LTC is in a clear downward trend📉 MARKET STRUCTURE
Main Trend: Down
Sequence: Lower High → Lower Low
Price is moving in a clear downward channel.
Any upward breakout = correction, not a trend change.
📐 KEY LEVELS
🟩 RESISTANCES (sell zones)
84.50 – current S/R flip (was support → now resistance)
94.50 – strong HTF level, where the market has been rejected multiple times
107.50 – key trend reversal level (BOS)
🟥 SUPPORT
72.00–72.50 – key support, currently being tested
63.10 – next strong HTF support
Below → empty space to ~55–58
🔎 PRICE ACTION – WHAT YOU CAN SEE
Recent Bounce:
Weak HH
No volume
Strong rejection from:
Upper channel line
Level ~84.5
Current candle:
Aggressive supply
No demand response
👉 Sellers in full control
📊 STOCH RSI
Turnover from the upper zones
Bearish momentum
No bullish divergence
👉 Oscillator confirms continuation of the downtrend
🧠 SCENARIOS
🔴 BASELINE SCENARIO (60–65%)
Descent lower
Condition:
Close D1 below 72
Target:
63.1
Possible breakout to 60–61
🟡 CORRECTIVE SCENARIO (25–30%)
Bounce Technical
Condition:
Holding 72
Demand candle + follow-up
Target:
84.5
Maximum 94.5
DOES NOT change the trend
🟢 TREND REVERSE SCENARIO (<10%)
Condition:
Close D1 > 94.5
Then reclaim 107.5
👉 Only then can we talk about a bull market
🎯 HOW TO PLAY IT (technically)
Short:
Retest 84–85 or 94–95
SL: above the structure
TP: 72 → 63
Long:
Only a reaction to 63
Short-term scalp / swing
No forcing the low
Resistence
Gold price movements at the end of the week, January 16, 2026.1️⃣ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH.
Price remains above the long-term ascending trendline → the Higher High – Higher Low structure is still intact.
Current phase: sideways consolidation below resistance within an ascending channel → the market is building pressure.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,640 – 4,642: Major resistance.
Confluence: previous high + upper trendline.
Scenarios:
Rejection → high probability of a corrective pullback.
4,668 – 4,670:
New ATH zone + break of previous high + trendline extension.
3️⃣ Support
4,578 – 4,580:
Near-term support, equilibrium zone within the range.
4,515 – 4,517:
Strong support / breakout retest + previous GAP.
Loss of this zone → short-term bullish structure weakens, downside risk increases.
4️⃣ Preferred Trading Scenarios
Sell on reaction at 4,640 – 4,645 if clear rejection signals appear.
Buy with the trend at 4,515 – 4,520 once strong holding signals are confirmed.
Primary Trade Setups
SELL GOLD: 4,668 – 4,670
Stop Loss: 4,678
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
BUY GOLD (Scalp): 4,578 – 4,580
Stop Loss: 4,574
Take Profit: 50 – 100 – 200 pips
BUY GOLD: 4,515 – 4,517
Stop Loss: 4,505
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Following yesterday's PPI report, what will the gold price be li1️⃣ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH
Price is moving inside an Ascending Channel → the Higher High – Higher Low structure is still intact.
Currently, price is trading in the upper half of the channel, meaning buyers remain in control, but the market has started to consolidate / correct after a strong bullish impulse.
2️⃣ Resistance
📍 4,683 – 4,685
Major supply zone + top of the ascending channel
📍 4,640 – 4,642
Price has been rejected multiple times here → Smart Money distribution + trendline resistance
➡ Only look for short (SELL) trades if rejection signals appear
(e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing, strong rejection wick)
3️⃣ Support
📍 4,548 – 4,550
Strong confluence zone:
Bottom of the ascending channel
Previous breakout zone
EMA + major trendline
This is a BUY zone in line with the trend
➡ If price pulls back to this area and holds, the probability is high for a continuation toward 4,685
📈 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD
Entry: 4550 – 4548
Stop Loss: 4538
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD
Entry: 4683 – 4685
Stop Loss: 4693
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart | Price Action Analysis**XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart | Price Action Analysis**
**Current price:** ~4,610
### 📊 Market Structure
* Gold is moving **sideways within a defined range** after a strong prior bullish move.
* Price recently bounced from the lower range and is now **testing the upper boundary (resistance)**.
### 📉 Moving Averages
* **EMA 9 & EMA 21:** Closely aligned and flat → short-term consolidation.
* **EMA 50 (≈4,607):** Holding as **key dynamic support**.
* Price above EMA 50 keeps the **overall bias neutral to bullish**.
### 🟥 Support Zones
* **Immediate support: 4,590 – 4,585**
* Strong demand zone where buyers stepped in previously.
* **Lower support:** 4,560 – 4,540
* Breakdown below this area may weaken bullish structure.
### 🟩 Resistance Zones
* **Immediate resistance: 4,620 – 4,625**
* Price is currently reacting here.
* **Upper resistance / breakout zone:** 4,650 – 4,670
* A sustained break could open further upside.
### 🔁 Scenarios
* **Bullish scenario:**
A **clean hourly close above 4,625** may trigger upside continuation toward **4,650+**.
* **Bearish scenario:**
Rejection from resistance and a **break below 4,585** could lead to a deeper pullback.
### 🧠 Summary (Mind-Safe)
* Gold is **range-bound between support and resistance**
* **Breakout above resistance = bullish continuation**
* **Rejection + support break = corrective move**
* Wait for **clear confirmation on H1**
*Educational purpose only – not financial advice.*
Gold surged and continued to rise on January 12, 2026.1️⃣ Trendline
Short-term structure: Bullish after the breakout.
Price has broken above the descending trendline → sellers have lost control.
The current move is a bullish impulse, and the market is waiting for a pullback to form a higher low.
2️⃣ Key Support Zones
4,550 – 4,548
Nearest support (breakout retest zone)
If this zone holds → the bullish trend remains intact.
4,515 – 4,513
Strong support zone
Confluence of:
Old resistance → new support
Rising trendline
EMA & price structure
👉 This is the best buy zone
If this area is broken → the short-term bullish structure is invalidated.
3️⃣ Resistance
4,640 – 4,642
Major resistance
Fibonacci 2.618 extension
Supply zone
👉 This is the main target of the current bullish wave
4️⃣ Price Scenarios
Bullish scenario (priority)
Price pulls back to 4,550 → 4,515
Holds support
Forms a higher low
→ Then continues higher toward 4,640
Bearish scenario (structure failure)
Price closes clearly below 4,515
→ Short-term uptrend is broken
→ Price may drop toward 4,480 – 4,440
📈 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,513 – 4,515
Stop Loss: 4,503
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,640 – 4,642
Stop Loss: 4,650
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
BTC/USD 4H Chart Review🔎 Market Structure
Medium-term trend: up
The price is moving within an ascending channel (the lower and upper limits are nicely respected).
Last move = upward impulse from a consolidation breakout.
📈 Current Situation
The price has broken out above key resistance at ~94,600 USD (red line)
We are currently in the 97,500–98,200 USD zone (local resistance).
This is the first test of this zone from below → a natural place for reaction.
🟩 Key Levels
Resistance
98,200–98,300 USD – local resistance (green line)
103,800 USD – main channel target / ATH region
Supports
94,600 USD – most important support (flip from resistance)
89,400 USD – middle of the structure + previous accumulation
Lower channel boundary ~87–88k USD – last defense
📊 MACD
Strong bullish crossover
The histogram is rising → upward momentum is accelerating
No downward divergence (on (for now)
➡️ This supports continued growth, not a reversal.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Short consolidation/pullback
Retest of USD 94,600–95,000
Continuation up → 98k → 100k → 103–104k
🟡 Alternative scenario
Rejection of USD 98k
Drop to USD 89,400
Still uptrend as long as the channel holds
🔴 Bullish negation
4-hour close below 89,400
Then the structure breaks down → drop to 86–84k
USDJPY M15 RSI Divergence and Short-Term Pullback Setup📝 Description
FX:USDJPY has extended into a local premium zone after a strong impulsive rally. Price is holding near recent highs, but momentum is slowing as RSI shows clear bearish divergence, suggesting exhaustion rather than continuation.
________________________________________
📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price holds below the recent high and RSI divergence remains valid
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 158.90
• Stop Loss: Above 159.11
• TP1: 158.67
• TP2: 158.50
• TP3: 158.30 (H1 FVG / liquidity draw)
________________________________________
🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• RSI bearish divergence indicates weakening bullish momentum
• Price trading in premium after impulsive expansion
• Pullback expected toward nearby FVGs
________________________________________
🧩 Summary
Despite the strong upside move, momentum divergence suggests limited continuation. As long as price fails to push higher with strength, a corrective pullback toward lower PD arrays is favored.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With key US CPI data today, volatility risk is elevated. Any positioning should be approached with strict risk management, as CPI outcomes can trigger sharp, two-sided moves before direction is confirmed.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
How did gold prices fluctuate on January 13, 2026?1️⃣ Trendline
Short-term trend: CLEARLY BULLISH
Price is respecting the rising trendline and staying above the EMA, which means buyers are in control.
Market structure: Higher High – Higher Low ⇒ no reversal signal yet.
2️⃣ Support
4548 – 4550 Nearest support, not tested yet → good zone for scalp buys
4520 – 4515 Strongest support (Demand zone + Fibonacci 1.618 + Rising trendline)
➡ If price pulls back to 4,520 and holds, it’s a high-probability trend-buy setup.
3️⃣ Resistance
4630 – 4632 Short-term resistance → scalp sell / profit taking
4643 – 4645 Major resistance (Fibonacci 2.618 + previous supply zone)
➡ 4,645 is a high-probability reversal / heavy profit-taking zone.
4️⃣ Price Scenarios
Main scenario (preferred):
Price pulls back to 4,520 → bounces → moves to test 4,645.
Bearish scenario:
If H1 closes below 4,520, the trendline breaks → price may drop to 4,495 – 4,480.
🎯 Trade Plan
BUY GOLD
Entry: 4520 – 4522
Stop Loss: 4510
Take Profit: +100-300-500 pips
SELL GOLD
Entry: 4643 – 4645
Stop Loss: 4653
Take Profit: +100-300-500 pips
BTC/USDT Chart Review📉 Key Levels (from the chart)
🟥 Support Levels
1. 90,402 – current, very important
• Local pivot
• Price is reacting, defending
2. 89,112 – strong structural support
• Convergence: horizontal + trend line
• Loss = change in short-term bias
🟩 Resistance Levels
1. 92,659 – closest resistance
• Rejection zone after a correction
2. 94,525 – high impulse
• Breakout = trend continuation / ATH attack
⸻
📊 RSI Stochastic
• RSI Stochastic has exited the oversold zone (0–20) very dynamically
• Currently close to / in the overbought zone (80–100)
👉 Conclusion:
• Short-term: risk of a pullback
• Trend: this is a sign of strength, not weakness, as long as the price holds Support
⸻
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 – BULLISH (baseline)
• Price maintains 90,400
• Consolidation → breakout 92,659
• Targets:
• 94,500
• Next: 96,000+
📌 This is a healthy correction in an uptrend.
⸻
🟡 Scenario 2 – Technical Pullback
• Rejection from 92k
• Downtrend to:
• 90,400
• Max 89,100
• Until there is an 8-hour candle close below 89,100 → trend remains OK.
⸻
🔴 Scenario 3 – Bearish (less likely)
• Strong 8-hour close below 89,100
• Trendline breakout
• Then:
• 87 500 – 86,800 as the next demand zone
SOL/USDT 4H chart📌Market Structure
• Medium-term trend: up
• Clear Higher Low (around 117 → 126 → 133)
• Price respects the ascending trend wave (black)
• Currently consolidating after an upward impulse
⸻
🔴Key Horizontal Lines
Resistances
• 140.4 USDT – local resistance, multiple rejections
• 147.2 USDT – main resistance/supply zone
Supports
• 133.2 USDT – most important short-term support (POC of the structure)
• 126.9 USDT – strong HTF support + trendline
• ~117–120 USDT – extreme (end-of-line scenario)
⸻
📊Oscillator (Stoch RSI)
• Currently in an oversold zone
• No advanced bullish trend yet Crossover
• To the owner:
• Pullback/recovery, not an immediate drop
• Potential available below 140+ if support holds
⸻
🧠 Scenario
🟢 Baseline scenario (more likely)
• Weapons price 133 USDT
• Consolidation 133–140
• Breakout 140.4 → 147.2
• Target: 147–150 USDT
🟡 Corrective scenario
• Breakout of 133 USDT
• Downside to 126.9 USDT (ideal retest of the trendline)
• Market decision there:
• Defense → continuation up
• No defense → deeper correction
🔴 External scenario (less likely)
• Loss of 126.9
• Structure change → entry to area 120 / 117
BNB H1 HTF FVG Rejection and Pullback Continuation Setup📝 Description
On the H1 timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BNB has pushed into a higher-timeframe H4/H1 Order Block and overlapping H1–30m FVGs, where price is now showing hesitation. The recent upside move appears corrective within a broader range, with price trading in premium and reacting to unmitigated sell-side areas.
________________________________________
📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below HTF Order Block
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 907.5 (H1 FVG)
• Stop Loss: Above 912
• TP1: 901.9
• TP2: 890.8
• TP3: 880.2
________________________________________
🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price reacting inside HTF Order Block (H4/H1)
• Clear H1–30m FVG rejection zone overhead
• Below-price liquidity and unfilled FVGs remain intact
________________________________________
🧩 Summary
CRYPTOCAP:BNB is currently trading in premium HTF territory, where sellers are expected to defend. Failure to reclaim and hold above the H1 FVG increases the probability of a pullback toward the 890 and 880 liquidity zones. This setup favors patience on shorts rather than chasing upside.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Overall crypto sentiment remains mixed, with majors showing corrective behavior rather than strong impulsive continuation. In the absence of a clear risk-on catalyst, rallies into HTF supply are more likely to attract distribution.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Gold price movements before the release of the NONFARM data.1️⃣ Trend / Trendline
Short-term trend: Sideways–bearish within a contracting triangle pattern.
Price is being compressed between the descending trendline above (selling pressure) and the ascending trendline below (weakening support).
Current structure: A technical rebound, but price has not broken the descending trendline yet ⇒ no confirmed bullish reversal.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,520 – 4,525: Strong resistance
Confluence of: previous highs + Fibonacci 1.618 + descending trendline.
Prefer sell-on-rejection if bearish price action appears.
3️⃣ Support
4,395 – 4,400: Key support zone
Confluence of: range low + demand zone.
A clear break below this area ⇒ breakdown risk, price may slide further.
4️⃣ Scenarios
Priority: Trade the breakout.
Bullish scenario: Break and close above the descending trendline & above 4,525 ⇒ opens the path for further upside.
Bearish scenario: Break and close below 4,395 ⇒ confirms bearish continuation, favor sell-with-trend setups.
👉 The market is at a decision zone – avoid FOMO and wait for clear confirmation at the boundaries.
Trade Plans
BUY GOLD: 4,398 – 4,400
Stop Loss: 4,388
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,523 – 4,525
Stop Loss: 4,533
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
BTC/USDT 4H Chart📈 Trend
Main trend: up
Local trend: downward correction
The uptrend line (black) has still not been broken → this is crucial.
🟩 Support Zones
The most important levels you have well-marked:
91,120 – 91,400
Current price reaction
Local support + mid-range
Decisive in the short term
90,120
Very important zone
Overlaps with:
previous consolidation
potential retest of the trendline
Loss = deepening correction
88,843
Strong structural support
If price reaches here → high probability of bounce
87,235
Bulls' last line of defense
Break = structure changes to bearish
🔴 Resistance
91,400 – 91,500
Nearest resistance
Here we'll see if the uptrend has fuel
92,718
Very important level
Return above = bulls regain control
94 834
High / supply zone
Unlikely to be broken on the first try without an impulse.
📊 Stochastic RSI
Was heavily oversold.
Now bouncing from the lows → a short-term bounce signal.
Note: in an uptrend, the Stochastic RSI often gives false short signals.
➡️ Supports a corrective bounce scenario, not a dump.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Defense 90-91k
Bounce → test 91.5k → 92.7k
Consolidation and decision
🔴 Negative scenario
Break 90 120
Down to 88.8k
Reaction there (or fake breakdown)
Gold prices adjust pending NF news.1️⃣ Trendline
Main short-term trend: Bearish.
Price remains below the upper descending trendline → selling pressure still dominates.
Current structure: A technical pullback within a downtrend; no solid reversal signal yet.
The lower short-term ascending trendline is under threat → increased downside risk if key support is broken.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,520 – 4,522:
Very strong resistance, confluence of:
Fibonacci extension
Descending trendline
Previous supply zone
👉 Priority: Look for sell setups when price approaches this zone.
👉 Buy only if price breaks above and closes with confirmation.
3️⃣ Support
4,400 – 4,402:
Key support area, confluence of:
Trendline support
Demand zone
EMA / price structure
👉 A break below this zone would confirm a break of the short-term bullish structure, opening the door for a deeper decline.
📈 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,400 – 4,402
Stop Loss: 4,390
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips (4450)
SELL GOLD: 4,520 – 4,522
Stop Loss: 4,530
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips (4,470 )
Buyers are continuing to capitalize on their favorable positions1️⃣ Trendline
Short-term trend: corrective rise within a larger downtrend.
Price is being capped by the descending trendline → a key decision zone for the next move.
Current structure: short-term higher lows, but price has not broken the descending trendline yet ⇒ no confirmation of a medium-term trend reversal.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,520 – 4,522: strong resistance
Confluence: descending trendline + previous supply zone + Fibonacci extension
Expectation: strong selling pressure / high probability of rejection
3️⃣ Support
4,435 – 4,440: near-term support
Role: maintaining the short-term bullish corrective structure
4,400 – 4,405: major support
Confluence: demand zone + structural low + EMA
→ Key zone determining whether the corrective bullish move can hold
4️⃣ Primary Scenarios
Sell bias: prioritize sells at 4,520 – 4,522 upon clear price rejection signals.
Buy reactions: only consider buys if price holds above 4,400 – 4,435 and confirms a short-term reversal.
👉 The market is currently in a “decision zone” — wait for confirmation, avoid FOMO.
Trade Plans
BUY GOLD: 4,437 – 4,435
Stop Loss: 4,425
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,520 – 4,522
Stop Loss: 4,532
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
LTC/USDT 1D Chart 🔎 Market Structure
The market is in a downtrend (a series of lower highs and lower lows).
The price is moving within a descending channel (black lines).
The recent move is a rebound from the lower demand zones, but the trend has not yet been broken.
📉 Trend & Price Action
The main downtrend line has not been broken – the price has reached it and is reacting.
The current move looks like a pullback/upward correction, not a trend reversal.
No clear higher high → the structure remains bearish.
🟢 Key Levels
Resistance (sell zones)
86.84 USDT – local resistance (currently being tested)
95.83 USDT – strong structural resistance
103.54 USDT – previous downside base
110.66 USDT – very strong resistance (key to trend reversal)
Support (buy zones)
78.67 USDT – local support
72.25 USDT – strong demand zone
63.14 USDT – critical support (channel bottom)
📊 Indicators
Stochastic RSI
Currently in the overbought zone (>80)
Historically, on this chart, → often ends in a correction
Signal: watch out for shorts / profit-taking
CHOP Index
High → market was in consolidation
Recent CHOP breakout down → possible impulse but not yet confirmed by volume
🧠 Scenarios
🔴 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Rejection at 86–88 USDT
Return to around 78.67 → 72.25
Continuation of the downtrend
🟢 Alternative scenario (bullish, conditional)
Daily close above 95.83
Then a breakout of 103.54
Only 110.66 = a real trend change to up
🎯 Final conclusion
This is a correction in a downtrend, not a trend reversal.
Shorts are logical under resistance
Longs are only short-term/scalp
Swing longs only after a breakout of 103–110
Gold is currently experiencing strong growth.1️⃣ Trendline
Short-term trend: bullish pullback within a larger bearish trend.
Price has broken the descending trendline → confirming a short-term structural shift.
However, price is still below a major supply zone → no medium–long-term reversal yet.
2️⃣ Support
4,400 – 4,402
Key support zone
Confluence of: demand zone + Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 + EMA
→ Area for technical buy reactions / holding buy positions.
Below 4,400: short-term bullish structure is invalidated.
3️⃣ Resistance
4,515 – 4,517
Strong resistance zone
Confluence of: Fibonacci 1.618 + previous supply zone
→ Prioritize sell reactions, avoid FOMO buying.
4️⃣ Fibonacci
Current rebound has reached:
1.0 → trendline break
Next target: 1.618 (4,515)
Only a clean breakout above 1.618 would open the door for a higher bullish scenario.
📌 Trade Setup
BUY GOLD: 4402 – 4400
Stop Loss: 4390
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4515 – 4517
Stop Loss: 4527
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
LINK/USDT 1W Chart Long-Term📌 PRICE STRUCTURE
Long-term trend: still up, confirmed by the ascending trendline (orange).
The price respects the trendline – each dip below was bought.
We are now in the midst of a strong upward impulse correction (peak ~$26–27).
🟢 KEY LEVELS
Support
$13.7–14.7 → current demand zone/consolidation
$11.63 → strong HTF support (low of previous reactions)
$7.84 → worst-case scenario (only in the event of a market breakdown)
Resistance
$18.85 → key HTF resistance (mid-range)
$22–24 → supply zone after the last impulse
$26–30 → ATH range/supply zone
📈 PRICE ACTION
Price is consolidating above the trendline → this is bullish behavior
No downward impulse – more likely accumulation
Candles with long downward wicks = supply absorption
➡️ This doesn't look like distribution, but rather a base for a move.
📊 INDICATORS
Stochastic RSI
Was in the oversold zone
Starting to curve upwards → potential buy signal (HTF)
CHOP
Falls to around 40
This indicates the end of consolidation and preparation for a trend
Perfect for an upside breakout in the coming weeks
🔮 SCENARIOS
🟢 BASELINE SCENARIO (most likely)
Sustaining $13.7–14.7
Breakout $18.85
Targets:
$22–24
Next $26–28
📌 Typical range → weekly breakout.
🔴 NEGATIVE SCENARIO
Weekly close below $11.63
Trendline negated
Decline to:
$9–$8
Strong long-term accumulation zone there
What's new in gold prices this week? 01/05/20261️⃣ Trendline
Short-term: Bearish. Price remains below the descending trendline → selling pressure is still dominant.
Structure: Weak technical pullback, forming a lower high → no clear reversal signal yet.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,445 – 4,447: Strong resistance, confluence of Fibonacci 0.618 + trendline touch → ideal sell zone if confirmation appears.
3️⃣ Support
4,396 – 4,394: Near-term support + previous breakout zone + lower trendline touch.
4,333 – 4,331: Major support + GAP area + lower trendline touch.
4️⃣ Scenarios
Priority: Look for SELL setups at resistance, trading with the trend.
BUY: Only reactive buys at strong support levels, no FOMO.
Trade Plan
BUY GOLD: 4333 – 4331
Stop Loss: 4321
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4445 – 4447
Stop Loss: 4457
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
ETH/USDT 4H Chart Review1️⃣ Market structure
• Short-term trend: upwards
• The price respects the upward trend line (orange).
• Breakout and maintenance above 3018 USDT → confirmed higher low.
• Currently consolidating under resistance.
➡️ The market is in the continuation phase, not the distribution phase.
⸻
2️⃣ Key Levels
🔴 Support
• 3018 USDT – key flip (former resistance → support)
• 2898 USDT – strong HTF support/structural lows
• Trendline – dynamic support
🟢 Resistances
• 3205 USDT – local resistance / recent high
• 3428 USDT – major HTF resistance (target for breakout)
⸻
3️⃣ Oscillators
📉 Stochastic RSI
• Was overbought, now it's down to around 40-50
• This is a healthy pullback in an uptrend, NOT a sell signal
➡️ Perfect place to continue after re-accumulation
📊 CHOP
• CHOP was falling → the trend was developing
• Now it returns to around 50-55 → consolidation before the move
Very often followed by a directional impulse
⸻
4️⃣ Scenarios
✅ Baseline scenario (more likely)
• Maintenance >3018
• Short consolidation
• Breakout 3205
• Target: 3,428 USDT
📌 Momentum + structure + oscillators = bullish setup
⸻
⚠️ Corrective scenario
• 3205 rejection
• Pullback to:
• 3018
• or trend lines
• Only then does the demand respond
➡️ As long as there is no 4H close < 3018, the trend is NOT broken.
BTCUSDT (W1)🔍 Market Structure
For many months, the uptrend has been in a channel – clear higher highs and higher lows.
A breakout from the uptrend channel → indicates a change in market structure (BOS) to weekly.
The current move is a correction after a downward impulse, not a new uptrend.
➡️ HTF Bias: BEARISH / Corrective
🧱 Key Levels
🟢 Resistance (now resistance)
98,000 – 100,000 → former support, currently flipping to resistance
109,000 → strong weekly supply / EQ of the previous range
~125,000 → upper band of the old channel (unrealistic without a change in structure)
🔴 Support
85,400 → current reaction zone (local demand)
74,300 → key weekly demand, a very important level
Below: ~68–70k (another HTF zone – not marked, but logical)
📉 Price Action
Strong, impulsive bearish candle + long lower wick → liquidations + panic sell
No strong upward momentum after the rebound → weak demand
Current move = bear flag / bear range
➡️ This does NOT look like the end of the correction.
📊 Volume
High volume on the decline → distribution
Declining volume on the bounce → no real buyers
➡️ Classic pattern: dump → weak bounce → continuation
📈 Indicators
Stochastic RSI (W1)
In the oversold zone, but:
No strong bullish cross + no price impulse
➡️ May grind low for many weeks
CHOP
Falling → market preparing for a bigger move
Direction still more down than up
🧠 Scenarios
🟥 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Rejection 98-100k
Return to 85k
Test 74k
Only then the decision is made: bounce vs. Deeper bear market
🟩 Alternative scenario (less likely)
Weekly close above 100k
Retest of 98k as support
Only then can we consider 109k
❗ Key takeaways
❌ This is not a good time to go long on HTF
❌ The current rebound is a pullback, not a reversal
✅ Shorts only on retests of resistance
✅ Spot DCA only makes sense at 74k ±
Will gold continue to fall at the start of the new year?1️⃣ Trendline
Primary short-term trend: Bearish.
→ Price is trading below the descending trendline and below the EMA, sellers remain in control.
Structure: Weak technical rebound after a strong dump → lower high has formed, not enough conditions for a reversal.
Preferred scenario: Sell with the trend, buy only as a reactive trade at strong support.
2️⃣ Fibonacci
0.618: ~ 4,350 – 4,352 → Confluence with support.
1.0: ~ 4,376 – 4,378 → Strong resistance, confluence of supply zone + EMA + descending trendline.
➡️ As long as price fails to break above 1.0 – 0.618, the bearish trend remains valid.
3️⃣ Resistance
4,350 – 4,352: Short-term resistance.
4,428 – 4,430: Strong resistance (Fibo 1.618 + previous distribution zone).
→ Ideal area to look for sell setups if clear price rejection appears.
4️⃣ Support
4,304 – 4,306: Near-term support (recent swing low).
4,273 – 4,275: Strong support, structural low — losing this zone increases the risk of an extended breakdown.
📈 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,273 – 4,275
Stop Loss: 4,265
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,428 – 4,430
Stop Loss: 4,440
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
📍 Bias remains bearish — prioritize selling rallies, buying only reacts at major support.
XRP/USDT 4H chart review🔍 Price structure
• The price was moving in a descending channel (orange lines).
• There was a strong rebound from the low of ~1.825–1.83, with a clear lower wick → demand defended the level.
• Currently, the price has returned to the interior of the channel, but has not broken it above yet.
⸻
📊 Key levels
Support:
• 1.8555 – local support (now crucial, because after breaking up it should act as support)
• 1.8256 – very strong support (bottom + demand reaction)
Resistances:
• 1.8776 – nearest resistance (local high + consolidation)
• 1.9175 – main resistance / target after breaking the channel
⸻
📈 Momentum/indicators
Stochastic RSI:
• A clear exit from the oversold zone
• The lines are dynamically going up → bullish momentum, but:
• We are close to the overbought zone, so a short correction or consolidation is possible
⸻
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish scenario (more likely in the short term)
• Maintenance 1.855–1.86
• Breakout and closing of the 4H candle above 1.8776
• Goals:
• 1.90
• 1917–1992
➡️ This would be confirmation of exit from the descending channel.
⸻
🔴 Corrective scenario
• Rejection 1.8776
• Back to:
• 1,855
• in a worse variant, retest 1.83
➡️ Until 1.8256 breaks, the structure still looks like a higher order uptrend correction.






















