Parallel Channel
GOLD → Correction before growth and breakthrough of 3900...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new high of 3895. The dollar is recovering from its decline, and gold may form a correction. As prices rise, economic risks associated with NFP and the US government shutdown are increasing
The suspension of NFP publication deprives the Fed and markets of a key benchmark for the labor market, increasing demand for defensive assets. The probability of a rate cut in October is estimated at 100%. Mixed JOLTS data (weak hiring) and fiscal risks are weighing on the USD, which in turn supports gold.
Thus, the shutdown creates ideal conditions for gold to rise — uncertainty about Fed policy, a weaker dollar, and a flight to safety. Breaking through the $3900 level seems a likely scenario.
Resistance levels: 3900, 3925
Support levels: 3871, 3854, 3831
A correction is forming after a small rally in the European session. Before continuing its growth, the market is entering a correction/consolidation phase. I have indicated the key support levels on the chart. If the bulls manage to keep the price above these zones, then we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDCAD → A false breakthrough will trigger a decline FX:NZDCAD is forming a countertrend correction with the aim of retesting key resistance and the liquidity zone amid a global downtrend.
A reaction to the support zone is forming. The price is recovering, but within the global downtrend. The countertrend movement may end in the resistance zone of 0.811 - 0.8125
The global trend is downward, but we are seeing a rebound within the retest of the channel support. There is a fairly large pool of liquidity ahead, which is capable of stopping the price from rising at a high speed. A false breakout of 0.811 - 0.8125 could trigger a decline.
Resistance levels: 0.811 - 0.8125
Support levels: 0.8056, 0.8030
A false breakout, consolidation below the specified zone, and a price close below the level could trigger a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold (Rose ) and SPX ( Jack ) relationship. 1/Oct/25XAUUSD ( Rose ) and SPX ( Jack ) since dunno when they are in closed relationship on "Titanic Ship".. But.. That "shxx" is obviously tilting heavily into 1 side.untill early/mid Oct at 7000 and 4000 nautical And when.Jack and Rose probably have to perform "you jump I jump"..But after that they will "ride" different "ships"..Where one still on sinking ship , the other is riding into "Titanic" sky ship"...
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next?
The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed.
New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14).
Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended).
Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement...
Support levels: 3791, 3783
Resistance levels: 3831, 3847
A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Correction before the breakout of 114.5KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after the end of the correction, is forming a 3.5% rally and testing the important milestone of 114,600. It was not possible to break through the level without consolidation and at such a high speed. How long will the correction last?
Bitcoin is testing mirror resistance and, after a strong rally, was unable to continue its growth. The reason for the halt is a huge liquidity pool above 114,600. A pullback is forming. Earlier, the price ended a 3-week correction by breaking through the downward resistance. We can assume a change in sentiment towards the buyer...
Technically, the price is changing the nature of the market to bullish after the formation of a reversal structure accompanied by a bullish run. The 2-week high has been updated.
Resistance levels: 113850, 114620, 115900
Support levels: 113100, 112300, 111800
As part of the correction, the price may test the 113K - 112500 zone before returning to growth. If the market holds the price above 112K - 113K, it will confirm the bullish sentiment, and the positive fundamental background will support further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDCAD: Important Breakout Confirmed 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD completed a correctional movement within a bullish flag pattern.
A confirmed violation of its resistance line with a daily candle close above that
suggests a highly probable bullish continuation.
The next strong resistance is 0.925.
It will be the next goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Johnson & Johnson Wave Analysis – 30 September 2025
- Johnson & Johnson broke key resistance level 180.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 190.00
Johnson & Johnson recently broke sharply above the key resistance level 180.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 3 at the end of August).
The breakout of the resistance level 180.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April.
Given the predominant daily uptrend, Johnson & Johnson can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 190.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5.
Aberdeen Group Wave Analysis – 30 September 2025
- Aberdeen Group broke daily down channel
- Likely to rise to resistance level 200.00
Aberdeen Group continues to rise after breaking the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from August (which enclosed the previous medium-term ABC correction (2)).
The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of September.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Aberdeen Group can be expected to rise further to the next round resistance level 200.00, the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 205.00.
Exxon Wave Analysis – 30 September 2025- Exxon reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 110.00
Exxon recently reversed from the resistance area between the strong resistance level 116.60 (former monthly high from June), upper daily Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the (C)-wave of the previous long-term ABC correction 2 from April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 116.60, Exxon can be expected to fall to the next support level 110.00.
NZDUSD → Rebound from support. Focus on 0.5800FX:NZDUSD is undergoing a correction amid a rebound in the US dollar, testing trend support and forming a reversal pattern. The fall in the dollar may support price growth.
The dollar is correcting, which gives the forex market a chance. After retesting the support of the downtrend, the New Zealand dollar is forming a rebound. A reversal pattern and a breakout of resistance at 0.58 will return the price to the trading range, confirming a false breakdown of support and potentially triggering growth.
The global trend is neutral, and locally we have the boundaries of a downward channel. However, a false breakout of trend support could shift the angle of imbalance towards the buyer, allowing the price to rise.
Resistance levels: 0.580
Support levels: 0.5771, 0.575
A breakout of resistance at 0.58 and a close above this level would be a strong signal of readiness for growth. However, before that, the price may test support at 0.5771 (break-even zone).
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Will the bulls be able to maintain the bullish trend?FX:GBPUSD slows down in the 1.334 zone amid a sharp decline. The market is testing trend support against the backdrop of a bullish run in the DXY due to confusing data from Powell...
The dollar continues its countertrend correction and is approaching resistance as part of the rally. A fall in the DXY will resume the growth of currency pairs.
The pound sterling is currently testing trend support and the trading range. The focus is on the 1.334 - 1.337 zone. If the bulls keep the price above this range, it will confirm the false breakdown and may trigger growth within the bullish trend.
Powell has confused the market with his statements and further policy. We have been observing the market's reaction over the past few days...
Support levels: 1.334, 1.3315
Resistance levels: 1.337, 1.346
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 1.3315, but a return of the price to the range and consolidation of the price above the 1.334-1.337 zone will confirm the false breakdown and may give buyers hope that this, in turn, could lead to a recovery.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Consolidation amid a downtrend. What next?FX:NZDJPY is ending its correction and returning to the downward trend. The price is consolidating for a possible continuation of the downward movement...
The price breaks the support of the upward channel (countertrend correction). The movement occurs in a “step” format, which generally indicates weak demand. Clear consolidation boundaries are forming on the chart. The global trend is downward, and the local trend has also resumed its downward movement. Focus on two zones: 86.5 - 86.96. Within the framework of trading strategies, a false breakout of resistance or a breakout of support can be considered with the aim of continuing the decline.
Resistance levels: 86.96, 87.16
Support levels: 86.5
As part of consolidation, MM may form a liquidity trap on the resistance side, and a false breakout may trigger a further decline. However, if the bears increase pressure, the formation of a pre-breakdown base relative to the 86.5 support may trigger a breakout and a continuation of the downward movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD | RBA Holds but Strikes Hawkish Tone – 0.68 in Sight?
Macro Hook: The RBA kept rates steady but signaled concern over sticky inflation and a resilient jobs market, adding a hawkish tilt despite ongoing economic uncertainty.
Technical Lens: AUDUSD has been firm into the decision, with markets now reassessing downside easing bets. Near-term resilience keeps focus on higher levels, with 0.68 eyed as the key medium-term zone.
Scenarios:
If incoming inflation/jobs data stay firm → AUDUSD may extend toward 0.68.
If softer prints revive easing bets → pullbacks likely as market reprices cuts.
Catalysts: Watch upcoming Australian CPI and labor market data, plus Fed tone on USD side.
Takeaway: 0.68 remains the key decision point for AUDUSD in Q4.
Gold can Bounce From Channel Support and Continue HigherHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price action reversed its prior downward channel, a move that established the current, well-defined upward channel. This structure has been methodically guiding the price of XAUUSD higher through a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming that buyers are in control of the dominant trend. Currently, after recently testing the channel's upper resistance line, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pull-back is guiding the price towards a critical confluence of support, where the ascending support line of the channel meets the horizontal support zone around the 3625 current support level. In my mind, this correction is an opportunity to join the uptrend. I expect that the price will find support on the channel's lower boundary and initiate a new upward rebound. I think this move will carry the price to a new high within the channel. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 3930 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAU/USD - Bearish MomentumGold gave us a clean 3-Touch reversal pattern followed by a clean 1H retrace candle.
Expecting:
A lower time frame correction to confirm continuation.
Targeting 90% if price breaks impulsively to the downside.
Let price do the work, wait for the correction before entering short.
NIFTY 50 – Holding Lower Channel, Eyeing Continuation Above 26kNIFTY is respecting the lower boundary of its long-term upward channel near 24.5–24.6k. This zone remains the key support for the secular uptrend.
Support: 24,000–24,200 must hold to preserve structure.
Trigger: A sustained break above 26,000 would mark continuation of the bull leg, with targets at 28,500–29,000.
Risk: Losing 24k opens room for a deeper slide toward the 21,800 channel base.
Macro Context: Domestic earnings growth remains constructive, but global liquidity, crude oil, and US yields will dictate the timing of the next leg.
Verdict: NIFTY is at the lower channel inflection, not the top. As long as 24k holds, the setup remains bullish, with 26k as the breakout trigger for continuation.
For educational purposes only. This is not investment advice.
Will BTC come out of the downward channel?• In the chart you can see how we are close to the upper limit of the downward channel. This is a key signal - if the breaking persists, it may mean a change in the trend.
• We have several support levels from below (marked with red lines):
• 112,238 USD
• USD 108,981
• USD 107,040
• From the top you can see resistance (green lines):
• 115,266 USD (local resistance - the course is just approaching)
• 117 395 USD
• 119 404 USD
⸻
🔹 Medium walking (SMA/EMA)
• You can see EMA Cross 50/200 (yellow label) - a classic signal "Golden Cross" / "Death Cross". It seems that the average is raised recently, which the market often interprets as a signal of a potential change of trend.
• SMA #1 and #2 (red and green lines) - the course tries to stay above the average, which is positive.
• SMA #5 (blue line below) shows long -term support ~ 107k USD.
⸻
🔹 MacD (below)
• The histogram shows reversal - red posts decrease, and the lines (blue and orange) are approaching each other → possible buy signal.
• If the signal line is intersected up, this will be confirmed by the growth moment.
⸻
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• RSI is currently around 40-50 →, i.e. a neutral level (neither purchase nor selling).
• It slightly reflects from below, which suggests that there may still be space for further growth before we enter the purchase zone (> 70).
⸻
📌 Summary
• Short -term (1-7 days): it looks like BTC is trying to stand out from the downward trend. If it pierces 115,266 USD and persists above, subsequent goals are 117 395 USD and 119 404 USD.
• Medium -term (weeks): support levels 112K - 108K are key. A decrease below 107k would negate a bull scenario.
• Technical signals: MacD and RSI give the first signs of reflection. The course balances on the border of breaking the trend.
👉 It looks at the beginning of a potential growth movement, but it will be crucial whether BTC will stay above 115K.
Stacking logarithmic (log) channels - Secret tool in crypto Ep 3Stacking Logarithmic Channels - Bitcoin's Hidden Fractal Structure | Signal & Structure Episode 3
In this third episode of Signal and Structure, we explore a powerful but little-known technique: stacking logarithmic channels to identify critical support and resistance levels in exponentially growing assets like Bitcoin.
Core Technique Revealed:
The Logarithmic Channel Stacking Method
Start with a base channel on log scale (demonstrated from November 2011)
Copy and stack identical channels above/below the original
The midline of one channel becomes the boundary of adjacent channels
Creates a fractal structure that respects Bitcoin's exponential growth pattern
Key Principles:
Always use logarithmic scale for crypto channels
Midlines are as important as channel boundaries
Multiple touches validate channel placement
Channels maintain proportional relationships when stacked
Practical Demonstrations:
Historical Validation Points
November 2013: Top of first channel ($1,200)
December 2017: Top of second stacked channel ($19,000)
November 2021: Bottom of third stacked channel ($69,000)
March 2023: Bottom of fourth stacked channel ($15,500)
Current Market Analysis:
Bitcoin dancing around the midline of the current channel
Lower boundary support around $90-92K (aligning with CME gap)
Technical ceiling projections discussed with appropriate caveats
Channel Construction Details:
Monthly channels: Black, thickness 4, 30% opacity
Weekly channels: Maroon/brown, thickness 3
Always include midlines for additional confluence
Adjust opacity to prevent chart clutter
Advanced Insights:
Why log scale channels reveal patterns invisible on linear scale
How to validate channels using midline touches
The relationship between channel midlines and new channel boundaries
Dealing with ambiguous channel placement (multiple valid options)
Time-Saving Tips:
Use TradingView's copy/paste to maintain exact channel angles
Set consistent color coding for different timeframes
Keep channels semi-transparent for better visibility
This technique works because logarithmic scale represents percentage moves consistently - a 100% move always appears the same height regardless of price level. This creates natural harmonic levels that price tends to respect over long timeframes.
While specific price projections should be taken as possibilities rather than certainties, the method itself provides a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's price structure across its entire history. The convergence of these channel levels with other technical factors (like CME gaps) adds additional weight to these zones.
Remember: Channels are guides, not guarantees. Use them for context and confluence, not as standalone trading signals.
Silver Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025
- Silver broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 48.00
Silver recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 45.00 (previous upward target set for Silver) and the resistance trendlines of the 2 up channels from August and April.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from July.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 48.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).






















