US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout
After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated.
However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken.
If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
• The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in.
• A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising.
• That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs.
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🎯 Personal View
The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset.
A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up.
If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions.
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💬 In summary:
The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally.
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Retracement
Bears Looking To "Correct" Price Gap on EJHere we can see OANDA:EURJPY after many attempts of testing the Rising Support as Support, has broken down below it suggesting not much Support may come from it!!
This comes after Price had made a series of events that would seem a Correction is at hand.
Once Price made the Low (Point A) @ 174.812, Bulls were unable to make a Higher High and settled for a Lower High (Point B) at the 50% Retracement Level @ 176.384.
With the Low being the Confirmation Point for the potential Correction, once Price is able to Break Down below, this will Validate the Set-Up and will generate Short Opportunities to take Price down to the next Support Level which happens to be at the 1.236 Extension of 172.508!
US100: Price action around important imbalance📊 SKILLING:US100 Analysis: Detailed trading scenario at key price level 24,443.6 🚀
The US 100 30-minute chart is currently illustrating a clear picture of price movements with significant support and resistance zones. At the moment, the price is undergoing a strong correction after a deep decline and is approaching crucial price areas, creating multiple potential trading opportunities for investors.
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Support Zone 24,284.6 – The starting point for a potential bounce 💥
Currently, the price is nearing the technical support level around 24,284.6 – a key support area that is expected to hold considerable buying interest, potentially triggering a short-term bounce. Buyers may step in here to prevent further declines and initiate a recovery trend.
Careful observation of price action around this zone is essential as it will determine the market’s next momentum: whether the price will rebound or break lower.
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Immediate Resistance Levels and the Imbalance Zone at 24,443.6 🔍
Following a bounce from the 24,284.6 support, the expected scenario is a gradual move upwards to test important resistance levels:
• First at 24,369.9, where initial selling pressure may emerge, challenging the upward momentum.
• Next at 24,443.6, identified as a significant imbalance zone on the chart — a price level where price previously moved rapidly, creating a notable supply-demand gap.
• This zone acts as a technical “wall,” a crucial checkpoint before the price can continue its upward trend or get pushed back down.
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Detailed Price Movement Scenario 🔄
1. Price bounces from the support at 24,284.6, setting the stage for a recovery leg.
2. Price moves up to test the first resistance at 24,369.9; the reaction here indicates the buyers’ strength.
3. Price then challenges the imbalance zone at 24,443.6 — where significant selling pressure may occur.
4. At this level, two scenarios may unfold:
• Price breaks above 24,443.6, confirming the uptrend and targeting the next resistance at 24,621.9.
• Price rejects this zone, leading to selling pressure that pushes price back to retest the 24,284.6 support or even lower.
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Downside scenario if support at 24,284.6 fails 🛡️
In the worst case, if price breaks below the crucial support at 24,284.6, further declines toward a broader support zone at 24,067.5 are likely. This level may act as the next key area for price stabilization and buyer interest before any potential rebound.
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USDCHF To Fall Further After Price Confirms Reversal @ .79797Price on OANDA:USDCHF has confirmed the Bearish Reversal @ .79797 and has formed a Lower Low!
Based from the Lower High @ .80577 to the Lower Low @ .79328, the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement level finds itself right at the Confirmation which happens to be the next area that will be favorable for a Short Opportunity!
Once the 38.2% level is visited, we can expect Price will fall down to the next Support Level at the 1.618 Extension or Golden Ratio at .7902!
Got The GUTS For Stocks? Fractyl Health, Inc. Prints A Bull FlagNASDAQ:GUTS has printed a Bull Flag and with Price making a Retracement to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ $1.28, the Consolidation Phase of Price should be coming to and end!
This could mean its time to Buy Stock in Fractyl Health, Inc!
Once able to Breakout of the Descending Channel of the Flag, Price on Fractyl could keep pushing up!!
Currently the Analyst 1 Yr Price Target is set for $6.76, almost a 400% gain!
The company is also making great strides in weight loss study's and obesity gene therapy!
US30: Rebound before the stormTechnical Outlook – Wall Street Index (30-Minute Chart)
After the announcement that the U.S. will impose a 100 % tariff on Chinese imports, Wall Street ⚡ plunged sharply, leaving behind distinct Imbalance zones and an unfilled GAP lurking below current price levels.
At present, price is hovering around 45,950 💵, showing a modest rebound after tapping into a short-term demand zone. Above, two notable Imbalance areas stand out — around 46,000-46,150 and 46,250-46,450 - both formed as aggressive sell orders flooded the market following the latest wave of trade-war headlines 🌍.
The likely scenario 🎯:
Price could continue to retrace upward ↗️ to test one of these supply/imbalance zones before sellers re-enter the market. If selling pressure remains dominant, the index may resume its decline toward the GAP area around 45,500 - 45,650 📉, where liquidity is still unfilled and buyers may look to step back in.
Current price action indicates a corrective pullback rather than a full reversal. Trading volume is thinning 📉, candlestick patterns show signs of exhaustion 🕯️, and the upper imbalance zones remain untouched — all signaling that sellers still hold the upper hand.
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🌍 Fundamental Context – U.S. vs. China Tensions Heating Up
On October 10, President Trump officially declared a 100 % additional tariff on Chinese goods, effective November 1, 2025 — the most aggressive move since the 2018-2019 trade war.
Beijing immediately condemned the plan, warning of “corresponding countermeasures”, including restrictions on rare-earth exports and higher port fees on U.S. vessels. While strong in tone, China has so far stopped short of announcing a direct tariff retaliation, signaling a cautious approach while keeping the door open for talks.
Washington, meanwhile, insists the measure aims to “protect American interests and reduce over-reliance on China’s supply chains,” but officials also noted that negotiations remain possible if China shows “substantive goodwill.”
Financial markets reacted swiftly 💥:
• U.S. and Asian equities dropped 2–3 % on average.
• USD strengthened, while gold and JPY rallied as safe-haven flows increased.
• Tech and industrial stocks with strong China exposure saw the largest losses.
Overall, risk sentiment remains fragile as investors brace for a prolonged phase of trade uncertainty.
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💡 Trading Summary
Short-term structure favors a sell-the-rally approach. The market may retest upper imbalance zones before resuming its downtrend toward the 45,500 USD GAP area.
If U.S.–China tensions intensify further, downside momentum could accelerate. Conversely, any sign of renewed dialogue or tariff delay could trigger a short-term rebound — but bias remains bearish until the market reclaims 46,300 USD convincingly.
In short: patience, risk control, and reaction to headlines are key this week. ⚖️
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US100: Pullback to fill the GAP below
🧩 SKILLING:US100 – Pullback scenario targeting the GAP support zone
📊 30-Minute Chart Analysis
On the 30-minute timeframe, US100 is showing signs of a short-term corrective move after failing to hold its previous support zone.
Price is currently trading below the Trend indicator’s resistance area, suggesting that sellers have regained temporary control.
After a strong drop, the market is forming a technical pullback to retest the resistance zone. This is often where traders look for opportunities to continue following the prevailing bearish momentum.
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🧭 Trading Scenario (For Analysis Purposes Only)
• Potential SELL Zone: 24,650 – 24,740 (resistance and Trend zone)
• Target Area: 24,250 – 24,350 (GAP support area below)
• Invalidation Level: Above 24,750 — if price closes above this level, the short-term bearish structure could be invalidated.
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🔎 Technical Outlook
• Short-term trend: Bearish
• Market structure: Forming a pullback–continuation pattern
• Trend indicator: Has flipped bearish, confirming renewed selling pressure
• GAP support: Likely to act as a key area for potential stabilization or reaction from buyers
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⚠️ Important Note
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Traders should combine this view with their own risk assessment, price action, and macroeconomic context before making any trading decisions.
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💡 Summary:
US100 is in a short-term correction phase. If price continues to reject the 24,700 resistance area, the downside scenario toward the 24,250–24,350 GAP support zone remains valid.
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US100: Breakout signals a strong second bullish leg🧩 Market Context
On the 30-minute chart, SKILLING:US100 index shows renewed bullish momentum after a phase of sideways consolidation. Following a deep correction, price action has started forming higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually regaining control.
🔍 Price Structure and Breakout
Price has recently broken out above a short-term consolidation zone and a rising trendline.
This breakout reinforces the short-term bullish bias and could mark the start of a second upward leg in the current recovery.
Statistically, when a breakout happens after tight accumulation, the next bullish leg often becomes equal to or larger than the previous one, as momentum builds and buyers gain confidence.
📈 Key Price Levels
• Resistance 1: 24,914 – prior rejection zone in the last upward move.
• Resistance 2: 25,074 – distribution area before the previous drop.
• Support: 24,700 – 24,750 (former resistance now acting as potential support).
⚙️ Trading Scenarios (for observation only)
• After the breakout, price may retest the previous resistance zone (around 24,700–24,750) before continuing higher.
• If buyers defend this level, the second bullish leg could extend toward 24,914 and possibly 25,074.
• Conversely, a close back below 24,700 may trigger a deeper pullback before any continuation attempt.
🧠 Summary
The technical structure on US100 favors a short-term bullish outlook. A successful retest of the breakout zone could pave the way for a second upward leg, potentially matching or exceeding the size of the previous rally.
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📌 This analysis is for educational and technical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
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IQV - BUY ON DIPS IQV - CURRENT PRICE : 184.08
From May to July, IQVIA (IQV) staged a strong upward rally, supported by rising volume. Following this advance, the stock underwent a healthy retracement, consolidating recent gains without breaking its long-term uptrend. Take note that the up trendline is still intact.
Currently, price action shows signs of support around the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level , coinciding with both the Ichimoku Cloud and the 50-day EMA . This confluence suggests the retracement phase may be complete, presenting a good opportunity to apply a Buy on Dips strategy as the stock prepares for its next upward leg.
ENTRY PRICE : 183.50 - 184.50
TARGET : 205.00 and 215.00
SUPPORT : 166.00
US100: Imbalance rejection – Bears back in control
🧠 SKILLING:US100 Technical Analysis
🧱 Resistance Zone (Imbalance)
• The 24,900 – 24,950 area acts as a strong resistance, overlapping with a supply/imbalance zone.
• Price has reacted bearish from this level, showing clear selling pressure.
• This is a potential area to look for short (Sell) setups.
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📉 Current Market Structure
• After a sharp bullish retracement, price formed a rising channel 🔵.
• However, inside the highlighted circle, price has broken down from the channel — indicating weakening bullish momentum.
• This breakdown supports a short bias in the short term.
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💡 Trade Plan
• Bias: Look for Sell setups near the resistance zone.
• Confirmation: Wait for a small pullback and a new lower high before entering short.
• Target (TP): Toward the Support zone 24,740 – 24,868 (previous bottom).
• Stop Loss (SL): Above resistance at around 24,950 – 25,000.
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🟢 Support Zone
• The 24,740 – 24,780 area is the previous bottom, where price previously bounced strongly.
• This level might attract profit-taking from sellers or temporary buying interest.
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⚠️ Risk Notes
• If price closes above 25,000 (H1 candle), the bearish scenario becomes invalid.
• Manage position sizing carefully and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
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🧭 Summary
• Short-term Trend: 🔻 Bearish correction
• Mid-term Trend: 🔄 Sideways – waiting for a breakout of either 24,740 or 25,000.
• Current Opportunity: Sell from resistance → Target support zone
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US30: Consecutive breakouts signal an emerging downtrend
SPREADEX:DJI – When price rejects the high, the market begins to shift
On the 30-minute chart, price action is clearly signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a transition toward a bearish structure.
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🧠 Price Action Analysis
1. First Failed Breakout
Price initially broke above the ascending trendline that had held since early October — but failed to hold the breakout.
➤ A classic early warning of buyer exhaustion, often seen during distribution phases.
2. Multi-Layered Resistance Zone
The 46,725 – 46,779 region has become a clustered resistance zone, rejecting price repeatedly.
➤ Multiple rejections here suggest dominant selling pressure, with strong supply overhead.
3. Second False Breakout
A more subtle second breakout attempt followed — but again, price was swiftly rejected.
➤ Consecutive failed breakouts typically indicate a lack of conviction and precede sharp reversals.
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📉 Trend Structure Has Shifted Bearish
• Lower highs and lower lows now visible
• Price broke below the previous trendline
• Pullback attempts failed to reclaim broken support
• Market is respecting resistance instead of support
➡ These are clear signs of a short-term downtrend emerging.
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🔻 Trading Strategy: Favoring Sell Setups in the New Bearish Context
✴️ Scenario 1: Sell at Retest of Proven Resistance Zone
• Optimal Sell Zone: 46,700 – 46,750
• This area has already triggered two failed breakouts — a third touch could be the ideal trap for late buyers
• Watch for bearish rejection candles (pin bars, bearish engulfing, etc.)
Suggested Sell Limit Order:
→ Entry: 46,730
→ Stop Loss: 46,830 (above prior swing high)
→ TP1: 46,500
→ TP2: 46,300
→ Risk-Reward: At least 1:2
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✴️ Scenario 2: Momentum Sell on Breakdown of Local Support
• Trigger Level: 46,580 — if price breaks below with strong momentum (long red candle, increased volume)
• Confirms trend continuation after consolidation
Suggested Sell Breakout Order:
→ Entry: 46,580
→ Stop Loss: 46,680
→ Target: 46,350 – 46,200
→ Tip: Use smaller position size if breakout appears weak to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout
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🎯 Trade Management
• Only enter trades with clear price rejection or momentum confirmation
• Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit to lock in safety
• Exit the trade if price closes above 46,830 — that would invalidate the bearish thesis
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False breakouts leave a trail — for those who know how to read it. It's not a failure. It’s the market whispering that direction has changed.
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Momentum-Backed Retracement + Volume Retest | BadgerFX 📊 This setup establishes directional bias from the monthly chart (Current Bias: 📈 Bullish). The trade idea integrates momentum-driven retracements in line with this bias and validates continuation through structure and volume on the 15m.
📍 1.16880 confirmed the shift in structure, supported by volume, reinforcing alignment with the monthly trend. Final execution 🎯 relies on candlestick precision for entry timing.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The information shared here is for educational and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
BadgerFX 🦡 – Honey Badger Don’t Care
US100: Strong resistance sell setup on the 30-minute chart
📈 SKILLING:US100 — Technical Analysis: Sell Setup Near Strong Resistance
🔍 Technical Analysis:
• Currently, US100 price is approaching a significant resistance zone (highlighted in red). This area has acted as a strong ceiling in recent sessions, where sellers tend to emerge.
• The price has rallied back after a sharp decline but is showing signs of slowing momentum as it nears this resistance. This often leads to a rejection rather than a clean breakout, especially on a 30-minute timeframe.
• Below, the light blue zones represent key support levels, which could serve as realistic targets if sellers regain control. These zones are important areas where buyers previously stepped in, creating potential bounce points.
• The drawn dashed lines illustrate a possible price path: a test of the resistance level, failure to break higher, followed by a pullback and continuation of the downward trend.
• For confirmation of the sell setup, traders should look for reversal candlestick patterns such as rejection wicks (long upper shadows), bearish engulfing candles, or pin bars at the resistance zone. These signals help validate that sellers are gaining dominance.
• Volume and momentum indicators should also be monitored for divergence or weakening bullish pressure near resistance to strengthen the case for a sell.
📊 Trade Considerations:
• Entering a sell position should be done only after clear confirmation of price rejection at resistance.
• Setting a stop loss slightly above the resistance zone helps manage risk in case of a false breakout.
• Targets can be placed near the support zones (light blue areas), with partial profit-taking to lock gains while allowing some position to run if price reacts there.
📌 Summary:
The technical structure of US100 on the 30-minute chart suggests a high probability of price reversal from the strong resistance area. A cautious sell setup is favored, waiting for confirming price action signals to reduce risk. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility near this key level.
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AJ Bulls Raise A Flag As They Gap Up To Start The Week!Price on OANDA:AUDJPY has been consolidating down a Descending Channel for the past 3 weeks and after making a 38.2% Retracement of the 98.425 High, to open this week, Bulls created a huge gap up, breaking out of the Descending Channel!
This Breakout confirms the Continuation Pattern, the Bull Flag!
If Bulls are able to secure a close higher than 98.425 during this Breakout and are successful in a Retest in the 98 - 97.8 range, this could deliver potential Long opportunities as a Bull Flag Breakout and Retest Set-Up!
Once we have a Valid Breakout and Successful Retest, the Price Target for the move will be into the Weekly Resistance that can be found in the 102 range from November Highs of 2024!
US100: Short setup using fib levels from flash candleIG:NASDAQ m30 chart analysis: short action!!
The chart signals a potential short opportunity after breaking the previous bullish structure and printing a strong bearish flash candle. The strategy focuses on shorting the pullback using fibonacci retracement measured from that candle.
🔺 1. Structure break and flash candle confirmation
The price broke below the rising trendline supporting the bullish move from sep 26 to sep 30.
Immediately after, a large bearish flash candle appeared — signaling strong selling pressure and a potential trend reversal.
This candle becomes the reference point for measuring the retracement and anticipating a continuation to the downside.
📏 2. Measuring fibonacci from the flash candle (high → low)
Apply fibonacci from the high to the low of the flash candle.
This technique identifies potential resistance zones within the context of that specific bearish move.
Key fibonacci levels to watch:
0.5: 24,472.0 | 0.618: 24,486.4 | 0.786: 24,506.9
🎯 3. Ideal entry zone: from 0.382 to 0.786
After a strong bearish flash candle, price often pulls back moderately before continuing lower.
The optimal short zone is between fibo 0.382 and 0.786:
This respects the integrity of the bearish impulse.
A retracement smaller than 0.382 may be too shallow to confirm a strong rejection.
A retracement beyond 0.786 might indicate loss of bearish momentum and invalidate the flash candle setup.
🎯 4. Bearish scenario and targets
If price reacts at the 0.382–0.786 zone and resumes downtrend, a potential ABC bearish correction forms:
A: Flash move down
B: Pullback to fib zone
C: Next impulsive leg down
Suggested take-profit levels:
🎯 Target 1: 24,322.1
🎯 Target 2: 24,248.5
🛡️ Stop-loss: above the flash candle’s high (around 24,533)
✅ Summary
After a structure break and a decisive bearish flash candle, us tech 100 is showing a clear bearish setup.
Using fibonacci measured from the high to low of the flash candle helps identify high-probability pullback zones.
📌 Entry zone: between 0.382 and 0.786 retracement — outside this range, the flash candle's power may be invalidated.
This is a momentum-following trade with defined entry, stop loss, and take profit zones.
Wait for confirmation from price action within the fib levels before entering.
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US30: Rejects Resistance – Bearish Move in Progress
The SPREADEX:DJI index is currently forming a bearish short-term structure, especially after price entered the Resistance Zone 1 (46,279 – 46,445) — a key area where sellers have clearly stepped in with strong rejection.
🚨 CLEAR REVERSAL SIGNALS
At Resistance 1, we saw multiple rejection candles with strong bearish bodies.
Additionally, the MA Plot has turned downward, signaling a possible shift in trend.
Price also touched the 4-level structure zone of support/resistance, adding confluence to the area.
Immediately after, the market reversed and dropped sharply with strong bearish candles, confirming the presence of selling pressure and strengthening the short bias.
📉 PREFERRED SCENARIO – SHORT WITH THE TREND
With the current momentum, the preferred scenario is:
🔻 Price is likely to continue dropping toward the Support Zone: 45,459 – 45,798
This zone serves as a logical short-term target for any short positions taken at Resistance 1. Once price reaches this area, traders can consider partial or full take-profits, depending on market reaction.
🧠 TRADE IDEA
Action: 🔻 Short
Entry Zone: 46,279 – 46,445
Stop Loss: Above 46,550
Take Profit: 45,800 – 45,500
✅ CONCLUSION
US30 is under visible selling pressure after rejecting Resistance 1 and reacting strongly at multiple confluence levels. The technical setup favors a trend-following short strategy, with proper risk management and patience around key levels to confirm next moves.
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USD/CHF - Multi Timeframe Analysis (Trade setup)📉 USD/CHF – Forecast Breakdown 📉
Time to dissect this one across the charts 👇
🕰 Weekly View
The weekly chart is still in a bearish trend. Price rejected from the monthly/weekly trendline and printed a clean lower-high setup. Structure suggests continuation down unless buyers can flip resistance near 0.83. For now → bias leans bearish, with space to revisit 0.76–0.75 demand.
📅 Daily Structure
Daily shows a swing range with:
BOS south ✅
Liquidity sweep below SSL (sell-side liquidity)
Market retracing toward 0.805–0.81 (daily + 71% zone)
This looks like a setup for a liquidity grab into premium pricing before sellers potentially take control again. The daily zone at 0.805–0.81 is the hot spot to watch for bearish reactions.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
On the 4H:
Price already made a BOS down, confirming short-term bearishness.
Currently pushing back into a 4H + daily supply overlap (0.805–0.81).
Ideal scenario → a sweep of that zone before the next bearish leg, targeting 0.79 → 0.785.
🎯 Summary
Weekly : Bearish, trend pointing lower 📉
Daily : Retrace likely into 0.805–0.81 before rejection ⚔️
4H : Watching for liquidity sweep + reversal confirmation 👀
Bias → Bearish, unless bulls flip above 0.815. Short opportunities favored around the supply zone, targeting 0.79 → 0.785, with deeper extension possible toward 0.76 if momentum holds.
⚠️ Risk note: USD/CHF can grind slowly — patience is key; avoid chasing entries.
4H TRADE IDEA FOR 26 SEP, 2025Following the new information and increased volume that entered the market yesterday, the price generated a significant downward momentum, indicating an overall downtrend. Currently, the price is on a retracement based on my framework, moving back into a probable balance area. we expect the price to retrace a lot more back up towards the 50 - 70% level through today and until the beginning of next trading week before resuming the overall downtrend continuation. As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what we see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully, and as usual, this is not financial advice, trade responsibly
US30: Rebound to resistance & continue to break down
📝 1. Market Context
The SPREADEX:DJI dropped sharply from the recent high around 46,700 down to near 45,700, showing that sellers are currently in control in the short term. After this sharp decline, price is experiencing a mild recovery but still remains within a clearly defined downtrend channel and below key resistance.
🟥 2. Resistance Zone
The major resistance is located around 46,250 – 46,130 (highlighted in blue on the chart):
• This zone overlaps with the EMA and the upper band of the Keltner Channel.
• It was previously a sideways consolidation area that has now turned into resistance.
• It also intersects with the descending trendline, making a bearish rejection likely.
🟩 3. Support Zone
The nearest support lies at 45,858 – 45,748 (first pink zone).
If price breaks below this level, it is likely to continue falling toward the lower support zone at 45,520 – 45,640 (second pink zone).
🚨 4. Bearish Scenario
• Main scenario: Wait for a price pullback into the 46,250 – 46,130 area and watch for bearish signals → then SELL.
• Target: First target at 45,860 – 45,750 → if broken, expect further decline toward 45,520 – 45,640.
• Invalidation: A daily close above 46,250 would invalidate this bearish setup.
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XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥”
The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown:
Previous Liquidity Sweep
Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August.
This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure.
Strong Impulsive Rally
From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback.
However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction.
Resistance & PRZ Reaction
The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level.
Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move:
1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500
This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point.
Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support)
If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
CISCO: bearish pattern foundCisco (CSCO) Forecast:
Double gap pattern spotted for Cisco (CSCO), with expectations for the price to decline to the $64-$65 range in the next days.
Confirmation
This forecast is supported by my script, "Volatility Bars".
Additional Insights
I expect that the price will retest support area $64-$65 before initiating a new bullish trend.
Keep an eye on market conditions and any news that may impact Cisco's performance.
Trading Ideas
Short Position:
Entry: Current market price
Take Profit (TP): Set at 5%-6% below the current price.
Long Position:
Entry: Wait for a retracement to the $64-$65 area to buy.
Feel free to share your thoughts or any additional insights!
The day after a new higher highHello fellow traders! 👋
It seems like so many times again, the market went in a different direction than you may have expected. 🤷♀️
After multiple positive words from members of the Fed, a rate cut is likely to happen and is getting priced in. 📉 On Friday, July 29, we got some good economic data from the U.S., but the market acted differently. 🤔 Why is this? The data wasn't worse than expected; it was as expected. The market is taking this as a sign—a sign for higher prices. But, and this is a fact, many retail traders aren't. 😥
It's not about confusion; it's about the market (and us as traders) not having priced in all the possibilities. 🤯
The truth is, they are lying to you. They (the government) are telling people and the news that things are about to get fixed and will be good, but they aren't. 🤥 If you think the data we got on Friday is true, think again. Look at the data; you'll see the forecast was as expected, but in reality, the numbers are better than before. Do you get it? The obvious conclusion isn't always the real one. 💡 In my opinion, the U.S. economic data everyone is talking about is much better than many people think because the news is written to make it seem bad. 😒 You can think whatever you want, of course!
Price went up, not down, and a rally was chased. Many stop-loss orders were hit and turned into a cascade of higher prices. 📈 Institutions are buying gold, yes, because the dollar is cheap (?), and a rate cut is coming with a very high probability. 💰 So they buy gold, which results in many people's (and that's a good thing) stop-loss orders being executed. 👏 (sorry)
I've seen it in the past, and you can see it too if you look at my data table. Whenever a very high gold price was reached, a correction followed. 📉
I expect a correction on Monday or Tuesday, and this correction will lead to at least $3418, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In my view, $3403 is the 0.5 level and more realistic. If you look at the table I put in the image, you can see that the day after a high price like we had today, the correction was always at the 0.5 Fibonacci level or more! 📊
Don't think it won't happen; they will trap you in any way they can, such as with fakeouts... 😈
Believe in the market and its structure because, until now, there has never been a day without a correction after a rally like this! 💪