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Prediction

Using Order Blocks to Predict Price Movement on HTFExpanding on my previous post, we can apply this technique to predict price movement on the higher time frames (8 Hour in this case). Step 1 - Drawing the Boxes - Fundamentally what we want to do, is look at the price movement and figure out where clusters of stop loss would be contained. - To do this, we want to look for the areas of upwards (in this example) consolidation that hasn’t dropped down to trigger the orders. - I have drawn boxes here close to the candle set, and extended them out past where price currently is to prove that these areas have not been reclaimed or had the stop loss orders triggered. PLEASE NOTE: Stop Loss orders and Liquidation Orders are very unique. Unlike limit orders that will automatically fill if price is above or below, these orders do not fill unless price CROSSES the exact price of the order. In essence, it’s important to understand that looking back on the chart we can understand there are limit orders for sells (in this example) that’s below the current price. If a limit sell order was to be placed at a lower price, it would fill automatically if price is above. - We can anticipate a take profit (locally in this example) at 74,000. SHORT entry should be where the orders begin to set off to a large degree, in this example, entry would be BELOW where price currently is, at 122,200. We want to make sure that the stop loss orders will be enough to carry the price through these blocks. Stop loss can be places above the local wick high (where the SHORT stop losses have already been filled) at 123,900. Step 2 - Predicting and Understanding Wick Speed - To predict how fast the movement will complete, we need only evaluate the amount of TIME allowed for positions to be placed (longs in this example). Very simply because the more time provided to traders in an upwards consolidation, the more positions and consequently stop losses and liquidations will be placed below the price. - More TIME = More Orders = Faster Wick Speed. To understand this another way, imagine there was 2 scenarios where regular limit buys were placed. Scenario 1 has 100 people placing buy orders, Scenario 2 has 10,000 people placing buy orders. Scenario 2 would move price higher at a faster speed, and to a greater distance. In other words we are predicting VOLUME of STOP LOSS ORDERS. PLEASE NOTE: Stop Loss orders move price at a greater volume compared to the position entry. If Trader A uses $1,000 to open a Long, and uses a leverage of 10x - his Stop Loss or Liquidation order is to close the entire leveraged position size. While he is injecting $1,000 of liquidity into the market with his order, he is consequently leaving a sell order underneath his entry for $10,000 (leveraged position size). PLEASE NOTE: The placement and amounts contained in stop losses or liquidations are not available to the public. Exchanges do not need to disclose that information, and you can assume it’s only shared with the market makers or liquidity providers. Heatmap Platforms such as Coinglass have disclaimers that state it’s not based on true date and is only a prediction. SUMMARY: I hope this serves you with a practical demonstration of how we can use Stop Loss analysis to predict price movement. I also hope that you can understand you’re able to do this yourself by developing the vision to quickly see it in the chart. We are blessed in that we simply need to look backwards to see where we will be going next, as the orders that move Bitcoin are previously embedded in the chart. Yours truly and all the best, - DD If you have any questions or want further clarifications - please ask in the comments and I will answer you.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DickDandy
5
AMAT 1W: Retesting the Neckline Before the Next Move?On the weekly chart, Applied Materials (AMAT) has completed a clean inverted head and shoulders breakout around $226, and is now pulling back to retest the neckline zone near $200–211. This area acts as strong support. If buyers defend it, the bullish pattern stays valid, with a projected target around $277, matching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. From a fundamental perspective, AMAT remains a key semiconductor player, benefiting from ongoing demand for chip-making equipment. The pullback looks more like a healthy pause than weakness - a classic chance for latecomers to re-enter. Funny enough, the “head and shoulders” pattern, known for signaling tops, is doing the exact opposite here - apparently, even the market likes a good plot twist.
NASDAQ:AMATLong
by TotoshkaTrades
DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal. Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in. If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63. But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport. Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
TVC:DXYLong
by TotoshkaTrades
USOIL On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 60.68 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 62.13 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1