Pivot Points
GBPAUD: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD leaves another bullish clue this morning,
after the release of the UK Retail Sales data.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle
and violated a resistance line of a falling wedge.
Goal remains intact - 1.982
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CRV is now in a bearish structure (4H)CRV has lost a key mid-term trendline and is currently trading below this important dynamic support. Earlier, it also formed a bearish CH (change of character) and established bearish market structure, confirming that sellers are in control.
For a short entry, we must avoid FOMO and wait for a pullback to a strong supply zone before taking any position.
This is not a rush situation; the market often retraces to the supply areas before continuing its bearish momentum.
✅ Entry Strategy (DCA)
We have two entry zones, and we should enter the short position using DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) to reduce risk and improve the average entry price.
🎯 Targets & Risk Management
Targets are clearly marked on the chart.
At the first target, it is recommended to take partial profit and then move the stop loss to break-even.
If you are risk-averse, exiting at the first target is a valid option.
⚠️ Invalidating Condition
If a daily candle closes above the invalidation level, this bearish analysis will be invalidated, and the trade setup will no longer be valid.
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Gold (XAUUSD) — No Edge Yet | Why Breakouts ≠ OpportunityPrice continues to push higher in a strong uptrend, which naturally looks like a breakout scenario.
However, the Edge Filter remains in “NO EDGE — STAND ASIDE” for a reason.
This system does not trade momentum alone.
It waits for decision boundaries — areas where risk becomes asymmetric and invalidation is clear.
At current levels:
Price is extended
No nearby support or resistance defines risk
Upside may continue, but downside is undefined
In other words, movement exists — edge does not.
Breakouts without structure often feel compelling but offer poor risk control.
The Edge Filter waits for price to either:
Pull back into support (long bias), or
Compress under resistance (breakout setup), or
Fail back into structure (short bias)
Until then, standing aside is the professional trade.
Edge isn’t about movement — it’s about location.
XAUUSD | Short-Term Correction From ATH SupplyGold recently printed a new all-time high at 4,888 and is now trading around 4,880.
After the impulsive rally, price is showing loss of momentum and hesitation below a strong supply zone, increasing the probability of a short-term corrective move.
Technical Structure Price is consolidating below the ATH supply (4,881–4,893), forming lower highs on intraday timeframes.
This behavior typically signals distribution before a pullback, especially after an extended bullish leg.
Key Levels :
Major Resistance / Supply: 4,881 – 4,893
Bearish Invalidation: 4,925 (Acceptance above shifts bias bullish)
Support 1 (Reaction Zone): 4,763
Support 2 (Structural Demand): 4,695
Trade Bias Short-term bearish below 4,925, targeting a healthy correction.
Overall market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes.
Execution Idea
Sell Zone: 4,867 – 4,880
Stop Loss: 4,925
TP1: 4,763
TP2: 4,695
This setup represents a correction within a bullish trend, not a trend reversal.
Market observation only — not financial advice.
👍 Like & follow for more high-probability Gold breakdowns.
XAUUSD Bullish Bias | Breakout Retest | Targets Toward $4,900+📅 21–22 January 2026
📈 Bias: Bullish (With Caution)
Gold remains in a high-volatility expansion phase after printing fresh all-time highs near $4,900. While the macro trend is strongly bullish, price is currently engaged in a tactical battle at record levels, making precision entries critical.
15M Technical Breakdown (Break & Retest Continuation)
🔹 Trendline Break
Price has decisively broken above descending trendline resistance, confirming bullish continuation intent.
🔹 Support / Retest Zone (Buy-the-Dip Area)
$4,799 – $4,804
Previous resistance is now acting as fresh demand, currently being tested.
🔻 Invalidation Level
$4,780.64 (15M close below)
A break below this level invalidates the bullish setup and opens downside toward $4,715.
Upside Targets
🎯 TP1: $4,850.47 (Minor Resistance)
🎯 TP2: $4,888.27 (Previous All-Time High)
🚀 Break above $4,900 → $5,000 psychological magnet
Key Market Levels:
Level Type Price
● Major Resistance $4,888 – $4,900 ATH ceiling
● Intraday Pivot $4,815 Bulls must hold above
● Key Support $4,783 – $4,795 Strong demand zone
● Deep Support $4,715 Full correction level
Market Context
Gold’s explosive move is fueled by geopolitical risk premium (Greenland tariff tensions) and safe-haven demand. However, momentum indicators on higher timeframes remain overbought, signaling that pullbacks are healthy, not bearish.
Trading Sentiment
Primary Bias : Bullish
⚠️ Execution Strategy : Buy dips into support — do not chase highs
🧠 Smart money waits for confirmation near demand zones
📌 This is not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
Short Trade Setup – PAYTMTimeframe: 125-minute chart
Trade Type: Short
Rationale:
Price has rejected the confluence zone of EMA 21 and EMA 50, which aligns with a higher time frame supply zone. The recent bearish candle and breakdown below equilibrium suggest weakening momentum. A dotted projection indicates potential continuation toward the higher time frame demand zone near ₹1,180.00.
Risk-Reward: Approx. 2.5:1
EURUSD — Near Highs at Resistance | Short Bias (Edge Filter)Price is trading near highs into descending resistance.
Edge Filter flags short bias — context favors rejection, not continuation.
Chart Context
Market structure has transitioned from impulse → compression under resistance
Lower highs forming against a clearly defined descending trendline
Momentum is present, but edge is no longer on continuation
This is not a breakout setup. This is a location-based fade.
Edge Filter Read
NEAR HIGHS — SHORT BIAS
Price is at resistance where upside expansion historically stalls.
This label does not mean “short now.”
It means: risk/reward favors patience or short-side confirmation.
Execution Notes
Ideal shorts require rejection / failure signal at resistance
No trade in mid-range
Invalidation is a clean acceptance above resistance
Risk Disclaimer
This is a contextual trade idea, not a signal.
Always manage risk and wait for your own execution trigger.
Indicator Used
Quant Labs — Edge Filter (Community Edition)
Open-source framework focused on location, compression, and bias, not predictions.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 22, 2026 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 22, 2026 – Thursday 🔴
The 25,430 Wall: Bulls Stumble After 185-Point Gap Up!
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty delivered a session of extreme “exhaustion gap” dynamics. The day started with a massive 185-point Gap Up above the PDH, initially finding support at the breakout zone to test the 25,430 resistance.
However, this level acted as a formidable supply wall, triggering a violent rejection. Nifty plummeted 258 points from its day high, breaching the IBL, PDH, and PDC to test the 25,180 support zone.
After marking the day low, the index spent most of the session consolidating in a wide 100-point range. A desperate last-minute surge allowed Nifty to close at 25,289.90 (+0.53%). While the net change is positive, the red-bodied daily candle signals that bulls were unable to hold the premium opening, leaving the market in a state of high-tension indecision.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The opening gap-up was a classic “bull trap” for those chasing momentum. The failure to sustain above 25,430 led to a cascading sell-off that wiped out the entire gap and then some.
The 258-point drop was high-velocity, but the successful defense of the 25,180 base (PDC area) provided a platform for the late-session recovery.
The last 15 minutes were crucial, with bulls attempting to reclaim the PDH.
We are now entering a hyper-sensitive phase with a long weekend (Sat-Mon) and the Monthly Expiry on Tuesday.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,344.15
High: 25,435.75
Low: 25,168.50
Close: 25,289.90
Change: +132.40 (+0.53%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish-bodied candle with long wicks (Net Bullish day).
Range: ≈ 267 points — High intraday volatility and expansion.
Body: ≈ 54 points — Red body indicates the close was lower than the gap-up open.
Upper Wick: ≈ 146 points — Severe rejection from the 25,430 resistance zone.
Lower Wick: ≈ 121 points — Strong buyer defense near the 25,168 lows.
📚 Interpretation
Technically, this is a high-wave candle within a recovery trend. It confirms that sellers are still active at higher altitudes (25,430), while buyers are bottom-fishing near the 25,170 zone. The close above the open of previous sessions keeps the “revival” hope alive, but the lack of follow-through from the gap-up suggests bulls need more firepower to clear the supply.
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Recovery Candle with High-Volatility Wicks — Demand is present at lower levels, but overhead supply is capping the upside for now.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 248.93
IB Range: 133.30 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:28 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.9) (IBL Breakout)
12:08 Long Trade: Trailing SL Hit (Mean Reversion)
Trade Summary: The system correctly identified the shift in momentum after the 25,430 rejection. The IBL breakout provided a clean high-velocity move to the downside. The subsequent long trade attempted to capture the V-shape recovery but was caught in the afternoon consolidation, exiting on a trailing stop.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25380
25430 (Major Ceiling)
25480 ~ 25495
25550
Support Zones:
25270
25180 ~ 25145
25060 (Last Resort)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The Monthly Expiry fuse is lit.”
We are at a crossroads.
Optimistic View:
If Nifty opens between the current close and 25,430, a breach of the day high could trigger a massive short-covering rally toward 25,520+. The setup is screaming for a breakout if bulls can find the strength.
Pessimistic View:
If we fail to sustain above 25,430 again, expect a choppy “inside bar” session with the 25,060 level as the final line of defense.
Given the long weekend and upcoming expiry, Friday will be a battlefield of volatility. Stay disciplined and watch the IB formation.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Gold BuyWe got the reaction off Asia exhaustion and the sell was valid.
Yesterday price ended bullish again, after creating a new ATH. We then had a retracement, presenting us with a HL, which indicates we can potentially see a continuation.
A nice deep retracement to Asia lows / exhaustion, with a reaction and 15 min candl flip, would be the signal to buy, however if price remains above the equilibrium, we can buy should price action indicate bullish intent.
GBPAUD: Strong Bullish Imbalance 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD looks oversold after a recent bearish wave.
I see a strong intraday buying imbalance on an hourly time frame
after a trap below a key horizontal support level.
The market may continue to recover and reach the 1.982 level soon.
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Gold SellGold price created an exhasution zone in London, which we are looking to capitalise on with a sell. We already had a reaction in London to that zone, creating a LH, followed by a break in structure and a new low created on the 15min TF.
Waiting for price to reject and then give us a 15min candle flip to sell to the lows.
Target RR will be a 1:4.
If price hower breaks out above that zone, will consider buys to the ATH.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 4890 - 4906 area
Resistance 2: 4946 - 4955 area
Resistance 3: 4994 - 5008 area
Support 1: 4629 - 4644 area
Support 2: 4537 - 4550 area
Support 3: 4495 - 4501 area
Support 4: 4342 - 4450 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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ICP Bullish Structure | Smart DCA Entries at Key Support ZonesThe overall market structure of ICP is clearly bullish, with buyers actively stepping in at key support zones. This behavior shows strong demand, and it would be wise for us to align ourselves with the dominant trend by placing our buy orders within these support areas, allowing us to enter positions in the direction of the prevailing flow.
We are seeing consecutive bullish CH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure), which are strong confirmations of a potential continuation to the upside. The bullish impulse waves are powerful and impulsive, while the corrective moves are weak, shallow, and composed of small candles, indicating that sellers lack strength and that momentum remains in favor of the bulls.
There are two planned entry zones, and the position should be built using a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach to manage risk and improve the average entry price. This strategy allows flexibility in case of short-term pullbacks while maintaining exposure to the bullish trend.
All targets are clearly marked on the chart, based on structure, liquidity zones, and higher-timeframe levels.
⚠️ Risk Management:
This bullish scenario will be invalidated if a daily candle closes below the invalidation level. Such a move would indicate a breakdown in structure and require reassessment of the setup.
As always, proper risk management is essential, and traders should manage position size according to their own strategy.
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XAUUSD at a Critical Pivot — $4,758 Decides the Next Major Move🔥 Market Context (January 22, 2026)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently sitting exactly at the $4,758 pivot, a level that represents the structural floor of the January parabolic rally.
The upcoming 4-hour candle close is one of the most important of the week, as it will decide whether Gold continues its historic bullish expansion — or enters a sharp corrective phase.
This is a classic Pivot Battle between momentum buyers and yield-driven sellers.
🧠 Technical Context — “Moment of Truth”
Price is compressed between $4,758 support and $4,813 resistance, signaling indecision before expansion.
🔵 Why $4,758 Matters
Previous breakout retest zone
Structural demand from the January rally
Psychological midpoint of the current impulse leg
Last level protecting the parabolic bullish structure
A 4H close will confirm direction — not wicks.
🌍 Fundamental Catalyst (Live Drivers)
🟢 Bullish Pressure — “Greenland Premium”
President Trump’s renewed Greenland acquisition stance
10% tariff threats against 8 NATO allies
Escalating geopolitical uncertainty → Safe-haven demand
This is the core reason Gold is trading near all-time highs.
🔴 Bearish Pressure — “Rate Reality”
US 10Y Treasury yield at ~4.29%
Higher yields reduce Gold’s appeal to institutional carry traders
This yield pressure is actively pulling price back to the $4,758 pivot
➡️ Result: A tug-of-war between geopolitics and yields.
📊 Key Levels to Watch (IMPORTANT)
$4,888 → All-Time High / Bullish
Expansion Target
$4,813 → Immediate Resistance
$4,758 → Critical Pivot / Structural Support
$4,745 → Invalidation for aggressive longs
$4,584 → First major downside target (corrective leg)
🎯 Trading Scenarios & Execution Plan
🟢 Scenario 1: Bullish Defense (Support Holds)
Condition: Price holds above $4,758 on a 4H close
Bias: Buy the Dip / Continuation Play
Entry Zone: $4,760 – $4,780
Stop Loss: $4,745
Target: $4,888
Extension (Momentum): Psychological $5,000
Logic:
Bulls successfully defend structure while geopolitical risk remains elevated.
🔴 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Support Fails)
Condition: Clean 4H close below $4,758
Bias: Corrective Sell
Entry: On 4H close confirmation
Stop Loss: $4,820
Target: $4,584
Logic:
Break of structure triggers retail stops and confirms rejection from the upper distribution block.
📌 Pro Tip (High Probability Confirmation)
📉 Watch the US Dollar Index (DXY)
A sustained move above 104.50 will likely be the catalyst that breaks $4,758
Weak DXY = fuel for Gold continuation
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Caution:
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
⚠️ This is NOT financial advice.
Trade at your own risk, manage position size, and always protect capital.
#CADCHF: Three Target Swing Buy For 2026! Dear Traders
Overview On #CADCHF👨💻📈
🔺CADCHF has recently accumulated and we believe the price is likely to enter a distribution phase. This phase will likely act as a swing target and is expected to hit all three of our targets.
🔺We’re still waiting for enough volume in the market to confirm our prediction.
Entry Zone, Exit Zone, Take Profit! 📊
🔺Enter the market when it’s fully formed with sufficient volume and momentum. Use a small stop-loss of 100 pips and set three standard take-profit targets.
🔺When trading the forex market, always use strict risk management.
Team SetupsFX_
⚠️ Disclaimer: Like, comment and follow for more trading setups. Get ready for 2026!
Breakout Retest With Upside PotentialNMR is shaping up as a high‑risk, high‑reward opportunity. After the strong impulse to $0.225, price has retraced nearly 80% back into the breakout zone. This reinforces why risk management matters and why chasing vertical moves is never the play.
The week ending 21 December printed a clean weekly hammer right above key support. There’s no guarantee the pullback is finished (there never is), but the demand that stepped in is notable. Price also swept the monthly FVG on solid volume, a move that likely flushed late longs and trapped fresh shorts on the breakdown. It is also worth noting that we will be getting new yearly pivots in the new year, therefore need to treat the current pivots as weaker support/demand since it's near the end.
Trade Scenario (Aggressive)
Entry:
• Current levels are valid since price has already broken above the weekly hammer high.
Stop‑loss:
• Just below the hammer low.
Take‑profit:
• Just under the 50% range level, which aligns with a small LVN, a logical area for first reaction. Further targets can be trailed with subsequent higher lows
Trade Scenario (Conservative)
• Look for a rally from here, followed by a pullback and breakout that forms a new higher low.
• Depending on how strong the initial push is, the same targets from Scenario 1 can be used.
• his approach trades a bit of profit for clearer confirmation and a more structured trend shift.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday 🔴
25K Revival: Nifty’s Epic 380-Point V-Shape Recovery!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty delivered a session of extreme theater, starting with an 80-point Gap Down at the 25145 support. After a failed 5-minute attempt to reclaim 25270, the index collapsed, slicing through the PDL and the 25060 support.
Panic intensified as the psychological 25,000 mark was breached, leading to a deep low of 24,919.80. However, the bottom band of the daily channel acted as a trampoline, triggering a spectacular 380-point V-shaped recovery back to the day’s highs.
The 25270 level proved to be a stubborn ceiling once more, pushing the index back down by 180 points.
Nifty eventually closed at 25,157.50, essentially flat relative to the open, but having survived a near-catastrophic breakdown.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a masterclass in volatility. The morning breakdown below 25,060 was a high-conviction bearish move that targeted the 24970 zone.
Once the “final flush” hit 24920, the vacuum created by exhausted sellers allowed for an aggressive short-covering rally.
This 380-point bounce was one of the sharpest in recent history, though the secondary rejection at 25270 confirms that supply remains heavy on every significant rise.
The market is now in a state of high-tension equilibrium at the channel’s edge.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,141.00
High: 25,300.95
Low: 24,919.80
Close: 25,157.50
Change: −75.00 (−0.30%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Long-Legged Doji.
Range: ≈ 381 points — Extreme intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 17 points — Negligible real body, signaling total indecision.
Upper Wick: ≈ 143 points — Massive rejection from the 25,300 supply zone.
Lower Wick: ≈ 221 points — Aggressive, institutional-grade defense of the channel bottom.
📚 Interpretation
A Long-Legged Doji forming at the bottom band of a channel is a textbook reversal signal. It indicates that while bears had the power to break 25,000, they lacked the conviction to stay there.
However, the equal power of the rejection from the top suggests that the bulls are not out of the woods yet. This structure marks a transition from a trending environment to a high-volatility “battle zone.”
🕯 Candle Type
High-Volatility Indecision (Long-Legged Doji) — Indicates a potential pivot point; validation of today’s low is the only thing keeping the current channel structure alive.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 245.67
IB Range: 147.60 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:22 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:4.1) (IBL Breakout)
Trade Summary: The strategy successfully identified the morning’s bearish imbalance. The IBL breakout provided a high-probability entry that captured the slide through the 25,000 psychological level, yielding a massive 1:4.1 R:R before the V-shaped recovery commenced.
Personal Note: The system also alerted for a reversal long trade, but I avoided it due to fear and a technically far Stop-Loss (SL).
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25180
25270 ~ 25300 (Crucial)
25380
25430
Support Zones:
25060
25009 ~ 24970
24920 (Line in the Sand)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The channel bottom has been tested—and it held.”
Today was a survival test for the bulls. The Long-Legged Doji at these levels suggests that a bottom might be in, but turning bullish won’t be easy.
For the upcoming session, if Nifty respects the 24,920 low, the channel remains valid. However, if that low is breached, the structure is discarded, and we enter a new bearish phase. Expect extreme choppiness as both sides fight for control over the next directional move.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
$MSTR counter trend bounce?NASDAQ:MSTR has finally broken out of it's bottoming structure and looks set for a counter trend rally.
If we can break above $200, then there's little resistance above.
I think the highest probability is that we see $263-272 before the bounce is over so that we fill the gaps left from the move down.
There's one gap at $205 and another at $258.
I think if btc can rally into $103k-112k, that MSTR will sharply follow to the upper resistance levels.
I do not think we'll break the upper blue trend line. Then I think we'll see continuation to the downside to one of the two lower $100 range targets.
Let's see how it plays out.
$SPY the final leg higher, then 20%+ correctionI know there are a lot of people calling for a crash right here, and while I do think we end up getting one, I think there's one last move higher above $700 first.
I think we need to squeeze out the shorts and convince everyone the next leg is starting before we see a move down.
I do think after we hit and reject one of the upper resistances, that it will set up a great short opportunity.
The trigger for the short will be UVIX to hit it's lower support levels combined with SPY hitting it's upper resistances.
Don't know what will cause the move, but I think it'll likely happen even faster than the April move.
So be prepared to exit as we approach the highs or set tight stop losses.






















