may be manipulative movement before the emergence of a bullish driver...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Channel Still Intact – Bears in ControlOANDA:NZDUSD Looking at the chart, price is locked inside a textbook descending channel — clean lower highs, lower lows, and clear respect for both boundaries.
Right now, price is retesting the upper edge of that channel. Historically, sellers have defended this zone multiple times, and the structure hints we may see another rejection here.
If that happens, the short setup is straightforward: target the lower boundary near 0.577XX.
The trend remains bearish, and in channels like this, going with the flow beats fighting it.
Until bulls break this channel convincingly, the bears are in control.
Do you see it the same way? Drop your thoughts below
Not financial advice — just sharing my chart view. Trade safe!
XAUUSD: The Correction Phase BeginsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Gold has been in a strong uptrend since breaking out of a prior Downward Channel. This entire bullish phase has been developing within the confines of a large broadening wedge, a pattern that indicates expanding volatility as price makes higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is at a critical point, testing the Broadening Resistance Line at the very top of this wedge. This test comes after a very strong and steep upward impulse, which often suggests that a trend might be overextended and due for a correction.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a tactical short, based on the idea that this strong rally is due for a healthy pullback. Trends rarely move in a straight line forever, and the resistance line of this multi-week wedge is a high-probability area for sellers to step in.
I'm looking for the price to make one final, small push higher and then show a clear sign of rejection. The primary target for this corrective fall is 3500 points. As you noted, this is an intermediate target, not the major Support 1, making it a logical first objective for a pullback.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold will continue to grow inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price broke out of its prior consolidation range, a move that originated from the deep buyer zone. This breakout shifted the market structure, initiating a new impulsive phase that has since been neatly contained within a well-defined upward channel. The price action for XAU has been respecting the boundaries of this channel, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, after being rejected from the channel's upper resistance line, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction movement. This pull-back is guiding the price back towards a significant confluence of support, where the ascending support line of the channel converges with the horizontal support zone near the 3485 current support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will defend this area and maintain the integrity of the uptrend. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary bullish trend. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3610 points, representing a new structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
SOLUSDT → Stronger than the market. Correction before growthBINANCE:SOLUSDT updated its maximum to 218 and entered another phase of correction for consolidation. The altcoin looks quite strong against the backdrop of the rest of the cryptocurrency market...
Bitcoin continues its aggressive decline after yesterday's trap (false breakout of the trend line). Despite relatively positive fundamental and technical developments, the cryptocurrency market is in the red. Against this backdrop, SOL stands out as a strong altcoin compared to Bitcoin, which has been falling for two weeks. SOL updated its maximum and entered a correction phase. Within the current structure, the price may test the liquidity zone of 202.5 - 195.3 before continuing to grow to 220 - 240.
The reaction to false breakouts of local highs is weak, there is no reversal, and the nature of the current structure is “consolidation.” If the bulls keep the price above 200 during the correction, the further outlook will be positive.
Resistance levels: 216.5, 220, 244
Support levels: 202.5, 198.0, 195.3
Focus on the current correction. We need to wait for a slowdown and the end of the structure. Focus on the specified support zones, from which the market may resume bullish trading, which in turn may lead to a breakout of intermediate resistance and growth to the specified targets.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD: Price Drop to Support line of WedgeHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been bearish since the rejection from the Resistance Zone near the 122000 level. This initiated a downtrend that has since evolved from a channel into the current Downward Wedge pattern, which has been guiding the price through a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Currently, the price is at a critical decision point. After a bounce from the lower part of the wedge, it has rallied correctly and is now directly testing the descending resistance line of the formation.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that this Downward Wedge is a continuation pattern and the dominant downtrend will resume. I'm looking for the price to be rejected from the wedge's resistance line. A confirmed failure to break higher would signal the start of the next impulsive move down. This move is expected to have enough momentum to break through the intermediate Support zone around the 109600 level.
A breakdown below the 109600 support zone would validate the scenario. The primary target for this move is 105700 points, which aligns perfectly with the lower support line of the wedge pattern.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
USDCAD – Supply, Demand & Channel Breakdown AnalysisUSDCAD – Supply, Demand & Channel Breakdown Analysis
USDCAD on the H1 timeframe has been moving within an ascending channel, but price recently broke below the channel, showing bearish pressure.
🔴 Supply Zone (1.3827 – 1.3840):
Price tested this zone and failed to push higher.
Sellers are in control from this area.
🔵 Demand Zone (1.3720):
This is the next strong level where buyers previously stepped in.
Acts as a logical take profit target for shorts.
🔑 Summary:
The market rejected the supply zone and broke the channel to the downside. As long as price stays below 1.3830, bearish continuation towards 1.3720 remains valid.
EURGBP → The battle for zone 0.867. What are the prospects?FX:EURGBP is attempting to remain above 1/2 of the key trading range as part of a retest after breaking through strong resistance. The local trend is bullish, and the price has a chance to reach 0.8743.
EUR is consolidating in a wedge pattern, with the price moving away from support and attacking resistance. Against the backdrop of the expected Fed rate cut, EUR may break through the line and begin an active phase of growth, which will support EURGBP. The currency pair's price has moved beyond the lower half of the trading range and is attempting to consolidate above the bullish interest zone. If the bulls hold their defense above 0.866-0.867, the price will have a chance to test the poi
Support levels: 0.867, 0.865, 0.8635
Resistance levels: 0.871, 0.874
Against the backdrop of the news, the price may test the order block in the 0.865 zone. A false breakdown and consolidation of the price above 0.867 will confirm the bulls' intentions, allowing the price to move towards the specified target.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Darvas Box Breakout or Breakdown – $NLRThe VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) is consolidating in a Darvas Box range between $107–122 while holding its broader rising channel. This zone is key for the next directional move:
A breakout above $122 would confirm bullish momentum, with upside potential toward the channel’s upper boundary around $135–145.
A breakdown below $107 would invalidate the current uptrend structure, exposing downside toward the next major support around $98–100.
Trade Plan:
Bullish Entry: Daily close above $122
Target: $135–145
Stop Loss: Below $118
Bearish Breakdown: Close below $107
Target: $98–100
Stop Loss: Above $112
This setup provides clear breakout and breakdown scenarios, making AMEX:NLR a key ETF to watch for trend continuation or reversal.
EURGBP: Bullish Movement Confirmed 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I think that EURGBP has finally completed a correctional
movement in a strong uptrend.
A bullish violation of a resistance line of a falling channel
after a test of a key support provides a strong confirmation.
I expect a move up at least to 0.8688
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Strong base + steady trend = Buy City Union BankCity Union Bank (CUB) – 4H Chart Analysis
Polarity Zone: Stock holding well near 185–190 levels.
Pattern: Moving inside a short-term falling channel.
Support: Strong boundary support near 190.
Outlook: If this support zone sustains, we may see higher prices ahead in CUB.
Thank you.
AUDNZD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇦🇺🇳🇿
There is a high probability that AUDNZD will rise from the underlined support.
A bullish violation of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly
time frame provides a reliable confirmation.
Goal - 1.1133
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY: Bullish Accumulation is Over 🇨🇭🇯🇵
It looks like CHFJPY finally completed a bullish accumulation
within a horizontal range on a daily.
Its resistance breakout and a formation of a new local higher
high higher close is an important event.
I believe that the market will grow more and reach 185.4 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD → Consolidation in the ATH zone. Risk zone...FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high of around $3,550 as investors worldwide rushed to safe-haven assets. As prices rise, the risk of profit-taking increases, especially with news coming up...
The key driver is the crisis in the bond market: long-term government bond yields are rising sharply in the UK and Japan. This is boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. We should also not forget about expectations of Fed easing: weak employment data could increase bets on a rate cut in September.
However, strong US employment data (starting with JOLTS today) could support the USD and limit gold's growth.
Correction: Record levels could trigger profit-taking, especially given that the price has come a long way since the last pullback, rising nearly 6% (7 days of growth).
Key factor: US labor market data (JOLTS today, NFP on Friday). Weak figures will strengthen gold, strong ones may cause a correction.
Resistance levels: 3546, 3550, 3575
Support levels: 3526, 3508, 3500
Technically, a retest of resistance at 3342-2246 could lead to a breakout and further growth. However, since the price has stopped updating its highs locally, I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of support at 3529-3526 before further growth. However, a weak reaction to support could lead to the formation of a pre-breakdown base, and a breakdown of support could trigger a decline to 3500.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPNZD → Retest 2.276 before resuming the bullish trend FX:GBPNZD is testing a key support level as part of a correction after breaking through consolidation resistance. The trend is bullish, and liquidity capture could resume the upward movement.
GBPNZD is testing a strong support level within the uptrend during the correction phase. Against the backdrop of the long-term decline of the NZD, the currency pair has every chance of continuing to grow.
On the daily timeframe, we have a fairly strong upward structure, with the previously broken consolidation resistance and the 0.5f area playing a key role. This tandem hides a liquidity area that could become a driver for the market. A false breakdown of 2.276 could trigger a resumption of growth.
Support levels: 2.276, 2.2682
Resistance levels: 2.2983, 2.3215
The bullish trend may support the main trend. The current correction is a healthy movement within an uptrend that may continue after a pullback and consolidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold - End of year retracement incoming?Gold Analysis (XAUUSD)
The overall picture for gold remains bullish, with the market sustaining an extended uptrend. Recently, price took out the previous all-time high from April 2025, only to print a long wick and retrace back toward the upper channel trendline.
I currently have an alert set around 3470, where I’ll closely watch how price reacts if it retests the upper channel boundary.
That said, I’m keeping an open mind on both sides:
Bullish case: The broader trend is intact, and if we see signs of strength such as a bullish Turtle Soup setup, I’ll look for long opportunities.
Bearish case: A potential channel blow-off top may be developing, which could open the door for short setups—but only if price action confirms weakness.
Gold has produced several false downside breakouts lately, so I’ll remain cautious and let price action dictate my bias.
Bitcoin will continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The dominant market structure for Bitcoin remains bearish, with the price action being clearly contained within a well-defined downward channel since the major rejection from the 116800 Resistance Level. This structure has been guiding the asset lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rebounds, confirming that sellers are in control of the trend. The most significant recent development was the breakdown below the key horizontal support around the 109000 level. Currently, after this breakdown, the price of BTC is in a corrective phase, rallying back to retest this broken structure from below, which now acts as the current resistance level. This 109000 - 109800 resistance zone is a critical inflection point. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the failure of this retest. A confirmed rejection from this former support area would validate the continuation of the bearish momentum and signal that the next impulsive downward fall is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this trend continuation play is logically placed at 104000 points. This target represents a new lower low within the channel and is the next major area of structural interest for the price. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 30💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after activating our alarm zone, Bitcoin moved toward the top of the channel and then got rejected from this area. There is a resistance in the 1-hour timeframe at the price of $110,450, and by breaking this level Bitcoin can move upward.
⚙️ We have 2 key RSI zones at 38 and 64, and if the fluctuation limit passes these numbers, Bitcoin can experience either a corrective move or the continuation of the bullish leg.
🕯 The size of the green candles has grown and their volume has increased. This happened with the end of August and the beginning of September. With increased buying volume and positive news results in favor of crypto, Bitcoin can make another move upward. News has a very direct impact on our inflows and outflows.
📊 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D , we can see that it is moving inside a box with a top at 4.56% and a bottom at 4.47%. By breaking out from either side of the box, it can bring strong trading volume. Notice that Tether dominance is currently pulling back to the midline of the box. By breaking the midline and stabilizing above this area, Bitcoin may face more selling pressure. By getting rejected from this area and losing the bottom, our long position trigger for Bitcoin can be activated.
🔔 The alarm zones specified for Bitcoin are at $110,450 and $107,800. By observing behavior in these areas we can trade. Personally, with the breakout of $110,450 along with a 15-minute indecision candle, I will try to take a position. Note that Bitcoin can make a pullback to its midline box and then bounce upward. If the midline is lost, this scenario will be invalid.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .






















