Is this the top? SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-20I know it has been a while since I shared a video.
This video is designed to share the downside risks I see as a potential for the markets IF this big speculative phase unwinds like I think.
Ultimately, you guys are the ones who will be making the trading decisions. I just want you to be aware that the markets are extremely volatile right now and the data is pointing to a very clean Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern.
As you are all aware, the EPP pattern suggests that a breakdown in price is likely where price may attempt to target the FLAG LOW.
If that happens, be prepared for a -15% to -20% breakdown in price before the end of 2025 - possibly seeing an even bigger price collapse.
In my opinion, this breakdown is the result of a broad unwinding of excesses related to the Biden economy (free money) and a move towards more reasonable US economic policies.
Overall, this pullback is necessary for the Wave 1 of Wave 5 structure to complete. Once this pullback is complete, the bigger rally phase (Wave 3 of Wave 5) will begin. And get ready for a big rally phase with Wave 3.
So, I hope this video helps you learn how to identify and plan for some of the biggest price swings in the SPY/QQQ, and prepare for even bigger moves in Gold/Silver and Bitcoin.
Get some.
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QQQ
BITCOIN BOTTOMING NOW ABC WAVE 4low The chart posted is that of bitcoin .Last week I stated atop can be counted once again .Now I see the high as wave 5 of 3 of 5 .This would mean that the last up leg is just ahead target 130 k plus or minus 2k this should end the bull run from 15,800 and much more serious decline is coming into OCT PANIC .Best of trades WAVETIMER
DAX/GER30 SHORT/LONG sequence Swing Trade +500/+500 points 🔸Hello traders, let’s review the 2hour chart for GER30/DAX. Strong recovery from recent lows, however price testing key resistance and support zones where major reactions are expected.
🔸Speculative setup defined by resistance at 24,500 and key S/R demand zone at 24,000. Both zones have recently been validated with +500 point reactions.
🔸Currently both resistance and support levels are respected and price action remains technical around these areas.
🔸Recommended strategy for DAX traders:
Short Sell at Market from resistance 24,500
SL above resistance, TP 24,200 / 24,100 / 24,000.
Buy & Hold Long from key S/R 24,000
SL below support, TP 24,300 / 24,400 / 24,500.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures, Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
New Bear Market? Heavy Tech SelloffToday the markets were shattered by weakness in mega cap tech.
All major leading companies in the QQQ were severely down.
We saw the majority of the S&P 500 sectors green with health care leading the charge.
Despite all indices closing negative this was not a full fledge market sell.
Commodities were hit across the board. Gold, Nat gas, Oil, Uranium, Silver were all down.
It seems the market is de risking into J Powell Jackson Hole meeting on Thursday / Friday.
Today we closed out NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:PLTR short & trimmed AMEX:MSOS puts for over 105%
We were very active on the option and swing trading side of the market.
QQQ $580 Call Alert: Moderate Bullish Setup – Trade Smart!
# 🚀 QQQ Weekly Options Alert – \$580 Call (Aug 19, 2025) 💎🔥
### **Market Snapshot**
📊 **Daily RSI:** 63.8 ⬇️ (cooling momentum)
📈 **Weekly RSI:** 71.0 ⬆️ (bullish trend)
📉 **Volume:** Weak (0.8–1.1x prior week) 🚨
⚖️ **Options Flow:** Neutral (1.00 C/P ratio)
✅ **Volatility:** Favorable (VIX 15.8)
💡 **Overall Bias:** Moderate Bullish, but cautious due to weak volume & mixed momentum
---
### **Model Highlights**
* **Agreement:**
* Weekly RSI trending bullish 📈
* Weak volume signals institutional caution 🚨
* Low VIX supports directional plays 💎
* **Disagreement:**
* Grok, DeepSeek, Claude: moderate bullish entry possible 💡
* Gemini, Llama: advise avoiding trades due to unclear signals ❌
---
### **💥 Trade Recommendation**
🎯 **Strategy:** Cautious Call
* 🏦 **Instrument:** QQQ
* 💵 **Strike:** \$580
* 🗓️ **Expiry:** Aug 19, 2025
* 💰 **Entry Price:** \$1.30
* 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$1.40
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.75
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* 📈 **Confidence:** 65%
⚠️ **Key Risks:**
* Weak institutional support 📉
* Potential consolidation ⚖️
* Market volatility ⛈️
---
### **Trade JSON**
```json
{
"instrument": "QQQ",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 580.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-19",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.40,
"stop_loss": 0.75,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.30,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-19 15:01:00 UTC-04:00"
}
```
📊 **Quick Trade Recap:**
🎯 CALL \$580 | 💵 \$1.30 → 🎯 \$1.40 | 🛑 \$0.75 | 📅 Aug 19 | 📈 65% Confidence
$NET Morning Star Reversal PatternI have been looking to take a position in NYSE:NET after earnings. I have waited for a pullback which has happened. On Wed, Thurs, and Fri of last week it formed a Morning Star Reversal pattern. So, I have put on a half size position pre-market. My risk reward is exceptionally good here as my stop can be just below the previous low or a close under the rising 50 DMA. I managed to get a fill at $200.00.
Citigroup has also raised the PT to $255.
If you like this idea, please make sure it fits your trading plan. Remember, it is your money at risk.
10 AI Stocks to BUY/HOLD with Key Catalysts for solid gains 202510 AI Stocks to BUY/HOLD with Key Catalysts for solid gains 2025–2026
________________________________________
1. NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)
• Catalyst: Expansion of AI infrastructure via new GPU generations (e.g., Blackwell), continued dominance in AI training/deployment. Regulatory/availability clarity in key markets like China could also drive demand.
• Highlights: Leader in AI GPUs; high analyst upgrades and raised targets; strong global demand from data centers and hyperscale AI deployments.
________________________________________
2. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)
• Catalyst: Deepening integration of AI across products and services (e.g., Office, Teams), OpenAI partnership further embedded in Azure services, AI product launches (Copilot, AI Studio).
• Highlights: Extensive cloud & enterprise reach; strong balance sheet; strategic positioning as AI infrastructure and application leader.
________________________________________
3. Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL)
• Catalyst: Rollout of key AI products (e.g., Gemini, Bard enhancements), continued monetization of AI in search & advertising, rising AI-related cloud license revenue.
• Highlights: Core AI research leader; growing earnings momentum; sustained institutional inflows and investor confidence tied to AI growth.
________________________________________
4. AMD (NASDAQ: AMD)
• Catalyst: Launch of AI-optimized server chips (e.g., MI400 series), integration of AI functionality in CPUs/GPUs, synergy from Xilinx and Silo AI acquisitions.
• Highlights: Aggressive roadmap in AI compute; acquisitions bringing AI IP and talent; gaining share in AI server ecosystem.
________________________________________
5. Palantir (NYSE: PLTR)
• Catalyst: Expansion of AI-driven government and commercial contracts, rollout of AI-enabled analytics platforms such as Palantir AI suite, new hyperscaler partnerships.
• Highlights: AI-analytics leader with strong public-sector footprint; pivoting toward cloud-based AI; high-margin recurring revenue potential.
________________________________________
6. Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU)
• Catalyst: Accelerated demand for AI-optimized memory and storage (e.g., HBM, SSDs); uptake of Micron's AI/space-qualified SSDs; expansions into AI data center deployments.
• Highlights: Strong sequential performance in earnings; double-digit growth in AI segments; positioned as non-GPU hardware beneficiary of AI boom.
________________________________________
7. TSMC (NYSE: TSM)
• Catalyst: Scaling advanced process nodes (e.g., N3E, N2) to support AI chips, capacity expansion initiatives, securing AI chip orders from Nvidia, AMD, and other fabless players.
• Highlights: Global leader in semiconductor foundry; high-barrier-to-entry business model; direct beneficiary of AI silicon ramp-up.
________________________________________
8. Oracle (NYSE: ORCL)
• Catalyst: Launch and adoption of Oracle Cloud AI capabilities (OCI AI, embedded ML), AI-driven Oracle Fusion applications, increasing AI-related capex by enterprise customers.
• Highlights: Strong enterprise penetration; AI-infused software suite; renewed investor interest from hedge funds targeting AI exposure.
________________________________________
9. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META)
• Catalyst: Continued investment in large-scale AI infrastructure (data centers), Llama 3 and generative AI models, new AI products in social, AR/VR, and enterprise.
• Highlights: Massive AI compute investments; pioneering open models like Llama; turning AI into a core product strategy beyond social media.
________________________________________
10. Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO)
• Catalyst: AI-related semiconductor solutions (e.g., networking, connectivity, acceleration) embedded in data center infrastructure, demand from AI workload networking.
• Highlights: Integral player in AI infrastructure as part of the “Fab 4”; diversified exposure across chips critical for AI workloads.
________________________________________
How to Monitor These Catalysts
• Product Launches & Roadmap Updates (e.g., NVDA GPU release events, AMD MI400 launch, META model updates)
• Earnings Calls / Financial Guidance revealing AI revenue — especially with MSFT, GOOGL, ORCL, MU, and AVGO
• Partnership or Contract Announcements — e.g., Palantir industry deals, Oracle enterprise AI deployments
• Capacity & Scaling News — e.g., TSMC fab expansion, Micron memory contracts, Meta data center buildouts
Stock Market Forecast | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFTQQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
Nvidia Stock NASDAQ:NVDA Forecast
Apple Stock AAPL Forecast
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
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Magnificent 7 stocks forecast
QQQ A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 577.22
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 570.06
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positionsNDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positions. (QLD, TQQQ)
While the market continues to break all-time highs, market participants remain cautious.
Some are even anticipating a pullback in September, and overall, expectations for a correction are widely present.
Interestingly, market participants often have a good instinct for major turning points.
The issue, however, is timing—they tend to act too early.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
TESLA BREAKOUT -- TARGET LEVELSHello Traders! Tesla recently broke out of its wedge pattern, with price currently consolidating just outside the breakout trendline.
Price should continue to the upside based on the technicals.
I have charted the target levels for Tesla for an upside move.
Thanks everyone!
Has QQQ topped? Levels to the downsideI think we've seen a top here with the reversal that happened today. My levels held on SPY and that makes me more convinced the Nasdaq will have the same fate.
The top looks much clearer on Nasdaq futures. We have a double top, should the highs of today hold.
If you were to run a trend line through price, you'd see that all we've done on this rally is backtested the trend line from the April lows and have found resistance.
I think the next move is likely a large move down towards the lower support levels. Potentially CPI tomorrow is the catalyst.
Let's see where we end up, but I think it'll be one of the lower support levels should the highs hold throughout the week.
QQQ: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of QQQ right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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QQQ Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 574.56 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 565.83
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positionsNDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positions. (QLD, TQQQ)
Despite the rebound, the market remains tilted toward hedging and caution.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
Watching July 31 High and August 1 Low - Key LevelsUS Inflation Next Week (CPI and PPI)
Will August re-test highs with momentum? Or test and fade?
MAGS back to highs.
AAPL has one of the best weeks since 2020's post covid crash recovery (WILD).
I still like long assets, but playing the game with discipline and patience.
Enjoy the weekend. Looking forward to the grind next week.
Thanks for watching!!!
-Chris
QQQ The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 553.86
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 562.88
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$AEO Can Sydney Sweeney Get This Moving?NYSE:AEO – I have made some quick cash on this stock. (I have no position right now)
I may take another trade on it again but, that AVWAP from the all-time high, only about 18 months ago, shows that there are a lot of shareholders underwater looking to get out (overhead supply). Sydney Sweeney is going to have to help them sell a lot of jeans quickly to make this a legit leading stock.
Right now it seems for this to get goin, it needs a ton of volume as a meme stock in the short term. Which may make it a good day or shorter term swing trade. All TBD.
I am intrigued by this one so I am keeping a close eye on it.
Thanks for looking.