Key Levels for the Week 25-29/08/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍 Key Levels Overview for the Week🐍
__________________________
BreakoutUpZone🐂3421🐂
3415
3407
3398
3390
3381
3372
🏛3371-3394🏛
3377
3382
3388
BreakoutDownZone🐻3357🐻
3376
3366
3362
__________________________
Upper Support-Resistance🔀
3409
3429
3442
3469
3480
3492
3503
3513
3524
3535
3545
Mids∷∷∷
3377
3393
3402
3410
3419
3427
3435
3453
3483
Lower Support-Resistance🔀
3270
3318
3328
3339
3350
3361
3371
3384
3401
3420
3452
Pivot Points
Adobe double bottomAdobe appears to have put in a double bottom. Double or triple bottoms are usually near macro lows. Adobe has solid fundamentals with strong earnings and books. They maintain revenue growth, and are trading at a forward PE of 16 which is laughable. If the company buys back a decent amount of shares they will easily have over 30 EPS in 2030, leading to over a 700$ stock price if the multiple is around 25. The average PE for this stock is in the 50s.
Technically, we note a potentially double bottom, a rise here, with a momentum shift in the stochastic RSI. Volume has been on a slow and steady rise. BBWP is in the middle of the range.
The setup:
Shares, or calls at least 4 months out, seem reasonable here. I have about 40k cash freed up from last week's pump and am debating entering this setup as a lot of the market seems overvalued.
H20 RETAILING CORP. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# H20 RETAILING CORP.
- Double Formation
* (Active Position)) - *Retry - *Neutral Entry - *25EMA | Subdivision 1
* Medium Range | No Size Up | Completed Survey
* 95bars, 2890d | Date Range Method - *(Neutral Argument))
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Monthly Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 17.00 EUR
* Entry At 14.00 EUR
* Take Profit At 9.00 EUR
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 23.08.25Greetings, we did briefly break the 112k level which was followed by a bounce yesterday.
We assume the move down from the ATH was only the Wave A of a bigger correction displayed as yellow ABC. The resistance area of the B Wave lies between the 0.382 FIB at 116397 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 123000 USD.
The bounce from around 111600 USD is counted as Wave A or 1 and now we are working on the Wave B or 2. The support area lies between the 0.382 FIB at 115084 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 112263 USD. If this is a Wave 2 we preferably stay above the 0.786 FIB at 112817 USD. If it is a Wave B it could go bit lower. We also have some further support right below the last low at around 111500 to 110500 but we deem it more likely to see a bounce earlier. Remember that we have a bigger support area below that goes down to around 103k.
In both cases as deem a retracement into the support area and a move up in either the Wave 3 or C as most probable. At the moment we can't determine which count it is but after the next move up we would want to see a Wave 4 and 5 in the impulsive count or alternatively the break of this Wave 4 support area would shift probabilities even more towards the yellow ABC which we already think is more likely.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Canadian Imperial Bank | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Canadian Imperial Bank
- Double Formation
* (Short Cut Attitude)) - *Long Entry - *100EMA | Subdivision 1
* (Range Allocation)) | No Size Up | Completed Survey
* 165bars, 5020d | Date Range Method - *(Uptrend Argument))
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Monthly Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 52.00 USD
* Entry At 65.00 USD
* Take Profit At 85.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
$ETHBTC top in for the year?ETHBTC looks to be topping here. I think we either see this resistance as a top or potentially a final move to the one directly above it, but I think this move is largely it for the year.
From here, we should see a move back down to the lower support levels to retest that region. Once that region has been retested I think the real bull run in ETH begins.
However, until then, it's hard to be bullish at resistance.
EURUSD - 21/8/25Based on the recent swing down which failed to create a new low. Price then rallied up with big bullish momentum.
the move origin supply zone is highlighted in red, which i would like price to get to. Due to the imbalance below and the demand zone below- this is my target for a bearish move. this aligns with the strength i am seeing in the dollar - which may be short term.
+ve:
1. fail to create a new low - suggesting price will reach to take out imbalances above
2. imbalance below and demand zone below
3. trade idea in current short term market direction.
4. near equal high liquidity zone with tiny imbalance above.
-ve:
1. if this trade fails, then bias will shift bullish
EURUSD - 15/8/25 - sell limitAfter a few days of taking a break from trade ideas.
EURUSD is inching upwards but due to the break of structure BoS shown in the chart, and the dollar showing strength- reversal.
I have placed a sell limit on the 4 hours chart to ride the price down potentially.
+ve:
1. huge imbalance below drawing in price.
2. BoS to the bearish side
3. DXY confirmation of strength suggesting EUR weakness
-ve:
1. its a friday that i am placing this sell limit and fridays are very erratic days for trading.
2. i have not seen a confirmation yet for a reversal
$SOL Ready for Price Discovery?CRYPTOCAP:SOL wave 3 of (5) appears to be underway but has to get through the major resistance High Volume Node at $216 and previous high first for an impulsive move.
Weekly pivot point was tested successfully as support and RSI has plenty of room to continue upwards.
Analysis is invalidated below $130.
Safe trading
$RIOT Making Moves!NASDAQ:RIOT found support at the areas mentioned last week, the weekly pivot and 200EMA.
Wave (ii) ended at the golden pocket and High Volume node support.
Retesting the descending channel resistance upper boundary again will be the 5th test and a very high probability breakout. This would bring up the first target resistance of the wave (I) swing high and High Volume Node $20.5 followed by $40.
Weekly RSI did hit overbought but this can take months to pay play out and there is no divergence!
Analysis is invalidated below $6.33.
Safe trading
USDJPY: The Market Will Recover 🇺🇸🇯🇵
There is a high chance that USDJPY will grow on Monday,
following a formation of a huge Fair Value Gap FVG
after a Powell speech on Friday.
A trap that is followed by a bullish imbalance indicate
a highly probably bullish movement at least to 147.25 resistance.
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$HUT Clear for take off?NASDAQ:HUT bounced strongly off the weekly pivot retest above the major resistance High Volume Node flipped support.
Path is clear for the weekly R1 pivot target resistance at $33 and a poke above the previous swing high.
Long term cyclical targets remain at the R3 weekly pivot at $61. Weekly RSI is in an uptrend but not yet overbought while weekly RSI is pointing upwards.
Analysis is invalidated below $10.7
Safe trading
SMC Trading Basics. Liquidity Zones & How to Identify Them
In the today's article, I will teach you the concept of liquidity zones and how to identify them properly, trading Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
Simply put, a liquidity zone is a certain area on a price chart where a significant concentration of trading volumes occurred.
Huge trading volumes signify the presence of big players: hedge funds, banks, etc...
Correct identification of liquidity zones is essential for smart money trading, because such zones provide the safest and the most profitable trading opportunities.
There are 3 common characteristics of a valid liquidity zone:
1. Huge volume spikes upon its test
Take a look at the underlined blue area on USDCAD.
We see sharp volume spikes when the market was testing that area.
2. Strong rejections from such an area with a formation of long wicks
Look how the price reacts to the liquidity zone on USDJPY.
We see multiple strong rejections from that.
3. Long consolidation within that zone
Bitcoin was "standing" on a liquidity zone for more than 3 weeks, barely moving while trading volumes were quietly accumulating.
4. Multiple strong bullish or bearish reactions to that area
Just look how many times the underlined area was respected by the buyers and by the sellers. That is a perfect example of a liquidity zone.
To underline a liquidity zone properly, follow these simple rules:
1. If the price is ABOVE the liquidity zone, its lower boundary
will be the lowest wick within that area and its upper boundary will be the lowest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a demand area.
Here is the example of drawing a liquidity zone on GBPUSD.
The lower boundary of the zone is the lowest wick, while its upper boundary is the lowest candle close.
2. If the price is BELOW the liquidity zone, its upper boundary will be the highest wick within that area and its lower boundary will be the highest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a supply area.
Here is the liquidity zone that I identified on Gold following our rules.
Remember, that you can identify liquidity zones on any time frame. However, the rule is that the higher is the time frame, the stronger is the liquidity zone.
I prefer to analyze the liquidity zones on a daily time frame.
Once you underlined liquidity zones, you should realize that within these areas, big players are expected to place their orders in the future.
For that reason, after the tests of such areas, a strong bullish or bearish movements will be expected.
Here is a huge liquidity zone that I spotted on GBPJPY.
Look at a strong bearish movement that initiated after its test.
Your task as a smart money trader will be to identify bullish or bearish confirmations and understand the intentions of big players. With experience, you will learn to recognize valid signals.
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$HBAR Macro Chart - Ready for wave 5 of (1) of 3 up?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR appears to be printing a wave 4 triangle above the weekly pivot point. This implies the next move would be a terminal wave (5) of 1 of (3) likely completing with a poke above all time high to trap FOMO novice investor / traders. Classic Elliot Wave.
Wave 2 of (3) has a high probability of ending at the wave 4 triangle base which is the weekly pivot and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement adding confluence. This fib level support would indicating continued trend strength.
If it is a wave 1 of (3) is completing then we can expect the long term target to overextend the weekly R5 pivot point of $1.16, possibly reaching $3.
Weekly RSI remains at the EQ so plenty of room to grow.
Analysis is invalidated below the weekly pivot.
Safe trading
$CLSK Looks like XRP at $0.4 before the move to $3NASDAQ:CLSK is hated right now as much as XRP was when it ranged between $0.4-$0.8 for 4 years before it when ballistic.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP printed a huge macro triangle similar to what I have identified here for CLSK which looks complete at the triangle EQ, where wave E is expected to terminate! This finds confluence with the High Volume Node and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Quadruple resistance lies ahead of the weekly 200EMA, major High Volume Node, weekly pivot point and descending resistance boundary, tested multiple times weakening the point. This built up pressure could provide an explosive move to price discovery.
I have left my alternative motif wave count on their as a secondary count (1-2) with similar targets.
RSI is at the channel EQ so plenty of upside left.
Analysis is invalidated below $6.05.
Safe trading
$BTDR Pressure Building?NASDAQ:BTDR still appears to be in a wave 2 triangle building pressure for a significant wave 3 up into price discovery.
Wave (II) found support a the golden pocket, shallower than the other miners! Price has tested the upper boundary of the triangle and High Volume Node multiple times at $15 and only once at the bottom threshold hinting at a breakout upwards. Each test makes the boundary weaker.
The weekly pivot point at $17 is the first area of resistance to watch followed by the all time high at $25
Analysis is invalidated below $6.44. RSI is only at the EQ so has room to grow.
Safe trading
$AAVE Set for all time high?AAVE tested the weekly pivot as support and after a secondary pullback to the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, sky rocketed alongside BTC and crypto yesterday to a new local high.
Wave III looks truly underway with this kind of price action and the target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $1155. High Volume Node resistance at $460 and $670 are the next targets.
Weekly RSI has plenty of room to grow to get to overbought.
Analysis is invalidated below $111 so plenty of room to breathe!
Safe trading
BTC/USD 1H Key Levels to WatchResistance Zones:
$119,082 - Major resistance, watch for rejection
$117,857 - Secondary resistance level
$116,940 - Intermediate resistance
Support:
$114,000 - Critical support zone
Current Setup:
Price action around these levels will determine next directional move. Clean break above $119k could signal continuation higher, while failure to hold $114k support may lead to further downside.
Trade Plan:
Watch for volume confirmation on any breakout attempts
Look for rejection/bounce signals at key levels
Manage risk accordingly
Not financial advice. DYOR.
ETH - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis - 22.08.25Greetings ^^
We did get our rally from the support area that we had on the chart.
We assume that high of the 14th of August formed the top of the white Wave 3 and that we are currently in a correction displayed as yellow ABC which would form the white Wave 4.
The support area of this Wave 4 is between the 0.236 FIB at 4059 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 3370 USD. The Wave A is in and today's rally is the B Wave which we thermalized in yesterdays analysis and did expect it to be strong. We assume this ABC is an expanding flat which means the B Wave overshoots which it did. It touched the 1.05 FIB at 4833 USD which is a common target but it also is right below the ATH. Further targets for the B Wave would be the 1.236 FIB at 4985 USD and the 1.382 FIB at 5105 USD.
Next we would look for a Wave C to the downside.
The targets for this C Wave are the 0.618 FIB at 4375 USD the 1 to 1 FIB at 4106 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 3947 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 3853 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 3705 USD. A lot of targets, the most common is the 0.618 and the 1.618 FIB. The 1.618 FIB would also be in confluence with the 0.382 FIB of the Wave 4 support area which is the optimal target for a Wave 4.
Alternatively you can count the recent low as blue Wave 4 instead yellow A Wave and the move up today could potentially be the blue Wave 5 which would than finished white Wave 3. We do think the count mentioned above is more likely as the yellow A touched the 0.236 FIB of the white Wave 4 support area which is a common target for an A Wave and additionally the structure of today's rally look more corrective on the smaller timeframes. Overall it does not make a big difference for the moment except that in the blue Wave 5 we could go a bit higher compared to the overshooting B Wave.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
SPY Daily Chart: Uptrend Intact, Key Supports in Focus
SPY Daily Chart: Uptrend Intact, Key Supports in Focus
Established Uptrend with Strong Trend Line Support: SPY continues to display a clear upward trend on the daily timeframe, with price consistently finding support along the depicted trend line. The recent pullback in mid-August saw price effectively test and bounce off this crucial trend line, reaffirming its strength.
640 as Immediate and Confluent Support: The 640 level has proven to be an immediate support zone, coinciding with the recent touch of the upward trend line. The market has shown a decisive bounce from this confluence of support, suggesting current bullish momentum for the short term.
Key Level 620-625 as Deeper Support: Should the immediate 640 support and the upward trend line fail to hold, the next significant 'Key Level' to monitor is the 620 to 625 range. This area has previously acted as a strong demand zone and would represent a more substantial correction within the prevailing uptrend.
Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech signaling potential rate cuts amid labor market slowdown and inflation risks, fueled a surge in growth and tech stocks, reinforcing today’s rally.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 22, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 22, 2025 – Friday 🔴
Bears finally break the wall — wiping out 4 sessions’ gains
🗞 Nifty Summary
Yesterday, we noted:
“Though the close is higher by +33 points vs the previous day, it left behind a red daily candle (close < open). This indicates fading bullish momentum, even though HH-HL structure is still intact. The range was narrow (≈98 points), categorising the day as range-bound, not sideways. The previous weekly expiry was also narrow yet sideways.”
That caution proved valid today. Right from the opening candle, Nifty broke the PDL + S1 zone, invalidating the HH-HL structure and giving bears a clean entry. The past two sessions’ range contraction added fuel to the breakdown, resulting in a 225-point fall.
The attempted defense at 24,995, 24,955, 24,920, and 24,890 provided only temporary halts, but the downside momentum was too strong. The day ended at 24,869.45, erasing gains of the last 4 sessions.
On the weekly chart, the index now resembles a bearish pin bar / inverted hammer, a sign of exhaustion at the top.
📌 For Monday:
If Nifty fails to hold 24,850–24,820, then 24,745 and 24,650 come into play.
Bulls must reclaim and close above 24,955 to hold their fort.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📌 Intraday Walk
Opened at 25,064.15 with mild optimism.
First 1-min candle → broke PDL + S1 decisively → bears in control.
Gradual fall → temporary fights at 24,995 → 24,955 → 24,920 → 24,890, but all failed.
Closing print at 24,870.10, almost at the day’s low.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,064.15
High: 25,084.85
Low: 24,859.15
Close: 24,870.10
Change: −213.65 (−0.85%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Strong red candle (Close < Open)
Body: 194.05 points
Upper wick: 20.70 points
Lower wick: 10.95 points
Full-body bearish bar → strong downside momentum
📚 Interpretation
Sellers seized control after three days of stalling at 25,150–25,180.
Break below 25,000 confirms supply dominance.
Closing near day’s low = no recovery attempt → decisive distribution.
🕯️Candle Type
Bearish Marubozu-style → clear trend shift to sellers.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 198.19
IB Range: 134.25 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlight:
9:20 → Short Trigger → Target Achieved (R:R = 1:2).
🕵️Range & Bias
Support zone: 24,850–24,820
Resistance zone: 25,000–25,080
Bias: Bearish momentum → “Sell on rise” until 25k is reclaimed.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🎚️ Resistance Zones
24,920
24,955
24,995 ~ 25,005
25,080 ~ 25,090
🎚️ Support Zones
24,850 ~ 24,820
24,770
24,745
24,695 ~ 24,675
💡 Final Thoughts
The market has shifted gears from cautious bullish to outright bearish, with 25,000 now acting as a supply zone. Unless bulls reclaim lost ground above 24,955–25,000, the slide toward 24,745–24,650 seems inevitable.
“Markets climb the stairs but take the elevator down — today, the elevator arrived.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis — not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
ETH New Analysis (4H)After the weekly trigger line was broken and a key supply was cleared, most of the major market participants have been accumulating Ethereum. Considering the momentum and power of the previous bullish trend, we expect nearby supports to hold well and a large distribution phase to form.
In this phase, in order to fill the orders of big players and create a strong bullish outlook before a major correction, the price is expected to revisit the previous bullish wave or even hunt Ethereum’s all-time high.
As long as the green zone holds, we anticipate a price pump for Ethereum in the coming days.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You






















