ETHUSDT 4H Chart Review๐ General Technical Context:
Prior Trend: Upward (strong rally from around 3,150 USDT).
Current Structure: After breaking out of the ascending channel, there was a strong decline, but is currently rebounding upward โ it looks like a test of prior support as resistance.
๐ Key Horizontal Levels (Support/Resistance):
Resistance:
3,794 USDT โ strong resistance resulting from the prior high (green line).
3,943 USDT โ high of the ascending channel.
Support:
3,504 USDT โ prior support, now potentially acting as resistance (red line).
3,383 USDT โ July support.
3,132 USDT โ strong base support, potential correction low.
๐ Technical Patterns:
Broken Upward Channel (orange lines): A clear downward breakout suggests a weakening of the previous trend.
Downward Trendline (purple): The current price is approaching it โ a test and reaction (bounce or breakout) may occur.
๐ Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom):
The indicator is entering the overbought zone (>80).
This may indicate an impending slowdown or correction, especially if the price encounters resistance at the purple downward trendline.
๐ฎ Scenarios:
โ
Bullish (if the breakout is upward):
A breakout of the purple trendline and resistance at 3,794 USDT could signal further gains towards 3,943 USDT or higher.
Confirmation could come from a retest of the purple line as support.
โ Bearish (if resistance rejected):
Rejection from the trendline or the 3,794 USDT zone = possible correction to 3,504 or 3,383 USDT.
Break of 3,383 = potential decline to the 3,132โ3,150 USDT zone.
๐งญ Conclusion:
The market has regained strength from the local low but is at a potentially strong resistance zone.
Stochastic RSI overbought + near resistance = high risk of a near-term correction.
The key will be price performance within the purple trendline and 3,794 USDT.
Resistence
BTC/USD 1D Chart ๐ผ Resistance:
โข USD 123,263 - local peak, strong resistance (green line)
โข USD 119,120 - level tested several times, recent reflection
โข 116,224 USD - zone of previous consolidations
๐ฝ support:
โข 110,945 USD - SMA #2 (movable average), tested in the past
โข 107,804 USD - local hole
โข USD 103,542 - strong support from the past (historical retention of declines)
โธป
๐ Technical indicators
๐ Trend:
โข The yellow upward trend line has been broken - a potential bull weakness signal.
โข The candle pierces the trend line from the bottom - it is possible to change the direction to a side or downward trend.
๐ Medium walking (SMA):
โข The red SMA #1 line acted as dynamic resistance.
โข The price is currently testing SMA #2 as support.
โข SMA #5 (blue, approx. 98,600 USD) is very strong long -term support.
๐ Macd:
โข The MacD line is below the signal line โ Bear signal (Bearish).
โข Red histogram - inheritance impetus is growing.
๐ RSI:
โข RSI has fallen below the level of 50 โ the advantage of supply.
โข Currently, it is approaching the supply of supply overload (<30), which can herald the technical reflection.
โธป
๐ฎ Scenarios
โ
Scenario Bycza (Bullish):
โข Maintenance of a price above 110.945 USD (SMA #2).
โข Return above the trend line or testing USD 116,224 and piercing up.
โ Bear scenario (Bearish):
โข Loss of support to 110.945 USD โ decrease to USD 107,800.
โข If this does not keep the course, the next strong level is USD 103,500.
โธป
๐ง Applications:
โข Short -term: the market looks weak, the candle breaks the upward trend.
โข Medium -term: still in the game, but if it does not reflect from the current levels, a greater correction is possible.
โข Commercial decisions: It is worth waiting for confirmation of the direction (reflection from support or continuation of declines).
BTC/USD 4h chart๐ธ Formation: Triangle descending (descending)
โข Upper trend line (orange) - inheritance, connects lower and lower peaks.
โข Lower support line (red) - approx. 116,700 USD - key support, tested many times.
๐ป Support
USD 116,700
Tested several times, currently threatened
๐ป Another support
USD 114,669
Target level when struck with a triangle
๐ผ Resistance
USD 118,321
The nearest resistance - the former level of support
๐ผ Resistance
USD 119,931
Local peak
๐ผ Strong resistance
USD 121,107
Upper level of structure
๐ STOCHASTIC RSI (lower indicator)
โข Line cutting and a decrease in the purchase area (> 80) towards the center.
โข No extreme sales signal, but the trend begins to be negative.
โธป
๐ Applications and possible scenarios:
๐ป Bearish script (more technically likely):
โข If BTC breaks below USD 116,700 with a 4H candle closure, possible:
โข a decrease around USD 114,669 (lower limit of the triangle)
โข Even lower - around 113,500-112,000 USD with an increased volume
๐ผ Bullly script (less likely but possible):
โข needed quick breaking above USD 118,300 and maintaining above this level
โข Then the goal will be USD 119,931, and then possible traffic up to USD 121.107
โธป
๐ Summary:
โข We see classic triangle descending-pro-draft formation.
โข Support 116,700 USD very close to breaking - if it falls, down movement can be dynamic.
โข Stochastic RSI coincides with the deterioration of the moment.
โข The inheritance scenario seems dominant, unless there is a strong demand and over 118,300 USD.
MKR/USDT 4H Chart๐ Short-term situation:
The price is currently trading around 2028 USDT, after a sharp decline from around 2273 USDT (resistance).
The support level around 2000 USDT is currently being tested (coinciding with the SMA 200 โ blue line).
A dynamic uptrend line (orange) is also visible, which could act as a key support level in the event of further declines.
๐ Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
๐ด 2188 USDT โ recent local high and convergence with the SMA 21.
๐ข 2273 USDT โ major resistance; previous rebound and point of significant price reaction.
Support:
๐ต 1980 USDT โ local support + SMA200.
๐ Uptrend line (~1940โ1960 USDT).
๐ด 1832 USDT โ stronger horizontal support with multiple confirmations.
๐ด 1623 USDT โ very strong support, from previous lows.
๐ Technical indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current value: ~42, neutral, but approaching the oversold zone (<30).
The RSI is falling rapidly, suggesting selling pressure, but a reaction is possible near current support.
MACD:
Negative signal: signal line crossing from above + descending histogram.
Indicates a continuation of the correction, but we are approaching the potential exhaustion of the downward momentum.
๐ Moving averages:
EMA/SMA 50 and 200:
The price is currently testing the SMA200 โ crucial for the medium-term trend.
SMA21 (red) and SMA50 (green) โ have reversed downward, which may suggest a weakening of bullish momentum.
๐ฎ Scenarios:
๐ข Bullish scenario (confirmation of support):
A rebound from 1980โ2000 USDT and further upward movement.
Potential target: first ~2180 USDT, then ~2273 USDT.
The condition is a demand response at the current level + an improvement in the RSI/MACD.
๐ด Bearish scenario (breakout of support):
If the 1980 USDT level is broken and the price falls below the uptrend line, a continued decline to 1832 USDT or even lower is possible.
Confirmation will be a strong bearish candle with high volume and a further decline in the RSI/MACD.
SOL/USD 4H๐ Price
Current price: approximately $183โ$184
We see a decline from the resistance zone around $194.56. The price has broken through support at $187.31 and is heading towards lower support at:
๐ด $183.18 โ local support (being tested now),
๐ด $175.58 โ key support (potential target if current support breaks).
๐ Market structure
Short-term trend: Downtrend (lower highs and lower lows after a rebound from $194.56).
Volume: Increased volume on bearish candles โ confirming supply pressure.
Previous trend: Uptrend with strong momentum from July 18th to July 21st.
๐ Technical Levels
Resistance:
๐ข USD 187.31 โ last broken support, now acting as resistance.
๐ข USD 194.56 โ strong resistance (tested twice).
๐ข USD 206.43 โ local high, strong resistance level from higher timeframes.
Support:
๐ด USD 183.18 โ currently being tested.
๐ด USD 175.58 โ stronger support from lower swing highs.
๐ Stochastic RSI
Located in the oversold zone (<20) and pointing down.
No upside crossover yet โ no buy signal yet.
If a reversal occurs, a technical rebound is possible.
๐ Conclusions and Scenarios
๐ป Downside scenario (more likely currently):
Breakthrough of support at $183.18 โ further decline to $175.58.
Potential entry into a correction of the entire upward movement from July 18-21.
๐บ Upside scenario (alternative):
Support at $183.18 held + Stoch RSI signal โ rebound to $187.31.
If buying volume increases, a retest of resistance at $194.56 is possible.
MKR/USDT 4H๐ Trend and price structure
โข The price has just been above the downward trend line (yellow line), which suggests the potential reversal of the trend to the upward.
โข Breaking was strong - a candle with a large growth volume and an increase +9.13%, which emphasizes the pressure of buyers.
โธป
๐ levels of support and resistance
โข resistance:
โข ~ 2342 USDT - a clear level of resistance (green line) - may be the target for the next upward movement.
โข 2246.8 USDT - first resistance to overcome.
โข Support:
โข 2111.7 USDT - level of local support after struggling (earlier resistance).
โข 2048.8 USDT - SMA #1 (red medium), can be support at the back.
โข 1945.5 USDT - strong support in the form of long -term SMA (blue line, SMA #5).
โธป
๐ Technical indicators
โ
MacD (below)
โข The MacD line cut the signal line up - buy signal.
โข The histogram is growing, which confirms the growth moment.
โ
RSI
โข RSI has bounced from level 40 and is currently above 60 - it suggests upward momentum, but it is not yet purchased, so there may be room for further growth.
โธป
โ
Medium walking (SMAS)
โข The price was pierced by SMA #1 (red) and SMA #2 (green) with impetus, which means a change in sentiment.
โข If it stays above these medium - a bull signal.
โข SMA 50 (green)> SMA 200 (blue) = potentially a golden cross is formed on a longer TF.
โธป
๐ Summary - technical scenario:
๐ Bycza scenario:
โข If the price lasts above 2111.7 USDT, it may continue to increase to USDTt and further up to $ 2,342.
โข Confirmation will be the continuation of growth on MacD and RSI over 60-70.
๐ป Bear scenario (threats):
โข If the price drops below 2048 USDT, possible correction up to 1945 USDT.
โข RSI returning below 50 and Macd Cross down would be a reversal signal.
BTC/USD 4H Chart Review๐ Technical Structure (Symmetrical Triangle)
Formation: The symmetrical triangle (orange lines) remains intactโprice continues to move within it.
Approaching the apex: The closer to the intersection of the triangle's arms, the greater the probability of a breakout. The current candle is testing the upper boundary of the formation (around $119,300), but has not yet broken it.
Direction: The formation is neutral, but tension is increasing. A breakout of either line (the upper boundary โ$119,500 or the lower boundary โ$117,700) could trigger a dynamic move with a range of around $3,000 (the height of the triangle at its widest point).
๐งฑ Support and Resistance Levels (Red and Green Lines)
Type Level (USD) Description
Resistance 123205 All-Time High โ Possible Target After an Upward Breakout
Resistance 120556 Local Resistance โ Triangle Breakout Range
Resistance 119200โ119300 Currently Tested Level
Support 117752 Lower Triangle Boundary โ Critical Defense Line
Support 115764 Next Local Support
๐ Technical Indicators
๐ต RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: ~55 โ indicates a neutral situation, having broken down from the overbought level (~74).
Indicates that the market has temporarily cooled down after a previous impulse. There is still room for further upward movement without exceeding 70.
๐ต MACD
The MACD and signal lines are approaching a crossover โ if the MACD crosses the signal line upward, it could be a bullish signal.
The histogram is slightly positive โ indicating weak but growing bullish momentum.
๐ Volume
Slightly increasing in the last candles โ no confirmation of a strong breakout yet, but upward pressure is building.
๐ง Interpretation
Scenario Technical Conditions Movement Objective
๐ผ Upward Breakout
Candlestick close above $119,500 USD 122,000โ$123,200 USD
๐ฝ Downward Breakout
Close below 117,750 and confirmed by volume at 115,700, then 114,000 USD
๐ Consolidation
Inconclusive, continued sideways movement
Between $117,700 and $119,500 USD
โ
Summary
Bitcoin is still in a neutral symmetrical triangle formation but is approaching a turning point.
The RSI has broken out of the overbought range, and the MACD is signaling a potential upside breakout.
Volume confirmation is still lacking, but technical conditions favor the bulls โ if it manages to break above 119,500 and hold above, a move towards 122,000โ123,000 USD can be expected.
In the event of a rejection, maintaining 117750 will be key; breaking it opens the way to 115700 and below.
Australian dollar rose 0.8% but there is a "Wall" of naked callsAustralian dollar is up 0.8% in 24h โ and almost eyeing the 0.66โ0.665 zone .
Thatโs exactly where weโve been seeing a systematic build-up of naked calls on the futures.
More โbricksโ added to the wall yesterday.
Early, looking at the CME data , thereโs been a meaningful inflow in deep-out-of-the-money call options at the 0.665 strike . And this has been happening for several days for now
We canโt say itโs one single player โ CME reports donโt show that.
But the pattern is too consistent to ignore.
๐ง Why it matters:
As Iโve said before โ these long call stacks can easily turn into zero-cost put spreads by selling futures at those levels.
๐ฏ Bottom line:
Seems the market isnโt betting on a rally in long term.
Itโs preparing to defend the range .
Strategy: open shorts at "build-up" resistance zone
SOLUSDT 1H Short-Term๐ Technical Structure:
Short-Term Trend:
SOL is currently in an uptrend, with local higher lows. This is evident from the orange uptrend line, which has been tested multiple times.
Local Resistance:
205.14 USDT โ yellow line โ a resistance level that the price has touched several times but failed to break (this could be a double-top formation).
Local Support:
198.48 USDT โ the price is currently testing this level as support.
194.36 USDT โ lower, more crucial support (stronger upon a trend breakout).
187.74 USDT โ important support that would be tested in the event of a larger breakout.
๐ Oscillator โ Stoch RSI:
The Stoch RSI is currently in oversold territory (below 20), suggesting the possibility of a local rebound.
However, there has been no upward crossover yet, so there is no strong buy signal.
๐ Volume:
We are observing a decrease in volume during the current correction, suggesting that the declines are relatively weak โ there is no strong supply impulse.
๐ง Short-term scenarios:
โ
Bullish scenario:
Price is rebounding from the trend line (orange) and the 198.48 USDT level.
A break of the 205.14 USDT resistance could open the way to:
209.37 USDT
216.02 USDT (next target)
โ Bearish scenario:
A break of the trend line and the 198.48 USDT level with the 1-hour candle closing below.
Possible decline to:
194.36 USDT (first support)
and further to 187.74 USDT if selling pressure increases.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis โ Resistance Turned Support, ๐ XAUUSD Technical Analysis โ Resistance Turned Support, Bullish Continuation Expected
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone around $3,400, which now appears to be acting as a new support level. This structure shift signals a classic break-and-retest scenario, commonly observed in bullish continuations.
๐ Key Observations:
Structure Shift: Previous resistance near $3,400 has been broken with strong bullish candles, suggesting buyer dominance. This level is now expected to serve as support.
Bullish Momentum: The move from the $3,320 support zone to above $3,430 was accompanied by clear trend formation and clean market structure, indicating sustained momentum.
Retest in Progress: Price is currently pulling back toward the new support zone ($3,400). If this area holds, a bullish reaction is expected.
Next Target: If support at $3,400 holds as expected, price could rally back toward the next resistance and projected target of $3,460.
๐ Educational Insight:
This setup illustrates the principle of resistance becoming support (RBS)โa foundational concept in technical analysis. After a breakout, a successful retest of former resistance often provides a high-probability entry point for trend continuation trades.
LINK/USDT 4H Chart๐ Indicators and Market Structure:
๐ถ Trend:
Current trend: up, as long as it remains above the trend line and the 19.14 USDT level.
Local resistance: 20.28 USDT (recent high).
Next resistances: 20.99 USDT and 22.13 USDT (green lines).
Supports: 19.14 USDT, 18.44 USDT, 17.29 USDT (red lines).
๐ท Stochastic RSI (lower indicator):
Located in the oversold zone (below 20) and starting to reverse upward.
Potential signal of buying pressure if the %K and %D lines cross bullishly.
๐ง Scenarios:
โ
Bullish scenario (trend continuation):
Bounce from the trend line and the 19.14 level โ breakout of 20.28 โ test of 20.99โ22.13.
Confirmation will be a clear bullish candle with high volume and a Stochastic RSI cross up.
โ Bearish scenario (trend break):
Closing below the trend line and the 19.14 level โ correction towards 18.44, and then even to 17.29.
An oversold RSI could support continued declines if a rebound does not occur.
๐ Summary:
Currently, the key level is the trend line and support at 19.14 USDT.
The market is waiting for a reaction โ a rebound or a downward breakout.
Stochastic RSI suggests a possible rebound, but candlestick confirmation is needed.
BTCUSD - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTEDCAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
BTCUSD has been in a bullish trend over the past few hours and is now approaching the resistance at 119,500.00.
On the hourly chart, a bearish hammer has formed alongside a stochastic divergence, signaling potential downside.
โก This signal is reinforced by a strong resistance level above, adding weight to a possible pullback scenario.
๐ If BTCUSD rebounds from this level, consider Sell setups with take profit at the nearest support.
๐ If it breaks out, look for Buy opportunities on confirmation.
โก We use Stoch (14) to spot potential reversals when it exits overbought or oversold zones โ helping you catch clear, confident entries.
BTC/USD Short-Term๐ท Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle (Consolidation)
The price is inside the triangle formation (orange lines) and is approaching its completion.
An impending breakout (up or down) is highly probable within the next few hours.
๐ Support Levels (red lines):
117.210 โ local horizontal support.
116.324 โ 115.050 โ strong demand zone (potential target in the event of a downward breakout).
๐ Resistance Levels (green lines):
118.900 โ 119.700 โ local resistance zone.
121.011 โ 121.813 โ higher target in the event of an upward breakout from the triangle.
๐ Technical indicators:
โ
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently: 69.05 โ close to overbought levels, but not yet at an extreme.
Potential for a short-term pullback unless a strong breakout occurs.
โ
MACD:
Signal lines are tightly intertwined, histogram flat โ no dominant momentum.
Waiting for a breakout signal (bullish or bearish crossover).
โ
SMA:
Price currently below the 50 and 200 SMA for 1 hour โ slight downward momentum.
The 50-SMA (red) is turning down, which may signal a continuation of the sideways or downward trend.
๐ Short-term conclusions (1โ6 hours):
Scenario 1: Bullish breakout:
Confirmation: H1 candle close above 118,900.
Targets: 119,700 and potentially 121,000โ121,800.
Scenario 2: Bearish breakout:
Confirmation: H1 candle close below 117,200.
Targets: 116,300, then 115,000โ115,300.
๐ Watch for:
Breakout of the triangle boundaries with volume.
RSI behavior relative to the 70 level.
MACD crossover and histogram.
ETH/USDT 4H Chartโ
Market Trend and Structure:
Uptrend: The highlighted orange trend line shows continuous growth since mid-April. The price is trading above the 50- and 200-period moving averages (EMA and SMA), confirming bullish sentiment.
Current price: around 3556 USDT โ very close to local highs.
Resistance break in the 3200โ3300 USDT area, which now acts as support.
๐ Technical Levels:
Resistance (red horizontal lines):
3600โ3650 USDT โ local resistance resulting from market reaction.
3888 USDT โ next historical resistance level.
4133 USDT โ established long-term target (green dashed line at the top).
Support:
3300 USDT โ strong support after a previous breakout.
3080 USDT โ previous high, now the next support level.
3070 / 2900 USDT โ key technical support levels in the event of a larger correction.
๐ Indicators:
MACD:
The MACD is in a strongly bullish zone, but:
The histogram is flattening.
A bearish crossover pattern is possible in the following candles โ a signal of weakening momentum.
RSI:
RSI ~74 โ is in the overbought zone, which often heralds a correction or at least consolidation.
A value above 70 confirms the bullish trend but may suggest that momentum is overheated.
๐ Conclusions and Scenarios:
๐ผ Upside Scenario (trend continuation):
If the price remains above 3300โ3350 USDT, it could move towards 3888, and then 4133 USDT.
A break above 3650 USDT on heavy volume will be a strong continuation signal.
๐ฝ Corrective scenario (short-term pullback):
The RSI and MACD suggest a possible correction.
Potential pullback to:
3300 USDT (retest of previous resistance as support).
SMA 200 (~2600 USDT) with a deeper downward move.
XRP 1D Chart Review๐ Support and Resistance Levels:
๐ผ Resistance:
$2.95 - $3.02 โ currently being tested, a local resistance zone. Price slightly rejected.
$3.40 โ another strong resistance level from the previous high (visible on the left side of the chart).
๐ฝ Support:
$2.75 โ the closest, recently broken support level.
$2.58 โ another local support level.
$2.28โ$2.30 โ a very strong support zone that has been tested multiple times.
๐ Pattern and Momentum:
A breakout from a wedge-shaped downtrend with very high volume and long bullish candles indicates strong demand.
We are currently observing a correction/rejection at $3.02 โ a possible short-term pullback.
๐ Oscillator โ Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI oscillator is in the overbought zone (near 100) โ indicating possible consolidation or correction.
The curves are starting to curve downwards โ a potential signal for a slight correction in the coming days.
๐ง Scenarios:
โ
Bullish (continued growth):
If the $2.95โ$3.02 level is broken strongly and confirmed (e.g., by a daily candlestick closing above it), the target will be $3.40.
In this case, a quick rally to $3.40 is possible without major obstacles.
โ ๏ธ Bearish (correction):
If the $3.02 zone holds as resistance, the price could retrace to $2.75 (the first local support).
If downward pressure persists, $2.58 could be tested.
๐ Summary:
XRP is in a strong uptrend after breaking out of long-term resistance.
In the short term, overbought prices on the Stoch RSI could trigger a correction to $2.75.
Key resistance: $3.02 โ breaking it could signal further gains towards $3.40.
It's worth monitoring price reaction in this zone and candlestick confirmation.
Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after holding above the Pullback Support Zone and is now trading around 3,359, attempting to build momentum toward higher resistance levels.
The structure remains bullish with price trading above both the 50MA and 200MA , which are starting to slope upward and act as dynamic support.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,354 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at 3,383 and potentially 3,400, with 3,416 and 3,440 as higher-timeframe resistance targets.
If price fails to hold above 3,354 and begins to fade, watch the Pullback Support Zone (3,335โ3,305) closely for signs of renewed buying interest.
A clean break below that zone would shift focus to the deeper Support Zone (3,289-3,267) and potentially the HTF Support Zone (3,241โ3,208) if selling pressure builds.
๐ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
โฃ 3,364
โฃ 3,383
โฃ 3,400
โฃ 3,416
Support:
โฃ 3,354
โฃ 3,335
โฃ 3,305
โฃ 3,289
โฃ 3,267
โฃ 3,241
โฃ 3,208
๐ Fundamental Focus
All eyes are on todayโs U.S. CPI release
BTC/USD 1H ShortTerm๐ Trend:
The short-term uptrend remains in effect, supported by the orange trendline.
The price has tested dynamic support but has not yet broken it.
๐ฅ Supports (Important Levels):
๐ป 1. 119.550
Key support.
The price is currently testing it. Holding = potential upside rebound.
Breaking = greater downside risk.
๐ป 2. 117.260โ118.040 USD
Clear demand zone (reinforced by prior consolidation).
If the price breaks below current support, this is the next logical stopping point.
๐ป 3. 115.237โ115.500 USD
Strong weekly support โ very important in the event of a stronger correction.
Historically, it has responded many times.
๐ฉ Resistance:
๐ผ 1. USD 121.673
The nearest local resistance โ this could pose a problem for further growth.
๐ผ 2. USD 123.961
The last local high. Breaking it confirms the continuation of the uptrend.
๐ผ 3. USD 125.785
The next resistance โ a potential target after a breakout to the upside.
๐ Technical Indicators:
RSI (classic):
Still below 50, but starting to reverse slightly upward โ neutral with a slight potential for a rebound.
Stochastic RSI:
Gives a long signal โ the lines have crossed in the oversold zone and are pointing upward.
๐ Scenarios:
๐ข Bullish:
Maintaining the current support zone (119.5โ120k).
Breakout above 121.673 โ target: 123.961.
Breakout of 123.961 = trend confirmation and target: 125.8k+
๐ด Bearish:
Break of the trend line and support at 119.550 โ possible quick decline to 117.2kโ118k.
If this doesn't hold, target: 115.2k
โ
Summary:
Decisive moment โ tested trend line + support = rebound or breakout point.
The Stochastic RSI indicates a potential upside breakout, but the RSI needs confirmation.
Careful monitoring of volume and reaction to 120k in the coming hours.
AUDUSD: Short Setup Ahead of Key Data OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD is hovering near a rising trendline, with price action compressing and signaling a potential downside break in the coming sessions.
Just above, the 0.65900 resistance zone has capped recent rallies, and the pairโs failure to clear this level strengthens the case for a reversal.
Later today, we will see Westpac Consumer Confidence data for Australia, which could act as a catalyst for a sharp move. A weaker-than-expected print would likely pressure the Aussie further.
๐ Entry Checklist:
โ
Testing rising trendline, signaling potential breakdown
โ
Strong resistance at 0.65900 holding rallies
โ
Key consumer sentiment data could trigger volatility
๐ Trade Plan:
๐ป Sell Entry: 0.65600
โ Stop Loss: 0.66200
โ
Take Profit: 0.65000
(Tap ๐ Trade Now ๐ on mobile to copy SL & TP easily)
๐ฐ Fundamental Snapshot:
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85%, diverging from expectations of a potential cut. The RBA remains cautious amid persistent inflation risks driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, suggesting rates may stay restrictive longer.
Governor Michele Bullock highlighted that inflation could remain above forecasts, while Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser emphasized monitoring global uncertainties, including U.S. tariff developments, reflecting the RBAโs sensitivity to external headwinds impacting growth and trade.
MKR/USDT 4H Chart๐ 1. Technical Pattern:
The chart shows a descending wedge (orange lines) that has broken out upward.
The breakout occurred on increasing volume (a signal of bullish strength).
The price is currently trading above a resistance line, which is now acting as support (~1980 USDT).
๐ 2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support (red lines):
1903 USDT โ local consolidation support.
1801 USDT โ strong support at the previous bottom.
1727 and 1632 USDT โ fallback zones in case of strong declines.
Resistance (green and blue lines):
2120 USDT โ first target after the breakout.
2168 USDT โ another strong resistance from the previous consolidation.
2312 USDT โ high resistance, potential target if the uptrend continues.
๐ 3. Indicators:
๐น Stochastic RSI:
Close to the overbought zone, but not yet giving a sell signal.
A short consolidation or correction may occur in the coming hours.
๐น MACD:
The MACD line is above the signal and the histogram is still rising โ a buy signal.
No signs of weakening momentum.
๐น RSI:
The RSI is rising, but not yet in the overbought zone (>70).
Shows the strength of the trend, but there is room for further upward movement.
๐ง Summary and scenarios:
โ
Bullish scenario:
If the price remains above 1980 USDT, the next targets are:
2120 USDT
2168 USDT
Potentially 2312 USDT with continued demand
โ ๏ธ Bearish scenario (less likely at this time):
If the price returns below 1980 USDT and does not regain this level:
Possible return to 1903 or lower (1801 USDT).
EURUSD Eyes Key Levels Ahead of DataFOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD is trading within the 1.1680 โ 1.1810 range ๐, continuing its upward momentum during the Asian and early European sessions ๐โฌ๏ธ.
โก๏ธ Markets are now focusing on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU ๐ค, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment ๐.
๐ Today at 12:30 p.m. UTC ๐ง, the U.S. Jobless Claims report ๐ may trigger volatility across all USD pairs โ ๏ธ. Stronger-than-expected data could delay Fed rate cuts ๐ฐ๏ธ๐ป and push EURUSD below 1.1700 ๐ฉป, while weaker figures may weigh on the U.S. dollar ๐ตโฌ๏ธ and lift EURUSD above 1.1800 ๐.
๐ We will monitor these levels closely for potential breakout opportunities. Stay tuned for live updates!
LINK/USDT (Chainlink to Tether) from the 4H intervalโก๏ธ Technical situation โ quick overview
โ
Breakout from the descending channel (purple lines)
โ
Resistance zone 14.42 โ currently being tested
โ
Target within the breakout range โ around 17.73 USDT
โ ๏ธ Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone โ local correction possible
๐ช Descending channel โ broken!
The descending channel that has been in place since mid-May has been broken upwards.
Such breakouts often signal a change in the local trend.
Theoretical range of movement = channel height (~3.30 USDT) added to the breakout point (around 14.42) = ~17.73 USDT โ perfectly aligned with your resistance level.
๐ข Key Resistance Levels (green):
Level Meaning
14.42 USDT Current tested resistance โ psychologically significant
15.65 USDT Local high + June price gap
17.73 USDT Potential target after a breakout โ range from the formation
๐ด Support Levels (red):
Level Meaning
12.73 USDT Support from the pre-breakout consolidation
11.91 USDT Key defensive level of the uptrend
11.07 / 10.12 USDT Historical support with strong demand reactions
๐ Stochastic RSI (oscillator):
Currently deep in the overbought zone (above 80).
This may indicate local exhaustion of momentum and a short correction before further upward movement.
However: in strong trends, the RSI may remain high for an extended period โ it does not automatically provide a sell signal.
๐ Bullish scenario:
Retest of the 14.42 level as support โ confirmation of the breakout
Then a move towards:
15.65 โ local stop
17.73 โ final target from the channel breakout
๐ฉ Stop-loss: e.g., below 12.73 USDT (loss of key support)
๐ Bearish scenario:
False breakout and decline below 14.42
Loss of the 12.73 level โ possible quick decline to 11.91โ11.07
๐ด In this case, a new swing low could open the way to 10.12 USDT.
๐ Summary:
Element Rating
Technical Pattern โ
Breakout from a descending channel (bullish signal)
Current Level โ Test of Key Resistance โ Decision Point
RSI (Momentum) โ ๏ธ Overbought โ Correction Possible
Upside Potential (Target) ๐ 17.73 USDT
Threat โ False breakout and return to below 12.73 USDT
๐ง My suggestion (not investment advice):
Observe the price reaction at 14.42 โ if it holds above and consolidation forms โ a signal to continue.
If the 4H/1D candle closes below, consider caution, as this could be a bull trap.
ETH/USDT 1W Chart๐ Trend structure (Price Action)
Downtrend (historical):
A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) โ a classic downtrend.
Confirmed by the orange downtrend line.
A change in structure โ a possible beginning of an uptrend:
A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL).
Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards.
Currently:
The price is testing the upper downtrend line.
A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change.
๐ข Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines):
Level Meaning
3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation
2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested
3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH)
๐ด Key Support Levels (Red Lines):
Level Meaning
2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout
1.883 USDT Early 2023 support
1.507 USDT Local bottom
1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme
๐ Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator):
Currently in the overbought zone.
This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout.
However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time.
๐ Potential scenario:
If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds:
A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target.
Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH).
If the breakout fails:
Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower.
There is a risk of returning to a downtrend.
โ
Bullish signals:
Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL).
Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout.
Volume is increasing (based on candles).
โ ๏ธ Bearish threats:
Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone.
Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767).
Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move.
๐ Conclusion:
Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
XRP/USDT 4H๐ 1. Trend and moving averages
Red line (SMA 10) โ short-term, currently rising, which suggests upward momentum.
Green line (SMA 20) โ also in the upward trend and below the price โ dynamic support.
Blue line (SMA 50/200) โ probably SMA 50 or 200 โ the price has broken through it from below and is currently above it โ this is a pro-growth signal.
๐ Conclusion: In the short and medium term, a reversal of the trend to growth is visible.
๐ 2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD line has crossed the signal line from below, which is a buy signal.
The MACD histogram is rising and is above zero โ further confirmation of the upward trend.
๐ Conclusion: The upward momentum is increasing.
๐ช 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is currently at ~62, which means that:
We are still ahead of the overbought zone (70).
RSI is rising โ it suggests bullish buyer pressure.
๐ Conclusion: There is still room for further growth before the market is overbought.
๐ 4. Market structure and resistance/support
The price is in the 2.30โ2.35 USDT zone, which previously acted as resistance.
The closest resistance is around 2.38โ2.40 USDT โ the level from May, where the decline occurred.
The closest support is around 2.20 USDT (in line with the green SMA) and stronger at 2.05โ2.10 USDT (earlier consolidations).
๐ Conclusion: Breaking 2.40 opens the way to a test of 2.50 and above.
๐ง Technical Summary
Aspect Rating
Trend (SMA) โ
Up
MACD โ
Buy
RSI โ ๏ธ Near overbought
Resistance/Support โ ๏ธ Resistance at 2.38โ2.40
Movement Potential โ
To 2.50 or higher
๐ Potential scenarios:
โ
Bullish (uptrend scenario)
A hold above 2.30 and a breakout of 2.40 could give an impulse for further gains towards 2.50โ2.60.
Strong confirmation would be an increase in volume.
โ ๏ธ Bearish (correction scenario)
A rejection from 2.38 and a drop below 2.20 could initiate a retest of support at 2.05 or even 1.95.






















