Pivot Points
$IREN More downside after huge rally!NASDAQ:IREN is printing bearish divergence on the daily RSI at all tie high resistance.
An Elliot wave motif wave appears complete and wave looks underway with a shallow target of the daily pivot, 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and ascending daily 200EMA.
The daily red wick after printing a 20% start to the day is reminiscent of a blow off top in this asset trapping newbs with FOMO price discovery pump. Market behaviour in action!
Analysis is invalidated if price returns to all time high.
Safe trading
$FET local ending Diagonal and wave 2 near completion?NYSE:FET was rejected for the 4th time at the daily 200EMA! Each time the probability of a breakout increases.
I have adjusted the High Volume Nodes for accuracy.
Locally Fetch appears to have completed a motif wave up with an ending diagonal for wave 5. Wave 2 is expected to find support at the daily pivot and .618 Fibonacci retracement before attempting a breakout of the daily 200EMA once more.
A move below wave II will invalidate this analysis.
Safe trading
$BTDR Closed above resistance!NASDAQ:BTDR Bitdeer closed above major resistance yesterday, despite BTC and alt coins having a bearish day, triggering our long signal in the Weekly Trade signals substack.
I am looking for price to start to accelerate in wave 3 and resistance now support to hold. If BTC reverses it will add additional tailwinds with a target of the major resistance above the R5 daily pivot $24
Safe trading
$AAVE Daily Hidden Bullish divergence?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE and alts begin their retracement Wednesday but is this a long term top or just local? Im betting we have a higher to go this summer..
Hidden daily bullish divergence is printing on RSI at the daily pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement which should all act as strong support provided BTC doesn't dump.
The 'alt-coin golden pocket' Fibonacci retracement 0.786 sits at the descending daily 200EMA and High Volume Node support offering a secondary target for reversal and continued upside.
Losing this and closing below would flip me bearish until a new bullish signal emerges.
Safe trading.
Gold Exhibiting Weak Bearish Momentum – Is a Rebound Imminent?Gold Exhibiting Weak Bearish Momentum – Is a Rebound Imminent?
The 30-minute chart reveals gold prices in a mild downtrend, but the sluggish decline hints at weakening bearish pressure. This could set the stage for a temporary price recovery before any further downward movement.
Critical Insights:
- Fading Bearish Strength: The downtrend persists, but its slowing pace suggests seller exhaustion.
- Key Support Zone: With prices hovering near a major support area, a bullish reversal becomes plausible.
- Upside Potential: A resurgence in buying momentum may propel gold toward 3,394.60, a significant resistance level.
Market Dynamics:
1. Possible Short-Term Reversal: Shallow bearish trends near support often precede upward corrections.
2. Bullish Opportunity: A breakout past nearby resistance could fuel a rally toward 3,394.60, creating a swing trade setup.
3. Downside Risk: If support fails, the bearish trend may extend, though weak selling pressure limits immediate declines.
Strategic Approach:
- Entry Consideration: Long positions near current support levels could capitalize on a rebound.
- Risk Management: A drop below support would negate the bullish outlook, warranting a stop loss.
- Confirmation Signals: Bullish candlestick formations or increasing volume would strengthen reversal prospects.
Concluding Thoughts:
Gold’s tepid bearish momentum near a crucial support level raises the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Traders should watch for confirmation—if the recovery gains traction, 3,394.60 may come into play. Conversely, a support breakdown could renew downward pressure.
GOLD IN A WEAK BEARISH MOVE IN 30M TIME FRAME CHARTGold in a Weak Bearish Move – Temporary Rebound Ahead?
Gold prices are currently displaying a weak bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, suggesting that the downtrend may be losing steam. Despite the downward movement, the sluggish pace indicates that sellers lack strong conviction, which could lead to a short-term price recovery before any further decline.
Key Observations:
- Weak Bearish Trend: The price is falling, but with decreasing momentum, often a sign of exhaustion among sellers.
- Critical Support Level: Gold is trading near a major support zone, where buying interest could emerge, triggering a bounce.
- Potential Rebound Target: If buyers step in, the price could rise toward 3,394.60, a key resistance level.
Market Implications:
1. Short-Term Reversal Likely: Weak bearish moves often precede temporary rallies, especially near strong support levels.
2. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above immediate resistance could push gold toward 3,394.60, offering a swing trading opportunity.
3. Bearish Continuation Risk: If support breaks, the downtrend may resume, but the current lack of strong selling pressure reduces immediate downside risks.
Trading Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity: Traders might consider long positions near support, targeting 3,394.60.
- Stop Loss: A break below the current support level would invalidate the rebound setup.
- Confirmation Needed: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or rising volume to confirm the reversal.
Final Thoughts:
While gold remains in a short-term bearish phase, the weak downside momentum and proximity to support suggest a possible pullback. Traders should monitor price action closely—if the rebound holds, 3,394.60 could be the next target. However, a failure to hold support may extend the decline.
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Trade with proper risk management.*
NASDAQ100| - Bullish Bias RemainsPrice didn’t give me the deep candle retrace into my 30M OB — just a wick tap — but that was enough. That wick shows me smart money touched in.
Dropped to the LTF and got my shift in structure confirming bullish intent.
Now I’m locked in, watching for price to sweep a 5M sell-side liquidity pocket into a clean LTF order block for the next entry.
🎯 Target: Short-term 5M highs
🚀 Bias: Still bullish unless structure breaks
This is a patience game now — execution only after confirmation.
USDJPY| - Bullish Setup Loading30M price action remains heavy to the upside. Structure is intact — no lows invalidated. Currently sitting on a refined 30M order block, I’m patiently watching for price to dip back into the zone and sweep short-term liquidity (SSL).
Once that sweep happens and we pull back into the OB, I’ll be looking to ride the bullish momentum:
🎯 First target: 5M highs
🚀 Final target: 30M highs
Feeling confident — just waiting on smart money to confirm it’s time.
XAUUSD| Smart Money Confirmations LoadingBias: Bullish
HTF Overview: Price has just tapped into the 30-minute order flow zone after clearing out sell-side liquidity. This area aligns cleanly with bullish intent and prior structure.
LTF Focus: Currently waiting for lower timeframe confirmation — ideally a clear CHoCH or internal flip. Once smart money confirms this zone with a shift, I’ll look to enter and ride the momentum.
Target: Initial focus is on the 5-minute highs as a short-term objective. While price could continue toward 30-minute highs, structure suggests the recent 5M high is a more immediate and realistic target, making it a smarter move to secure profit around that level.
Mindset Note: Not in a rush — letting price speak first. The confirmation is what separates a guess from a smart move.
SOL — Bullish Retest in Motion: Time to Strike?SOL has finally broken through the $180 barrier decisively — a key zone it failed to clear back in May.
Now we’re seeing a retest, which may offer one final dip before continuation. Let’s break down the next high-conviction long opportunity.
🧩 Key Retest Zone: $182–$180
➡️ Retesting Prior Resistance as Support
SOL broke above $180 with conviction and is now pulling back.
➡️ First Reaction at $184
A clean bounce occurred at the anchored VWAP, but this might not be the final low.
➡️ Strong Confluence at $180–$182 Zone
This zone is packed with support elements:
Weekly Open (wOpen): $181.44
nPOC: $180.85
Anchored VWAP: ~$179.90
0.5 Fib retracement (of the larger wave)
0.786 Fib retracement (of the smaller wave)
0.618 Fib Speed Fan — projected for tomorrow’s price path
1H 200 & 233 SMAs supporting from below
SOL is currently trading at yOpen — another key pivot level to watch
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Laddered between $182–$180 (ideal long entry would be at wOpen)
Stop-loss: Invalidation at $173.35
Target (TP): TBFE 1.0: $218.45 / 0.618 Fib retracement: $219.21
R:R: ~1:4.5
Potential Move: ~+20%
🛠 Indicator Used: DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones
For this analysis, I’m using my own published indicator called "DriftLine – Pivot Open Zones " feel free to check it out on my profile.
It helps identify and visualise critical opens (daily, weekly, previous days), providing real-time support/resistance zones.
➡️ You can use it for free — just check my profile under “Scripts” and add it to your chart.
💡 Pro Tip: Support Zones Are Stronger with Confluence
Don’t rely on a single fib or level. When opens, VWAPs, SMAs, and fibs cluster, the probability of a strong reaction increases.
This is how smart traders define clear entries and invalidation.
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Nifty Analysis EOD – July 23, 2025 – Wednesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 23, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
“Confidence climbs the ladder – bulls push past key levels.”
Nifty opened with a Gap Up of 78 points and initially retraced 54 points, finding solid footing around the CPR Zone. Once reclaimed VWAP, the index climbed in a methodical, low-volatility uptrend, breaking one resistance after another: CDH, R1, 25150, PDH, and the key zone 25200~25212 — finally touching the anticipated resistance at 25333, and closing just below that at 25219.90, close to the day’s high.
📌 Flashback from Yesterday's Note:
“If this is truly a retracement, 25K must hold in upcoming sessions, and bulls will need to reclaim 25,200 to regain their grip.”
👉 This expectation played out to perfection today — gradual yet confident bullish strength led Nifty to reclaim 25200 and close above it.
🔍 Today’s close of 25220 is higher than the last 7 sessions, suggesting a bullish shift in structure. However, bulls now face the real test — breaching the 25300 ~ 25350 resistance zone.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,139.35
High: 25,233.50
Low: 25,085.50
Close: 25,219.90
Change: +159.00 (+0.63%)
Candle structure analysis:
Real body: Green body = 80.55 pts → strong bullish body
Upper wick: 13.60 pts → very small
Lower wick: 53.85 pts → moderate
Candle Interpretation:
The session opened stable, dipped to 25,085, but strong buyers showed up, helping price climb throughout the day and close near high. A firm green candle, signaling buyers in control.
Candle Type:
A Bullish Marubozu–like candle, not perfectly clean but represents strong continuation momentum.
Key Insight:
Close above 25200 confirms a bullish grip
If price holds above 25220–25250, next push could be towards 25280–25330
Immediate support now moves to 25,120–25,140
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 181.35
IB Range: 64.35 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trades Triggered:
⏱️ 10:45 AM – Long Entry → Trailing SL Hit (1:2.65 RR)
🔁 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,233
25,260
25,295 ~ 25,315
25,340 ~ 25,322 (Gap Zone)
Support Zones:
25,168
25,125
25,080 ~ 25,060
25,037
🧠 Final Thoughts
“Momentum is not magic—it’s built one level at a time.”
Bulls showed strength with control and consistency today. With 25200 reclaimed, they now hold the ball — next challenge lies at the gates of 25300–25350. Will they break through or pause for breath? Tomorrow holds the answer.
✏️ Disclaimer:
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
$NQ Supply and Demand Zones 7/23/25www.tradingview.com
This SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ chart is posted for my YouTube community.
The 1HR S/R level is holding price down well for now and we have tapped into the 4HR supply 2x so far. We have built up support that can use as potential bounce levels if* respected, but price needs to reclaim the S/R level and show higher lows. If not, a continuous close at lower lows with rejecting support at demand can show price dropping to 22830-23000 zones. The 4HR demand below has also been tapped into multiple times, so it's only a matter of time before it can no longer hold up (it's pretty much invalidated at this point lol).
Natwest Group Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Natwest Group Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal Shift)) - *A+ | Completed Survey
* (2nd Entry Area)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 150.00 GBP
* Entry At 156.00 GBP
* Take Profit At 167.00 GBP
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
USNAS100 Eyes 23350 Ahead of Powell & Earnings StormUSNAS100
The price maintains bullish momentum, as outlined in the previous idea, with a clean rejection from the 23280 zone. Today, volatility is expected to increase ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech and a wave of key earnings reports.
As long as price holds above 23140, the outlook remains bullish toward 23230 and 23350.
A short-term correction toward 23045 is possible if we get a 1H close below 23140.
Resistance: 23230 · 23350 · 23510
Support: 23045 · 22920
Gold 4H - channel breakout, looking for 3518 nextGold has formed a clean ascending channel on the 4H chart, broke out above resistance, and is now pulling back into the 3385–3390 zone. This area aligns with volume clusters - a perfect entry zone for bulls waiting on the sidelines.
If price holds this zone and prints a reversal candle with volume, the upside target remains at 3518 - the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and historical resistance. Volume increased during the breakout move, confirming interest. RSI still has room to go higher, supporting the bullish continuation.
Fundamentally, gold remains a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tension, USD weakness, and potential Fed easing. Central bank accumulation further supports the bullish case.
Tactical setup:
— Entry zone: 3385–3390
— Trigger: candle confirmation + volume
— Target: 3518
— Invalidation: break below 3360 without buyer volume
If the plan plays out — gold might shine bright while bears squint in disbelief.