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NQ - 1 Hour / AO Expansion with ExtensionNQ continues to be led by the 7/11 Nose. Apple, will of course be the Key to new ATHs. AMZN was rejected yesterday, leave it to the SMH to make it up in change and then some. Volumes to Options are picking up. APPL Calls 75% of Vol. TSLA - Same AMD - Same Gamma Squeezes in 7/11s including MSFT ____________________________________________ Call Rolling up the Strikes is an unrelenting process Intra-Day. 180 @ 200K 182.5 @ 100K 185 @ 75K Apple continues to Squeeze on Gamma as the Writers are forced to Hedge Higher. ______________________________________________ $10 of Billions in Trade on Gamma, but Puts are being purchased. TSLA - exact same, WEEKLY CALL OPTION SQUEEZE and Tesla fails to close at highs. 1160 Bought by $5.2M ______________________________________________ NVDA - GAmma Squeeze 300 -320 _______________________________________________ MSFT - Gamma Swueeze 340 342.5 345 ________________________________________________ The Anomalies: SPY 390s for the 28th Bid for an 18% decline - $1.4M traded. RTY - $5.1M bid for FEB Decline by 5.2%
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
6
NQ - 3X Divergences / 3-4% Down in the next 1-4 trading Days.NQ is being SOLD. If 5/5 completes with a Lower High with a Lower Low. We will see the November 2019 Analogue we reviewed in Trade IMHO. DOW and Crude Oil are Leading. __________________________________________________ Leaning towards the Analogues coming into Trade. Probability Favors this Trade over a NEW ATH. Gaos below could arrive quickly. It wants to DUMP. Can Indices power up to the Trend Line... That would be a very large Feat at this point, Market Structure appears to be falling apart. __________________________________________________ Have a good evening everyone.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by HK_L61
NQ - 2 HourNQ has seen an ALGO Driven shove Higher, only to be SOLD. OBV and Breadth are in the Negative Territory. You can almost sense the underlying Fear in Buyers, they are quick on the Trigger to SELL. ______________________________________________________ The 50 Handle Front Run of the Ledge Highs @ 16448 with the Micro Measured Price Objective Front Run 403 @ 98.75 x 4.25 Handles. Not a show of Conviction at all Intra-Day. The 4/4 Count remains alive for now, although the NXN appears to have other Ideas. ______________________________________________________ YM, ES look suspect as they are ranging at Lows after AM Highs. Another Support / Resistance ZONE trades in lockstep. AAPL and TSLA - unable to hold gains... ______________________________________________________ We may a surprise in store today, up to the PM ALGOs to save it or let it go.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
NQ - 30 Minute RangeNQ's current Range: 15909 - 16036 Coupon Purchases Today - $0 Funded as with FOMC Minutes Days. The Federal Reserve limits Activity. Chop within a Range into 2 PM EST. @ 2:30 PM EST, the Press Conference will create further Volatility. ___________________________________________ POSITIONS: TQQQ STO 1 x 158 STO 1 x 159 QQQ - DEC PUT @ 17.5%/POS 390 x 10 400 x 15 410 x 25 SMH - DEC PUT @ 8.5%/POS 290 x 10 300 x 10 310 x 10 QCOM - DEC PUT @ 12.5%/POS 135 x 10 140 x 10 145 x 10 150 x 10 TSLA - PUT Spread Nov - Jan @ 21.77%/POS Nov 26 @ 1200 x 35 Nov 26 @ 1350 x 35 DEC 17 @ 1200 x 35 DEC 17 @ 1350 x 35 JAN 21 @ 35 x 1200 JAN 21 @ 35 x 1350 Jan 21 @ 100 x 900 BTO 2.5 @ 1140 on Bracket PT @ 1200 SL @ 1168 TLT STO 1 X 148 STO 1 X 147 AMC STO 2 x 40.50 CL STO 83 x 12 on Bracket PT 81.76 SL 82.32
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
8
NQ - Range for 15 MinuteNQ's range for today should be contained to the following: 15,250 - 15,380 The Countertrend into EPS will hold until Big Cap TECH begins to report. We anticipate a Gap FIll as a higher probability Trade for AM Session, and then renewed Price movement Higher into the upper end of today's Range. VIX Settlement - Low 16.10 - 17.20 Range VXN should be observed closely as well, TNX 10 Year Note Yields. We maintain this is a "Rushed" Countertredn into EPS with a Larger Pullback ahead. Price can extend into November 11th to the 21st should October 21 prove to be a non-event. IMHO the 200 SMAs will be tested in 2021.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
10
NQ - Micro TFNQ filled it's Gap during Globex. Close for RTH @ 15611. Prior to Asia opening Price moved up to a Front Run of the Intra-Day 50% @ 15637.50 by 6 Ticks. ES YM RTY sell bias at present 21:10:22 PM EST. VIX, although dipping in 4 Ticks below 18.15 caught the Bid. It's going to be a long night for traders until this breaks, probably near 03:30:00 AM EST. It remains a hot mess of a market, desperate attempts were made today to keep the range within 100 and they did. BUT - watching 1,000 ES Contracts fly by on the SELL during the closing minutes... not healthy. See if they can cross the 537.50 level this evening... 526s are now open for Business.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
4
NQ - Equity Analysis, Macro Events - Friday Powell 10AM ESTNQ and the Balance of Equity Instruments traded to resistance overnight ahead of Today's Macro Data and Fed Chair Powell speaking @ 10:00 AM EST. Kaplan's expected reversal of reversal Taper, came and went. Bullard was extremely Hawkish yesterday. IF Powell is less so, the DX will decline. Financials remain in SELL. Bonds remains in a SELL. ROCs in 10Yr need to be watched carefully. VIX inside the Long from lows with all pullbacks defended - 18.95 LIS. FRYday's are usually "VIX Attack". Support for VIX M1 @ 19.65. ES remains in a Larger Long, it defended the .382 with the Gap Fill @ 4466.65. YM is the Weak Sister, it defends Globex resistance. RTY has yet to trade a Pull Back. The usual suspects - AMC TSLA ARKK do not look good... it is OPEX. Gamma failing for the 4th week in a row. Participation will roll off after 11:30 AM EST as EU Session closes. BR/VG will be on the hunt... Friday's are theirs's. We are taking today off from trading on balance with 1/4 to 1/2 size today at maximum. Next week will provide the continuation to advancing the SELL, we began positioning for it this week. 38% Sell to Open presently DEC on Derivs and M1 - M3 Vix Complex. Today's Price action will be aggressive if the usual suspects show up to run Prices. We will simply Hedge DEC with SEP CTs if necessary. 10AM will obviously provide a reaction, we are SOH til then. For today, we are Neutral and trading very small size, limiting risk exposure.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
50
nq took a morning dive. looking for support now.nq is looking for buyers to step in this morning, and they are only recently doing so. Price could turn lower to the demand areas listed, or it could use the reigion it's at now to pivot and try to break the series of lower lows. My hypothesis is that it will continue a little but lower before turning higher. Markets looking downhill across the board. some support coming into play on the s&p, but that's the only thing that looks like it might be ready to turn around at the moment.
CME_MINI:NQU2021
by emehoke
NQ - Hyper Bubble Targets into August 25, 2021NQ is behaving differently and remains the most overcrowded trade of all Instruments. The higher Targets, as absurd as they may seem, have an increased probability of completing the Blow Off in Tech. As improbable as this may seem, it has a higher probability at this moment in time. There is immense Risk into TECH EPS next week. The decline in overall demand will begin to appear in Q2 EPS, but will not begin to show up in force until Q3. This will be front run ahead of September Q3 closes. It will be apparent then Economic Activity has rolled over. These ranges are extreme, we realize this, but would be remiss if we did not provide all of the potential Extensions for NQ. The Blow Off is attempting to begin, Retail is leading the chase. More Faith Based Investing ahead in our opinions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
3