Sugar (SUGAR/USD) Daily Chart Analysis 10/13Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Sugar finished higher for the second consecutive day with the completion of Sugar Rally $0.1232 in play since flagged by Trade selector Signal on Oct 1, as the commodity consolidates much higher range journey.
The stage for transforming from bullish by completing the move is signaling down prices are likely to occur in near term, with first Mean Support resting at $0.1194 , while very significant the Mean Support lies at $0.1116 . On the upside, there is major Key Resistance $0.1268 .
Search in ideas for "COMMODITY"
CRB Commodity Index 2018 Head and Shouder's Reversal CRB Commodity Index on 8/15/18 broke down from a 2018 Head And Shoulder's Pattern,
a reversal of fortune, the implications of which seem to imply that inflationary pressures may have reached a peak
for the year, and with that, a slowdown in world economic growth, foreshadowed by the recent decline in world stock indices,
and US interest rates.
THE_UNWIND
Sugar Beaten Down Commodity Ready for Turn (CANE)Sugar , the commodity has been in a prolonged downtrend for some time now.
The Sugar ETN CANE offers one the opportunity to go LONG Sugar,
at extremely discounted and washed out price.
As a completely contrarian play.....
CANE LOW on 8/2/18 at 6.75, looks to me to be a WASHOUT LOW. USE that as a STOP,
Begin to accumulate. Long Trade. Upside Target; To Be Determined.
THE_UNWIND
GBPCAD - Fitting trade to match commodity fundamentalTechnically this setup looks great; echo-phone pattern has been respected on the resistance side, moreover the bearish H&S has just been broken out of. All that is left to see, is if there will be a retest, and how that neckline will stand up to it.
Regarding fundamentals, this trade plays on recent moves in commodity prices and is a good hedge outside of the EUR, and USD markets.
GOLD, short position on the break of the trend line, 4 hour After a great dollar rally, gold confirmed a trend line yesterday. After slight pullback it is testing the level again. A break can trigger a short position with a good Risk-Reward ratio.
So far the dollar strength seems to continue and unless political tension escalate, like Iran/China trade/North Korea and so on, selling pressure on gold should push the commodity through the trend line.
We are also still in risk-on mood, with risk currencies like AUD and NZD inching higher.
Happy Trading!
WTI - US CRUDE OILWTI US CRUDE OIL , looks pretty strong to the upside and has gained momentum in the last few days due to the geopolitical situation. We can expect some upside for this commodity, There is some resistance coming for it, but another 5 to 7% looks quiet bullish. Any geopolitical uncertainty can surely change its course to the down side.
SHORT ON HEATING OIL GUYS!Well, here we have it guys, I believe that a short on Heating Oil is probable guys.
I truly believe that we can get a short here on this commodity guys.
TP: 1.9200/1.8200
PALLADIUM BUYWe last bought this in October for 920 to say we got out too early is an understatement. Since then we have been waiting to get back in and never had the opportunity, the current pullback looks pretty good:- unfolding in 3 clear waves against a recent new high. Divergence at the blue (3) top adds to the case suggesting that the move higher had lost momentum rather than being over.
The green trend line is a little lower than I would like but was not tested on the two previous pullbacks (neither of which we traded) so it may not be this time. We still like commodities higher but do not overload Commodity risk.
Aug.01.16 w/ bulk commodity w/ FED ECBChinese PBOC changed its FX intervention principle since Aug.1.16.
Given CN's commodity input output int'l trading status. It created inevitable influence to int'l market.
Last week, PBOC unchanged its FX intervention principle to old one. (e.g. a small cycle closes last week)
XAU/USD set for more gainsIt can be observed on the hourly chart for the yellow metal that the bullion broke out of the descending channel pattern to the upside. Due to that reason it can be assumed that more gains are to be scored, as on Thursday morning the commodity price fluctuated just below the 1,280 mark. The 1,280 mark seemed to pose some sort of rather weak but still notable resistance.
This recent breakout, which was initially not expected, occurred due to fundamental reasons. The recent quarrels between the United States and North Korea have created a sort of run to safety. Moreover, it reversed the recent fundamental strengthening of the US Dollar after the JOLTS Jobs Openings release.
Average of GBP/Major Commodity CurrenciesAn equal weighted average of GBP vs three major commodity currencies (AUD, NZD, and CAD) shows potential for the start of a bullish move starting here in the middle of the range formed since Brexit.
My chart shows some consolidation in the immediate area potentially closing this week with a small bullish Doji.
I currently have a GBPAUD short open with SL at BE, I may indirectly hedge that position hedge that position with a GBPCAD long entry if it ends today forming a weekly Doji.
NZD/USD: the NZD is pressed by the lowering of the commodity priCurrent trend
On Thursday the pair was lowering and tested the level of 0.6850, which is has been trying to break for the second week, again. The NZD weakened due to the general lowering of the world commodity prices: the CRB index reached the minimum from the last August level around 177.0 on Thursday, as it has been lowering in general from January. Today the pair was corrected to the middle line of Bollinger Bands around 0.6900, but soon will again began to lower to the key support level of 0.6850 due to the April USA employment market data today. The Nonfarm Payroll index is expected to be 194K, which is significantly higher that the March level of 98K.
Support and resistance
Technically the price stopped at the middle line of Bollinger Bands around 0.6900. The anticipation of the strong US releases and Stochastic readings, which reached the overbought area, can let the price to reverse and lower to the level of 0.6850 and further to 0.6760. If the data are disappointing, the price after the breakout of 0.6900 can grow to the upper border of Bollinger Bands at 0.6960 and Fibonacci corrections 61.8% at the level of 0.6980.
Support levels: 0.6850, 0.6760 and 0.6700.
Resistance levels: 0.6900, 0.6960 and 0.6980.
Trading scenario
Open short positions at the current price with the target at 0.6850, 0.6760 and atop loss around 0.6920. If the price is set above the level of 0.6900, open long positions with the target at 0.6960, 0.6980 and stop loss at 0.6880.
AUDUSD And Other Commodity Currencies Higher Again?Hello Traders,
we hope you have a relaxed weekend.
In this idea, we'll be looking at AUDUSD long. As the market shows us a bullish sequence against the December low 2016. We will expect further bullish momentum in AUDUSD. Especially commodity currencies such as AUD, NZD and CAD.
With Gold and Silver, new bullish cycle, we expect aussie, kiwi and loonie also to follow the path of gold and silver moving higher.
But before we call AUDUSD long confirmed, the pair should first take out the high at around 0.77575, to continue its bullish momentum.
In the case of a break of the 0.77575. We will consider long trades after a pullback to the initial breakout level. We will keep you updated with that. As of for right now, we will be on the sidelines, as the pair also could start a lower degree correction from current levels to the last breakout level at around 0.76324.
When we see a significant breakout out of the 0.77575 our target will be around 0.79484, for the short-term, as we expect AUDUSD to move even higher, but this would be the first target which we will consider.
Hope you enjoyed this short overview. We will be publishing charts now more frequently. As always trade with care and always use a stop-loss
Cheers
EURO IS A SELL VS COMMODITY CURRENCIESI am looking for shortterm sells on the EUR/NZD, EUR/CAD and EUR/AUD. Charts below.
I believe the fall in commodities will see a shortterm correction in the coming 24h before the FED.
Eur looks to be the weakest link for now, with Netherland elections and some overbought looking markets.
Its a shortterm and risky trade, i will move my stop as soon as possible to breakeven and not risk too much.
EurAud:
EurNzd:
Gold/Euro:
Silver/Euro:
Shooting Star Developing in Commodity Index Shooting Star Developing in Commodity Index pending resistance .382 Fib






















