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ETH/USDT 1W review1. Broken uptrend The black upward trend line has been clearly broken down. โžก๏ธ This is a signal of a change in the market structure from uptrend โ†’ downtrend. โธป 2. The current candle is under the important support of USD 3,070 You marked the ~3070 level as previous support. Now the price is clearly below it, which suggests: โ€ข breaking support, โ€ข a retest from below may occur, โ€ข continuation of declines is likely. โธป 3. Another important support on the chart I see strong levels: ๐Ÿ”ด #1 Support: $2,830 - $2,900 (current price) This is the zone where the price is trying to hold โ€“ but it looks like there is a weak reaction. ๐Ÿ”ด Backer #2: $2,147 This is a wide zone where the upward impulse previously began. โžก๏ธ If ETH drops below 2800-2830, the next logical target is 2150-2200. โธป 4. RSI (1W) shows a downward trend โ€ข RSI is around 40, which is close to the oversold zone. โ€ข The RSI trend has been down for months. โ€ข No bullish divergence (no trend reversal signal). โžก๏ธ This supports the narrative of further declines. โธป 5. Candle structure - clear downward momentum Some previous candles: โ€ข large red bodies, โ€ข no aggressive buying, โ€ข reflections are weak, โ€ข The weekly candle currently looks bearish. โธป ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Summary Based on the chart: Short-term and medium-term trends: downward The price broke key supports Most likely scenario: โžก๏ธ Continued declines to USD 2,150-2,200 if the 2830 level is broken and the weekly candle closes below. โธป ๐Ÿ“ˆ When would things look like they would turn around? Only if: โœ”๏ธ Price will return above 3070 โœ”๏ธ And will maintain a weekly close above this level โœ”๏ธ RSI will bounce up and divergence will appear Then we can talk about a greater chance of returning to 3,500 and beyond.
by cryptodailyuk
NONFARM returns after many days of closure1. Trendline Descending trendline (upper): Strong dynamic resistance, price is repeatedly rejected โ†’ main trend remains bearish. Ascending trendline (lower): Dynamic support, but has just been broken downward โ†’ buying pressure is weakening. 2. Key Support Levels 3,926 โ€“ 3,969 (Fibo 0.5โ€“0.618): Strong confluence zone, the main target if the ascending trendline breaks. 3,891 (Fibo extension 1.0): Deep support, potential area for a short-term bottom. 3. Key Resistance Levels 4,135 โ€“ 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 + supply): Strongest resistance, price faced strong rejection here. 4,192 โ€“ 4,200 (Fibo 0.618): Higher resistance, aligned with the descending trendline โ†’ strong selling confluence. Trade Ideas BUY GOLD : 3948 โ€“ 3950 Stoploss: 3938 Take Profit: 100โ€“300โ€“500 pips SELL GOLD : 4148 โ€“ 4150 Stoploss: 4160 Take Profit: 100โ€“300โ€“500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS โ€“ BTC (4H)๐Ÿ“‰ 1. Main trend โ€“ still down I see a clear downward trend channel (yellow lines) on the chart. The price is moving in the lower half of the channel, which means that supply pressure is still dominant. 2. Rebound, but under strong resistance The recent upside breakout looks more like a correction in a downtrend than a reversal. The closest resistance levels I see on the chart: 94,500 โ€“ 95,000 โ†’ EMA + local level 96,000 โ€“ 96,500 โ†’ next EMA 98,000 โ€“ 99,000 โ†’ key level where the SMAs are located Until BTC breaks above 96,500โ€“97,000, there's no way a sustained trend reversal will occur. 3. Current Reaction at the SMA/EMA The price touched the red moving average (SMA?) but was rejectedโ€”a classic reaction in a downtrend. This signals: a lack of buying power, a predominance of supply in the 93,300โ€“94,500 area. 4. Support Levels I See At the bottom, you have specific lines that make sense: 89,900โ€“90,000 โ†’ key support 89,500 โ†’ marked level 87,600โ€“86,500 โ†’ lower part of the channel + previous bounce If BTC loses 89,500, a move to the 87,000โ€“86,500 area is very likely. 5. MACD โ€“ early, but cautious signal The MACD has started to move up, but: there is no clear crossover yet, the histogram is weak. Interpretation: The rebound continues, but there is no confirmation of a trend change. 6. RSI โ€“ slightly bullish, but neutral RSI ~49, so: it is not oversold, it is not overbought, there is room for both a further rebound and a decline. The RSI does not provide a strong directional signal. ๐Ÿ“Œ Summary โ€“ what looks most realistic? Baseline scenario (60% chance): continued decline Price will rebound to: 94,000โ€“95,000, possibly to the upper band of the channel (95โ€“96K), and be rejected โ†’ a decline to 89,500, and then 87,000โ€“86,500. Bullish scenario (40%): breakout of the channel We need to see: a 4-hour candle close above 96,500, preferably a retest and hold, only then can we talk about a trend reversal and a move towards 98,500โ€“100,000. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market assessment (neutralโ€“bearish) Everything indicates that we are only in a correction within the descending channel. Until BTC breaks ~96.5K, the advantage is on the bears' side.
by cryptodailyuk
What will be the next gold trend on November 18th?1. Trend and Trend Lines Prices are trading below a major descending trend line. โ†’ The overall trend remains down. The long-term ascending trend line (red) has already broken out, signaling weakening buying pressure and increased downward pressure. 2. Key Resistance 4.103 โ€“ 4.105: Strong resistance zone where the Fibonacci (0.618โ€“0.5), horizontal resistance, and EMA overlap. โ†’ Selling is likely to reassert itself in this price range. 3. Key Support 3.932 โ€“ 3.940: This is the strongest support zone, overlapping the Fibonacci extension at 2.618. This is an important low point in the bearish structure. 4. Price Scenario If prices fail to retest the resistance at 4.103, โ†’ A continued decline along the downward trend is likely. The next target is around 3.932 โ€“ 3.950. Summary Major Trend: Downward Strong Resistance: 4.103 โ€“ 4.105 Target Support: 3.932 โ€“ 3.950 Structure: Trendline Break + Fibo Extension โ†’ Prefer Downward Scenario BUY GOLD: 3932 โ€“ 3930 Stop Loss: 3922 Take Profit: 100โ€“300โ€“500 pips SELL SCALP GOLD: 4064 โ€“ 4066 Stop Loss: 4073 Take Profit: 100โ€“300โ€“500 pips SELL GOLD: 4103 โ€“ 4105 Stop Loss: 4115 Take Profit: 100โ€“300โ€“500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
BTC Dominance Analysis โ€“ 1D๐Ÿ“Š 1. Main Trend BTC.D is still moving within a large, ascending trend channel (yellow lines). The price has currently rebounded from the lower band of the channel and is heading towards its center. The long-term trend remains bullish, but short-term momentum is weakening. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Key Levels on the Chart Supports 59.20% โ€“ currently tested support + EMA 50 and SMA 50 โ†’ a very important level. Its loss = downward pressure on BTC.D, favorable for altcoins. 58.24% โ€“ next strong support level โ†’ if 59.20% falls, a move to 58.24% is very likely. 57.05% โ€“ key structural support โ†’ breakout = the ascending trend is broken, altcoin season is off to a strong start. Resistance 60.87% โ€“ local resistance from multiple candles + MA/EMA crossover 61.65% โ€“ strong upside target 64.68% โ€“ trend extreme (upper band of the channel) โ†’ if BTC moves solo, this level will be tested. ๐Ÿ”ต EMA / SMA 50/200 I can see a few key things in the screenshot: The 50 EMA is below the 200 EMA โ€“ technically a death cross โ†’ a short-term bearish structure. The price is exactly below the 200 EMA and stuck to the 50 EMA. โ†’ this is a typical consolidation zone before a breakout. Conclusion: If BTC.D breaks 60.8% โ†’ momentum returns to BTC's side. If it falls below 59.20% โ†’ altcoins receive a signal to rebound. ๐Ÿ”ด MACD The MACD is above 0, but the crossing line is bearish (the blue line crosses the signal from above). The histogram turns red. Conclusion: Momentum is decreasing โ†’ a short-term bearish signal. ๐ŸŸฃ RSI RSI is around 53, which is neutral. A downward breakout of the MA onto the RSI โ†’ a weakening impulse. Conclusion: The RSI does not support a strong move either up or down โ€” but the slight slope suggests a correction. ๐Ÿ“Œ SCENARIOS ๐ŸŸข Bullish (pro-BTC) Condition: 60.8% breakout โžก๏ธ Targets: 61.6% 64.6% (channel top) This means: โžก๏ธ BTC dominates the market โžก๏ธ ALTs are bleeding or stagnating ๐Ÿ”ด Bearish (pro-alts) Condition: 59.20% breakout โžก๏ธ Bearish targets: 58.24% 57.05% โ†’ and this is where the real alt season begins This means: โžก๏ธ Alts are starting to pump harder โžก๏ธ BTC is losing dominance ๐ŸŸก Neutral / sideway BTC.D between 59.2% and 60.8% โ†’ range consolidation, lack of major market decision โ†’ typical for periods when the entire crypto market stands still and "waits"
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 1H Short-Term (maintaining support)๐Ÿ“‰ MARKET STRUCTURE 1. Trend The chart shows a clear falling wedge, which statistically is a pro-growth patternโ€”breakouts most often occur upwards. Upper wedge line: ~96,400 USDT Lower wedge line: ~93,750 USDT The price has just rebounded from the lower edgeโ€”this is a key demand level. ๐Ÿ“Š SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS Support (demand): 93,750 โ€“ lower wedge line 93,300 โ€“ strong chart level 92,650 โ€“ lower support, strong volume reaction Resistance (supply): 95,000 โ€“ 95,450 โ€“ local resistance (supply often returns here) 96,400 โ€“ resistance key + upper wedge line ๐Ÿ“ˆ INDICATORS Stoch RSI (1h) We have rebounded from the oversold level. The %K line is breaking the %D line upwards โ†’ a signal of a potential short-term rebound. MACD The histogram is decreasing, but the first signs of flattening are visible. The MACD line is still below the signal line, but is approaching โ†’ momentum for a reversal is beginning. Volume Volume increased on bearish candles, but near the bottom, two demand candles with increased volume appeared โ†’ buyers reacted at support. ๐Ÿ“Œ CONCLUSIONS โœ”๏ธ Bullish short-term scenario (more likely at this point): Bounce from 93,750 + rising indicators = local upward correction. Targets: 94,800 โ€“ 95,000 95,450 96,400 (upper band of the wedge โ€” an important decision point) โŒ Bearish scenario (if support breaks): A drop below 93,750 on strong volume opens the door to: 93,300 92,650 (a large defensive level โ€” aggressive demand could enter here)
by cryptodailyuk
What will the gold price be next week 11-21/2025?๐Ÿ“Š Support โ€“ Resistance โ€“ Fibonacci Analysis 1. Trend Overview Price has broken below the ascending channel, signaling a shift into a corrective downtrend phase. 2. Key Resistance Zone 4,155 โ€“ 4,170 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement 0.5 โ€“ 0.618 Overlaps with a supply zone + EMA20 โ†’ Strong resistance, high probability of selling pressure. This is also the expected pullback/retest area before the next bearish leg. 3. Key Support Levels Support 1 โ€“ 4,108 Fibonacci extension 1.0 Horizontal support โ†’ Likely to generate a short-term reaction. Support 2 โ€“ 3,950 (Fibo 2.618) Major downside target if the structure fully breaks โ†’ Primary bearish target for a deeper continuation. 4. Price Scenario Price may pull back toward 4,155 โ€“ 4,170, then: โ†’ Resume the downtrend, targeting 4,108. A clean break below 4,108 opens the path toward 3,950 (Fibo 2.618). BUY GOLD : 3950 - 3947 Stoploss : 3937 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4250 - 4253 Stoploss : 4263 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
BTC 1W Chart !๐Ÿ”ฅ 1. GENERAL TREND (1W) The long-term trend is still upwards because: โ€ข the price stays in the orange channel, โ€ข the black trend line (key) has not been broken. But at the same time: โžก๏ธ We see correction after local ATH around 115-120k. This is a typical cyclical decline after breaking out from the extremes. โธป ๐Ÿ”ฅ 2. KEY LEVELS OF YOUR CHART Closest support (S) 1. 94 315 โ†’ current retest 2. 85,895 โ†’ key trend support 3. 74,896 โ†’ the most important defensive level against mega relegation Nearest resistances (R) 1. 105,901 โ€“ the first serious resistance 2. 114 437 โ€“ strong ceiling 3. 125,907 โ€“ potential target for a new growth impulse โธป ๐Ÿ”ฅ 3. STOCHASTIC SITUATION (1W) Stoch is deeply oversold โ†’ a signal of a potential rebound. On a weekly basis, such signals usually mean: โ€ข local minimum, โ€ข beginning of a new growth wave in the 4-8 week window. โธป ๐Ÿ”ฅ 4. MARKET STRUCTURE (PRICE ACTION) The current candles suggest: โ€ข a strong defense attempt on 94k, โ€ข getting closer to the black trend line, โ€ข there is still room to move higher in the orange channel. This looks like: โžก๏ธ a correction in the upward trend, not a change in the trend. โธป ๐Ÿ”ฅ 5. SCENARIO FOR THE NEXT WEEKS ๐ŸŸข Growth scenario (more likely) Condition: maintaining 94k or black trendline Targets: โ€ข 105,900 โ€“ first target โ€ข 114,400 โ€“ medium target โ€ข 125 900 โ€“ full swing to the upper edge of the channel Probability: 60-70% (because Stoch is sold out + entry to support the channel) โธป ๐Ÿ”ด Downside scenario (less realistic) Condition: weekly close below the black trendline Only then do we fly: 1. 85,900 2. 74,900 โ€“ an absolute must-hold A break of 74,900 would mean: โžก๏ธ end of the growth channel โžก๏ธ entering a long-term bear market Probability: 30-40% โธป ๐Ÿ”ฅ 6. Summary in points Current situation โ€ข BTC is sitting right on support. โ€ข Weekly Stochastic = buy signal. โ€ข Growth channel still intact. โ€ข The market looks like it's getting ready to rebound. If 94k stays โ†’ we go to 105k+, then 114k. If he hits the black line โ†’ 85k and 74k in the game.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Gold price developments today, November 141. Trendline Descending trendline (upper red): Price is repeatedly rejected here โ†’ a strong dynamic resistance. Ascending trendline (lower red): Price has bounced multiple times โ†’ an important dynamic support, forming a confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. 2. Resistance 4,215 โ€“ 4,225: Supply zone + confluence with the descending trendline โ†’ a high-probability selling area. If price breaks strongly above 4,225, the next expansion target is 4,244. 3. Support 4,172 โ€“ 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 โ€“ 0.618): Nearest support, likely to see a reaction. 4,127 โ€“ 4,130: The strongest support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline โ†’ a potential buying area. 4. Price Scenarios Scenario 1 (primary): Price retraces to retest 4,215โ€“4,225, gets rejected โ†’ declines toward 4,155 or deeper to 4,127. Scenario 2: If the descending trendline breaks, price could rally strongly toward 4,244. BUY GOLD : 4127 - 4130 Stoploss : 4113 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4221-4224 Stoploss : 4233 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
BTC/USD 4H chart ๐Ÿงญ 1๏ธโƒฃ Market structure โ€ข We see a clear upward channel (black trend lines) - the price has been moving within it for several days/weeks. โ€ข Current price: ~USD 101,630, which is just above the lower border of the channel (dynamic support). โ€ข Latest high: ~$107,360 - this is local resistance. โ€ข Final low: ~$99,000 - this is key psychological and technical support. โžก๏ธ Medium-term trend: still upwards, but currently in a downward correction wave ๐Ÿ“‰ 3๏ธโƒฃ Technical indicators ๐Ÿ”ธ Stochastic RSI (bottom panel) โ€ข Both components (blue and orange lines) are close to the oversold zone (<20). โ€ข This is a signal that sellers may be losing momentum, and a rebound from the lower support is possible in the coming hours. โธป โš–๏ธ 4๏ธโƒฃ Short-term scenarios (4H โ€“ 1D) ๐ŸŸข Bull scenario (probability around 60%) โ€ข The rate remains above USD 101,400 (lower border of the channel). โ€ข Stochastic RSI begins to rebound โ†’ buy signal. โ€ข Potential move up to: โ€ข USD 103,900 (first target) โ€ข USD 105,900 (second target) โ€ข USD 107,300 (main resistance) โžก๏ธ Scenario invalidation: 4H candle close below USD 101,000. โธป ๐Ÿ”ด Bear scenario (probability approx. 40%) โ€ข Breakout of the USD 101,000 level with a 4H close below. โ€ข Decline to $99,000-99,200 zone (major support). โ€ข If this support breaks, next goals: โ€ข $97,800 โ€ข $95,000 โธป ๐Ÿ“Š 5๏ธโƒฃ Technical signal (4H) โžก๏ธ Decision Zone: $101,000-$101,800 โžก๏ธ Technical signal: possible short-term rebound (RSI oversold, close to channel support). โžก๏ธ Confirmation: 4H candle closing above USD 102,000 with volume - then a chance of a move to USD 104-106k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USD 1D Chart๐Ÿงญ Overall Market Picture Bitcoin is in a medium-term downtrend, as confirmed by: a descending channel (marked with white lines), lower highs and lower lows, price below the key EMA and SMA. The price is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, so it will be crucial whether it manages to break out of it to the upside or rebounds further down. ๐Ÿ”น Key Price Levels Support: $100,650 โ€” short-term support, previously seen price reactions. $98,550 โ€” next demand level from late October. $96,950 โ€” lower boundary of the descending channel, potential target for continued declines. Resistance: $106,300โ€“$106,500 โ€” current resistance (upper boundary of the channel + SMA100). $109,700โ€“$110,000 โ€” strong resistance converging with the EMA200 and SMA200. $112,000+ โ€” channel breakout and trend change. ๐Ÿ”ธ Technical Indicators 1. MACD The histogram is starting to turn positive (descending red). The MACD line is attempting to cross the signal from below โ€” a potential bullish signal, but not yet confirmed. โžก๏ธ Indicates a possible short-term upward correction within a downtrend. 2. RSI (14) Value: ~40.5 โ€” low, but has rebounded from oversold levels. No bullish divergence, but the RSI is rising from below, suggesting a potential technical bounce. โžก๏ธ Still more upside than downside before entering the overbought zone. ๐Ÿ”น Moving Averages EMA50 (~109,970 USD) and EMA200 (~110,380 USD) are above the price, confirming the downtrend. The EMA50 < EMA200 cross holds โ€“ a classic death cross. SMA100 (~106,300 USD) has just been tested โ€“ a key level that could determine the direction of the coming days. ๐Ÿ”ธ Short-Term Scenarios ๐ŸŸฉ Bullish (30โ€“40% chance) Breakthrough of the upper channel line (~106.5k USD) + daily close above 107k USD. Confirmation of the MACD and RSI signal > 50. Targets: 109,700 โ†’ 111,500 โ†’ 113,800 USD. โžก๏ธ A medium-term trend reversal is then possible. ๐ŸŸฅ Bearish (60โ€“70% chance) Bounce from the upper channel line and fall below 102kโ€“101k. Continuation of the downtrend. Targets: 100,600 โ†’ 98,500 โ†’ 96,900 USD. โžก๏ธ In this scenario, the market will maintain a lower high/lower low structure. โš™๏ธ Summary Trend: Down, but with a short-term rebound attempt. Key moment: reaction to the 106kโ€“107k USD level. If the channel with volume breaks, a bullish reversal. If a rebound, a new low around 97kโ€“99k USD is very possible.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Taking tiny profits from very short-term trades USDJPY USDJPY Technical Outlook - 11 Nov 2025 USD/JPY consolidates at 154.322 (8:25 AM UTC+4) within a critical decision zone โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” โšก EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Price action reveals Wyckoff distribution characteristics following the October surge. Dow Theory signals weakening momentum with lower highs forming. Gann analysis identifies 154.50 as a pivotal resistance level, while 153.80 provides critical support through Square-of-9 calculations. โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐Ÿ”ฌ CROSS-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS ๐Ÿ’  Daily Perspective: Spinning top candlestick cluster near 154.00 suggests indecision; Ichimoku cloud support rests at 152.50; RSI 48 (neutral territory) ๐Ÿ’  4-Hour View: Rectangle consolidation pattern (153.80-154.50); bearish divergence on RSI; EMA50/EMA200 flat (trend exhaustion) ๐Ÿ’  1-Hour Structure: Potential head-and-shoulders formation with neckline at 153.80; VWAP oscillating around 154.15; volume declining ๐Ÿ’  30-Minute Action: Descending triangle forming; Bollinger Bands in extreme squeeze (bandwidth 0.6%); hidden bear divergence ๐Ÿ’  15-Minute Setup: Bearish pennant below 154.40; Tenkan55 + VWAP reclaim โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐ŸŽฏ BREAKOUT SCENARIOS โฌ†๏ธ Upside Break: Sustained 1H close above 154.50 opens 155.00 target (invalidates H&S;) โฌ‡๏ธ Downside Break: 1H close below 153.80 activates 153.20 measured move (H&S; completion) โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐Ÿ“‰ TECHNICAL INDICATOR CONSENSUS RSI (Multiple TFs): Bearish divergence on 4H; neutral 1H; overbought 15M Bollinger Bands: Extreme squeeze on 30M signals imminent volatility expansion VWAP: Acting as dynamic resistance; sellers defending 154.20 Moving Averages: Death cross risk on 4H (EMA21 approaching EMA50 from above) Ichimoku: Price below cloud on 1H; Chikou span trapped below price (bearish) โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” โš ๏ธ CRITICAL PATTERN ALERTS ๐Ÿšจ Head-and-shoulders neckline at 153.80 (breakdown = -70 pip target) ๐Ÿšจ Harmonic bearish Gartley forming; PRZ completion at 154.50 ๐Ÿšจ Bull trap risk above 154.40 if volume remains weak ๐Ÿšจ Elliott Wave suggests Wave C correction targeting 153.50-153.20 โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐Ÿ• TIMING & CATALYSTS Tokyo session close at 09:00 UTC typically triggers volatility BoJ intervention zone historically around 155.00+ (extreme caution) Gann time cycle suggests reversal window 10:00-12:00 UTC ATR(14) = 0.85 (elevated intraday range expected) โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ RISK PARAMETERS Position Size: Limit to 0.75% account risk (intervention uncertainty) Avoid holding through London open (08:00 GMT) without stops Scale out 40% at first target; trail remainder with 20-pip buffer False breakout probability HIGHโ€”wait for confirmation closes โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” This analysis serves educational purposes. Central bank intervention risk remains elevated. Trade with strict risk management and adapt to evolving price action.
by sunya
GBPJPY IDEA FOR OCT, 11TH 2025.The price is breaking new highs, which signals bullish momentum. If the price holds its current zone of resistance, that signals expectations of short-term selling power. Before it continues upwards, the price is still overall bullish. As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what I see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully. This is not financial advice; trade responsibly.
Long
by BlaedTrading
ETH/USDT 1D Chart๐Ÿ“Š Current situation โ€ข Price: approx. USDT 3,402 โ€ข Main trend: downwards - there is a clear downtrend line (black line) which acts as strong resistance. โ€ข Key zones: โ€ข Resistance: 3490-3990 USDT (green zones) โ€ข Support: 3185 and 2700 USDT (red zones) โธป ๐Ÿง  Market structure โ€ข ETH moves below the trendline, confirming the dominance of sellers. โ€ข After the recent decline, there was a rebound from the support at USDT 3185, but buyers' power is limited - daily candles have long upper wicks โ†’ supply pressure. โ€ข If the price does not break through USDT 3,490โ€“3,500, there is a risk of a retest of the USDT 3,185 support, and if it is broken, a possible decline to around USDT 2,700. โธป โš™๏ธ Stochastic RSI (bottom of chart) โ€ข Stochastic RSI is in the oversold zone (approx. 30), but the lines have not moved significantly upwards yet - i.e. there is no confirmed buy signal. โ€ข If the indicator starts to curve upwards and crosses above 20, it could indicate a short-term rebound (upside potential to USDT 3,490). โธป ๐Ÿงญ Scenarios ๐Ÿ”บ Growth scenario (less likely) โ€ข Breaking the trendline and staying above 3490 USDT will open the way to 3990 USDT. โ€ข Requires increased buying volume (volume looks rather neutral for now). ๐Ÿ”ป Downside scenario (more likely) โ€ข Rejection from 3490 USDT or from the trendline โ†’ drop to 3185 USDT. โ€ข Breakout of 3185 = move to 2700 USDT (strong support from previous consolidations). โธป ๐Ÿ“ˆ Summary โ€ข Trend: downward โ€ข Short term: possible rebound to 3490, but the risk of further decline remains high. โ€ข Key level to watch: 3,490 USDT (if it does not break, it is better to avoid longs). โ€ข Potential long signal: only after breaking the trendline and retesting with confirmation of RSI > 50.
by cryptodailyuk
LTC/USDT 1D๐Ÿ•ต๏ธโ€โ™‚๏ธ The overall picture โ€ข Price: 102.50 USDT โ€ข Trend: The current downtrend is down (black downtrend line), but we are currently breaking above the trendline, which may signal a change in direction. โ€ข Interval: Daily (1D) โธป ๐Ÿ“Š Key technical levels โ€ข Resistance 1: 106.99 USDT โ€ข Resistance 2: 119.25 USDT โ€ข Support 1: 95.61 USDT โ€ข Support 2: 89.65 USDT โ€ข Support 3: 79.90 USDT The current candle has broken above the downtrend line and the level of 95.6 USDT, which is a bullish signal. โธป ๐Ÿ”ฅ Volume โ€ข You can see a big increase in volume during today's bullish candle - this confirms that the buyers are in control. โ€ข This is a classic example of a confirmed breakout from a downtrend. โธป ๐Ÿ“ˆ Candles โ€ข Today's candle is a strong demand candle (green) with a large body. โ€ข If today's close stays above the trend line (~100 USDT), it will be a technical confirmation of the breakout. โธป โš™๏ธ Stochastic RSI indicator โ€ข The blue line (RSI) is rebounding from the oversold area (<20) and heading upwards - this is a buy signal. โ€ข The orange line begins to turn in the same direction, which may indicate the beginning of an upward impulse. โธป ๐Ÿ’ก Scenarios: ๐ŸŸข Growth scenario (more likely): โ€ข Maintaining the price above 100 USDT = breakout confirmed. โ€ข Potential targets: โ€ข 106.99 USDT โ€“ first test of resistance, possible short pullback. โ€ข 119.25 USDT โ€“ main target in the medium term (approx. +16%). ๐Ÿ”ด Downside scenario (if the breakout turns out to be false): โ€ข Return below 95.6 USDT and closing of the daily candle there = false breakout signal. โ€ข Then a possible decline to 89.65 USDT, and with further weakness even 79.90 USDT.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 1W Chart๐Ÿ“Š Market Structure: Main Trend: Still up (higher lows and highs pattern persists). Current Phase: Correction in an uptrend. Local Trend: Down for several weeks (series of red weekly candles). โš™๏ธ Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance (green lines): 4,753 USDT โ€“ recent local high, very strong resistance. 4,373 USDT โ€“ previous consolidation level, currently a supply zone. 3,979 USDT โ€“ current key local resistance, which previously served as support. Support (red lines): 3,600 USDT โ€“ currently tested support level (coincides with the uptrend line). 3,165 USDT โ€“ next strong support level (previous local lows). 2,740 USDT โ€“ strong long-term support, potential target for further correction. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Trendline: The black uptrend line connects successive higher lows since April 2024. The current weekly candlestick is testing this line (confluence with support at 3,600 USDT). Maintaining this line = still a bullish medium-term scenario. A breakout and weekly close below ~3,580โ€“3,600 USDT โ†’ a signal of a possible trend reversal. ๐Ÿ“‰ Volume: Downward volume is increasing, indicating supply pressure. A lack of strong demand candlesticks = buyers are cautious in this zone. ๐Ÿ”„ Stoch RSI Oscillator (bottom of the chart): Located in the oversold zone (below 20). The %K (blue) and %D (orange) lines are starting to converge โ†’ a possible rebound signal in the coming weeks if a crossover occurs upwards. ๐Ÿงญ Scenarios: ๐ŸŸข Bullish Holding support at 3,600 USDT + trendline. Confirmation with a bullish candle with higher volume. Target: Return to 3,980 โ†’ 4,370 USDT. ๐Ÿ”ด Bearish: Closing the week below 3,580 USDT (trendline + support). Potential decline to 3,165 USDT, and even 2,740 USDT beyond. RSI and volume suggest that downward pressure remains significant. ๐Ÿ“Œ Summary: Key level: 3,600 USDT โ†’ decisive point for the market's further direction. Short-term: Still downward pressure, but a technical rebound is possible (Stoch RSI). Medium-term: The uptrend has not reversed until ETH closes below the trend line and 3,550 USDT.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Short-Term๐Ÿ“‰ Descending Channel (black lines) The price previously moved within a clear descending channel, which was broken upward. A breakout from the channel signals a change in the short-term trend โ€“ from supply pressure to an attempted rebound. From a technical perspective, a breakout from a descending channel often leads to an upward correction, the extent of which is at least the midpoint of the previous downward impulse. ๐Ÿ”ท Triangle Formation (blue lines) After breaking out of the channel, the price formed a symmetrical triangle (consolidation) โ€“ a sign of market indecision. Triangles of this type are often trend continuation patterns, but in this context โ€“ after a breakout from a descending channel โ€“ an upward breakout (i.e., a further upward rebound) is more likely. The key resistance level to watch is $111,145 โ€“ a breakout with volume confirmation would open the way to $112,320 and then $113,921. ๐Ÿงญ Key Technical Levels Resistance: $111,145 โ€“ local resistance (upper boundary of the consolidation/triangle). $112,320 โ€“ another strong resistance level from the previous local high. $113,921 โ€“ major medium-term resistance. Support: $110,442 โ€“ lower boundary of the triangle (short-term support). $108,793 โ€“ support after the recent bounce. $107,285 โ€“ next demand level. $104,969 โ€“ bulls' defensive boundary in the broader context. ๐Ÿ“Š Stoch RSI (bottom of the chart) The Stoch RSI oscillator is currently in a rebound phase from the neutral level (~40โ€“60). If the lines (blue and orange) cross upwards and enter the zone above 80, this could confirm bullish momentum and a breakout from the triangle to the upside. However, a rejection from 60 and a further drop below 20 would signal a false breakout and a possible retest of USD 108,800. ๐Ÿ”Ž Scenario Summary โžก๏ธ Upside Scenario (more likely): Breakout from the triangle to the upside (confirmed by a 1-hour candle above USD 111,150). Potential move to USD 112,300 โ†’ USD 113,900. Momentum indicators support a rebound if the Stoch RSI maintains its upward trend. โฌ‡๏ธ Downside scenario (alternative): Unsuccessful breakout and return below $110,400. A correction to $108,800 can then be expected, and if this level is broken, a further decline to $107,300.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH Tests Support โ€“ Is This the Beginning of a Rebound?๐Ÿ“‰ Market Structure We see a descending channel, bounded by two black trend lines. Upper Boundary: ~$4,700 Lower Boundary: currently around $3,700, representing strong dynamic support. The price is currently hovering slightly above the lower edge of the channel, suggesting a possible rebound, but the market remains in a medium-term downtrend. ๐Ÿ” Support and Resistance Levels Support: $3,770 โ†’ currently being tested, crucial in the short term. $3,643 โ†’ next strong support from previous lows. $3,453 โ†’ last line of defense against a steeper decline. Resistance: $3,889 โ†’ closest resistance, current local ceiling. $4,041 โ†’ strong resistance resulting from prior consolidation. USD 4.265 โ†’ a line that, if broken, could signal a change in the medium-term trend. ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Indicators Stochastic RSI Located near the oversold zone (below 20), with a slight upward curve. ๐Ÿ”น Signal: Potential upside move (bounce) in the short term if the %K and %D lines cross upward. MACD The MACD line is slightly below zero, but is starting to curve upward and may soon cross the signal line. ๐Ÿ”น The histogram is starting to decline on the negative side โ€“ this is often an early bullish signal (possible change in momentum). โš–๏ธ Scenarios ๐Ÿ”น Bullish If ETH holds above USD 3,770 and the Stoch RSI confirms the rebound, a possible move towards: 3,889 โ†’ USD 4,041 โ†’ USD 4,265. A break above USD 4,265 could open the way to USD 4,500+ (upper band of the channel). ๐Ÿ”ป Bearish Loss of support at USD 3,770 โ†’ a signal of weakness. Then the next downside targets: USD 3,643, then USD 3,453. If USD 3,453 breaks, possible tests of the lower band of the channel โ€“ even around USD 3,300. ๐Ÿงญ Summary Main trend: downward (descending channel). Short-term bias: neutral-bullish (potential for a rebound from support). Key level to watch: USD 3,770 โ€“ maintaining this level could trigger a rebound, loss = risk of a steeper decline.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USD 1D Chart๐Ÿ“‰ Trend Structure Bitcoin is currently in a medium-term downtrend, as evidenced by the descending channel (black trend lines). Each bounce from the upper edge of the channel has ended in a decline, and recent tests of the lower boundary suggest that the market is respecting this channel as a primary structure. โš™๏ธ Key Technical Levels Resistance (green lines): $123,345 โ€“ strong resistance from the previous high and the channel breakout boundary. $115,179 โ€“ local resistance that has been tested several times and rejected. Support (red lines): $107,482 โ€“ currently tested support level; breaking it could strengthen supply pressure. $104,929 โ€“ next strong support level near the local lows from September. USD 98,841 โ€“ critical support โ€“ lower channel zone, potential capitulation or rebound zone. ๐Ÿ“Š Volume Volume is increasing on the declines, suggesting that the current downward move is supported by seller activity. No significant accumulation volume at the lows โ€“ the bulls have not yet taken control. ๐Ÿ”„ Stoch RSI Oscillator The Stoch RSI is approaching the oversold zone (around 20), but has not yet reached it. If the %K and %D lines extend below 20 and then cross upward, this will signal a potential technical rebound. For now, momentum is negative (bearish). ๐Ÿงญ Scenarios ๐ŸŸฅ Bearish Scenario (more likely at this point) A breakout of the $106,000 level opens the way to $104,900 and then $98,800. Continuing the downward movement within the downward channel could lead to the lower edge of the channel around $100,000 in November. ๐ŸŸฉ Bullish Scenario (Bounce) Defending the $106,000 level and a positive signal from the Stoch RSI could lead to a bounce around $115,000. Only a breakout of the upper edge of the channel (~117,000โ€“118,000) with volume confirmation would signal a trend reversal. โš ๏ธ Summary Trend: Downtrend (descending channel) Momentum: Bearish Key level to watch: USD 106,000 Potential rebound area: USD 104,900 โ€“ USD 98,800 Stoch RSI: Near oversold โ†’ possible short-term rebound
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 1W๐Ÿ”น Overall Trend We are still in an uptrend (trend line maintained from the March low). However, momentum is weakeningโ€”a series of lower highs is forming, suggesting a local correction within the main trend. ๐Ÿ”น Key Technical Levels ๐ŸŸข Resistance: 4,179 USDT โ€“ the current level that the price is testing as resistance. 4,407 USDT โ€“ the next strong resistance, where previous rejections occurred. 4,877 USDT โ€“ the main resistance resulting from the August highs. ๐Ÿ”ด Support: 3,916 USDT โ€“ almost identical to the above (demand zone). 3,561 USDT โ€“ key structural support; loss of this level = possible trend change. ๐Ÿ”น Formation and Structure The current pattern could form a potential ascending triangle, with the trendline (black) connecting the lows and the horizontal resistance lines marking the upper boundary of the consolidation. If a breakout occurs above 4,180โ€“4,400, a move to 4,800+ is possible. However, if we break the trendline and 3,900, a move to 3,560โ€“3,400 could occur, or even a test of 3,000 with significant selling pressure. ๐Ÿ”น Volume Volume is decreasing during consolidation โ†’ typical of an accumulation or distribution phase. No clear breakout signal โ€“ the market is waiting for a trigger (e.g., macroeconomic data, ETFs, news about ETH 2.0). ๐Ÿ”น Stochastic RSI (Bottom of the chart) Located in the oversold zone (<20). The %K line (blue) is attempting to cross the %D line (orange) from below โ€“ a signal of an early rebound. If confirmed next week, a local rebound from the 3,900โ€“4,000 zone could occur. ๐Ÿ”น Scenarios: โœ… Bullish: Breakout from the trendline + breakout above 4,180 โ†’ target 4,400, then 4,880. Confirmation by increasing volume and the Stoch RSI emerging from oversold territory. โŒ Bearish: Breakout of the trendline and 3,900 โ†’ target 3,560, then 3,200. Increasing downward volume + no bullish reaction at the support levels.
by cryptodailyuk