XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥”
The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown:
Previous Liquidity Sweep
Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August.
This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure.
Strong Impulsive Rally
From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback.
However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction.
Resistance & PRZ Reaction
The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level.
Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move:
1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500
This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point.
Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support)
If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
Retracement
IQV - BUY ON DIPS IQV - CURRENT PRICE : 184.08
From May to July, IQVIA (IQV) staged a strong upward rally, supported by rising volume. Following this advance, the stock underwent a healthy retracement, consolidating recent gains without breaking its long-term uptrend. Take note that the up trendline is still intact.
Currently, price action shows signs of support around the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level , coinciding with both the Ichimoku Cloud and the 50-day EMA . This confluence suggests the retracement phase may be complete, presenting a good opportunity to apply a Buy on Dips strategy as the stock prepares for its next upward leg.
ENTRY PRICE : 183.50 - 184.50
TARGET : 205.00 and 215.00
SUPPORT : 166.00
CISCO: bearish pattern foundCisco (CSCO) Forecast:
Double gap pattern spotted for Cisco (CSCO), with expectations for the price to decline to the $64-$65 range in the next days.
Confirmation
This forecast is supported by my script, "Volatility Bars".
Additional Insights
I expect that the price will retest support area $64-$65 before initiating a new bullish trend.
Keep an eye on market conditions and any news that may impact Cisco's performance.
Trading Ideas
Short Position:
Entry: Current market price
Take Profit (TP): Set at 5%-6% below the current price.
Long Position:
Entry: Wait for a retracement to the $64-$65 area to buy.
Feel free to share your thoughts or any additional insights!
The day after a new higher highHello fellow traders! 👋
It seems like so many times again, the market went in a different direction than you may have expected. 🤷♀️
After multiple positive words from members of the Fed, a rate cut is likely to happen and is getting priced in. 📉 On Friday, July 29, we got some good economic data from the U.S., but the market acted differently. 🤔 Why is this? The data wasn't worse than expected; it was as expected. The market is taking this as a sign—a sign for higher prices. But, and this is a fact, many retail traders aren't. 😥
It's not about confusion; it's about the market (and us as traders) not having priced in all the possibilities. 🤯
The truth is, they are lying to you. They (the government) are telling people and the news that things are about to get fixed and will be good, but they aren't. 🤥 If you think the data we got on Friday is true, think again. Look at the data; you'll see the forecast was as expected, but in reality, the numbers are better than before. Do you get it? The obvious conclusion isn't always the real one. 💡 In my opinion, the U.S. economic data everyone is talking about is much better than many people think because the news is written to make it seem bad. 😒 You can think whatever you want, of course!
Price went up, not down, and a rally was chased. Many stop-loss orders were hit and turned into a cascade of higher prices. 📈 Institutions are buying gold, yes, because the dollar is cheap (?), and a rate cut is coming with a very high probability. 💰 So they buy gold, which results in many people's (and that's a good thing) stop-loss orders being executed. 👏 (sorry)
I've seen it in the past, and you can see it too if you look at my data table. Whenever a very high gold price was reached, a correction followed. 📉
I expect a correction on Monday or Tuesday, and this correction will lead to at least $3418, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In my view, $3403 is the 0.5 level and more realistic. If you look at the table I put in the image, you can see that the day after a high price like we had today, the correction was always at the 0.5 Fibonacci level or more! 📊
Don't think it won't happen; they will trap you in any way they can, such as with fakeouts... 😈
Believe in the market and its structure because, until now, there has never been a day without a correction after a rally like this! 💪
Monthly Outlook – September 2025 📊 Monthly Outlook – September 2025 (XAUUSD)
Hello traders,
Gold closed August with a strong full-body bullish candle above 3440, pressing into premium territory. The absence of a lower wick highlights dominant buyer control, but the market is extremely stretched compared to its dynamic supports. September will be decisive: either continuation into fresh highs, or a corrective retracement back into structural demand.
🔹 Monthly Structural Zones
Monthly Supply 3460–3500 → premium supply, untested liquidity pocket where sellers may attempt control.
Monthly Liquidity Wick 3250–3120 → not an Order Block, but a deep liquidity sweep where institutions previously accumulated.
Monthly Demand 2800–2850 → major accumulation area + last higher low on monthly structure.
🔹 EMA Confluence (Monthly)
EMA 5 → tightly riding price, confirming bullish momentum.
EMA 21 → around 2800, aligning with monthly demand (key confluence if pullback).
EMA 50 → 2200, long-term support.
EMA 100 → 1843, mid-term anchor.
EMA 200 → 1578, ultimate macro support.
💡 Interpretation: Price is extremely extended above all EMAs. A healthy retracement toward EMA 21 (2800) is possible if momentum slows, but as long as candles close above EMA 5, bulls remain in full control.
🔹 Progression Map
Bullish path (continuation):
Break & hold above 3460–3500 → opens 3550–3600.
If momentum persists → expansion toward 3700–3720.
Monthly close above 3720 confirms price discovery into new ATH territory.
Bearish path (retracement):
Rejection at 3460–3500, slip under 3400 → first correction toward 3320.
If downside continues → test into 3250–3120 liquidity wick (expect liquidity sweep & re-accumulation, not clean OB mitigation).
If 3120 fails → deeper move toward 2850 demand, where EMA 21 adds strong confluence.
🔹 Macro Context
Dollar strength and global bond yields remain the main driver.
Gold’s parabolic climb increases the chance that September prints at least a corrective wick.
Institutions may revisit the liquidity wick 3250–3120 for re-accumulation if a deeper pullback sets in.
🔹 Monthly Bias – September 2025
Primary Bias: Bullish → above 3300, gold remains in strong uptrend with EMA 5 support.
Neutral → if price consolidates between 3400–3300 after rejection from 3460–3500.
Bearish shift → only if the monthly candle closes below 3120, opening the way to 2850 (EMA 21 confluence).
✨ What do you think about this September map? Drop your thoughts below don't forget to 🚀🚀🚀 and follow GoldFxMinds 👇 and let’s get ready for the big monthly battle 🚀
Gold XAUUSD Long-term BullishThe monthly chart on XAUUSD shows a great BULLISH setup.
A horizontal support level around the $1955 has been broke and confirmed.
Also, a descending trendline support has been broke and confirmed.
Price is currently retracing down and re-testing near prior support which is expected to hold. This is an excellent trading opportunity with low risk and high reward.
Entry = 1955 to 1960
TP = 2060
SL = 1945
Note: This is a long-term chart and therefore very reliable.
Possible Retracement Level for the Cable. Looks like price will continue selling. I'd like to see price retrace back into the 1.3445 - 1.3432 area, before it heads for the discount arrays.
The relative equal lows tell me price is still headed down, before a significant retracement.
September seems to be the month where we'll see big moves. Be on the look out; time to load your guns!
Why Is Crypto Tumbling? A Trader's Guide to the Recent Sell-OffWhy Is Crypto Tumbling? A Trader's Guide to the Recent Sell-Off 📉
🚨 If you're watching the markets today, you've seen the sea of red. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins have experienced a significant pullback, leaving many to wonder about the cause.
While sharp drops can be unsettling, for the strategic trader, they are critical moments to analyze, not to panic. The current downturn isn't random; it's driven by a convergence of clear geopolitical, technical, and macroeconomic factors.
Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening behind the charts:
1. Geopolitical Uncertainty 🌐
High-stakes diplomatic meetings are underway involving the US, EU, and Ukrainian leaders to discuss the Russia-Ukraine peace deal. Markets inherently dislike uncertainty. As traders await a clear outcome, many are de-risking their portfolios, leading to selling pressure on assets like cryptocurrencies.
2. A Healthy Market Reset 📊
The crypto market just came off a powerful rally where many assets saw gains of 50-100%. This rapid rise led to a buildup of high-leverage positions. Today's dip is forcing a "leverage flush," liquidating over-extended traders. While painful for some, this is a standard market mechanism that washes out speculative excess and often creates a more stable foundation for future growth.
3. Shifting Macroeconomic Tides 📉
Just a week ago, a September interest rate cut was seen as a certainty. Now, recent economic data has slightly lowered those odds. Financial markets, including crypto, are incredibly sensitive to central bank policy. The market is now pricing in this small but significant shift in expectations, contributing to the downward pressure.
The Trader's Perspective: Opportunity in Volatility 💡
So, what does this all mean? It underscores a core principle of successful trading: volatility has a source.
For the prepared trader, this isn't a signal to abandon ship. It's a signal to consult your strategy. This is precisely the kind of environment where a clear, data-driven forecast becomes invaluable.
By understanding the root causes of the sell-off, you can better anticipate market structure, manage risk, and identify potential zones of support where "smart money" may begin to re-accumulate.
This is where the difference between a professional and a novice trader becomes clear. Experienced traders welcome every correction or pullback in the market, seeing it as an opportunity to re-enter and profit from the next upward wave. 📈
Therefore, instead of worry and stress, shift your focus to finding key reversal points and defining new entry zones (Watchboxes) for future trades at more attractive prices. View this price correction as a strategic opportunity, not a threat. 🚀
What are your thoughts on this pullback? Are you seeing it as a risk or an opportunity? Let's discuss in the comments. 👇
Trade Smart!
Navid Jafarian
Cable & Fibre!So, generally I'm happy with the way the market is going. Though a little bit uncertain about how high it wants to go before it resumes its downward spiral, things are going good so far.
Looking at Cable, on an hourly chart, we see that between 06:00 am and 08:00 am (New York Time), there is FVG formed and to its left, there is a breaker. This a perfect setup for me, but I will wait to see if price actually wants to go above the 1.3477 level to reach for the 4H as well as 1H FVG.
I've put a sell limit on the fibre at 1.1635, but I will remove it for now, 'till I have confirmed whether price will go above 1.1698 level, to go into the 4H FVG, the mid-point thereof. I have a sell limit there with a stop loss at .1745.
Decision Zone for DXY This Week: Around 97.600After a significant downward expansion in DXY, we observed a consolidation around last week's low. This week, the market opened with a pullback.
The first stop for this pullback appears to be the current daily fractal high candle and the weekly bearish FVG on the chart. We can assess potential selling pressure from this area on lower timeframes. We'll be monitoring the wicks within this zone, along with any newly forming FVGs.
If the price breaks above this area, our next points of interest will be the gaps within the zone above the 0.5 swing level, and ultimately the swing high itself as the final target.
Given the current setup, we believe there are promising trading opportunities on EURUSD.
Take care until the next update!
USDCHF Signals Wave 3 With Double Bottom!OANDA:USDCHF has not only formed a Double Bottom Pattern but also may be generating a potential Elliot Impulse Wave!
Bulls are giving the April & June Lows of .8038 - .8088, another go for a second time today after surpassing the first attempted High created July 17th to break above the level.
So far Price today has broken above July 17th Highs and if Bulls are able to hold this level, this would Confirm:
1) A Breakout of the Double Bottom
2) Wave 3 continuing the Impulse Wave in the Elliot Wave Theory!
The Higher Low @ .79106 created on July 25th, broke the downtrend structure as a 78.6% retracement of the Lower Low @ .78719 created July 1st which was a new 14 Year Low, finishing Wave 2 and initiating Wave 3 of the Impulse Wave.
The Extension of Wave 3 typically will end at the 1.236% or 1.618% level which gives us 2 potential Price Targets to start:
Price Target 1) .81479 - 1.236%
Price Target 2) .82213 - 1.618%
Once Wave 3 has ended, we will look for opportunities at the Wave 4 - Wave 5 juncture!
"Three Drives" And EURJPY Bulls Could Be Out!!OANDA:EURJPY has potentially been forming quite a rare Reversal Pattern, the Three Drives Pattern, after making a Bullish Breakout of the Triangle, lets break it down!
Three Drive Patterns are very similar to ABCD patterns except for one thing, a Retracement instead of a Reversal after the CD Leg is finished!
In the CD Leg, Price creates quite a Trading Volume Gap between 172.1 - 171.8 and after Price declines from Point D (normally a Short Opportunity on an ABCD Pattern), Price actually makes a 61.8% Retracement of CD, creating Point E in that very Price Range and moves up, which "drives" a strong case that we potentially could be looking at a Three Drive Pattern!
Now that we have Point E, we can use the Fibonacci Retracement Tool to help give us an idea on where the Extension of the EF Leg could potentially end and the Fibonacci Levels suspected are:
123.6% --> 173.585
138.2% --> 173.795
161.8% --> 174.134
Once Price has made an Extension, shows Reaction, and moves Down from these levels; this could generate a great Short Opportunity!
AVAX – Watching for Support Retest After Resistance TestAVAX is currently testing a major resistance level, and we’re anticipating a potential retrace into support. The $19.00–$20.45 zone offers a strong area to enter a long swing position on confirmation of the retest.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $19.00 – $20.45
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $22.50 – $24.00
o 🥈 $27.00 – $30.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $18.50
Bulls Could "Wedge" Their Way Into Higher Prices On EGOANDA:EURGBP has made some impressive moves up since the Low from May 29th and Price just fell short of the Highs of April 11th before falling into a very familiar Bullish Pattern, the Falling Wedge!
The Falling Wedge is typically a Bullish Pattern where we expect Price to give us a Bullish Break of the Falling Resistance and Successful Retest of the Break before Price heads Higher!
Wedge Patterns can play both Reversal and Continuation Patterns dependent upon the location they form and surrounding Major Support/Resistance or Highs/Lows. In this case, we will be looking for a Continuation with Price being in an Uptrend before pausing slightly for a Consolidation Phase to form the "Triangle" of the Pattern.
*It is important to note that both the Falling Resistance and Falling Support have only been tested twice where three tests of both Trendlines should point to a strong equilibrium from both Bears and Bulls, validating the legs of the Triangle and strengthening the Consolidation Bias. ( So we could see Price test the Falling Resistance one last time before falling down to the Falling Support for a 3rd test! )
Lastly, when it comes to a Wedge Pattern, we should suspect that once Price makes a 3rd Test of the Falling Support and Retraces to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ .85887, this will signal the End of the Consolidation Phase!
- And this will be the time to enter!
**Once the Pattern is Confirmed and Breakout is Validated, based on the "Flagpole" or Rally prior to Price falling into the Consolidation Phase we can anticipate Price to potentially rise to the most recent High on April 11th of .87374 and give the next Previous High on November 16th 2023 of .87657 a try!
Fundamentally, news is light this week for both currencies in the pair with GDP m/m releasing for GBP on Friday, July 11th with a Forecast of .1%, a .4% increase from June's -.3%
Also, CPI y/y for GBP will be released the following week on Wednesday, July 16th.
EURJPY Readies Triangle Breakout w/ Elliot WaveOANDA:EURJPY has formed a Triangle Pattern with a Rising Support and Resistance Zone @ 169.5 - 169.7 area.
After the False Breakout last week on Friday, we see Price falls back within the Pattern and finds strong Resistance from the zone.
Now based from the High - to Low - to Lower High where price made a 50% - 61.8% Retracement, we can plot the Trend Based-Fib Tool that suggests with the change of trend ( Price printing a Lower High ) we can expect Lower Prices to come and potentially a Bearish Breakout to the pattern!
First we will want to see where the next Lower Low will be ( currently @ 168.934 ) then wait for a Retracement to a favorable Fibonacci Level based from the Lower High to Lower Low.
Fundamentally, the EUR will have CPI Flash Estimates on Tuesday, and multiple Services PMI on Thursday with ECB President Lagarde speaking Tuesday and Wednesday. This could add volatility!!
Stay Tuned!
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook 16-20 JuneHello traders 👋,
A powerful week ahead with extremely sensitive fundamentals in play.
🔎 Macro Fundamentals
🔥 FOMC rate decision + press conference coming up. This will set the tone for USD and risk markets.
🏦 FOMC statement + economic projections will guide the next dollar liquidity wave.
📊 Key US consumer data via Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales.
🏠 Housing sector updates: Permits, Starts, NAHB.
📈 Business inventories, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index, TIC flows.
⚠ Volatility expected to spike heavily mid-week during the Fed.
The market is positioned for liquidity grabs, with strong potential for traps both sides. Execution requires sniper discipline.
🔬 Technical Structure — Weekly Chart Context
Weekly bullish BOS confirmed.
Weak High sitting at 3448, currently challenged.
We are extended in premium territory after multiple bullish expansions.
Main premium OB zone: 3445 - 3465, highly reactive zone.
Discount demand stands lower around 3320 - 3280 and 3100 key weekly equilibrium.
EMAs remain fully locked bullish.
RSI approaching extended levels (71), risk of profit-taking spikes remains.
🎯 Key Weekly Levels
Type Zone Comment
🔼 Resistance 3445 – 3465 Active premium trap zone
🔼 Resistance 3502 1.272 Fibonacci extension
🔼 Resistance 3572 1.618 Fibonacci extension
🔼 Resistance 3649 2.0 Fibonacci extension
🔽 Support 3320 – 3280 Last valid weekly OB
🔽 Support 3100 Weekly equilibrium & demand
🧭 Weekly Bias
🔧 Primary bias: bullish continuation still intact while weekly structure remains protected. Watch for sweeps above 3445-3465.
🔧 Potential correction risk from high-impact fundamentals (FOMC). Buy dips if structure holds.
🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below!
Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision.
— GoldFxMinds
AUDJPY Begins Elliot Correction After Wave 5 Impulse EndsOANDA:AUDJPY seems to have started a Elliot Correction Wave after the Impulsive Elliot Wave came to a finish once Wave 5 ended this morning @ 93.774.
Now after an Impulsive Wave ends, its theory that a Correction comes next and with Price having Retraced to the Golden Ratio creating a Lower High, this is the beginning signs of that theory in the works!
The Sequence will be confirmed once Price Breaks below Point A @ 93.248 where then we should suspect Price to find itself back down into the 92 range where the Correction Wave should come to an end.
RSI is trading back below 50 confirming Price has room to move lower strengthening the Bearish Bias.
GU Bulls Raise "Flag" Eyeing Higher PricesFX:GBPUSD has formed a Bull Flag and we could be getting ready to see the Bulls take the spotlight!
After Price broke through the Previous Level of Structure, Price retraces the High of 1.35589 to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ 1.35022 and is supported pushing Price back up from the Previous Level of Structure.
-The 50% retracement signals the end of the Consolidation Phase of the Pattern.
Now with a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can suspect that Price will give us a Bullish Breakout of the Descending Channel and Retest before moving higher Confirming the Pattern and once the Breakout is Validated!
Based off the "Flagpole" of the Pattern, if a Bullish Breakout is Validated and the Retest is Successful, the extension of the Set-up would place the Price Target @ 1.3640 which is at the next big level of Resistance.
EU Prints Three Black Crows!FX:EURUSD has printed a strong Triple Candlestick Pattern called Three Black Crows after having made a 50% Retracement of the failed Higher High @ 1.1407.
This 50% Retracement found price testing a Previous Low and Resistance Zone where price now has broken a Previous Level of Structure being Support and is now on its way up to Retest this Break!
If Price is able to Retrace back to the Level of Structure @ ( 1.1336 - 1.1340 ) and shows signs of Resistance, this could deliver Short opportunities to take Price down to the Next Levels of Support @ 1.131 & 1.126!